Discussion Paper 29/2014 From Combustion Engines to Electric Vehicles A Study of Technological Path Creation and Disruption in Germany Tilman Altenburg Joint project with: Tsinghua University School of Public Policy and Management From combustion engines to electric vehicles A study of technological path creation and disruption in Germany Tilman Altenburg Bonn 2014 Discussion Paper / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik ISSN 1860-0441 Die deutsche Nationalbibliothek verzeichnet diese Publikation in der Deutschen Nationalbibliografie; detaillierte bibliografische Daten sind im Internet über http://dnb.d-nb.de abrufbar. The Deutsche Nationalbibliothek lists this publication in the Deutsche Nationalbibliografie; detailed bibliographic data is available in the Internet at http://dnb.d-nb.de. ISBN 978-3-88985-654-8 Tilman Altenburg, Head of Department “Sustainable Economic and Social Development”, Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik / German Development Institute (DIE), Bonn E-mail:
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[email protected] www.die-gdi.de Abstract Mitigating climate change by reducing carbon emissions is one of the biggest and most complex issues the world has ever faced. Technological innovation plays a major role in taking on this challenge. Old and new industrial powers alike are increasingly reforming their policy frameworks to encourage low-carbon investment and innovation. The research project “Technological trajectories for low-carbon innovation in China, Europe and India” explored to what extent, how and why technological pathways differ across countries. Case studies were conducted in electromobility and wind power technologies. Evolutionary economics has demonstrated how initial choices of technologies and institutions preclude certain options at later stages; hence, innovations evolve in an incremental and cumulative way, resulting in context-specific technological pathways.