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The Iran Deal's Fatal Flaws After One Year
The Iran Deal’s Fatal Flaws After One Year Emboldened Iran and Diminished American Deterrence Mark Dubowitz Annie Fixler July 2016 FOUNDATION FOR DEFENSE OF DEMOCRACIES FOUNDATION The Iran Deal’s Fatal Flaws After One Year Emboldened Iran and Diminished American Deterrence Mark Dubowitz Annie Fixler July 2016 FDD PRESS A division of the FOUNDATION FOR DEFENSE OF DEMOCRACIES Washington, DC The Iran Deal’s Fatal Flaws After One Year Table of Contents Executive Summary 5 Iran’s Nuclear Snapback 9 Iranian Violations and Western Acquiescence 12 Iranian Illicit Procurement 14 Verification and Parchin 17 Iranian Airlifts to Syria 18 Iran’s Financial Legitimization Campaign 20 Illicit Financial Risks Remain 24 Europe is at Risk 26 Washington’s Actions Go Beyond its JCPOA Commitments 28 How the Administration Might “Dollarize” Iran’s Transactions 31 Assess to the Dollar and Dollarized Transactions: Arguments and Counterarguments 34 Better Intelligence 35 Assets Vulnerable to Future Sanctions 35 Undermining Confidence in the Dollar 35 Iranian Economic Recovery 36 Empowering the “Moderates” 37 Encouraging Good Behavior 38 Recommendations 38 Conclusion 48 Page 3 The Iran Deal’s Fatal Flaws After One Year Executive Summary missile development, support for terrorism, regional destabilization, and human rights abuses. Indeed, the As we mark the one-year anniversary since the weakening of missile language in the key UN Security announcement of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Council Resolution and the lifting of a conventional Action (JCPOA), it is worth recalling why this deal is arms embargo after five years, and the missile embargo fatally flawed. The JCPOA provides Iran with a patient after eight years, undermine international efforts to pathway to nuclear weapons capability by placing limited, combat Iran’s illicit activities. -
Secondary Sanctions on the Iranian Financial Sector Create De Facto Embargo with Lasting Implications for the Biden Administration
Secondary Sanctions on the Iranian Financial Sector Create De Facto Embargo with Lasting Implications for the Biden Administration Abigail Eineman IRAN WATCH REPORT John P. Caves III January 2021 1 Introduction During their confirmation hearings last week in the U.S. Senate, President Joe Biden's key national security nominees noted that the new administration was prepared to return to the nuclear accord with Iran, but warned that such a return would not be swift. First, Iran would have to resume compliance with the accord's nuclear restrictions in a verifiable manner, according to Secretary of State designate Antony Blinken, at which point the United States would resume compliance as well. President Biden’s choice for director of national intelligence, Avril Haines, estimated during her confirmation hearing that “we are a long ways from that.”1 Compliance for the United States would mean reversing at least part of the Trump administration's “maximum pressure” campaign—a set of overlapping trade and financial restrictions on almost every part of Iran's economy. The outgoing administration made such a reversal more challenging, particularly as a result of the sanctions imposed on Iran's financial sector in the administration's final months. On October 8, 2020, the United States designated Iran’s financial sector pursuant to Executive Order (E.O.) 13902 and sanctioned eighteen Iranian banks.2 In doing so, the U.S. Treasury Department applied secondary sanctions to Iran's entire financial sector for the first time, potentially barring foreign entities from the U.S. financial system should they do business with Iranian banks. -
Assessing the Iran Deal Hearing
