Document of The World Bank

FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Z-k IS 3S-S V-7 Public Disclosure Authorized /Z- Z- Z S(-/. Repon No. 9290-CHA

STAFF APPRAISAL REPORT Public Disclosure Authorized

IRRIGATEDAGRICULTURE INTENSIFICATIONPROJECT

APRIL 25, 1991 Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized China AgricultureOperations Division Country Department III Asia Regional Office

This document has a resicted distributionand may be used by reCipientsonly in the performanceof their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed witboutWorld Bank authorization. CURRENCY EOUIVALENTS (As of January 1, 1991)

Currency Unit - Yuan (Y) US$1.00 = Y5.22 Y1.00 = US$0.1916

FISCL YEAR

January 1 to December 31

WEIGHTS AND MEASURES

1 meter (m) = 3.28 feet (ft) 1 cubic meter (cu m) - 35.31 cubic feet 1 kilometer (km) = 0.62 miles 1 hectare (ha) = 2.47 acres 1 mu = 0.067 ha 1 ton (t) = 1,000 kg = 2,205 pounds (lbs) 1 kg = 2.2 pounds (lbs)

ABBREVIATIONS AMD ACRONYMS

ABC - Agricultural Bank of China CAAS - China Academy of Agr~icultural Sciences CATEC - County Agrotechnical Extension Center CMS - Cubic meters per second cNIEC - China Machinery Import & Export Corporation CMS - Cubic meters per second CPCP - Central Project Coordinating Office CPSG - Central Project Steering Group DAP - Diammonium phosphate GOC - Government of China ICB - International competitive bidding IPM - Integrated pest management ITC - International Tendering Company LCB - Local competitive bidding M&E - Monitoring & Evaluation MOF - Ministry of Finance MWR - Ministry of Water Resources NCS - North China Plain PEPB - Provincial Environmental Protection Bureau PMO - Project Management Office SMC - Supplies and Marketing Cooperatives SNWT - South-North Water Transfer SOE - Statement of Expenditure TATES - Township Agrotechnical Extension Station ClIMA

IRRIGATED AGRICULTURE INTENSIFICATION PROJECT

Table of Content.

Page No.

I. BACKGROUND ...... 1 Introduction ...... I Irrigated Agriculture in China ...... I1.* Institutional Aspects of Irrigation ...... 2 Policies and Plans for Grain Production ...... 5 Agriculture in the North China Plain ...... 6 Bank Group Strategy and Role in Irrigated Agriculture ... 6 Rationale for Bank Group Involvment ...... 7

II. THE PROJECT AREAS ...... 8 Location . ... 8 Climate, Topography and Soils ...... 8 Population, Labor, Farm Size and Land Use ...... 9 Rural Incomes and Poverty ...... 9 Agricultural Development ...... 10 Water Resources and Irrigation ...... 12 InstitutionalSupport ...... 15 Infrastructure...... 19

III. THE PROJECT ...... 20 Objectives ...... 20 Irrigation and Drainage ...... 20 Agricultural Intensification ...... 26 Trai.ning and Technical Ass ictance .... 29 Water Supply, Demand and Quality ...... 30 Design Status and Standards .... 31 Environmental Impact ...... 31 Implementation Schedule ...... 33 Cost Estimates ...... 34 Financing ...... 36 Procurement ...... 36 Disbursements . . *. .o ...... 38 Accounts and Audits ...... 39

Thisrepot isbaend on the findingpof a pre-appraisl nission in Nov. 1989comprising A. Ody (Mision Leader), L. S. Tay, W. P. fl;g (Bank/IDA),R. 1. Sun and S. McGurk (consultants);a technicalreWviw mnision in May 1990eomprising L. S. Tay (Mision Leader),W. P. flag, Usaid El-Hanbali(Bank/IDA) and S. McGurk (consultant)&.nd e- appriul mnisionin AuSust1990 conVrisingL. S. Tay (Mission Lader), W. P. rTng,El-Hsnbali, R. Vick (Bank/lDA),Tao Zhan and S. McGurk (consultants).Poer reviewersconrined Mess. A. Ody (AS3CO), H. Plusquellec(AGRPS), J. Berkoff(ASTAO), B. Van de Poll (AS4AG)and R. Derhpande(AS3AO). lbe AS3AG Division Chief is Mr. J. Goldbergand the Depautmentm Director is Mr. ShahidJ. Burki. Ms. V. Elliott also aeisted in the draftingof the SAR. Li

Page No.

IV. ORGANIZATION AND MANAGEMENT ...... 40 Project Organization ...... 40 Financial Management ...... 41 Execution and Supervision of Project Works ...... 42 Operation and Maintenance ...... 43 Project Launch Workshop .. .. 44 Monitoring, Evaluation and Reporting ...... o ...... 45

V. PRODUCTION, MARKETS AND PRICES ...... 45 Production ...... 45 Markets ...... 0...... 0...... 46 Marketing Channels ...... 48 Prices ...... 49

VI. ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS ..... 51 Benefits ...... 51 Employment and Incomes ..... 52 Cost Recovery ...... 52 Economic Analysis . .... 53 Risks .... .54

VI. AGREEMENTS REACHED AND RECOMMENDATIONS ...... 55

TABLES IN THE TEXT

Table2.1 - Area and Yield of Major Crops Table2.2 - South-NorthWater Transfer - Eastem Alignment Table3.1 - Improvementand Expansionof Irrig. Areas Table3.2 - Improvementand Expansion of Iig. Areas in Jiangsu Table 3.3 - Improvernentand Expansion of Irrig. Areas in Table3.4 - Improvementand Expansionof Irrig. Ars in Shandong Table3.5 - ProjectCost Summnary Table 3.6 - Project Financing Table3.7 - ProcurementProfile Table5.1 - CroppingPattem, Yields andProduction Table 6.1 - AnnualIncrenental StapleCrop Productionand Value Added

ANNEXES

1. Basic Provincial and Project Area Statistics Project Prefectures, Municipalities and Counties Climatic Data - Anhui, Jiangsu and Shandong Annual Hectarage Damaged by Drought and Waterlogging, 1970-89 Design Standards for Flood Control, Drainage and Irrigation List of Existing Dams/Reservoirs in Jinagau requiring Periodic Safety Inspections FOR OFFICIALUSE ONLY CH{INA

IRRIGATED AGRICULTURE INTENSIFICATIONPROJECT

Loan/Creditand Proiect Summary

Borrower: People's Republic of China

Beneficiaries: Provinces of Anhui, Jiangsu and Shandong

Amount: Loan US$147.1 million Credit SDR 139 million (US$187.9million equivalent)

Terms: Loan: 20 years maturity including 5-year grace period at variable interest rates. Credit: IDA standard terms with 35 years raaturity.

Onlendino Terms: From Ministry of Finance to Provinces of Anhui, Jiangsu and Shandong on terms and conditions satisfactoryto the BankjiDA. It is expected that the Ministry of Finance will onlend to the Provinces for 15 years including 5 years of grace with interest at 5 percent per annum, and from the provincialgovernments to prefectureand county governments at the same terms.

Objectives and Description: The principal objective is to assist the Government in increasingproduction of staple food and thereby increasing farm incomes for some 2.8 million rural families in the North China Plain. The project would: (a) improve and expand irrigationand drainage facilitiesto some 1.14 million ha of lowiand medium yielding land covering sections of 73 counties in the provinces of Anhui, Jiangsu and Shandong; (b) provide a complementarypackage of integrated agricultural inputs and support services to increase production; (c) provide institutionaldevelopment in technical skills, project implementationand management through technical assistance,operational research and training programs; and (d) implement an environmental monitoringmanagement program to sustain the projected agriculturalproductivity.

Benefits and Risks: About 1.14 million ha of low and medium yield land would have higher productivity. At full development,the project would produce about 2.5 million tons of grain, 56,300 tons ginned cotton, 82,600 tons oilcrops and 65,100 tons other crops with a total value of about US$528 million. Per capita income would increase by about 40% for 2.8 million farm families. About 450,000 per-_.,-yearemployment opportunitieswould be generated during the construction period. No major risks are foreseen.

This document has a restricteddistribution and may be used by recipientsonly in the performance of their officialduties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosedwithout WorldBank authorization. Estimated Cost:

Local Foreign Total …US $ million ---

Irrigation and Drainage 170.6 158.1 328.7 Agricultural Inputs 56.8 125.7 182.5 Institutional Development and Support 8.6 3.4 12.0

Total Base Cost 236.0 287.2 523.2 Physical Contingencies 12.9 16.3 29.2 Price Contingencies 9.4 31.2 40.6

Total Proiect Cost\l 258.3 334.7 593.0

Financino Plan:

Bank/IDA 335.0 Central Covernment 106.0 Provincial Govts. 46.4 Prefecture/Municipal Govts. 13.6 County/Township Govts. and self-raised funds 92.0

Total 593.0

Estimated Disbursements: (USS million)

Bank Group Fiscal Year 1992* 193 1994 199 1996 1997

Annual 52.6 87.0 79.6 54.0 38.0 23.8

Cumulative 52.6 139.6 219.2 273.2 311.2 335.0

Economic Rate of Return: 26.5% (overall)

Shandong Component: 24.0% Anhui Component: 26.4% Jiangsu Component: 28.7%

\I Projectis exempt from taxes and duties. * IncludesUSS15.0 million retroactive financing for works being carried out betweenNovember 1, 1990 and the date of signingof Loan/CreditAgeement. iii

2. Project Cost: - Project Cost Summary (Anhul, Jiangsu and Shandong) - Summary Account Cost Summary ( Three provinces) - Summary Account by Project Components (Three provinces) - Project Components by Year (Three provinces) Procurement of Machinery, Equipment and Materials (Three province.) Procurement Packaging and Scheduling (Three provinces) Estimated Disbursement Schedule and Profile Training, R*search and Technical Assistance Programs (Three provinces) Key Monitoring Indicators Proposed Bank/IDA Supervision Input

3. Cropps,d Areas, Yields and Production (Each province) Province-wide Crop Budgets (Each province) Summary of Farm Household Model Analysis Far Models (Each Province,) Rent and Cost Recovery Main Conversion Factors Used Border Prices for Principal Products and Inputs Economic Analysis: - Summary of Economic Analysis - Summary of Sensitivity Analysis - Econca:LcCash Flows - Whole Project - Emoncinic Cash Flows - Anhui Component - Economic Cash Flows - Jiangsu Component - Economic Cash Flows - Shandong Component Annual Not Tra%u in Principal Project Outputs, 1988-89 Crop Prices and Marketing, 1990-2000

4. Environmental Monitoring Program

5. Selected Documents and Data available in the Project File

FIGURES AND CHARTS

Figure No.1 - Basin Figure No.2 - Cropping Calendar Chart No.1 - Project Organization Chart No.2 - Implementation Schedules (Three provinces) Chart No.3 - Disbursements Schedule - Cumulative and Semester

IBRD No.22448 - Project Location IBRD No.22449 - Shandong Component IBDD No.22450 - Anhui Component IBRD No.22451 - Jiangsu Component Introduction

1.1 The Government of China has requested Bank/IDA assistance in financing a project to intensify irrigated agriculture in 73 counties in the Provinces of Anhui, Jiangsu and Shandong. The project's objective is to ameliorate poverty and increase staple crop production by expanding and rehabilitating irrigation schemes, so as to permit greater productivity on low yielding areas. In particular, project investments in irrigation and drainage systems would overcome the drought, waterlogging, soil salinity and flooding that currently constrain yields. Complementary support would be provided for agricultural inputs, extension, seed supply, soil improvement and land leveling, farm roads, and planting of windbreaks and shelter belts. A Bank/IDA mission identified the project in May 1989, and the GOC and three provincial governments began preparing detailed feasibility studies in August 1989. A Bank/IDA preparation mission took place in August 1989, a pre- appraisal mission in November 1989, a technical review mission in May 1990, and an appraisal mission in August-September 1990.

Irrijated Agriculture i' China

1.2 Agriculture in China provides sustenance for over 1.1 billion people; it is an important source of income for some 190 million farm families and accounts for about 30% of GDP. Only about 137 million ha of the country's 960 million ha of land area is arable. Farming systems are intensive, requiring heavy inputs of labor, fertilizers, small machinery and water. Nearly half of the cropped area in the country is irrigated. Food grains occupy about 70% of the total cropland and account for about one-third of agricultural output. Intensive farming has allowed China to meet the basic food requirements of its population and to produce an increasingly diverse mix of cash and commercial crops. China's rural reform program introduced in 1978 also has stimulated the agricultural sector. This program produced impressive growth and structural change by introducing the production responsibility system, increasing producer prices, and expanding the role of the market. The gross value of agricultural output increased by about 5% per year between 1978 and 1988.

1.3 The productivity of China's irrigated land is about twice that of its rainfed land. Irrigated agriculture accounts for about two-thirds of total grain production and three quarters of commercial crop production. irrigation allows both higher cropping intensities and higher yields. In China, it permits cropping intensities ranging from 1.2 in the northernmost areas to 2.5 to 3 in the southern provinces. Irrigation can generate average yields of 3 t/ha for wheat, 5.3 t/ha for rice, 3.9 t/ha for corn, 0.9 t/ha for cotton, and 1.4 t/ha for soybean. These yields place China among the highest yielding countries in Asia.

1.4 Develogment of Irriaation. A major achievement of the Chinese Government since 1949 is the rapid expansion of irrigated farmland that took place between the early 1950r and the mid-1980s. Through this expansion, the effectively irrigated area in the country increased from about 20 milllon ha in 1952 to 33 million ha in 1965, 45 milllon ha in 1976 and 48.5 million ha in 1984. This growth in irrigated area reflected the high priority attached to irrigation and agriculture in the State investment program, the ability of communes to mobilize rural inhabitants for labor-intensive construction projects, and the widespread 2

introduction of tubewell te_hnology for exploiting groundwater in the early 19700. Today, about 82% of the national irrigated area is fed by surface water and about 18% is fed by groundwater. China's irrigated lands are mainly located in the middle and lower reaches of seven major rive- basins. These basins cover the densely populated areas of the North, NortheaLt, East, South and Southeast.

1.5 Irrigation requirements vary considerably according to soil and hydrogeological conditions. These conditions also have influenced the rate and extent of irrigation development in the seven basins. In the nort>'est, Inner Mongolia, northern Tibet and over a large part of the upper and middle stretches of the , where annual rainfall is less than 400 mm, irrigation is a pre- requisite for the production of any crops. In the northeast, part of southwest and the North China Plain, where annual rainfall ranges from 400 to 1000 mm, irrigation needs vary annually and seasonally depending on the frequency and neverity of the monsoon. In the middle and lower stretches of the Yantze River, parts of the east, south and southeast where annual rainfall exceeds 1000 mm, irrigation is required only to supplement rainfall.

Institutional Aspects of Irrigation

1.6 Water Resource Agencies. As a principal department for water administration under the State Council, the central Ministry of Water Resources (MWR) is responsible for the overall water resources management - improvement and Jevelopment of major rivers, planning of water resources for major city water supply, basic construction of farmland irrigation facilities, water/soil conservancy, rural hydro-electricity supply, and construction and management of large and medium-size reservoirs used primarily for flood control, irrigation, water supply and rual hydro-electricity. The MWR employs about 1,337,000 workers' nationwide, approximately 7.5% of whom work directly under the MWR and 92.5% of whom work under provincial and local governments. The MWR also directly supervises the Water Resources and Hydroelectric Power Construction Corporation, and administers thirteen institutions of higher education and seven regional river basin commissions .2

1.7 Each Province maintains a Water Resource Bureau (WRB), responsible for the planning, survey, design, construction, operation and management of irrigation, drainage, flood control worksand rural hydro-electricity. Designs for major projects are prepared by the survey and design institutes of the provincial WRBas projects covering areas larger than 20,000 ha must be approved by the MWR. The provincial WRBs put forward annual water allocation schedules for major rivers, which are aggregated from prefectural and county proposals. The WRBs also handle actual water diversion for all rivers except the Yellow River, whose use is controlled directly by the Yellow River Commission. Capital construction companies under WRB control used to handle all construction works, although part of the job might be sub-contracted to lower-level units. over the last several years, the MWR has encouraged the WRBs to permit competitive bidding for all but the smallest projects.

1.8 WRBs at the prefecture and county levels are directly responsible for the construction and maintenance of most canals, associated irrigation and flood control structures and medium-size reservoirs. Townships and villages share

' Of which about 267,620 are female employeesand 230,340 are engineering and technical suff.

2Ths even commissionscover tde ,Yellow, Huai, K&i,Pearl, and Songhua/Lao Rivers andTaihu LakeBasin. 3 responsibility for constructing and maintaining branch ca.aals, ancillary works, and small reservoirs. Staff of the prefectural and county water resource bureaus are organized into irrigation areas or districts responsible for operating and maintaining projects, planning and distributing water, and levying water charges. At the township and village level, water users elect members to canal committees. These committees handle on-farm water management under the direction of irrigation district staff.

1.9 Water Resource Financing. Project funding for water resource development involving major river diversion or control and/or central government funding must be approved by the State Planning Commission (SPC). This approval is made in accordance with annual anid five-year plans and 'hen is channeled through the MWR to the provinces involved. In 1980, when state investment in w4ter resources was reduced, emphasis shifted away from new irrigation developments to the rehabilitation of existing projects. At the same time, provincial and local governments began to assume more responsibility for initiating and funding investments and operating and maintaining water resource projects. Before 1980, water charges were kept well below cost recovery. After 1980, policy shifts and rising producer prices and incomes led the MWR to encourage the WRBs to experiment with increasing water c'iarges. In 1985, the GOC prescribed a policy requiring all industrial, municipal and agricultural end-users to pay water charges based on full recovery of water supply costs. These costs included operation and management expenses, major repair costs, and depreciation. At the same time, the MWR reestablished obligations of local jurisdictions for contributed labor and wages in water resource projects, requirements which had been permitted to lapse during the early 1980s. Between 1984 and 1987, 19 provinces enacted their own regulations pertaining to water charges and conti.ibuted labor.

1.10 The new water charge systems have several drawbacks, however. First, the provincially mandated water charges are set below national levels and are not revised regularly. As a result, inflation has rapidly eroded their real value. Second, prefectures and counties continue to enjoy considerable flexibility in setting water charges. This flexibility give rise to inconsistent or unrealistic standards of maintenance and repair, and allows billings to fall below both national and provincial levels. The MWR estimates that assessed agricultural water charge levels in 1988 were only 40% of national standards, excluding projects managed by collectives or individuals below the township level. Third, collecting water charges continues to be a problem. In Anhui recent collection rates were only 50- 60% of billings and after Shandong raised agricultural water charges in 1988, collection levels fell from nearly 100% to only 44%.

1.11 Water Lecislation. China's Water Law, promulgated in April 1988, establishes principles for water resource development, affirms the existing institutional setting, sets general guidelines, and confirms technical standards pertaining to the survey, design, construction, operation and management of the water resource sector. The law also reinforces the principles and standards of water fee assessments, including a new water resource fee to be assessed in areas of competing public and private interests, and determines legal jurisdiction, water rights, methods for conflict arbitration, and penalties for violators. Although in practice this law has been fairly ineffective, it does uphold the principle of comprehensive control over scarce water resources and beneficiary responsibility for the financing of water resources project operation, maintenance, and capital costs. The MWR plans to establish a complete national water administration to enforce the new Water Law by 1991. So far, water supervisors and security personnel have been set up in one-third of China's counties to help execute the Water Law with the help 4 of local authorities.

1.12 Current Constraints in Irriaated agriculture. Despite past succesSe3, China now faces numerous problems in the irrigation sector. Many of the large schemes constructed in the 1950c and 1960s were hastily designed and built with low quality materials and equipment. Most now require major uApgrading or rehabilitation. Many of the echemes still lack drainage and irrigation networks at the tertiary and farm level--networks which were to have been constructed by local governments. Large t2lcts of cultivated land have been affected by waterlogging and secondary soil salinization as a result of excessive irrigation without effective drainage to control the rise of the water table. Because improvement works must be planned and implemented in an integrated manner for large contiguous blocks of land, large investments are needed. The uncontrolled construction of tubewells, prompted by gcvernment subsidies, th. low capital cost of construction and equipment, and low electricity charges for pumping has led to over-exploitation of groundwater, excessive drawdown of the water level and land subsidence, particularly in the North China Plain. Operation and maintenance have been inadequate in many areas. Resources allocated by the central and provincial governments frequently have not been matched adequately by funding from the counties and townships. The investment in and maintenance of on-farm facilities, formerly a communal responsibility during the slack winter season, has been disrupted by the introduction of the household production responsibility system, under which households tend to look after their contracted interests. Measures to alleviate some of these problems were curtailed by cutq in the Government budget for irrigation beginning in 1980. State capital iavestment in irrigation has rebounded somewhat since 1985 but still falls short of pre-1980 levels. The develoFment of new water resources has not kept pace with the growth in water demand from agri7ulture, industry, and urban centers.

1.13 China has achievad notable success in its support services sector, but here also there is much room for improvement, particularly on the low-yield and medium-yield lands.3 Many of these lands contain problem soils which are low in fer.ility (N and P), and subject to frequent drought, flooding and waterlogging. The prolonged use of farm machinery also has resulted in the creation of a hard pan 10 to 20 cm below the soil surface. A major program is under way to upgrade and strengthen the extension services in the country. However, so far, only about one- third of the 2,300 counties have established agrotechnical extension centers and 20% of the counties have no formal extension prograrm at all. ExtensA.on services need to move towards a client-supplier relationship, and offer a better quality service to producers. Linkages among research, training and extension remain very weak.

1.14 Seeds production and agromachinery services also need improving. Long range plans call for upgrading some 300 seed centers throughout China, but so far only 18 have been modernized, under the IDA-financed Seeds Project (Credit 1577- CHA). Quality control for seed production is inadequate and varietal purity has become a problem in some areas. Many of the county seed companies are poorly equipped and lack facilities such as seed stores, drying floors, laboratories, garages and transport vehicles. The extension and demonstration of quality seeds has been neglected. Agromachinery service centers are becoming increasingly important in helping to maintain small tractors, the type most commonly owned by farm households. The-e are some 37,000 collectively operated mechanization centers providing service to individual farmers. The centers also provide training to

3 Low-yieldland refers to eas with*nnual grain productionbelow 2.6 t/hb, medium-yieldland to areaswitb producdon from 2.6 to 3.8 t/ha. 5

operators of medium and large machinery used for land improvemant. Most of the centers still function with weak management, outdated facilities, and inadequate tools and equipment.

Policies and Plans for-Grain Productign

1.15 The Government plans to increase total grain production by 25%--from 400 million to 500 million tons--by the year 2000. This increase is required not only to feed the growing population, but also to provide raw mat-rials for livestock fed and other agro-processing activities. After experiencing extraordinary growth between 1979 and 1984, grain production stagnated at about 400 million tons per year since 1984. 4Although the changes in the incentive system brought about large one- time increases in output, there is little room for effecting additional increases purely through new policy reforms. Most of the availabli land already has been brought under cultivation, and newly reclaimed and irrigated areas generally are offset by the conversion of cultivated areas to non-agricultural use. The planned increase in grain production therefore must come largely from increased yields on land already under cultivation.

1.16 Under the GOC's plan, about 70 million of the 100 million tons of griiin required would be produced on irrigated land. Some 2.6 million ha of already high- yielding irrigated land could be further improved through the use of superior varieties, more fertilizer, and scientific and technological improvements. On another 12 million ha, the improvement of irrigation facilities could raise yields from low and medium levels to higher, more stable levels. Finally, some 2.6 million ha now under rainfed cultivation could be brought under irrigation. The remaining 30 million tons of incremental grain production would come from improvements in drainage, land preparation, fertilization, and cultural practices in rainfed areas.

1.17 Bringing new land under irrigation entails high capital costs. Because of this, the Government is attempting to increase production by upgrading and rehabilitating existing irrigation facilitiee. The potential for doing this varies by region. The south, with its high rainfall, may have already reached its full yield potential. Along the Yellow River, available water supplies for irrigation are increasingly constrained. Some locations in the northwest have promising potential, but the area is sparsely populatod and has poor transport links with the major markets. The North China Plain (NCP), with its good transport links and favorable soil and climatic conditions, has the greatest potential for yield increases. This area could potentially produce an additional 25 million tons of grain ant: ally and therefore is key to achieving the overall production objective. Indeed, ooveloping grain bases in the NCP is a priority in both the Seventh and Eighth Five-year Plans (1986-90 and 1991-199S). Moreover, the GOC recently established an Agricultural Development Fund (ADF)s to promote investment in selected areas6; the NCP is listed as the first of such areas to benefit from this fund.

' Due to favorableweather, a record harvestof 437 milliontons was achievedin 1990.

ITh ADF, esablishedunder theMinistry of Fmince, utilizesfunds collectodfrom the acquisition/utilizationof aicultura lands to develop compensatinglands for agricuture.

' 'hese arma includethe NCP, SongliaoPlain, Four Lagues in EauternInner Mongol; SouthemHunan, Southwest Jiangxi, Hetao, Hexi Corridor, Jianphn Plain nd coasl areasin southand southeast China. 6

Agricultur. in the North China Plain

1. 18 The North China Plain (NC?) 7 is China's most important agricultural region. It covers about 19.3 million ha of cultivable land in five provinces-- Anhui, Hebei, , Jiangsu, Shandong--and two cities--Beijing and Tianjin. The NCP has cropping intensity of 1.55% and a cropped area of 29.8 million ha. About 77% of this area is under food grains, of which the NCP produces some 83 million tons per year, or 20% of China's total production. Wheat is the main food grain produced, accounting for 37.5 million tons, or 44% of national production. Cotton is the area's most important cash crop. It is grown from April to November/December on about 9% of the cropped area and yields about 2.4 million tons of ginned cotton per year (57% of total national output). The NCP area also is important for oilseeds, producing about 3.6 million tons (17% of national output) on 1.8 million ha. The cropping pattern in most of the NCP area is wheat based. Wheat is grown from mid-September to the end of May or early June. Corn, soybean and peanuts are planted as soon as the wheat is harvested, from late April to mid-June. Oilseeds (mainly rapeseed) are grown from early September to late May. Rice is grown between April and September, on Shajiang black soil which is a heavy clay soil with very low permeability.

1.19 About 55% of the NCP's cultivated area--10.6 million ha--is irrigated. As a result of extensive investments starting in the 1950s, most surface water in the NCP is subject to some control and 70% of all groundwater is extracted. The NCP has about 250 medium and large reservoirs, 1.8 million tubewells, and a preliminary network of agricultural support services at the county and lower levels. Despite these advantages, however, about 80% (16.3 million ha) of the NCP's land area is classified as low and medium yielding. Some 2.4 million ha are affected by salinity, 2.3 million ha by waterlogging, and 1.4 million ha by sandy soils. Up to half of the runoff from major rivers is lost as a result of uncontrolled runoff during the flood and rainy seasons. Moreover, increases in population density and rapid economic growth have increased the demand for water in agricultural uses. Limited water resources--already exploited to the maximum in some areas--coupled with aging and incomplete water delivery systems, place serious constraints on the future development of agriculture in the area. To address these constraints the Government plans to invest further in water conservation measures which will improve the efficiency of water utilization.

1.20 By the year 2000, the Government plans to improve and expand irrigation and drainage facilities on some 15.6 million ha of existing low- and medium-yield lands and reclaim about 1.7 million ha of wasteland for crops, forestry, and livestock. As a result of these actions, the output of grain, cotton, and oilseeds is expected to increase by 2.7%, 3.3%, and 3.1%, annually between 1988 and 2000.

Bank GrouD Strateog and Role in Irricated Aariculture

1.21 The Bank Group's main strategy for lending to China's agricultural sector has been to suuport her long-term ob;ectives to increase production of food, feed, industrial crops and animal products to meet demands created by population and income growth, and to increase income and employment opportunities in rural areas. The Bank Group has supported to-date 25 operations involving a total assistance of about US$2.7 billion in the agricultural sector. Of this, about US$820 million is for irrigated agriculture which focuses on land devilopment, irrigation and

'Abo commownly knon as HusaagpHuai-Hai(3H) Plain, rmferdrg to theYellow River in its center, the HuaiRiver to its south, andthe to its north. 7

drainage, and upgrading of agricultural support services. Of particular significance in this context is the North China Plain Agriculture Project (Credit 1261-CHA), the second Bank Group operation in China and the firat agricultural operation. This project successfully introduced integrated irrigation/drainage and agricultural intensification in nine counties -- three in each of Shandong, Anhui and Henan Provinces. The project encompassed the development of soil and water resources, rural infrastructure, crops, forestry, and small scale agro-processing and village enterprises. The cropping intensity in the project area increased from 138% to 163%, and extraordinary yield increased were recorded and sustained. The economic benefits of the project exceeded those anticipated at appraisal; the ex 2ost ERR was 56%.

1.22 Some of the highly successful project features of the North China Plain Agriculture Project have been adopted (with appropriate modifications) in the planning and design of the proposed project. These include: techniques for reclaiming land affected by salinity and waterlogging; development of appropriate cropping pattern; guideline for the establishment of shelter belts, windbreaks, and border rows; and organizational arrangements for project implementation and management. The scil/water study results also provided a basis for evaluatinq the physical impact of project works. Project implementation experience and lessons learnt have been reflected in the design of the project. These include: use of techniques and technologies well tested locally and readily acceptable to farmers, early establishment of a highly decentralized project management structure with fully-staffed county FMOs playing the leading role; active participation by village and township levels in the initial planning and design of project activities; and creation of sense of "project ownership" among project beneficiaries through labor contribution for earthwork construction and O&M works.

1.23 Other lending operations for irrigated agriculture in China include the: Pishihang-Chaohu Area Development Project (Loan/Credit 2579/1606-CHA), Northern Irrigation Project (Credit 1885-CHA), Shaanxi Agricultural Development Project (Credit 1997-CHA), Shandong Agricultural Development Project (Credit 2017-CHA), and Hebei Agricultural Development Project (Credit 2159-CHA). The last three projects are in the early stages of implementation and most of their physical works have been completed on time or ahead of schedule. Disbursements also have been close to appraisal estimates. Notable features of the projects are the high standard of completed project works, the enthusiastic participation of farmers, and the effective collaboration of project staff at all levels.

Rationale for Bank Group Involvement

1.24 The proposed project would support the GOC's plan to increase the production of staple grains. This is the Government's highest priority for the agriculture sector, and the NCP is the area with the greatest potential to address that priority. The Bank's previous experience in this region confirms the region's high potential for yield increases. The Bank's support for crop production and peasant agriculture in the past has been directed primarily to projects in individual provinces. The present project, by contrast, addresses crop production problems over a large geographical area spanning three Provinces. This makes it possible for the project to have a broader impact than in provincial projects, and to introduce an integrated package of investments and inputs throughout the relevant agro-climatic zone. By increasing the agricultural productivity of large tracts of low- and medium-yield lands, the project would ameliorate poverty for some 2.8 million farm families and thereby address the income imbalance in the three Provinces (paras. 2.7 and 2.8). 8

1I1 TEE PROJECT ARCAS

Location

2.1 The project would be located in 73 counties spanning 3 provinces. These include 28 counties in the south and southwest of Shandong, 21 counties the north and northwest of Anhui, and 24 counties in northern Jiangsu. A list of the counties is presented in Annex 1, Table 2. The three Provinces and 73 counties have boon selected according to three criteria. First, these areas already have basic irrigation and drainage facilities in pl&ce. Second, the areas have large areas of low- and medium-yield land in contiguous blocks with the potential for yield increaset Third, the local governments and farmers in the area are highly committed to the project. The project area lies in the coastal plain of the Huai River Basin, which is bounded by the Yellow River to the north and the Huai River to the south (See IBRD Map 22448). The project has a total land area of about 2 million ha and cultivable land of about 1.1 million ha. The project area constitutes about one-third of the North China Plain. Additional data about the project area are given in Annex 1, Table 1.

Climate. Toggoraphv and Soils

2.2 The project area has a continental monsoon climate. Temperatures range from 400 C in the summer to -20° C in the winter; the annual mean temperature is 120 to 150 C. There are 200 to 220 frost-free days a year, and the annual average rainfall ranges from 620 mm to 1,000 mm. About 60% of the annual precipitation occurs during the monsoon period between June and September, frequently giving rise to waterlogging and flooding. Rainfall distribution is uneven both seasonally and annually, and make the project area prone to drought during spring and autumn, and flooding in summer.' Annual evaporation averages 1,000 to 1,200 mm. The area enjoys strong solar radiation (110-120 kilocalories/sq cm), and long periods of sunshine (2,000 to 2,600 hours annually). Climatic data for the project area covering the three Provinces are summarized in Annex 1, Table 3.

2.3 The project is sited on a flat alluvial plain--the forme river course and flood plain of the Yellow River. The plain has very little relief, except for a few small hills scattered along the northeastern section. The land slopes from west-northwest at the foothills of the Yan and Taihang/Funiu Mountains, where the elevation is about 50 m, downward to the So and Yellow Seas, where the elevation is less than 10 m. The slope ranges between 1: 5,000 and 1 10,000. Surface drainage is sluggish and the land is easily waterlogged.

2.4 There are five principal soil types in the project area --mottled sodic soil (26% of the project area), Shajiang black soil (38%), coarse to medium-grained silty loam (19%), brown meadow soil (12%), and sandy soil (5%). Most of the soils are low in fertility, deficient in nitrogen and phosphorous (<5 ppm) and low in organic matter content (0.5 - 1.0%), with pH values ranging from 6.5 to 8.0. When provided with adequate drainage, most of the

I Data on tc number of hectaresdamaged each year by droughtand wateroSging in Shandong,Anhui and Jiangsu provincesbetween 1970and 1988 an.presented in Annex I Table 4. 9

soil types are well suited to wheat, corn, and cotton production. With proper irrigation rice can also be grown on Shajiang black soil.

Population. Labor, Farm Sizo and Land Us.

2.5 The project area has about 2.8 million farm families with an average family size of 4 persons. This amounts to 11.2 million farm dwellers, or 93% of the total population in the project area (See Annex 1, Table 1). The rural labor force of the project area includes 5.3 million persons, or nearly 7% of the the total rural labor force in the three Provinces. At present, the rural labor force in the project area is estimated to be 30-40% underemployed. Women comprise somewhat less than half of the rural labor 2 force, Farm women are generally responsible for fertilizer application, weeding and hoeing, plant protection, drying, and collection of fuel wood. However, they also participate in most other farming tasks, particularly, harvest activities. The average farm size is 0.4 ha. On this small area a typical household will raise wheat, sweet potato, rape or cotton in the winter, and paddy, corn, or oil crops in the summer. Farmers practice double cropping or plant three crops in two years.3 Most families also rear chickens and pigs for their own consumption.

2.6 Forest cover ranges from 10% to 15% in the project areas.4 Most of the trees have been planted as shelter belts, border rows, and windbreaks along roads, canals, and drains. Poplars, locust, Chinese elm, Paulownia, and Metaseauoia are the most commonly planted species. Village households are responsible for establishing, maintaining, and caring for trees, as they derive most (70-80%) of the profit from sales of the harvested timber. Project counties can benefit from the experience in establishing forest cover gained under the North China Plain Agriculture Project and in pilot project areas of the NCP. Local Forestry Bureau offices are responsible for planning and organizing farmers in the development of forest belts in the project area. Most townships also have established nurseries.

Rural Incomes and Poverty

2.7 Rural Incomes. Unlike elsewhere in the three Provinces there are relatively few sources of off-farm income in the project areas, nearly 70% of on-farm income is derived from crop produ_.tion and about 20% is derived from livestock rearing.5 In 1988, the average rural per capita income in the project area was Y470 (US$100), 75% of the average for the three Provinces and 86% of the average for all of China. The average per capita rural income in the 7iangsu project area that year was Y509 (US$108), significantly less than in Jiangsu Province overall (Y797) and just 42% of .Yiangsu'surban per capita income. In Anhui the average per capita rural income in the project area that year was Y377 (US$80), 10% below the average for the project counties and just 78% of the provincial average. In Shandong, the average per capita rural

2 In Shandongproject areas womencomprise only 41% of the laborforce.

3 7he avenge multiplecropping index is 166%.

4 Jiangsu 10%, Shandong12%, andAnhui 15%.

In 1988,the followingwasthe compositionofGrossValue of AgriculturalOutput in theproject aeas: coppig69%, livestock19%, sidelines8%, forestry 2% and fisheries2%, sweAnnex 1, Table 1, 10

income in the project area was Y491 (US$104), 16% lower than the provincial average of Y583 (US$124).

2.8 Rural Poverty. However, even these relatively disaggregated averages obscure the extreme poverty and consequent social ills--poor housing, inadequate diets, illiteracy, and health problems--found in selected project areas. For example, in the well irrigated project areas in Haze prefecture in Shandong, rural per capita income is only Y339 (US$65), 54% of the average in the three Provinces and 62% of the national average.' Similarly, in several Anhui project areas, rural per capita incomes are far below the average for project areas in the Province. In Mengcheng county project areas, rural per capita income in 1988 averaged Y203 (US$39), 54% of the average for the project areas in the Province, 43% of the average for project areas in the three Provinces, and only 37% of the national average.7 In the Guannan county project areas of Jiangsu Province, rural per capita income in 1988 was Y252 (USS48), 50% of the average for project areas in the Province, 54% of the average for project areas in the three Provinces, and 46% of the national average.8 It is remarkable that such poverty exists within three of China's wealthier provinces. Rural per capita income in the three Provinces, overall is much higher than in these selected project areas.

2.9 The rural poverty observed in selected project areas of the three Provinces can be attributed to four conditions: (a) poor natural resource endowments -- infertile lands with limited water resources; (b) susceptibility to floods, drought, and unpredictably severe weather; (c) poor infrastructure and communications, which restricts opportunities to learn about new agricultural technologies; and (d) an underdeveloped commercial infrastructure, which limits incentives for farm production.

Auricultural Develooment

2.10 About 1.14 million ha of the project area is cultivated, and of this cultivated area about 45% is either fully or partially irrigated. The overall cropping intensity is 1.65. About 1.52 million ha (including coarse grains) is sown to food grains, primarily wheat and corn, and 48% of the sown area is under partial irrigation. Per capita grain production is about 475 kg. This is slightly more than the provincial average (443 kg) because of the net surplus of grain in Jiangsu and Anhui (see para. 5.5). Cotton is the second most important crop in the project area. It covers about 146,600 ha, 55% of which is under irrigation. Other crops include oilseeds (rape and peanut) on about 88,500 ha, and vegetables and fruits on 57,500 ha. The areas and yields of major crops are summarized in Table 2.1 below.

6 In addition, 9% of the populationage 15-40is illiterate,rural housingis provided mostly in the form of mud homes, clinics are insufficient,and 3-S youngmen in every villageseem to experiencedifficulty finding wives asyoung Heze womenprefer to marry out andother non-Hezewomen opt not to marry in.

7 In Wngshang county project areas, rural pce. capita incomein 1988 was Y238 (USS50);in Funan county project areas,Y255 (USS54);and in Linquancounty project areas,Y262 (USS56). These ures represent44%, 47% and 48% of the nationalaverage, respectively.

8 Other poor project areas in Jiangsu includeXlanrlhui, Liangshud,Suineng and Shuyang counties,with rural per .apita incomesof Y352 (44% of Jiangsu's rural per capitaaverage), Y379 (48%), Y392 (49%) and Y395 (50%), respectively. 11

Table 2.1: Area and Yield of Maior Crope

Cropoed Area % Irria. Yield (000 ha) (t/ha)

Wheat 755.7 44 3.7

Corn 248.9 69 4.2

Rice 149.6 100 5.7

Cotton 146.6 55 0.8

Oilseeds 88.5 41 1.7

Vegetables/Melons 57.5 50 29.2

2.11 There is potential for increasing the yields of the crops listed above. In 1984, the Science and Technology Commission and the Ministry of Agriculture appointed the Agricultural Economic Research Institute, CAAS, to carry out research on production constraints in the North China Plain. Twenty pilot areas were selected for integrated research on crop husbandry, cropping patterns and rotations, soil improvement, quality seeds, irrigation and drainage works, green manure/fodder in rotation, and the establishment of shelter belts and windbreaks. The results show that yields of food grain on research plots can be up to 75% higher than those noted above. Even on extension plots managed by farmers, yields can be increased by as much as 35% for food grain as well as for cotton.

2.12 As shown in Table 2.1, the main crops grown in the project areas are food grains (80%), cotton (7%), and cash crops (13%)--mainly peanuts, oilseeds, vegetables, and fruits. The principal crop rotation in the rainfed areas is winter wheat followed by course grains or sweet potato. Rainfed cotton covers about 5% of the area. For partially irrigated areas the most prevalent cropping pattern is winter wheat followed by corn, soybean, or peanuts.

2.13 The yields of most crops are below average for the province. The yields of wheat vary from 3.0 to 3.8 t/ha in lower yielding rainfed areas to 3.7 to 4.0 t/ha in partially irrigated areas. Cotton shows little variation in yield between rainfed and partially irrigated areas, averaging 0.8 t/ha (lint cotton) under both conditions. The low yields are mainly attributed to poor soil fertility, less than optimum inputs such as fertilizers, and lack of improved varieties. The fertilizer efficiency rate is only about 30% (half that of developed countries). There is a need for more site specific varieties. The number of improved varieties developed in still insufficient to cater to the different soil types, climatic conditions, and resistance required to major pests. Most farmers still continue to use their own seeds-- a practice which reduces the quality of materials--and county seed companies can only meet a fraction of the demand for seeds. Hybrid seeds, on the other hand, are gaining popularity among farmers. Although much has been accomplished in developing improved varieties of hybrid food grain and cotton seeds, much more remains to be done in exploiting the superior genetic materials found locally and overseas. 12

2.14 A good start has been made in applying integrated pest management (IPM) on a number of important psts and diseases. This has been done by combining cultural practices, resistant varieties, seed treatment, biological, and physical barrLers, and chemical application based on economic thresholds. Results to date have been encouraging, although the area covered is still limited and needs to be extended.

2.15 In the project area, mechanization will continue to complement draft power, which still plays an important role in some farm operations and serves as an important source of organic manure and meat. The increase in mechanization is mainly needed to overcome farmers' constraints during the peak labor demaad period. The rapid growth of private ownership of small tractors in the project area has increased the demand for spare parts, implements/accessories, service, maintenance, repains, and fuel supply. This increase in demand is placing a heavy strain on the resources of township farm machinery stations.

Water Resources and Irrigation

2.16 Surface Water Resources. The surface water system of the project area is shown in Figure No.l. The project area is drained by two major river systems: the Huai and the Yishusi. The Huai flows from west to east through Henan, Anhui and northern Jiangsu Provinces and drains into the regulated Hongze Lake. From Hongze Lake, water flows through a large number of natural and constructed channels north and east into the Yellow Sea. The Huai is intensively regulated for flood control: there are 16 major reservoirs in the upper reaches and numerous flood control detention basins and embankments along the middle reaches. In addition, the nearly completed high-level Cihuaxinhe flood channel will divert flood water from the middle reaches directly to the Hongze Lake, and a similar second channel, the Huaixinhe, is being planned. While flood control on the main channel now has reached a satisfactory standard of 1 in 40 to 50 years, flood control on the tributaries is less than 1 in 20 years and require further improvements.9 The Yishusi River System (comprising the Yi, Shu and Si Rivers) originates from the Yimeng Mountain area in Shandong Province and flows southward into Jiangsu Province and then eastward to the Yellow Sea. The total catchment area is about 79,000 sq km. Major flooding has been regulated through completion of 18 flood control reservoirs in the upper catchment areas of the Yi and Shu Rivers. On the plain, dikes also have been built around Nansi Lake and Luoma Lake for flood detention.

2.17 Hongze Lake plays an important role in surface water management in the project area. It acts as a reservoir both for storing water for irrigation and regulating floods during the monsoon. As the lake is located on a plain, raising the water level to provide additional storage would submerge large tracts of cultivated land in Anhui Province and dislodge many farming families. Raising the water level also would require strengthening the existing perimeter dike and reconstructing many structures--requirements which make the proposal economically and socially unacceptable.

2.18 Nansi Lake was developed out of an inland marsh in the late 1950s for flood regulation, irrigation, aquaculture and navigation. It has a total

9 See design standardsfor flood control anddrainage in Annex I Table5. 13

water surface area of 1,266 sq km and is divided by a dam into an upper lake (Nanyang and Dushan Lakes) and a lower lake (Zhaoyang and Weishan Lakes). The Lake provides irrigation water to about 233,000 ha in Shandong Province through 1,268 pumping stations. Over the last 14 years, the water in the lake has been depleted by annual droughts and excessive extraction of water. During the last two years the upper lake has virtually dried up and showed no signs of recovering. As a result, agriculttiral losses have steadily mounted. To avert a crisis in agricultural and industrial production, beginning in 1987 water was diverted from the Yellow River through the intake gates of the Guonali and Chengkai Irrigation Areas. This temporary diversion system cannot be sustained because it interferes with the normal operation of the two irrigation areas and causes their limited conveyance canals and silt retention basins to be silted up.

2.19 The , which links the Yangtze and the Yellow Rivers, runs north-south through the project area in Jiangsu and Shandong. Originally built in the 6th century AD to transport grain from Yangtze Valley to northern China, it began transferring water from the Yangtze River to the northern part of Jiangsu after the Jiangdu Main Pumping Station was constructed in the 1963s. The transfer system, regulated by a series of lakes, provided much needed water for irrigation, navigation, and municipal and industrial uses. After further expansion during the 1970s, the 9-stage pumping scheme now transfers, stores, and distributes water along the Grand Canal up to Weishan Lake in Shandong Province (see Map IBRD No. 22448). With increasing regional demands for water coupled with the low equipment efficiency and restricted capacity of some of the intermediate pumping stations between Hongze and Luoma Lakes, the current water shortage in North Jiangsu is estimated at about 2.0 billion cu m during the critical period of April to June (with about 50% occurring in June).

2.20 The capacity improvements to the Grand Canal proposed under the project represent part of the national long-term plan to transfer water from the YangtL4 River to the water-deficient regions of northern China. The eastern alignment of SNWT generally follow the Grand Canal route northward to Nansi and Dongping Lakes through a 13-stage pumping process. There it will cross the Yellow River by an inverted siphon tunneled 70 m below bed level to Hebei Province and by gravity flow to Tianjin. A feasibility study for initial water transfer up to the southern bank of the Yellow River was initiated in 1973, reviewed in 1976, and approved by the State Council in 1983. Further review was carried out in 1988 to extend the water transfer plan across the Yellow River to Hebei and Tianjin. Given the critical water shortages north of the Yellow River, a plan is being finalized to initiate the "launch phase" under the 8th Five-Year Plan. This would take advantage of the improved conveying capacity of the Grand Canal under this project to lift water from the Yangtze River during the non-irrigation season (November to March) in Jiangsu and store the water in Nansi and Dongping Lake for transfer across the Yellow River to Hebei and Tianjin. The short- and long-term plan proposals are summarized in Table 2.2 below:

2.21 Surface Water Irrication. Surface water irrigation already is extensive throughout the project area. It is based on a complex and highly regulated network of reservoirs and channels. The Huai River is the backbone of the system. The westernmost part of the project area, in Anhui Province, lies on the northern bank of the Huai's middle reaches. There are eleven major control gates and 3,600 pumping stations along this part of the river 14 Table 2.2 South-North Water Transfer - Eastern Alignment

South-North Long-tern Short-tern Short-trem lit Stage Present Water Beyond Ist Stage 2ndStage LAunch Ornd Tmnsfe Year2020 (to 2010) (to 20201 (to 2000) Can1l (cu m/ac2 (cu m/sec) tcu m/sec) (cu m/ec) Yangec Diversion 1,400 600 1,000 400 400

To NansiLake 650 250-300 550-600 155\a nominal

Across Yellow River 700 150-200 400 50\b 0

To Hebei Prov. andTianjin 250 100 180 15-20 0

\a: pumpingduring non-irrigation season from Novemberto March. \b: primarily for industrialand domestic water-supply.

and its channels. These permit irrigation of some 617,000 ha, or 28% of the total cultivated land area in northern Anhui. Many parts of the system are incomplete or have deteriorated due to age and poor maintenance. Moreover, each year large areas of cropland are affected by flood, waterlogging and drought. Although systematic drainage works have been undertaken since 1980, 60% of the land, affected by poor drainage and waterlogging still requires improvement. Therefore, development here will focus on upgrading, extending and rehabilitating the irrigation system and extending the complementary drainage network.

2.22 Further downstream to the east on the Huai River, the project area enters northern Jiangsu Province. Here some 1.2 million ha are under irrigation - only 67% of the designed area. The major source of irrigation is the Grand Canal's 9-stage pumping scheme described in para. 2.19. The Huai River and its channels are a secondary irrigation source. Further development is constrained by three factors. First, the limited capacities of t.e_ Grand Canal and existing reservoirs, coupled with flow variation in the Huai River during normal and dry years, restricts the total supply of water. The limited water supply results in competition for municipal, industrial, and navigational uses. Downstream water to flush river outlet and drainage channels has been reduced, resulting in channel siltation, outlet blockage, and poor land drainage. Second, the standard of flood control and drainage remains low. Many channels and lakes have flood control standards varying from 1 in 10 to 15 years. The main channels of the Huai River, the Yishusi River, and other flood relief channels flow through North Jiangsu, which is flat and low lying. Frequent waterlogging and poor drainage during rainy years affect 733,000 ha of cultivated land, resulting in low and unstable yields. Finally, due to the lack of a comprehensive maintenance program, many of the irrigation facilities are aged and deteriorating. The result is low operation efficiency and excessive energy consumption in pumping. Inadequate facilities in 40% of the irrigation schemes prohibit proper water management.

2.23 The northernmost part of the project area lies in Shandong Province. Surface water irrigation in Shandong Province has developed mainly through river diversion around Nansi Lake and along the southern bank of the Yellow River. The virtual desiccation of Nansi Lake during the last three years has reduced the irrigated area from 230,000 ha to 160,000 ha. Agricultural and aquacultural production have been curtailed. The Xiezhai 15

Irrigation Area uses water diverted from the Yellow River to irriga,.e about 10,000 ha of land. This area represents less than half of the designed 24,000 ha, as the irrigation system has not been completed. Expansion of existing facilities would provide irrigation to an additional, currently rainfed, area of 36,000 ha. The 32,000 ha of irrigation facilities in the Shengli Qu Irrigation Area are in need of upgrading, rehabilitation, and extension. These facilities make use of water regualted in the Weishan Lake.

2.24 Groundwater Resources. In the NCP, ground water is found mostly in sand and gravel beds, and in patches of loamy sand within quaternary formations. Layers of shallow, fresh, and salt water, and deep fresh water are found throughout most of the plain. The shallow aquifer is the main source of irrigation water in the project area. About 80% of the resource is recharged by rainfall. Lateral flows and irrigation return flow contribute equally to the remainder of the resource regeneration. The average depth of the groundwater over the year is 2 to 8 meters below ground level, but there are significant variations across the project area.

