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For more information regarding the content of this publication, please contact: Marek Styczen, Project Officer - Enterprise Planning & Development The Environment Service Perth & Kinross Council Pullar House 35 Kinnoull Street PERTH PH1 5GD Tel 01738 477944 Email [email protected] Perth and Kinross Economic Journal We welcome your comments and feedback. Quarter 4 2016 (October - December 2016) The Journal is an electronic publication on the state of the local economy prepared and published by Planning & Development in Perth & Kinross Council. Quarter 4 2016 Highlights • Kinross-shire is where most business start-ups were recorded at the end of the Quarter. • Construction was among top 3 industries for Business Start-up companies. • Perth & Kinross had 3rd lowest Claimant Count rate in Scotland. • The value of House Sales in the area between October and December 2016 was £163 Million. • The Claimant Count rate has remained in line with pre-recession levels of JSA Claimant rate for 2 years. • 7 new business openings were recorded in Perth City Centre. • 9 out of 10 Claimants in Perth City were resident either in Perth City North or Perth City Centre. • Perth City Centre footfall numbers reached the highest level for any month in 3 years. Labour Market Business Claimant Count rates Business Start-Up and numbers Investment Best and Worst Performing Wards Planning Applications Benefit Claimants Perth City Centre Housing Market Business Unit Vacancy House Prices Rate Market Volumes Footfall Labour Market Perth City Centre Business Housing Market Unemployment Claimant Count Rate in Scottish Local Authorities • Perth & Kinross area remains among the Perth & Kinross and Neighbouring Areas, December 2016 Dundee City, 3.3% very top local authority areas with the third e 4.0 t lowest rate in Scotland - the same as East a 3.5 R Angus, 2.0% t 3.0 Stirling, 1.6% Dunbartonshire. The rate of 1.1% recorded n u 2.5 in December 2016 marks about 2 years of o C 2.0 performance in line with pre-recession t n 1.5 levels. a 1.0 m i a 0.5 l C • Our key neighbouring Local Authority 0.0 areas fared less favourably than Perth & % Local Authority Areas Kinross in September. Their rates ranged from 1.6% in Stirling to 3.3% in Dundee. Perth & Kinross, 1.1% Fife, 2.4% • The comparative areas also recorded a more pronounced deterio- Claimant Count Rate Perth & Kinross 4.0 Perth City ration in performance compared to the same month in 2015. Perth e January 2014 - December 2016 t & Kinross rate declined by 0.1% points year-on-year. a Tay Cities Region R 3.5 t n Scotland • There were 985 Claimants in Perth & Kinross in December 2016, u o 3.0 C only 30 more than the same month a year before. t n 2.2 a 2.5 m • The Perth City Claimant Count rate of 1.7% remains above Perth & i a 2.0 l 2.0 Kinross area but below Scottish average. C % 1.5 1.7 • From April 2016 onwards, the Claimant Count rate in Perth & Kinross area has included Universal Credit Claimant records. 1.0 1.1 • Tay Cities Region includes the areas of Perth & Kinross, Angus, 0.5 Dundee and North-East Fife. 0.0 January January January 2014 2015 2016 Source: NOMIS Labour Market Perth City Centre Business Housing Market Best and Worst Performing Wards • The map illustrates how the wards in Perth & Kinross performed in terms of Claimant Count rate.* The rates recorded across the area in September 2016 range from 0.6% to 2.0%, compared to a slightly wider range of 0.6% to 2.2% a year before. In other words, the gap between the best and the worst wards has lessened which is an improvement. The lowest rate of 0.6% was in Strathtay. • Perth City Centre was the ward with the highest annual increase in rate, at 0.2 percentage points. Perth City North, on the other hand, had the highest rate of improvement on last year - the rate dropped there by 0.3 percentage points. • 87% of the Claimants in Perth City were resident in either City Centre or City North wards. Strathtay: 0.6% Kinross-shire of Gowrie, and Earn:,Almond Carse 0.7% Strathallan: 0.8% Highland, Strathmore: South: 0.9% CityPerth Centre 1.0% Strathearn: and Glens, Blairgowrie North: CityPerth !.9% Centre 2.0% CityPerth Centre: Scotland: 2.2% • All wards in Perth & Kinross had rates lower than the 2.2% in Scotland as a whole. • 50% of all Perth & Kinross Claimants were resident in Perth City. *As of April 2016, Claimant Count and related rates for Perth & Kinross area include Universal Credit Claimants. No change Rate increase Rate decrease in rate Annual rate change: Dec 2016 Almond and Earn Carse of Gowrie Blairgowrie and Glens on Dec 2015 Highland Strathallan Kinross-shire 0.6% 2.2% Perth City Centre Strathearn Perth City North Strathmore Perth City South Strathtay Source: NOMIS Labour Market Perth City Centre Business Housing Market Benet Claimants Benefit Claimant Rate bereaved 0.2 0.2 by Statistical Group, Q2 2016 • The latest benet claimant data available at the time of publica- tion was for the second Quarter of 2016. 