ASSESSING THE IRAN DEAL HEARING BEFORE THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON NATIONAL SECURITY OF THE COMMITTEE ON OVERSIGHT AND GOVERNMENT REFORM HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES ONE HUNDRED FIFTEENTH CONGRESS FIRST SESSION APRIL 5, 2017 Serial No. 115–23 Printed for the use of the Committee on Oversight and Government Reform ( Available via the World Wide Web: http://www.fdsys.gov http://oversight.house.gov U.S. GOVERNMENT PUBLISHING OFFICE 26–555 PDF WASHINGTON : 2017 For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Publishing Office Internet: bookstore.gpo.gov Phone: toll free (866) 512–1800; DC area (202) 512–1800 Fax: (202) 512–2104 Mail: Stop IDCC, Washington, DC 20402–0001 VerDate Nov 24 2008 12:42 Sep 05, 2017 Jkt 000000 PO 00000 Frm 00001 Fmt 5011 Sfmt 5011 H:\26555.TXT APRIL KING-6430 with DISTILLER COMMITTEE ON OVERSIGHT AND GOVERNMENT REFORM Jason Chaffetz, Utah, Chairman John J. Duncan, Jr., Tennessee Elijah E. Cummings, Maryland, Ranking Darrell E. Issa, California Minority Member Jim Jordan, Ohio Carolyn B. Maloney, New York Mark Sanford, South Carolina Eleanor Holmes Norton, District of Columbia Justin Amash, Michigan Wm. Lacy Clay, Missouri Paul A. Gosar, Arizona Stephen F. Lynch, Massachusetts Scott DesJarlais, Tennessee Jim Cooper, Tennessee Trey Gowdy, South Carolina Gerald E. Connolly, Virginia Blake Farenthold, Texas Robin L. Kelly, Illinois Virginia Foxx, North Carolina Brenda L. Lawrence, Michigan Thomas Massie, Kentucky Bonnie Watson Coleman, New Jersey Mark Meadows, North Carolina Stacey E. Plaskett, Virgin Islands Ron DeSantis, Florida Val Butler Demings, Florida Dennis A. Ross, Florida Raja Krishnamoorthi, Illinois Mark Walker, North Carolina Jamie Raskin, Maryland Rod Blum, Iowa Peter Welch, Vermont Jody B. -
Future Bank Slapped with More Fines
FRIDAY, AUGUST 28, 2020 FRIDAY, AUGUST 28, 2020 03 02 Green light for inbound Future bank slapped with more fines New fines lift total penalties in the multi-billion dollar sanction evading scheme to $47 million passengers from India Future bank offciais get• new five-year Indian embassy tweets receiving clearance from Bahrain’s jail terms each $7bn KNOW WHAT government for more inbound passengers Banks involved get Reports say the bank • allegedly concealed at least new $1 million penality $7 billion of transactions The future bank registered to Those on the between 2004 and 2015 provide commercial banking • TDT | Manama services including deposits, approved list will loans and credit cards had over receive email or call 100 employees at the time of its otal fines amassed by establishment. parties involved in the Investigators found that the • Names of shortlisted Tmulti-billion dollar Fu- Future Bank received requests The bank was founded in 2004 passengers have been ture-bank’s sanction-evading for suspicious financial trans- as a venture between Iran’s Bank shared with Air India money laundering scheme has fers through the “SWIFT” sys- Saderat and Bank Melli as well as His Majesty the King’s Advisor for Diplomatic Affairs Shaikh Khalid bin Ahmed Al Khalifa with the newly appointed touched $47 million, with a tem using a practice known as Bahrain’s Ahli United Bank. Indian Ambassador Piyush Srivastava. Shaikh Khalid praised the historical relations between Bahrain and India, court here slapping $1 million wire-stripping to conceal pay- stressing the Kingdom’s interest in strengthening cooperation for the common interests of both sides, wishing the TDT | Manama Valiollah Seif, who was the fines on three officials and the ments to countries under inter- governor of the ambassador success in his duties. -
Court Slaps More Fines on Future Bank New Fines Raise Total Jail Terms in the Multi-Billion Dollar Scheme to 30 Years
FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 18, 2020 03 Court slaps more fines on Future bank New fines raise total jail terms in the multi-billion dollar scheme to 30 years crimes, as well as phantom loans Future bank provided to companies that op- • erate as fronts for Iran’s Islamic officials get new five- Revolutionary Guard Corps. year jail terms each Investigators found that the $7bn Future Bank received requests Banks involved get Reports say the bank for suspicious financial trans- allegedly concealed at least new• $1 million penalty fers through the “SWIFT” sys- $7 billion of transactions tem using a practice known as between 2004 and 2015 wire-stripping to conceal pay- TDT | Manama ments to countries under inter- national sanctions. he latest conviction in Bahraini auditors also uncov- the multi-billion dol - port. ered $2.7 billion in payments Tlar Future bank’s sanc- Kingdom’s Public Prosecution made by the Future bank using tion-evading money laundering has uncovered evidence that an informal alternative to the scheme has raised jails terms future bank officials secretly SWIFT system that is difficult to awarded in the case to 30 years helped Iran evade sanctions for trace, documents show. and overall fines to more than more than a decade. Bank Melli and Bank Saderat $47 million. Reports say the bank alleged- have also been accused by US Yesterday, Bahrain’s High ly concealed at least $7 billion officials of helping finance Iran’s Criminal Court issued ruling of transactions between 2004 nuclear programme. in six cases in which the Cen- and 2015, with Bahraini officials The scheme allowed the bank tral Bank of Iran, some Iranian uncovering hundreds of bank to make the transfers in violation Banks, the Future bank and three accounts tied to individuals of laws and regulations, Public of its officials are implicated. -
BIC Statement CORRESPONDENT BANK's NAME ALL BR. COUNTRY
BIC Statement CORRESPONDENT BANK'S NAME ALL BR. COUNTRY 1 AFABAFKA ARIAN BANK,KABUL 2005/11/30 AFGHANISTAN 2 BKMTAM22 EUR BANK MELLAT CJSC YEREVAN, YEREVAN ARMENIA 3 OBKLAT2L OBERBANK AG, LINZ AUSTRIA 4 GIBAATWW ERSTE BANK DER OESTERREICHISCHEN SPARKASSEN AG, VIENNA AUSTRIA 5 SCHOATWW SCHOELLERBANK AG,VIENNA 2005/05/05 AUSTRIA 6 BKAUATWW EUR UNICREDIT BANK AUSTRIA AG, VIENNA(Bank Austria) 2009/02/17 AUSTRIA 7 CAPNAZ22 AZERBAIJAN INDUSTRY BANK JSC, BAKU 2007/10/02 AZERBAIJAN 8 MELIAZ22 BANK MELLI IRAN, BAKU BRANCH, BAKU 2005/04/20 AZERBAIJAN 9 ABCOBHBM ARAB BANKING CORPORATION (B.S.C.), MANAMA BAHRAIN 10 BMEABHBM BAHRAIN MIDDLE EAST BANK B.S.C.,MANAMA 2010/07/14 BAHRAIN 11 FUBBBHBM EUR,AED FUTURE BANK (B.S.C.) C , MANAMA 2005/12/04 BAHRAIN 12 GULFBHBM GULF INTERNATIONAL BANK, MANAMA BAHRAIN 13 SCBLBDDX STANDARD CHARTERED BANK, DHAKA BANGLADESH 14 SBINBDDH STATE BANK OF INDIA, DHAKA 2006/07/10 BANGLADESH 15 BCBLBDDH BANGLADESH COMMERCE BANK BANGLADESH 16 AKBBBY2X BELARUSBANK , MINSK 2009/02/17 BELARUS 17 BELBBY2X BELVNESHECONOMBANK OJSC , MINSK 2005/05/05 BELARUS 18 HNRBBY2X HONOR BANK,MINSK 2010/07/14 BELARUS 19 BPSBBY2X JSC BPS-BANK (FORMERLY BELPROMSTROIBANK), MINSK 2007/10/02 BELARUS 20 BBTKBY2X TC BANK , MINSK 2009/09/29 BELARUS 21 FBHLBE22 CREDIT EUROPE BANK N.V. ANTWERP BRANCH , ANTWERPEN 2008/02/07 BELGIUM 22 BYBBBEBB BYBLOS BANK EUROPE S.A., BRUSSELS BELGIUM (ALL BR.IN 23 GEBABEBB FORTIS BANK S.A./N.V. BRUSSELS, BRUSSELS BELGIUM) BELGIUM (ALL WORLD 24 KREDBEBB KBC BANK NV , BRUSSELS BR.) BELGIUM 25 DEUTBRSP DEUTSCHE BANK S.A. -
Banking Industry Iran Current Status, Opportunities and Threats
Banking Industry Iran current status, opportunities and threats September 2016 All statements of fact, opinion, or analysis expressed in ILIA white papers are those of the respective analysts. They do not necessarily reflect formal positions or views of ILIA. The information used and statements of fact made are not guarantees, warranties or representations as to their completeness or accuracy. ILIA assumes no liability for any short-term or long-term decision made by any reader based on analysis included in our white papers. Copyright restrictions (including those of third parties) are to be observed. Further Information: www.ilia-corporation.com Table of Content Iran Banking Industry 8 There are 30 banks and 5 financial/credit institutions active in Iran, where banks are the main source of funding for development plans and companies. The Iranian banking industry makes up for 2.5% of GDP