Overview of Recent Shipping Activities Along the Northern Sea Route
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Northern Sea Route Cargo Flows and Infrastructure- Present State And
Northern Sea Route Cargo Flows and Infrastructure – Present State and Future Potential By Claes Lykke Ragner FNI Report 13/2000 FRIDTJOF NANSENS INSTITUTT THE FRIDTJOF NANSEN INSTITUTE Tittel/Title Sider/Pages Northern Sea Route Cargo Flows and Infrastructure – Present 124 State and Future Potential Publikasjonstype/Publication Type Nummer/Number FNI Report 13/2000 Forfatter(e)/Author(s) ISBN Claes Lykke Ragner 82-7613-400-9 Program/Programme ISSN 0801-2431 Prosjekt/Project Sammendrag/Abstract The report assesses the Northern Sea Route’s commercial potential and economic importance, both as a transit route between Europe and Asia, and as an export route for oil, gas and other natural resources in the Russian Arctic. First, it conducts a survey of past and present Northern Sea Route (NSR) cargo flows. Then follow discussions of the route’s commercial potential as a transit route, as well as of its economic importance and relevance for each of the Russian Arctic regions. These discussions are summarized by estimates of what types and volumes of NSR cargoes that can realistically be expected in the period 2000-2015. This is then followed by a survey of the status quo of the NSR infrastructure (above all the ice-breakers, ice-class cargo vessels and ports), with estimates of its future capacity. Based on the estimated future NSR cargo potential, future NSR infrastructure requirements are calculated and compared with the estimated capacity in order to identify the main, future infrastructure bottlenecks for NSR operations. The information presented in the report is mainly compiled from data and research results that were published through the International Northern Sea Route Programme (INSROP) 1993-99, but considerable updates have been made using recent information, statistics and analyses from various sources. -
Revisiting Trans-Arctic Maritime Navigability in 2011–2016 from the Perspective of Sea Ice Thickness
remote sensing Article Revisiting Trans-Arctic Maritime Navigability in 2011–2016 from the Perspective of Sea Ice Thickness Xiangying Zhou 1,2, Chao Min 1,2 , Yijun Yang 1,2, Jack C. Landy 3,4, Longjiang Mu 5 and Qinghua Yang 1,2,* 1 Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Zhuhai), School of Atmospheric Sciences, Sun Yat-sen University, Zhuhai 519082, China; [email protected] (X.Z.); [email protected] (C.M.); [email protected] (Y.Y.) 2 Key Laboratory of Tropical Atmosphere-Ocean System, Ministry of Education, Zhuhai 519082, China 3 Department of Physics and Technology, UiT The Arctic University of Norway, 9037 Tromsø, Norway; [email protected] 4 Bristol Glaciology Centre, School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 1 HB, UK 5 Qingdao Pilot National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology, Qingdao 266237, China; [email protected] * Correspondence: [email protected] Abstract: Arctic navigation has become operational in recent decades with the decline in summer sea ice. To assess the navigability of trans-Arctic passages, combined model and satellite sea ice thickness (CMST) data covering both freezing seasons and melting seasons are integrated with the Arctic Transportation Accessibility Model (ATAM). The trans-Arctic navigation window and transit time are thereby obtained daily from modeled sea ice fields constrained by satellite observations. Our results indicate that the poorest navigability conditions for the maritime Arctic occurred in 2013 and 2014, particularly in the Northwest Passage (NWP) with sea ice blockage. The NWP has generally Citation: Zhou, X.; Min, C.; Yang, Y.; exhibited less favorable navigation conditions and shorter navigable windows than the Northern Landy, J.C.; Mu, L.; Yang, Q. -
Arctic Marine Transport Workshop 28-30 September 2004
Arctic Marine Transport Workshop 28-30 September 2004 Institute of the North • U.S. Arctic Research Commission • International Arctic Science Committee Arctic Ocean Marine Routes This map is a general portrayal of the major Arctic marine routes shown from the perspective of Bering Strait looking northward. The official Northern Sea Route encompasses all routes across the Russian Arctic coastal seas from Kara Gate (at the southern tip of Novaya Zemlya) to Bering Strait. The Northwest Passage is the name given to the marine routes between the Atlantic and Pacific oceans along the northern coast of North America that span the straits and sounds of the Canadian Arctic Archipelago. Three historic polar voyages in the Central Arctic Ocean are indicated: the first surface shop voyage to the North Pole by the Soviet nuclear icebreaker Arktika in August 1977; the tourist voyage of the Soviet nuclear icebreaker Sovetsky Soyuz across the Arctic Ocean in August 1991; and, the historic scientific (Arctic) transect by the polar icebreakers Polar Sea (U.S.) and Louis S. St-Laurent (Canada) during July and August 1994. Shown is the ice edge for 16 September 2004 (near the minimum extent of Arctic sea ice for 2004) as determined by satellite passive microwave sensors. Noted are ice-free coastal seas along the entire Russian Arctic and a large, ice-free area that extends 300 nautical miles north of the Alaskan coast. The ice edge is also shown to have retreated to a position north of Svalbard. The front cover shows the summer minimum extent of Arctic sea ice on 16 September 2002. -