2.25 Groundwater Irriaation. In 1972, there was a major drought in the North China Plain. Subsequently, a crash p-ogram was launched to sink two million tubewells. Many of the tubewells were constructed without adequate planning and were installed with inferior equipment. Most of the tubewells in the project area are located in the northwest and northern part of Anhui and to the east of Nansi Lake in Shandong. In Anhui, ground water extraction is significantly below potential -- 39,000 of the 110,000 tubewells are only operational. The rest are inoperative due to clogged wells, bad siting, or damaged or obsolete installations. In Shandong, by contrast, the present rate of extraction already exceeds the recharge rate. The project here will focus on reducing the number of wells and introducing water saving techniques. Reducing the number of wells will allow for more optimal sizing and spacing of wells in relation to the aquifer yield. The project areas in northern Jiangsu have fewer tubewells due to unfavorable hydrogeological conditions which limit groundwater resources. Extraction there is about 50 percent of potential, and the project would only increase the rate of extraction marginally.

Institutional Sunoort

2.26 Irrication Desian and Research. The three project Provinces have strong institutional support in preparing and executing water resource projects. Each Province has its own Investigation and Design Institute under the Provincial Bureau of Water Resources. These institutes are fully staffed with professional and technical employees. The Provinces also have institutes and experimental stations carrying out research on irrigation techniques, crop water requirements, and the drainage needs of different types of crops and soils. In Anhui Province, the Provincial Water Conservancy Scientific Research Institute (with 234 staff), the Xinmaqiao Integrated On-farm Irrigation Experimental Station, the Wudakou Drainage Experimental Station and eight crop irrigation experimental stations have accumulated valuable results on irrigation, drainage, waterlogging and the treatment of Shajiang Black soil, the predominant soil in Anhui project areas. In Shandong, the research effort is focussed on water-saving irrigation techniques, and the treatment and disposal of sand and silt accumulated in silt retention basins used to divert water from the Yellow River. Research facilities in Jiangsu include 1 provincial center, 11 municipal stations, and 24 county experimental sites. Earlier research covered irrigation and drainage techniques for paddy and 16

wheat cultivation. More recent research addresses coastal and wasteland reclamation, salinity and soil improvement. Research in Jiangsu is also supported by the national Hohai (River/Sea, i.e. Water Resources) University in Nanjing, the Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute, Jiangsu Industrial University, and Jiangsu Agricultural University (Department of Mechanical and Electrical Irrigation Pumping Department).

2.27 Basic research for irrigation and drainage in the three Provinces is considered adequate. However, there is a neea to expand research to cover the operation and management of irrigated areas. Topics worthy of consideration include irrigation system layout and optimization to improve irrigation efficiency, ground water resources development, major irrigation canal structures and pumping stations and equipment. Funas for research are limited, and equipment is inadequate and out-dated. Linkages between research institutions within provinces appear inadequate to coordinate research and communicate results. The project would include provisions to address some of the deficiencies (Annex 2, Table 5-2).

2.28 Agricultural Supoort Services. Lead responsibility for agricultural support services lies with the Ministry of Agriculture (MOA). The bureaus responsible for support services in MOA are Agriculture, Science and Technology, Farm Mechanization, and Education. The Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences (CAAS) functions under the Bureau of Science and Technology, and has responsibility for agricultural research, planning and graduate training at the national level. It has a staff of 10,600, stationed in 30 research institutes, centers, laboratories and a graduate school 'ocated in major production centers across the country. The General Stations cf Agrotechnical Extension; Soils and Fertilizers; Seeds; and Crop Protection are attached to the Bureau of Agriculture.

2.29 The institutional arrangements at the provincial, perfectural, and county levels model the national pattern described above. However, at these levels the institutions function primarily to solve local production problems, and participate in national and regional projects. The services, especially at county level and below, share the constraints of incomplete service network, lack of experienced staff and training, inadequate facilities and equipment, and insufficient operating funds.

2.30 Aoricultural Research. Agricultural production in the North China Plain (NCP) is being addressed by national research programs and by provincial research academies and institutes and agricultural universities. At the national level, the Agricultural Economic Research Institute and the Farm Irrigation Research Institute, both CAAS entities, are conducting applied research on specific production problems in the area. Also at the national level, the Institute of Soil Science of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) has been carrying out research at three experimental sites in the NCP since 1965. Research conducted for preparing this project was sponsored by provincial research institutes, the Beijing Agricultural University, county PMOc In the NCP, and other organizations.

2.31 The results of the research have been used to develop technologies for improving the Shajiang black soil and soils affected by salinity/alkalinity, and to overcome the constraints of producing on low- and medium-yield land. Improved varieties developed include hybrid rices (Shanyu 63 and Shanyu 64) and cotton (Yenmian 48, Simian, and Mian 553). 17

2.32 More research efforts are needed to widen the genetic base for corn, soybean, oilseed and cotton. Superior germ plasm materials should bo introduced for use in the breeding program. There also is a need to develop more varieties adapted to different agro-ecosystems in the project area, and a need for mo--e on-farm demonstrations. Research is needed also to address the efficient use of fertilizers and agro-chemicals, and IM for major pests and diseases.

2.33 Research coordination and management is weak, and there is little evidence of a multi-disciplinary team approach to problem solving. In most instances, formal linkages are lacking among research, education, and extension. As part e the ongoing reforms, research institutes have entered into commercial contracts with production units to solve production problems, but many research institutes continue to be plagued by shortage of operating funds, experienced technical staff, facilities and equipment. Systems for communicating research results and problems encountered by farmers need strengthening. The above constraints will be addressed in a separate project presently under preparation.

2.34 Extension. The agricultural extension system is represented at the national level by the National Agrotechnical Extension Center (NATEC) under the Ministry of Agriculture. NATEC is responsible for agricultural extension policy guidelines and the overall planning, coordination, resource allocation, and monitoring and evaluation of the extension programs. It has a staff of 46 and is divided into six divisions which cover food crops, cash crops, training, organization and management extension, information and communication support, and administration. At the provincial and prefectural levels, the bureaus of agriculture coordinate the extension programs. The real operational levels of the system are, however, are located at the county level and below.

2.35 The County Agrotechnical Extension Center (CATEC), formerly operated as county research centers, now combines the services of soil testing, seed production, and plant protection, and also directs the work of the Township Agrotechnical Extension Stations (TATES). One-third of China's 2,300 counties have established CATECn and 14,000 of its 70,000 TATES have facilities and trained personnel. Each township station has 3 to S technicians, each serving 3 or 4 villages. Idoally, at each village, the farmer technician contacts 20 to 30 leading households which participate in demonstration trials and disseminate information to other farmers. At present the project areas have the following ratios of extension personnel to households: 1:420 in Anhui, 1:50 in Jiangsu, and 1:223 in Shandong. Prov.sion has been included under the project to improve the above ratios (para. 3.30).

2.36 New or improved technologies are first tested at the CATEC expc-~imontal farm. This testing is followed by verification trials on farmers fields and the creastion of extensive demonstration areas (up to 670 ha) with the aim of extension to farmers. Once proven successful, the package is then entered into the annual extension plan. In order to tran.fer the nee technology, training is offere- to leading farmers by CATEC or by township agricultural technical schools. Agro-technicians at the TATES also establfnh demonstration sites on farmers' land. Visits are made by extension persokinel at the important development stages of the crop, and when problems are most likely to surface. Increasingly, farmers enter into contracts with townshaip agro-technicians and agree on production targets at the beginning of each 18

season. Farmers who are able to achieve the targets give shares (bonuses) in their increments to the technician at the end of season. This system gives extension workers a strong interest in the successful implementation of their recommendations. Extension messages also are widely transmitted to farmers through radio and T V broadcasts, and pamphlets. Successful extensLon messages to date have covered the adoption of improved varieties, planting density, transplanting techniques, improved cropping patterns, balanced application and placement of fertilizer, breeding of quality seeds, agromachinery management, water saving technology, and IPM for bacterial and sheath blight affecting rice through resistant varieties, water control and seed treatment. The impact of the extension programs is evaluated twice a year and is comprehensively reviewed once a year.

2.37 Research units also carry out research on production problems in the project area. This practice places researchers directly in touch with field problems. Feedback of farmers production problems is channeled through the demonstration households to village farmer technicians and TATES, to technical specialists at CATEC. The more complex problems that cannot be resolved by CATEC are referred to research units at the municipal/prefectural level and above. Crop advisory committees comprising of experienced technical specialists already have been established at the provincial level to advise county agricultural staff on how to achieve the production targets. Similar advisory committees will be established at the national level for important commodities, drawing on the pool of scientific expertise available under CAAS and the bureaus of MOA. Some counties also have set up technical advisory groups. This practice will be extended to all counties in the proposed project (para. 4.6).

2.38 Most of the project counties, except for a few in Anhui and Shandong, have an extension network in place. However, networks in many localities still suffer from shortages of experienced staff and staff training, basic facilities and extension equipment, transport vehicles, and of operating funds. Additional staff will be recruited and trained for new centers and existing staff require refresher training. Under the project, extension services in each county will be strengthened and completed (para. 3.28).

2.39 Seed Production and Sup2lv. Under the MOA, the administrative and commercial activities of the seed sector have been separated, with the General Seed Station responsible for administration, planning, regulation, pricing and marketing, while the National Seed Company is responsible for seed production and trade. This separation has not been fully implemented at the provincial level and below. Although improved seeds are partly responsible for the recent increase in agricultural productivity, formal mechanism. of seed development, production and distribution are inadequate. The provincial seed companies, which have branches at the prefectural and county levels, have been unable to provide farmers with adequate amounts of certified seeds. This is because the companies lack processing capability, storage space, quality control mechanisms, transport vehicles, working capital, trained staff, and manacgement skills. The certified seeds themselves are produced by seed farms and specialized households under contract to the provincial seed company or its county branches. The shortage of seeds has had its biggest impact on corn production. older varieties have been replaced only slowly, farmers often have had to provide their own seeds out of production, and many farmers have had to forego the superior yields of Fl hybrid seeds. 19

2.40 Agricultural Credit. The Agricultural Bank of China (ABC) is the largest provider of institutional credit to the sector. It providas funds through a national network of branches extending to the county and township levels and some 59,000 rural credit cooperatives at township level and below. The ABC is widely represented throughout the project area. Its resources are obtained from deposits, loans, profits and the state budget. The bulk of ABC's portfolio (about 65%) is devoted to commercial activities such as purchase of agricultural production; 30% finances agricultural production directly; and the remainder goes to agro-industry and other sectors. ABC charges interest according to the length of the repayment period. On April 15, 1990, the bank lowered its interest rates from 11.3% to 10.1% for one-year loans, and from 19.3% to 18,0% for loans over five years. No special credit will be provided under the project and project farcers would continue to use the existing credit facilities operated by ABC and the rural credit cooperatives.

Infrastructure

2.41 Transport. The project area has good transportation links. The main north-south and east-west railw&y lines pass through most of the major towns and cities. A good road network links the counties, townships and villages, and the Grand Canal serves as an important transport system for the movement of bulk cargo. It can accommodate barges of up to 700 dwt, drawn by tug boats. Seven -major seaports serve the project area. Air transport of passengers and gocds has grown rapidly over the past ten years, and now connects the three provincial capitals with major cities in China and Hong Kong.

2.42 Power. The national China Eastern Grid provides most of the electric power to the three Provinces. In addition, numerous provincial power plants supply power to prefectures and counties. Each project county is supplied by a network of 110/36 kV lines. Shandong and Anhui have rich coal resources. The projected power requirements for these two Provinces would be met by local coal-fired power plants. Plants supplying Shandong are located in Zou County, Jinin, Zhaozhuang and Tengzhou. Plants supplying Anhui are located in Huaibei and Nuainan. Jiangsu is somewhat constrained by lack of power and depends mainly on supply from the China Eastern Grid. This grid already is under heavy demand from industry and urban centers. However, priority for power is given to agricultural production. 20

III. THE PROJ3CT

Obiectives

3.1 The principal objective of the project is to assist the Government in increasing agricultural production and thereby increasing farm incomes in the North China Plain. The project is designed to increase a productLvity of cropland by reducing the effects of drought, waterlogging, soil salinity and surface flooding. These changes are to be effected by improving and exparRing irrigation and drainage systems. About 11.2 million rural dwellers would directly benefit from the project through increased production of wheat, corn, rice, soybean, oilseeds, and cotton. The project has two main components: irrigation and drainage, and agricultural intensification. Irrigation and drainage would be improved and extended on about 1.14 million ha covering sections of 73 counties. In the same areas, an integrated package of agricultural improvements would be introduced. This package includes soil improvement, agricultural inputs, support services and manpower development. The project also would establish forest belts and rural roads. By ensuring a IL re reliable water supply and better drainage, providing agricultural inputs such as fertilizer, plastic mulch and improved seeds, and strengthening extension serviced and research, the project would support increased production of food grains and cash crops. irriaation and Drainage

3.2 The irrigation and drainage component includes improvements to existing sciiames,new irrigated areas, groundwater development, and provision of O&M machinery and equipment. The proposed improvements mnd expansion to irrigation areas are summari-ad in Table 3.1.

TABLt 3.1 Imorovement and KxEianeon of Irrigation Areas (ha)

Asovincc No..off NwIslAt .c-u aia IEd!;<1

Janpu 24 156,500 233,500 390,000

Anhui 21 92170 227,830 320,000

Shandong 28 366,200 66,200 432,400

TOM Poect 73 614,870 527,530 1,142,400

3.3 Imoroveme t of Existina Schemeo. irrigation and drainage investments would be undertaken on about 615,000 ha, or about 54% of the project area. These investments would be designed to improve water delivery and drainage on land already irrigated, thereby allowing farmers to increasa the yields and cropping intensities of wheat, maize, cotton and other crops. The investments are needed to complete irrigation systems that were started in the 1960z and 1970z but not fully extended to the field level. In most cases the primary and secondary canals and drains are in place, but the tertiarw canals and drains and their related control structures are not. The latter were to be financed and executed by local governments but were not completed, were cons.ructed improperly, or were placed in the wrong locations. Project activities would include construction, concrete lining, realignment and completion of canals and drains; construction, modernization and expansion of main and minor pumping stations; addition of control structures, culverts, bridges and access roads, and construction of on-farm works. 21

3.4 New Irriaated Area. The project will bring some 527,000 hectares of rainfed land under irrigation. On about half of this area farmers will be able to switch from growing low-value crops such as sweet potato, beans and sorghum, to higher value crops such as rice and maize. On the rest of the newly irrigated area, farmers now growing maize, wheat, oilseeds and cotton would be able to increase the cropping intensity from single to rualtiplecropping or relay cropping. Irrigation facilities will be expanded through the construction of canal networks complete with control structures, multi-stage pumping stations, and tubewells.

3.5 Groundwater Development. In Anhui and Shandong Provinces, there will be extensive improvement of infrastructure for groundwater irrigation.' In all, about 261,000 ha or 23% of the project's irrigated areas will be served by groundwater. The project will rehabilitate and complete 9,760 inoperative wells and will construct 5,030 new ones. The new wells will be from 20 to 30 meters deep with yields ranging from 30 to 50 m3 per hour. The rehabilitation work will include washing and cleaning of clogged well casings and replacement and/or repair of aging, inefficient, and damaged pumping equipment. Most of the 14,300 pumping sets to be rupplied under the project will be electrically driven; where electric power is not available, diesel engines would be used. To prevent well contamination, well heads and housing will be provided.

3.6 The provincial Water Resources Bureaus have evaluated the groundwater resources and safe aquifer yields for each groundwater irrigation area in the project. Sample detailed plans for rehabilitation and new construction now have been prepared and have been reviewed by the appraisal mission. The plans incorporate the optimal number, size, and spacing of wells indicated by this assessment. Assurances have been obtained at negotiations that no new tubewells in project areas in Anhui and Shandong other than those included in the project would bo drilled unless justified by availability of groundwater determined by further assesment of the groundwater resources (para. 3.40). The management of project wells would continue to be handled at the village level. Farmers would pay water charges based on the actual water production cost plus overhead costs for management, equipment repair, and depreciation. The project would provide volumetric devices for a representative sample of the wells to measure the amount ot water being produced and used.

3.7 The project would introduce water-saving pipe systems at all the wells to be built or rehabilitated in Shandong and about two-thirds of those to be built in Anhui. Existing earth channel water distribution systems would be replaced by subsurface low-pressure pipe systems fed by one or more wells. Each well can irrigate from four to six hectares. The pipes would be 150 to 200 mm in diameter and would be constructed with pro-cast, cast-in-situ concrete or locally produced PVC. Valve-controlled turnouts are spaced 50 to 60 m apart along the main (or branch) pipe, and farmers apply water to field plots manually by plastic hoses connected to the turnouts. The use of low-pressurepipe will keep both investment and maintenance costs low, and is appropriate for these small-scale distribution systems. These pipe systems permit more precise scheduling and application of irrigation, as well as reduced seepage losses. For these reasons, these pipes can serve a given area with 20-30 percent less water than open ditches, making it possible to increase the area a well can irrigate. The pipes also save energy and labor for both water application and system maintenance, and land now occupied by canals. In Shandong, whero a 1S-year drought has severely drawn down aquifers, the pipe systems would not only lncrease the efficiency of water use but also reduce the absolute quantity of water consumed, thereby reducing the net drawdown.

' Dueto unbvorblebydmogcological conditions limiting groundwater maourcs and costs, ony marginal orm in thenumber of walb will bedeveloped under te projectin JisngS(ae pam.2.25). 22

3.8 O&M Machinery and Ecuinment. About USS 3.6 million of machinery and equipment would be provided to WRBs in the three Provinces. This equipment would be used to improve the operation, maintenance, and management of the irrigation areas. About 120 units of heavy machinery would be purchased, including excavators, bulldozers, shovels, desilting machines, and dredgers. Computer hardware and software and VHF radio equipment would be provided to the Jiangsu and Anhui WRBs. These items would be used to enhance system operations for allocating and monitoring water distribution and quality in the Grand Canal and the Huai River systems. Other logistic support would include vehicles, office equipment, and buildings. Details on the quantity and cost of machinery, equipment and vehicles for the three Provinces are shown in Annex 2, Tables 2-1 to 2-3.

3.9 The major features of the irrigation and drainage works proposed in each Province are presented in the following paragraphs.

Jiancsu

3.10 The project would improve and expand irrigated agriculture in 24 counties in the northern part of Jiangsu Province (Map IBRD No.22451).

3.11 Grand Canal Pumpina Stations. Water transfer in the Grand Canal is below the canal's capacity and operating at high cost. This is because of inefficient and inadequate pumping equipment at three of the canal's nine pumping stations. The project would upgrade and expand these stations to increase the efficiency of northward water transfer and permit the expansion of irrigation along the canml. This plan is in keeping with the long-term national plan for transferring water from the Yangtze River. The capacity of the Huaian Pumping Station would be expanded from 180 to 240 cms; this would remove the major bottleneck in water transfer northwards. At the Siyang Pumping Station the capacity will be increased from 100 to 140 cms. At the Liulaojiang Pumping Station, the existing 100 sets of inefficient, high-energy consuming diesel pumps would be replaced with new electrical pumps. In addition to these renovations, a new pumping station with 50 cms capacity would be built at Shaji. This station would transfer Huai River water (regulated in the Hongze Lake) northwards via the Xu-Hong Canal now under construction. The station would provide water to irrigate about 57,700 ha between Shaji and Liuji, and pump irrigation water during the off-season period to Feng and Fei counties through the Fangting Channel. The type, size and number of pumps for the new stations would take into consideration civil work costs, flexibility in operation, and standard modules of pump capacity (30, 20 and 10 cms). At Luoma Lake, which acts as a key regulating reservoir in the northward water transfer, the project would strengthen about 18 km of the southern dike in order to increase the lake's storage capacity by 150 mcm. Other minor canal strengthening, raising and repair to the control structures along the Grand Canal would also be carried out. To meet the electric power requirement of the proposed pumping stations at Siyang and Liulaojiang, the main substation at Xuqian would be expanded by 30,000 kVA.

3.12 Imorovement and ExRansion of Irria4tion Schemes. The project would improve and expand irrigation on 33 schemes covering 390,000 ha. The schemes are located in 24 counties of the following four regions: Yunxi, Yibei/Yinan, Hongze Lake, and Coastal Area as summarized in Table 3.2. The schemes were selected because they already have basic irrigation and drainage facilities, they show good potential for increased production, and local funding for the improvements has been committed. The project would expand irrigation facilities to 233,500 ha of rainfed areas and improve 156,500 ha of existing irrigated area. On completion, the project would raise the percentage of irrigated land in the Jiangsu project counties from 58% to 70%. 23

TA.W3 3.2 Improvement and Expansion of Irriaation Areas in Jiangsu (ha)

Reuion lmmmx Exiond To

Yunxi 39,800 41,400 81,200 Yinbei/Yinan 67,600 91,700 159,300 Hongze Lake 21,000 57,300 78,300 Coalul 28,100 43,100 71,200

Total 156.500 233.500390

3.13 The Yunxi Reaion has the poorest water resources in the Province and suffers from poor soil fertility, floods, droughts, waterlogging, and soil salinity. The construction of the Shaji Pumping Station (see para. 3.11) would make it possible to complete and intensify irrigation and drainage networks in eight schemes totalling 65,000 ha. In the Yibei/Yinan Reaion, poor drainage is a major problem due to lack of outlets, water backup in high-level drainage channels, and shortage of electric power. Under the project, 16 existing areas covering 188,400 ha would be improved, rehabilitated and expanded. Project works would include drainage channel excavation, construction and completion of canals and control structures, and on-farm works. Some pumping stations and small reservoirs also would be built. The Honaze Lake Region is a lowland affected by poor drainage and waterlogging; it is even used for flood detention. However, the higher ground suffers from a shortage of water due to inadequate infrastructure and ftorage capacity for irrigation. The project would improve and upgrade eight irrigation areas covering a total of 58,000 ha in this region. This would include strengthening of flood protection dikes and lowland polder embankments, and construction of pumping stations, a canal network to lift water, storage ponds for hilly areas, and on-farm works. The Coastal Reaion is flat and low-lying. It is composed primarily of coastal saline soil which is subjected to tidal intrusion. Drainage is further constrained by a number of high-level drains flowing from the hinterlands in the west. The region also receives inadequate water supply, being located at the tail end of the irrigation system. The project would imprcve, rehabilitate, and construct irrigation and drainage facilities for seven irrigation areas in the region.

Anhui

3.14 Irrigation and drainage works will be carried out in 21 counties in the northern part of Anhui Province (see IBRD Map No.22450). These works consist of improvement and expansion of surface and groundwater irrigation areas. They are summarized in Table 3.3 below. 24 TAaL 3.3 Improvement and Expansion of Irrigation Areas in Anhui (ha)

Tn/4AMS larov Expos Total

SurfaceWater: Huai River 18,290 41,060 59,350 2,600 12,730 15,330 Cihuaixinhe 6,030 33,990 40,020 Guo River 1,470 7,070 8,540 Xinbianhe 15,030 21,810 36,80 9,070 28,010 37,940 Beifei River 9,930 18,730 27,800

Total Surface 62.420 163,400 22S,820 Water

Groundwater 29,750 64,430 94,180

Toal DrOieCt 92.170 227.830 320.000

3.15 Imorovement and Expansion of Surface Irrigation. Irrigation facilities would be improved on 62,400 ha and expanded on 163,400 ha along seven river systems. While most of the primary irrigation works are in place, secondary and tertiary networks need to be rehabilitated or completed. The project will construct about 206 first-stage and 1,099 second-stage pumping stations, 151 main, 1,444 branch, 10,048 lateral and 100,000 sub-lateral and field canals, and 53,840 control structures of various sizes. The project will lay about 60 km of 35kV and 895 km of 10kV power lines and build the required substations to serve the new pumping stations. In two of the areas, the Qian and the Beifei Rivers, low-lying lands will be protected against floods and drained in order to allow for increased production of rice and corn. Flooding has been controlled on the upper reaches of the Qian River, but the middle and lower basins are not protected by dikes and subject to frequent flooding. The project will dredge 44 km of the middle stretches of the Qian River and construct 89 km of flood protection dikes, drainage networks, and polders complete with pumping stations, bridges and structures. On the Beifei River, 20,000 ha of low-lying land has been protected by polders but drainage is constrained by high water levels and insufficient capacity at the 76 existing drainage pumping stations. The encroachment of cultivation on the designated flood detention areas also has worsened flooding in the area. The project will dredge the main drainage channel and the river, compartmentalize drainage areas into small units, and increase the capacity of the major and minor drainage pumping stations. Natural flood storage areas will be designated in the Sancha River and in Xiaoyutai Lake.

3.16 Groundwater Irrigation. The project will bring some 94,200 ha of rainfed cropland in the Huaibei area under irrigation through the improvement of groundwater facilities. Of the 110,000 tubewells in the region, only about 37,000 are operational. The others have been abandoned due to clogged well casings, damaged and obsolete installations, or broken well heads. The project will rehabilitate about 7,300 of these wells by repairing and replacing well heads, well housings, and pumping sets. In addition, 4,230 new wells will be constructed. Subsurface in-situ concrete pipe systems (see para. 3.7) will be installed at all the wells to serve about 43,620 ha. The remaining areas will continue to be served by earth canals until funds are available to replace the latter with subsurface pipe systems. 25 Skandog

3.17 In Shandong, the project will improve and expand irrigation and drainage facilities on about 433,000 ha (see IBRD Map No.22449). This area covers 28 counties in the southern and southwestern parts of the Province. Project aotivities are summarized in Table 3.4 below.

Table 3.4 Improvement and Expansion of Irrgiation Areas in Shandong lha)

SurfaceWater: Xiezhai 23,300 37,700 60,000 ShengliQu 11,600 20,400 32,000 NsnaiLake 160,000 0 160,000 Chongkai 13,300 0 13,300

Sub-total 208,200 57,100 265,300

Groundwater 158,000 9,100 167,100

3.18 Xiezhai Irrigation Area. This scheme, which uses water diverted from the Yellow River, has a designed area of 24,400 ha. However, only about 10,000 ha is irrigated because the system has not been completed. The project will improve and complete the system. It also will expand facilities to an adjoining area of 35,600 ha which is currently rainfed. Marginal land will be parcelled into plots for use as silt retention basins for 1-3 years; the filled area will then be reclaimed and cultivated or afforested. Farmers will receive compensation for this temporary use of their land (para. 3.47). The main canal will be enlarged to feed water to the Dongyu River, which will then supply water to the new areas. A comprehensive network of canals, drains and structures also will be constructed.

3.19 Nansi Lake Irrigation Area. The project will provide a medium-term solution to the loss of water in the lake (see para. 2.18) in order to permit 400,000 farmers to continue irrigating their land. During the winter months, surplus water will be diverted from the Yellow River into the lake through two existing irrigation areas (Chengkai and Guonali). While this already has been done on an emergency basis since 1987, the project will provide a safer and more efficient system for diverting the water -- about 700 million cu m per year up to the year 2010 and possibly beyond. The conveyance canal will be desilted. enlarged and lined with concrete, and the capacity of existing silt retention basins will be increased. The project also will enlarge and excavate 27.5 km of the main Liangji Canal and 15 km of other conveyance canals. When these works are completed, the project will provide assured irrigation to about 160,000 ha fringing the lake through the 630 existing pumping stations. About 30% of the existing pumping stations will be improved and upgraded under the project. This will allow farmers to switch from low-yielding rainfed cropping back to fully irrigated conditions using the irrigation infrastructure already in place. In addition, irrigation will be improved on 13,330 ha of the Chengkai Irrigation Area through which the diversion water will pass.

3.20 Shenali Qu Irriaation Area. On this scheme in southern Shandong, only about 11,000 ha of the design area of 32,000 ha can be effectively irrigated due to the incompleteness of the system and low standard of works. The project will improve the existing area and expand facilities to the remaining 21,000 ha. Improvements will include desilting, canal lining, and construction of canals and drains, control structures, access roads and telephone lines, and four new and two 26

expanded pumping stations.

3.21 Groundwater Irriaation. Currently, there are about 39,600 tubewells irrigating 102,000 ha in 17 project counties. The project will reduce the number of wells to about 31,000 by eliminating inv.fficientwells and optimizing the number and spacing of wells in relation to aquifer yields. Only 800 new wells are to be constructed. Water-saving subsurface pipe systems totalling about 1.5 million meters will be installed at all now and rehabilitated wells. With Improved system efficiency (90%), shorter and more timely application of irrigation water, the total irrigated area will be raised to about 168,000 ha.

Aaricultural Intensification

3.22 The project will provide farmers in the 73 project counties with a package of agricultural inputs and support services to complement the improvements in irrl-stion and drainage. This package covers soil improvement and fertilization; other inputs; seeds; extension services; farm machinery; windbreaks, shelter belts, and border rows; and rural roads. These components were developed and successfully tested in 20 pilot areas and 9 counties under the North China Plain Project (see para. 1.21).

3.23 Soil Improvement and Fertilization. The prolonged use of farm machinery will cause certain soil types, such as the Shajiang black soils in the project area, to develop a hard pan 10 to 20 cm below the surface of the soil. This causes the soil to compact and restrict root growth and the penetration of water into the subsoil. The project will provide tractors to loosen the hard pan and improve the soil texture. About 885 large and medium-sized tractors (>75 hp) will be provided for the deep plowing and leveling on farmers' land. For this service the farmers will pay a fee ranging from Y7 § to Y133/ha. To improve the texture, moisture retention and organic content of the soil, 4,882 small diesel-powered shredders will be provided. These shredders will allow farmers to incorporate a portion of crop residues into the field. During harvest about 15-20 cm of stubble normally is left behind. This portion will be plowed back into the soil instead of being burnt off by farmers. In addition, some of the residue after threshing will be shredded and incorporated into the soil. However, residues from cotton plant will be burnt, as now practiced, to control disease. The return of residue into the soil would not compete with present practices of using residue for feed or fuel. Moreover, the area is rich in fossil fuel.

3.24 Soils in the project area are generally deficient in nitrogen and phosphorus, and their organic content is below 1.0% (para. 2.4). The present fertilizer application rate practiced by farmers is less than half of the recommended rate (about 1.2 t/ha, comprising of 750 kg N, 375 kg P and 75 kg K). Low analysis fertilizers such as highly volatile ammonium bicarbonate (17% N) and low grade calcium superphosphate (12% P) are the main fertilizers applied in the project counties. Given the national shortage of domestically produced high quality phosphate fertilizer, it will be necessary for the project to import urea, diammonium phosphate, and potassium chloride.

3.25 The project will provide enough fertilizer for one application over the incremental cropped area at full development, based on a soil analysis carried out for the different soil types. This amounts to about 155,000 tons of DAP, 50,000 tons of urea, and 3,800 tons of potassium chloride. The fertilizer will be sold to farmers through CATEC sales unit at its actual import cost plus distributors' margin. Each county PMO will establish a revolving fund with the sales proceeds for the purpose of procuring future requirements. Each county PMO would submit an annual fertilizer plan to the provincial PMO, showing the intended cropping pattern and area, fertilizer application rates (based on soil and foliar analyses carried 27 out prior to completion of on-farm works and repeated as needed), and quantity required. In order to ensur- that adequate quantlties of fertilizers are available to farmers in a timely manner, assurances have been obtained at negotiations thats (i) each Province shall cause the county PNOI to operate a revolving fund for fertilizers and other inputs; and (li) each Province shall prepare and furnish to the Bank/IDA by December 1 of each year an annual fertilizer plan showing the quantities of chemical fertilizers required and the plan for procuring them.

3.26 Other inuts. The project will import 670 tons of pesticides to be used in all Provinces for the control and management of major pests of foodgrain and cotton. The chemicals will be approved in advance by the Bank/IDA and will be handled in accordance with Bank guidelines. Part of the materials will be marketed through the local Supply and Marketing Cooperatives and part will be marketed for use by the Plant Protection Stations under CATEC. The project also will provide 300 tons of plastic film for early planting of cotton, maize and vegetables, and 152 tons of gypsum for the treatment of alkaline soils (Jiangsu project area). Proceeds from sale of inputs will be deposited in the revolving fund established (para. 3.25) and used to procure future requirements.

3.27 Seeds. The project will upgrade the breeding, production, and marketing of quality seeds to farmers. County seed companies lack storage facilities, inspection and testing rooms, drying floors, and processing and testing equipment needed to produce seeds of acceptable quality and purlty (para. 2.39). Furthermore, the companies produce less than 30% of the total seed requirement. The project will strengthen the 73 county seed centers by providing them with 75,000 sq m of store houses, 210,500 sq m of drying floors, 31,500 sq m of offices, laboratories, and dormitories; and equipment for drying, conditioning, and testing. Small tractors, harvesters and irrigation equipment will be provided to seed multiplication farms, and vehicles will be supplied to transport seed from farms to processing plants and sales outlets. In order to optimize the quality and profitability of the seeds produced, Shandong Province has agreed to establish an integrated seed production, processing and marketing system in Taian Prefecture. A detailed proposal for this pilot project was submitted to the Bank/IDA at negotiations. When completed, the project seed systems will produce 100% of the quality seeds required in Shandong and Anhui, and 90% of the grain, 60% of the cotton and 80% of the oilseets required in Jiangsu. Additional requirements in Jiangsu will be met from other areas.

3.28 Extension. In order to offer better services to producers, the project will strengthen extension in each Province, especially at the county, township and village levels. The project also will construct and equip 18 new County Agrotechnical Extension Centers (CATECs) -- 10 in Shandong and 8 in Anhui. Based on national guidelines, each CATEC will be provided with about 2,300 sq m of buildings, comprising space for offices, classrooms, laboratories, dormitories, libraries, dining rooms, garage and storage areas, and experimental fields. The project also will expand and upgrade the existing 55 CATECs and 688 township extension stations. These will be supplied with analytical, diagnostic, audio-visual, and pest control equipment, a&i 165 extension vehicles. An assurance has been obtained at negotiations that each CATEC in the project area will prepare and submit to the provincial PHO by December 31 each year an annual detailed extension program showing its proposed activities and physical targets for the following year.

3.29 Research. The project will finance adaptive research and field trials, aimed at supporting and improving the productivity of low and medium yield lands. Research will be carried out by relevant research institutes of the provincial academy of agricultural sciences and agricultural universities in cooperation with CATEC staff. Research topics have been reviewed by the Bank/IDA and include: cultivation techniques, crop rotation, plastic mulch, soil improvement/fertility, 28

1PM, high yielding varieties, and rhizobium inoculation of legume. Details of research topics to be Lnvestigatedare listed in Annex 2, Table 5-2.

3.30 A staff development plan will be instituted over the project period to relieve staff shortages. This plan, to be agreed with the Bank/IDA at negotiations, will allow about 76,670 new staff to be recruited and trained2 (para. 3.36). Funds also will be provided for short-term training to upgrade the skills of about 58,900 existing staff. The courses will be given by staff from county extension centers, agricultural universities and schools, and provincial academies of agricultural sciences (PAASs), and municipality and prefecture research institutes. In some areas pest forecasting stations and crop protection teams have been established to detect and predict outbreaks of pest. The project will set up 48 new pest forecasting stations. The project also will provide 8,900 sprayers and 530 tons of high efficiency and low toxicity pesticides to the stations.

3.31 Farm Machinery Stations. The degree of farm mechanization varies among the three Provinces. Jiangsu has the highest rate of mechanized land cultivation-- 80%. Anhui has the lowest rate--25%--and Shandong is in between these two--50%. The project will Improve and upgrade about 500 township service stations with facilities to service farm machinery and provide testing equipment, tools, spares and repair workshops. This strengthening should allow the service stations to provide prompt repairs and servicing of farm machinery and Implements, and some overhauling of small to medium-size machines. The project will finance tractors (para. 3.23) and farm implements such as rotovators, disc ploughs, harrows, cultivators, planters, and seed drills. The service stations will contract with farmers to provide different services such as land preparation, deep plowing, leveling, and harvesting. At the same time, demonstration sites (2,000 to 2,600 ha each) will be set up on 53,300 ha of land in Jiangsu Province to instruct farmers on the proper operation of farm equipment. The training of mechanics (approximately2,000 persons/year/province) in operation, repairs and maintenance by technicians from the local bureau of agro-machinery will be intensified. In Shandong, a mobile service network will be established in some farm machinery stations to perform simple repairs in the field.

3.32 Windbreaks, Shelter Belts. and Border Rows. Less than 15% of the project area is covered by forest. The little land that is forested is mostly planted as shelter belts, border rows, and windbreaks. Poplars, locust, Chinese elm, Paulownia, and Metaseouoia are the most commonly planted species. Village households are assigned responsibility for establishing and maintaining trees by the local bureau of forestry. These households follow the standards established by the forestry bureau and are well acquainted wLth tree establishment and maintenance procedures. Depending on the area, farmers will plant appropriate species along roads, canals and as border rows on raised bunds in fLelds to reduce soil erosion and wind damage. Such windbreaks signiflcantly reduce wind velocity (by up to 50%) and evaporation (by about 30%) and raise field temperatures (by 20%), thereby reducing crop damage caused by hot dry summer winds. Field border plantings and shelter belts generally are establLshed at 40 to 70 trees/ha. These are set Ln planting holes of lxlxl m, Ln an offset pair of rows with 7x3 m spacing for the purpose of reducing the wind speed.

3.33 The project will provide urea (0.3 kg/tree/yr), pesticides for spot control of Lnsects, and saplings/cuttings. Township forestry bureaus Ln Jiangsu will establLsh 360 ha of nurseries Ln project counties that do not have an adequate supply of saplings. The other two Provinces have an adequate supply of saplings.

a Mainly frm,rtechnicians (selected skilledfarmer) who have receivedtrining atagricultural schoolsand themselves amefarrnn andare paidonIy nominal aL owances for their services. 29

Households responsible for the trees dorive 70% to 80% of the benefit from the sale of the timberl 20 to 30% of the profit goes to the village group. At full development forest cover in the project areas is expected to increase to about 15%.

3.34 Rural Roads. In Anhui, county PMOs will construct about 2,165 km of rural roads in 776 villages. These roads will be designed to link the project sites with existing village, township and county roads. The new roads would be constructed using spoil from canals and drains and a surface layer of sand and stone. The roads will be maintained by county and township governments in the project area. In Shandong and Jiangsu, no new roads will be constructed as present rural road networks are adequate. Only bridges and culvorts (about 10 bridges or culverts per 670 ha) will be provided to facilitate crossings.

Trainina and Technical Assistance

3.35 Institutional Development. The project will provide institutional support to upgrade technical skills and develop personnel resources in project identification, preparation, and management. The various design institutes and research stations under the project also will be strengthened with equipment and facilities to be provided. This strengthening should allow these institutes to assume a larger role in project design work, supervision, quality control and research.

3.36 Trainina and Study Tours. 3 The project will include about 150,000 person-months of local training for agricultural extension staff, farmer technicians and demonstration households with emphasis and priority given to women (para. 3.29). The courses will run 10 to 30 days and will be offered three to six times a year. Topics to be covered include crop fertilizer requirements; appropriate cropping systems; varietal improvement; seeds; crop protection; and the operation and maintenance of farm machinery. The courses will be taught by county extension centers and agricultural schools, and technical staff from the PAASs and prefecture research institutes. Training courses also will be held for irrigation staff. These courses will focus on operation and management of large irrigation schemes, improved water management, and water-saving techniques. About 456 managerial and technical staff will participate in overseas (165 participants) and local (291 participants) study tours to agricultural research institutes and irrigation areas. The purposes of these tours will be for staff to observe recent developments in plant nutrition, seed production, crop protection, irrigation and drainage technologies, soil salinity control, project management, and monitoring and evaluation. The PHO staff will also receive training in project management. The training programs are summarized in Annex 2, Tables 5-1, 5-2. Assurances have been obtained at negotiations that each Province will carry out training according to a program agreed with the Bank/IDA.

3.37 Technical Assistance. The project will provide 23 man-months of technical assistance. For irrigation, assistan * will be provided to introduce the use of computerized simulation modelling for the planning, design and management of groundwater resources. Internationally recruited specialists will hold a series of seminars in the project area to demonstrate the application of techniques to actual project designs. Technical assistance will also be provided to plan and design computerized systems for monitoring the operation of the Grand Canal (Jiangsu) and the various irrigation schemes along the Huai River system in Anhui. These schemes are linked by a complex network of reservoirs, control gates and pumping stations.

'"Te thrinig ofproject staff in the three pmvinceswill be complementary to the 2-year trainingpmgram to be organizedjoirnly by UNDP/EDIfor the Seminaron Amculturl SectorPolicies nd Reional Develoomentin the Huane-Hui-Hi Plainto trainhigh evelplanners an managerain the developmentplanning and management of agriculturaland water resourcesin the NorthChina Plain. 30

The computerized systems would replace the existing manual monitoring systems using telephone communication. The system package would include computer hardware and software, and training of personnel to operate and maintain the systems. On agricultural topics, both local and foreign experts will give lectures and conduct seminars for staff in the project area. These sessions will cover subjects such as effective rhizobial strains for soybeans, integrated pest management systems, and improving the transfer of techniques to farmers. The Central Project Coordinating Office will coordinate these technical assistance programs (Annex 2, Table 6) for the three Provinces.

Water Supply. Demand and ouality

3.38 Each Province has carried out a water balance study to assess the projected water supply and demand up to the year 2000, with and without the project. These studles have been reviewed by the Bank/IDA and have been found to be comprehensive and satisfactory.

3.39 Surface Water. In Jiangsu, the water balance study was conducted through a computerized simulation method for the whole of Northern Jiangsu. By upgrading canal systems and improving water management, the project would reduce the present annual water deficit of 2.0 billion cu meters (bcm) to 0.65 bcm after project completion and to 0.82 bcm by the year 2000. Based on a reliability index of P=75%, the deficit would be eased by the 10% standby pumping capacity of the Grand Canal pumping stations. This standby capacity will allow more water to be transferred from the Yangtze River in time of need. The various lakes linking the Grand Canal also would be able to provide additional tenporary storage and regulation of water. Water supply/demand computations would be further refined in the course of project implementation with the canal irrigation simulation system to be provided under the project (para. 3.37). In Anhui, the water balance studies are based on three river systems in the project area of northern Anhui Province and cover both project and non-project areas in the river systems. The analysis shows no apparent deficit of water based on reliability index of P-75%. In Shandong, separate water balance studies were carried out for Xiezhai, Nansi Lake and the Shengli Qu irrigation areas. The first two areas involve diverting water from the Yellow River. The additional 50 cms (present 30 cms) diversion of Yellow River water for the Xiezhai Irrigation Area is part of the approved water allocation quota for Shandong. However, the extra water is not being used because the irrigation system has not been completed. The proposed 700 mcm diversion of Yellow River water to replenish Nansi Lake between November and February has been reviewed and approved by the Yellow River Commission. 4 The proposed diversion constitutes only about 15- 20% of the downstream flow from the Yellow River to the sea, after allowing for the various uses downstream of the Huayuankou Station in Henan. For the Shengli Qu Irrigation Area, demand would be met mainly from the storage water regulated in the lower portion of Nansi Lake and the Hanzhuan and Yicheng Dasha rivers.

3.40 Groundwater. Groundwater availability for tubewell irrigation in Shandong and Anhui was assessed using hydrogeological data compiled by the Bureau of Geological Services. In Anhui, most of the project tubewells will be located in areas with rich shallow aquifers which have yields from 10 to 50 m3/hour. The existing groundwater resources have not been fully exploited, as farmers have not shown much interest in irrigation witn groundwater in the past. In Shandong, tubewelle have been used for years in the project areas but they are constrained by depleting groundwater resources. The project will conserve the depleting groundwater resources by re-spacing the wells based on safe aquifer yields and replacing earth canals with more efficient subsurface pipe systems for water

' For details weeWorking Paper C.2 'Yellow River Diversion to Nansi lAke.Shandong'. 31

distributlon. To ensure the present groundwater availability would be sustained under the project, an area by area assessment of historical pumpage, yield, and drawdown of water levels will be made. Such an assessment for five sample areas representative of the project areas in Shandong have been made by the Water Resources Bureau. An assurance has been obtained at negotiations that the Shandong and Anhui WRBs will monitor and assess the groundwater resources in the project area each year and furnish their findings to the Bank/IDA by June 30 of the following year.

3.41 QOalY. Surface water and groundwater in the project area, including raw water transferred from the Yangtze and Yellow Rivers, is gen-rally of good quality and suitable for irrigation and other agricultural use. aowever, stretches of the Grand Canal in Jiangsu are polluted to a varying degree by effluent discharged from industries and urban centers. Under the project, surface water quality will be monitored by 43 stations in North Jiangsu and by a network of monitoring stations on the main Huai River and its main tributaries. The former are operated by the Bureau of Water Resources and the latter are operated by the Environmental Unit of the Huai River Commission. Groundwater will continue to be monitored through the various existing observation wells established in Shandong and Anhui. Desion Status and Standards

3.42 Responsibility for engineering design has been divided between the three provincial design institutes and the prefecture and county design offices under the jurisdiction of the Bureau of Water Resources. These offices have completed detailed prelimirary designs, including quantity and cost estimates, for most of the major engineering works. For on-farm works, designs and costing have been done for selected sample areas. This information would be used for designing similar areas to be constructed. Sample designs and detailed layouts for groundwater irrigation works also have been prepared and reviewed by the appraisal mission. Depending on the scope and size of work involved, designs are reviewed and approved by the WREs at the municipality, prefecture and provincial levels. The design standards for flood control, drainage and irrigation are summarized in Annex 1, able 5. These standards generally conform to those set by the MWR for the region. They have been reviewed and found acceptable by the Bank/IDA. The designs for rehabilitation and construction of new tubewells and water-saving pipe systems also are acceptable and appropriate for the level of groundwater development technology in Chinn-

3.43 No new dams or reservoirs will be built under the project. Safety inspections of 19 existing dams and reservoirs serving the Jiangsu project area have been carried out periodically.5 Assurances have been obtained at negotiations that Jiangsu will carry out maintenance and periodic safety inspections of existing dams/reservoirs listed in Annex 1 Table No.6 under arrangements satisfactory to the Bank/IDA. There are no dams or reservoirs in the project areas of Anhui and Shandong requiring periodic safety inspections.

Environen:tal 1§2act

3.44 General. Each Province has carried out an environmental impact study for the project which identifies both positive and negative effects. The mission has reviewed these studies and found the adverse effects to be minimal. The few adverse effects could be controlled or mitigated through an appropriate environmental management program. The COC and provincial governments have established satisfactory environmental standards and guidelines; an assurance has

' Of te 19 damslreaevoir, only7 have embankmentheights raging from 10 to 17 m andthe test arebelow 10 m in height. Stonge capacityvanes ftm 2.1 mwmto 25.3 mcm,nmosty between 4 to 6 tnm. For detib we AnnexI Table6. 32 been obtained at negotiations that all project activities will conform to these environmental standards and guidelines satisfactory to the Bank/IDA.

3.45 The irrigation and drainage works are unlikely to cause any adverse effect, as they mainly will rehabilitate and extend existing facilities, and the sites involved are small and widely dispersed. These works actually are expected to improve drainage and reduce the incidence of waterlogging and soil salinity. Deep plowing of the Shajiang soil and the retutrnof crop residues will improve soil texture and increase its organic content. The planting of tree borders as windbreaks and tree belts will increase the vegetative cover and reduce wind erosion. An assurance has been obtained at negotiations that pesticides to be provided will require Bank/IDA approval and their storage, handling, distribution and use will follow the Bank Group guidelines, and where applicable, the MOA guidelines on safe use of such pesticides.6 Extension services will train farmers in the proper use of agro-chomicals procured under the project, and where applicable, integrated management of pests will be encouraged(para. 3.37). The major fertilizer applied will be mostly di-ammonium phouphate,(DAP) and urea, both commonly used now in the project areas. To avoid *xcessive uJe, application rates will be determined by foliar and soil analyses, and quantity regulated by an annual fertilizer plan to be prepared by each project county (para. 3.25).

3.46 Grand Canal. The project Ltself will not divert any additional water from the Yangtze River, but it will increase the overall northward flow along the Grand Canal. A study by Nanjing University showed that even the South-North Water Transfer Project, with its massive diversion of water, would not produce significant estuary siltation, erosion, saline intrusion or drop in water levels on the downstream stretches of the Yangtze River. Schistosomiasis is not present in the project area, and the Jiangsu Schistosomiasis Prevention and Research Center has determined that the snail vector, *ven when introduced, does not survive north of Baoyin at Latitude N 33015'. With improved water conveyance and distribution, 4 polluted water could spread further northward into l : .gationareas. The present system for monitoring water quality monitoring system, consisting of 43 stations, will be strengthened and upgraded under the project with equipment and training of personnel. A more effective pollution control and abatement program also will be included under the environment management program (Para. 3.50). On the positive side, the impro-ementa in water transfer northward will reduce water shortages in agriculture, industry, cities and towns, and help to recharge groundwater aquifers.

3.47 Nani Lake. Silt retention basins, 100-150 ha each, for Yellow River water will be established in the Xiezhai Irrigation Area and the Nansi Lake Diversion Project (see para 3.18-3.19).7 These basins will be temporarily used for a period of 1-3 years. Afterwards they will be reclaimed and returned to cultivation. Shandong Province has considerable experience in managing and reclaiming this type of basin. The land to be used consists mostly of areas of sandy soil, old river channels and local depressions that are now marginally used; the few villages located in these areas will be protected by dikes. There will be no relocation of farmers. Farmers whose lands are temporarily used as desilting basins will be given alternative land for temporary cultivation or compensated at a rate of Y4,500 per ha per year. Some would be temporarily emplyed by local rural enterprises. The compensation for basins required initially for the project has been included in the project cost; subsequent basins will be met from annual 0 & N funds. The management program for the silt retention basins was found to be satisfactory and acceptable to the Bank/IDA.

' Guidelinesfor Applicationof Pesticides,08 8321.1.87,8321.2-87 nd 8321.349, isued by MiZisIy of Agiculture.

' totAlof about20,000 ha hbabeen planned for useover the next 25.30 years for thetwo irripdon ems. 33

3.48 The diversion of Yellow River water into the now dry Nansi Lake will restore and maintain thc lake's original water surface area of about 600 sq km. This will rovive an important habitat for birds, water fowl and aquatic life, and quickly recharge groundwater aquifers on the periphery of the lake. Since the diverted Yellow River water is "alien" to the lake, its long-term impact on the lake limnology will be monitored, although no adverse effect is foreseen at this stage. The diversion of Yellow River water via the Liangji Canal to Nansi Lake passes through a large tract of low-lying land to the west of the Liangji Canal. As the Liangji Canal will be designed to ccivey water at a level below the general ground level, drainage of this low-lying land will not be affected. However, observation wells will be inotalled to monitor changes in water table level and aalinity.

3.49 Groundwater Ouality. The project will significantly increase the use of pesticides and fertilizers. Changes in water quality associated with this increased use of agro-chemicals will be monitored by a network of monitoring stations to be operated by the agro-environrnentalprotection units of the provincial bureaus of agriculture. Pesticides to be used under the project would be subject to prior approval by the Bank/IDA (para. 3.45).

