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Western Australian State Voting Intention and Leaders' Ratings

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Newspoll: Western Australian State Voting Intention and Leaders’ Ratings Introduction ................................................................................ 3 Table 1. Political Issues Trends. Western Australia State Voting Intention and Leaders’ Ratings. Satisfaction with Premier. ......................................... 4 Table 2 Political Issues Trends. Western Australia State Voting Intention and Leaders’ Ratings. Better Premier. ...................................................... 8 Table 3. Political Issues Trends. Western Australia State Voting Intention and Leaders’ Ratings. Satisfaction with Leader of the Opposition ................... 12 Table 4. Political Issues Trends. Western Australia State Voting Intention and Leaders’ Ratings. Voting Intention. .................................................. 17 Fact Sheet 13. January 2014. 2014 Except to the extent of the uses permitted under the Copyright Act 1968, no part of this document may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means including information storage and retrieval systems, without the prior written consent from the Librarian, Western Australian Parliamentary Library, other than by Members of the Western Australian Parliament in the course of their official duties. Western Australian Parliamentary Library Parliament House Harvest Terrace Perth WA 6000 [email protected] ISSN 1 921243 69 4 January 2014 WA Parliamentary Library. Scope Note 13, January 2014 Introduction Scope Notes is a series of fact sheets based on questions frequently asked of the Parliamentary Library. This Scope Note includes data from the Western Australian State Voting Intention and Leaders’ Ratings polls published by Newspoll. It includes data relating to Western Australians’ Satisfaction with Premier; Better Premier; Satisfaction with Leader of the Opposition; and Voting Intentions. Newspoll results are published in table format in The Australian. The data is also made available on the Newspoll website - http://www.newspoll.com.au. According to Newspoll, these surveys were conducted on the telephone by trained interviewers among voters throughout Western Australia. Telephone numbers and the person within the household were selected at random. The data was weighted to reflect the population distribution of Western Australia. Newspoll seems to attract considerable attention across the media. However, as many have observed in the past, ultimately the only political poll that matters is the one taken on election day. “The so-called science of poll-taking is not a science at all but a mere necromancy. People are unpredictable by nature, and although you can take a nation’s pulse, you can’t be sure that the nation hasn’t just