Melting Ice Caps and the Economic Impact of Opening the Northern Sea Route
Melting Ice Caps and the Economic Impact of Opening the Northern Sea Route Eddy Bekkers1, Joseph F. Francois*2, and Hugo Rojas-Romagosa3 1University of Bern 2University of Bern and CEPR 3CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis May 2015 Abstract A consequence of melting Arctic ice caps is the commercial viability of the Northern Sea Route, connecting North-East Asia with North-Western Europe. This will represent a sizeable reduction in shipping distances and a decrease in the average transportation days by around one-third compared to the currently used Southern Sea Route. We examine the economic impact of the opening of the Northern Sea Route in a multi-sector Eaton and Kortum model with intermediate linkages. This includes a remarkable shift of bilateral trade flows between Asia and Europe, diversion of trade within Europe, heavy shipping traffic in the Arctic, and a substantial drop in traffic through Suez.These global trade changes are reflected in real income and welfare effects forthe countries involved. The estimated redirection of trade has also major geopolit- ical implications: the reorganisation of global supply chains within Europe and between Europe and Asia, and the highlighted political interest and environ- mental pressure on the Arctic. Keywords: Northern Sea Route, trade forecasting, gravity model, CGE models, trade and emissions JEL Classification: R4, F17, C2, D58, F18 1 Introduction Arctic ice caps have been melting as a result of global warming (Kay et al., 2011; Day et al., 2012). The steady reduction of the Arctic sea ice has been well documented (Rodrigues, 2008; Kinnard et al., 2011; Comiso, 2012), and there is broad agreement on continued ice reductions through this century (Wang and Overland, 2009, 2012; *Corresponding author; e-mail: [email protected] 1 Vavrus et al., 2012).1 Recent satellite observations, furthermore, suggest that the climate model simulations may be underestimating the melting rate (Kattsov et al., 2010; Rampal et al., 2011). -
ABS Advisory on Navigating the Northern Sea Route
Navigating the Northern Sea Route Status and Guidance RosRRoo atoaatttoomflmfl otot Our Mission The mission of ABS is to serve the public interest as well as the needs of our clients by promoting the security of life and property and preserving the natural environment. Health, Safety, Quality & Environmental Policy We will respond to the needs of our clients and the public by delivering quality service in support of our mission that provides for the safety of life and property and the preservation of the marine environment. We are committed to continually improving the effectiveness of our health, safety, quality and environmental (HSQE) performance and management system with the goal of preventing injury, ill health and pollution. We will comply with all applicable legal requirements as well as any additional requirements ABS subscribes to which relate to HSQE aspects, objectives and targets. Navigating the Northern Sea Route Advisory Introduction ................................................................................................................................2 Section 1: The Northern Sea Route (NSR) ...................................................................................................4 Section 2: The Arctic Environment ..............................................................................................................5 Section 3: NSR Regulations ..........................................................................................................................8 Section 4: Winterization .............................................................................................................................13 -
The Opening of the Transpolar Sea Route: Logistical, Geopolitical, Environmental, and Socioeconomic Impacts
Marine Policy xxx (xxxx) xxx Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Marine Policy journal homepage: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/marpol The opening of the Transpolar Sea Route: Logistical, geopolitical, environmental, and socioeconomic impacts Mia M. Bennett a,*, Scott R. Stephenson b, Kang Yang c,d,e, Michael T. Bravo f, Bert De Jonghe g a Department of Geography and School of Modern Languages & Cultures (China Studies Programme), Room 8.09, Jockey Club Tower, Centennial Campus, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong b RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, CA, USA c School of Geography and Ocean Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 210023, China d Jiangsu Provincial Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, 210023, China e Collaborative Innovation Center for the South Sea Studies, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 210023, China f Scott Polar Research Institute, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK g Graduate School of Design, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, USA ABSTRACT With current scientifc models forecasting an ice-free Central Arctic Ocean (CAO) in summer by mid-century and potentially earlier, a direct shipping route via the North Pole connecting markets in Asia, North America, and Europe may soon open. The Transpolar Sea Route (TSR) would represent a third Arctic shipping route in addition to the Northern Sea Route and Northwest Passage. In response to the continued decline of sea ice thickness and extent and growing recognition within the Arctic and global governance communities of the need to anticipate -