3.50 Environment Manacement Proaram. Each Province has establishedan environmental unit under the provincial PMO. The unit is headed by a representative of the Provincial Environmental Protection Agency and comprises members from environmental monitoring units of the bureaus of water resources and agriculture. The unit will design and implement environmental management programs to meet specific needs of each Province. These programs will include establishing baseline survey, collecting and analyzlng data, monitoring and evaluating the impact of the project activities on envlronment, recommending and enforcing physical and regulatory measures, where applicable, to preserve and protect the *nvironment (Annext)

3.51 Each Province will furnish an environmental management program to the Bank/IDA for review no later than December 31, 1991. The Agro-environmental Protection and Rural Energy Bureau of the MOA will provide technical guidance to the provincial units in executing and managing these programs. Staff training, study tours and equipment also will be provided under the project to strengthen execution of the program. Each provincial PMO will review the annual progress report prepared by the environmental monitoring units and furnish the findings to the Bank/IDA for each calendar year by March 31 of the following year. Assurances have been obtained at negotiations from the Provinces that environmental units will be adequately maintained, environmental management programs will be furnished to the Bank/IDA for prior review before December 31, 1991, and that provincial PMOc will review and furnish the results of the annual environment monitoring to the Bank/IDA by March 31 of the following year. Imo10uentation Schedule

3.52 The pro-t:t will be implemented over a five-year period between June 1991 to June 1996. nsowever,some of the earthworks will be started during the wirter of 1990/91 to take advantage of labor available during the idle period of farmi.q activities. At negotiations, an assurancehas been obtained that each provincial PMO will prepare and furnish to the Bank/IDA by December 31 of each year, a detailed annual budget and work program covering project activLties to be implemented in the following year.

3.53 The primary and secondaryirrigation and drainage systemswill be constructed during the first three years of the project. The tertiary systems will be added during the third to fifth years. The constructLon of tubewell irrigation areas will be evenly phased over the five-year period in order to accommodate the low supply of pipe materials and steep demand for skilled construction workers. The 34 construction and improvements to the pumping stations along the Grand Canal also will be completed during the first three years. The improvement and expansion of irrigation areas will be started from the second year.

3.54 Facilities for agricultural intensification and support services will be implemented in parallel with the irrigation and drainage works. Each project county will carry out project activities in sequence, starting with land improvement and agrotechnical extension, followed by seeds development, mechanization services, and afforestation. Training initially will focus on project management for project staff and then will be extended to technical staff. Training of farmer agro- technicians and farmers would be scheduled annually during the implementation period.

3.55 The implementation schedules proposed by the three Provinces appear to be feasible (Charts No.2 A-C). The schedules take into account the capability and strong support to be provided at each administrative level and the technical bureaus and design institutes. The three provincial governments have demonstrated their capability for project implementation in ongoing Bank-financed projects.

Cost Estimates

3.56 The project is estimated to cost about US$593 million, including a foreign exchange component of US$334.7 million or 56% of the project cost. The breakdown of costs is summarized in Table 3.5. Taxes are not included in the cost estimates since civil works and buildings are essentially tax-free and imported machinery, equipment and materials are exempted from duties. The cost estimates are based on quantities derived from preliminary designs completed, unit prices updated to January 1, 1991 to reflect current prices for similar construction work and materials in each Province, and price lists of local and overseas manufacturers and suppliers of machinery, equipment and vehicles. Design, engineering and supervision costs are estimated at 1% of total civil works and building costs. Administration and management costs have been calculated at 1% of the base cost. rhysical contingencies are provided at 5% on all activities except the Grand Canal works, land improvement and on-farm works, for which physical contingencies of 10% have been provided. Price contingencies for both foreign and local costs are 3.6% for 1991-95 when expressed in US dollars, and 10% for 1991, 8% for 1992, and 5% for 1993-95 when expressed in Yuan. The estimated costs for each Province are summarized in Table 3.5 and detail in Annex 2, Tables 1-1, 1-2, 1-3 for the three Provinces. 35 CHINA IRRIGATED AGRICULTUREINTENSIFICATION PROJECT ------

Table 3.6 - PROJECT COST SUMMARY

Item/Description Yuan mn. USS mn. ______------_------_------X Foreign % Total Local Foreign Total Local Foreign Total Exchange Base Cost

A. IRRIGATIONk DRAINAGE 1. Anhui Province: Husihe Irr;g. Areas 61.0 58.0 118.9 12.2 10.2 22.4 46.6 Yinghe Irrig. Areas 18.3 16.1 34.4 3.7 2.9 6.8 44.6 Cihua;h* Irrig. Areas 36.8 29.9 65.7 7.1 5.S 12.8 43.4 Cuohe Irrig. Areas 9i5 8.8 18.3 1.9 1.6 3.5 46.9 Xinbianhe Irrig. Areos 47.1 31.0 78.1 9.3 6.6 15.0 37.7 Qasnhe Irrig. Areas 68.8 45.1 103.9 11.7 8.2 19.9 41.2 Beifeihe Irrig. Areas 33.1 30.7 63.8 6.6 65. 12.2 45.8 Tubewell Irrig. Areas 76.8 96.6 173.2 15.3 17.9 33.2 53.9 Sub-total 340.1 314.1 654.2 67 8 57.5 125.3 4S.9 24.0 2. J;angsu Province: Grand Canal Improvement 63.2 123.1 188.3 12.7 23.0 35.7 64.4 Xuzhou Irrig. Areas 40.5 41.0 81.4 8.1 7.6 15S. 48.1 Huaiying Irrig.Areas 80.2 78.8 157.0 16.0 14.1 30.1 46.8 Lianyungang Irrig. Areas 25.2 23.9 49.1 S.0 4.4 9.4 48.6 Yanch,ng Irrig. Areas 29.1 25.0 54.0 5.8 4.6 10.3 44.0 State Farm Areas 7.4 7.e 15.0 1.5 1.4 2.9 48.3 Sub-total 245.5 297.4 642.9 49.1 54.9 104.0 62.8 19.9 3. Shandong Province: Nansihu Irrig. Areas 64.0 58.6 112.6 10.7 10.8 21.8 60.3 CheiigkaiIrrig. Areas 9.2 6.3 14.6 1.8 1.0 2.8 34.5 Xiezhai Irrig. Areas 83.8 59.0 142.7 16.6 10.7 27.3 39.2 Shengli Qu Irrig. Areas 31.4 25.0 56.4 6.3 4.6 10.8 42.2 Tubewell Irrig. Areas 90.9 101.8 192.5 18.2 18.8 38.9 50.6 Sub-total 269.3 249.4 518.7 53.7 45.7 99.4 46.0 19.0 Sub-total Irrig. A Drainage 854.9 880.9 1715.8 170.6 168.1 828.7 48.1 82.8 _ ------_- -- - _-- --- _------_- - - -- _-- B. AGRI. INTENSIF. & SERVICES 1. Cropland improvement 107.4 310.9 418.8 21.2 58.9 80.1 73.5 15.3 2. Afforestation 61.8 12.9 74.7 12.0 2.3 14.3 16.1 2.7 3. Qualityseeds dv-lopment 43.8 86.7 129.6 8.8 16.0 24.8 e4.5 4.7 4. Agrotech. extension 56.9 126.0 180.9 11.1 23.5 34.6 67.9 6.6 S. Agromachinery£ services 8.6 129.9 138.6 1.6 24.8 26.6 93.2 5.1 8. Agro-environment 9.6 1.4 11.0 1.9 0.2 2.1 9.5 0.4

Sub-total 287.1 686.8 962.9 56.8 126.7 182.5 68.9 34.9 C. INST. DEV. A SUPPORT 1. Tra;ning 37.8 8.9 46.2 7.1 1.6 8.7 18.4 1.7 2. Research 7.1 7.9 15.0 1.5 1.5 3.0 50.0 0.6 B. Tech. Assistance 0.0 1.8 1.8 0.0 0.3 0.3 100.0 0.1

Sub-total 44.4 18.6 63.0 8.e 3.4 12.0 28.3 2.3

TOTAL BASE COST 1188.4 1545.3 2731.7 238.0 287.2 523.2 S4.9 100.0 Physical contingencies 87.3 84.8 152.1 12.9 16.3 29.2 65.8 5.8 Price contingenc;es 292.8 369.8 862.8 9.4 31.2 40.e 76.8 7.8

TOTAL PROJECT COST\s 1546.5 1999.9 3546.4 268.3 334.7 593.0 56.4 113.3 ===3== *======*====e a======s = ====5= ------__------__------Exchange rate: USS1.00 = YS.22 Domestic inflation ratos used: 10,8,5,5,5w for 1991-95. \a: In January 1991 pricos. Total may not sum due to rounding. 36

Einancina

3.57 The proposed Bank Loan of US$147.1 million and IDA Credit of SDR 139 million (US$187.9 million equivalent) cover 56% of the project cost. The remaining 44% is to be financed by the Central and Provincial Governments as indicated in Table 3.6.

TABLE 3.6 Proiect Financing (USS million)

Source Shandong Anhui Jian, To % of Total

Bank/IDA 113.5 117.0 104.5 335.0 56

Centrl Govt. 31.0 37.0 38.0 106.0 18

Provincial Governacnts 17.5 17.2 11.7 46.4 8

Pref./Mun. Govemmcnts 6.3 2.3 5.0 13.6 2

Counayltown- ahip/self- rised finds 32.0 43.3 16.7 92.0 16

Total 200.3 216.8 175.9 A9.LO 100

Procuresent

3.58 Arrangements for procuring goods and services under the project will be made separately for each of the three Provinces except for large quantities of common items of goods (steel, timber, fertilizers, machinery, equipment, etc.) which will be jointly procured. The share of procurement requirements is roughly the same in each Province. Table 3.7 summarizes procurement arrangements for the project as a whole.

3.59 Works. Because all of the project works are small (none exceeding US$5.0 million in value), scattered and scheduled far apart they would not be of interest to foreign firms. Therefore, local competitive bidding (LCB) procedures, acceptable to the Bank/IDA will be used to invite bids for construction of buildings, pumping stations, major canal and drainage structures, bridges and mechanized excavation of major canals, drains and river channels for a total estimated value of US$18O.5 million. Part of the civil works (total US$89.6 million), mostly earthworks excavation for canals and drains and their associated structures, will be carried out by county and township construction teams at prior approved unit prices. The twelve largest civil works packaged for LCB (US$20 million) are shcsn in the procurement schedules in Annex 2, Table 3. Works on the laterals, sub-laterals, rural roads, afforestation and other on-farm works (US$48 million) will be carried out by project farmers mobilized by county and township governments. Land development (US$22.9 million) will be carried out by township agro-machinery service stations and agro-machinery specialized households. The last three categories of works are small and scattered over 73 counties in three Provinces in such a manner that it would not be cost efficient for them to be carried out by contracts. Force account would be permitted for these categorios of works for a total value not exceeding US$161 million. 37 Table 3.7 Procuremnt Profile (US$ million)

Ekifft El;! La I&l Other2 NAAk \c LAnd 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.3 7.3 (0.0) (0-0)

Work \b\3 0.0 180.5 89.6 0.0 270.1 (75.3) (37.6) (112.9) LandIrovnemelt/ Affomeltion/ 0.0 0.0 70.9 0.0 70.9 On-farmwork X1 (15.6) (1S.6)

Goods 127.3 67.1 29.6 0.0 224.0 (117.3) (59.6) (22.6) (199.5)

Training and 0.0 0.0 13.7 0.0 13.7 R69earch (6.5) (6.5)

Tech. Asuisance 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 (0.5) (0-5) DesgWEnring/ Admin/MSge.nt 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.5 6.5 (°-0) (0.0)

TOTAL 127.3 247.6 204.3 13.1 593.0 (117.3) (134.9) (82.8) (0.0) (335.0)

Noic: Fgprs in parnhsis are the resective anmou financedby Bank/IDA. %a:N/A - not applicable(local coda). \b: Includesbuildiqgs and utlitics. %J: incdes force accoumtwork for eatiiworks and onfainr work conimated by orgnsd lbor. U: IncludesLIB. dopping and direct purch from sole source. 13: Excludingcost of consruction materi (seel, cement & timber).

3 60 Gods The equipment,materials and supplies to be procured for the project are estimated to cost US$224 million. Thezs will be procured by three methods: (i) IC8 will be used to procure steel, timber, fortiLizer, agro-chemicals, vehicles, larger equipment and major materials. These items are estimated to cost about US$127.3 million in total, or 57 percent of all goods. Domestic manufacturers will receive margin of preference equal to 15 percent of the c.i.f. price of imported goods, or the actual import taxes, whichever is the lesser in the evaluation of ICB bids. Contracts for equipment, materials and supplies would be grouped into packages of US$200,000 or more. (Li) Small agriculturalmachinery, euipment and attachmentsof various kinds (US$33.3million), and cement (US$33.8 million) will be procured through local competitivebidding (LCB) procedures acceptable to the Bank/IDL in which foreign suppliersmay participate. None of the packages for LCB would exceedUS$200,000. (iii) Computers, engineering,laboratory and other specializedequipment (totalingUS$3.7 millioni)will be procured through limited internationalbidding (LID). There are only a limited number of suppliers of this specializedequipment yet enough to assurecompetitive prices, therefore ICB would not be the most economlc and efficientmethod of procurement. Small quantities of office, training and engineering equipment, laboratory instruments, workshop tools and other miscellaneous goods (totalingUS$8.0 million) will be procured through domestic shopping. None of the packages for shopping would excaed USS50,000 per contract and aggregatingto not more than US$8.0 million for the three Provinces. Planting materials includlng tree saplings, cuttings, seedlings, seeds etc. (totalingUS$14.1 million) will be purchased directly from local production teams and specializodhouoeholds. 38

3.61 Due to its limited shelf life and the need to supply to numerous scatteredproject sites, cement (US$33.8 million) will be procured in small batches (not exceeding100 tons each batch). Cement is produced in the three project Provinces at competitive price. Therefore, cement required for the project will be procured under an indefin:.tequantity blanket order arrangement in which LCB bids will be solicited annually from suppliers and manufacturers on a fixed-prices basis. The PMO0 will place orders with suppliers and manufacturers who offer the best delivered price according to the needs which are impossible to schedule in advance.

3.62 A detailed list showing how each item of machinery, equipment and materials will be procured is provided in Annex 2, Tables 2-1 to 2-3 for each of the Provinces. The procurement schedules in Annex 2, Tables 3-1 to 3-3 show how the goods are to be packaged and when they would be procured and delivered.

3.63 Trainina. Technical Assistance. Research etc. Training and research, costing about US$13.7 million, will be carried out based on prior agreed programs. Technical assistance (US$0.5 million) will bo procured in accordance with the Bank Group's guidelines for employment of consultants. Details are given in Annex 2, Tables 5-1 to 5-3. Other items of expenditures (land acquisition, design, engineering, supervision, administration and management), amounting to about US$13.8 million, will be locally funded.

3.64. Bank/IDA Review. Bidding documents for all goods and works packages in excess of US$200,000 will be subject to prior review by the Bank/IDA. This review will cover approximately 12 works contracts (7 percent of total works by value) and 33 goods packages (60 percent of total goods by value) over the five-year implementation period. Bidding documents will be standardized after review by the Bank/IDA and used in preparing subsequent bid documents. All reimbursable training and technical assistance programs will be subject to prior Bank/IDA review. Other contracts will be subject to selective review after bid awards. Each Province has appointed two procurement agencies to carry out procurement activities. These agencies ar- selected from among the International Tendering Company (ITC) of the China National Technlcal Import Corporation, the International Tendering Division of the China Machinery Import and Export Corporation (CMIEC), and the China Instrument Import and Export Corporation (CIIEC). All Lhese agencies have procurement experience on Bank Group projects and are acceptable to the Bank/IDA.

Riabursenets

3.65 Disbursements for machinery, equipment, vehicles and materials will be made against100% of the foreign expenditures of these items, 100% of the ex-factory price of locally manufactured items, and against 75% of expenditureu for items procured locally. Disbursements against LCB contracts for civil works, buildings and utilities will be made against 40% of contract expenditures, excluding the cost of construction materials (steel, cement, timber) supplied under the project. Disbursments against on-farm works,\' rural roads, afforestation and land improvement wlll be made againot 20% of force account expenditures. Disbursements for project otaff training, technical assistanceand research will be made against 100% of total expenditures.To take advantageof labor availability during the idling period of farming activities and the :990/91 winter season,retroactive financing for earthworks,structures, tub-wells, rural roads, land improvement, afforestation work, and small quantities of machinery, equlpment, construction and agricultural materials has been recommended for expendituresincurrod from November 1, 1990 to the date of signing of the Loan/Credit Agreement. The total disbursable amount will be SDR11.1 million (US$15 million equivalent);Anhui SDR3.4 million

WIue talm mu abtawl cuadrins and on-rum ascntum. 39

(US$4.6 million equivalent), Jiangsu SDR2.2 million (US$3.0 million equivalent) and Shandong SDR5.5 million (US$7.4 million equivalent) based on the work programs approved in advance by the Bank/IDA.

3.66 Statements of expenditures (SOEs) will be required for diabursement to be made against overseas training, study tours, contracts for goods and services costing less than US$200,000, and force account work. SOEs for civil works, irrigation and drainage, on-farm works, rural roads, land improvement and afforestation are to be supported by progress reports showing physical quantities and unit prices, the latter updated annually and reviewed by the Dank/IDA.

3.67 To facilitate disbursem-nts, the Bank/IDA will provide fund. to each Province to establish a Special Acc,.nt, with an initial deposit of SDR5.25 million (US$7.1 million equivalent) for Anhui, SDR4.8 million (US$6.5 million equivalent) for Jiangsu and SDR5.1 million (US$6.9 million equivalent) for Shandong, in a bank acceptable to the Bank/IDA. This Special Account will be operated and maintained by the Provincial PMO. Provincial PMOe will prepare and submit applications for disbursement and replenishment of the Special Account monthly or whenever the account is drawn down to half its initial deposit amount, whichever comes first. The project is expected to be completed by June 30, 1996 and to close on June 30, 1997. Disbursements for agricultural projects in China have been better than average for the Bank and the Asia Region. The estimated schedule of disbursements is given in Annex 2, Table 4 and Chart No.3. The disbursement profile is comparable with that for specific investment loans for agricultural projects in China.

Accounts and Audits

3.68 County PMOs will maintain records of all project expenditures. These records will be forwarded regularly to .he provincial PMOs, who will consolidate the accounts of expenditures and submit them to the Bank/IDA. At negotiations, assurances have been obtained from the three Provinces that the provincial PMOs will maintain consolidated project accounts which will be audited by an independent auditor. The State Audit Administration will be acceptable for this auditing purpose. The audited accounts will be submitted to the Bank/IDA within six months of the close of each financial year. The audited accounts are to include details on withdrawals from the Loan/Credit account made on the basis of SOEs, and the auditor's opinion as to whether such withdrawals were made against expenditures eligible for reimbursement by the Bank/IDA. 40

IV. ORGAN!ZATIOKAND MAGEME

Proiect oraanizatiga

4.1 Geonral Structure. At the central level, the Ministry of Water Resources (MWR), in close cooperation with the Ministry of Agriculture, will guide the three project Provinces in project implementation. The MWR's Economic Cooperation Division (ECD) of the Department of Foreign Affairs will function as the Central Project Coordinating Offic- (CPCO) and will work closely with the MOA's Office of External Economic Relations in coordinating project activities. The CPCO will provide general guidance to Anhui, Jiangsu and Shandong Provinces in implementing the project components in their respective provinces. The organization of the project is shown in Chart No.l.

4.2 Central Proiect Ste-rinc Group (CPSG) and the CPCO. To guide the CPCO in project policy matters, the MWR has established a Central Project Steering Group (CPSG). This group will be chaired by a Vice Minister of Water Resources and its members will include the MWR's directors of Foreign Affairs, Planning, Finance, Farmland Irrigation and Water/Soil Conservation, and a representative from MOA. Though located in the MWR, the CPSG will work closely with the MOA to formulate project policies designed to achieve the project's integrated objectives. The CPSG will review progress, coordinate project implementation, and resolve issues that develop between i4WR, MOA and the three Provinces. The CPCO's main function will include: (i) coordinate project implementation and management, which includes overall project planning and reviewing technical proposals, resolving major engineering issues and issuing guidelines for the preparation of technical reports; (ii) resolve conflicts that emerge among provinces in water resource use and allocation; (iii) review and approve preliminary designs for major works; (iv) coordinate training, technical assistance and research activities; (v) provide liaison between the Bank/IDA and the three Provinces; (vi) assist in reviewing and monitoring progress of project implementation; and (vii) assist provinces in mid- term review and preparation project completion report. Assurances have been obtained at negotiations that the CPSG will be maintained with composition and responsibilities acceptable to the Bank/IDA.

4.3 Project Leadino Grours. Project leading groups (PLGs) have been established at the provincial, prefecture, and county levels. They are chaired by a senior administrative official at each level. The provincial PLGs, directly responsible to the provincial governments, will: (i) formulate project polices based on guidelines from the CPLG and the provincial government; (ii) review project planning and progress; (iii) ensure the budgetory allocation of sufficient counterpart funds and guide the expenditure of all project funds, and (iv) coordinate project implementation issues. The PLGO at all levels will include representatives from the Planning Commission, Agricultural Commission (where applicable), Bureaus/Departments of Finance, Water Resources, Agriculture, Audit, the Provincial Environmental Protection Agency, and the Provincial 3H Agricultural Development Office.

4.4 Project Management Offices (PMOs}. PMOs also have been established at the provincial, prefecture and county levels serving as executive arms of the PLGs. In Shandong, the provincial PMO is under the administrative control of the Bureau of Finance; in Anhui, under the Provincial Planning Commission; and in Jiangsu, under the Bureau of Agricultural Resources Comprehensive Development and Management. Each PMO has generally five departments--administration/coordination, finance, 41 agriculture, water resources and environmental protection. These departments are staffed by 15 to 20 full-time profeEaionals transferred from relevan_ administrative and technical departments and/or staff recruited especially for taese positions. The county PMOs will have primary responsibility for implementing most project activities and are staffed mainly by personnel from the county departments of Water Resources, Agriculture, Planning, Finance and Environmental Protection. The PMO0 will: (i) prepare detailed annual work plans and budgets; (ii) review and approve lower level PMO work plans; (iii) monitor physical and financial progress; (iv) revi-e and approve designs and technical specifications for works and goods; (v) pl&n, administer and coordinate project training and technical assistance; (vi) undertake procurement of works under LCB procedures and coordinate with the provincial PMO on ICB, LIB and LCB procurement of goods; (vii) prepare, collate and submit detailed project progress reports, accounts and audits to the provincial PMO for consolidation and submission to the Bank/IDA; (viii) assist the provincial PMO in preparing disbursement applications for Bank/IDA funds; (ix) monitor and evaluate the project's benefits and impact; and (x) coordinate between the project and the various supporting technical and financial departments. Assurances have been obtained at negotiations that the PLGs will be maintained with composition and responsibilities acceptable to the Bank/IDA and that the PMOs will be maintained with functions and responsibilities acceptable to the Bank/IDA, staffed by competent staff in adequate numbers.

4.5 Irrigation Area Engineering Headcuarters. Some of the project's irrigation and drainage works will cross county or prefecture boundaries. In these cases, the prefecture or provincial Bureau of Water Resources (BWR) will establish engineering command headquarters to organize and supervise construction of the works. These offices, staffed by BWR engineers, will work closely with the prefecture and county PMOs and the Bureaus/Departments of Water Resources. After the project is completed, these command headquarters will become irrigation districts or area management offices overseeing the operation and maintenance of activities under the jurisdiction of the Bureau/Department of Water Resources.

4.6 Technical Consultative GrouDs /TCGsl. Technical Consultative Groups (TCGs), comprising scientists, specialists and engineers, will be established at the central and provincial levels to advise the CPSG, PLGs and PMOs. Initially, the TCGs will review project preparation and feasibility reports, select and design project sub-components, and evaluate project economic beneiits. During implementation, the TCGs will advise on specific engineering problems; on technical specifications for machinery and equipment; and on training, extension and research programs. To provide technical support at the central level, the TCG will use the resources of the 3H Development Research Office of the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences (CAAS) (some 500 scientists and specialists) for the agricultural component, and the Yellow River and Huai River Commissions for the water conservancy component. Provincial TCGs will use experts from the provincial research institutes and universities. To avoid duplication of effort among the three Provinces, the central and provincial TCGs will closely coordinate their respective research activities for major crops, seeds development and varietal improvement, and production technologies.

Financial Management

4.7 Flow of Bank/IDA Funds. Assurances have been obtained at negotiations that the GOC will onlend the proceeds of the Bank Loan and IDA Credit to the three Provinces on terms and conditions satisfactory to the Bank/IDA. Understadings were reached at negotiations that the GOC will onlend to the Provinces for 15 years 42 including 5 years of grace with interest at 5 percent annum. Each Province will relend the Bank/IDA funds at the same terms to the prefecture/municipal governments who, in turn, will relend to county governments. The foreign exchange risk will be borne by the Provinces. At each level of onlending, contracts will be signed i dicating the terms and conditions of onlending. At the county level, the county _.Oswill onlend and collect repayments, through signed contracts, to and from township/village agricultural service stations for the agricultural machinery, equipment and production inputs. Part of the Bank/IDA '-nds will be paid directly to suppliers of goods under ICB, LIB and LCB contracts on requests by the provincial PMOs. A small portion of funds will be used to cover the costs of training, technical assistance and research. The remaining funds will be disbursed against local expenditures for civil works, buildings, on-farm works, afforestation, land improvement and goods procured locally.

4.8 Sources and Flows of Domestic Funds. Domestic funds, which will finance about 44% of the project costs, will be contributed by the central, provincial, prefecture, county and township governments as well as project beneficiaries. The central government's contribution will come froi,nthe special "3H Agricultural Development Fund" allocated annually for agricultural development in the North China Plain. Other governments' contributions will be raised through budgetary al3cations. Project beneficiaries will contribute both funds and labor for earthwork construction. The central, provincial, prefecture, municipality, county and township governments would provide, in timely fashion, their required contributions to local counterpart funds. The PMOs will deposit counterpart funds in special accounts in the county branches of the Agricultural Bank of China (ABC) or the Construction Bank of China. These banks will act as fiscal agents for the county PMOs to disburse funds and receive repayments, but will not be responsible for enforcement of repayments. This resDonsibility will remain with the county PMOs.

4.9 Recovery of Proiect Investments. County PMOs will be responsible for both disbursing funds to and recovering funds from project beneficiaries. Township and county governments will repay the prefecture governments, which in turn will repay the provincial governments. The latter will repay the HOF for the Bank Loan and IDA Credit used. Full recovery of the Bank/IDA portion of the project funds will be guaranteed by the bureaus/departments of finance at all levels in each Province. Domestic funds will be similarly recovered, in accordance with terms and conditions determined by each provincial government.

4.10 Terms and Conditions of Bank Loan/IDA Credit. A project agreement will be signed between the Bank/IDA and the three Provinces incorporating the above terms. State Council approval of the Loan and Development Credit Agreements will be a condition of effectiveness for the Loan/Credit.

Execution and Sunervision of Proiect Works

4.11 Execution. Prior to implementation, the provincial PMOs will evaluate in details those county proposals to finance project activities not appraised by t'le Bank/IDA to ensure that they are consistent with overall project objectives and they have economic rates of returns comparable to those of the relevant representative models.' At negotiations, assurances have been obtained from the Provinces that the

The appraisalmission covered 100% of the four surfaceirrigation schemes and 25% of tubewellirrigation areas in Shandong;100% of the two river basin areasand 20-25%of the surface and groundwaterirrigation areas in Anhui;and 25% of the surfacewater irrigationareas in the four regionsof Jiangsu. 43

provincial PMOs will evaluate and notify the Bank/IDA of those county proposals accepted for implementation under the project and their respective economic rate of returns. The county PMOs will have primary responsibility for executing and managing most project works, and will use a variety of implementation methods as illustrated below. They will let LCB contracts to local construction teams or enterprises to construct both irrigation and drainage works from branch canals and drains onward (see Para. 4.5 above), and for seed processing and agricultural extension buildings. They will use local contractors or direct labor contracts for the construction of minor facilities and the installation of equipment at seed farms and centers, agrotechnical extension centers and stations, and agri-machinery service stations. They will utilize county or township construction teams under force account operations for the construction and rehabilitation of tubewells and piping systems. They will organize and use local farm labor, mobilized and funded by individual villages, to construct earthworks and accomplish on-farm works, land improvement, and afforestation, also under force account operations. For the project's largest construction job-the pumping stations and other improvements on the Grand Canal - the Jiangsu provincial PMO will award contracts by LCB to be managed by the Jiangsu Provincial Bureau of Water Resources.

4.12 Sunervision. Day to day supervision of project works will be accomplished by implementing departments. Further, to ensure that work schedules and quality standards are met, a joint ministry/province team will monitor and inspect project works at half-yearly intervals and send its findings and recommendations to the provincial PMO0.2 The provincial PMOs will furnish these findings and recommendations tc the Bank/IDA together with the half-yearly progress reports stipulated in para. 4.18.

Overation and Maintenance

4.13 Existina Operation and Maintenance Procedures. The responsibility for operation and maintenance (o&M) of water conservancy works is shared among different levels of governments and water-users in the three Provinces. In Jiangsu, the Grand Canal, the trunk canals and main drainage channels are the responsibility of the provincial Bureau of Water Resources. For irrigation systems crossing more than one county, O&M is undertaken by irrigation district or area management offices under the prefecture or municipal department of water resources. For smaller areas and for branch canals and below, county departments of water conservancy provide the O&M together with the units at the township or village levels. Laterals and sub- laterals are generally maintained by the water users through annual contributed labor and are operated by ditch riders or canal headmen selected by the water users. In tubewell irrigation areas, operation, maintenance and management is handled at the village level by groups which receive technical assistance from the water conservancy units. Tubewells are contracted to tubewell operators by the village groups. Farmers in tubewell irrigation areas are charged water fees based on actual O&M costs, which include repair and depreciation of equipment.

4.14 O&M Enhancements. As the project involves improvements to and expansions of existing irrigation schemes, organizations already are in place to carry out O&M activities. However, these organizations require certain changes and enhancements in order to make O&M more effective and efficient. The project will provide training for irrigation staff in operating and managing large irrigation systems and associated machinery, equipment, and vehicles. For more efficient water

2 The joint ministry/provincialsupervision teams will consist of one representativeeach from MWR, MOA and thethree Provincial Governnents. 44 management, the project will construct water management centers in Jiangsu and Anhui complete with facilities and equipment (both hardware and software) to monitor operation of the Grand Canal in Jiangsu and the major irrigation schemes along the Huai River system in Anhui. Currently, the two Provinces have no such system in operation. The O&M procedures for larger irrigation schemes will be systemically documented in a Plan of Operation and Maintenance (POM) to be prepared by each Province based on the World Bank Technical Paper No.99 given to each Province..3 The draft plan for each identified surface water irrigation scheme will be furnished to the Bank/IDA for comment not later than December 31, 1991. Thereafter, the plans will be issued to irrigation O&M staff at all levels for trial operation for a period of three years. After this time the plan will be reviewed, revised as necessary and re-issued before December 31, 1995 based on the results of the trial operation. At negotiations, assurances have been obtained on the preparation and issuance of the POMs as indicated above.

4.15 Surface Irrigation O&M - Fundina Considerations. Unlike tubewell irrigation areas, which self-finance their O&M, surface irrigation areas generally receive government subsidies to cover their O&M costs. Current water fees collected are barely enough to meet annual O&M costs. Water fees are supplemented by the 12 to 15 days of labor (per year) contributed by each farmer for canal and drain repair and desilting work. Very little funds are left over for major repair, replacement of structures, or equipment installations. This explains the poor and deteriorating condition of most project schemes. Existing water fees collected range from a low of Y3 to Y8 per 1,000 cu m in Jiangsu, to a high of Y25-Y30 in Anhui and Shandong. For the project, the three Provinces have agreed to raise water fees in stages to at least meet full annual O&M costs, plus major repair and replacement costs.4 In 1990, Anhui proposed immediate increases in water fees to cover 100% of annual O&M costs. In Jiangsu the WRB has proposed increases for 1992, to cover full annual O&M cost and 100% of depreciation. Shandong is gradually increasing its charges to cover 100% of annual O&M costs and 75-100% of depreciation costs by 1995. The Assurances have been obtained at negotiations from each Province that water charges would be collected at rates, revised periodically as necessary, to cover at least the full annual 0 & H costs.

Prolect Launch Workshop

4.16 To initiate project implementation, the Bank/IDA will conduct a project launch workshop in each Province during May and June 1991 for the staff of provincial, prefecture and county PMOs. The objectives of the workshop will be to clarify the role and responsibilities of PMOs at each level and to familiarize staff with project work planning, implementation and management. Other topics to be included will be: (i) procurement and disbursement procedures; (ii) financial administration and management; (iii) monitoring and evaluation; and (iv) record keeping and reporting. Project staff experienced in Bank-financed projects will be invited to share their experiences.

' Planninzthe Manaeement. Operation and Maintenance of Inijation andDrainsEe Systems (A Guidefor the Preparationof Stntegiesand Manuals)published jointly by theWorld Bank and the International Commission on Irrigationand Drainage.

I Anhuiwill raisertes from YO.02-0.03I /m3 presently to YO.046-0.095/m3,Jiangsu to Y0.00471m3 (from YO.003/m3),and Shandong to YO.0354-.055tOm(from YO.012-0.024/m3). 45

Monitorina. Evaluation and Retortina

4.17 PMO Monitoring and Evaluation Units. Full-time monitoring and evaluation (M&E) unit. will be established in the provincial PMOs to assess the project's overall progress an well as the socio-economic benefits for each component in the project area. Since the project components are simili, -`e Agriculture Economic Research Institute of CAAS in Beijing has designed a uniform M&E system for use by the three Provinces and will guide the M&E units' work. The Institute will also assist in the analysis and evaluation of data collected. As part of the evaluation process, the M&E units will conduct a baseline survey of selected project areas and beneficiaries not later than June 1991. The sample areas will be monitored once a year during and after project implementation to evaluate project benefits and impact. Key monitoring indicators are presented in Annex 2 Table 7A-B.

4.18 M&E Record KeeDing and ReDorting. Using the standardized M&E reporting system and formats, the county PMOs will maintain detailed records on the physical and financial progress of each project component. Physical indicators will include complete range of works completed, as well as machinery, equiLpment and materials procured. Financial records will detail all project expenditures, contributed labor, and records of and supporting claims for disbursements against Loan/Credit proceeds. Regular monitoring of physical and financial progress will allow the PMOs to identify problems and take timely remedial measures. The provincial PMOs will consolidate the physical and financial progress reports from county and prefecture PMos into semi-annual reports and furnish to the Bank/IDA by July 31 and January 31 of each year.

V. PRODUCTION. MARKETS AND PRICES

Production

5.1 crop yields are expected to increase significantly with improved irrigation and drainage, land improvement, development of improved varieties, appropriate fertilizer use, and a strengthened agricultural support services network. Improved irrigation will enable farmers to change cropping pattern from course grains (e.g., millet and sorghum) and sweet potato to high value crops such as corn and rice.

Cropping Pattern

5.2 The total cultivated area is about 1.14 million ha and the present cropped area is estimated at 1.89 million ha, which represents a cropping intensity of 166%. Wheat is by far the most important foodgrain and accounts for about 754,400 ha; it is followed by corn with 250,900 ha, soybean 181,600 ha, and rice 14Q,100 ha. Coarse grains (total 57,700 ha) and sweet potato (181,900 ha) have resurged, primarily because of several years of drought. Cotton (136,600 ha) and oilseeds (92,700 ha) are the main cash crops. Wheat is normally planted in October and harvested in May/June. Corn, rice, soybean and other grains are planted from late April to mid-June as soon as the wheat is harvested. The most common cropping system is wheat/corn, while wheat/rice, wheat/soybean and wheat/cotton are also encountered. Rotation systems generally feature three crops in two years. Without the project, the cropping pattern is not expected to change. With the project and improved irrigation, cropping intensity would increase slightly from 166% to 176%. 46

The area planted to rice would increase by 128% to 339,500 ha5, while the area planted to sweet potato would decrease by 31% to 127,330 ha, and other grains by 34% to 38,000 ha. The decrease in area planted with sweet potato and other grains will occur mainly in Anhui and Jiangsu. Figure 2 shows the cropping calendar.

Croo Yields and Production

5.3 As a result of the project, yield increases for the three Provinces combined are projected to be as follows: wheat - 19%, corn - 23%, rice - 21%, and cotton - 35%. These changes would produce annual production increase as follows: 2.5 million tons of foodgrain valued net of on-farm costs at US$422.3 million, 56,300 tons of ginned cotton worth US$80.5 million, 82,600 tons of oilseeds valued at US$15.5 million, and 65,100 tons of other crops valued at US$ 9.4 million. The present and future (at full development) cropping pattern, yields, and production for various crops are shown in Table 5.1. These yields are considered achievable based on present yields and yields obtained at full development under the NCP project. Yield projects for rice and corn are for hybrid varieties. Full development would be achieved five years following completion of project works.

Markets

5.4 The incremental production from the project will be consumed locally and exported to regions which are deficient in domestically produced grains. The demand for graina, oilseeds, and cotton in the project areas continues to increase as a result of population and income growth. The growing rural industry input needs also create a secure domestic demand for non-exported crops. Since 1980, project areas in the three Provinces have been designated collectively as one of China's major grain bases. However, cultivated land in these areas actually has decreased since 1985.6 Product markets are described below.

5*5 Grains. Some of the 2.5 million tons of incremental grain production from the project will be used to reduce national grain import. In 1989/90, China is expected to have imported about 15 million tons of wheat, 1.2 million tons of rice and 0.3 million tons of maize. In 1989, the three Provinces produced 88.2 million tons of grain or 21.6% of national output (Annex 1, Table 1). During the 1980s, Anhui and Jiangsu became large net exporters of grain and Shandong went from being a net exporter to a small net grain importer (see Annex 3, Table 9).

5.6 Most of incremental grain production in Anhui will be exported to areas deficit in domestic grain; the remainder will be consumed locally. Much of Jiangsu's projected incremental production is expected to be offset by per capita production decline. (Per capita grain production declined from 544 kg in 1985 to 502 kg in 1988. This trend is projected to accelerate through the life of the project.) While a portion of Jiangsu's incremental grain production will be exported to grain deficit regions, provincial demand pressures will continue to erode the Province's net grain export position. Shandong, lacking reliable water sources, will find it difficult to maintain grain self-sufficiency and incremental grain produced will be used to meet local needs.

s For clinmtic,soil andeconomic reasons, paddy is themost suitable summer crop in manyaras. It is more tolerant to waterloggingand slinity, andit giveshigher production of grainper unit areathan other foodgrain crops. Morm inportantly, farmere are keen to switchto paddy.

I Jiangwalone has lost over 13,000ha of croplandevery year since 1985, and expects to loseas much annually through the 8th FYP. Rural induril outputvalue has grown at a phenomenal30% annually in the 1978-1988period. Jiangsu unprocessedgrain out-sales and out-allocations havedeclined 5S percent from the1986 all timehighs of 3.02million tons. 47

Table 5.1 - CROPPING PATTERN. YIELDS MQ FPRODURCTIO

A. Anhui Crom=l lcarea Yield Pr2dU;t Present Future Prsture utur Present Future -- ('000 ha)------(ton/ha)------(000 ton)--

Wheat 202.4 220.3 3.2 4.2 647.7 925.3 Corn 16.8 47.5 3.6 4.5 60.5 213.8 Rice (paddy) 35.6 10'14 5.6 6.8 199.4 689.S Other grain 35.1 16.7 1.4 1.8 49.1 47.2 Sweet potato 92.3 70.5 4.1 5.2 378.4 366.6 soybean 74.9 28.0 1.0 1.8 74.9 50.4 Rape 10.9 21.0 1.1 1.8 12.0 37.8 Sesame 13.7 11.2 0.5 0.8 6.9 9.0 Peanut 5.6 9.7 1.6 2.4 9.0 23.3 Cotton 14.; 21.0 0.6 1.1 8.5 23.1 Vegetables 10.4 11.9 23.8 30.1 247.5 358.2 Jute 5.9 4.2 1.6 2.0 9.4 8.4 Total S17-7 563.4

C. I. 162% 176%

S. Jianasu

Cropped Areas _ield Production Pr***nt Futuro Pre-snt Future Present Future

----('000 ha) ---- (ton/ha)------(000 ton)--

Wheat 236.2 263.8 3.8 4.5 897.6 1187.1 Corn 79.1 56.5 4.7 5.5 371.8 310.8 Rice (paddy) 84.0 201.9 6.0 7.0 504.0 1,413.3 Barley 11.0 14.1 2.8 3.2 30.8 45.1 Other grain 8.4 4.1 1.9 3.3 16.0 13.5 Sweet potato 52.0 18.6 4.7 5.7 244.4 106.0 Soybean 55.3 22.4 1.6 2.3 88.5 S1.S Rape 19.3 23.0 1.3 2.0 25.1 46.0 Peanut 25.4 23.2 2.7 3.0 68.6 69.6 Cotton 49.7 52.3 0.8 1.1 39.8 57.5 Others 31.1 22.1 24.0 28.0 746.4 618.8

Ta 651.5 702.0

C. I. 167% 180%

c. shandoni Crowd Yieldudu resent Future r- Ftur- r t Futur- ---- ('OOO ha) ------(ton/ha)------('000 ton)--

Wheat 315.8 327.8 3.6 4.2 1,136.9 1,376.8 Corn 155.0 159.8 4.1 5.5 635.5 878.9 Rice (-paddy) 29.5 36.2 4.9 6.2 144.6 224.4 Other graLn 14.2 17.1 1.5 2.2 21.3 37.6 Sweet potato 37.6 36.4 4.3 5.5 161.7 200.2 Soybean 51.4 45.0 1.4 2.0 72.0 90.0 Peanut 17.8 18.7 2.1 3.0 37.4 56.1 Cotton 72.8 80.9 0.8 1.0 58.2 80.9 Vegetables 21.7 19.2 33.2 38.0 720.4 .#9.6 Melon 8.1 8.3 25.4 31.6 205.7 262.3

Total 723.2a 749.4 C. X. 167% 173%

--- …------…------48

5.7 Cotton. There is also considerable excess national demand for cotton. Although production has grown rapidly, it has not kept pace with the large and expanding export capacity of the textile industry. National production of cotton is expected to have reached 4.2 to 4.4 million tons in 1990, while total demand will have exceeded 4.5 million tons. Despite the tight domestic supply situation, China continues to be a net exporter of cotton, exporting 0.5 million ton of cotton lint (much of it long-staple cotton f:om Xinjiang) in 1989. That same year, the three Provinces produced 1.7 million tons of cotton lint, or about 40% of national output (Annex 1, Table 1). Shandong is self-sufficient in cotton. Jiangsu and Anhui are still considered net exporters of cotton-lint. However, cotton demand in the two Provinces has so far outstripped supply that officials only expect to achieve supply-demand balance in the 8th Five Year Plan by closing or converting small-scale cotton processing and textile mills.7 The incremental cotton production of 56,300 tons in 3% of output in the three Provinces in 1989 and will be used to supply mills in the three Provinces.

5.8 Oilseeds. Most o. the incremental output of oilseeds will be sold in regional and national markets to satisfy growing domestic demands. The remainder will be used to maintain current export levels in the three Provinces. The domestic demand for edible vegetable oils has increased substantially in recent years due to the rapid growth of rural and urban incomes. Despite tight supplies of oilseeds, in 1989 China still managed to export large quantities of soybeans (1.3 million tons) and other oilseeds (0.3 million ton). In 1989, the three Provinces produced 3.9 million tons of oilseeds, or 156% of provincial demands (Annex 1, Table 1).8

5.9 Forest Products. Forestry activities are promoted under the project primarily for environmental purposes. Nevertheless, at full development the project 3 will annually add 609,500 m of timber and 40,500 tons of fuelwood for rural energy needs. Most of the timber will be utilized in constructing rural homes and making of furniture. Incremental forestry production is valued net of production costs at US$34 million.

Xarketina Channels

5.10 Grains and Oilseeds. There are three channels for domestic marketing of grain and oil crops. Farmers must sell a proportion of their crop to the state Grain Bureaus in accordance with contracts (pertaining to their land-leases) established at the beginning of each season. After fulfilling these contracts, farmer. may sell to the local Grain Bureaus at negotiated prices, and/or may sell in local markets. Regarding the first marketing option, the GMC sets annual targets and purchase prices for staple crop contract procurement in consultation with the Provinces. County authorities have some flexibility in setting specific targets and prices for crops in accordance with local production patterns. The GOC has steadily reduced precurement targets from 15-17% of total production in 1985 to 8-11% in 1989, and, in the future, intends to reduce them further.' Secondly, graiii

'In 1989,despite thfac t at lianu millagent purchaed between 30,000-75.000 tons of cottonlint fromAnhui hrmers (and induced a biddg warbetween thw two provinces) nd cotton imports amountsd to 35,000-40,000tons, .aqnS fced a shortfallbetween150,000-200,000 tons. Anma Anl cotton demandis between 190,000-220,000tonbut supplyisa y 172,000tons.

' Demad is cealcuted as 5 kSof edible oil per capitain urtn are and3 kg in rul aeas, auuming that a ton of oilsedc yields0.3 ton of edibleoil.

'The actualpoportion pabularfrmer conacts of a paicubr crop variesconiderbly depnding on countyplns for meeting tgs. 49

procurement may be negotiated at prices pegged slightly below market levels; this type of procurement now accounts for about 19% of total grain production and about 20% of oilcrop production, again with wide variations (see Annex 3, Table 10). Finally, in the project area there are more than 800 rural markets handling in excess of Y1.4 billion anrually. Between 2-30% of grains and 2-38% of oilcrops are marketed annually in rural trade fairs. Subject to fulfillment of grain and oilseed contracts and repayment of their project loans (see para. 6.5), project farmers will be free to dispose of incremental grain and oil crop production as they wish. To monitor this arrangement, assurances have been obtained at negotiations that the Provinces will conduct annual reviews and analyses of contract and negotiated procurement targets for grain and oil crops in the project area and will furnish them to the Bank/IDA by March 31 each year.

5.11 Cotton. In accordance with national policy, project area farmers will sell all of their cotton lint output to local Supply and Marketing Cooperatives (SMCs) at fixed prices (para. 5.14).

Prices

5.12 Output Prices. Beginning in 1984, the GOC has reduced the number of goods subject to state monopoly procurement, reduced the quantities of grains procurr'd under compulsory contracts, and increased producer prices as part of ongoing agricultural reforms. Additionally, the GOC has eased inter-provincial marketing restrictions and sanctioned the establishment of free retail and wholesale markets, resulting in an annual increase of 7.7% in the volume of rural market trade in real terms between 1978-1988.10 Consumers have benefitted from the wider availability and higher quality of farm products. However, agricultural price reform has also been associated with rapid inflation, sharp price and supply fluctuations, mounting state expenditures on consumer food subsidies, and growing inefficiencies in the allocation and sale of farm inputs. While affirming their long-term comnitment to continuing price and market liberalization, the three Provinces have reverted to administrative control over prices and incentives in the short term. Central price reforms expected in 1988 were deferred to 1990 (and then, except for cotton, to 1991 or later) and private inter-provincial trade in rice was prc'tbited in Jiangsu in mid-1989.

5.1 Grain and Oil Crops. There are three sets of producer prices for grain and oil crops, linked to the three marketing channels described in para. 5.10 above: contract prices, negotiated prices with state grain bureaus, and free market prices. The prices set by the government for contract sales are the lowest of these. Free market prices are significantly higher than contract prices: for wheat by 56-140%, maize 95-127%, rice 94-112%, soybean 60-138%, peanuts 55-57%, and rape 39%. Prices negotiated with state grain bureaus are supposed to be pegged to market prices; in recent years they have been about 15% below them.:: In project areas, negotiated prices fluctuate more than market prices both regionally and annually. This sugges.' that state agencies may on occasion negotiate procurement at prices close to contract levels, so as to augment contract procurement. In order to monitor incentives to project farmers, assurances were obtained at negotiations that the Provinces will carry out annual review and analyses of market and negotiated prices

" Jiaqgsu mWlmno. t sales in current yuandeflated by OVAO.Tbi amumesthat real growthtrends in Anhuiand Shandorngnral narketu approximatethowe in Jiagm.

" However,good 1990harvesc have reducedmrket prices below negotictedprice levels, maintainedat 'asured' price levels, for some crops. 50 for grain and oil crops in the project area and furnish them to the Bank/IDA by March 31 each year.

5.14 Cotton. Cotton farmers are obliged to sell all their production under state procurement contracts. The GOC fixes cotton prices every three years. Cotton prices were raised 26.9% in late 1989, the end of the most recent three-year period.12 Cotton production declined substantially between 1984-1986, before prices were adjusted in 1987. Since 1987, cotton production has recovered somewhat in response to provincial (and local) incentive schemes, amounting to between 10-15% of the national price."3 Since the decision for price increase is at central level, the provincial Price Bureaus will continue to communicate cotton price analyses and recommendations annually, prior to the setting of cotton prices by the State Price Bureau. At negotiations, assurances were obtained that each Province will annually review and analyze cotton price and production incentives given to farmers and make recommendations for such prices and production incentives for the coming year, and furnish the results and recommendations to the State Price Bureau and the Bank/IDA by March 31 each year.

5.15 Imported Input Prices. Farm inputs are mainly distributed through the state-run marketing system (SMCs). Farm inputs have been underpriced in the project area and throughout China for many years. The price structure for most critical farm inputs features at least three different price levels: low incentive prices, mid-level prices and local negotiated prices. Incentive input prices, for imported and domestic fertilizers, imported pesticides and domestic fuels, are linked to staple crop contract production. In the project area, farm input sales of urea at incentive price levels amount to less than 5% of total demand. The residual demand is met from local production sold at mid-level prices, from SMCs at negotiated prices, or from local (black) market purchases at market price levels. The incentive urea price is only 63% Jf the border price but the weighted cost of urea and DAP in project areas are 6% and 2% greater than their respective border prices. Inputs imported under the project will be sold to farmers through CATECs. Assurances have been obtained at negotiations that (a) the CATECs will charge prices reflecting import costs plus distributors' margin, and (b) provincial governments will annually review the sales prices of imported inputs and furnish their findings to the Bank/IDA by March 31 of the next year. Most seed companies in the project area are self-supporting enterprises, selling seeds to farmers at prices sufficient to maintain adequate profit margins.

"2From Y 4728/ton to Y 6000/ton.