run up a flight of stairs” (White, 1948). WA Parliamentary Library. Fact Sheet 13, January 2014 Table 1. Political Issues Trends. Western Australia State Voting Intention and Leaders’ Ratings. Satisfaction with Premier Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way ... is doing his/her job as Premier? Mr Brian BURKE (ALP) Satisfied Dissatisfied Uncommitted % % % 24-26 Jan 1986 67 22 11 Feb-Apr 1986 72 20 8 May-Jul 1986 60 31 9 Aug-Oct 1986 52 38 10 Nov-Dec 1986 53 39 8 Jan-Mar 1987 60 34 6 Apr-Jun 1987 64 28 8 Jul-Sep 1987 63 28 9 Oct-Dec 1987 59 33 8 Jan-Feb 1988 68 26 6 Figure 1.1 Satisfaction with Premier. Brian Burke was Premier of WA 25 Feb 1983-25 Feb 1988. Mr Peter DOWDING (ALP) Satisfied Dissatisfied Uncommitted % % % Feb-Apr 1988 37 14 49 Apr-Jul 1988 55 16 29 Jul-Oct 1988 61 26 13 Oct-Dec 1988 56 29 15 31 Jan-2 Feb 1989 49 42 9 Feb-Apr 1989 58 31 11 Figure 1.2 Satisfaction with Premier Peter Dowding was Premier of WA 25 Feb 1988-12 Feb 1990. Ms Carmen LAWRENCE (ALP) Satisfied Dissatisfied Uncommitted % % % Jan-Mar 1992 63 28 9 Apr-Jun 1992 68 25 7 Jul-Sep 1992 60 32 8 Oct-Dec 1992 54 37 9 Figure 1.3 Satisfaction with Premier Carmen Lawrence was Premier of WA 12 Feb 1990-16 Feb 1993. 4 WA Parliamentary Library. Fact Sheet 13, January 2014 Mr Richard COURT (LIB) Satisfied Dissatisfied Uncommitted % % % Mar-May 1993 32 45 23 Jun-Aug 1993 41 47 12 Sep-Oct 1993 48 43 9 Nov-Dec 1993 49 37 14 Jan-Mar 1994 58 35 7 Apr-Jun 1994 55 37 8 Jul-Sep 1994 58 34 8 Oct-Dec 1994 57 34 9 Jan-Mar 1995 52 40 8 Apr-Jun 1995 47 46 7 Jul-Sep 1995 46 46 8 Oct-Dec 1995 45 48 7 Jan-Mar 1996 45 44 11 Apr-Jun 1996 54 38 8 Jul-Sep 1996 53 38 9 Oct-Nov 1996 58 30 12 11-12 Dec 1996 51 39 10 Apr-Jun 1997 45 45 10 Jul-Sep 1997 48 43 9 Oct-Dec 1997 51 41 8 Jan-Mar 1998 40 44 16 Apr-Jun 1998 36 51 13 Jul-Sep 1998 39 52 9 Oct-Dec 1998 40 44 16 Jan-Mar 1999 43 45 12 Apr-Jun 1999 42 46 12 Jul-Sep 1999 38 51 11 Oct-Dec 1999 37 51 12 Jan-Mar 2000 40 49 11 Apr-Jun 2000 41 47 12 Jul-Sept 2000 42 48 10 Oct-Dec 2000 39 47 14 7-8 Feb 2001 40 51 9 Figure 1.4 Satisfaction with Premier Richard Court was Premier of WA 16 Feb 1993-16 Feb 2001. 5 WA Parliamentary Library. Fact Sheet 13, January 2014 Dr Geoff GALLOP (ALP) Satisfied Dissatisfied Uncommitted % % % Jul-Sep 2001 51 23 26 Oct-Dec 2001 50 34 16 Jan-Mar 2002 50 31 19 Apr-Jun 2002 53 26 21 Jul-Sep 2002 55 27 18 Oct-Dec 2002 56 24 20 Jan-Mar 2003 53 28 19 Apr-Jun 2003 53 26 21 Jul-Sep 2003 45 33 22 Oct-Dec 2003 42 40 18 Jan-Mar 2004 46 39 15 Apr-Jun 2004 47 35 18 Jul-Sep 2004 52 33 15 Oct-Dec 2004 46 38 16 28-30 Jan 2005 46 40 14 23-24 Feb 2005 51 38 11 Oct-Dec 2005 49 36 15 Figure 1.5 Satisfaction with Premier Geoff Gallop was Premier of WA 16 Feb 2001-25 Jan 2006. Mr Alan CARPENTER (ALP) Satisfied Dissatisfied Uncommitted % % % Jan-Mar 2006 53 15 32 Apr-Jun 2006 60 16 24 Jul-Sep 2006 52 23 25 Oct-Dec 2006 52 30 18 Jan-Mar 2007 60 