Maintaining Arctic Cooperation with Russia Planning for Regional Change in the Far North
Maintaining Arctic Cooperation with Russia Planning for Regional Change in the Far North Stephanie Pezard, Abbie Tingstad, Kristin Van Abel, Scott Stephenson C O R P O R A T I O N For more information on this publication, visit www.rand.org/t/RR1731 Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data is available for this publication. ISBN: 978-0-8330-9745-3 Published by the RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, Calif. © Copyright 2017 RAND Corporation R® is a registered trademark. Cover: NASA/Operation Ice Bridge. Limited Print and Electronic Distribution Rights This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. This representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized posting of this publication online is prohibited. Permission is given to duplicate this document for personal use only, as long as it is unaltered and complete. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of its research documents for commercial use. For information on reprint and linking permissions, please visit www.rand.org/pubs/permissions. The RAND Corporation is a research organization that develops solutions to public policy challenges to help make communities throughout the world safer and more secure, healthier and more prosperous. RAND is nonprofit, nonpartisan, and committed to the public interest. RAND’s publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors. Support RAND Make a tax-deductible charitable contribution at www.rand.org/giving/contribute www.rand.org Preface Despite a period of generally heightened tensions between Russia and the West, cooperation on Arctic affairs—particularly through the Arctic Council—has remained largely intact, with the exception of direct mil- itary-to-military cooperation in the region. -
Arctic Navigation: Reflections on the Northern Sea Route
Chapter 19 Arctic Navigation: Reflections on the Northern Sea Route Said Mahmoudi* Introduction International interest in the Arctic Ocean has increased since the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) entered into force in 1994. The reason is the greater attention now being paid to the consequences of global warming1 and the new possibilities opening up due to climate change. Access to resources, including previously unknown biological ones, and increased use of navigational routes, are just two of such possibilities. One example of this increased attention to the Arctic waters is the meeting of the ministers of transport of Japan, China and South Korea in Yokohama on 25 August 2014. Their purpose was to agree on an arrangement for the safety of ship operations in Arctic waters and to establish an efficient logistic system in that area. This was the fifth recent meeting of these ministers about Arctic navigation. The two main sea routes in the Arctic Ocean today are the Northwest Passage, which runs along the northern coast of North America, and the Northeast Passage, which follows the coasts of Norway, Russia and Alaska. The major part of its Russian section, the Northern Sea Route, is the focus of this paper. A third route, the Central Arctic Ocean Route, which is in interna- tional waters, is considered as a potential trans-Arctic transport seaway. The Northern Sea Route is the most attractive option for transport due to its more favorable ice conditions and available infrastructure, including nuclear- powered ice breakers. This may be compared with the Northwest Passage with relatively scant infrastructure2 for shipping and perhaps lack of clear * Professor of International Law, Stockholm University. -
Shipping and Resources in the Arctic Ocean: a Hemispheric Perspective1
247 Shipping and Resources in the Arctic Ocean: A Hemispheric Perspective1 Willy Østreng2 With the melting of Arctic sea ice as a result of climate changes, there has been an intensification of interest, and use, of Arctic waters for shipping. This article seeks to do two things: first, define and compare the transport passages of the Arctic Ocean on the basis of their geographical features, natural conditions, political significance, and legal characteristics displaying their distinctions, interrelations and eventual overlaps focusing on the Northeast Passage, of which the Northern Sea Route is the main part; the Northwest Passage; and the Trans Polar Passage. And second, to discuss how Arctic passages connect or may connect to world markets through transport corridors in southern waters. The article concludes by examining the more likely prospects for Arctic shipping in the short, medium and long term. It is claimed that the most important contribution of geopolitics to the analysis of foreign policy stems from the pedagogic of the strategic atlas: how world images of states are conditioned by their own geographical location and horizon; how technological changes transform the strategic significance of an area; and how supply lines for energy and mineral resources tie regions together displaying their vulnerabilities as well as their interdependencies (Østerud 1996: 325). The geographical area addressed in this article is the space of the Arctic Ocean which can only be adequately understood if the strategic atlas for the region is further specified and supplemented. In terms of location the Arctic Ocean is situated in between three continents; it is assumed to be abundantly rich in oil and gas; and its sea ice regime is dwindling due to global warming. -