Theswn incentives currently amountto about Y700/ton. 51

VI. ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL ANALY8I8

Benefits

6.1 The major benefits of the project are incremental staple crop production and increased incomes for rural dwellers. Secondary benefits include timber and firewood production, assured urban and industrial water supplies in Jiangsu Province, and flood prevention and drainage control in Anhui Province. The project will provide incremental annual production of 2.5 million tons of grains (wheat, maize, potatoes, soybeans, coarse grains and paddy), valued net of on-farm costs at US$422.3 million; 56,300 tons of cotton valued at US$80.5 million, 82,600 tons of oilseeds valued at US$15.5 million and, 65,100 tons of other crops valued at US$9.4 million. The total value of the annual incremental crop output is US$527.7 million.

Table 6.1 Annual Incremental Staple Crop Production and Value Added

(thousnd tons, millionUSS) Grains Oil Crops Cotton Other

Anhui AnnualIncremental Production 854.8 42.1 14.0 -1.0 AnnualIncremental Net Value 154.1 6.7 18.0 3.5

Jiagsu AnnualIncremental Produ&tion 966.9 21.3 17.8 AnnualIncremct l NetValue 148.1 5.0 27.1 -

Shandong Annuallncremental Production 641.9 19.2 24.5 66.1 AnnualIncremental Net Value 120.2 3.9 35.4 5.9

Total Project AnnualIncremental Production 2463.6 82.6 56.3 65.1 Annul Increen MalNet Value 422.3 15.5 80gS 9.4

6.2 Shelter belt and border row investments will permit annual production at full development of 609,500 m3 of t 4.mber and 40,500 tons of firewood, valued net of production costs at US$34 million. Rehabilitation and expansion of the Jiangdu-Nansi Yangtze water diversion will assure municipalities and industries along the route of an annual incremental supply of 450 million m3 of water valued at US$2.2 million.t The reconstruction of two major Huai River tributary flood control and drainage systems in Anhui will provide improved flood protection for about 600,000 persons over some 8,400 km2. These urban and industrial water supply and flood control benefits, while significant, have not been included in the project's economic analysia. Other benafits not evaluated include improved inland transportation on the Grand Canal and Nanai Lake and the restoration of fishing and other aquatic production in Nanai Lake.

1 Derived ssingan average induaal waterduty of 455n3per YI0,000outputvalue,projected 1995 GVIO of Y 37.8 billion, averge industrialwater utilizationrate of 43.3%, projected1995 utban populationof4.02 nillion, per capitewban water consumptionof 133litres/day and an averge water supplycoat of Y 0.026/m3. 52

Emalovuent and Incomes

6.3 Em lovment The construction of project works will generate 449,400 person-years of employment during the five-year period of the project. As rural labor force in the project area is about 30-40% under-utilized, project construction can be easily undertaken by paying rural laborers to work during the off-season.2 After the project is completed, 232,200 person-years of regular employment will be created: 178,900 in intensified cropping activities, 16,200 in augmentation of agricultural extension and seeds services, 16,200 in farm mechanization, 1,400 in seven new cotton processing plants in Shandong, 600 in project township staff positions, 6,700 in management and 12,300 person-years in operation and maintenance of irrigation system. Again, existing labor resources are sufficient to meet project needs.

6.4 Incomes. Project investments would increase the productivity of labor and incomes of project farmers who, as a group, earn only 75% of the average rural income in three Provinces (see para. 2.7 and Annex 1, Table 1).3 To estimate increases in family income, farm models have been developed for twelve representative project areas in the three Provinces. A summary of these farm model analyses is presented in Annex 3, Table 3. In Anhui, the project would increase farm household incomes by 40%, from Y2,138 (US$410) to Y2,986 (US$572), in Shandong by 24%, from Y2,213 (US$424) to Y2,735 (US$524), and in Jiangsu by 42%, from Y2,119 (US$406) to Y3,014 (US$577). Average returns per man-day in Anhui would improve by 21%, from Y9.7 to Y11.7, in Shandong by 14%, from Y11.6 to Y13.2 and in Jiangsu by 22% from Y9.2 to Y1l.2.

Cost Recovery

6.5 Cost recovery for the project takes several forms. Farmers will pay the full costs of chemical fertilizers, pesticides and plastic sheeting sold by the CATECs and SMCe. Farmers also will pay the full cost of seeds sold by township seed stations and of machinery hire services provided by township and village agricultural machinery stations. The cost of investments in irrigation will be recovered through labor contributions for construction, operation and maintenance, and through increases in water charges. The Provinces will gradually increase charges so as to recover 100% of the cash O&M and power costs of the irrigation works (para. 4.15). In addition, the three project Provinces propose to recover from project beneficiaries approximately 10% of the value of the incremental grain output as contribution towards repayment of project cost. These project charges would yield a total cost recovery index of 46% (see Annex 3, Table 5). Rent recovery averages 27% at full development of the project (discounted over the life of the project). That in, the public authority will recover only 27% of the surplus that farmers receive above the minimum return necessary to induce project participation.

2 Every project asrnarmb boreris expectedto comnmit1215 daysper yearto water resoureswork. However,in existng rigpted ares actul contributedlabor amounts to no mor tham548 days per yer per taborer. Wags rtes for contributedlabor of Y2.O+/day ae considerablyku than the avergc;commercial project aema rural wagerte of YSOl/day.

3 In 1988,nrtl per capita inconwwas Y470 in the projectarea and Y623 in the three provinces overall. 53

Economic Analysis

6.6 An economic analy 's was dons for each of the three provincial project areas, for each of fourteen representative irrigation schemes, and for the project as a whole, using constant 1990 border prices. The fourteen representative schemes were designed to reflect the range of cropping patterns, yields, technologies, and investments in the project area. In Anhui, this necessitated the development of two surface water irrigation models, two drainage/irrigation models, and two well irrigation models -- one using earthen channels and one a sub-surface pipe delivery system. In Jiangsu, models were created to depict the conversion of dryland to paddy cultivation, the extension of irrigation to dryland areas, and the rehabilitation of partly irrigated areas. In Shandong, models were developed for two Yellow River diversions, one surface irrigation scheme, and one sub- surface pipe conveyance well irrigation scheme.

6.7 The investment cost of imported inputs such as fertilizers and agro-chemicals is excluded from the cash-flow analysis, since the cost is charged as an annual farm production cost in the economic crop budgets. The cost of processing paddy and cotton-lint have been estimated based on existing operations and are deducted in the calculation of farm-gate prices in border- price terms. All other investment costs, including physical contingencies, and operation and maintenance costs, have been taken into account in estimating the economic costs of the project. Economic O&M costs include: electricity, valued at YO.4/kwh; contributed labor valued at the shadow wage rate of Y 3.3S per man-day (see para 6.8); and other labor, management, maintenance, repair, overhaul and replacement costs expressed as ecoromic values.

6.8 World Bank price projections were used to estimate farm-gate economic prices in constant 1990 terms for traded inputs and outputs (see Annex 3, Table 7). Economic prices for non-tradeables were estimated using conversion factors (summarized in Annex 3, Table 6), based on an analysis of the deviation of social opportunity costs from actual prevailing financial prices induced by tax and price distortions in non-traded goods in the three Provinces. All economic values were converted to local currency at the official exchange rate of Y5.22 to one US dollar. Farm and unskilled labor has been valued at Y3.35 per man-day, representing 67% of the average rural wage rate of Y5.00 per man-day in the project area. Annex 3, Tables 8-1 to 8- 6 show the summary of economic analyses, sensitivity analysis, economic crop budget models and cash-flow analyses.

6.9 Based on the above assumptions and a 25-year period of analysis, the economic rate of return (ERR) of the project is estimated at 26.5. The net present value of the project discounted at 12% exceeds Y 5.3 billion. These relatively high returns reflect the existence of significant sunk costs in irrigation infrastructure, which results in a low per hectare investment cost. The project is not rendered unprofitable by significant changes in costs or benefits: benefits will need to be S0% lower than estimated or incremental costs 101% higher before the ERR will fall to 12%. 54

Risks

6.10 Project risks have been identified and measures incorporated in the project to minimize their effect. First, on the question of lack of institutional capacity and capability to implement the project, the three project Provinces had previous experience in implementating Bank Group projects. Project management has been established in all Provinces, prefectures and counties and staffed with experienced personnel. The project will also provide training to upgrade skills of staff at all levels. Second, the risk that future upstream development of the Yellow River will reduce flows available for the proposed Nansi Lake diversion project and the associated risk arising from delay in construction have been reflected in the *conomic analysis. Third, during drought years Jiangsu may face water deficit during the period April-June. The effect would be minimized through the provision a contingency plan to increase tempoary pumping and storage regulation. In addition, the irrigation canal simulation system to be provided under the project would optimize supply and demand of water. Fourth, the risk of depleting groundwater resources in Shandong project area will be minimized through investments in water-saving irrigation technology. Fifth, the risk that benefits will not be fully realized due to inadequate O&M of project works will be minimized by the increased provincial efforts to raise water fees to fully cover O&M and depreciation costs, by the dissemination of irrigation management systems appropriate to household-managed crop production and by the provision of adequate investments in O&M machinery. Sixth, the risk that the projected productivity may not be sustained will be minimal as expected yields are realistic and reflect the yields of large-scale extensicn efforts in similar areas on the North China Plain. The project's agricultural package would ensure adequate agricultural support services. Moreover, the provincial governments have agreed to provide price and production incentives to encourage production of the major crops. 55

VII AGRZENS REACgED AND RECObHZNDMATOx

7.1 At negotiations, assurances have been obtained from the Provinces of Anhui, Jiangsu and Shandong that each Province will:

(a) furnish to the Bank/IDA by December 1 of each year an annual fertilizer plan showing the quantities of chemical fertilizers required and the plan for procuring them (para. 3.25);

(b) sell project fertilizer and other production input materlals to farmers at full cost plus distributors' margin and operate a revolving fund using the sale proceeds which will be used to purchase additional quantities of required inputs (paras. 5.15, 3.25,);

(c) cause each CATEC to prepare and submit a detailed extension program to the provincial PMOs each year before December 31, showing the proposed activities and physical targets for the following year (para. 3.28);

(d) carry out training according to program. agreed with the Bank/IDA (para. 3.36);

(e) obtain prior approval from the Bank/IDA for pesticides to be provided under the project and follow the Bank Group guidelines on storage, handling, distribution and use of such pesticides and, where applicable, the MOA guidelines on safe use. (para. 3.45);

(f) ensure that project activities will conform with environmental protection guidelines and standards satisfactory to the Bank/IDA (para. 3.44); maintain the environmental unit under its provincial PMO with acceptable functions and responsibilities and staffing; furnish an environmental management program to the Bank/IDA for review no later than December 31, 1991; and furnish the results of annual environment monitoring program to the Bank/IDA by March 31 of the following year (para. 3.51);

(g) furnish a detailed annual budget and work program to the Bank/IDA by December 31 of each year, for project implementation in the following year (para. 3.52);

(h) furnish the consolidated project accounts for annual auditing by an independent auditor acceptable to the Bank/IDA and the auditor's report to the Bank/IDA within six months of the close of each financial year (para. 3.68);

(i) maintain the PLGs with composition and responsibilities acceptable to the Bank/IDA and the PMOs with functions and responsibilities acceptable to the Bank/IDA, and staffed by competent staff in adequate numbers (paras. 4.4);

(j) evaluate county proposals to finance activities under the project in accordance with models agreed with the Bank/IDA and inform the Bank/IDA of those county proposals accepted for implementation and their respective economic rates of returns (para. 4.11); 56

(k) furnish a Plan of Operation and Maintenance (POM) for each of the largo irrigation ar-as to the Bank/IDA for coment by December 31, 1991, issue the POXM for trial use for a period of three years and re-issuobefore December 31, 1995 after roview and revision based on the results of the trial operation (para. 4.14);

(1) collect water charges at rates to be reviLed periodically as necessary to meet at least the full annual operation and maintenance costs of the completed irrigation schemes (para. 4.15);

(M) (L) review and analyze annually and furnlih the results to the Bank/IDA by March 31 of the next year:

(A) contract and negotiated procurement targets for grain and oil crops (para.5.10); (B) the market and the negotiated prices for grain and oil crops (para. 5.13); (C) the annual price and production incentives for cotton provided by provincial governments to farmers for the preceding year and the current year (para. 5.14); and (D) the sale prices of imported agricultural inputs (para. 5.15).

(li) furnish the recommendations for cotton prices and productLon incentives to the Bank/IDA and the State Price Bureau by March'31 of each year (para. 5.14);

(n) for Anhui and Shandong only, (l) ensure that no new tubewells are drilled in project areas other than those included in the project unless justified by availability of groundwater determined by further asresoment of groundwater resources (para. 3.6); and (ii) monitor and assess groundwater resources in the project areas each year and furnish the findings to the Bank/IDA by June 30 of the following year (para. 3.40); and

(o) Jiangsu will carry out maintenance and periodic safety inspections of existing dams/reservoirs under arrangements satisfactory to the Bank/IDA (para. 3.43).

7.2 Assurances have been obtained at negotiations that: (i) GOC will maintain the CPSG with composition and responsibilities acceptable to the Bank/IDA (para. 4.2) and (li) GOC will make the proceeds of the Bank Loan and IDA Credit available to Anhui, Jiangsu and Shandong on terms and conditions satisfactory to the Bank/IDA (para. 4.7).

7.3 Understandings have been reached at negotiations on the terms and conditions for making project funds available to the final project beneficiaries (para. 4.7).

7.4 State Council approval of the Loan and Development Credit Agreements will be a condition of effectiveness of the Loan/Credit (para. 4.10).

7.5 Subject to the above coqditions, the proposed project is suitable for a Bank Loan of US$147.1 million with a maturity of 20 years, including a 5-year grace period, at the Bank's standard variable interest rate and an IDA Credit of SDR 139 million (US$187.9 million equivalent) on standard IDA terms with 35 years maturity to the People's Republic of China. TMICATWD ACRIaA.TU IUIDIFICATION4 LOA"~ Basic Prowlaclsl aDotProject Area SLteta£ics.19601

a----S&3ndang Province ------1 ---- Aadau Province -- * . a------Lanoe. Province ------Tots : Project a a :~~~~~Projecta :Project I------* * a Three h. a Project Item/Description a ~~~~~~ : ~~~Ar..a Ar.& titka Total ;Project:Project a of Total :Project Area aThres aProniace:Pro.iacea:At.aasas aPr9,i^c9:Cownt;.am :Pro*ct I of aTotal ProjectaProject a o f aPoicePoel;Project Area aProwince a.Pro,ince.Counties:Area :Pro.iaCe:Pro,1nCO:Cowatiaa*: a I of Area :Proviawe lotal :Co..lm,005Area :Pro,;nces; Totalarea lend a ala k. a £15.6 a 3.3 Moal -. 0.7 4.5 13.9 a 3.0 a 0.6 4.1 ara Ia sad a tWNla a 7.3 a 10.3 a 4.3 0.7 a 7.2 39 IB a 11.4 a TotLc,ti tdla 6.6 a 2.0 a 5.1a sonabhe 6.9a I.?: 0.4: 6.3a 4.4: 4.0 E;fVcti,e Ir igpIte are ala he 2.2:. 0.3:. 7.3: 4.8: 2.0: 0.4: B.6a 4.3 a 1.1 a 0.3 a 6.9 a 2.5 a 0.6 a 0.3 15.: 5.9: 1.1: 1.2: Forest a~~~~~~elah$ 3.7 3.5 a : 0.2 4.5 W03 a 1.7 0.0 a 0.9: 0.4: 0.0 4.3 0.9a a 0.5 S .3 0.2 a .7~ 056 0.1 Populatiom: s Total a al a 0.1: 20.1 SI1 6.4: 53.0: 20.0: 26 Af,icaltra.l a ae 67.0 a 11.0 5.2 65.4: 2I.0 6.3a 399.2 Fare . 6.9 : 45.7 a 0.2 a ? 7 S.B 61.0 12.0 6.0 laborere a ala, 32.3: 6.4 2.2 51.6 :20.0 4.0 7.? 164.4 56 0 £1 2 FWValice 8.0: £0.0 0.5: 12 8.9 21.8: 10.2 6.0 a aa 17.6 a 4.5 1.2 6.6 .9 6.7: 76.0 25.2 5.3 6.6 Lo.g.~ea n. 1 1.2 a 4.7 a 0.6 S B 14.7 a I0 a 0: 26 26 35.0: 72: 21: 2£ 6.5 43.6 9.2 208 6.5a TooesbpeAp ae.. 29.2 53: 24 24 46.3: 206 2460 561 223 9.0: 3344: 3260: 211 13 13 35.6 Administrative villages a no. a69393 IB190 6.3 1909: 61 254 13.3: 7721 2442 4994 a S.6 31461 a 2082 11£969 6.3 3571? SOB 09: 12175 283) 7.9 a15657£ 44046 9014 6.3a Cropped erase:a .. Peddg a000~~~lowhe a a 08.3: 30.3 2964 33.5:2304.2: £42.5: 305 wheat a ~~~~~000ha a4061.9 1 125.0 311.2 1.6 2419.7: 763.0 0456 3.6: 4692.2 9n.0 Coro 7.8 2016 6 1 406.5 202.4 £0.0 2353.5 1167.0 149.6 32: aOOObha 2323.?: 549.0 155?: 6.7: 210.4: 2363 1 0.0 a 422.0 3699 3 755.7 9.0 Cottial a 250.9: 166 56. 501.2: 315.0: 16.4: 'OC ha. 1402.6 a332.9 72 9 5.2 a210.1 a149.3 15.2: 3113.3 1116.2a 24069 6.0: Oil crops aOOObhe 791.4: 14.1 5 2 535.2 a246.2 a 59.6 a 1.1l. 852.5 £704 2.2: 947.1: 253.9: 301 2207.9 a740.4 a 46.6 a 6.6a Vagatebl./awlema aODDO16: 469.7: 134. 3.2 502.3: 16.2: 40.6: 7.0: 232.9: 512.6: 29.7 6.3: 22.3: .50 269 462.4: 00.5: 3.6: 22.0; 4.0: 1154.3: 134.9 a 51.5: 5.0: Total CVAO: a vi6aea 3095.0 :13430.9 2407.9 7.6 :31525.3 :3300.0 a 103 0 Crops a 9 mle a 21433.0 a 500.0 5.2 :49795.0 :10162.2 a2046.9 a 4.1 :312157.3 :44576.1 a Forest 1601.0 7.6 :20M0.9 a 910.0.: 121£ 0 6.0 316467.0 60T.0 a .4 a193 ala a 76.0: £93.1 51.6 7.6; 1663.3 :I3006.0 1367.0 8 .3 a50050.9 :25116.6 a4379.0 : Livestock 7 00.0 a 73.5 * 4.4 271.0: 314.0 : 7.2 06 sleab 5729.0 a 102.5 513.2 9.0 a7418.6 a2640.0 26.1 9.6 :2610.3 :1207.9 a 151.2 a 5.0a Fiwbetas a 30 ala a 1305.0 a 3.9 :267.6 3.6 5474.0 a2619.4 a 91.2 a 7.31 16621.6 7161.9 2106 1.? 9518.a 240.0 a 24.7 2.6 1273.0 a a1178.9 : .3 72.5 a 7.3 a 4.6 :3529.0 £1376.4 103.0 2.9 Karol Per Capita eboc :U/Ta a 66.7: 419.0 491.0 04.1: 405.5: 419.2: 57690 7769 79.0: 544.2 100.5 63.6: 623.3: 402.9: 470.3: 7.4: Orsia alaS..: 32.3: 6.4: CeLlo. 2.2: 6.7: 23.1: 9.7: 1.5: 6.6: 32.0: Ialatoeo 1.1: 0.5: 0.1: 13.1: 2.2: 6.7 ft.2 38.2: .7: Oil cropseW 5.1: 0.2:8 0.4: 0.0: 5.3: 0.5: 0.2: 6.4: sLaoa 2.0: 0.3: 0.0:i 1.6 s 0.0: S 9.6: 3.0: 0.9: 0.1: 5.4: a 0.9: 0.2:3 0.1: 5.0: 1.0: 0.4: 0.1: a. a . .a a a .1: 1.9: 0.9: 0.2: 4.5: scarce:Sceaodog gad Araahafigures are from ?oulaclsl"flO and190 ChblaesaStatistical Tsarbook gad from 1909 Jiarage Toagjs looseboela (Beijing: 31,90).Jiseaga proviaclal figure. from, £99 Hisajisa. (I"iarjeg.1990) and Mla. Jiaopoucouatg figures are taken Chiaim..Statistical from 1909 Jieegeua-eSh.slat JIiagii. tIbajiag: 3909). 58 ANNEX 1 Table 2

CHINA

IRRIGATED AGRICULTURE INTENSIFICATION PROJECT

PROJECT COUNTIES

Province Prefecture (City) County

Shandong Heze(P) Liangshan, Yuncheng, Caoxian Dingtao, Shanxian, Chenwu Dongming, Heze Jining(C) Jining, Qufu, Yanzhou, Zouxian, Weishan, Yutai, Sishui, Jinxiang, Jiaxiang, Wenshang Taian(C) Taian, Feicheng, Laiwu, Ningyang, Xintai, Dongping Zaozhuang(C) Xuecheng District, Yicheng District, Taierzhuar.g, Tengzhou City (sub total) 28 (11 cotton bases, 17 grain bases)

Jiangsu Xuzhou(C) Fengxian, Peixian, Tongshan, Suining, Pixian, Xinyi Lianyungang(C) Ganyu, Donghai, Guanyun Yancheng(C) Binhai, Xiangshui, Funing, Sheyang Huaiyin(C) Huaiyin, Huainan, Shuyang, Suqian, Siyang, Lianshui, Sihong, Huaian, Hongze, Wuyi, Jinhu (sub total) 24 (10 cotton bases, 14 grain bases)

Anhui Suzhou(P) Dangshan, Xiaoxian, Suxian, Llngbi, Sixian Fuyang(P) , Guoyang, Hengcheng, Jaishou, Taihe, Lixin, Linquan, Fuyang, Yingshang, Funan Huaibei(C) Suixi Huainan(C) Fengtai, Panji Bengbu(C) Huaiyuan, Guzheng, Wuhe (sub total) 21 (21 grain bases)

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10.3 W 9 sr.1 $-.L 40.9 129.8 202.4 tu. 0 "A 37.41 ot.? 14.2 "S. 191141.19011 Mr 19.4 ".11 39.2 0.3 ZIA 9". r 13.2 32 10.9 Me 719.3 1:30 0,00:S' WZ: I L2S: 74:1 41., 1:3 1: SI td 331 40 224 SL" 73 =ArIO" 31 st.9 94.0 148.0 1". 3 2n. a 141.3 LEY. I US-0 too.* $6.9 41 1 P" I4"8.t"f 163-3 t42.4 IIS.3 90.4 SI.& 39:4 U33: 2 43:12 43 3 I.: S' 1.11:: its":,' 240.01-1 &SO.: Lat:31 11:1 I 11:1 31:01 111:1 3737.2 .0 Aq:F113.0 104.3.0 aI .:1 .L*s ma, too. ISO L" a 36 LM I C4.9.c) .0.6 LS 71S 14.1 20.0 24.9 20.41 21..' 21.3 U.3 8.0 1.3 W. 4 l"S.&OPS :& 7 3 14.2 20.2 22.4 21 to 0 20.? 14.0 ?.L 0.4 13 ?:L la S 20.4 2S.? 21 1: 31 111:1 1.2 6.11 La: S, -4.&.313:SN.401:2, 24 7t -2- 64 $.S .0.3 MS

M. 0 184.S 203. r 203.2 237 F 24?.S tqo. 4 223-S Ut. 4 104. a 11:4 11:1 Z;S-s 1446-to" tF4.9 IMF W4. t 212.4 230.S 2". 6 =I.*S mi-f v-, s no. a I' ' "40 VA lr7.4 202.9 =41. 2 1". 2 S" 4 no 24A.& 212.2 =J. I MS.: 173.3 IM:*' _L92.4 216.6 Z". r Va. 2 2#4.8 Z13:8 2". L = .0 M L 4 to3a. 3 1% PILATTW Amf*M M A.-.*. so so so as 93 Is et W rs ?a ye 4141 9"4.1"6 IS Oa 0SO so 79 so 74 So TOV 97 go #4 It so 76 a 73 r2 72 7t to so 00 of SO so ---- ?v it 46 ol Go

2.7 3.0 2.3 3.8 3.3 9.2 I.? I.S 2.4 2.4 2 S.* 9"o-19" 3.L S.11 4 0 4 3 3 0 a a 3.0 2.0 2.4 CO 12: I a1-1 33:,l S1.31 S3:,1 21:: 1:1,1 2:3 S., &.3 2:1 ...... - --- # S-0- lh-410 ...... 60 AMNEX I Table 4 CHINA IRRIGATEDAGRICULTURE INTENSIFICATION PROJECT ------.-- _------_------_------_-

Annual Hectorage Affectedby Drought and Waterlogging

Shandong Proe. : Anhui Prov. Jiengu Prov Total Year Drought Wator- : Drought Water : Drought Water- : Drought Wator- logging logging logging : logging ------_------_-_-__------___-_------_-- ('000 he) ('000 ha) ('000 ha) ('000 he) 1970 : 206.2 : 10.3 107.1 74.7 614.0 : 290.1 621.1 1971 86.8 828.1 : 3.3 246.0 : 496.6 861.1 : 537.2 1434.2 1972 261.8 112.9 63.2 662.3 : 160.3 916.1 : 606.3 1680.8 1973 : 237.3 838.7 : 300.1 172.8 : 736.7 103.1 1274.1 609.6 1974 3:9.0 1426.7 : 216.2 206.6 : 2946.7 1312.6 : 3620.9 2944.8 1976 : 130.2 276.6 : 46.9 195.4 560.1 : 170.1 1022.1 1976 : 241. 5687.2 : 526.3 18.6 : 708.7 138.9 : 1476.6 744.7 1977 : 478.0 821.3 : 659.6 65.3 : 1146.7 920.7 : 2264.1 1307.8 1978 170.4 326.7 : e97.2 23.4 3886.1 67.8 : 4936.6 406.4 1979 180.1 141.8 : 202.6 961.3 : 3271.4 780.1 : 3864.1 1673.2 1980 153.2 123.6 : 21.9 492.9 : 318.2 1017.3 : 493.3 1633.6 1q61 418.6 99.0 : 87.3 68.4 : 2066.1 160.3 : 2562.0 817.6 1982 826.6 148.3 : 105.3 623.7 : 1151.8 827.2 : 1564.0 1699.2 1983 687.7 102.3 : 29.3 236.8 : 724.6 1027.1 : 1441.7 1368.3 1964 76.7 615.1 : 122.1 610.9 : 71.4 825.4 : 270.2 1961.4 19865: 58.2 1084.3 : 189.1 363.8 : 77.7 327.3 : 826.0 1776.4 1986 : e66.1 68.1 : 824.6 79.8 : 1089.3 807.9 : 2068.9 946.6 1987 : 246.0 149.6 : 159.8 158.6 : 656.5 656.9 : 1062.3 s66.0 1988 : 279.9 403.9 : 430.9 2.9 : 2348.7 104.7 : 3069.4 511.6 1989 : 64.8 : 1071.5 1602.1 : 1656.9

Average 275.0 373.3 231.3 272.4 : 1209.2 644.9 1659.0 1256.3

High-st 687.7 1426.7 897.2 961.3 3868.1 1602.1 4936.6 2944.8

Lowest 38.3 64.8 : a.3 2.9 71.4 57.3 176.1 317.8

Note: Areao are considereddamaged whon yt-lds ar* reduced by more than BOX. Source: Bureaux of Water Resources,Anhui, Shandong and Jiangsu. 61 ANNEX 1 TABLE 5-1 CHINA IRRIGATED AGRICULTURE INTENSIFICATIONPROJECT

Design Standards for Flood Control, Drainage and Waterlogging

Jians hndons

FlootControl

River channel 1 in 10-20 years 1 in 10-20 years 1 in 10-20 years (excluding the roturn period rcturn period return period Buai River) Drainaso Rivers (>300 km2) 1 in 3 years 1 in 5 years 1 in 3 years Trunk Oraln (30-300 km2) 1 in 3-S years 1 in 5 yearn 1 in 3-S years Main drain (10-30 km2) 1 in 5 years 1 in 5 years 1 in S years Branch drain (1-10 km2) 1 in S years I in 5 years 1 in 5 years Lateral

Drainage pumping Based on 1 in Based on 1 in S Based on 1 in 3 station j years vith max, years vith drainazg years vith drainage drainage modulus modulus of 0.3 - modulus of 0.28 - of 0.45 m3/seclkm2. 0.67 m3Isoc/km2. 0.32 d3/sec/m2 Waterlonains

On-farm Drainage Water table level Water table level Wator table level lowered to 0.5 m lowered to 0.5 lovered to 0.5 m below ground level below ground level below ground level within 72 hrn. for within 96-120 hra, within 72 hrs. storm of 135 mm for 150 mm storm for 150 m sto

(Souroes: Bureaus of Water ResourcesAnhui, J-anssu and Shandong) 62 ANNEX 1 TABLE 5-2 CHINA IRRIGATED AGRICULTURE INTENSIFICATION PROJECT

Typical Drainage System Design (Jiangsu)

Kai& 3ranch Lateral Sub W"l Lateral Drain

Comand Area (ha) 1500-2500 150-300 10-20 1-2 0.3-0.5

Spacing (m) 3000-5000 800-1000 100-200 100 50

Length (m) 5000 1500-3000 500-1000 100-200 50-100

Depth lo) 3-5 2.5-4.0 1.5-2.0 0.8-1.0 0.5 bed wv4th tm) 4-6 2-3 1.0 0.5-0.7 0.3 Side slope (t:y) 3:1 - 4:1 3:1 - 2.5:1 2:1 - 1.5:1 1:1 0.5:1

Velocity Cm/*de) 0.8-1.0 0.5-0.7 0.2-0.3 0.1 0.1

Discharge (m3Isec) 15-25 2-4 0.3-0.4 0.05 0.02

Typical Canal System Design (Jiangsu)

Main Branch Lateral Sub Lateral Channel

Command Area (ha) 1500-2500 150-300 10-20 1-2 0.3-0.5

Spacing Cm) 3000-5000 800-1000 100-200 100 50

Length tm) 5000 1500-3000 500-1000 100-200 50-100

Depth (m) 1.8-2.0 1.0-1.2 0.6-0.8 0.3-0.5 0.2-0.3

Bad vidth (m) 3-5 1.5-2.0 0.5-0.8 0.3-0.4 0.2-0.3

SLde slope 2:1 1.5:1 1:1 0.8:1 0.5:1

Velocity (.1Sc) 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2

Discharge (m3/*sec) 3-5 0.6-0.8 0.04-0.06 0.01 0.003 CHINA IRP1OAT ACRICULTUMEINTENSIFICATION PROJECT

Daa/jResorvolrs Required Periodic Safety lnspeetions\0 Ne. Pam/Roservier Lecatlon Vat. Surf RoservoirStorage Main Embankent (a) WatorLevels (i) Aroa Irrig. Mbe Area Total Operatienaltop Width 1.i. Ht. LongthOeoigned Operational Flood Designed Actual XuahouNMbacipelity (be) __(o00mo)- TeegehemCunty

1. Wao Tush leug iI 1.C 49t0 4700 6.0 6.5 95o0 41.0 30.0 1500.0 1333.3 2. Do Leoh" PeaJI 1.4 460E 4450 6.0 6.0 3O35 33.0 32.5 1000.0 600.0 Le 3. a" Pajil 1.3 4030 4000 6.0 6.5 3130 35.0 34.5 300.0 466.7 4. Yams We zbe"jI 1.3 400WOO 6.0 7.5 3100 34.5 34.0 1733.8 133.3 S. Shuihle Zheigji 1.0 3200 2700 6.0 6.0 2060 34.0 33.0 300.0 600.0 6. Xilhu_ Fse"" 2.5 6500 6o0 6.0 6.5 4420 33.0 32.5 1200.0 1000.0 7. VuW" Famum 0.0 2600 2500W.0 6.5 2800 32.0 31.5 *00.0 333.8 liaylCeutty

3. Gujl 6..Jl 7.0 2100 390 5.0 10.0 1540U 9.9 33.5 83.5 560.0 2000.0 9. Sadial Kelie 7.5 5960 4210 4.0 7.0 4010 35.5C6.5 35.0 686.7 200.0 10. Xie bua Tieqpisba 7.0 2950 1790 4.0 3.0 2000 33.4 37.5 37.5 266.7 166.? Liamymgpeg Mmiclpallty

beaghaI Ceosty 11. Xix _h HNuisha 22.3 19140 16100 3.0 11.5 9O00 33.1 32.5 32.0 1833.3 360.7 12. Hmeshe Shihe 26.0 24300 12070 6.0 8.0 3600 40.0 33.5 83.0 1333.3 1466.7 13. Nheagk Heegh 42.2 26290 14300 5.0 12.5 1960 29.0 27.5 27.0 2666.7 1333.3 14. Cseegll XKumA4Od 4.0 22100 14060 6.0 15.0 1300 60.3 43.5 47.5 2660.7 1600.0 QRulg 15. Chegte 18.3 5700 2240 4.6 6.0 1200 29.2 27.3 27.3 400.0 266.7 16. Zha"agge Ch este 19.3 4500 630 3.5 5.0 1400 23.2 26.1 26.1 200.0 200.0 bmye Cet *y

17. Batielgi Jimnk 32.0 23100 14730 6.0 13.4 920 33.4 32.0 81.5 1466.7 1183.3 I 13. Iaeg Shiqla. 4.8 2610 1060 3.0 13.6 1160 30.3 28.9 23.0 1000.0 300.0X 19. J.lagtkeA masham 5.0 8320 2670 5.0 17.0 760 87.2 36.1 35.8 1133.3 400.0 I Iccerdbncola with the World BakhosOperational ManualStatement No.3.30.

Source: Jilumw Provilceal rearutof Water Reseerces. CHINA IPRIGATEDAGRICULTURE INTENSIFICATION PROJECT ANHUIPROVINCE Project Cost Sune ry tAN USS X Total ..*...... -...... X Foreign gase Local Foreign Total Local Foreign Total Exchange Costs

A. RIt3C.& DRAINASE 1. NUAINEIuRIG. AtEAS 60950.7 55950.8 116901.5 12180.3 10214.7 22394.9 47.9 11.6 2. lIMO RIVERSYSTEM I.A. 18296.9 16113.3 34410.3 3651.1 2940.9 6592.0 46.8 3.4 3. CINUAIRIVER I.A. 35762.0 29903.6 65665.6 7120.0 5459.6 12579.6 45.5 6.5 4. CUOtHRIVER l.A. 9486.4 8781.8 18268.2 1894.2 1605.4 3499.6 48.1 1.8 5. XINSIAMRIVER I.A. 47110.2 31009.3 78119.5 9318.3 5647.1 14965.4 39.7 7.8 6. QAKNEI3RI3. AREA 58796.1 45102.6 103898.7 11704.5 8199.4 19904.0 43.4 10.3 7. KEIFEIE 1I31G. REA 33116.6 30696.5 63813.1 6626.0 5598.7 12224.7 48.1 6.3 8. TuENEULLIRRIG. AREAS 76568.7 96589.6 173158.3 15305.5 17866.6 33172.1 55.8 17.2 Sub-Total 340087.6 314147.5 654235.1 67799.9 57532.5 125332.4 48.0 64.9 S. AGRI. INTENSIF.S SEtVICE 1. CROPLAI INPOVEENT 38744.2 115061.3 153805.5 7641.0 21823.6 29464.7 74.8 15.3 2. AFFORESTATION 36435.9 0348.3 44784.2 7102.6 1476.7 8579.4 1a.6 4.4 3. QULIT' SEED DEVWLOPH. 8064.8 20639.8 28704.6 1632.8 3866.2 5499.0 71.9 2.8 0% 4. AGRO-TECIEXTENSION 18811.7 19954.7 38766.4 3741.9 3684.6 7426.5 51.5 3.8 5. AGRI. hECN.A SEtVICES 7048.3 62721.5 69769.8 1449.4 11916.5 13365.9 89.9 6.9 ...... Sub-Total 109104.9 226725.7 335830.6 21567.7 42767.7 64335.4 67.5 33.3 C. INST. DEV. S SUPORT 1. TRAINING 13616.7 712.2 14328.9 2608.6 136.4 2745.0 5.0 1.4 2. RESEARCH 1355.0 1498.5 2853.5 273.3 273.3 546.7 52.5 0.3 3. TECN.ASST. 0.0 221.2 221.2 0.0 42.4 42.4 100.0 0.0 ...... Sub-Total 14971.7 2431.9 17403.7 2881.9 452.1 333 14.0 1.7 Total ASELIUECOSTS 464164.2 543305.1 1007469.3 92249.5 100752.3 193001.8 52.2 100.0 Physical ContingencIes 23208.2 27165.3 50373.5 4446.0 5204.1 9650.1 53.9 5.0 Price Contingencies 118259.3 130897.7 249157.1 4142.9 11414.1 15557.0 73.4 8.1

_...... ---..-.... Total PROJECTSCOTS 605631.7 701368.1 1306999.9 100838.4 117370.4 218208.9 53.8 113.1 ------=-_-_------Y------_s---Y-Y-Y----- s Value Scaled bvr 1000.0 - 1215/1990 15:51 CHINA ItRIGATEDAGRICULTURE INTENWIFICATION PROJECT ANiWI PVININCE Sunmry Accounts Cost Summary

YUAN USS X Total ...... ---.------X Foreign pase Local Foreign Total Locat Foreign Total Exchange Costs 1. INVESTHENTCOSTS ...... A. LAND ACWISITIGNIcoNPENS. 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 D. CIVIL WORKS 271620.9 239841.4 511462.4 54327.3 43654.0 97981.3 46.9 50.8 C. UVILDIIIS 25158.3 27823.4 5291.7 5074.9 5074.9 10149.7 52.5 5.3 0. 01-FAIN ItKS 54361.3 17611.3 71972.6 10659.2 3128.7 13787.8 24.5 7.1 E. LANIDIWl"NEhT 29541.2 9616.5 39157.7 5794.0 1707.5 7501.5 24.6 3.9 F. UTILITIES 5025.8 16674.7 21700.6 1039.3 3117.9 4157.2 76.8 2.2 G. NACRIIERm& EQUIP. 11510.8 105296.0 116806.8 2393.7 19983.1 22376.8 90.1 11.6 W. VENICLES 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1. PRODh/PLAXTINGMATERIALS 41224.2 124009.8 165234.0 8019.9 23634.1 31654.0 75.1 16.4 J. INST. DEV. & SUPPORT 14871.7 2431.9 17303.7 2862.7 452.1 3314.9 14.1 1.7 K. DESIe, ENGR, SUIERVISN. 4350.0 0.0 4350.0 833.3 0.0 833.3 0.0 0.4 L. ADN8I.& NANAMEUIT 6500.0 0.0 6500.0 1245.2 0.0 1245.2 0.0 0.6

,,,...... I...... -... ------*---a Total BASELINECOSTS 464164.2 543305.1 1007469.3 92249.5 100752.3 193001.8 52.2 100.0 h Phlsical Contingencies 23205.2 27165.3 50373.5 4446.0 5204.1 9650.1 53.9 5.0 Price Contingeies 118259.3 130897.7 249157.1 4142.9 11414.1 15557.0 73.4 8.1 ...... __...... _ ...... Total PROJECTSCOSTS 605631.7 701368.1 1306999.9 100838.4 117370.4 218208.9 53.8 113.1 U22sSzZ3SZ33z3zzu2zzguuu_ 33zzz23=23U333323332zzsz= U3*2*UxxzzUU ==3.. ValeScae 1...0.... - 1./59 /19.0 15:53,,,,,,,,,,,__,,,,,,,, ...... V tues Scaled bV 10100.0 - 12/5/1990 15:53 CHINA IRIGATED ACRIALTUREINTENSIFICATION PIOJECT ANUI PROVINCE Sumry Account by Project Cowponhnt vUiv

YIN. MUMINE RIVER CIHUMI GUONE XIILA QIAINNE BEIFEINE TUWEIELL CROPLASD QUALITY IRRIC. SYSTEM RIVER RIVER RIVER IRI6. IRF1G. IRF16. INPROVENEAFFORESTA SEEDS AGRO-TECH AM"AS l.A. I.A. I.A. I.A. AREA AREA AREAS NT TION DEVELOP$.EXTENSION 1. INVESTNENTOOSTS ...... _.., A. LAND ACQUISITIONCOMPENS. 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 I. CIVIL VOWS 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 93232.8 27560.4 51476.9 14363.6 S3850.6 90411.4 52U88.7 111624.2 13831.2 0.0 2262.5 C. BUILDINGS 639.4 0.0 2W8.9 630.5 13S.8 689.6 737.1 842.4 S596.4 0.0 0.0 10814.2 26341.9 D. ON-FAINVOKS 16383.1 4516.7 7705.3 1768.3 15579.4 7815.2 8492.5 E. LAND 9712.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 IOW0VENENT 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 F. UTILITIES 39157.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 4M .2 1098.9 3911.8 IS28.8 5846.2 1424.9 485.8 2631.2 0.0 0.0 G. ACUIKIEY& EQUIP. 123.0 0.0 0.0 295.3 691.2 121.7 6S3.7 2110.2 143.8 41792.4 6522.5 0.0 15278.0 6736.2 L. VEHICLES 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1. PR7ON/PLAITINGNATERIALS 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 J. INST. 0.0 93794.1 44334.2 0.0 5238.3 DEV. * SUPPRT 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 K. DESIGI, ENGR4,SWUIVISN. 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 375.0 325.0 625.0 17S.0 750.0 700.0 500.0 900.0 0.0 L. HIIN.4 NANAEUIENT 0.0 0.0 0.0 37S.0 325.0 625.0 17S.0 750.0 700.0 SOO.0 900.0 50o.0 ...... 450.0 350.0 450.0 a _-...... ---...... ----...... -----...... ------.--...... - o Total ASELINE tOSTS 116901.5 3410.3 65665.6 18268.2 78119.5 103898.7 63813.1 173155.3 Physical Contingu 153805.5 4784.2 28704.6 38766.4 cres S845.1 1720.5 3283.3 913.4 3906.0 5194.9 3190.7 8657.9 7690.3 Price ContI ancIes 32036.8 2239.2 1435.2 1938.3 81866.2 17335.8 499.1 19636.0 2SS65.7 14806.5 41399.8 34263.2 11397.8 6908.6 ...... 9571.2 ...... Total POECT COSTS 154783.4 4997.0 86284.7 23680.7 101661.5 134659.4 81810.2 223216.0 195759.0 S8421.3 37048.4 50275.9 Taxes 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 foreig exdhae 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 74066.S 21097.6 39430.8 11463.2 40517.1 58M.3 39354.8 124234.0 144159.3 ...... 10895.5 26645.0 25512.3 __...... _...... values Saled by 1000.0 12/5/1990 15:52 I. CHINA IRRIGATEDACRICULTURE INTENSIFICATION PROJECT ANNUIPROVINCE Sumry Account by Project Co;poant YUAN

Physical Price AGRI. Contingencies ContingcnI es RECN. * TECH...... - ...... SERVICES TRAINING RESEARCH ASST. Total X Amount X Mouit 1. INVESTMENTCOSTS ...... A. LANDACUISITIOU/CONPENS. 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 O. CIVIL WOIRS 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 511462.4 5.0 25573.1 25.2 129033.1 C. SUILDIUS 6263.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 52981.7 5.0 2649.1 22.7 12037.0 0. CN-FAiNWKS 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 71972.6 5.0 3598.6 25.6 18447.0 E. UAIN IWROVEIENT 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 39157.7 5.0 1957.9 28.8 11275.1 F. UTILITIES 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 21700.6 5.0 1085.0 25.2 5476.6 G. MACNIhRT& EWIP. 41339.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 116806.8 5.0 5840.3 24.7 28836.8 N. VEHICLES 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1. PIO)UIPLANTINGMATERIALS 21867.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 165234.0 5.0 8261.7 21.9 36174.0 0' J. INST. KEV.* SUPPORT 0.0 14228.9 2853.5 221.2 17303.7 5.0 865.2 28.0 4837.1 K. DESIGN.ENO, SIERVISN. 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4350.0 5.0 217.5 28.0 1219.0 L. DNIN. Z NUANCENENT 300.0 100.0 0.0 0.0 6500.0 5.0 325.0 28.0 1821.5

TotalIASELIVE COSTS 69769.8 14328.9 2853.S 221.2 1007469.3 5.0 50373.5 24.. 249157.1 Phyical Contingencies 3488.5 716.4 142.7 11.1 50373.5 Price Continge lnes 18005.3 4029.6 779.8 55.7 249157.1 4.8 11864.6 TotalPOJECT COSTS 91263.6 19075.0 3776.0 288.0 1306999.9 4.8 62238.1 19.1 249157.1

loxes 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 ForeignExchwnge 82018.6 929.3 1983.0 288.0 701368.1 4.8 33396.5 ------...... ,,,,,,,, ...... :.. Values Scaled by 1000.0 1215/1990 15:52 CUIMA IIATS AICILTURE IUINSIFICATIU0"JtCT "rjects Caqup s by veer Totat. Inctulln Csntiranctlee Ttatl Illnudirn Conti rgmmlee 11 us55 ...... 9/ 929 9 941/ 95/96 Total 91/92 92/93 n ,94 94/Uf 9/ Total A. tole. a 3111o1 1. manIntI. U11 24362. 31061.4 44251.1 30961.1 24130.6 154783.4 296.7 5224.4 7244.2 50054 353.7 2626.4 2. TIIS *l1i Mg1 .A. 735.4 12226.6 12956.6 4.9 3929.3 44997.0 06.2 2056.5 2121.4 1370.6 626.2 7483.1 3. CIMIMI 413 I.A. 13339.3 2569.5 2e452.5 1122.9 7694.5 56264.7 2359.6 359.7 4331.3 2943.6 1226.3 14320.4 4. UIE mIVII l.A. 4222. 7191.4 5.6 2600.1 120.7 23660.7 74.9 1209.6 12U1.4 420.0 290.2 3951.1 S. xnluu *l3 *.A. 193.3 22.2 31977.3 17454.1 7106.6 10161 3342.0 4411.S S234.9 2619.3 1132.9 16940.6 6. OUIII IUll. AMA 2576S.6 41204.2 37594.9 I59.1 11286.6 13459.4 446.6 90.4 603.6 2M9.4 1796.6 22479.0 T. KIEIWIi IlN . U 21ST7.4 224.4 21422.3 17000.1 296.0 01310.2 3565.6 3 7. 35so7.0 2745.9 47.2 1372.2 *. tWIZELL IUIS. AME 4S21S.5 6551.3 66210.5 45406.6 532.5 223216.0 79.1 1107S.5 '0639.1 7334.6 84.9 37332.2 ...... S-Total 15923.6 22764.0 249618.5 157.9 569.3 3S1092. 26165.5 3822.2 40M6.9 25639.0 9060.1 141156.0 B. A£5I. IKIEIf. £ KICE 1. CUUt I IWll EET 69M.2 40536.5 3916S5. 27666.8 1553S.7 195759.0 12356.4 6815.1 U11.7 4468.9 2954.0 33009.1 2. AfFIUSTATIIU 10413.0 16752.5 14721.6 1Of0.5 s573.6 5421.3 1641.9 2517.7 7.410.0 1770.4 88.3 9m 5 X 5. ALITY 1KENSIWIU. 62.6 110S0.1 942.7 5499.0 2943.2 370".4 1452.7 15. 15293. 885.3 469.1 6196.2 4. A0-TECU IIISN101 12696.4 1357.6 1G4?.? 5332.0 6430.7 50275.9 2140.1 2251.9 7A.6 861.3 1343.6 602.7 S. AGRI.ECU. a M3,cEs 10053.9 21097.4 23.6 20582.5 979.2 9126.6 3M.5 363.1 3427.5 3324.6 1560.7 1S169.4 Sab.Totel 111332.2 I1363 .s 95014.4 760. 45276.4 4527".2 20964.6 17459.5 1SS54.5 11313.5 721S.7 M25.7 C. tEST. KEV.A MONPIT 1. TuMIEIS 269A.4 3915.4 4104.1 569.5 2697.7 1905.0 477.3 6S6.9 671.9 915.8 429.9 3151.7 2. KEAC 646.0 623.4 576.4 697.6 72.5 3776.0 114.3 136.5 143.S 112.7 116.7 625.7 3. TEC.ASSt. 6.6 139 148.5 0.0 0.0 285.0 0.0 23.5 24.3 0.0 0.0 47.6 ...... @*o@w@wo...... ^v.v@*...... , ,,...... , Sb-ttat 344.4 4165.3 S129.0 6367.1 3430.2 23139.6 S91.6 518.5 U39.7 1025.4 S46.7 3825.2

...... *.*o*...... ToatlnWCTs CWST$ 21206.6 3M935.8 39161.9 23539.6 1OSSS5.9 1306999.9 49742.0 565os.5 S7160.0 37980.9 16522.5 2182.9

...... w6...... *sev*Xvvv@@@v*@6*.@@...... @s. Volum cald by 183.0 1215/1"9 lsss FIi CNINA IRRIGATEDAGRICULTURE INTENSIFICATION PROECT JIANGICPROVINCE Project Cost Sumnmry

VWS X Total ...... ,...... ---.-...... X Foreign Base Local Foreign Total Local Foreign Total Exchange Costs A. IRIG. I DAINAE 1. GRAJ CAL 63180.9 123136.3 186317.2 123.1 22969.6 35693.0 66.1 23.3 2. IRtIG. AREMTIOV/EXPM 1829.7 173318.4 356217.1 36529.3 31711.5 68240.8 48.7 44.5 Su*-Total 246079.6 296454.7 542534.3 49252.4 54681.4 103933.8 54.6 67.8 B. ASG. INTEISIF. I SERVICE 1. CRW LAW INROVEIENT 32307.3 49231.7 81539.0 6454.5 9166.0 15620.5 60.4 10.2 2. AFFItESTA'IU 763.5 3310.7 10954.3 1493.2 605.4 2098.5 30.2 1.4 3. OMLITYSEEDS DEILOPNINT 17892.7 30712.2 48604.9 3586.7 5724.6 9311.3 63.2 6.1 4. AGROTECNEXTENSION 7607.2 2596.0 33593.3 1519.8 4915.7 6435.5 77.4 4.2 5. AGRI. ICINEPY SERVICES 1568.5 67163.6 68732.4 311.1 12856.0 13167.1 97.7 8.6 Sub-Totel 67019.4 176404.5 243423.9 13365.3 33267.6 46632.9 72.5 30.4 C. INST. OEV.& SUT '0 1. TRAINING 9063.7 1617.4 10681.2 1736.4 309.9 2046.2 15.1 1.3 2. ItESEARCI 146.5 1619.6 3064.1 295.4 295.4 590.8 52.5 0.4 3. TECI.ASST. 0.0 940.0 940.0 0.0 110.1 180.1 100.0 0.1 Sub-Total 10528.2 4177.1 14705.4 2031.8 785.4 2817.1 28.4 1.8 ~~~~~~~~~~~~~,...... ii .. i; ...... total ASELIIE COSTS 323627.3 477836.3 800663.5 6469.4 8874.4 153383.8 57.9 100.0 Phpical Contliencies 21764.7 30721.4 52486.1 4169.5 5885.3 10054.8 58.5 6.6 Price Conting-ies 77630.3 115576.3 193206.6 2059.5 9722.8 11782.3 62.5 7.7

