Douglas E. Schoen LLC Carolyn Maloney Questionnaire New York Survey of 600 Likely Democratic Primary Voters Conducted May 27-31, 2009
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Douglas E. Schoen LLC Carolyn Maloney Questionnaire New York Survey of 600 Likely Democratic Primary Voters Conducted May 27-31, 2009 Mood of the Country 1* Generally speaking, are things in the country headed in the right direction, or are they on the wrong track? 77% Right direction 15% Wrong track 9% Not sure 2* Generally speaking, are things in New York headed in the right direction or are they on the wrong track? 28% Right direction 56% Wrong track 16% Not sure 3* Generally speaking, is the economy in New York headed in the right direction or is it on the wrong track? 37% Right direction 40% Wrong track 24% Not sure 1 FAVORABLE/UNFAVORABLE I’m going to read you a short list of people in the News. For each, please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression. 4* Carolyn Maloney 17% Very favorable 22% Somewhat favorable 7% Somewhat unfavorable 4% Very unfavorable 51% Not sure 5* Kirsten Gillibrand 14% Very favorable 28% Somewhat favorable 17% Somewhat unfavorable 7% Very unfavorable 35% Not sure 2 Horserace 6* Now, in thinking about the 2010 statewide Democratic primary election for United States Senator, suppose you had a choice between Kirsten Gillibrand, Carolyn Maloney, and Carolyn McCarthy. If the election were held today, who would you vote for? 27% Kirsten Gillibrand 21% Carolyn Maloney 17% Carolyn McCarthy 11% Some other candidate 24% Not sure 7* Now suppose just Kirsten Gillibrand and Carolyn Maloney were running in the 2010 Democratic Primary for U.S. Senator. If the election were held today, who would you vote for? 32% Kirsten Gillibrand 34% Carolyn Maloney 34% Not sure 6% Not sure 8* Has Kirsten Gillibrand done her job well enough to deserve reelection, or is it time for her to be replaced by somebody else? 27% Senator Gillibrand has done her job well enough to deserve reelection 29% It’s time for her to be replaced by somebody else 44% Not sure 9* What do you like the most about Kirsten Gillibrand? 13% She’s a fighter for New York 5% She’s an independent leader 16% She is hard-working 21% She supports President Obama 12% Some other reason 34% Not sure 10* What do you like the least about Kirsten Gillibrand? 8% She flip flops on issues, press 1 23% She is too conservative 7% She is from the wrong part of the state 3 9% She is out of touch with New Yorkers 9% She does not have enough experience to be a Senator 12% Some other reason 32% Not sure 11* If there was a Democratic primary in 2010 for New York governor between David Patterson and Andrew Cuomo, who would you vote for? 16% David Patterson 71% Andrew Cuomo 3% Some other candidate 9% Not sure 4 Job Approval 12* How do you rate the way that Andrew Cuomo is performing his job as Attorney General? Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing? 50% Strongly approve 33% Somewhat approve 8% Somewhat disapprove 4% Strongly disapprove 6% Not sure 13* How do you rate the way that Kirsten Gillibrand is performing her job as U.S. Senator? Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove or strongly disapprove of the job she’s been doing? 18% Strongly approve 38% Somewhat approve 12% Somewhat disapprove 5% Strongly disapprove 27% Not sure 5 Issues 14* In your opinion, what is the most important issue facing New York State? 60% The economy and jobs 6% Ethics and corruption 6% Health care 1% Immigration 7% Schools and education 16% Taxes and the cost of living 1% Terrorism 1% Crime 1% The environment 15* What is the second most important issue facing New York State? 28% The economy and jobs 14% Ethics and corruption 20% Health care 2% Immigration 16% Schools and education 13% Taxes and the cost of living 3% Terrorism 0% Crime 3% The environment 16* What is the most important issue facing your local community? 53% The economy and jobs 4% Ethics and corruption 14% Health care 1% Immigration 8% Schools and education 16% Taxes and the cost of living 0% Terrorism 1% Crime 3% The environment 6 Governor David Patterson 17* Are you more or less favorable of David Patterson because of the way he handled Caroline Kennedy’s possible appointment to the U.S. Senate? 5% Much more favorable 10% Somewhat more favorable 26% Somewhat less favorable 23% Much less favorable 26% Not sure 18* Do you think David Patterson’s decision to appoint Kirsten Gillibrand to the U.S. Senate was a good choice, or did he make a mistake? 35% It was a good choice 35% It was a mistake 30% Not sure 19* Kirsten Gillibrand is close to David Patterson. Does this make you more or less likely to vote for her for U.S. Senator? 