25 15 Apr-Jun 2007 57 24 19 Jul-Sep 2007 58 26 16 Oct-Dec 2007 57 26 17 Jan-Mar 2008 56 27 17 Apr-Jun 2008 53 34 13 Aug 10-14 2008 49 40 11 Sept 2-4 2008 42 48 10 Figure 1.6 Satisfaction with Premier Alan Carpenter was Premier of WA 25 Jan 2006 - 6 September 2008. Mr Colin Barnett (Lib) Satisfied Dissatisfied Uncommitted % % % Jan-Mar 2009 56 23 21 Jan-Mar 2010 51 34 15 Apr-Jun 2010 55 33 12 Jul-Sep 2010 56 32 12 Oct-Dec 2010 55 35 10 Jan-Mar 2011 54 33 13 Apr-Jun 2011 50 37 13 Jul-Sept 2011 51 35 14 6 WA Parliamentary Library. Scope Note 13, January 2014 Mr Colin Barnett (Lib) Satisfied Dissatisfied Uncommitted % % % Oct-Dec 2011 58 28 14 Jan-Mar 2012 51 33 16 Jul-Sep 2012 48 37 15 Oct-Dec 2013 49 37 14 Feb 3-7 2013 47 42 11 Mar 4-7 2013 51 36 13 Oct-Dec 2013 34 54 12 Figure 1.7 Satisfaction with Premier. Colin was Premier of WA 26 September 2008 - WA Parliamentary Library. Fact Sheet 13, January 2014 Table 2 Political Issues Trends. Western Australia State Voting Intention and Leaders’ Ratings. Better Premier. Who do you think would make the better Premier? Mr Brian BURKE (ALP) Mr Bill HASSELL (LIB) Uncommitted % % % 24-26 Jan 1986 64 17 19 4-5 Feb 1986 66 12 22 Figure 2.1 Better Premier Mr Peter DOWDING (ALP) Mr Barry MACKINNON (LIB) Uncommitted % % % 31 Jan-2 Feb 1989 49 27 24 Figure 2.2 Better Premier Ms Carmen Mr Barry Mr Richard Uncommitted LAWRENCE (ALP) MACKINNON (LIB) COURT (LIB) % % % % Jan-Mar 1992 53 22 - 25 Apr-May 1992 62 19 - 19 May-Jun 1992 56 - 20 24 Jul-Sep 1992 54 - 25 21 Oct-Dec 1992 51 - 26 23 Figure 2.3 Better Premier Mr Richard COURT (LIB) Ms Carmen LAWRENCE (ALP) Uncommitted % % % Mar-May 1993 27 61 12 Jun-Aug 1993 36 50 14 Sep-Oct 1993 35 55 10 Nov-Dec 1993 41 44 15 Jan-Feb 1994 44 44 12 Figure 2.4 Better Premier Mr Richard COURT (LIB) Mr Ian TAYLOR (ALP) Uncommitted % % % Feb-Mar 1994 51 24 25 Apr-Jun 1994 52 25 23 Jul-Sep 1994 55 22 23 Figure 2.5 Better Premier 8 WA Parliamentary Library. Fact Sheet 13, January 2014 Mr Richard COURT (LIB) Mr Jim MCGINTY (ALP) Uncommitted % % % Oct- Dec 1994 60 19 21 Jan-Mar 1995 53 22 25 Apr-Jun 1995 49 28 23 Jul-Sep 1995 48 28 24 Oct-Dec 1995 47 28 25 Jan-Mar 1996 49 28 23 Apr-Jun 1996 55 24 21 Jul-Sep 1996 56 20 24 Figure 2.6 Better Premier Mr Richard COURT (LIB) Dr Geoff GALLOP (ALP) Uncommitted % % % Oct-Nov 1996 53 20 27 11-12 Dec 1996 51 29 20 Apr-Jun 1997 47 30 23 Jul-Sep 1997 49 30 21 Oct -Dec 1997 48 33 19 Jan -Mar 1998 39 29 32 Apr -Jun 1998 40 33 27 Jul-Sep 1998 42 33 25 Oct-Dec 1998 44 32 24 Jan-Mar 1999 42 29 29 Apr-Jun 1999 44 32 24 Jul-Sep 1999 35 33 32 Oct-Dec 1999 40 33 27 Jan-Mar 2000 42 34 24 Apr-Jun 2000 42 31 27 Figure 2.7 Better Premier Mr Richard COURT (LIB) Dr Geoff GALLOP (ALP) Uncommitted % % % Jul -Sep 2000 40 31 29 Oct -Dec 2000 39 30 31 7-8 Feb 2001 40 40 20 Figure 2.8 Better Premier 9 WA Parliamentary Library.
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