...... Total PRECTS COSTS 423022.3 623333.9 1046356.2 70678.5 104342.4 175220.9 59.5 114.2

...... Value Scaled by 1000.0- 12U5/199016:35 CHINA IRRIGATEDAGRICULTURE INTENSIFICATION PROJECT JIANGISUPROVINCE Su_ery Accouats Cost Stary

YUAN USS X Total ., ...... ------...... X Foreign ease Local Foreign Totat Local foreign Total Exchange Costs ...... 1. IINESTEIIT COSTS ...... A. LAW ACQUISITION/C(WENS. 200.0 0.0 200.0 38.3 0.0 38.3 0.0 0.0 B. CIVIL WORKS 170898.0 199085.4 369983.4 34462.1 36416.0 70878.0 53.8 46.2 C. WILDIICS 21129.2 23367.5 44496.7 4262.1 4262.1 8524.3 52.5 5.6 D. CU-FARNUWORS 50662.3 17397.0 68059.3 9945.9 3092.3 13038.2 25.6 8.5 E. LAW IIfOVEJENT 15254.3 5220.6 20474.9 2994.5 927.9 3922.4 25.5 2.6 F. ELECTRICITYSlPPLY 4134.4 13716.9 17851.3 854.9 2564.8 3419.8 76.8 2.2 G. COUWhICATIO 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 N. MACHINERY& EWUIPNENT 14700.3 160168.8 174869.1 2920.9 30578.9 33499.8 91.6 21.8 1. VENICLES 0.0 10092.3 10092.3 0.0 1933.4 1933.4 100.0 1.3 J. PRODN./PWNTING NATERIALS 26259.9 43810.6 70070.6 5249.9 8173.5 13423.5 62.5 8.8 K. INST. DEV.& SUPPORT 10528.2 4177.1 14M.4 2031.8 785.4 2817.1 28.4 1.8 L. DESIGN,ENGR.. SUPERVISI. 4093.3 0.0 4093.3 784.2 0.0 784.2 0.0 0.5 N. A11. * MANAGENENT 5767.3 0.0 5767.3 1104.9 0.0 1104.9 0.0 0.7 ...... ~~~~~~~~~~,...... Total BASELINECOSTS 323627.3 47036.3 800663.5 64649.4 8734.4 153383.8 57.9 100.0 Phyuical Continpgncres 21764.7 30721.4 52486.1 4169.5 5885.3 10054.8 58.5 6.6 Price Contirngecies 77630.3 115576.3 193206.6 2059.5 9722.8 11782.3 82.5 7.7 ...... Total PROJECTSCOSTS 423022.3 623333.9 1046356.2 70878.5 104U42.4 175220.9 59.5 114.2 uuz sag mzz= =X uSZs=XzzzzXzXt-SSXs=ws=Xu ...... ValuesScaled by 1000.0 - 12/511990 16:37

m0

I-as CHINA IRRIGATEDAGRICULTURE INTENSIFICATION PROJECT JIANGSUPROVINCE Sumiary Account by Project Caqonent YULAN

IRRIG. QUALITY AREAS CROPLAND SEEDS AGRI. GRAND IMPROV/EXIMPROVEME AFFORESTA DEVELOPHE AGROTECH MACWINERY CANAL PAN TECH. MT TION NT EXTENSION/SERVICES TRAINING RESEARCH ASST. 1. INVESTNENTCOSTS ...... A. LANDACQUISITION/CONPENS. 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 B. CIVIL 0.0 200.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 IMKS 108M.8 256956.1 0.0 0.0 3083.3 C. WUILDINGS 1166.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 631.8 267.6 6933.8 0.0 25340.5 D. ON-FARMWOIRKS 9119.2 2203.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 _ 0.0 68059.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 E. LANDIWPROVENENT 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15197.0 0.0 3851.0 1427.0 F. ELECTRICITYSUPPLY 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 17851.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 G. CO"UMICATION 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 W. MACHINERY& EQUIPMENT 73991.1 6283.1 10382.6 0.0 0.0 11633.9 9811.3 62767.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1. VEHICLES 741.0 1660.7 564.0 0.0 2291.5 1595.9 3239.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 J. PROWNIPLANTINGMATERIALS 0.0 0.0 47692.3 10844.3 K. 1701.4 9832.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 INST. DEV. & SUPPORT 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 L. DESIGN, ENGR.. StUERVISR. 0.0 0.0 10681.2 3084.1 940.0 1087.8 2569.6 69.3 0.0 253.4 91.2 M. ADMIN. & MANAGEMENT 22.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1087.8 2569.6 700.0 110.0 450.0 350.0 ...... 500.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Total BASELINECOSTS 186317.2 356217.1 81539.0 10954.3 48604.9 Physical 33593.3 68732.4 10681.2 3084.1 940.0 Contingencies 18448.8 21130.8 4077.0 547.7 2430.2 1679.7 3436.6 534.1 154.2 47.0 .. Price Contingencies 54004.4 8Z828.1 17136.2 s 2515.3 11210.8 7838.4 13962.3 2626.9 845.0 239.0 Total PROJECT COSTS 258770.5 460176.0 102752.2 14017.3 62246.0 43111.3 86131.3 s=s ------RZss=z====s==s===s=rs=ts=S=tsswssssssssssssss 13842.2 4083.4 1226.1 0 X sr=rrsss2:=s=== Fr Taxes 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Foreign Exchange 172409.4 222968.6 61464.3 4243.4 39273.3 33316.9 84153.5 2134.2 214.4 1226.1 ' Values Scaled by 1000.0 12/5/1990 16:36 CHINA IRRIGATEDAGRICULTURE INTENSIFICATION PROJECT JIANGSUPROVINCE Suimry Account by Project Coqponent

Physical Price Contingencies Contingencies

Total K Amount X Ainnt ======…======SS # ======-3sUSS---=S 1. INVESTMENTCOSTS

A. LANDACQUISITION/COMPENS. 200.0 5.0 10.0 10.8 21.5 B. CIVIL WORKS 369983.4 6.5 23938.1 23.8 87899.2 C. BUILDINGS 44496.7 5.1 2256.4 23.2 10320.7 D. ON-FARMWORKS 68059.3 10.0 6805.9 24.3 16525.9 E. LAND IMPROVEMENT 20474.9 5.0 1023.7 22.7 456.4 F. ELECTRICITYSUPPLY 17851.3 5.0 892.6 24.0 4283.3 G. CONJUICATION 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 M. MACHINERY& EQUIPHENT 174869.1 7.1 12443.0 26.0 45481.3 I. VEHICLES 10092.3 3.8 384.5 19.3 1950.4 J. PRODN./PLANTINGMATERIALS 70070.6 5.0 3503.5 22.8 15949.1 K. INST. DEV. & SUPPORT 14705.4 5.0 735.3 25.2 3711.0 L. DESIGN, ENGR., SUPERVISN. 4093.3 5.0 204.7 23.4 958.3 M. ADMIN. & MANAGEMENT 5767.3 5.0 288.4 25.1 149.4

Total BASELINECOSTS 800663.5 6.6 52486.1 24.1 193206.6 Physical Contingencies 52486.1 Price Contingencies 193206.6 6.3 12203.4

Total PROJECTCOSTS 1046356.2 6.2 64689.5 18.5 193206.6

Taxes 0.0 0.0 0.0 Foreign Exchange 623333.9 6.1 37963.4 _ _ ___...... _ ...... Values Scled by 1000.0 12/5/1990 16:36 I,) CrNIA 1RI1GATEDAGRICULTURE INTENSIfICATION PROJECT JIAUGSUPIOYINCE Projects Caxnents by Tear

Totals Including Contingencies Totals Including TMR Contingncles ...... us, ...... 91/92 92/93 93/94 94/95 95/96 Total 91/92 92/9m 93/9 94/ns 95/96 Total A. IRRIG.S DRAINAGE 1. GRANDCANAL 24851.7 66624.7 84461.6 54692.2 28140.1 2. IRRIG.ARS IPWRO/EXPAN 258770.5 4396.0 11206.1 13826.9 8834.1 4484.7 42747.6 125904.7 122844.2 112869.2 75767.9 227900 460176.0 22271.0 ...... 20662.1 16477.4 1Z236.4 3632.1 m80.9 ...... Stb-Totel ...... 1S0756.4 189468.9 197330.9 130460.1 SO030.1 . 7189S. 26667.0 31868.1 32304.3 21072.5 8116.7 120028.? 6. ACZI.INTENSIF. £ SERVICE t.CROP LAND IIPROVEHENT 36510.4 30089.5 18720.0 12486.1 4946.1 102752.2 6508.2 5061.0 2. AFFORESTATION 3237.8 4670.7 3064.6 2016.8 788.3 1IT88.9 3570.7 2357.5 180.5 14017.3 572.7 785.6 584.6 3. UALITYSEEDSODEVELOPHENT 14474.2 19787.5 17515.9 8681.3 380.8 28.8 2352.4 4. ACROTECO 1787.2 6224.0 2560.3 3328.2 2867.5 1402.2 284.8 EXTENSION 11176.9 11296.3 11794.5 6562.2 2281.5 10443.0 S. AGRI.PAUOINERY/SERVICES 43111.3 1977.1 1900.0 1930.8 1060.0 363.6 7231.4 26438.6 32106.6 25392.6 1238.s 955.0 86131.3 4676.7 ...... 5400.2 4156.9 200.0 152.2 ...... 14586.1 Sub-Total ...... - 91837.9 979S0.6 76993.7 31325.5 10150.4 30828.1 16245.0 16475.0 12604.4 5059.8 1617.7 52001.9 C. INST. DEV.* SUPPOUT 1. TRAINING 2M.1 3896.0 3721.3 2743.s 707.3 13842.2 490.3 65S.6 609.2 2. RESEARCH S96.1 942.9 1003.7 443.1 112.7 2311.0 " 979.6 561.1 4083.4 105.4 158.6 164.3 158.2 3. TIEC. ASST. 0.0 558.0 666.1 0.0 89.4 676.0 .... ,,...... 0.0 1226.1 0.0 93.8 ...... 109.4 0.0 0.0 203.2 Sub-Total ...... 3368.1 5398.9 5393.1 3723.2 1268.3 19151.6 595.6 908.1 882.9 601.4 202.1 3190.3

...... Total PROJECTSCOSTS ...... 245962.4 292818.4 279717.7 165508.8 62348.9 1046356.2 43507.8 gsm------492S1.3 45791.5 26733.8 9936.6 175220.9 s smaumm.a s -=g uw- *-cXt ,,,,,,,,,..,,,,,,,,,,,,,,...... - # -#- __ t 1 -- ...... Values Scaled by 1000.0 12/5/199016:37

I. . CHINA IRRIGATEDAGRICULTURE INTENSIFICATION PROJECT SHANDONGPROVINCE Project Cost Sumnary

YUAN USS X Total ------'~------X Foreign Base Local Foreign Total Local Foreign Total Exchange Costs

A. IRRIG.& DRAINAGE 1. HANSINU IRRIG.AREAS 53985.3 58571.5 112556.8 10726.2 10836.4 21562.6 52.0 12.2 2. CHENGKAIIRRIG. AREA 9238.5 5311.6 14550.1 1824.6 962.7 2787.4 36.5 1.6 3. XIEZHAI IRRI.AREA 83777.2 58958.9 142736.1 16614.1 10730.0 27344.1 41.3 15.5 4. SHENGLIIRRIG. AREA 31417.9 25027.0 56444.9 6250.6 4562.6 10813.2 44.3 6.1 5. TUBEWELLIRRI. AREA 90883.1 101575.7 192458.8 18248.2 18621.3 36869.5 52.8 20.8

Stb-Total 269302.0 249444.7 518746.7 53663.7 45713.1 99376.8 48.1 56.2 B. AGRI. INTENSIF.& SERVICE 1. CROPLANDIMPROVEMENT 36271.2 146613.7 182884.9 7126.9 27908.5 35035.4 80.2 19.8 2. AFFORESTATIOW 17710.4 1262.3 18972.7 3411.3 223.3 3634.6 6.7 2.1 3. QUALITYSEEDS DEVELOPH. 17822.0 34448.9 52270.9 3560.3 6453.3 10013.6 65.9 5.7 4. AGRO-TECHEXTENSION 29541.7 78991.8 108533.4 5920.9 14870.9 20791.8 72.8 11.8 5. AGRO-ENVIRONMENT 9585.0 1354.8 10939.8 1850.2 245.6 2095.7 12.4 1.2

Sub-Total 110930.3 262671.4 373601.7 21869.6 49701.6 71571.2 70.3 40.5 C. INST. DEV. & SUPPORT 1. TRAINING 14636.2 6594.7 21230.9 2833.S 1233.7 4067.2 31.1 2.3 2. RESEARCH 4379.0 4842.9 9221.9 883.3 883.3 1766.6 52.5 1.0 3. TECH. ASST. 0.0 718.9 718.9 0.0 137.7 137.7 100.0 0.1

Sub-Total 19015.2 12156.4 31171.6 3716.9 2254.7 5971.6 39.0 3.4

Total BASELINECOSTS 399247.5 524272.5 923520.0 79250.2 97669.4 176919.5 55.2 100.0 Physical Contingencies 22358.0 26941.4 49299.5 4283.1 5161.2 9444.3 54.6 5.3 Price Contingencies 96953.4 123300.1 220253.4 3237.4 10103.4 13340.8 75.7 7.5

...... ------.....------...... --...... ----...... ------...... Total PROJECTSCOSTS 518558.9 674514.0 1193072.9 86770.7 112933.9 199704.7 56.6 112.9

Values Scaled by 1000.0 - 12/5/1990 14:28 CHINA IRRIGATEDAGRICULTURE INTENSIFICATION PROJECT SHANDONGPROVINCE SummaryAccounts Cost Summary

YUAN USS X Total ------X Foreign Base Local Foreign Total Local Foreign Total Exchange Costs 1. INVESTMENTCOSTS ...... A. LANDACQUISITION/COMPENS. 30095.2 0.0 30095.2 5765.4 0.0 5765.4 0.0 3.3 8. CIVIL WORKS 186538.8 185552.3 372091.1 37433.2 33848.6 71281.8 49.9 40.3 C. BUILDINGS 38225.6 42075.9 80301.5 7709.0 7674.5 15383.4 52.4 8.7 D. ON-FARMWORKS 56857.8 22383.6 79241.4 10191.5 3988.8 15180.3 28.2 8.6 E. LAND IMPROVEMENT 35871.2 13108.8 48980.1 7050.3 2332.9 9383.2 26.8 5.3 F. UTILITIES 477.0 1582.6 2059.6 98.6 295.9 394.6 76.8 0.2 G. MACHINERY6 EQUIP. 10076.6 100328.5 110405.2 2077.9 19072.5 21150.4 90.9 12.0 H. VEHICLES 0.0 9383.7 9383.7 0.0 1797.6 1797.6 100.0 1.0 I. PRODN/PLANTINGMATERIALS 12970.0 142356.7 155326.7 2484.7 27271.4 29756.1 91.6 16.8 J. TRAINING 11461.2 1524.0 12985.2 2195.6 291.9 2487.6 11.7 1.4 K. RESEARCH 5254.0 5257.6 10511.6 1056.3 957.4 2013.7 50.0 1.1 L. TECH.ASST. 0.0 718.9 718.9 0.0 137.7 137.7 100.0 0.1 M. DESIGN, ENGR,SUPERVISM. 2605.0 0.0 2605.0 499.0 0.0 499.0 0.0 0.3 N. ADMIN. & MANAGEMENT 8815.0 0.0 8815.0 1688.7 0.0 1668.7 0.0 1.0

Total BASELINECOSTS 399247.5 524272.5 923520.0 79250.2 97669.4 176919.5 55.2 100.0 PhysicalContingencies 22358.0 26941.4 49299.5 4283.1 5161.2 9444.3 54.6 5.3 Price Contingencies 96953.4 123300.1 220253.4 3237.4 10103.4 13340.8 75.7 7.5 ...... ------Total PROJECTSCOSTS 518558.9 674514.0 1193072.9 86770.7 112933.9 199704.7 56.6 112.9 Vatues Scaledby 1000.0- 12/5/1990 14:31 IEU CRINA IRRIGATEDAICICULtUtE IIEIMSIFICATICU PROECT SImm t Accmnt by Project CCqplfnt

UANSIU 'IFNGIC1AIXIEZUI SIIEICEI tBEfELL CaPLIAD WALITY 12116. 1i311. l1l3. 11116. lltt. IWOINEIE AFFOIESTA SEEDS AMtO-TECNAIElO-ft AEAS AIIEA AlA mA ARE VT TlION KVELOPN.EXTENSION lrO I IEIT TtAIRINl RESEAlR 1. IlVESWTT COSTS A. "LA' A'CUIISIiI/CONWElNS. 10439.2 1102.5 4813.5 1260.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4050.0 6330.0 2100.0 0.0 0.0 B. CIVILWORKS 74895.7 8167.1 83947.3 28198.3 176132.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 C. UILDINGS 5256.4 438.0 11902.1 1045.8 2902.2 0.0 0.0 24296.1 36430.9 1290.0 6159.9 0.0 0. ON-FAINUIS 0.0 4596.5 46202.5 22614.? 0.0 0.0 S827.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 E. UIID INPICEENEUT 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 48980.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 ?.0 0.0 F. UTILITIES 701.6 54.0 323.8 647.7 332.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0. 0.0 G. PACNIREE?S EQUIP. 20069.6 32.1 4215.8 119S.5 8819.S 0.0 0.0 20619.0 S161T.8 2000.0 1350.8 0.0 S. VENICLES 294.2 0.0 2S1.0 207.9 1721.9 0.0 0.0 2005.7 4102.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 I. PlI/KlAETIS; NATERIALS 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 133504.8 12970.0 0.0 U51.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 J. ItAIMIUG 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12985.2 0.0 C. RESEARCN 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1289.7 0.0 9221.9 L. TECN.ASST. 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - N. DEtlUI, ENS, PERVISN. 450.0 80.0 S00.0 275.0 1300.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 a, M. ADNIN.& NANGEIEIT 450.0 80.0 S00.0 250.0 1250.0 400.0 175.0 500.0 1200.0 3760.0 250.0 0.0 ...... , I......

Total BASELINECOOS 112SS6.8 14530.1 142736.1 564.9 192408.8 184.9 18972.7 S2270.9 108533.4 10939.8 21230.9 9221.9 Physicai Continctes 5627.8 957.3 946.9 95f3.0 9536.8 914.2 948.6 2613.5 5426.7 S47.0 1061.S 0.0 Price Continmiles 27856.8 3907.2 35500.6 1478.4 46327.4 46S5.9 S675.5 6174.6 20937.9 273.7 5238.8 2404.4 .Jtal POECT COSTS 146041.4 19414.7 187683.6 75181.2 248323.0 23S594.1 2SS96.8 63061.0 134890.0 14210.5 27531.2 11626.2 Taxes 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 113.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Foreion Exchown 75141.2 7043.3 77209.6 33071.3 13054S.1 190936.5 1703.2 41727.8 99416.8 174T.8 6154.8 6105.5 ...... Vlues Scaled by 1000.0 1215J1.90 14:29 Ii CHINA IRRIGATEDAGRICULTURE INTENSIFICATION PROJECT SHANDONGPROVINCE SummaryAccount by Project Component YUAN

Physical Price Contingencies Contingencies TECH...... ASST. Total % Amount X Amount I. INVESTMENTCOSTS ...... A. LANDACQUISITION/COMPENS. 0.0 30095.2 5.0 1504.8 20.3 6123.1 B. CIVIL VORKS 0.0 372091.1 5.0 18604.6 24.8 92373.3 C. BUILDINGS 0.0 80301.5 5.0 4015.1 15.9 12766.8 D. OW-FARMWORKS 0.0 79241.4 9.6 7632.8 25., 20176.1 E. LAND IMPROVEMENT 0.0 48980.1 5.0 2449.0 26.4 12928.1 F. UTILITIES 0.0 2059.6 5.0 103.0 20.8 427.8 G. MACHINERY& EQUIP. 0.0 110405.2 5.0 5520.3 22.0 24248.6 H. VEHICLES 0.0 9383.7 4.1 383.1 16.7 1567.3 1. PRODN/PLANTINGMATERIALS 0.0 155326.7 5.0 7766.3 25.5 39621.0 J. TRAINING 0.0 12985.2 5.0 649.3 29.5 3828.2 K. RESEARCH 0.0 10511.6 0.6 64.5 26.5 2787.6 L. TECH.ASST. 718.9 718.9 5.0 35.9 21.8 156.4 M. DESiGN,ENGR, SUPERVISN. 0.0 2605.0 5.0 130.2 25.2 655.5 N. ADMIN.& MANAGEMENT 0.0 8815.0 5.0 440.7 29.4 2593.6

Total BASELINECOSTS 718.9 923520.0 5.3 49299.5 23.8 220253.4 K PhysicalContingencies 35.9 49299.5 Price Contingencies 156.4 220253.4 5.1 11159.1 n x ...... " ...... Total PROJECTCOSTS 911.2 1193072.9 5.1 60458.6 18.5 220253.4 Taxes 0.0 113.5 4.8 5.4 ForeignExchange 911.2 674514.0 4.9 32970.0 ...... Values Scaledby 1000.0 12/5/1990 14:29 CHINA IRRIGATEDAGRICULTURE INTENSIFICATIOIN PROJECT SHANDONGPROVINCE Projtcts Componentsbr Year Totals Inctuding Contingencies Toteal Inctuding CantInmncies VUAN Lil ...... 91/92 92/93 93/94 94/95 95/96 Total 91/92 92n93 93/94 94/5 95f96 Total

A. 13G16.A DRAINAGE 1. VANSIIWJIRRIC. AREAS 25239.6 4598.5 42973.4 22820.2 9023.8 146041.4 446.6 7734.5 7035.0 3686.0 1438.1 24356.2 2. CHEOGrAlIRRIC. AREA 2699.4 5651.7 4989.8 4021.4 2052.4 19414.7 47.5 950.6 816.9 649.6 327.1 3221.6 3. XIEZNAI IRRI. AREA 34093.1 6476.7 46470.7 26803.2 15549.9 187683.6 6030.6 10693.6 7607.5 4329.4 2476.2 31339.3 4. SHENGLIIRRIC. AREA 11265.4 23962.7 19189.4 13893.4 6870.2 75161.2 1992.7 4030.5 3141.4 2244.1 1094.9 12503.6 5. TUSEWELLIRRI. AREA 59617.4 66715.9 64022.3 33416.0 24551.4 248323.0 10545.6 11221.4 104O8.9 539r.5 3912.8 41558.2 ...... Stb-Tata 132914.7 207081.5 177645.8 100954.2 58047.6 676643.9 23511.0 34830.5 29061.7 16306.6 9251.1 112961.0 O. ACRI. INIENSIF. * SERVICE 1. CROPLANDIPROEIMT 11341.3 100252.0 105353.9 14U5.6 6761.2 238594.1 2006.1 16862.1 17247.1 2404.4 1077.5 39597.3 2. AFFORESTATION 3429.6 4120.5 5631.3 4748.3 7667.2 25596.8 606.7 693.1 921.9 767.0 1221.9 4210.S 3. SMLITT SEEDSOEWtLOP. 38517.9 15426.1 8584.4 384.6 148.0 63061.0 6813.3 2594.6 1405.3 62.1 23.6 10899.0 4. AGRO-TECNEXTENSISo 55865.0 39223.7 27499.2 11138.9 1171.2 134898.0 9881.8 6597.3 4501.8 1799.2 186.7 22966.8 5. AG0o-ErVIROaHIENT 3372.2 3140.0 3749.5 2261.S 1687.3 14210.5 596.5 528.1 613.8 365.3 268.9 2372.6 ...... ------...... - A Stb-Tetat iizszfi.o I162162.3 ;,l 6.3112526.0 150618 .3.333418.8 17435.0 476360.4 19904.5 27275.3 24669.9 5398.0 27m7.6 80046.2 0 C. INST. DEV.& SUSNOT 1. TUINIHC 5916.3 S8.5 5007.6 3761.4 3936.4 27531.2 1046.5 1495.2 619.8 610.3 627.3 4599.6 2. RESEARCH 1625.3 2719.4 2894.6 3039.3 1347.7 11626.2 267.5 457.4 473.9 490.9 214.8 1924.4 3. TECH.ASST. 192.0 418.5 222.7 77.9 0.0 911.2 34.0 70.4 36.5 12.6 0.0 153.4 Sth-Totea 73.e 12027.3 8124.9 6896.6 5284.1 40068.6 1366.0 2023.0 1330.1 1114.3 U42.1 6677.5

...... Total PIOJECTSCOSTS 253174.4 361271.1 336589.6 141271.6 80766.8 1193072.9 44763.5 64128.6 55101.7 22816.9 2871.8 199704.7

...... _ ...... V.lu1 Scaled by 1000.0 12/5/1990 14,32

.4

I-. w CHD" 79 Vt' ATW A01110AMAK LIff"IMAISON PVOJWr ------ANNEX 2 Table 2-1 10"W.'amen,% ------

it" U.; t U., t IM L19 tLCO :Oth.,* a sTot. I t

t (VO00) (Y'000) CY'OOO)I(V1000) (01Cmn4%,vcti0.! I It I I t t" ISODO! 1.04 275W.0 0.00 0:0 0-0 27"O.0 ctees.aent "A 220= g 0 0 4,510 0 0 0 'r; as, I &S= O:, I "51-0.0 .3 o 90 a3:,.o 0:0 O.Q 0:0 14US., PR lh 220 S. 73 L2 5.0 0 0 0.0 0:0 121111.0 PVC ... 2" S.75 12:a.0 0:0 0.0 0 0 Ul.-O

ll.b-total C.) t 649,115.0 0.0 A41510.0 0.0I930S.0t

P104.0t;en: I 11 I 'ILPF.,%;! ;as, %ow,t 41000t 1.38 $2100.0 0.0 0.0t 0.0 62100.0 Age*-chaoicals, t" 315i 43.70 L37".3 0.0 0.0 0.0 W". 3 TM3.3 o-o O.O 0.0 73"S.S

Total CZ) 1:70M.5 O.O "10.0 0.0I16"40.9

__!tg1.6 WWF t (ml C4-.tftc%;sft and U"! I weefoor 20 .3/he no I 3ts.00 0:0 315 0 0.0 315:00 U.9 eash!.. 0:0, 00 220 0 0.0 210 es' to 21 CO o -0. -2 2615 0 0 1102 T.b-. I I e I ... i.s sachi. t a 40 0 0 .0.0S S71..2 .':O .2 671. Lma-v,-ow,. Piv. yatee smastp. owl* s.% t 001 0.42 0.0 0.0 37.8 0.0 87.8 I t I sub-total (0) I a 3 0.0I 0.0 2236.S 0.0 um.111

(b) IW.Iomaet ------t t fie.. 00 no t 1494t 2.80 3430.2 0.0 0.0 0.0t 3430.2 041-4 fie.. 6*4 he:I 800t 3.43 M5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1?2S.O A.i me.t 1111411t S.16 3032.4s 0.0 0.0 0.0 3032.4 .. 1:11 M OM.t 0 27:31 218.11 9.0 0.0 0.0 210.3 C%,;fv go. 3- a 60 die f-D SM 075 T144.& 0.0 0.0I 0.0 71". I 24-0111. pwwo. twb;lq W9 0.90 015.4 0.0 0.0I 0.0t 013.6 -0 it" t &.04 LIWS 0 O:," ' : o' "::: "' , "A, I 0 0 im 'ba. 10-22 IN "a " " :O o.0 U IftemIs. 30 -40 kw me toll 4 :Go 1 793 o .0 O.* 0.0 763.0 95 k 192 4 67 LOW 0 H, 00 in kw 110 14:93 368:7 HO ti 0 0S" Hot*,*. ISO-2110 kw Om 1 242 0.0 9.0t :0I Die" I Si.". 12 hp 71`73: "I: 7631 =65,1140:03 0:00 O.* O.. InOL04.5t 0;4-1 0001000. 6 kp I NW t 2.04t 3105 .0 0.0I 0.0 0.0 3105.0

S.b-botal (1) I 9 O.* 0.0 0.0 V133.9

T,vnAa,=an vabolo bw I 700S 38.40i WHO.0t 0.0I 0.0I 0.0t 011410.0j T".0foFoope SO-SO kV,% no.a 112t CIsa SSU. II 0.0t 0.0I 0.0I SM.1I Tro.ofe,oo,.: 10-160 bVA 00.I 101 12. Ui 1M.S 0.0 0.0I 0.0 M.S Te"efeforro, 200 kVA no 74i If 94 I= 'r feesse,g, dw kVA U 21 ' : , 19"s, 00:; ay: :5 0:00 O S 00 216 TI"Sfor"la: JOOD_jvw ilvA 0M.I go. to 2.61.S 0.0 0:0 0.0 241-S

Swb-tesel (11) I =M .1 0.0 0.0 0.0 2=524 Off;a. wJ Laboratory, wtv. office 0";P, S. Fe C..= 20 112.00 0.0 sea.* I 0.0I 0 C 690.0 Typea'i 14's S 100t 6.74t 0.0 $73.0 0.0I 0.0 $73.0 ch I 00: 43.70t 0.0 1M.0 0.0I 0.0 3,311.0 gn,.1n:X., no.I 11 2r. 50 0.0 297.8 0.0I 0.0 297.5 AOLIi lLeborar; t t not 9 217Sv 0.841 0.0t 0.0I 0.0IOM .8 2002.0 fish 0 0:01 121:1 'resi.;S." 2 92 L2110 im 2 ASr a lo. me.I SM I 1.69I 0.0I 0.0I 0.00 t1111,011.411 64096.6

O.* M3.8 O.* IO-1s.2 t tun-7, (I.) del S"do 11,64spat"S vAgh/lkulot

Se-d seed;.* 04m;p. seft de Lt.$* 0.0 0.0 02.0 0.0 M.0 Good &.Y;.o ows"P. 00 0 9.04 4,;8weent oftip, z 10so 0-742.80 O: 0 0 :00 49 00:0 0go 0, crwamm eels. 6.2,1 24110 &A11I 0.0I 0.0 2m .0 2m .0 I.b.botal I ':' 0.11 0.0 43U.9 I 0.01 -312

'e"'l-fte... 1220 "P 2in134I 4 C1.9018.46 4221.0010 0.0 337n.0.00 1 I 0.0 U7242n.0 A Asel. me4ki.ery sumake"twal 9 I S '' Free,/ *be sters, soll, 2's U' 0': 'O ':341" H,': of C, 10.814,213004 #Filters 00. 4143 0 aI 4L63 fs Poddy/Whost ho-.8tolo "'I'll,, OO:" 0:00 422111:6, : : In Combine ko"oawwa, Golf-p-wollod Z I 00 1 J.13181 O.-O 101.9 no .3I U11:.: Thresh Pa -,W 1 2317I 1.21I 0.0a O'O12797.6 1 0.0t 2747.8I ftall, =vdiors, no.1 2m 1 &.01I 0.0I 0.0I2496.4 1 0.01 2496.4 6(.8902ch opmyoft - Plabeelf.d sprayers Ua S M": 9, O,:00 82'"': 9, aft.0 ca sm-.& 0.0 Sosw$ 16b-S."I (b) 284141.3 $9,37.0 LO-16.2 t&V-2. 1-I M77.0 2863.3 11173.5 1041S.1 UT09.1 TOTALDAIG CW (I 11) WOOD) 19331117-8 2083.8 W011111.2 10494 07319.7 -3,27AME tw,OOO 4126.0, Us. I inn. 3 &915.2 SW2.t ...... 1_ ...... I...... I...... 2 MiSIMMST 80 ALNNEX TabL* 17A CuLnom octeumet, m4w-

......

1.64 VON.* 0.0t 0.0 SS&2S.O- 0.0 SSL=.* c kmat 250owLSOCO 1 0.22 21?54. a as 220001 O." 217111111.0t 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 "123.0 0.0 104AW. 0

264111.1 W. 37101 0 71 2114S. I 0.0 0.0t O.*t 0.0t 0.0 41,5111.0 gee to" 31W 1: 19 4LSm.O 0.0 44d0O 0:81 39767:0 0 0 0 Sq7?. U,04 MR 1, 0 411:0 0:0 411. _S, to- 122 2 1 0 0 8 0.0 0.0 0.0 SSSI 0 -;"I* %*. 1,33 to. 9- 3511141.0 0.0 0.0 21.4 0.0 29.4 =11.sh,fam. to.t 301 0. gs sofa*.3 Swb-totai Cb) so .1 O-o .O.I 0.0 US45. 1- O.* M1,32.3 Totel ct) t o-a

tt. 1'e;fpstid" Machine.,

0,..d Canal Swicaw Pwol-I sess- 2 344t-OO YM-0t 0.0 0.0 0.0 TM.O 161b 1179%.3-t.o3dis. 30 dm 0.0 24"? 9 ons 0. Is- 7 W&L.00 20147.0 0.0 0.0 V-P-41901 I0 .1, a dig. 20 0.0 0.0 sm.2 a die. Lo 4"s2 St W111.30 6m.S 0.0 v "1; I .;.*di t.4 $04 0 30,;s $04.0 so/to US& 273,20 C': M, :0 0:0 V3.0 0.0I 0.0 z3t.0 0.0 231.0 20/5 tons II 23L:OO 0.0 0.0 294.0 0.0 294.0 pavsaqks wid 10 29.40 3 290. SS 0.0 0.0- 841.1. 0.0 BA1.1, 0.0 SS70.0 0.0 31170 0 to olublems, %b owot t 3370.00 0.0 0 0 2100:00 armses, "O: 4 3:00 11.1 L37S A.g I.,y 525:00 15711.0 0 0 be 3, LM 00 MRSL.st 0.0 4M. L 0.0 90339. S

(b) 1"; Wom ";.od O.* 0.0 0". 2 0.0 944-3 2tl- is 1O.LS La. 0.0 33a?.g 4-to. On 3." 0.0 0.0 33ar. 6 0.0 0.0 339.3 0.02 334.3 V.,% 2042 LAS i 311 AS 1:01 2M:3 O.. :3 201IS: 23 20 342 72 0 2M 2 a 22" 4.3.4 fte.9 4.01, 0.0 0.0 443.4i 0.0 coa Sri fu I PM-as; I 3.46 0.0 0.0 lq2.49 o,o 1,n.9 yle: ::IC' I": 11 0:101 IW: 63 b =1 S Lo 73 0 0. 0:00 39.370 $1 Lo :3 0:00 S s.b IS S, 0 0 0 At 0.0 LN.2I 0.0 UIC.2 oeftet fte. do 3.28 0.0 7 &W-260 igw 01:1 1: 21 ::1 ::O :1 0:001 43 .O LBO kw no: " S 42 "I a a a , "t 2 L30. ry 6. SIPt Ilm.$I 0.0 0.0I 0.0 41110.S ?111-tof)kw 0.0 0.0 0.0 t242.0 so M kw Us SJ11 t 124S.01 fte.S Lin t 3.411 t 4232.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 4232.5 0:4 kw 2.26 Is "7.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 40r.: 7.6- to tgw me. 'I S 0. Saco, ces.." lice swoot L2 ho 3 U H 00: C -(O' 29 h LOS to. 0 0. Lo so h: au 9 0.0 0.0 0.0 2111:09 3. v.= t t 0 12=1.11I O.*t Suk-telfal (b) a IM.0t 'rotat C. b) 495".sI, rtut.t

Cs) W.6%,i4al fllmmlo-MR. 4". No S?.'O sm.0 0.0 0.0I 0.0 40111 4 $3.19 212.41 0.0I 0.0I 0.0t 11272:10, at Mo.* an, . TOO.* I, O.*f 0.0 I, 0.0 "VA WO N "I .: ,VA ": U, S" Z US 00 345 0 0 to0OC, b" . 0. .0 :S Om WA 9. '12 M SS U, C.: :.O 4400: au S". S ON-LOCO %VA 0.0t 0.0 I, 4.01 44.3i gaft S" -A ad.t 21 Q. L3 t 06.3i 0.0I 0.0t 0.01 240.2t 240:400 INVA fte.I 01 st.14 1 240.51 100-1100 fi.VA 30-00 %VA, 9"" .1 10401, 12"0:10, Uo, OL40:110.0I 1. 0.0I T. S.-tah a 0, 13.9.011 1111110.* 0.0 on 04 aLiouO #.v tot U Ull, 0 0.0 0.0I 0.0I LLS.O r toolstoo O.C, 0.0 103.4 f que,00% lkv 3 34:809, . tG3.S 0.0 ;.;me",VISO 0.0 0. tj 0.0 L03.9 tommemse'. tio %v 3 34-80 a W.$- 0.0I O,* MOI 34k 5I 4.t,s immi'lests, I 9 be&8 4032 =.O*11.20 1 41110434.S L .06 010 - C.,0.0 , on .OO on aso., .III a Se as O".0 tean. 3 S.b-tetal (a) tsm.tf O.* et-3.2

Get. (jrU44 ...... LOS 00 0 a tos a Ha U tos.0 9 of 0 "Ji. S 0.0 4Q. S :to S11 t tgu 1.26 0.0 0.0 2040,'L 0.0 IM. 2I 0.0 0.9 017.5 0 0 $??.S O S - I I to.. au 0 30 0 0 0 0 3204 1 0 0 31.94 L 81 ANNEX 2. I~10A7EA~cL1M ~ItAl4~JTable 2-2B

P'rocur*~%n of MacNinarY. Uqipaent andilsta.040d

It.. ~~~~~~UR;0sent;"ty 2 wi.t iIC11 Ls LsU :at.aro \a i Tots 2- - .--- F2P.co - -- - I~~~~~ AanZ Ant t :6 Asaunt A.nt' AZ;.

(a) Irrigatiw.nArea 0OL4Mmeh./Equip. 222.2 6 i 1r~i7iS: no~A. 2 78 13.49 : 0.0 0.0 1011.9 2 0.0 I 1011.9 Stude noeA. 7 to.01 2 0.0 : 0.0 : 126.1 00: 1261 Standbypue. ceetarig 2-30' ~ .6 3.23 0 .0 : 0.0 3 1.5 0. 2 1. Occilting machin., no. : 1 * 1.59 0 .0 : 0.0 2 216 .3 0.0 216 .32 Amphibiewo drodg.ra no. 3 2 100.60 00 0.0 2 302.4 2 0.0 2 302.42 Twbe..aI cleaning machines no. 2 1 9.56 0.0:0 0.0 105.1 2 0.0 2 105.1 Tybo.oll drilling aiiabinea no. 2 I 390.00 : 0.0 ; 0.0 309.0 0.0 2 890.0 Vehicle-meuntedCrensa 24 ton. no. 2 z 34.13 2 0.0 0.0z2 laS 0.0 136.5 Coen. vice SOk1iAS ushinca mot 2 2 47.25 0.0: 0.0: 04.5: 0.0 94.8 Precoot icong.ee.mnct equip. set : 3 10.50 : 0.0 2 0.0 2 1.5 0.0 O 31.5 Nie. neak-elect.race,rcu,.86 141.75 0.0 2 0.0 141.6 0.0 141.6

Sub-total (e) . 0.0 : 0.02 2864.5 0.0 2 2806.5

(f) OngiAgerine Rou;p.ent 2 2 2 22 2O

Waesr .caeuring do.ioea 566me 2 80 2.44 0.0 : 653.3 2 0.0 2 0.0 2 6:8. CnaPUteri84d controls eqip22 22 0. 2 for ester supply *.t 2 17 3 6.36 0.0 2 106.1 0.0 2 0.0 106.12 Testing apparatus for .l.ct. *ta&. st O2 12 17.25 0.0 2 17.3 0.0 2 0.0 2 17.3 Orashi re4ordiAgequp.se 2 0 2 2.62 0.0 225.4 : 0.0 0.0 225.42 soil/ester expe.l en eqfui 8t2 12 34.50 0.0 2 34.5 0.0 0.0 2 34.5 Water-**.;O%* *.p, movie. sot 1 9.00 0.0 2 9.0 2 0.0 2 0.0 2 0.02 16d-oizo CepUtr eyetes eIe 2 ork 2 O satethns and 12 toroiASfe/P,1E2tSrw St 1 2 06.50 2 0.0 i4062.5 0.0 2 0.0 2 406.5 L5842 printer 84t I 24.15 2 0.0 2 24.2 0.0 0.0 24.2 Cole*rprlnt.r.LA "t I 2 .06 0.0: 6.12 0.02 0.0 2 .12 Graphic plotAter as 1 : 446.00 2 0.0 2 48.0 2 0.0 2 0.0 2 46.0 Ol gtler setA 2 I 28.00: 0.02 28.02 0.0: I .0.0 2 28.02O SoftwareOend ccceeariea set O I 3 10.50 0.0 3280.5 2 0.0 2 0.0 2 310.5 o..teomto 0.4 22 119.60: 0.0: 259.2: 0.02 0.02 289.22 Theodolitee ac 2 46.00: 0.0: 92.0: 0.02 0.02 92.02 Locela. 0.2, 0.7.2 2 t2 6 13.100 0.0: 62.6 0.0: 0.02 626 Triani,ilgowl teatin. -Ci,. aet 1 : 76.75 0.0 2 0.0 2 0.0 2 76.6 76.6 Pock TootIngeMech not : 12 36.75 2 0.0 2 0.0 2 0.0 2 8.6 2 8.6 Commnication eqp. for lEsterControl Ctr. 2 1211000.00 211000.0 2 0 2 0 : 0 211000.0 Sub-totol Cf. 11000.0 O 6215.6 0.0 2 115.5 217381.5 2

Total (11) 2 2766.7 26215.6 2 3573.4 2 00.5 11619361.32 U?1. Agricultural NeehbinaryA £euipsn"%22 22O 4a) Production Machinery A Ecuipmant2222222 Tractors: .22 . 222 Larg.. 75 hp, no. O 1el PA6.0 2100.6 2 0.0 : 0.0 : 0.0 2 2960.6 Medium. 25hp no. 2 89 26.41: 0.0: 0.02 10463.6: 0.0 210463.62 Sma l. 12-LS hp no 30 2 B."6 2 0.02 8704.4: 0.0 2 70.42 Attachaents a rapl.gente: 222222 Vibratjing male plows no.. 25 t 9.2 0.0: 0.0 280.02 0.0 2 20.0 AdJustable Place A.. 2 23 : .4: 0.02 0.0 76.2: 0.0 76.2a OleC pI*-e no. 2 42: 8.15: 0.0: 0.0O 132.3: 0.02t 132.83: Rotery cultivators. madiumi A.. 2 358 O 3.46 2 0.0 2 0.0i2 1237. 0.0 2 125.8 2 Platarycultivators. asall no. : 465 2 1.53 0.0 : 0.0 71,2.6 2 0.0 2 712.0 O Cage wheel.. paddy fieldi no. 2 4 I 8.18 0.0 s 0.0 2 12.6 2 0.0 s 12.62

Sub-total (a) .2,460.0 0.0 216591.4 2 0.0 219872.22

owers.ono.: for O 8: 4.422 0.02 0.02 411.12 .2 411 Sewers. noI2 94: .3 0.0: 0.0 560.2: 0.0 660.2: Mini... tillegc strip amore AO. 2 SW7 1.34 2 0.0 2 0.0 2 471.3 O 0.0 2 4A71.I caddy transplantrer A. so1 I 6.232 0.0:I 0.0 2 3.4 t 0.0 2 98.4 I Seed drillers. corn no.: 600 0.83: 0.0 I 0.0t 2 1.5 2 0.0 I 81.5 I Sub-tetal (b) * .02 0.O) 556.?: 0.02 5667. (a) 01itc;n ahingsee:oo O I I 2 sogehp1, no. 2 212t 6.12: 0.0:S 0,0O 126.8:1 0.0:I 126.5:z S.'VI. 12-13 hp no. 2 2277 0.66 0.0 I 0.0 2: 1986. 2 0t.0 2: 1956.2

SgWb-tetel Ci) I0.0: 0.0: 2M6.7i 0.03I 20661.7:

(d Breecting aahigl,qer Casting. laI no. t 2? ; 101.62;1 0.0:I 0.0: 2748.7:i 0.02t 2748.7 Combine: bas .. I 1,1: 16.42 I 0.0:I 0.0: 24461.22 0.0:2 2468.2t Small hervaateae 12 hp 2.66 2 1.22 2 0.0 I 0.0i 2 475.0 v 0.0 2 6478.0 I Sub-total (d) O I 0.0:O 0.0: "66. 9 0.02 66.92 C Th.aare; 2 2 21 2 22 gaail A.~~~~~~~~~~~00.O 287921 2.08:1 0.02I 0.0S 4871.02I 0.021 4671.02 Corn .eed.re n0.21 20:a 1.06:t 0.0:I 0.0: 21.0:t 0.0 : 21.02I Sub-ftbata(O) 22 2 .0 0.0: 460.0 0.02 469.0

C121.P. ediu Po. 8 17 2 9.1421 0.02I 0.0' 9111411IS 0.0 6695.6 Traifar. asamll no. 2 64 2 2.732i 0.0 2 0.0a2 229.8 O 0.0 , 529.6 I Corn afteikshredders me. 2 296 2 6.88 I 0.0 I 0.0 2 1080.81 2 0.0 a 1060.5 2 subsoil pertiliger Injector. no. 2 627 I 0.08 2 0.0 I 0.0 2 207.4 2 0.0 607.4 P"O.ingeechh.oe o 29640 2 0."3 0.02t 0.0: 16S4.6: 0.0 2 1664.06 Sub-t.tal (f) 2 2 2 ~~~~~~~~~~~~~0.02 0.0 2 6247.9 2 0.0 2 64. 82

TRR,CATDA 04CULNE 1?4T9GSi!CAITZ PR0JEC ANNEX2 J1Al:su -vI--Sc Table 2-2C

Procurmnt of Machi'e.y Euvipmnt *nd Materials

------Procurement Method ------… > rte- Unit Quant;ty Unit iCe LIS LCS Others \a Total ------: Pric _ -- _-- __- - Amount Amount Amou^t: Amount: Amunt ______------

(e) Age -mechanization & Sorricea Equipment: Seocialized woeica/reasir *ovio. \b 'um 1 1575.00 0.0 0 0 0.0 1575.0 1S750 O-rdinry av.icelrfofir 0iu;a \b I1u 9450.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 9450.0 9450 0 Agri machinery toetiflg *cuig b u I 1312.50 0 0 0 0 0.0 1312.5 1312 5 Agri. machinery testing apparatus \b aMa 1 703.50 : 00 00 0.0 703.5 7035S Training equio. \b set I 630.00 0 0 0 0 0.0 630.0 630 0 Soars parts aUm 1 6352.50 0 0 0 0 0.0 86352.5 6352 5 S.b-total (g) 00 00 0.0 20023. 20023 5 (h) Seeds Oclepoeent Equipment: S*ed rocwsina/gradins equiYp set 211 8 .62 0 0 0 0 1818.9 0.0 s 1610 Seed drying equip.e.t set 3 210.00 0 0 0 0 630.0 0.0 630 0 Seed tat.in? equipment t S1S 2.02 0 0 0.0 1038.2 0.0 1016 2 Soil tnolyse *equip. aet : 133 7.77 0.0 0.0 1033.4 0.0 : uS3.4 Fe-t.liser *nalysis equp. get 31 35.87 0 0 0.0 1111.9 0.0 lIL3.9 Fertilizer commounding Machines set 2 393.75 0.0 0.0 787. 0.0 767.5 Plant analysis equip, *t 1to 18.69 0 0 0.0 299.0 0.0 299 0 Plant quarantine eaup. set 30 8 .28 0 0 0.0 248.5 0.0 248 5 Agro-chemical teating equip, st. 22 16.34 0 0 0.0 403.6 0.0 403 6 Agri. mach. eer.icing equip (epecial) met 349 7.40 0.0 0.0 2583.5 0 0 256335 Agr;. mach. a eriCing equip (ordinary) *-t 333 5.SI 00 0.0 163S. 0.0 1835.7 AC,. *sch checking/testing equip, aet 118 6.0 0.0 0.0 602.9 0.0 602.9 Soare part set.I 614.25 0.0 0.0 614. 0.0 614 3 Fertilizer formulation equip. set 5 354.90 0.0 0.0 1774.5 0.0 t774 5 Seed conreymrs set 24 7.21 0 0 0.0 173.1 0.0 133 1 Packin/bagging mechiee set a 29.61 0 0 0.0 236.9 0.0 236.9 Package/bgeg sealing machineo get 6 4.20: 00 0.0 : 25.2 0.0 25 2 Air .*esmel got 5 : 1.05: 0.0 00: 5.3: 0.0 : 5.3 Other miC. msch ./equip se-t 313 1.94 0.0 0.0 .C 608.0 608.0 Sub-total (h) 0.0 0.0 15422.3 608.0 16030.3 Total (111) 2960.8 0.0 9491.9 20631.5 83104.2

Iv. Off;co end Laboratory equip.

ice.f equipment: Micro-commuters no. 22 23.00: 00 06.0 0.0 0.0 S06.0 Cosying each-no no. 3 43.70 0.0 l31.1 0.0 0.0 131.1 wordopoce.sors no. 2 23.00 0 0 48.0 0.0 0.0 48.0 Audio-ni4ual training equI.: Exteion/beeds de.elooment \b -s 1 787.50 0 0 0.0 0.0 7687.5 767. Agri. echanization Xb su 1 105.00 0 0 0.0 0.0 1OS.0 105.0 Water cone.rrancy \b dum 0 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 WNF Communication equip: CraF d Canal Pumvinq stations got 6 5750S 00 4S0.0 0.0 0.0 460.0 Irrigation area. got 73 3.80 0 0 277.: 0.0: 0.0 277.0

Total (IV) 0.0 1420.1 0.0 692.5 232.6

TOTAL eASE COST (r - IV) (Y 000) 178610.6 7635.90 150796.4 224445 S 359487.4 6 Y5.22/VSS USS OOO 34216.6 1452.6 2888 .2 4299.7 : 68867.3 \: e i e lo :t I : : : : \e: Include ahooeing on bami of *t least three bid quoctatone end direCt yurchase \b: Oet.ailed equipmet l;t and eatimated coete in project file 83 FILE!SHeNmLST CHINA IRRI0ATM A(RICULJ.tl.R INTE85IFICATION PRJE' ANNEX2 ItCE ~~~Table2-3A ------C-

Procurement of Machinery, Equipment end Materials * (~~~~~~~~~4------Procurement Methodls-----> Item Lin;t Quantity Lk,nit 1c8 LIB LCS 'Othler,\a Total * ~~~~~~~~~AmountAmount Amount Amount Amount I. Materials. (Y'ODO) (Y'000): (Y'O00) (Y'000) (Y'000) : (I'000) (e) Construction:.. Steel ton 11624 1.84: 213882: 0.0 0.0: 0.0 :21388.2 Cement ton :247820 0.22 00: 0.0 54644.3: 0.0 S 4644.3 Timber mS 17254 0.92 15873.7 0.0 0.0 : 0.0 : 15873.7 Sub-total (a) 37261.8 0.0 54644.3: 0.0: 91906.2

(b.PFeroutionz* ton 109600 1.27 :139644.0 0.0 0.0 : 0.0 138644.0 Agro-che.icels ton : 230 40.25 :9257.5 : 0.0 0.0 : 0.0 : 9257.5 Sub-total (b): 147901.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 147901.5

Total (I) ... 165163.3 0.0 54644.3: 0.0 239807.7 II. Mmchlnery and Equipment.. (a) Construction and O0M t~draulic backhoe excavator, 1.6 .3 no. 6 : 98.00: 31588.0 0.0 0.0 0.0: 3588.0 Bulldozer. 160 hp no. S 364.55 : 162.8 : 0.0 : 0.0 : 0.0 : 182.8 Oredger: 60 .3/hr no. 2 :1460.50 2921.0 0.0 : 0.0 : 0.0 : 2921.0 20 .3/hr no. 4 241.50 0.0 : 0.0 : 966.0 0.0 : 966.0 Tug Boat.: 120 hp no. 1I 138 50 : 0.0 : 0.0 : 136.5 : 0.0 : 136.5 SOhp no. I : 63.00:z 0.0: 0.0: 63.0: 0.0 63.0 Self-propelled Scrapers 6-e .3 no. 10 3 64-55 : 3845.5 : 0.0 : 0.0 : 0.0 : 3645.5 Front-end Loaders 1.7 .3 no. 1I 437.00 i 437.0 0.0 0.0: 0.0 437.0 Sub-total (a): : 12414.3 : 0.0: 1165.5 0.0 13379.8

(b) Vehicles: ... Fork-lifts no. 5 : 23.00 : 0.0 : 0.0 : 115.0 : 0.0 : 115.0 Water r.sources monitoring vehicles n.: S : 68.00 : 315.0 : 0.0 : 0.0 : 0.0 : 315.0 Agricultural monitoring vehicl a no. : 4.0 : 50.0 : 2200.0 : 0.0 : 0.0 : 0.0 : 2200.0 Trucks. S tons no. : 45.0 : 53.0 :2385.0 : 0.0 : 0.0 : 0.0 : 23e5.0 Trucks. 2.5 tons no. : 23.0 : 30.0 : 90.0 : 0.0 : 0.0 : 0.0 : 690.0 Tamo-cab pickups. 1.5 tone no. : 72.0 32.0 :2304.0 : 0.0 : 0.0 : 0.0 : 2304.0 Motor cycles with side cerriags no. : 35.0 : 13.0 : 0.0 : 0.0 : 455.0 : 0.0 : 455.0 Sub-total (b) :: 7894.0 0.0 570.0: 0,0 8464.0

(c) Equipment. ... : 984.5 ( bevol pumpingsets, sin. set : 4003 : 1.50 : 5984.5 : 0.0 : 0.0 : 0.0 Venious no. : 190 : 13.68 2622.0 : 0.0 : 0.0 : 0.0 : 2622.0 Sub-total i): :860.6. 0.0 : 0.0 : 0.0 : 8606.5 (ii) Electrical:..... Motors >100 kW no. : 48 : 23.40 :1123.2 : 0.0 : 0.0 : 0.0 : 1123.2 Motors, (100 kW no. : 140.0 : 10.5 : 0.0 : 0.0 : 1470.0 : 0.0 : 1470.0 Trs.,formors no. : 73 : 16.10 :1175.3 0.0 : 0.0 : 0.0 : 117b.3 Sub-total (;I): : 2298.5 0.0 1470.0 0.0 8?368.5

(titi) Office and Laboratory equip. ....