8% Much more likely to vote for her 20% Somewhat more likely 25% Somewhat less likely 17% Much less likely 30% Not sure 20* Generally speaking, do you want the person who is elected U.S. Senator from New York to be close to Governor Patterson, or independent from Governor Patterson? 16% Close to Governor Patterson 72% Independent from Governor Patterson 12% Not sure 7 Constituencies and the U.S. Senate Seat 21* How important do you think it is to elect a woman to the Senate seat that Hillary Clinton held? 31% Very important 23% Somewhat important 23% Not very important 21% Not at all important 2% Not sure 22* How important do you think it is to elect an upstate New Yorker to the Senate in the upcoming election? 29% Very important 15% Somewhat important 34% Not very important 16% Not at all important 5% Not sure 23* Does Chuck Schumer’s support for Kirsten Gillibrand make you more or less likely to vote for her? 22% Much more likely to vote for her 36% Somewhat more likely 13% Somewhat less likely 9% Much less likely 21% Not sure 24* How important is it to elect a candidate to the U.S. Senate who has represented diverse communities and minority neighborhoods during his or her career? 43% Very important 32% Somewhat important 16% Not very important 4% Not at all important 6% Not sure 25* How important is it for you to elect someone to the U.S. Senate from your part of the state? 44% Very important 28% Somewhat important 8 18% Not very important 7% Not at all important 3% Not sure 26* How important is it to pass an Equal Rights Amendment to the United States Constitution, which would guarantee that equal rights under any federal, state or local law could not be denied on the account of sex? 67% Very important 17% Somewhat important 6% Not very important 7% Not at all important 3% Not sure 9 Profiles I’m going to read you some information about three candidates who are currently running or have expressed interest in running for the Democratic nomination for New York Senator in 2010. After each paragraph, please tell me if it makes you much more likely, somewhat more likely, somewhat less likely or much less likely to vote for that person for U.S. Senator. Carolyn Maloney 27* Since 1993, Congresswoman Carolyn Maloney has been standing for the interests of New York City in Congress. During the 110th Congress, she introduced more pieces of legislation than any other House Member. As a leader of this country, she has made large strides in the areas of financial services, the economy, national security and women’s issues. She has fought tirelessly for full federal assistance to help New York City rebuild from 9/11. She has led the fight against credit card companies during these difficult economic times, fighting unfair fees and marketing practices. Maloney has also led Congress in reforming federal homeland security assistance distribution to send more money back to New York State. 25% Much more likely to vote for her 40% Somewhat more likely 11% Somewhat less likely 7% Much less likely 17% Not sure Kirsten Gillibrand 28* Senator Kirsten Gillibrand is a dedicated, tireless public servant and a lifelong New Yorker who is focused on these challenging economic times facing our state and our country. Governor David Patterson appointed Gillibrand to fill the Senate seat vacated by Hillary Clinton in January 2009. Since then, Gillibrand has helped expand health insurance for uninsured children, supported President Obama’s economic recovery plan, and secured billions of dollars to create jobs in New York. Before joining the Senate, Gillibrand served in Congress representing New York’s 20th Congressional District. 18% Much more likely to vote for her 38% Somewhat more likely 15% Somewhat less likely 10 7% Much less likely 22% Not sure Carolyn McCarthy 29* After her husband was murdered on the Long Island Rail Road, Congresswoman Carolyn McCarthy set out to bring change by running for Congress in 1996. She has built a reputation as a successful and hardworking legislator, serving as a senior member on the Education and Labor Committee and Chairwomen of the Healthy Families and Communities Subcommittee. On these committees, she works to provide tax cuts for working families, stimulate the economy, promote investment, make certain that every child has an excellent education, protect her constituents’ savings and pensions, and keep guns out of schools and away from criminals. 29% Much more likely to vote for her 39% Somewhat more likely 11% Somewhat less likely 7% Much less likely 15% Not sure 11 Arguments for Carolyn Maloney Now I’m going to read you some arguments that have been made in support of Carolyn Maloney.