1.0 Perth & Kinross • disabled 1.0 There were 9,240 benet claimants in Perth & Kinross in Q2 2016, Scotland others on income related 0.2 130 less than a year before. This is a marginal drop of 1.4% over the benefit 0.2 course of a year. The numbers are relatively static. 1.3 • The rate of Benet Claimants was at 10% in the area, down from carer 1.7 10.4% in the previous year. It was also well below the Scottish level 0.6 of 13.4%. lone parent 0.9 • Statistical Group allocation in the table to the left is an indication 5.7 ESA and incapacity benefits 7.8 of the main reason people claim benets. 1.0 job seeker 1.6 % population receiving state benefits Source: Department for Work and Pensions Labour Market Perth City Centre Business Housing Market Business Unit Vacancy Rate Footfall • Footfall numbers in December 2016 reached the highest level for any month in 3 years. The peak of 463,200 was 5.92% above December 2015. 9 out of the 12 months in 2016 had higher footfall • Perth City Centre business vacancy rate in numbers than their counterparts in 2015. Q4 2016 fell slightly on the previous quarter, with the level of 8.64% recorded between • Footfall is expected to fall in the next Quarter, in line with season- October and December also being above last ality trends. year’s 8.15%. The rate was also above the 7 7.96% rate 2 years before. 10 Perth City Centre Footfall Business Openings vs. • Between July and September 2016, there Business Closures, Perth 463,200 2014 2015 2016 were 7 new business openings against the City Centre Visitors, backdrop of 10 closures. Q4 2016 500,000 December 450,000 Perth City Centre Business Unit Vacancy Rate 400,000 350,000 r 10% e b 300,000 9% m u e 8% N t l 250,000 l a 8.64 a R 7% 8.15 7.96 tf y o c 6% 200,000 o n F a 5% c a 150,000 V 4% Numbers are t i 3% usually lowest n 100,000 U 2% at start of year 1% 50,000 0% - Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2014 2015 2016 Source: Perth & Kinross Council respectively. 57,6and247 was mum numberofstarts area aScottishcouncil for minimumandmaxi average, The ofstartsmedian level 35. was • Scotland. 2.9%ofallstart-ups the for across &Kinrossaccounted • Perth 61.1%ofthestarts. for 3industries account top The • 16.7%. Prot and NotFor Start-ups 3.7% (mainlyPartnerships) Prot 31.5%,Other For Traders makeupofstart-ups 48.1%,SoleThe Companies isLimited • and Earn, City Perth North City andPerth theleast. South saw themoststart-ups; saw Kinross-shire Almond thearea, Within • 2015. December thanin and9fewer month thantheprevious 7fewer Kinross area, & 2016inPerth 54newbusinessesinDecember were There • out ofthe32Scottishlocalauthority areas. 16 &Kinrossat Perth ranks rate growth This year. period ofprevious withthecorresponding during of2016compared thelastmonth businessstart-ups &Kinross inPerth 2.5%fewer were There • Start-upEnterprise Source: BankSearch /Companies House Source: personalThe dataexclude through accounts. businessesoperating personal account. a through operated tobankingorthosepreviously businessesnew They represent range. product asmallbusiness banking accountfrom current the openingofafirst reflects ‘Start-up’ A Note: In December 2016 across alltheScottishlocalauthorityIn the 2016across December areas - No of Business Start ups 1 1 0 2 2 4 6 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Labour Mar Jan Feb Mar Apr B k u May et 2 0 Jun s 1 i 4 Jul n Top 3Start upIndustries Top Aug e Sep s s P Oct erth CityCent S Nov t Dec a r Construction personal&community serviceRecreational, services &support professional Real activities estate, Jan t - Feb u Mar p Apr s r e i May n 2 0 Jun 1 P 5 Jul e Aug r t Sep h Oct Busine & Nov Dec K i s Jan n s Feb r o Mar s Apr s May 2 0 Jun 1 6 Jul Housing Mar Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec k et Labour Market Perth City Centre Business Housing Market Investment Cost of Works in Perth & Kinross £ • The monetary values reported in this section are , s 140 an indication of investment, both under way in k r the reporting period, and planned within the o 120 w 36.5 Million following 3 years.
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