Office equipsent:. ... Micro-computers no. 3 4 : 23.00 : 0.0 : 782.0 : 0.0 0.0 : 782.0 Copying mechinles no. : 2? : 43.70 0.0 : 1186.2 : 0.0 0.0 1186.2 Word processor no. : 32 : 28.78 0.0 M2.0 : 0.0 : 0.0 : 920.0 Facsimile no. : 2 : 17.25 0.0 : 4.8 0.0 : 0.0 : 4.5 En ineer Ing equipment:... =.epter terminal no. : I :262.20 : 0.0 : 282.2 : 0.0 : 0.0 : 262.2 UJPSPowerPack no. 1 69.00: 0.0 69.0: 0.0: 0.0 : 69.0 oraphicplotter noc. 1 51.75 : 0.0 51.8 : 0.0 : 0.0 : 1.8 Grein size analyser no. 1 105.00 : 0.0 0.0 : 0.0C 105.0 : 10.0 Bed load sampler ilo. 2 57.76 0.0 0.0 0.0 : 115.5 : 115.5 Liquidsempler no. 2 57.75 0.0 0.0 : 0.0 : 115.5 : 115.5 VW set, no. 19 68.00 : 0.0 0.0 : 1197,0 : 0.0 : 1197.0 AgrI,cLaborstory Equipment: Eletronic balance no. 20 5.25 0.0 0.0 : 105.0 : 0.0 : 105.0 Inse.:tbreeding equip, no. 15 10.50 : 0.0 0.0 : 157.5 0.0 : 157.5 Culture chamber no. 18 5.99 0.0 0.0 : 107.7 : 0.0 : 107.7 Nitrogenanalyser no. 17 13.300 0.0 234.6 : 0.0 : 0.0 : 234.6 Seed germinationchamber no. 2 4.83 : 0.0 0.0 : 89 3 : 0.0 : 9.5 TraintingEquipment: . Video camcorder no. 1 210.00 : 0.0 0.0 : 210.0 : 0.0 : 210.0 Projectors no.: "1 : 9.81 0.0: 0.0: 603.4 : 0.0 : 503.4 Othersno 26000 : 032 : 0.0 0.0 0.0 : 190,0 8190.0 Sub-totael (Mi) : 0.0 : 490.8 2369.9 OM852.0 : 14386.1 (iv) Quality Seeda Proctessing Maich/Equip: : or:in seeds grading mechinem no. 19 21.0 0 0. 0 0.0 399.0 : 0.0 3 99.0 Crai seed orceseln lin st : 19 : 45.00: 6855.0: 0.0: 0.0: 0.0 655.0 Cottondel inting mchinesat : S: 0.0: 0. , 24366.0: 0.0 : 2436.0 Cotton Vrocaessinequip, set : 7 : 7.15 0.0 : 0.0 : 10.1 : 0.0 : 610.1 Seeds,treatment Qguip. set : 9 : 78.00 : 0.0 : 0.0 :84M02, 0.0 3 402.0 Colttoratrend testnge.quip, set a 26.85 0.0 : 0.0 : 226.6 : 0.0 : 226.3 Fire fightingeq ip, fr seed Ctrs. eat I 8 140.70 : 0.0 0.0: 1125. 0.0 1125. Conrerao gtset : 90 184.0 0.0 : 0.0 I 386.0 00: 16. Sub-tot-al(iv) : 655.0 : 0.0 :955.5 a 0.0 : 16140.5 84 ANNEX2 Table 2-3B RME:SPROLST O4IN Inl!fTD A°IClA.1tA INT9ESIFICATIO. PRO0JET

Prcwemnt of Maehinery. Equipment and Mat.e;a1 ______-- ---_ _ - -__ ------__- __-_-- _---_._------_------___-___ < ------Procurement Method- > item Unit Quantity Unit ICB LiU LC8 :0thUer \' : Totl ____ --- _ I __- Pri; e_ : ---- :--- - t - s I : . … - . .Amount Amount Amount Amount Amunt ------…

(v) Agr.cultu.al Machinery A &Wuin.nt . Aericultural tractors: 0 0 S0 h no. 273: 52.50: 14332.3: 0.0: 0.0: 0.0: 148t2.5 12hp no. 1578: 2.944 0.0: 0.0: 4d39.3: 0.0: 483.38 Aeri . mch.ne.y *ttach..nt-. lowv no. i 4780 0.83 : 0.0 0.0: 3011.4 : 0.0: tO11.4 pultivtor no 343 o 0.0.0: 2686.2 0.0: 2U0.2 MI. ae no. 2s0 1.05 o 0.0 0.0: 2625.0 0.0 2625.0 Stalk ahredder 12 hp no. 2215 1.68 0.0: 0.0: 34"6.6 0.0 6419.6 Cr.. shredding machine. no. 0360 0.32 : 0.0: 0.0 1152.9 0.0 1112.9 Fogeing machine no. 5100 0.53 : 0.0: 0.0 2677.5 0.0 2677.5 KagIr emuiC. and others met 90 27.15 0.0 0.0 2443.8: 0.0 244t.6 Sub-total (a) 14332.5: 0.0 22924.8 0.0 8727.3:

Total (II) * * . 82100.7 : 3490.3 316068.6: 62.0 . 102202.5 TOrAL IASE CT (I * II) (Y'OOO) * 287264.1 * 3490.3 9272.9 526 .0 : 42010.2 0 YS.22/WS 1 000O 45452.9 : 66.6: 17764.3: 163. 319.2:

\a: Include aloo,.; on baa of at loast thre bid quotat;on, and direct purchaas. ~~- 0100otrIer2.00geR 5.' .

cow IT"eptICS 9.49 FersiliIer-- - = -t9

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sainspi Ierl. 10 7.a5CWp. IIisr fOCUnInEN?lstOUU fOI EOUVWUM?kWSIATERIALS *^oCw IA^L - Ji.apa Fl m'

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13. Fifthyear'.

11.. Fifth year's LCI -A~..0

LCR Lca 1.55...I~ S..IhIn m.. s.u..Sn 'Cl~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~I~~~~~~~~~~~~~I

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3. Shall PMP fLatIca L(3 1.60 .u -;

L. LiU LAOjI10 IW?p St- kom LCB 4.38 J - A S. Zboogyunhe tOddle canal T L . l

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3. Jlag Zanbg Gate LCD 0.47 I

4. Jun Zheng Ziwang I Gate LC 0.67

S. Noa SIAM& tau Cat LCB 0.50 0 _ -+4l ilMTI I: -~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ TOTAL 3.37 .. Lll ll

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6.Second years& LCD except cewtut LCD 3.59 - j

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4 a~.M.aC.l M4 b:s a.Q5O.5afftsaS ftastnn.,i .I..m. 7IRICATU A(aRaLLniE ixwIFlCAT76 TW.W

_ _ ------_ _ - _ -- _ _ --- _ _ _ _------~~------_ _ ------_ __ - Dishurmmmmmt Shd _ _ - - _ ------_ _ __

51edJo.g Cenomn1 Aghe Coponet 190/IDA JIa 6., Coa_aeet . Totel Project Di,mbrse.ebt Di"urement oieberammmt Fisc Yea ------Oislpur-tsomui Disbutemet Prft / mmdSemter Smetrsl Cwelw.i,m Cumulu3ski S....Lral * Cmulabtive Cwwl.t.ve Sosbtral Cueoloti,. Ctbtive Smm.trml C.uWlti o CumlaLi., --C s .Ua' I I io)---- (5) ---- (t6 SiSIliom)---- (3) Year/ Cr.lsvbl. --- (L68 mil l o)---. (2) ---- (US6 e.ililo )---- (5) Seambot CS) Fl 399 AJu-D.c 91 lb 6.3 Year I 6.3 7 10.0 10.0 9 e.0 5.0 Jam-h.0n 92 6.s 16. 10.0 20.0 * 26.3 2 3 6 1mb 0 1t U606.0 i 26.3 V2 6 36 d1 FT 1993 .oul-Do 92 16.5 33.3 29 year 2 35.0 35.0 30 12.0 26.0 2t 435 96 1 Jam-A. 93 16.5 49.6 44 15.0 50.0 43 29 l et 12.0 40.0 36 43.5 139 6 42 2.4 43 FT 3994 FYD.l03 35.3 614.9 5? 12.5 62.5 53 Year 3 Jam-k. 12.0 52.0 so 306. £?9.4 54 lot 94 18.3 60.2 71 12.S 75.0 54 32.0 53 64.0 SI 36.6 219.2 OS 2.4 62 FT 399 Il-J)e Year 94 6.0 63.2 76 9.0 84.0 72 30.0 4 Jeo-A_ 95 6.0 74.0 7i 27.0 246.2 73 lt 73 95.2 65 9.0 9.0 79 10.0 ".0 s0 27.0 273.2 62 24 6 t FT 1996 JFl-01 5s 101.2 69 7.0 Year S s.0 300.0 as 7.0 91.0 7 1.O 292.2 jobm-d. 96 5.0 106.2 94 7.0 107.0 91 ?7 lot so 7.0 96.0 9a 39.0 333.2 93 2md 93

FY1-D 96 3.6 110.0 97 5.0 112.0 96 3.5 303.5 9T 12.3 323 S 97 lot Jm.-a.h.m673.5 113.5 o00 5.0 117.0 100 Ss 5.0 104.6 100 11.i 335.0 1oo 24 n0o _~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ComplmLlon date: Jme 30. 1996 - - __ -- -__------__ _ - _------_-__ Cleolm &Let JSm 30,. 3I97 /a: OD -_s_m.t preflle for agriceltratml sector is Cui. eWH.compiled by i. cldilmm retroactive flinaciag effmctive from Novembe 1. 1990 to signing of Loon/Credit Agreemnt. ii IIOAT1 A1t u SEltFWICATIM PND.T

Xlies Sojocto Total Tota Io Ys P1.81 by _o_- C t _ _ Prte so mot. (Y'OO) 1 _ _ tPJV PrN"----- 1993 19194 3,s ______ITltAIMUt-: ------__m------

1 o lc; lt C..tpIT o ihlp/I -- _-_----_------e/Dartot Le1d s)C..liurol t.cbalqsoo to ocr.... Ie. 1. Oeg.aiszee:Pteovei.ial sA Coutf rm. bCelewoel to sod,... *1.5l 2S00 750 is iajmci_ *ath I tocbdi.. to imcc,. ser--ilo SW0 400 600 60 of Agri.cltere. c) to hig lisld 2500 750 Om 2, Ibjor crwp a-fr, d tie boiqo for 300 400 600 G6 coar .0.0.. cor. cottoo, ocyboos Fortsilil.ti_ _sia crop. 2500 750 60 S. Seor snd esporioecd aed r_s$t lic tion t o i S00 400 600 600' 600 sgramaxiset _. estsion officer. Pose cstres/proweotiom 2500 750 100 400 w;1l b. o " as A satf appiiectlesof P"tticlds 250 600 60 600 4. instructss. fYbrid corn msd sultiflicatios 750 SW 400 S00 Troli. a ill II Coaductod duew oiots )Cotbma sd floating 2500 600 600 idi isog priod. "ad ptritw/armetal im,ov.sat. 750 300 400 SOO Iel 10-30 days dsp la te toi-eC. toctoI 450 135 600 600 S. Ttaisio obec 50 55 115 is 115 et*aare to d*eoietro tome.ec r*MISo S6b-to cu.aatiam goebiai lt a te 156I0 . 4635 1sS0 24S l715 S71S 2. Forotr AJrot1ecico 3715

(el Ciltosal tochftiqso for _ia ertop bbeid cot. eool _tioplicatio, 12000 1600 120D 1500 aod plsatiog 1200D 3100 3300 3200 Safe opplistios of postici4 S" 1o6 1200 1500 3100 soet Centrol 12000 1600 3100 3100 1200 500o 3100 3100 3300 Sub-total 35000 5400 a00 400 9300 S. scieti;o 0300 9300 -.-_--_------StaffS tr iooli.s .e,- p1_iosol sod dosIgs (I.W ios-t,-ssueo pip. 240 o 320 All traii.., to ho co_docto o1pel.. dosios 120 0 0 0 at Prviaciail Schoolof water Consorvancy. pierstios £ Sot_ neo. for too.ehiplvitl.g. 50 20 0 50 Two batch., of 120 po_ems sck. te Cli str.,etis staff 670 200 0 0 0 .O.sOt ootl dorOtios tOtfor e ti re,res .teff 0 a5 335 0 A.roliam foe 60 pore_s. t Coosissosig 120 46 sO 0 Oh. moth duretioa for ; tootiog of puopi ag o~.ip. 40 0 0 0 670 pre. VsLsr*f-so.i iee.go;tio 355 134 0 0. sot. duration ter 12D psesos. (a flioh ted...tu.s 0 U5 0 0 Isogooge te.iaimg 40 11 0 0 40 HIb-osot dwrtio fort 670 Versa. 30 20 0 0 i.l month drstios 0 ti30 0 0 0 for 40 p.r.... 01e-itr,.l Five prses for Smths at SShandase 14il1 52 T..ctr Trrimiop li,vrsity. to M Ps7 710 0 0 4. Project ihas_met Mt ice Staff pro'c wasoosst* . oisioe F;;scisl s;isetr.t;_* mioa 1 125 60 20 20 dist-i!l sodeatlo sodso40 20 0 O _ 40 20 0 0 SObtetlt p*eoerome. s; saos-.jnt 406 sO 40 20 0 40 0 0 0 Ccwots.i sgplicetime is project eanagoeaat s0 30 tO 0 so 90 0 0 30 20 0 0 Sub-_tel 0 310 26t 190 SO 20 20 0

Torl Training 524 11419 S640 7510 I4 IS35 11 SIIDT Tf 13015 1. Lal Stody Tootrs *iso See Project doolgo A lt,ss.ssea China N..sorc0 S 4 11 Froies'ct, .eeog_ t 2 1 0 0 0 _Autmticac ral.l; 4 2 10-4.0 - ur for 9 por*oos. lowf Proaur*e piPe spot. 1 0 0 0 1 141 lte.tiom areon 5 a 0 a 1 dsy to ertoe 9 sreem. I,rirg I 0 0 0 15-day tur tie ith Yelolw river, se. ilsoeslos 9 7 0 0 0 for 30 pe... to Wioql C ;tpi.Tisil.. tf lasooL Oft 4 * 0 60-dsp to..r for I ofi projeit 0 4 0 0 0 poriem to hajiNOMps ItripsL,om Arna* 4 6 15-do tur for J porem %iiism, 4 0 0 0 0 to osolo. Irriest.m Am. Shasasi. SA-td ol 16-day tooe for a Versa to nhoe VolIl 26 i5 X;oor Irwigetios Areo. i5 i1 0 0 2. Ortro" $%Oh fe*_ 0 (a So;l spro.ossot a fOet I§Or oppt;.otio, 8 202 0 S 0 tb C.ItyfxIo..ds mltipbioiioo tetoleso 0 0rOe Of * poem Qoitw oaf o of* od-igols; J 202 for 1U dsaJp o cetry to be detosd). tlrl A st ta"of 3 202 0 0 0 O 0 fora scacro-pbs 0 a,,.J of 6 poerm re g;ertio_ toeloo 3 202 O 0 O Cfo epprsose a for 16 days tI coetr to " for qeld rogioss 0 0 6 0 0 for If dajysto coo"trto hoio datsdots-;.). raimd). I teges. d ain;. te_..olog 2.5 370 0 J .5 Group of Poest f* 1s dra to couir;0 Is dovolopieg 0 0 0 coIetry, to ho de"t ;e). a" W Projecto management. ote.p of S psomw for 20 days to iSA. al)Sioivisd 1 jeomoestr ochniqueo 4 I6O 0 0 4 ) 32 0 0 Group of S Ireigs tism osi roig sok Os"WOOMS W0 0 0 2 poem fo 60 dasp So Pakistos sod"1.41. 6 15 0 0 C oepft :oems 0 .5I 0 0 0 for 12 doye so 1S. Sob-tatal Gr ofp too"fr for 20 fose 2 3i7 tso luotl is. 0 16 9 0 0 Tlo it Iy Tor 51 143 is5 27 9 0 0 INS. MVUUQ trvll32 ism 32 iW5O 76T7 i114 130iS ii3s _- _ _ - ---cost -- ……------*tb (Y020) 991 1992 1993 1294 *995

1. I SaEND0 1. AgEriwlt.rat Staff tall *a..le*1 S;lt, a. (4 b.270 sO sO IS lt!", 40 20 0 Training agnelo: bajiog Agricl.tsl prstctl= 1s.1di 300 70 60 uil.sraity PI net p'Otactloali_ ss, control l@O 1600 30 So 0 Iso.aft asiomol 4 40 50 100 30 0 0 Age.ew0ttral SIom Farm .acb ry op.r*sice A o.imtema.c 1o 30 * isl Agrcultral School 20 I00 30 0 0 Suretieo 3 am * *ack sorsio. Sok-totol 900 200 210 S30 130 30 0 2. Frmetr

a) Ai. clsa. for frmers 1000 (5) Farms. agroret.oto4oom Sm 116si 6745 11510 12263 1704 945 SA-totel Ss314 12674 6746 11510 122 1784 7945 3 Irrigalim Staff taj Irri;. *l_t-; plemmoi. assign NW cetra. I6 (5 Tb.. 20 100 s0 0 0 0 N-alae of eaatra.ties letAwqv. 120 15 40 Wator C.wamwg School A Dm5..2 Farm Irrigatio Ot. (c< Wte-swria If rrigation tetbmiq 6o 0 0 0 bsl - Water Conservancy Satmel 120 20 s0 6O 0 0 0 1 di Po*-.a irr;gation t*chmlv too .,,- Wet., C.ma....ram Sed._ a 1..tjs A moelorims Is5 30 40 30 0 0 beSrs WYLterConservaney ofJ4.r;$?Liem/drsi*sIe water to 1 5 5 ScoIsl (4 CaOs.t_ arees*t emiacet. -. L. constra. techmlvq 0 0 0 AOl.i. SAsevret lm1-tjtoS A aboipe ISO 100 50 s0 50 0 C Sdc_I e OIJ4 of tobs..ll irrist;imr areas 0 AmIu a Kooparh Smwtteto ALIlaive WC Scblhs 120 20 30 40 30 (5 lab*easI o".prmsl 0 0 ,,-iym Water Cemoor.a..q Solut L A*i W 130 40 30 s0 so Far% Irrigation Dest. 0 0 so it*e traimio for teoboell pera%ot. St-totl 900 235 345 S5 ISO 0 0 4. Projoct _mooent 6flce Staff

Prcwrmt of se 25 9 i5 0 Fisa;mal sod _comoic 0 0 0 tl Plaiwm Cainiv.. A amiols sO 5 20 Provineial ibterisl Scbosl. . Fosacial admislostrtiem 10 20 0 0 Pseemelal Fhl Ecommico bet. L amsogmemt O 33 20 so ) Ib;itori md_ a.se"ti; so to to Prm"amcl no6 ai r._ t P.m..Fi 20 a 4 4 *s PrS-i.. NW ototietice 4 4 4 pft_ e;il PM A "if dept. 100 so 40 is 15 is is no rPosis. Commeioom & b .ras of Sttistic. sab-totl 245 1IS 99 a 4 29 S. Other Traimiag Cbalge.sftd) 20cOo d e terslSd

TiiT6L1353006 6041 14 9400 124I4 1794 m4 II. Snm Ta i'l Lcl Sadv lo

(a . i e.lo Sad i.r.emo 1 t S 30 5 (bhbi core viold impr"oem.m 0 0 0 0 P.4 Sael* Project la Jlimgi S 20 5 0 0 0 _A ftjias. E.tonelo t.dssi..o 0 N.jismojimmo sod LImimoi hybrid cars gromies ors... 10 to 5 a Cd k*atIrPsU hiqh gld4 mdel 0 0 0 JioaOga - fscilitit sad *. mros S 20 0 5 ri_ema. e Le.-prvore pepo sapet irrigation 0 0 0 J ;a,o - high Ni.Id areas. 20 7.2 l0 30 0 f O.-farm irrlgation h.l_poemt 0 0 TisajiaN s_d5tdmg - oub-Iurfaco pipe atess. 7.5 5 0 7.5 0 C lomeag..amt ov tdbooll irrigati.. aro,o 0 0 J;vaga. irrigation ar*.* S 5 0 0 o 0 0 Pead iript; *atio vter a. "ad os.r. t O asa. - --- t of tebo.1l irrigatios areos. 7.5 5 0 0 7.5 0 Project ocomomle *asolpisd N 0 SMGRaa - water so,owmet a cellectios of dsa avalustleo I.5 7.2 0 0 cbarge. ode syoteo MO not-MR siammae a I.S 0 NlaopJiangH0 - a.p*r.svc *lit _Avsment 2.5 10 0 2.5 0 VD praac% 0 0 J; .a - Me *vdtoo .. t.. . "..d.. U praojct. Sat-00"I ff 9.4 25 so 14 0 0 2. Seos S Terr L (a * ddylvia, clti.atos C Cr. w 3 So 3 0 0 0 OI. p _J al lroI t 2 100 0 2 Msplle . A Thalad. C.) lrig.timdraio o tehmaleao 0 0 0k; *a JSAtTiD) 3 G0 0 3 0 0 0 Ca) 0.osmdst *v _roe-re- de oo t3 Iedla/PtataOL"t t Stea ems;eoirmas 0 0_* 0 2o4 Jopba (TD) fofec r rritime wster entrel/trofor r3 100 0 Project ;ietorlmo 0 3 0 0o WSA. seo oealwatiae 4 130 0 Ptoje.t f;i.aac,al 0 4 0 0 lad;*. 0111iMpia., ThsillW mos et far me staff 2 40 0 (TIO). ProJect financis "A coae recovery fo 0 0 2 0 C,tv, to to datei_ no tdtJ 50f0 0 0 Thailad * Ft; llipsp (1i 0). SWt-tUV"l 22 645 a 6 7 a 0

TMi W71IITOM 744.4 2t 2.i 5 0 TOTALi n_or saws 19 "42 92 124 1794 7M7 E:TRAtfI A CHINAk IRMICATIEDACRICLNbLLE IS4TDEIFICATION PRDIECT

TIrinima Prograo

It.. Sujects Total Total Pbhsimg by Year Proposed content sad locations ______------Rem- cost ------_e______) 19__1 1_92 19_3 1__9_ _1 ______

PRAINIIC Agricu.ltral R1 Staff at all levels Finsacial *nua 0eet 1000 200 50O 300 200 0 0 l6siine Agric.ltaral University *od Project Officals *psrieeacsd Procareseut ofl oods dr m*n gCeat 600 145 300 150 150 0 0 *ith World Bani projects. Projoct aorks ssnaWemst 1000 200 500 * 3C0 200 0 0 S.h-t-'. i 2600 645 1300 750 550 0 0 Agricultural Techlcl Staff Soil sd lend iapro t t.cha.que 4010 700 1000 1000 1000 610 500 loenihip/.illsge extens;on staff at Pro,, imcisl/hicipal sat. stations 500 0 --es-- Colral tochaiqa fot higb 1 ;.lJ 3000 521 1000 1000 520 QuaIty 6ea4d breading tedchique 3104 57116 1000 1000 500 500 104 For com ty/toemsbipfvillage iSrotech.by prov.mc.slImicipal *sporte. Seed goradig ad testing technique 794 155. 200 300 294 0 0 -- ea" -- Plant protection a post control 3792 724.4 1000 1000 1000 792 0 For t/I agrotecl;ianc by imaicipal/coumtyestiaftos instractors. Proper us. sad as4iotMacse of agri. instrueemte 1657 347 4 400 400 500 351 0 fot coet, a te seotech. by specialists fro prov.Iseipsl factory. Soil nutrientsa "d fertilier lormsltion techniqui 1204 251.6 300 300 300 304 0 fot coaty A,t/v asrot.ch. by eul/fertil.c.r spsliss Ire.,pleatin t*schise, en4 series development 277 63.2 100 100 71 0 0 For t/v agrotchuiciess by foreutry specialists from prov/isicip. Management of egri. mchiry services 2492 496.4 500 500 500 500 492 For cousty/toa;hip agri-moch staff by imtractors,fto egrisach.schools. Agri. macbhieryopiratio, mid m*i-teaamce 5240 1248.1 lO00 2000 2000 1000 240 For gr,iach.operators by in-trctors from sgr_s.. schools. Agro-enviroamiot assessment sad protection 400 60.0 o00 2DO 100 0 0 For covaty A t/. igrotch. by igro-eneiroast pelist SfA-tote 26970 6191.0 am00 7i00 67l 4463 .335 srrigatic Staf Project *ams9 1etfor towip_ ta;tff 2200 440 IO!D 1200 0 0 0 fy Project officials with W projects experience. Project mass..aat for county staff 1300 260 600 700 0 0 0 -_ _ -_ Project ila tiom/nms_st for t/w stations staff 2000 400 IO0O 1000 0 0 0 or senier tecnical stiaff sa istrctors from tech. colleges/chools. Peroj. ip lenttion/ensgsaat for conty tech. staff 0OO 178 400 400 0 r 0 __ ae __ 0 a ii for rigaton areea staff 700 140 0 0 200 3VJ0 200 By GAN staff fro provisce sd municipality. Irri contrl/d ihutio for camal/dit ders 2900 560 aat0 500 1000 1100 400 at Gl staff fron count, and itrigstion 4isericts. Sl Ipu isi stations operation a maiateesoce 2500 520 0 600 1000 300 0 ab istructor frOm t.chnicalschools sd speriencd poperetors. Elect. end smok. latilation maimfenanu at TPV lvelos 513 102.6 0 100 300 113 0o seniot tecnictil staff ron prow/mumncip. sad technicl school. major pu.pims eetellation operetion A. omiatease 1000 200 0 300 400 300 0 ey senior tchc;al staff from po"./masmicip.and teclnic ls aior poo operato is operationa mi_tnand- s0 10 0 20 30 30 0 ly,senior pwop operators ad ikstroctors. fro tschnicsl schools. "esageasatof "ajAe pimping station 50 10 0 0 25 25 0 1mb-tolal 14143 2540.6 3000 4620 29 7s6 60 IMallocatod 400

TOTAL TiMlD 43713 8977.4 10600 1370 102K 7231 2o n-

4,511.3 iC) FiE TRiA1TA CHIM ll ICATED Aitiuje Zwl6lFICATTON .Itr

ItrewsjeacV 1otal Total hain$ by Year Proposed content and location, Man- cost ------______mnte Mt000) 1911 199 I99 194M I95

1I. ShtD Tam A. Local Sthdy Tows &Pmrtlclpnt) Water Ce.oer'aaac: swel. walter mm vad _ rwr t "I 5 S 10 0 0 0 SUmamaiCOnglei lrrigetion Project. ) Lrge irgtis. area Ut 7 4 0 0 7 0 C Northern Irrigation Preojct - Hata. lan.r Ibhnolia *c) Plabihe proiect eagim6*reO. maaeast 6 6 5 0 0 0 0 An&ei Pie&ihang-Chae. Project.

4 inegrald agrcalteral dale_psas 15 15 0 10 S 0 0 C d Prowince. (a) lhnageeag,l of W pro fade 20 3 5 5 0 0 0 Itnechtan County. Dehui Proolce. (I) NbaEgat gt gcal Wert projace 10 7 5 5 0 0 0 Jiaaat Project Hapaseeant Office. Projec lha_at Offtice: )Projectin oleeaetatiem ad mo _emgmes 20 210 10 10 0 0 0 North Clii. Plala Agriculture Project. Pro Jct ec*mmec maalyc; ad eaolvatlu. 10 10 5 0 0 0 tkuloajiaaJg Load Paclantio Project. Geeral 6area of Slato FParm. t)aig aed seasamt of projecL NIE 10 I S a 0 0 0 Jlaa.1 Red lodl PrjecLt tbnhgeeLnt Office. $*-tol eS2 62 40 S0 12 0 0 2. Ovarems. tIeu tast: 2 bfe't: ~~~~~~~~ o~~~(PrtiCipele) Valo Cameervecy (a 4 Hgb potrfruse p_ia metal ll; lechaigee aed _equlpoet for flea eaaeeramete s too 0 6 0 0 0 UA. Japan an NeUerlande (TBD). i Shaege t g l.. rge. p l e m.d eo 1sa$ - ...... 5 60 0 0 S 0 0 Eg pt. India ans Pa1ti ta n Cc aetas ee rmfe llg aeego. MAEsod cost S to0 0 0 a 0 0 WA. J Scietif aSr-aevig_c igti t; c i a OD 0 0 0 5 0 Thailand. Phillipiteo nd Italy (TOD) * Lrg irrigate rwree S* 100 0 0 0 a 0 India and atxi tan.

ll o analysis A frtillsr ferelati. S 100 0 5 0 0 0 UA. ape... W. Cer any (1). Sub-erface pipe aaste irig' * lchi 5 to0 0 0 * 0 0 Netierland. Agricmlt.wel eatemele aed ot' as 5 to 0 0o 5 0 0 Inia. (I.)Irsediag beaUty techaiqa. ooedg t00 0 0 0 5 0 benathm (I) A,e£celteral eetatprieee and aerwice Sy.tema 5 100 0 0 0 S 0ap ltsgb-yield paddy celtlvalie.a leioqme 5 100 £ 0 0 0 0 Thailad ad iml Pillipm... a Agrxicellrat NamIteriag11 4 Ewaleal 5 100 5 0 0 0 0 Japan. c.oCraig dryieg eqm£peast 4 te1_1gv S £00 0 0 5 0 0 Japan or India. p Forlili er appllgaotiga.teoh./b _q.ipeeet S IOD 0 5 0 0 0 Italy or Japan. ej Agrie. eocte.lanlem _Jd _ *oegams.t 56 00 0 0 a 0 0 Utild Kindom r W. Grmny (TOD). 311110-1610"1 75 1460 10 is i0 20 0 Total stey Twra 77 1542 50 65 42 20 0 TMAL JI*IUU U#ltI I0t19.4

Ha: CtISo demote _omeipIvllageem, FR iD | t Fil; reera

CDi I11ID1 AIItlU ifN IICATION Pr0.JT Reserch Prora.. - Anhl Prowinc.

Subiect Contont/llethadolgy Period Cost 1. Agriclture .Cultivaslo techniqusG develop teclniques in cwwlt.vation of wheat con and peadd chiew. high for mim crops. yieldb, (a,) develop t ocnie in integrated aInd improvement cultural Year 1 - Yeas 5 100

. hisoiel islprewea I integ1rated treateent developsiont and waseof Shaeiiaa, soil; 2 Shi j_ lfortilit and fert,Iisesr formlation ortisixation; Y.r 1-YearS 10 i)u of organic mansro. 3. "ibd cam Ad (i) to raise yields of hybrid corn; and (ii) varietal rosarch on high-yielling dlseses-resistaat whet and dieaee--resistant wheot. Yar 2 - YearS )o

4. Croppig pattern sad rotation. Crop rotation and icter-crppirng system for wheat, corn. pildy and cotton. Year 2 - Year 5 50 S. Cra Protwstls clcdig l. Piat control ad prevention through us of agro-ch;eicals an IF". Your 1 - Year S 50

S. Agwrieatm.al Imbi sry sad abtaecata. Tsting of eulteble equipstnt for cultivation, deep plowing. Year 2 - Year 5 100 Sek-tatal for Agriculture I salwtle.410

n. Irrigetla 1. lr aduater emitoe, asaseaseat Ule of coapterizad systee modeling techninues to aonitor changes in water quantity Yeur 2 - Year 5 300 W ferecast. and qwulity, ad oila. Estalieh data bhee for opticitation of oconosic dlevelopeant sa forecastina of dynnic change of aownadater regiass. 2. "ijer crop irrigatlee r iremnt. Cro irrigtion experieent and dissemination of results. Year I - Yea 5 1S Ue of rou ater by creope irrigation system efficiency aalesie; evaporation lome f row first S a of Shajiang eoil 'irrigation water rocycl.ng; abitoring an forecastina of soal moistur contnt. 3. LA1 preeers sub-surfs" pipe Deriwaticn of wariou bydraulic param_ters; te-ting of variou pipe yste verb I - Yer 5 lO irrigatief system. noterials; layout of pipe systm network; puls irrigation techniques. 4. Cultivatioe 4f pad; without iha-flooding irrigtion technique for paddy cultivation; Irrigation queatity Yers I - Year 5 1OD ' fled irriation, Nd echidlIns 5. ralt&W criteria. lnwwat of weterlig tw en yie. Yearerop I - Year 3 SO Optimal drsinga l evel for differant crope.

S. Meie-teace of dryiad crop ad wheat Smil plot expvrimente on crepe at variueo stasip of growth and yields; lodeins of Year I - Year 3 SO to fleaiag, droout sd lodging, whet wad effect of hot arid wind; integrated sitigatmon aesaur". 7. Jemaetiatien/euteasion wu of Selection of suitable asd economic structural deailpN for demsntration an Year I - Year 2 200 trcast m rat c t for on-farm eaaion; eater cntrol techniqu in large dramna; trial operation of procat irrigation structerse. factory to d_om etat cost effctiv,ones and application in e.periaent ares; d; esesination of precast concrete unit tcholigy throuh training and estension. S. Wbiatere wad nur;iat study on Chag ia organic content and nutrient conrvemion under various irrigation and Shajiem 101ac Soil. ad drainage, soistura and soil fertility cond;tions. Year I - Year 3 150

e.. ttdelline of water reeources pollution Hmitoriag ad testing of surface an groundeater pollution by fmrtilixer and Year I - Year 3 St Na emtrol. Lro-Aemical. undor different rainfall conditions; aonitoring of pollltion and degrading of heavy mtals; ad study on witigetion _omars. 10. Agro-eawiraomat iaitwriag. To *tablib 59 onitoring site (2 cowties. 5 f rm. 10 toen;yips and 42 Year 1- Year 5 50 willag") f*r date collection wa evaluateion. 11. Agro-ess4egical Nbdl Study Seapo ares to be eatebliheid in Niobue and Linyi to study pr-eervaties of Year 1- Year 5 SO rI SIII.Ihage ent; ice 1ff Sub-totalIrigatlee agricultural poueunione to the locality. IIJ. P.-jea i _ke~ Wifcet 1. Projet I 4asemwAafor_tion System Resarch on Hi for project data bse, moating and price. finacial. engimeering Year I - Year 3 15o and organiuational pngetprojctotoject *valuation and feedback. 2. Projec lpleetetea wd Ilt g et Reserch on theory, practices, decisions for foreign loan pro;ecte. Yer I - Year 3 200 S. Prejeet leancial aes_m_t Stuy on project financing, met recovery, repay_st-; det Year I - Year a lO fjl_1o"l fw M erviciag, an resk establish g0deliae, for projct staff. 490

TV. Ihellestuwd n

MTAL Mot i _ 2710 aum VtIUATlD AItIIU4LE D4ilU cATIIONPROAJT Research Program - shne Province

______b_ect ______t Period cost .Agricultvre C 2 - Yenr 4 120C 2 C'Oltl9;i.leS technsquee to increase yields. Integrated cutlgral prsctices for mioer creop Wheat, mis soybeanand cottO.. Ya 2 - Y 200 2. Icrease fertilly for low Study .n measures to increase soil fertility for Project "a soim yie Year 2 - Year 5 no soile. *oil t"ea. inclwding de" ploins nd organic manures.

S. Effect .1 crop r-Jaide am soil forti gIy Study effect of remining uncut weat *talks sed a.*rdded Your 2 - Year 5 400 Nd eil structure. corn *tlk oan 0ell. 4. Effect ef Deep Ple_l omIproving Stuy effect on grout of root syste- end 1ol I ferti - emi I structre. YI r Yea2 r 4 300

S ilncrse yelde of 11#1id lbis.. Study on diffcrent varieties of hybrid cor,n i different Yr I - Year S SO prefectres end cities. *. prseprtiso techmque fa r .eiity seed Derive * prcpriate cultivation techniques based on charactreritice of quality aseed. Year I - Year 5 700

7. Crp rotftiso sstemo. Study ao apropriate crop rotation syste, under opnum Year I - year 5 400 AS ~~~~~~~~inter.end sised cropping. S. Crop Protwecion aN Integrated Study On ue of egro-chesicl en Iti" techniques. Pet Imemetm. Yr 2 - Year S 50

*. Fertilizer FelatSen. S" fertilizer formlation for different yield levole snd Yser 2 - Year S 400 pli ecation rot" for different crops. 10. Yarietal Trivs, for hijer Crep Study _a trial on his. yielding veriletie mior for crops. Year I - Year S 400 11. Effet of Platic Ibid on Stuy on sail sisature. trlenta. air. aindteqersare eil Fertiolt. dhage. Yoar 2 - Year 4 sI

12. CsttohrieC Interrepping. Study on ltercropp;ng techniques enS planting season4. Year 2 - Year 4 s0 13. Slaium xprisemdhmstrto Use of rhilaobi_ to ierese production. Year 2 - Year 4 50

II. Irrigatio

1. Aete _tlonejetm omberol for Cooputeraled syAtem controls for t*o areas, each cworing t_bar.lt irrigstion. Your I - Year 3 300 bsot W-S eelIs irrigating about 0W i.

2. Ihe;itrirg of Oreu*dater by Gorwadwater obervation en analysis of data by cooterized Year I - YVsr 3 cemouterized sadllisg techniqu. mode Sing tecbnique. 400

S. Crop Irrition Shru. Us' n isiting esper;unatl station to determine irrigation Y er 2 - Yar 4 110 r i r_nts for different crops.

4. D eigs for peranset and *m- Ovelop eftuare to optimize layout for various pipe system. Year - penman"eAt serfac pipe system. I Year 3 300

S. ldsltino sq;past covelop equipment as to p-rforesce, reliability eW cost Year I - Your 2 300 terlstheF 114-10tsl Irrigation _4ffi0ectvemoss 1450 Il.Are-Selreent 1% 1. fr;_t study eN Silt IRtention Silt basin soitaoring sttions in OupaI I ad Xiezh.i, telens. Liengil Ceal Osnu Year I - Yer S 400 A River. snitoring of sr vironeentel effects, on Liangji Canal and Sonoo Silver sa, a result of Yellow River watar diversion. 2. leltewing f feoloWy ;i Shal L e. iOnitoring of lheei LA of Its eol i cal change resulting Year 1 - Year 5 400 from dveraion of Y.llos River into 2: Lake. 3. Asr siw lrmoet Iiterlng To elter effect of us of fertilizer and sro-cheels Year I - Year S 400 on go-environente In ths, project sres. Sh-e-tal for Agro- _in

T3TM am s P Da OINQA IRRIGATEDAGFICUrLE INTW4rIFICATIONPRtJEr ResearchPregram - Jiangsu Pr,v ince

Subject Contents/Methodolay Period Coot I. Agriculture 1. Incroeu fortility of low-yield soil. Study of moil and fertilizer *Mendaent te.hniquea. Year 1 - Year S 480 2. Ecological benefitsof tree planting Study effect on different speciesand spacingof tree on Year 1 - Year 3 100 on crop fields, crop yields. 3. Increas yielde through Quality Seed. Study cultivation techniques and use of quality seeds to Yar 1 - Year 4 400 increase yieldsand production. 4. Sub-surafee pipe drainagefor yield Study effsct of sub-surfocepipe druiengn on yield increases. Year 2 - Year 4 240 increase. 5. i"e of fertilizer application equip. Study rsults of equipsnt using injection and broedeasting Year 1 - Year 3 100 techniquesfor applying fertilizer. Sub-totsl for Agriculture 1320

II. Irrigation 1. Irrigatijn Operatienal Policy. Based on existingconditions, to study beet operational policy Year 1 - Year 2 15 which should be simple and applicable to larIeareas. 2. Itter-saving Irrigation Technique. Study different techni4 e-s ost euited to different conditions Year 1 - Year 3 40 and acceptable to farmers. 3. Field drainage to improvosoil Study sole hole techniquefor field drainage improvement; Year 2 - Year 4 20 alkalinity-salinity, depth spacing and formation for different soils. 4. Stabilization of canls/drains To study various engineering end biological techniques Year 2 - Yeor 4 20 constructed in sandy soils, for soil stabilization. 5. Major PumpingStatiorn: (a) Pumping sttion efficiency Study stationlayout, entrance conditions end pump configuration Y*ar 2 - Year 4 114 to mximize efficiency end cost effectiveness. (b) Discharge _muremnt techniques. Study various techniques - ultraonic, manestic and eddy-&trees methods. Year 2 - Year 4 100 Co (c) Speed-reduction torque converter Study different torque converters to increase efficiency and reduce energy consumption. Year 2 - Year 4 100 (d) High efficiency Internal Circuit Study systemfor control, detection, monitoring, storage, Year 2 - Year 4 100 detction and monitoring, feedback, re7orting and warning. (a) Installation Skill of lXin Equip. Study technique and equipment to improve installation. Year 2 - Year 4 100

6. IMjor Irrigation Structures Study *pplica ility of different mjor canalstructures not 200 yet used in Jinngeu through model testing. Sub-total for Irrigation 809

III. Agro-Envi ronm_nt CD 1. Water Resources Pollution Monitoring and evaluation of water pollution in project Year 1 - Year 5 200 *rac and recommendationof control/mitigation masures to appropiste authorities. U%t 2. Agro-Ecology Study Establish samplo areas for agro-cological study. Year 1 - Year 5 200 Sub-total Agro-rEvironmnt 400

IV. Unallocated 400

TOTALJIAJ PRIVDICE 2929 CHINA IRRIGATEDAGRICULTURE INTENSIFICATION PROJECT ------TechnicalAssistance Program

------___------__------__------Provinc-/Subject MUn- Estimated BriefDescription of Activities Month cost

(UN '000) JiangsuProvince (i) MonitoringSystm_ for Grand 8 160 Consultantservices to plan anddesign a centrallycontrolled system to CanalWater Transforand monitor waterlovols, operation of pumpingstations, inflows from lakes sangemsnt. and reservoirs,flood flows, and outflowsto main canalsand drianage channels tlong the Grand Canal. Th systemwould optimizeoperation of pumpingstations according to waterdemands and projectedweather conditions. Key consultantsrequired on systemengineering, communicationand instrumentation. Consultantswould recommendappropriate hardware and software,and providetraining of operatingpersonnel. (ii) Sub-surfaceDrainag 2 50 Consultantto designdrainage experim;nt in collaborationwith Bureausof Experim_nt Wator Resourcesand Agricultureac to type of sub-surafcedrainage systems, materials,layout and cost-effctiveness. Anhw; Province

I) ea".ot.ng Systemfor Irrig. 3 b0 Similar to Jiangsu'ssystm in (i) above,but on a muchs*plIfied and OtntrIrenssfr/Distribution reducedscale in terme of scopeof monitoring. *m the Muti River System. S&oam.egProvince ______le) Simulationmodelling for 2 b0 Specialiststo conductteach-in *sesions on use of micro-computersthrough Grounduater Development and simulationtechniques to asses groundwaterresourc- and designof tubewells, Management.Xe data bank m*noagemnt*nJ monitoringof water quality. Standard softwares would be recommendedby the consultantswho will train projectstaff on their applications.

(i) Lecturee/Vorkshop by 0 110 Subjectsto includeuse of rhizobialstrains, integrated pest management, Subject Specialists on techniqueson extensionand transfer of technology to farmers. *elected agric. subjecte.\b

All Provinces

(i) Use and Applicationof 2 60 Foreign/Localspecialists to teach the use and applicationsof micro-computer , X Mirco-computersin Project hardware and softwtrosin projectmanagent, MHE,and variousanalytical work. Managomnt, Monitoring IL Hardwareswill be those prvcurodunder the projectand relevantprovincial Evaluation,snd Economic instituteswill organizethe teach-inseesions. Analysis.

TOTALPROJECT 23 470

… ~~ - - --- …------…------Note: The programswill be coordinatedjointly by Ministryof WaterResources and Agriculture. \a: ParticipationwlI include Anhui project staff and those from Hebeiand Henan,if space is available. \b: Participationwill includeproject staff from Anhui and JiangsuProvinces. 100 ANNEX 2 Table 7A CHIN

iRRIGATED AGRICULTURAL INTENSIFICATION PROJECT

Key Monitoring Indicators

Indicators Unit 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 Totnl Plen Act Plan Act Plan Act Plan Act Plan Act Plan Act

,Irr-i-tlton Area t roved: Surface water ha Groundwater ha Nov area d-veloped: Surface Water ha Groundvater ha On-Farz works ha

Soil Iinrowement Land lev.lin# ha Deep plowLng bh Fortiliser: DAP ton -eL ton Urea ton Gypsum ton Agroceb icals ton Plastic flL ton

Prgotuctlon Wheat: Area ha Yield t/ha Product, ton Rice: Area ha Yield t/ha Product. ton Corn: Area ha Yield t/ha Product, ton OllseedtArea ha Yield t/-1a Product. ton Cottont Aren ha Yield t/ha Product. ton

AmIrast&t Nursery ha Tres planting '000 Forest belt ha Survial rate X Forest cover X

Aarotech. Extonaon CATBCUTATS (now) No/No CATZCITUAT (rehab) molso Tech:Nousshold Ratio Post forecast et&. staffing so Newv ar, release No New tech extend. go iPM ha Pa_hl-t No 101 ANNEX2 Table 7-B

Zndicators Unit 1991 1992 1993 1994 199l Total. Plan Act Plan Act Plen Act Plan Act Plan Act Plan Act

Seed Production Wiheat: ton Rice (hybrid)t ton Rice (tradition): ton Corn (hybrid) ton Soybean ton Rapeseed ton Peanuts ton Cotton ton Samples tested so Acri-mcbnaisatiom arm machineryt *erv. St& -new No Farc machinery serv eta. -reh. So Service Performed: Repair hra Levelins hr. Deep ploving hra PlowlnS/harrowing hra Harvosting hra Farn mochanisation deon-tr. &rea ha

Rural Roads Nev construction km Zmproyedlupgraded km

Irrigation Staffs Professional persons Semi-prof. persons 0 & H/Operators perao.K8 4Aricultural Staffs ProfessiLol persona Ssml-prof. persona Agro-tech. persons Farmer agrotech. persons PMQ Staffs Provincial persons Prof./City persons County persons

Study Tours Oversoas: Irrigation persons 4Ariculture persons PHO persons Locals Irrigation persona Agriculture persons PHO persons r mil Xncomeal Sspl 1 Yuan Smple 2 Yuan Smple 3 Yuan Sample A Yua

1 Based on sapled families in the sooio-aeonlo survy Carried out under H4U for *a4h countY or pro te area. ANNEX2 102 Table 8

CHXNA IRRIGATED AGRICULTURE INTENSIFICATION PROJECT

Procosed Bank/IDA Suporvision Input Proposed SReci&liz-staff Dates Activity amon Input (tIgonthly , _ w Initial Supervision Mission 04/91 Review retro-active financing Task manager 4 work, project organization, staff development, design, procuremont.