The Northern Sea Route: the Myth of Sino-Russian Cooperation
The Northern Sea Route: The Myth of Sino-Russian Cooperation Yun Sun Co-Director, East Asia Program Introduction Since 2017, a series of events have raised optimism about the potential for Sino-Russian cooperation in the Arctic region, including unilateral and bilateral statements between Beijing and Moscow about their shared vision for and commitment to joint development of the Arctic energy resources and shipping lane. China’s economic interests in natural resources extractions and alternative transportation routes largely align with Russia’s stated goals to revitalize its Arctic territory. After China formally launched its “Polar Silk Road” (PSR) at the beginning of 2018, much attention has been placed on Sino-Russian cooperation in the development of the Northern Sea Route, Russia’s traditional Arctic shipping route. The Sino-Russian cooperation on the Arctic seems have become the upcoming great new chapter in their comprehensive strategic coordinative relations (全面战略协作伙伴关系).1 Despite the rhetorical enthusiasm from the two governments, concrete, substantive joint projects on the Northern Sea Route are lacking, especially in key areas such as infrastructure development. A careful examination of Chinese views on joint development of the Northern Sea Route reveals divergent interests, conflicting calculations and vastly different cost-benefit analyses. From the Chinese perspective, the joint development of the Northern Sea Route is a Russian proposal to which China reacted primarily out of strategic and political considerations rather than practical economic ones. While China is in principle interested in the Northern Sea Route, the potential and practicality of this alternative transportation route remains tentative and yet to be realized. -
Plate 1. the Colville River Drainage Basin, Which Is Approximately 100
Plate 1. The Colville River drainage basin, which is approximat ely 100 tim es th e size of its delta, covers 29% of the North ern Slope of Alaska. Unlike the larger dr ainage basin s in th e Arctic, that of th e Colville is entire ly confined to th e zone of cont inuos permafrost . Du ring floodin g, th e sa line wate r th at has intruded into th e cha nnels is flushed out and a freshwater wedge is creat ed in the ocean in front of th e delta. Journal of Coastal Research 718-738 Royal Palm Beach, Florida Summer 1998 Arctic Deltas H. Jesse Walker Department of Geography Louisiana State University Baton Rouge, LA 70803, U.S.A. ABSTRACT_•••••••••••••••••••••••••••_ WALKER, H.J., 1998. Arctic Deltas. Journal of Coastal Research, 14(3),718-738. Royal Palm Beach (Florida), ISSN ,tllllllll:. 0749-0208. ~ ~. Arctic river deltas are among the most unique and fragile of deltas to be found on earth. Leading to this uniqueness ~ ~ and fragility are the interactions between geologic, oceanographic, climatologic, biologic, and cryospheric activities c+ &__7t' that occur in high latitudes. These interactions are analyzed at both regional and local levels with respect to their influence on delta formation. Specific morphological forms, such as ice-wedge polygons, and processes, such as ther moerosion, that are associated with permafrost are identified. Arctic deltas, including the Ob, Lena, Yenisey, Mac kenzie, Yukon and Colville, are discussed illustrating the diverse range of variables affecting deltaic processes. Vari ables considered include age, size, shape, discharge, sediment load and surface forms. -
Arctic Shipping: the Northern Sea Route P&I Insurance Faqs
ARCTIC SHIPPING: THE NORTHERN SEA ROUTE ARCTIC SHIPPING: P&I INSURANCE FAQs The Northern Sea Route (NSR), or North East Passage, runs along the Russian coast from the Atlantic to the Pacific through the Kara, Laptev, East Siberian, and Chukchi Seas, having the potential to significantly shorten voyage times between European and Far Eastern ports. The exact routing is variable and depends on the time of the year, ice conditions, and the size and draft of the ship in question. The route has long been Q: Does the UK Club have Q: What are the additional used by Russian shipping for any geographical limits risks from a P&I domestic purposes, but, with to exclude cover for polar perspective? climate change reducing levels risks? of Arctic sea ice, has been used (i) Operators of ships using for commercial voyages by No - the UK Club has no the NSR are at risk of incurring international shipping since 2009 geographical exclusions and liabilities arising from physical and numbers of such transits has been insuring P&I risks risks to the ship and crew, of have steadily increased. arising from Arctic trading for extreme weather, cold, and many years, through coverage ice conditions. Contact with The route is administered by of fleets based in Northern ice floes and icebergs, ice Russia’s Northern Sea Route and Far East Russia. It has also accretion, restricted visibility Administration (NSRA) under insured specialist exploration and operational malfunctions laws that were most recently vessels in Antarctic voyages and due to cold, can all potentially updated in 2013.