06/91 proiect Launch Workshoo Joint Bank/Borrower workshop Irrigation, 9 for project staff on procurement, Agriculture M&E, financial management, and Procurement reporting requirements. 10/91 Su2ervision Mission Irrigation 9 Review progress on irrig., Agriculture agriculture components, Economist environment monitoring, accounts Procurement ______and auditing. ___ 04/92 Su ervision Mission

As above As above 9 10/92 Suorvaijon MissioL Irrigation Progress review and discuss Agriculture 12 initial preparation for mid-term Economist review in 1993. Procurement ___ 04/93 Mid-Term Review Misslon Irrigation Complete mid-term review and agree Agriculture 9 on changes and follow-up actions Economist by Bank/Borrower. 10/93 SuervisinRI .asioa Irrigation a 04/94 Semi-annual missions to review Agriculture 8 10L 94 _ progress. ______8 04/95 SuoervisLon Mission In depth supervision of all Irrigation 12 project components during Agriculture last stage of completion. 10/95 Suservision Mission Final review of progress and Irrigation 8 discuss on preparatory work Agriculture for PCR, especially Part II. 04/96 pCR Mission Review project data and Irrigation 15 evaluate results, benefits, Agriculture impact in accordance with Economist PCR requirements.

Total Supervision staff input (staff-week) 111

Notes Bank/IDA supervision missions will be complemented by local joint MiniLtry/Provincoial supervisions as described in SAR para.4.11. CHINA:IRRICATED ACRICULTURE INTENSrFICATrONLOAN Anhui Provincial Project Area: Cropped Area, Yields and Production Cropped Area Yield Production Incremental Degre of (1000 ha) X (Tons/ha) Crop (1000 Tons) I Production Irrigation Present Future ChangePresent Futuro Present Future Change (1000tons) Wheat Fully Irrigated 220.3 4.2 92S.1 PartiallyIrrigated 6S.3 3.7 216.8 Rainfed 144.1 3.0 432.3 Subtotal . .202.4 220.3 9 Maile 648.1 92S.1 43 277.1 Fully Irrigated 47.6 4.6 213.8 PartiallyIrrigated 4.8 3.8 18.4 Rainfod 12.0 3.5 41.8 Subtotal ...... 16.8 47.6 183 80.2 213.8 265 153.8 Rice FullyIrrigated 101.4 6.8 689.7 PartiallyIrrigated 35.8 6.6 199.2 Rainfed Subtotal 0.0 . . 3.6 101.4 185 199.2 689.7 246 490.6 Soybean FullyIrrigated 28.0 - 1.8 61.6 PartiallyIrrigated 21.6 1.2 26.9 Rainfed 63.4 1.0 51.2 Subtotal . .74.9 28.0 -63 Peanuts 77.1 51.6 -33 -25.8 FullyIrrigated 9.7 2.4 23.2 PartiallyIrrigated 1.8 1.7 2.7 Rainfed 4.0 1.6 6.3 Subtotal .. . . .6 9.7 74 9.0 23.2 169 14.3 S. Potato Fully Irrigated 70.6 5.2 366.6 PartiallyIrrigated 26.6 4.3 114.3 Rainfed 65.7 4.2 272.9 Subtotal . . . 92.3 70.5 *.4 387.3 366.6 -S -20.6 Cotton FullyIrrigated 21.0 1.1 23.1 Partially Irrigated 4.1 0.8 3.3 o Rninfed 10.1 0.6 6.9 Subtotal . .14.1 21.0 49 9.1 23.1 153 14.0 Vegetables Fully Irrigated 11.9 30.0 35S.0 PartiallyIrrigated 3.0 24.1 72.3 Raintod 7.4 23.7 175.4 Subtotal . . . 10.4 11.9 1S 247.7 368.0 45 110.3 Coarse Grains FullyIrrigated 18.7 1.8 30.0 PartiallyIrrigated 10.1 1.4 14.2 Rainfed 26.0 1.4 36.0 Subtotal .... . 35.1 19.7 -53 50.2 30.0 -40 -20.2 Rape FullyIrrigated 21.0 1.8 37.9 PartiallyIrrigatod 3.1 1.4 4.4 Rainfed 7.7 1.0 Subtotal 7.5 . .10.9 21.0 94 11.9 37.9 217 .2S.9 Ssa FullyIrrigated 11.2 0.8 9.0 PartiallyIrrigated 3.0 0.6 2.4 Rainf-d 9.7 0 6 4.7 Subtotal.13.7 11.2 -18 7.0 9.0 I. Jute 27 1.9 rullyIrrigated 4.2 2.0 8.4 PartiallyIrrigated 1.7 1.6 2.? Rainfed 4.2 1.6 6.7 Subtotal 5.9 4.2 -28 9.4 *.4 -11 -1.0 TotalCropped Are FullyIrrigated 0.0 663.6 PartiallyIrrigated 174.6 0.0 Rainfed 348.2 0.0 Total 517.7 5s8.5 9 Het CultivatedAre 320.0 320.0 0 Cropping Intensity 162X 176S 9 CHDMA:ZUICATED ACRICULTtME INTENSIFICATION LOAN Jiangsu Provinci;l Project Area Cropp- Are, Yields and Production CroppedAro Yi-ld Dngre Production Increm_ntal of (1000 he) I (Tons/ha) (1000 Tons) X Crop Irrigat;on Proent Production Future ChangePresent Future Presmnt Future Chan" (1000 Tons) Ohet Fully Irrigated 263 8 4.6 Parti 1137.0 ally Irrigated 94.7 8.9 369.6 Rainfed 141.4 3.3 637.4. Subtotal ..... 236.2 263.8 12 maize Fully 906.9 1187.0 31 2t0.2 Irrigated 66.5 5.6 810.7 Partially Irrigated 31.7 4.8 152.4 Ralnfed 47.4 4.6 218.0 Subtotal . .. 79.1 66.6 -29 Rice Fully 370.4 310.7 -16 -69.7 Irrigated 201.9 7.0 1413.0 Partially Irrigated 84.0 6.0 Rainfed 604.2 Subbotal .. .8. #.0 201.9 140 Soybean Fully 604.2 1413.0 1I0 906.8 Irrigated 22.4 2.3 61.6 Partially Irrigated 22.2 1.6 356. Rnanfed 83.1 1.6 5J.0 Subtot i . ... S63 22.4 -69 Peanut Fully 38.6 51.6 -42 -36.9 Irrigated 28.2 3.0 69.6 Partially Irrigated 10.2 2.8 28.5 Rainfed 16.2 2.7 41.0 Subtotal . .. 26.4 23.2 -9 S. rAatto Fully 69.6 69.6 0 0.1 Irrigated 16.6 6.7 106.8 PartiallyIrrigated 20.3 4.3 100.0 Rainfed 31.1 4.6 148.1 Subtotal . . 2.0 16.6 -64 Cotton FullyIrrigated 243.2 105.8 -56 -137.3 62.3 1.1 57.5 PartiallyIrrigated 19.9 0.0 16.0 Rainfed 29.8 0.8 23.8 Subtotal . .49.7 82.3 S Barley Fully 89.8 7.S 45 17.3 Irrigated 14.1 3.2 4S.1 PartiallyIrrigatqd 4.4 2.8 12.4 Rainfed 6.6 2.8 18.6 Subtotal . . 11.0 14.1 28 Rape FullyIrrigated 80.9 46.1 46 14.1 23.0 2.0 45.9 PartiallyIrrigated 7.8 1.4 10.9 Rainfed 11.6 1.2 18.9 Subtotal . .. 19. 23.0 19 C. Grains FullyIrrigated 24.7 46.9 so 21.2 4.1 8.8 13.6 PartiallyIrrigated 8.4 2.0 6.7 Rainfed 6.0 1.6 Subtotal.. 9.1 ...... 6..04 4.1 -61 1.68 13.6 0thar FullyIrrigated 22.1 -14 -2.3 PartiallyIrrigated 12.5 Raoinfd 16.6 Subtotal 81.1 22.1 -20 Total CroppedArea Fully Irrigated 0.0 701.8 Partially Irrigated 811.7 0.0 Rainfed 339.9 0.0 Total 661.6 701.3 6 Not Cultivated Area 339.1 U9.9 0 Cropping Intensity 167W 1sox 7 Note: No project area is preontly fully Irrigated.All projectarea will be fully irrigated under the project. 0quA: IRRIGATEDAGRICULTURE INTENSIFICATIONLOAN ShandongProvincial Project Area Cropped Area,Yields and Production CroppedArea Yield Production Incremental ODgreeof (l0o0ha) S (Tons/ha) (1000Tons) Crop Irrigation f Production PresentFuture ChangePresent Future Prosent Future Change (1000Tons) _heat FullyIrrigated 327.8 4.2 1376.7 PartiollyIrrigated 270.1 3.7 996.6 Roinfed 45.7 3.0 138.9 Subtotal.31.8 327.8 4 113S.6 1376.7 21 241.2 maize FullyIrrigated 1l9.8 6.5 878.9 PartiallyIrrigated 136.0 4.2 569.7 Rainoed 19.0 3.3 63.1 Subtotal...... 166.0 169.8 3 Rice 632.8 878.9 39 248.1 FullyIrrigated 38.2 6.2 224.7 PartiallyIrrigated 29.6 4.9 144.7 R'ninfed Subtotal.29.6 38.2 23 144.7 224.7 65 80.0 Soybean FullyIrrigated 45.0 2.0 90.0 PartiallyIrrigated 45.2 1.4 83.7 Rainfed 6.2 1.2 7.6 Subtotal5 1.4 45.0 -12 Peanuts 71.2 90.0 26 18.1 FullyIrrigated 18.7 3.0 65.1 PartiallyIrrigated 13.7 2.1 28.9 Rainfed 4.1 1.9 Subtotal 8.0 .17.8 18.7 5 6.9 56.1 62 19.2 S. Potato FullyIrrigated 38.4 6.5 200.0 PartiallyIrrigated 29.1 4.3 124.5 Rainfed 8.6 4.2 38.0 Subtotal.37.6 38.4 -3 Cotton 160.6 200.0 2S 39.6 FullylIrigated 80.9 1.0 80.9 Partially Irrigated 66.3 0.8 4S.0 Rainfed 16.6 0.7 11.4 Subtotl .72.8 80.9 11 Vegetable 56.5 80.9 43 24.5 FullyIrrigated 19.2 38.0 730.2 PartiallyIrrigated 20.1 33.7 677.1 Rainfed 1.6 27.7 48.3 Subtotal.21.7 19.2 -11 Melons 720.4- 780.2 1 9.8 Fully Irrigated 8.3 31.4 262.1 Partially Irrigated 6.9 26.8 167.9 Reinfed 2.2 21.8 47.9 Subtotal .8.1 8.3 3 206.8 C. Grains 262.1 27 56.3 Fully Irrigated 17.1 2.2 37.5 PartiallyIrrigated 10.3 1.5 15.4 Rainfod 4.0 1.S Subtotal 5.9 14.2 17.1 20 21.4 t7.S 78 16.2 Total CroppedArea Fully Irrigated 0.0 749.4 Partiolly Irrigated 616.1 0.0 Rainfod 9-3 107.9 0.0 ° Total 724.0 749.4 4 zaIX NotCultivated Ares 483.a 433.3 0 I' Cropping Intensity 167w 1735 4 Note: No project areais presntly fully irrigated. All project areawill be fully irrigated undertho project. full Dorelopl_nt: (Yuan/ha) O0 IIMICATED AatICULTlE 1NT8iIFTCATION LOA ANUI PROVINCE-WIOEPROJECr AREA Economic Crop Budget at Rape Sesame Jute Unit Wheat #aiz. Rice Soybean Peanuts S. Potato Cotton Vegetable Coarse (Ireins Amount Value Amount %alue Amount Value Amount Value Amount Value Ita a Unit Price Amount Value Amount Value AsAunt Value Amount Value Amount Valua Amount Value Amount Value A. Presen; Without Project-Rainfed Condition 23.7 1.4 1.0 0.5 1.5S Yield ton 3.0 3.5 1.0 1.6 4.2 0.6 1302 420 9806 200 244 1200 2900 2600 Price Y/t 1392 1004 1051 1370 4030 S516 1370 2083 1743 56884 4?40 33S 120D 1450 Product Value Y 4176 442 100 150 930 V 210 735 240 208 378 208 0 yprod. Value 4740 '' 131UD 1600 4960 Total Value Y 4386 4251 1610 2291 2121 6172

105 90 10 75 106 90 105 106 Oraf t An. ha 60 90 90 0 0 45 15 15 0 IS 1 0 15 1S Tractor Serv. kg 7.5 90 60 96 7.5 19 4.5 18 22.5 135 See" kg 180 234 30 90 90 162 112.5 225 225 135 75 150 Fertiliaer 0 55.5 1OS 4S 85 180 342 60 114 3S 57 1OS 200 22.5 43 15 29 n kg 61.90 127.5 242 75 143 219 12 39 67.5 219 82.5 268 30 96 45 146 30 96 45 146 120 390 37.6 129 30 96 67.5 P205 Ig 83.25 1.5 30 0.5 9 0 0 0 0 kg 820 1.5 30 4.5 90 1.5 So 0 0 0 0 12 240 1.6 30 Peaticides 60 0 0 0 0 0 Other 45 45 30 0 45 431 401 552 205 486 Subtotal 924 570 473 533 517 1347 107 357 296 990 170 568 359 1201 525 1759 120 402 144 482 144 482 138 462 Lala.r edagy 3.35 169 533 n17 573 913 4010 2929 8106 780 768 1036 3624 2550 -25 266 Net Vale 10.1 4.9 -0.2 1.6 6.3 29.1 Return per Neaday 18.4 1U.2 7.3 2.6 6.1 G 9. Pr.*est VitmOut Project-Parially Irrigated Condition 1.4 0.6 1.6 3.7 3.8 5.6 1.2 1.7 4.3 0.8 24.1 1.4 Yield to 200 244 120D 2900 2600 Pric V/ 1392 1004 I101 137O ISD2 420 9606 1576 2265 1785 7796 4827 336 1692 1740 4160 Product Valu Y 5060 3617 S525 180 960 256 798 316 276 226 387 382 0 442 141 Dyprod. Value Y 427 778 1833 1920 5120 Total Value Y S6 4615 6241 1852 2492 2172 6177 Inputs 90 105 90 150 75 106 90 * 10S Draft An. ha 60 90 106 0 45 15 15 15 0 15 15 0 15 15 Tractor Sor. ha 7.5 90 60 96 7.5 19 4.5 22.5 135 Se*ds kg 180 234 30 90 22.5 90 90 162 112.5 225 225 135 75 150 Fertilizer 120 228 22.5 43 150 285 i27.5 242 90 171 165 314 7.5 14 57 106 67.5 128 195 371 75 143 45 6 H kg 81.90 37.5 122 30 96 67.5 219 12 39 75 244 PXS kg 83.25 82.5 266 45 146 49.5 161 45 146 30 96 45 148 75 244 150 1.5 30 0 0 1.2 24 12 240 1.5 30 1.5 30 OS 9 0 0 0 0 Pesticides kg 120 1.5 30 4.5 90 7.5 0 0 45 45 60 30 0 45 60 0 0 0 Other 691 0 0 191 6 0 0 0 0 Irrigation .3 256 a 533 17 6649 199 51 1 S1 1 0 0 533 17 111 489 S37 S84 1246 570 429 S66 205 769 Subtotal 932 664 1093 138 462 573 239 794 107 357 296 990 170 568 359 1201 525 1759 1O 402 144 4b2 144 482 Labour aday 83.35 159 533 171 764 1233 3889 3671 5378 4349 1007 965 1020 5730 2496 -53 Not Value 4.6 -0.4 5.3 8.6 28.2 Return per lbnday 24.3 19.8 18.2 9.5 3.3 6.0 16.0

I- "TlN: DICLATlD ACRICUL71AEINTE8SIPICATIO4 LOAtN NMI PItOVTNCE-VTI)EPROJECT AREAEconomic Crop Budget at Full Development: (Yuan/ha) tA,.t Wheat Ne.zso Rice Soybean Peanuts S. pottow cotton Vegetable Coers. G'ains Rap. Seas"m Juts Items Price wsit Amount Value Aeo.-ntValue AwoutitValue Amount Val.. Awount Value Amount Val.. AmounL Volvo Amount Valu. Amount Value Asmout Value Amount Volue Amount Value, C. Future With Project-Fully Irrigated Condition yield ton 4.2 4.5 6.8 1.8 2.4 5.2 1.1 30.0 1.0 1.8 0.0 2.0 Price V/I. 1295 1039 875 1063 1143 420 8520 200 278 1200 Product Valuo v 2900 2600 5491 4715 59o" 1956 2742 2201 9372 600e 511 2106 2320 5304 Syprod. Value 1 297 953 383 442 312 477 52 0 'Fatal Velua 589 178 240 1224 v 5700 5669 6369 2398 3054 2678 9900 6000 11)0 2202 2560 6528

DrfA.. ha 30 45 30 30 45305603 30 30 30 lractw Serv. ha 90 75 g0 90 75 90 90 seeds Is 90 90 90 90 kg 150 195 27 81 18.8 75 82.5 149 905 210 to0 100 67.5 13 7.5 90 60 95 7.5 19 4.5 Fertilizer la 19.5 117 St kg 31.90 1SO 342 106 200 195 371 22.5 43 75 143 106 200 240 456 90 171 60 114 165 314 45 06 195 371 P205 kg 83.25 97.5 317 75 244 07.5 219 45 146 37.5 122 67.5 219 120 390 60 195 0.0 195 82.5 Psot;cides 268 33 107 12 390 kg: 020 1.5 30 5 60 6 120 1.5 30 0 0 0.8 15 10.5 210 1.5 SD 1.5 30 0.5 9 0 0 0 0 other 45 60 60 45 0 so 90 0 0 Irr,g. vater 0 0 0 m2 2541 93 1209 71 7354 168 1309 71 054 61 054 61 1309 71 f323 162 1309 71 1I56 76 054 61 654 61 subtotal 1142 835 113s 603 635 703 1407 723 626 005 Labour odor 03.35 392 l0s0 163 553 183 613 241 607 134 447 320 1070 190 663 300 1231 600 2010 135 452 158 528 160 563 165 553 Net Valuo 4094 4220 4429 1347 132 1232 7162 3275 Return par HNeada 22 940 1606 4917 24.6 23.1 10.4 10.1 4.2 6.2 19.5 5.5 0.2 6.0 9.6 29.0 0. Future Without Pr.ject-Rainfmd Yield tom 3.0 3.5 1.0 1,0 4.2 0.6 23.7 1.4 1.0 0.5 3.55 Price 'fIt 1295 1039 076 1063 11.43 420 am2 200 270 1200 2900 Product Vaiue V 2600 386 3635 1063 102 1743 5112 4740 375 1200 1450 4030 Bygrod. Value v 210 735 240 200 376 266 0 432 100 Total Value 130 930 V 409 4370 1303 203 2121 5400 4740 607 1300 1000 4950

Draft Am. ke so 90 90 105 90 1S0 75 108 90 105 105 Iractor Sery. ha 45 15 1s 0 15 is 0 Is 1s 0 0 5ee40 kg 1SO 234 20 go 90 162 112.6 225 225 135 Is 130 7.5 go 60 96 7.5 19 Fertilizer It 4.5 28 22.5 135 N kg 61.90 127.5 242 75 145 0 55.5 lOS 45 06N 1 342 60 114 30 57 105 200 22.5 P285 kg 63.25 43 1s 29 02. 20 30 90 45 146 30 90 45 146 120 390 37.5 122 30 90 67.5 219 12 39 67 S 219 Pesticides kg 62 1.5 30 4.5 90 1.5 30 0 0 0 0 12 240 1.5 30 Other 1.5 30 0.5 9 0 0 0 0 45 45 30 0 45 60 0 0 0 0 0 Subwtotl 924 570 473 533 517 1347 431 401 552 205 480 Labour Edgy 63.35 359 5S3 171 573 107 357 296 990 1.70 560 359 1201 5s5 1759 120 402 144 482 Net value 144 482 138 462 2638 3227 473 513 1036 285 2550 5 266 913 4010 R.turs per lwWady 16.6 10.9 4.4 1.7 6.1 8.0 4.9 0.0 1.8 6.3 29.1 E. Future Without Project-Partislly Irrigated Condition Yield ton, 3.7 3.8 6.1 1.2 1.7 4.3 0.0 24.1 1.4 1.4 0.6 1 6 Price fIt 1295 1039 875 1063 1143 420 8520 200 276 Product 1200 2900 2600 Value V 4727 3947 5380 129 1it8 178S 6774 4627 265 1692 1740 4180 Syprod. value v 256 796 341 29 226 387 302 0 442 141 Total 360 960 Value v 4903 4745 5671 1503 2214 2172 7135 4027 82 1033 1920 5120

Draft Am. ha s0 go 105 90 106 90 IS0 75 106 go 105 105 Tractor Ser,. ka 45 Is 15 15 0 15 15 0 i5 t5 0 0 Seude kg 160 234 30 90 22.5 90 90 162 112.5 225 225 135 75 150 f6rti Iiir 7.5 90 so 96 7.5 39 4.5 18 22.5 135 N ~~~ ~~kg51.901IV.5 242 90 171 165 214 7.5 14 5710O667.5 128 195 071 76 143 45 66 120 228022.5 43 150 265 PM0 kg 83.25 62.5 266 45 146 49.5181 45 146 30 90 45 146 75 244637.5 122 Pesticide. 30 96 67.5 219 12 39 75 244 ~ kg M2 1.5 30 4.5 90 7.5 150, 1.5 30 0 0 1.2 24 12 240 1.8 30 1.5 30 0.5 9 0 0 0 0 Other 45 45 s0 30 0 45 60 0 0 0 Irrig. Water 0 0 lal 256 0 833 176649199o 51s I 51 1 0 0 833 17 3091 III 0 0 191 6 0 0 0 0 Subtotal 932 664 1094 489 837 564 1246 S70 Labour 429 56 205 769 edgy 62.35 19 532 171 873 239 799 107 357 296 9"O 170 S68 359 1201 525 1759 120 402 144 462 144 482 138 462 Met Valvo 3516 85061 3770 7137 0647 1020 4700 2490 '4 76S Reture pef NOAndY 123 3089 22.1 20.5 15.0 6.9 2.3 6.0 13.1 4.0 -0.3 5 .3 8.6 20.2 U O(DlI: ~I0AJT6AMSO.LIM DI1UGIICATION LOAN JXAICSU, PIlOVUE WmD PRojScT Lits Wheat AREA Ecmonoic Crop It,. unit ma.Z.- Oudget at Futl Development; Pries AmountVoluo Anoint -Ri ce ------"ean- (Yusn/ha) Voluo Asmont Vulvo Peanute .Pto A. PreaemtWithout AmountValue AsowntValue Cotton Projoct-Ra.gfed Amount VoluoA~ant Voluo ------A... Caos. Amount Value AmountValue Cram. Yield too AmountValuo Price 3.8 4.8 V/t 189 1.8 Product- a Y 1004 1061 2.8 4.6 0IN.nDd.Vt. 8289 4641 1370 1302 0.8 2.8 v 570 9006 1.4 1.8 1.1.1 Va)u 1 289 262 g12 3648 698 ab1e 112 268 7355 1202 244 4903 142 16 1906 is"7 Ibouts 2286 878 699 225 439 2818 8064 t2o 110 2131 1oo1. seed, kg 549 240 884 54 181 Hi troge 100 180 kg 10.632 780 200 700 480 455 P205 kg 10.335 498 73 465 60 150 240 360 Potaseice 890 131 330 180 98 7.5 28 53 105 heg*0.7'05 III 230 195 123 180 114 Organic lhnu'. V 15 11 1s 11 7" 225 78 790 499 660 Peeticid. 620.00 14.3 285 is 180 60 488 417 406 256 150 kg 814.50 9 160 11 60 42 80 145 390 131 30D 96 Crafrt An. 4 88 3 7.5 180 10.5 21 15 it 10! 150 so wday *7.25 10.4 44 210 10.5 210 0 80 21 Sheeting Its 75 13.5 90 2.1 30 4.2 61 16.5 830 12.6 255 is I1I Ag. 10.00 0 14.8 108 1.5 22 11160O 9 180 2.3 Neck. Sarv,. 0 10.7 77 15.6 4 58 3 45 Plowing 0 4.5 113 11.1 s0 7.5 44 2 29 1 67 45 11.6 LI16 25.6 84 11.4 83 S.;.,' S*78.0 92 83 94 258 0 3 22 #hrveeking S 19 is 3 2 48 55 65 88 0 0 197.50 17 17 8 2 40 50 6 1122 0 74 100 59 96 Subtoual 19 18 8 7 Lekour m.dt 13.35 1.560 1184 6 $ No.t Vale. 173 576 171 574 69? 1492 Return par 3380 145 486 1180 1745 #NNdaY 3143 206 686 21 718 189 6on 19.6 18.4 1073 1580 488 1626 154 518 368 8. Present 7.4 94 4*8 159 56A 124 415 Without Pro.ect-P.rtialpfljt 8.2 4.4 -2 462 rrigated Condition 9.7 1.4 -2890 Vield 2.8 -1.90 to. 8.9 Price et. 5.0 5.4 Product Value 389 1004 1.6 2.8 1051 1870 4.6 0.8 Neprod. Volvo 1 5866 am2 18 2.6 To%* 28 567 2124 570 1.4 2.0 Ift alue 1 262 288 8145 2w3 an69 1202 5598 828 132 142 7453 1940 244 8 Inputs 5961 226 165 C"992 17C48 878 2818 125 65 2166 110 Seeds kg 1801 596 FertilIizer 240 384 54 181 k,troge. 33 215 100 180 kg 10.682 7810 200 700 480 455 PM0 kgp 498 735 465 60 150 240 Potassium 10.335 890 181 810 512 180 95 860 7.5 28 58 kg 10.705 S30 III 89 181 i95 1so ISO 114 105 Organic Manura 1s 11 15 it 230 70 225 790D 499 66) Pesti T *20.00 14.8 205 is 11 1s 75 180 60 485 417 405 256 1S0 C;de., kg *14.50 9 180 15.5 I1I 60 42 30 146 890 131 95 Draft An. 4 Be a 270 7.5 180 10.5 21 Is 11 300 101 1.5 50 wday *7.25 10.4 44 4.5 65 2.1 210 10.5 210 0 80 21 Sheeting kg 78 18.5 90 22.7 30 4.2 51 16.5 330 12.8 258 is is *10.00 0 164 14.8 106 1.5 22 11160O 9 18 2.3 rArinck.er 0 6 10.7 77 15.6 4 Ss I 45 S 60 0 4.5 113 11.1 80 7.5 44 2 29 67 92 83 94 45 11.8 116 25.8 54 11.4 83 8 Sewing 8*78.00 81 94 48 55 258 0 28 c Nerveet 19 is 3 65 as 40 0 0 1 *97.50 17 2 0 so 61 112 74 .iz lrrig. Vater s3 17 0 8 2 100 59 96 60.003 150 a 28 21 S 7 900 3 1207 36 19 15is1* Subtotal 480 1 900 8 Labour 16 3 90M 3 18 6I maui *3.35 1167 8 1440 4 la00 Not Value 173 578 171 574 I87 699 4 900 3 Return a4m 252 843 M4 486 1426 1158 per Nandai 85124 8am 205 806 218 713 174* 1400 20.0 20.6 1072 1I7" 485 182* 14 115 Ws66 14.1 7.4 943 4773 1*9 56* 124 415 8.2 4.4 251 429 9.8 2.6 -183 2.5 -1.8 Ca3NR. Isim A3610L11M IIIDSIICTI LOWn .iIm93j F1NC3 VW OWJE AM Ebomale crop sweet at full ev.luosolm: (T.Om/be) ShillWiost hug~Ws Nice. s"bhm Pooot.. S. Peotao Cellos orief hae" Come". Oreips

C. Fv.1.. Wita.h o.tFSi ris C4sdlllss Welid too 4.i 6.0 7.2 2.3 3.6 5.9 1.1 3.2 Price V(, 129 1039 2.0 3.2 61 1063 1143 S70 am2 6on i32 276 prodo" Val" s666 6Om 6301 kppr.. Value. 2467 4114 am6 9713 324 2406 on V 276 323 326 373 936 26 169 Total Value V 61so 66M 270 16 IS5 662 2661 6am 661 10 11 257 no6 seed. kg 16026662.6 176 30 M9 90 162 2276M M6 264 U4 136 160 270 6 t1o so 9 Noi rg. kg 60.632 945 5t7 9OM 669 9 61 191 123 496 613 265 12 1065 673 3 589 460 26 240 to I'sk 60.335 570 its 463 I56 495 166 360 121 405 1al6 115 1o6 600 Poteeeiuon to1.705 201 110 171 40 in6 240 s0 106 74 S0 21 135 9 90 63 160 106 120 as 1i5 95 30 21 Orgosic IHaure I 62.00 19.5 390 13.5 270 60 62 20 23 19.5 390 10. 210 Ls 600 16 300 21 420 is SW0 12 240 5.3 iCC P-eekIcidie &MSl4.30 3.0', 73 4.0 so 6 67 4 so 6 73 2 29 Draft Am. weyi 9131 6 73 3 "4 2 29 67.25 3,', 26 4.7 34 12.9 94 10.1 73 4.6 35 9.5 69 7.1 St 5.3 IshetiIs kg 610.00 a 311 7.7 05 2.3 16 7.5 75 13.6 116 6.3 63 22.5 226 14.3 14- 36.9 369 0 00 "P-iulag 1 62 113 76 116 91 106 66 76 64 113 63 is 67 136 79 107 76 1In is 20 Saeig 1673.00 45 16 17 is I 1 22 17 4 Shrwees, 1 697.60 6 23 1s 45 6 0 42 41 13 13 Irrig. Viler .3 60.0047 2775 13 Iw00 6 10260 46 900 4 1600 a 1600 6 32210 11 210 13 2230 I1 MM0 6 5.lital 1647 146 197 990 209 1161 3234 156 957 "I1 Labour M.d 53.36 179 o60 166 61 2 63O 146 496 215 72 Hot. Valu. 234 76 490 1642 1I4 646 170 97my s 424 3711 4445 3796 1178 3234 1443 602 Rotw.. per- thadle, 20. 7 24.2 - S1016 IN6 14.6 7.9 10.4 6.2 12.3 2.2 1.7 1.0

D. future VIWile Pre)cl-Aeimfod Vield ter 3.8 4.6 1.7 2.6 4.6 0.6 2.3 Price 1 19 s0on 1.4 1.6 676 1063 1143 670 63m 69 I20 276 routVolvoI1 492 479 163 Oveto. Val". 1 at9" 2633 w16 1606 1677 SW0 32 262 132 142 1U5 699 225 Teolt Volvo V 5131 606 12 I10 1966 334 2611 7116 2131 1301. 610 lapel.l' Seeda be 240 U4 64 Is& 100) 1110 Pteril ler 92 711 40 45 4 6 60 10 SW0 N60 7.5 23 a3 me '0 Itro.sk 60.632 7110 493 M6 465 % 130 is It5i 3198 60 104 760 49 6"D 417 406 266 130 95 P93 kg60~~~~~.335 s90 131 no011I 210 TO 226 75 160 Potamli. 60 436 146 M9 13l 10 3010 160 60 kg 60~t.7 I35 I I is I I 15 1 I 60 42 s0 21 is Orgernic Ihasre 1 2.00 14.3 265 9 16 I1I 0 so 21 is 112 7.5 150 10.1 210 10.1 210 Ws. 320 12.6 23 9 160 2.3 41 Peoillede he 614.60 4 s60 3 44 2.2 30 4.2 62 Oroll Am. wdiy 67.25 1.5 22 is 160 4 51a 3 44 2 29 10.4 73 13.1 96 14.3 105 10.7 77 15.6 113 11.1 so 7.5 64 so".p. he610.00k 0 0 11.4 U3 3 22 0 4.6 43 11.6 116 23.6360 0 0 0 2 6~~7 92 GI 94 46 as 66 a 40 60 61452 74 130 69 GO a 7 Sma I673.00 29 18 3 2 a 2 lhrv.eli.g 6 3197.60 is1 17 a? 0 66 5.11.1.1 116 3116 67 1309 1160 0745 136 Lelser m.d MI.SS 173 676 171 574 144 452 206 6 not Value 666 212 713 43 16m 134 13 189 666 12 438 3013 am0 767 1146 946 4145 209 Roet.., per Shaodo, 17.5 16.3 432 -166 685.6 4.4 6.3 1.4 2.6 -1.4 1. V.1.w. WilIest Pr.j.ct-P.rtll.l Irrlu.od Ceidllosef

Yield mer 4.0 5.0 5.4 1.7 2.6 pric. Vi 129 4.6 0.6 2.6 1.4 2.0 2 6069 67 I0103 1143 570 M6M 66 12012 217,6 Prtodut Vi.I. V 316 319 472 124 S1t" a, S"rprd. Volvo V 263 "16 It40 1i77 S"6 F 226 262 26 132 142 166 699 93 .teUI Vil.. V 3410 64m 125 110 (D 6014 1966 3a4 2615 731 2166 130 S"

Sued* kg 240264 34161i 2320 1012m 93766n 460 45 601NO240260 7.5 22 FertliIgr 1616 "Iigrowmi Ikg MAN6 760 493 ?25 468 310 S12 130 95 195 12 13 114 790 49 NO0 417 406 266 10 FMS hg 60.338 690 052 330 III 390 131 210 70 IS P.leo.is. 293 75 Igo 60 425 146 no Sal 200 101 I60 s0 he 30.706 IS a I is I I is as I5 I1I 40 42 so 21 15 13 OrasC Io T. 1 62.00 14.3 265 9 16 0 0 21 Is 13a 1.5 270 7.6 nSo 10.5 210 10.5 210 16.5 230 12.6 26 9 130 2.8 46 Poilield. $gI624.3 6 66 3 4 73 2.1 20 4.2 61 Draft As. 1.6 22 11 160 4 60 3 44 2 29 ideg S67.5 10.4 75 1.3. 96 22.7' 164 14.2 1US 00.7 77 15.6 113 11.1 60 SS.eeii kg 610.00 0 0 7.5 U4 11.4 a6 3 22? 6 so 0 4.5 456 11.5 126 26.6 266 0 0 0 ApIe.9 S 67 92 a 94 61 94 46 65 65 a 40 60 6t 112 74 no0 so 9 S 7 $wrine S 67600 19 1s 3 2 0 a 229 Ohi,,eet 6 697.0 17 37 0 32 21 1 Irrig. vat.r Ms69.00? 1300 7 "D 4 3207 67 460 2 600 4 960 4 106 S 1440 7 1300 960 4 $vbtw%a$ S56 1126 lo 700 1514 1164 2704216 Lates m.d 661.31 113 Ws 171 674 262 642 14 462 Ski %elp. 306 21 713 46611" M6261 4 5139 169 666 16 2416 me5 a6m 266 76 13m 942 4340 Router per Shsdt 14.9 21.6 248 427 -116 10.2 1.1 1.6 4.4 6.6 1.6 2.5 -0 9 C1INA: IMICATED ACRlCULTURENT8E!IFICATION LOAM HA4NDONGPROYVICE-WIDE PROJECT AREA Crop Budget at Full Development: (Yuan/ha) Unit Wheat "aize Rice Soybean Peanuts S. Potato Cotton Vegetable Mlons CoarseGrains Item Unit Price Amount ValueAmount Value Amount Volue AmountValue AmountValue Amount Value Amount Value Amount Value Amount Valuw Amount Value A. PresentWithout Project-RainfedCoendition Yield ton 3.0 3.3 1.2 1.9 4.2 0.7 27.7 21.6 1.5 Price Y/t 1392 1004 1061 1370 1302 673 9806 200 400 244 ProductVoulo Y 4205 3315 1644 2474 2827 6864 5540 8640 353 Byprod.Value Y 161 198 72 317 532 87 TotalValue Y 4387 3513 1716 2791 2827 7396 5540 6640 440 Inputs Draft An. he 45 75 30 45 45 75 30 TractorServ. ha 60 30 4S 60 45 90 90 45 Soeds kg 150 300 35 68 75 180 200 340 225 75 120 1.5 60 1.5 375 37.S 90 Fertilizer kg 80.50 1050 525 900 450 150 75 225 113 15O 75 1025 525 1500 750 750 375 450 225 Pesticides kg $40.00 3 120 2.5 100 2 8O 3 120 1.5 60 9 360 4.5 180 1.5 60 1.5 60 Other a5 85 30 90 90 90 120 S50 30 Irrig. Water m3 Sutotal 1135 798 425 753 555 1215 1200 1450 480 Labour mnday 83.35 154 516 155 519 103 345 197 660 199 667 378 1266 216 730 355 1189 75 251 Net Value 2736 2196 946 1378 1605 4915 3610 6001 -291 Returnper Mandey 17.8 14.2 9.2 7.0 6.1 13.0 16.6 16.9 -3.9 B. Present Without Project-Partially Irrigated Condition Yiold ton 3.6 4.2 4.9 1.4 2.1 4.3 0.8 33.7 26.8 1.5 Price Y4t 1392 1004 10S1 1370 1302 673 9806 200 400 244 ProductValue 5011 4219 5095 1891 2695 2874 7S51 6746 10720 353 Byprod.Value Y 216 252 291 83 346 S5O 87 Total Value Y S227 4471 S386 1974 3041 2874 8136 6748 10720 440 Inputs Draft Am. he 49 a8 60 34 48 57 7S ils 112 33 Tractor Serv. he 82 120 30 52 73 63 135 122 51 Seeds kg 147 294 36 90 80 160 75 180 207 352 150 225 75 120 1.5 60 1.S 375 36 86 Fertilizer kg 30.50 1253 627 1026 614 1425 713 284 142 312 156 247 124 1260 .630 1766 693 1009 505 469 235 Posticidos kg 840.00 3.9 156 3.0 118 4.5 10 2.7 108 4.2 168 1.5 60 10.5 420 4.5 160 1.5 60 1.6 63 . i Other 129 125 225 70 136 113 127 140 150 41 - 8 Irrig. Water *3 60.030 2935 87 1583 47 8899 265 58B 18 8C0 24 327 10 1119 33 6953 207 2253 67 872 26 r Subtotal 1424 963 1723 S82 936 661 1466 1741 1391 534 r' 4o Labour mnday 83.35 154 516 165 519 270 905 103 345 197 660 199 667 378 1266 216 730 8SS 1189 75 251 Net Valve 3287 2969 2759 1047 144S 1546 56u1 4276 6140 -345 W Return per Handay 21.3 19.2 10.2 10.2 7.3 7.8 14.2 19.6 22.9 -4.6 > 04a16i O1641W AIMML1IM DEN3TCAMT6 LOM J1MMW. FPa6YI VWI MWl AM stom IC...Crop 11wlle% as FtI 3 thtPrice~~vft$% Vaeat "Al&* "opmt ('t.../p) AD.l VAlve AmommtV.lo. llit& III.a AmugmtVal*e Amml Volvo PP.11.eu.aI C. rut.r. With AmwuetVa1v. Amu..t V.3., Cl. rio)j Pr.ject-ful i rrigated Ammumt Volvo A A Volvo hae. comr.. Crin&e Coodltles Auwavt Val"e J..u.t Vat". Y3ied Wm. 4.5 6.0 Pr).. 7.2 9.3 .4.06" VWl. '11 129 1030 3.* 6.9 am59 675 106n 3.1 1.3 OprPrd. Volos V GM3 6n01 II443 "5m70i 2.0 3.8 27 243? 4114 395"a20 Tolt# Wtin I 82 523 583 41 120 27 92 6216 "a5 175 in8 24 241046 6627 2661, 26 1ft 606 8591 20 I6" 9402 2515 l55 2670 low3 linde h~Ie too go 82.5 116 30195t "lais 401628 25 7is hs 60.63 944 380 64 14135 15027 3265' be 567 00 664 75 a to6 30 360.681.. 60.3135 *70 1 445 16 1S" 123 4166 he 50.705 IN6 448 366 NO0 1 285 160 1063 ariak3 306 ?4 30 21 321 405 1S6 318 6T3 665 56 450 Vamors 7 62.00 138 5 40 63 10 00 I 201 530 394 240 182 F..t3id.ss 14.5 59M 3.5 27 14.5 ISO 306 120 37l 406 IN 240 heSIOS0Is 5.0 73 S90 10.5 210 88 1335 98 30 60 Draft 14. w4ey 4.0 5 a 67 is Soo i5 300 13 OD 42 30 67.25 3.4 2 4.7 4 516 5S 78 21 420 i5 390 23 1h..t1s Ia 610.00 34 12.9 44 10.1 2 29 94131 12 240 3.3 106 0 7.5 75 73 4.8 85 9.8 3 73 3 44 13.0 1*8 3.5 58 69 7.1 81 5.3 2 29 % .le 22.5 225 14.3 143 66 7.7 55 2.3 se.1*g St6 231 7331s6 35.4 159 0 16 S 6711.,0 45 9305o 66l 76 0 0 Varwoat U 35n 7 Is I of113 63 76 Itrrl. 6471.80 43 44 3 22 37 4 67 159 791it? Valor .3 60.004? 0 42 41 6 73126 35 20 2775 13 1600 10260 93 Is 46 400 4 1600 is SAtelale a 3600 6 220 as Lalour my4 3446 1 2700 13 2280 am. 85.385 179 9 1690" 11 2600 6 11, t Vale o60 163 15 205 204 Su6l 3r11, U38 14 496 21 2284 1664 R.tur. pet Ibmapt 4445 am6 72 234 768 490 48 631 20.7 24.2 3175 2234 1642 1644 549 173 14.9 7.4 1443 602 597 16 424 10.4 6.2 362 1015 1.2. 2.3 126 0. Puwt.r Vitheet PmJ..-btleed 5.7 1.0 yield lWm Price 5.6 4.6 Produck 146 126 1069 1.7 2.5 Va.1. 6 1063 4.6 0.6 epprod. value 46Z2 4746 1143 570 2.5 1.4 I 226 1954 am2 S93 3.6 T.143 Valve v 262 319" 2633 1202 278 flat N06 IN2 142 916 196 1466 IN, 6S" 1i7" 500 SW4 2616 225 i2n 756t 21*3 110 1601. 610 Seeds be240660 ~ 5416 10018 2 11;e. be 60.62R 76 450 485 60180O24068 ri 760 443 736 468 7.1 be 50.33 s90 to0 39 1510tog PO&Nasle 1311 no0 1l IS Its 12o 3 114 ft60.70 Is 11 230 70 125 74 449 60 417 Orgaalcthur O62.0 is 11 75 *60 40 435 406 236 380 9 Cuelicdee 34.3 265 I 16 to is 60 42 146 390 ai a00 be 614.90 7.8 1I0 30 21 15 13 303 I80 80 Onft As. 4 9 3 44 10.1 230 70. 5 210 0 s0 21 whyp 67.28 10.4 75 2.2 60 4.2 16. 5 330 12.8 M~ is 11 Eheelima be 610.00 13.5 IS 61 1.6 27 12 9 160 2.3 45 0 0 14.5 103 30.7 7? ISO 4 86n 5 A,.eibgS. 0 15.6 113 11.1 60 44 2 29 S f6 92 4.8 46 11.6 116 7.5 54 11.4 63 63 44 23.6 286 0 3 22 1MN 67.00 46 0 a es6 0 0 19 15 3 40 60 61 112 Ibry.,tlmg 1 647.9 2 3 741IOD so 96 17 17 0 2 a 7 8.L"11ul 14 is g36 6 LA~ou sad 33.36 3164 6 "at Values 173 573 171 574 697 180 S013 144 462 1160 1748 bouts wa Monday a30 06 "6S 233 713 481 166 6an 17.5 76 1146 1626 154 515 36 10.3 946 4145 16 S66 124 415 E. Future Vlikiutu 5.5 6.6 2 432 P.et.t.lf, rlgatd 4.4 6.5 -169 Ca.odStlef 1.4 2.6 -1.4 viola "ae 4.0 5.0 Price fI 5.4 3.7 product,Vol.. 16 on5 2.6 4.6 WA8 1no 1H4s 0.S 2.6 00red. Volvo V fl56 5343 472 W70 6O2 1.4 2.0 226 1654 3199 63 1I0 p. TobEf Volvo v 262 "66 2633 9516 275 6410 "a* 132 242 3940 1677 6034 It"6 365 699 S"6 3342 2616 225 125 m X 7516 2166 110 1901 66S"- S"e" Le 240664 FortMIlgr 6455 l 52t lotrege 10182 251O6O6Mt480 be 60.682 760 443 465 60 160 240360 =395 69610.335 73 465 SW 512 7.5 23 3 p.1...). 360 as3 5 Ill 150 95 195 1139 106 t he 50.706 *90 131 230 70 10 114 740 49 Crg.3c beer. 1sI5 I1I 228 75 360 60 660 437 406 266 I 620.00 14.8 265 As S5I Is 1II 435 346 890 131 10S Pealigide kg 16 13.5 20 4t 42 80 21 300 101 I50 80 834.50 4 56o M 7.5 1HO 10.5 230 is a1 0 0 Croft As. why 67.25 44 5 73 10. 5 210 16.5 330 23 Is I1I 64..IIa 10.4 78 33.1 4 2.1 OD 4.2 62 12.5 285 9 kg610.00 22.7 164 14.3 130 1.5 22 11 3GO 18 2.3 45 0a 6 10.7 77 15.5 112 4 s66 3 44 A~~lb43ierv. so 0 4.5 11.1 80 7.8 54 2 29 6~~7 92 63 4581,1.611626.6 11.4 95 3 22 44 51 44 43 256 0 SewIng 5 576.00 so a a 40 0a l4erveat 1o Is 3 2 50 6 1132 7430 5 691.60 37 37 0 a to 9 66 S ;ri.watr .36$0.0047 9 22 21 7 1I00 7 060 4 it1 is 32075 57 460 2 6 "tout1. 400 4 400 4 1060 6 Lthewr 16 i16" 6 1440 7 3200 amod 63.15 173 16o" 700 90 4 flat Value 575 373 574 392 1514 1164 8265 6143 S4" 462 206 1710 1402 Return per l1lamia 363 2864 "6 213 713 466 6on 36 151.9 21.6 765 1142 I62 114 75 i6n 10.2 5.5 942 434 N6O 124 415 5.6 4.4 245 427 6.5 1.6 -116 2.5 -099 CHINA IRRIGATEDAGCICULTURE INTENSIFICATION LOAN Sumary of Fore HouseholdModel Analysis

Present Future Without Proj-ct Future With. Project Returns Per Returns Per Returns Per Family per Capita Family per Capita Family per Capita Income Monday Income Incoe Manday Income Income Monday Income models (Yuan) (Yuan) (Yuan) (Yuan) (Yuan) (Yuan) (Yuan) (Yuan) (Yuan)

1. Anhui,Total Project 2138 9.7 611 2362 10.3 564 296 11.7 713 Huai River Irrigatlon 1583 10.3 392 1726 11.2 432 2482 12.8 620 Mid-NiualbetRiver Irrlgation 1344 9.5 336 1426 10.0 3S6 1886 11.4 471 Traditional Well Irrigation 1201 9.8 300 1266 10.1 316 1731 11.2 433 Water-savingWell Irrigation 1243 9.9 311 1370 11.0 344 1603 11.6 451 2. Jiangsu,Total Project 2119 9.2 424 2324 9.4 466 3014 11.2 603 Paddy Converslon,Fengxlan 2268 8.6 464 2693 9.2 619 2924 10.4 686 Newly Irrigoted,Sihong 2236 11.8 669 2607 12.3 862 3246 13.0 811 RehabilitatedIrrigation, Guanyun 1925 8.4 481 2057 9.0 614 2171 9.1 643 RehabilitatedIrrigation, Xiangshui 1696 11.7 399 1980 11.7 496 3201 12.2 800 3. Shandong,Total Project 2213 11.6 55i 2449 12.2 612 2736 13.2 684 Nansi Lake YellowR. Diversion 2360 11.3 476 257a 11.6 515 2626 10.9 605 Shengli Canal Irrigation 2927 15.4 585 3184 16.5 637 3431 18.0 686 XiezhaiYellow R. Diversion 1613 0 404 1676 6.6 409 2247 8.6 582 Water-sayingWell Irrigation 2211 15.6 664 2482 16.6 620 2926 18.3 731 ______------w 113 ANNE 3 Table 4-1 CHINA IRRIGATEDAGRICULTURE INTESIFICATION LOAN ANNUl PROVINCE:Household Model 1/ Preaent-Without Project Future-W!thoutProject Future-WithProject Other Other other Grain* 3/ Crops 4/ Total Grains Crops Total GIrains6/ Crops Total

Area (mu) 2/ 11.1 1.4 12.4 11.8 1.4 12.7 12.1 1.4 18.5 Output (kg) 2869 62 2421 2568 90 2673 8862 108 4846 Gross Value (Yuan)a/ 1622 154 1977 1692 219 2111 2800 247 2647

AfforestationRevenues 7/ .14 14 106 Total Income (Yuan) 1991 2125 2968 Operating Coats (Yuan) craft AnimalCosts 45 a 51 49 a 56 82 6 86 TractorCoats 14 2 16 14 2 16 47 6 58 USeda 129 6 137 137 a 145 181 a 189 Fertilizers 805 86 841 824 46 872 462 67 529 Pesticides 23 18 87 26 6 84 84 7 41 IrrIgstIl%nWater 6/ 15 2 17 16 2 17 70 7 77 Taxes 9/ 47 47 47 Total Coats 582 as 646 s68 74 667 775 99 921 Project Repayment10/ 7 Net Value of Production 1291 56 1344 1826 145 1489 1625 146 1965 Other IncomeIt/ 794 924 1081 FamilyIncome 21386 2862 29166 F.i 1y Labour (Marday) 12/ 120 19 189 121 19 140 149 16 167 Return per Monday 18/ 10.6 4.5 9.7 11.0 7.5 10.8 12.2 6.2 11.7 Per Capita Income14/ 511 564 718

I/ A typicalhousehold has 4 familyme-rer. They have,450 workdaysavailable. 2/ Total allocatedarea Is 7.8 mu of which 6.4 mu Is wheat, 2.9 am sweet potato, 1.7 mu other grain. and 0.8 mu cotton. Summercrop. are 0.7 mu for paddy, 0.8 mu soybean. 09 mu rope and 0.2 mu aaaame. 8/ Grain.are wheat,maize, paddy, sweet potato*, soybean and coarac g'rasin.. 4/ Other crop. are cotton rape and sesame. 5/ Non-irrigated and partially Irrigated area to now fully irrigated, crop intensity Increases from 150Wto 1783. 6/ Seamdetailed ealculation 1n1 project file. 7/ Timber and fueiwood earnings of Y 1.6/mu, expand to Y 18.6/mu under the project. 6/ Presentwater chargesrange between Y 0.020-0.031/m8, future charges between Y 0.046-0.095/oS. 9/ Farm tax 6 Yuan per mu. 10/ Repaymentof World Sank loan Is 11 kg wheat per mu land, valued at 0.9 Yuan per kg. I1/ Income from sideline activities. 12/ Labour used for cropping activities. 18/ Returns to cropping activity manday. 14/ feaed on 4 persona per family. 114

ANNEX 3 Table 4-2

CHINA: IRRICATED ACRICULTUREINTENSIFICATION LOAN

JIANGSU PROVINCE: Household Model 1/ Present-Without Project Future-Without Project Future-With Project Other Other Other Grains 3/ Crops 4/ Total Grains Crops Total Grains 6/ Crops C/ Total

12.9 Area (mu) 2/ 7.7 4.3 12 7.9 4.3 12.2 9.9 3.0 4690. 2210 60o0 4901 2367 7286 7657 220n 9765 Output (kg) 3897 Cross Vslue (Yuan) 6/ 1767 758 2626 167 616 2605 2979 716 3697 Tot-l Income (Yuan) 2526 208S

Operating Costs (Yuan) Animal Costa 49 14 63 45 21 68 36 10 46 Dreft 24 121 Tractor Costs 64 24 78 a6 2t 93 97 135 31 16 123 30 13 129 22 161 Seeds 274 Organic Manure 107 43 150 134 54 166 240 34 242 98 340 279 106 387 369 148 517 Fertilizers/Feed 72 Pesticides 31 36 67 32 386 6 48 23 Lift Cost* 62 26 s6 66 26 92 118 9 127 Irrigstion Wster 2 19 Wster F-. 7/ 6 1 7 10 2 12 17 20 11 31 21 11 32 20 9 36 Taxes / 16 1S6 Other Coats 9/ 48 19 67 sO 20 70. 140 296 116i Total Costs 753 So$ 1067 024 336 11i 1220

Proj3ct Repayment 10/ 66 420 2114 Net Value of Production 1015 464 1469 1043 431 1524 1769 900 Other Income /11 6O6 . 6OO Income 2119 2324 3014 Family 44 189 Family Labour (Monday) 12/ 102 57 169 104 S8 162 146 Monday 13/ 9.9 6.0 9.2 10.0 6.3 9.4 12.1 9.6 11.2 Return per 603 Per Capita Income 14/ 424 465

1/ A typical household has 8 family members. Th-y have 676 workdays avellable. 2/ Total allocated area io 7.2 mu for which 6 mu Is wheat and 3.1 u cottoo. Summ8r crops are 1.2 mu rape and 1.7 mu paddy. 3/ Grains are wheat, paddy and barley. 4/ Other crops ar cotton, rape and soy. lneresses from 167W to 179X. 5/ Non-ierigated and partially Irrigated area Is now fully lirigated,cropping Intensity to 0.5 mu. Paddy expands te 3.7 mu and barley to 2.2 mu. Wheat ales shrinks to 4 mu, cotton to 2.6 mu and rope 6/ Soo detailed calculations In project file. 7/ Water fees ore asseeosd et present rates of Y 0.001/mi an4 future rates of Y 0.0047/mi. 8/ Form tax 3 Yuan per mu. 9/ Costs of sprayers and other small form tool purchases. 10/ Repaymnt of World Bank loan Is estimated as 1OX of the value of incrementel output. 11/ Other Income from sideline occupations. 12/ Labour used in cropping activities. 13/ Return pr moandryIn cropping activity. 14/ Sased on 6 persona per family. - 115

ANNEX 3 Table 4-3

CHINA: IRRIGATEDACRICULTURE INTENSIFICATION LOAN SHANOONG PROVINCE: Household Model 1/

Present-WithoutProject Future-WithoutProject Futuro-With Project

Other Oth.. Other Grains 3/ Crops 4/ Total Groins Crops Total Crains 5/ Crops Total

Area (au) 2/ 9.0 2.5 11t. 9.2 2.6 11.7 9.4 2.6 12.0 Output (kg) 2279 653 3132 2464 926 3363 3060 1131 4190 Cross Valu, (Yuan) 6/ 1782 674 2356 1938 625 2683 2269 7S9 3018 Total Incoa (Yuan) 2366 2563 S'1S

Operating Costa (Yuan) Draft Animal Costs 28 9 37 26 9 37 s0 11 41 Tactor Coats 44 a 62 46 10 66 66 15 71 S*eds 128 26 16S 12S 23 156 112 29 142 Organic Manuro 24 27 61 25 27 62 37 32 09 ertilizers 449 63 632 610 94 003 641 117 758 Poesticides 23 25 48 23 26 49 29 26 54 Irrigation Water 7/ 6o 7 68 62 ? 09 91 14 106 Taxes 6/ 21 21 21 Other Costs 9/ 93 26 11 92 25 11S 97 27 124

Total Costa 650 211 102 914 226 1161 1096 270 1306 Project Repyment 10/ 69 Net Value of Production 932 368 1276 1024 $99 1402 1164 489 1673 Other Income 11/ 938 1047 111 Family Income 2213 2449 2736 Family Lsbour (Monday) 12/ 135 65 190 143 so 201 150 58 206 Return per Monday18/ 11.6 12.2 13.2 Pe. Capita Income 14/ 65a 612 664

1/ A typical household has 4 foally embers. They have 460 workdays available. 2/ Total allocated area to 6.9 mu for which 6.6 mu ts wheat and 0.8 mu is cotton. Summer crops are 3.6 mu for maes-, 0.7 mu soybeans,0.2 mu peanuts, 0.2 mu for a vegetableplot and 0.5 mu other. 3/ Ors:ns are wheat and maize. 4/ Other crops are soy, cotton, peanuts, veetables and other. 5/ Non-irrigatedand partlilly Irrigatedarea to now fully irrigated, cropping Intensity Incro*es, from 1671 to 1743 6/ See detailed calculations In project file. 7/ Water chorges ar presently Y 0.012/ms In Nanoi Lake, Y 0.0137/mi In Xieshai, Y 0.024/mi In Shongil and Y 0.066/mi in well areas. Under the project these charge. will be raiend to Y 0.036/mS3 Y 0.036/mS, Y 0.044/mi and Y 0.0327/mi reepectively. 8/ Form tax 3 Yuan per mu. 9/ Costs of sprayers and other small form tools. 10/ Repaymnt of World Sank loan is 10 kg whoot per mu lond, valIed at O i9 tuoiuper kg. 11/ Income from sidelino occupationa. 12/ Labour used in cropping and sideline activities. 13/ Return per manday In cropping and *idelin- activities. 14/ Sasod on 4 peroono per family. - 116

ANNEX3 Table 5

CNINA IRRIGATUIARUIULTURI INTEMSIFtCATIONLOAN Pent and Cost Recovery:Provincafl *nd ProjectTotals

Anihuil Jiangsu Shandong Project Total Total Total Total (320,0a0 ha) (389,9o0ha) t433,3O0ha) (1,143,200 he) ...... _ ...... _...... CtY 000) At Pull Oev*topment ac InerementaL Income bt 606,154 735,936 525,612 1,J67,702 Less: tnoutedValue, Famity Labour ci U6,154 121,U4 64,776 292,774 touted Value, Managemet Services d/ 40,615 73n594 52,561 186,770 l utod Return to Own Capital e/ 30,30a 36,797 26,281 93,383 Attowance for Risk/Uncertainty di 60,615 73,594 52,561 1667,70 Sub-otat 237,692 305,62 216,179 719,699

Equats: ProJect Rent 368,462 430,108 309,433 1,108,003 Project Charges Water Charges fi 49,996 41,427 34,8S2 126,275 Charges en tncremental tutpugi 47,520 73,594 55,246 176,359 Tocat Charges 97,516 115,021 90,098 302,635 rentRecovery tndezx t) hi 26X 273 29 27z Ourfng Project'sLife f/ ProjectRent 2.014,$17 2,331,447 1,390,217 s,6,081 ProjectCharges Water Charges ft 273,334 226,4aS 156,432 656,271 Charges on tncru_.-ItatOtput gi' 259,797 402,344 247,997 910,138 Total Charges S3 ,131 628,29 404,449 1,566,408 Rent Recovery tndcx CI) hi 26X 2Vs 29s 27X Project costs I/ 1,126,071 1,302,392 956,723 3,36S,186 Cost tecoewrytbInde CM) ki 471 41A 421 46S a/ eased on the InerwmentalIncom of firm fmtiles In the fans modl analysis. bi Before water charge Increes. c/ Beasd on Ineremental farm tabor vcuhd at Y S/mnday. di Ten per cent of Incrmentl Ircxo. *i Five per cent of InerementalInrome. fi Eased en water charge. as detafLed In provincalefarm mrodl nalyses. gi In Shand>onga charge of 150 kg of wheat, valued at Y 0.85/kg, f. assened on every project hectare. Simitarly, In Ar.uf a charge of 165 kg of wheat, valued at Y 0.90/kg is asessed. In Jiansu proJect farmers surrender 10t of Incr_mentat Incom. hi Project charges as a penscntag of project rent. f/ Ezpresaed as proesnt values over 25-year project Life, dIscounted at 121. i Total project costs eludlfng farm Lbour contribution,mosta of apport services (repaid from serfvie fee). ki Project charges as a percentage of projectca t. 117 ANNEX3 Table 6

CHINA

IRRIGATED AGRICULTURE INTENSIFICATIONLOAN

Main Conversion Factors Used a/

______-______…______- Standard Conversion Factor b/ 0.95 Consumption Conversion Factor c/ 1.33 Labour - Ut-skilledd/ 0.67 - Skilled 1.5l - Management 2.00 - Technical 2.00 Energy - Coal 2.12 - Gasoline 1.55 - Diesel 1.13 - Electricity 5.00 Transport- Road 1.10 - Rail 4.00 Cement 3.53 Steel 2.19 Timbe: 0.93 Construction 1.60 Structu :es 1.02 Machinery/Equipment e/ 1.50 Others 0.90 ------__------a/ The conversion factors are based on IBRD's Economic Prices for Project Evaluation in China, January 23 and July 12, 1990 and actual financial prices prevailing. b/ SCF - (OfficialExchange Rate)/(ShadowExchange Rate) - 5.22/5.50. cl Weighted average of ratios of 1990 economic and financial project area prices of wheat, corn, rice, other grains, cotton and ollseeds with the v-ights based on 1988 project area rural per capita consumption. d/ Based on S02 of the project area market wage (Y5/manday)times the consumption conversion factor. e/ Based on a conversion factor of 1.0 for imports under ICB and 1.5 for locally made machinery and equipment. 118

AMEX 3 Table 7

CHINA:IRRIGATED AGRICULTURE INTENSIFICATION LOAN BorderPrices for MajorProduct* and nputs (1990constant prices) a/ Wheat Maize CottonRice Poan- Soy Sorg- Uroo TSP DAP Potash b/ c/ d/ */ uts f/ 9/ hum h/ I/ J/ k/ I/

Not Trade Status m M X X X X X m U m U 1990Prices -- _------WorldMarket Prices: (USS/t) 147 100 1800 - 268 270 98 V'S 140 160 100 OceanFreight: (USS/t) m/ 46 46 46 - 26 26 46 d4 34 84 84 CIF/FOBLianyungang (USU/t) 193 146 1764 286 288 246 47 169 174 194 184 CIF/FOBLianyungang (Yuan/t) n/ 1007 762 9166 1488 1216 1279 246 880 908 1018 699 Port Chaesorand DOtt. Margin(Yuan/t) oJ 116 94 849 1S9 184 140 47 100 107 116 88 Trans.-Portto Wholesalsr p/ 50 50 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 -Frm to Wholesalerq/ 219 99 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Price*x-mill . 1892 1004 996S 1598 1802 1870 244 978 1064 1178 886 MillingAdjustment 87% MillingCost lessby-prod. valuo 150 20 EconomicFarr-gate Price 1892 1004 Seo061061 1802 1870 244 v78 1064 1178 8a8 FinancialFarm-gate Price r/ 846 866 6700 790 1674 1867 496 10861200 1200 640 2000Prices WorldMarket Prices: (USl/t) lB0 106 1674 - 230 216 99 180 208 269 160 OceanFreight: (US1/t) m/ 46 46 46 - 26 26 46 84 84 34 84 CIF/FOBLianyungang (US$/t) 176 162 1528 289 206 191 68 214 287 808 194 CIF/FOBL?anyungang (Yuan/*,) tj 919 798 7976 1248 1070 997 277 1117 1287 1682 1015 Port Chargmsand Dist. Margin 7uaa/t)o/ WP8 96 748 187 121 116 60 126 186 167 116 Trans.-Portto Wholoealerp/ 60 50 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 -Frt to WholesalerI/ 219 99 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Pric.e,x-mili It05 1089 8670 1886 114b 1068 278 1291 1422 1798 1178 MillingAdjustment 67X MillingCost less by-prod.value 150 20 Economic Farm-gate Price 1a715 1089 8620 876 1148 1068 278 1291 1422 1798 11/8 Financial Form-gate Price r/ r fi 668 6700 790 1674 1867 496 1085 1200 1200 640 */ Baeodsn World Bank Commodity6. lo Forecasts, January, 22 1990 adjusted to 1990 constant prices. b/ US No. .1 Soft Red Winter, FOB Quit, 1990 pf c.e from CowmmodityPrjce Data, July 17, 1990, forocost, to 2000 baed on projected priec chanigesin Canndln whoet (see note a). c/ US No. 2 Yellow. FOBGulf. d/ Middling (1-8/520), CIF N. Europe. o/ Thai OXbroken, FOBBanokok; historically Chineserice exportprices have been at leoat as high. f/ Basedon projected price of peenui' oil and mel, assuming that a ton of unshelled peanuts p anuts yield 0.65 ton of oil and 0.4 ton of meal. g/ US, CIF Rotterdam. Prices recolved for Chineseexports have been comparable. h/ US No. 2, Milo Yellow,FOB Gulf. i/ Bogged, FOBNW Europe. j/ Triple Superphouphote (463 P205)Bulk, FOB Gulf. k/ Diammoniumphosphate, bulk, FOB Gulf. I/ Potsoolumchloride (60%K20) bulk, FOS Vancouver. m/ Estietedfettilght rate of bulk commodities, Gulf-China USS46and China-Japan US825. n/ Exchangeratt of YS.22a USII. o/ Port chargesY25/t plus 9X distr. morgin. p/ Averagerail freight chargefrom nearestport (Dollon, Qingdao, Lianyungangor Ouongzhou) to majorconcumption area (assumedto be the Northeast for wheat, the South for corn and project areosfor others); 50 km (wheat and corn) and 400 km (others) at YO.01/ton-km economic price. q/ Assuming 40 km of rood betweencollection point *nd roil depot at YO.219/tkm economic price and 2100 km (whont)and 900 km (corn)between project area depot and consuming areas at YO.1/tkm. r/ Based on weighted average of project area1990 contract and negotiated prices and 1989 morket pricoo adjusted upwards 53. 119

ANNEX 3 Table 8-1

IRRIGATED AGRICULTURE INTENSTFICATION LOAN

Summary of Economic Analysis

------_-_------.------Switching Value NPV at Base at 122 1ZZ Case ------Models (Y'O0O) ERR Benefits Costs ------_------.------_.------

1. Anhui, Total Project 2363009 26.35? -61.192 157.66Z Beifei River Drainage/Irrigation 108657 20.77Z -48.48? 94.09? Qian River Drainage/Irrigation 231705 28.66Z -60.91? 155.812 Huai River Irrigation 257563 25.022 -52.47? 110.38Z Mid-Huaibei River Irrigation 703312 41.14Z -62.77? 168.61Z Traditional Well Irrigation 186292 21.54Z -54.192 118.29? Water-saving Well Irrigation 245170 28.07? -61.69? 161.00Z

2. Jiangsu, Total Project 1933656 28.67Z -43.10? 75.752 Paddy Conversion, Fengxian 5062 26.85? -55.00? 122.002 Newly Irrigated, Sihong 29166 22.58? -47.87? 91.85? Rehabilitated Irrigation, Guanyun 51501 35.67Z -84.90? 562.502 Rehabilitated Irrigation, Xiangshui 9100 23.54? -68.60Z 218.00Z

3. Shandong, Total Project 982828 24.01Z -44.90? 81.50? Nansi Lake Yellow R. Diversion 124419 21.02? -33.22? 49.74? Shengli Canal Irrigation 106436 26.59? -46.45? 86.75? Xiezhai Yellow R. Diversion 338878 26.99? -56.57? 130.28? Water-saving Well Irrigation 600278 28.56? -61.90? 162.45Z

TOTAL PROJECT 5311206 26.53? -50.26? 101.00? ------_------__--_------120

ANNEX 3 Table 8-2

CHINA

IRRIGATEDAGRICULTURE INTENSIFICATION LOAN

Summaryof SensitivityAnalysis ._------______…------Base Yield Price InvestmentBeneflts Case Increase Falls Costs Inc. Lag Models ERR (Z) by 102 by 102 by 10 1 Year ------_--_------_--_------_------_------__-----__------

1. Anhui, Total Project 26.4 28.0 24.6 24.9 22.8 Beifei River Drainage/Irrigation 20.8 22.6 18.8 19.8 18.3 Qian River Drainage/Irrigation 28.7 30.9 26.4 27.1 24.2 Huai River Irrigation 25.0 27.0 22.7 23.5 21.3 Mid-HuaibeiRiver Irrigation 41.1 47.8 35.4 37.6 30.7 TraditionalWell Irrigation 21.5 22.9 20.1 20.6 19.3 Water-savingWell Irrigation 28.1 30.1 26.1 26.3 23.9

2. Jiangsu,Total Project 28.7 33.2 23.9 26.8 22.2 Paddy Conversion,Fengxian 26.9 29.9 23.4 24.1 23.0 Newly Irrigated,Sihong 22.6 56.3 21.1 21.3 19.5 RehabilitatedIrrigation, Guanyun 35.7 34.7 37.0 34.7 32.3 RehabilitatedIrrigation. Xiangshui 23.5 25.3 21.5 23.4 22.1 3. Shandong,Total Project 24.0 26.2 21.8 22.0 20.0 Nansi Lake Yellow R. Diversion 21.0 23.2 18.7 19.2 14.3 ShengliCanal Irrigation 26.6 31.6 22.0 24.1 21.1 Xiezhai Yellow R. Diversion 27.0 29.7 24.3 25.2 22.7 Water-sav4 ng Well Irrigation 28.6 31.0 26.1 26.5 24.0

TOTAL PROJECT 26.5 29.1 23.7 24.8 22.0 ------.------__ ------__ ------OClKA: KII ATD A tWICUL1IE D1TB1TKICATI LOAN IAIL F R AA: Economic Cash Flow (Y millI;c)

Project Year 1 2 3 4 S 6 7 a 9 11 10 12 IS 14 15 1s 17 to 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Net R.weAUeWill Project

Croig Crops 2041 2345 3458 3ass 4591 5290 5540 5769 5769 5769 5031 5032 5031 51 5031 5031 501 5031 Cettla 337 413 60S 503 5031 51 5031 531 5032 5031 688 801 940 967 992 992 992 826 826 825 826 826 826 826 826 OijIae. 41 6 100 117 628 O2a 826 M 626 8 826 132 149 158 1S 1651 65 162 162 162 162 162 162 362 162 165 Cash Crops tO7 96 116 140 180 162 162 162 162 162 262 221 227 233 233 233 109 309 109 109 109 109 109 109 109 109 109 Forestry -13 -30 -41 -28 -48 -32 109 109 109 109 -24 S5 -S 90 171 25S 320 220 291 808 326 330 34s 303 59 Totl NHt Reveau 2513 2ns 4239 4911 5S57 4568 6 3 7153 37 14 -1I -1I 7249 629 G8 6448 6348 6419 6436 6454 6438 6473 6431 61U7 6164 6242 6117 6117 Not Revese VltIot Project CraigCrope, 2041 2514 3120 S50 3658 3814 2814 8814 3634 3814 3395 O3395 339 39S 3395 " 3395 3395 3395 3395 339529 3395 Cotten 337 405 495 6S6 594 63 630 630 630 630 3395 3395 3395 569 669 569 569 569 569 59 569 569 569 5369 S69 569 569 569 Oilseeds 41 61 65 72 74 75 76 75 75 76 77 77 n 77 77 77 77 77 77 77 77 77 77 Cosh Crops 107 Is3 l59 262 297 214 214 214 214 .214 77 77 Foerstry 102 102 102 102 102 102 102 102 102 102 102 102 102 102 102 lotalNeb Rvemme 2527 8103 89 4313 4523 4733 47W3 4733 4733 4733 4144 4144 4144 4144 4144 4144 4144 4144 4144 4144 4144 4144 4144 4144 4344 lncremental Not Reve...I

Ceais Crop. 0 -16 SW 493 aa 1476 725 1955 955 19SS 1636 136 1636 1636 163 1S6 I63 166 1636 1S3 Cotton 0 0 110 130 207 310 163 163 1636 1636 1636 337 362 62 J62 256 256 256 256 256 256 256 256 256 256 256 256 OU ased4 0 17 35 45 5s 74 82 256 256 256 9 89 6s9 a6 5s as a5 6s a8 85 as 5s 5s as 8s Cao Crop, 0 -3 -43 -41 -17 7 13 19 as as as 19 19 7 7 7 7 I 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 Forestry -J -30 -41 -20 -48 -22 -24 SS -S 90 7 7 171 255 320 220 291 306 326 310 345 303 s9 ST 34 -11 -12 Total l.cr Oet Rew. -13 -208 400 s6s 1134 8634 2184 2490 2420 2515 215 29 2305 2204 2275 2292 2310 2294 2329 227 2043 2021 198 1974 1974 Cast.s Iaweta.tCost 96 12S 1197 702 317 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Operating Cot 0 69 140 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 212 281 341 352 851 351 351 351 351 351 352 351 351 351 851 362 36 Total Coat. 96 130 23 914 NO 341 351 351 J351 253 352 351 352 351 351 354 352 351 351 351 351 351 351 351 S11 351 351 351 361 353 et mbesfit -0 -1615 -937 -n1s 562 1493 17S4 2140 2070 2165 1806M 1N9 1954 1S4 19 1941 1960 1944 1979 193 1 1670 1648 1623 162 EW (1 iII 1511)

fJR ~~~~21.835

LAI IU18817 AGRICATME INTEUIIICATICUON MWl1IVPROVIltC; Ecou.lc tash flOgfV '000)

...... I...... ic ...... Elca IchlysI latr I 2 3 4 5 6 7 a 9 10 11 ...... 12 I3 14 1S 16 19 20-21 22 23 24.25 Net RevwsaWitgh Project ...... *. r..in.;...... Grain CrpsR455912 502954 83857 105906 117559 134121t 10so86*1676513 1676513 1676513 Cason 24056 1676513 16765131676513 167651S1676513 1676513 1676513 1676513 1676513 1676513 45276 7561 90553 105645 120737 13529 150921 150921 I5MI 150921 150921 150921 oiseada 10615 150921 150921 150921 15021 150921 15092I 150921 15246 25411 30493 35575 40657 679 50s21 50821 so581 S0821 5021 50521 50621 CashCrops 24910 87941 29902 s5021 Sou2 50621 Su21 50I 50t21 35883 41863 41843 53824 5904 s59604 5S9804 59804 59804 59s84 59004 590D4 5904 shelter tlls Sorder Won -6840 .14640 -16410 -1187 -1973 59604 59004 59"04 -3580 4120 92162 21090 1163S5 122380 122380 124730 -5590 -5590 2500 5915 36520 lo0c II) 505656 567n 950620 116169 1336912 154866 1748374 U3910 .17 2030222 199150 54410 206040 2O640 2U790 1929470 1M9247 1946 199210 19455O 195I2K0 92125 not Baana iltbAProject ...... Grain Crops 455912 6277 620642 911825 9118S 911825 911825 911625 91812S 91182S 911325 911825 9115U5 Crston 240S6 9115 911 911tl25 "IB 91152S 9112 "1182S 33673 43301 48112 48112 48112 48112 46112 48112 48112 481)2 48112 "4112 40112 48112 eitsead 10615 14665 19112 48112 48112 48112 48112 £5112 2123S 21235 21235 2125 21235 21235 21235 21235 2)235 21235 21235 21235S 21235 2123S CashCrops 24910 34874 448 49620 2123S 21235 2123S 49820 49*0 496*0 49020 49820 4980 498O ,9820 49320 4962 4982 4962O 4950 49*2 sheklerBelts. Border low 785) 49520 49m0 Total 12) S15496 121694 921392 1030991 10309910309 1030991 1109510 8031100991 0309 1 030991 1 100030991 1530 803M0 03991 10309 1 9103 12w0991 Incrmanatl Stl Eatmn ...... GrainCrops 0 -135323 1761S 9403 26175 429386 597037 CoIom 76489 76469 76489 7646s9 764w6 764W9 764689 764 -9 764689 7t6468 746489 76449 7689 0 11598 32160 4244) 57533 7262s a77)a 102010 102810 12810 OaIaseda 102810 102810 1028)0 102810 102L£Q 102810 1025)0 102810 102810 102810 0 3U 6299 9257 14340 19422 24s54 29586 29586 29586 29586 2958 29586 2s958 2958 29586 CashCrops 0 -16933 -14936 -13937 29586 29586 29536 29586 -7957 -1977 4004 9 4 94 6 99 9904 994 9 99K4 9 9964 9984 shelter aells. Border tows *6040 14640 -18410 -1167 -19730 9964 9s8 99t4 -358 4120 1343 21090 116350 122380 1220 12470 -85J9 -0590 200 5950 36520 1390 -10780 lot0t 03)a1)M -6640 -854916 22un8 130658 30921 515877 713 920712 928159 1023419 8029449 1029"49 913 39419 89479 909569 966219 93I589 921049 9289 Costs

In att Coat(4) 340238 4365s5 45682 305218 12833 Operatingcoatl S) 9214 IU25 27641 3685 4069 46046 4646 6 4 9 46069 46469 46069 460 469 46069 46069 46069 lol.t Cass 16)x14)*(S) 340238 4S77 475256-332859 146668 460 46069 6069 46069 46069 46069 46069 46069 46069 46069 46069 44069 46069 46069 46069 46069 6069 Not Sawfit (7*133-(6)* 34t07s -600687-452528 202201 139M 46980 67131 074643 MM20909750so 930 930 730 852410 352410 830 9M15 8120 874960 S522 WV 6V0o0) 236009 3tt 26.35X ...... sw**^***^ves*****v*w- *bv@^***

s-a IDX CUINA IRRIGATEDAGRICILtttE EINTENSIFICATIOULOAU JIANGSUPROViNCE: Econoic Cash fLow (Y 000)

...... Ecnmic Anolysls Y.ar 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 ...... 11 12 13 14 15-20 21-25 get RevenueUlth Project ...... Grain Crops 804513 1027813 1397825 1665057 1788394 1911732 1993957 2055625 2055625 2055625 205625 2055625 2055625 2055625 2055625 2055625 Cotten 132538 157614 214355 255335 274248 293162 30577 312S28 31S228 315228 315228 Oltseeds 315228 31522 31528 315228 315228 22442 37582 51111 60882 65392 69902 72909 75164 75164 75164 75164 75164 75164 75164 75164 75164 Shelter Belts. Border lems -6651 -1463S 20631 -24091 -25131 -2531 -2531 -25131 -25131 -25131 49409 133390 lotat (1) 196328 229126 243579 952842 1205374 1642661 1957182 2102903 2249664 2347505 2420886 2420886 242086 2495426 2579407 2642345 2675143 2689596 2446017 let leve,ve Vithout Project ......

Grain Crops f 804S13 938599 1206770 1340855 1340855 13408SS 1340855 1340855 1340855 1340855 1340855 1340855 1340855 1340855 1340855 14855 Cotton `132SA 154628 198807 22086 220896 220896 220896 220896 220896 220896 220890 oilseeds 220896 220896 220896 220896 ZZ896 22442 26183 33663 37404 37404 37404 37404 37404 37404 37404 37404 37404 37404 37404 37404 Shelter Betts. Border Rows 37404 Total (2) 959493 1119409 t439240 1599156 1599156 19S156 1599156 1599156 1599156 1599156 1599156 1599156 1599156 1599156 1599156 1599156 Inerental get u ...... "rain Crops 0 89214 191055 324201 447539 570876 653101 714770 714770 714770 714770 714770 71477 714770 714770 714770 Cotten 0 2986 15548 34438 53352 72266 84875 94332 94332 94332 94332 Oilseeds 94332 94332 94332 94332 94332 0 11399 17448 23479 27989 32499 35505 37760 37760 37760 37760 37760 37760 37760 37760 37760 Shetter Betts, Border Rows -6651 -14635 -20631 -24091 -25131 -25131 -25131 -25131 -25131 -25131 49409 133390 Totat (3)-(1)-(2) 196328 229126 243579 0 -6651 88965 203421 358027 503748 650509 748350 82173O 2u1730 82173O 89627 980251 1043169 1075958 1090440 e46861 Costs

Investent Cost (4) eJ 310941 375311 366164 215345 84129 Operating Cost (5) bt 55481 110961 166442 221922 277403 277403 277403 277403 277403 277403 277403 277403 Total Costs (6)s(4).(5) 277403 277403 27740. 310941 430792 477125 381786 306052 277403 277403 277403 277403 277403 277403 277403 277403 27403 277403 277403 Net Benefit (7)+(3)-(6) *317592 -341827 -273704 -23760 197696 373106 47W46 544327 544327 544327 61868 702848 765786 798585 813037 569458 co L IPV (VtODO) 1933656 Totat Costs (6).(4)#5) 310941 430792 477125 381718 306052 277403 277403 277403 277403 277403 277403 277403 277403 277403 277403 277403 Net Bmnefit (7).(3)-(6) -317592 -341827 -273704 -23760 197696 373106 470946 544327 54327 544327 618868 702848 765786 79858 813037 569458 6PV( ooo) 1933656 ERR 28.67X 041I4: 12 3 A36t0TUIITT 8W TSIFICATIONLO1 13HUUC #&MLYSIS: S1W8Q FIIINCO IL HMIX G c ic Aslj'.i eriod 1 2 3 4 5 a 7 a 9 10 11 12-14 is 1is 17 IS le 20-5s Rewne Witb Psoject Orgies 730746 614720 to7s 1323919 16249 203799 20s67s9 Cott. 160546 20167W 2036799 2036799 1250 126s50 12 0 210340 3S1S10 341302 42060 52650 5256 5255 1296500 1296500 129500 129So 129s Di lose" 6403 16576 325850 252560 s59s59 359519 359519 359519 359519 23364 25311 31152 33940 38940 3840 36940 359519 3s5919 359519 Comb Crops 61654 79576 66496 38940 ss6369 3636 3 9 3639 a3639 ftwtr- 105795 138394 17292 172992 17292 172992 17292 49427 3638 3639 3869 un-69B -1465 -2457 -272 -3451 49427 49427 49427 49427 4942 49427W *9427 Total (t) 1051549 -2071 -2243 -1323 -1151 -1030 -144 55756 1119s14 1645965 179271 22168 2771130 2771710 277233e 61573 79700 638 9s6s0 0 2773258 2773430 1742786 1742972 1799674 159 1623516 "et Revnu Vitlout Project 1607697 1842306 1743616 Graino 780746 93696 109305 1249194 1405343 1561493 166493 13149 Cotton 180546 2165 131493 1661493 1141060 1142060 1142060 1342060 1142060 252765 28874 324984 861093 61093 361093 361095 1342060 1142060 1142060 Oi seeds 6403 1006S 11764 381093 300250 300250 300250 300250 300250 Cash 13444 12 16806 16806 1606 160 300250 300250 300250 Crope 81354 96224 114595 10966 106 18612 16612 18612 18612 18612 16612 Forestry 147337 163707 163707 163707 13707 163707 5246 18612 16612 52465 52465 52485 52411 52485 524S5 52465 Total (2) 0os5149 L6as3 14m72 162479 192789 2103099 2108099 210809 210609 2103099 3L1340 1513408 1I51400 1513406 1515406 1513406 IS13406 1513408 Incrwngtal 0 It * Crailc 0 -12176 129034 74725 22409C 4706 4753 Cotton 0 470 475306 47536 156440 15640 156440 -6316 62745 62926 969 164757 164757 164757 156440 156440 156440 156440 156440 Oil ased 0 549 11600 164757 164767 s5926 596 69269 59269 59269 Cash Crop 11367 16027 22135 2213 213 22135 22150 59269 59269 59269 0 -164 -2399 -27171 -94 17757 17757 17757 17757 17757 17757 lm775 Forestry 925 9255 925 9285 92 -3056 -305 177 0 -696 -146 -2457 -2772 -34SI -2671 -3056 -3056 -3058 -3056 -3056 -3036 Total (5) 0 -2243 -1323 -1151 -1030 -644 s575s -142545 173616 10s92 24104 66032 646312 s240 6175 79700 6361 9690e 0 670160 670332 29376 29W64 2M66 29196 310106 cZts 294239 329393 2300 nwestasat Cot. S15171 42M2 873967 132 10267 Operating Cost 4329 11092 *otal 17535 224S5 17P 2704 274 27064 Sh ando MoIdel (6) S16171 430221 6S6s6 191911 2706 2706 4 27004 27064 2054 2 4 204 125127 17636 27054 27054 27064 27054 27064 7054 27064 27064 27054 27064 27064 270S4 2701.4 27054 "at Smnfl t ())i -) -315171 -57256 - 43 4901 19697 60176 641Y53 64216 643100 643270 202324 2 10 259112 264929 203054 267235 302X44 203354 Nf tY;0OO) Cs) 988 t8 246012

Ia 125 ANNEX 3 Table 9 CHINA

IRRIGATED AGRICULTURE INTENSIFICATION PROJECT

Annual Net Trade in PrLncival Proiect OutRuts, 1988-89

Anhul Jianguu Shandong China

Not Annuol Not Annual Not Annual Net Annual Trade Not Trade Net Trado Net STrade N-t Commodity Unit Status Trade Status Trade Stetus Trade Jtotus Trade

YJsSUrJr *t National Level Wheat 'OOot X 7291 X 1,369 N 281 N 14,550 Naito 'OOOt - - - - X 363 M 300 Rice 'OOOt - - - - N 72 H 1,200

ZThns_ t -RAt4analeval Soybean 'OOOt - - - - X 3 X 1,320 Cotton OOOt M 562 X 144 M - X 468 Oilseeds 'OOOt X 12 X 234 X 6 X 322

aotes: I Project counties net trad- in grains, wheat, maize, rice, soybean and others. 2 Project counties not trade. 3 arosa provincial out-sales and out-allocations of unprocessed grains, wheat, maize, rice, soybean and others. 4 Gross out-sales and out-allocations.

Sourcst ehAnssa ztatisticalSORO YasrboPk (Beijing: SSB, 1990) for national 1988 data. Maize Import data from s vi.w f Commoditv Marks s, January 22, 1990. Provincial data from PMOs. 126 ANNEX 3 Table 10 CHINA

IRRIGATED AGRICULTURE INTENSIFICATION PROJECT

Crop Prices and Marketing, 1990-2000

Price (Y/T) Grains Wheat Riee Corn Soy Peanuts Rape Cotton' Urea DAP ------_ ------__------.------

1990 1392 1051 1004 1370 1302 1202 9806 978 1178 2000 1295 875 1039 1063 1143 1202 8520 1291 1798

1990 Weighted doetlic price 1ATL Proia-t A.se IAIL Project area 845 790 663 1367 1574 1340 6700 .035 1200 Anhui 779 632 580 1166 1489 1103 6700 1l8 1200 Jiangsu 792 766 696 1462 1550 1576 6700 989 Shandong 963 972 713 1474 1684 6700 989 1200

lpAm Project Area by Provinoet Anhui Domntic Prie-s contract 512 352 366 800 1000 1076 6700 612 Negotiated 659 592 609 1074 1420 1178 6700 1234 1200 Local market 840 747 713 1274 1547 1498 C Production Procured/Marketed Contract prices 25 18 29 33 13 89 56 17 Negotiated prices 30 6 18 17 46 6 14 83 100 Local market prices 4 10 21 2 12 4 Self-consumed 41 67 50 47 57 50 5 30

DomestiC PrXeer Contract 526 460 366 800 1108 1076 6700 560 Negotiated 850 820 720 1480 1660 1650 1200 % Production Procurgd/Marketea Contract prices NA 18 15 7 3 20 13 100 33 Negotiated prices NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 67

Domestic Pri ces Contract 516 540 352 690 1214 6700 560 Negotiated 836 914 638 1337 1667 1200 1200 Local market 1239 1050 798 1640 1904 % Production Procured/Narketed Contract prices 10 27 10 10 5 25 100 33 Negotiated prices 19 20 20 25 39 20 67 100 Local market prices NA 19 30 15 21 38 Self-consumed NA 34 40 50 35 17

Notes: 1990 national price plus provincial and local production and price incentives. NA: Not available. Source World prices from World Bank Commodity Price Forecasts, January 22, 1990, and Commodity Price Data, July 17, 1990, adjusted to 1990 constant prices and expreased in border price terms. Domestic prices from Provincial Orain Bureaux and SMCs. 127

ANNEX 4 CHINA

IRRIGATED AGRICULTURE INTENSIFICATION PROJECT

Environmental Management

Objectives

1. The main objectives of environmental management are to monitor the impact of project activities on: (i) the quality of surface water and groundwater; (ii) waterlogging and salinity; and (iii) the long-term effects of the use of fertilizers and agro-chemicals on the agro-environment -- water, soil and crop -- in the project areas. Using the data collected and results of the analyses, effect on the environment would be assessed and,if required, appropriate actions would be recommended to the proper authorities to mitigate the effect through physical and regulatory measures.

Organization Structure

2. Each province will set up an environmental unit reporting to the provincial PMO. The unit will be headed by the Provincial Environmental Protection Bureau (PEPB) and with members from the environmental units of the provincial bureaus of Water Resources and Agriculture (including those units from the Huang-Huai-Hai Development Office and the Huai River Commission where appropriate). The Environmental Protection and Rural Energy Bureau (EPREB) of the Ministry of Agriculture will provide technical support and guidance to the units. Function and responsibilities of the environmental units will include: (i) formulate environmental management plans for the project areas; (ii) prepare and implement annual environmental monitoring programs; (iii) collate and analyze data and interpret results; and (iv) document findings and recommend appropriate mitigation measures to the provincial PMOs.

Management Plans and Programs

3. Each environmental unit, in consultation with the respective provincial PMOs, will draw up an environmental management plan together with annual programs to be implemented initially over the next five years, starting from 1992. These plans will be furnished to the Bank/IDA for review no later than December 31, 1991; and put into operation thereafter.

4. The plans would be based on the environmental impact assessment reports prepared by each provi ce and the environmental management proposals discussed with the Bank/IDA appraisal mission during August/September 1S90. Subject to further discussion and review, the plans would include and but not limited to the following for each province:

Anhui Province.

(i) in addition to the two existing stations provided under the project at Fuyang and Suxian, the project would either (a) strengthen two additional agro-environmental stations at Bengbu and Huainan or preferably (b) strengthen the existing provincial station in Hefei; 128

(ii) to establish 59 agro-ecologicalexperimental sites within the project areas in 2 counties, 5 farms, 10 townships and 42 villages, and one or two conservationareas for plant species unique to the locality;

(iii) to operate and maintain the existing 50 water quality monitoring stations on the tributariesof the Huai River where most of the project surface water irrigation schemes are located, in order to complement the water quality monitoring in the main Huai River channel being carried by the EnvironmentalProtection Unit of the Huai River Commission;and

(iv) to operate and maintain the existing, and establish new observationwells to monitor changes in groundwater regime - quality, drawdown, specific yields, water level etc. - in the groundwater irrigation areas;

Jianasu Province.

(i) to upgrade, operate and maintain the existing 43 monitoring stations (see Map in Appendix 1) operated by Jiangsu 8WR on the Grand Canal, main irrigationcanals and drainage channels in northern Jiangsu, with provision to cover the standard range of parameters for water quality monitoring; and

(ii) to strengthen the existing agzi-environmentalmonitoring station network in Huaiyin, Lianyungang,Xuzhou and Yancheng municipalities' project areas and as well as the main provincial station.

Shandong Province.

(i) to establish 15 new county stations,one for each county, in addition to the 13 existing county agro-environmentalmonitoring stations to be operated and maintained under the project;

(ii) to strengthen the existing provincial station in Jinan to enable it to coordinate and supervisethe activities of the 28 county stations more effectively;

(iii) to operate and maintain the existing observationwells and establish new ones, if necessary, to monitor changes in the groundwater regimes - water level, drawdown, specific yields, quality etc. - in the project groundwater irrigation areas;

(iv) to establish water level observationwells along the Liangji Canal in the Nansi Lake Diversion Scheme and the Dongyu River in the Xiezhai Irrigation Scheme to monitor potential rise of water table level and the associated secondary soil salinization;and

(v) to establish monitoring stations to monitor changes in the limnology of the Nansi Lake, including silting sections to monitor silting of the Lake deposited by the diverted Yellow River water. 129

Data Collation and Baseline Survey

5. Each environmentalunit would initially collate existing data on water and agriculturalresources for the purpose of establishinga baseline of the existing environmentalconditions. This baseline survey to be used as a bench mark for future comparisonsshould be completed as soon as possible. To achieve uniformity in data collation and reporting among the three provinces, EPREB of MOA would coordinate the baseline survey preparatorywork and provide guidelines to the environmentalunits.

Documentatioy

6. Each environmentalurit would prepare an annual report covering the results of the annual monitoring programs and recommendationsto the provincial PMO who would review the findings and recommendationsbefore furnishing the reports to the Bank/IDA by March 31 of the following year. EPREB of MOA would also provide technical support to the eivironmentalunits in the preparation of the reports.

Assistance under the Prolect

7. The project would provide facilities,equipment, instrumentsand training of staff to implement the environmentalmanagement programs in each province. Existing monitoring network and facilities within each bureau in the province would be used as far as possible to avoid duplication and maximize efficiency. Provisionwould be made under the project to upgrade and/or strengthen the existing network and facilities.

Estimated Costs

8. The preliminiarytotal cost is estic ;ed at about Y5.0 million, as summarizedbelow:

Item Anhui Jianasu ShandQna Total

Stations, building etc. Y810,000 - Y650,000 Y1,465,000

Equipment & materials Y515,000 Y500,000 Y150,000 Y1,165,000

Training & research Y100,000 Y400,000 Y1,200,000 Y1,700,000

Admin. & management Y200,000 Y200,000 Y200,000 Y600,000

TotaL Y1,625,000 Y1,100,000 Y2,200,000 Y4,930,000

The above cost estimates would be revised according to the environmental management plans to be finalizedbefore December 31, 1991. 130 ANNEX a /APPDIX 1

WATER QUALITY MONITORING STATION NETWORK NRNTHER JIANGSU ,- AR It z) a

'% -'A" j< m

Ut a~~~~~~~~~~~~~t

* >X

Groundwater station

Surface water station

Source:Bureau of Water Resources,Jiangsu Province. 131

ANNEX 5

CHINA IRRIGATED AGRICULTURE INTENSIFICATION PROJECT

Selected Documents and Data Available in the Pro ect FiZ,

A. General Reports and Reference Materials

A. 1 StatisticalYearbook of China 1989, State StatisticalBureau. A.2 China AgricultureYewrbook 1989, Agrecultural Publishing House (Chinese). A.3 Managementof low yield landin the Huang, Huai, Hai Plain; 1989, AgriculturalPublishing House (Chinee). AA4 North China Plain AgricultureProject, ProjectPerformance Audit Report, No.7736, April 28, 1989. A.5 Guidelinesfor the Establishmentof CountyAgrotechnical Extension Centers, Minidry of Agriculture(Chinese).

B. Reports and Studies-Related to the Proiect

B. Proposalfor AgriculturaUlrrigationRehabilitation Sector Loan; Office of ExternalEconoruic Relations, Ministryof Agriculture,May 1989. B.2 EnvironmentalAssessment Report - Jiangsu.Jiangsu ProjectManagemen Office,June 1990. B.3 EnvironmentalAssessment Repont - Shandong. ShandongEnvironmental Protection Research Institute, March 1990. B.4 EnvironmentalAssessment Report - Anhui. Anhui Environmntal ProtectionResearch Institute, November 1990. B.5 IrrigatedAgricultural Intensification Project - Reporton Agroenvironment.Tao Zhan (Consltant), November1990. B.6 Groundwaterin pats of Anhui, Shandong,and Jiansu Provinces,People's Republicof China. Ren Jen Sun (Consultant),March 1990. 3.7 Water Resourcedevelopmnnt on the North China Plain, 1979-1989.Stephen 1. McGurk(Consultant), January 1990. B.8 FeasibilityStudy Repot - Anhui. Office of the LeadingGroup for World Bank Irigated IntensificationProject, June 1990. B.9 FeasibilityStudy Report -Jiangsu. liangsu ProJectOffice, June 1990. B.10 FeasibilityStudy Report - Shandong.Shandong Irrigated Agrieultural Intensification Ptoject Managenent Office,June 1990. B.11 Huai River Water ResourcesEvaluation (including Coastal Rivera in Shandong).Huai River Commission,May 1986. B.12 Evaluationof ShallowAquifer GroundwaterResourees in HuaibeiRegion, Anhui Province.Anhui Provincial Water ConservancyScientific Research Institute, 1985. B.13 AgriculturalDevelopment Problems and the IntegratedManagement of the Huang, Huai, Hai Plain. ScientificPublishing House, 1985

C. Workina Papers

C.1 DetailedProject Costs. C.2 YellowRiver Diversionto Nansi Lake. C.3 Water BalanceStudies. CA4 GroundwaterResources and Project Component. C.5 ProposedIrrigation and DrainageWorks C.6 EcononiicAnalysis of Fourten RepruentativeSample Areas. Fig. / The HuaiheRivMu Basin

7 HEB1 '- 7-trsr.. .'-1/ _ SHANDONG{ t -J- -A- JL River basin boudary DeAN XIn.< f t . _k ~ , , , . p.- \S 2eservoir llu lReL)

~~~~~~4' > ~. ~ .( '*J" +'NI'>U,> * / JfJtLL LLJ co.io ) <.' gEAS S*l,. R.. ~* wwl ahrg R - Major dike ~~*~ ~~~~' 1 1k.. ~~~~~~~Flood,:I,., delensionareo (FDAl

* 'h" ~~~* 4' .~~~uii*i R*~~~ ,uJ.wa Rr ~ ~ ~ Flood storoge area IFSA)

1a eua, Re% I1. t * Woter control gale. SlWice

Fig. 1 The HuaiRiver Basin

0 Xud" Jun.YELLOIVSEA

50 100 150 km .tlu: sunRn.~ ~ ~ ~ ~~n CHINA

IRRIGATEDAGRICULTURE INTENSIFICATION PROJECT Cropping calendar of main annual crops

CFK)P MOITHSept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept _

WHEAT/UMZEOR - = = = - _ _ SOYABEAN ~~~~~~~~WHEAT SOYABEAN -- - WH- -T ii E OR SOYABEAN COTTON JLL COTTON

MAIZE

MILLET - M 1+

RICE -CE-i

|RPESEED - -3EE

_EY . _ KEY _LAND PREPARATION 1//CROP __~ GROWTHPERIOD _ , p= . i H~~~~~~~~~~~i

0 |;01,2

l

C-) CHARTNO. 2-A - 135 -

CHINA

IRRIGATEDAGRICULTURE INTENSEFICATIOIN PROJECT Implementation Program - Anhul Province

ITEM C0 YEA 190 IO_199 3092 __ 1993__ 1 4 _ 1006 1_006 OUARTER 3 4)1 23 14 11 2 34 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 IRRIGATION Huaihe Irrig. Area = _ _ I I _ _ __ ! Ylnghe Irrig. Area 1 - I I I 111 I Cihuaixinhe Irrig. Area Qlanhe Irrig. Area Beifohe Irrig. Ase_ Tubowell Irrig. Area RURAL ROADS

LAND IMPROVEMENT

Land Leveling Deep Plowing Equipment SEED DEVELOPMENT

Buildings Equipment AGRO-TECH.EXTENSION

Buildings Equipment FARM MECHANIZATION Service Stations Agri-mach/Accessories CROP PROTECTION

PestForecasting Stn. Materials I _1 AFFORESTATION Nuseries Tree Planting AGRO-ENVIRONMENTPROTN

Buildings Equipment INST. DEVELOP/SUPPORT Training Technical Assistance Research

KEY Desion ConstructioImpiemuntatlen CHARTNO. 2-8 - 136-

CHINA

IRRIGATED AGRICULTUREINTENSEFICATIOIN PROJECT Implemon"tstonProgram - Jiangsu Provinco

ITEM C RSRMV 1990 loo Ie log9 1 1093 1 10e4 o195gs lose OVARER 3 314 111[21314r26[11 1 213 14 1 1 2 3 4 1 l2 3 4l 1 GRANDCANAL I- I Il I I I I I II1TT1 Hoign P/t8Xtion 5 I I TlIrr

LlubaoiangnPJ5Xthn t I 1 _ l

Modiflttb ta Exbisng 8tucur s__ ; C_

Xuqixri Sub-S0tatio Uppvdno ______C **_ _- _ _ IRRIGATION AREAS ______Yunxi Inig Area ___ E ____ Vibeiffnan kdg. !Amlfelt|-____ Honqz* g Amde-

Co"tl Rog4m - 9. Area ^|r1l _____

LAND lIMPROVEMIENT Tl lI III ______Land Ltng

SEED DEVELO7"MENT _ __

Sew Farm krnpowrnnnt T_ = _ __ ' uildings | } t X | | W | | | W |l_ X Eqipment - AGRO-TECH.EXTENSION III IIIIITI n

IFarm Improvement IIII!Sr=-c -- 4 7 3lldings _ _ __

I Equpment 1_ZZz LFARM MiECHANIZATION __ Srv*ticeStations 711IIIITm -- IActrl-mach/Accocssrlos IIII 1 2 AFFORESTATION m LLL III t

rTree Planting r IIzz

|AGRO-ENVIRONMWIEN'r PROTN||| | _ -

|Equipment i|||||_ __ |INST.DEVELOPISUPPORT {§|||j||||LIIIIIII_ H _

|Training 12 1I * ITechnical Assbtns||m e __

KEY rO oelon br4| 111iddin _Conetructlon IbzzaImplementotion CHARTNO. 2-C - 137 -

CHINA

IRRIGATEDAGRICULTURE INTENSEFICATIOIN PROJECT Implementation Program - Shandong Province

9 ITEM CALEND EARE,1 1 9a1 _ _ 1992 _ 1993 1994 1 996 1 96 '_ 3 3 _ 4 _ 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2- 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 41 1 2 IRRIGATION Nansihu Irrig. Area _ _ _ El...... _ _ _ Shenglin Qu Irrig. Area I_

Chengkai Irrig. Area = _ _ _ Xiezhai Irrig. Area =_ Tubewell Irrig. Area _ __n _ _ _ _ LAND IMPROVEMENT T _ ~~~~~~~~~~~If I I I II I - Land Levelingl x f- Deep Plowing -- Z22 Equipment SEED DEVELOPMENT

Buildings Ancillary Facilities Equipment/Vehicles 2 AGRO-TECH.EXTENSION

Buildings Equipment/Vehicles FARM MECHANIZATION Service Stations Agri-mach/Accessories AFFORESTATION

Nuseries Tree Planting AGRO-ENVIRONMENTPROTN

Buildings Equipment 2 l INST. DEVELOP/SUPPORT

Training Technical Assistance Research

KEY Design Consiructi n r mplementatlon DI S*ab u r c o m a n t 8 e h d u I do

'31 .. 3CIO -Total LAIL.

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