and has the second highest penetration rate in the MENA region. Iran is the only Muslim country besides Sudan where the entire financial industry is obliged to be consistent with the principles of sharia law, accounting for more than 40% of the world’s total Islamic banking assets. Iran Banking and Globalization 17 In 2001, 57 branches of private and governmental Iranian banks were active in foreign countries. The number fell to 49 in 2005, and following sanctions all overseas branches were closed. Post the implementation of the JCPOA, more than 50 branches of Iranian commercial banks are expected to restart their activities in foreign countries. Based on the Iran Foreign Investment Promotion Act, foreign banks are allowed to hold a 40% share of Iranian banks and according to the Iranian Central Bank, the necessary initial capital for foreign investors to establish a bank in Iran is at 5 million EUR. -
FIN-2010-A008 Issued: June 22, 2010 Subject: Update on the Continuing Illicit Finance Threat Emanating from Iran
Advisory FIN-2010-A008 Issued: June 22, 2010 Subject: Update on the Continuing Illicit Finance Threat Emanating from Iran The Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) is issuing this advisory to supplement information previously provided on the serious threat of money laundering, terrorism finance, and proliferation finance emanating from the Islamic Republic of Iran,1 and to provide guidance to financial institutions regarding United Nations Security Council Resolution (UNSCR) 1929, adopted on June 9, 2010. UNSCR 1929 contains a number of new provisions which build upon and expand the financial sanctions imposed in previous resolutions (UNSCRs 1737, 1747, and 1803) and which are designed to prevent Iran from abusing the international financial system to facilitate its illicit conduct. The resolution’s measures include a call for States, in addition to implementing their obligations pursuant to resolutions 1737, 1747, 1803, and 1929, to prevent the provision of any financial service – including insurance and reinsurance – or asset that does or could contribute to Iran’s proliferation activities; and to prohibit on their territories new relationships with Iranian banks, including the opening of any new branches of Iranian banks, if there is a suspected link to proliferation. The UNSCR also requires States to ensure their nationals exercise vigilance when doing business with any Iranian firm, including the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and the Islamic Republic of Iran Shipping Lines (IRISL), when there is a possibility that -
UK HMT: Financial Sanctions Against Iran
Financial Sanctions Notification 27/07/2010 Iran Council Implementing Regulation (EU) No 668/2010 1. This notification is issued in respect of the financial measures taken against Iran. 2. Her Majesty’s Treasury issue this notification to advise that, with the publication of Council Implementing Regulation (EU) No 668/2010 of 26 July 2010 (‘Regulation 668/2010’) in the Official Journal of the European Union, (O.J. L195, 27.7.2010, P25) on 27 July 2010, the Council of the European Union has again amended Annex V to Council Regulation (EU) No. 423/2007 (‘Regulation 423/2007’). 3. Article 7(2) of Regulation 423/2007 provides for the Council to identify persons, not designated by the United Nations Security Council or by the Sanctions Committee established pursuant to paragraph 18 of UNSCR 1737 (2006), as subject to the financial sanctions imposed by Regulation 423/2007. Such persons are listed in Annex V to Regulation 423/2007. 4. The amendments made to Annex V by Regulation 668/2010 take the form of the addition of individuals and entities to the list of those subject to the financial sanctions imposed by Regulation 423/2007. Article 7 of Regulation 423/2007 imposes an asset freeze on these individuals and entities. 5. With effect from 27 July 2010, all funds and economic resources belonging to, owned, held or controlled by persons in Annex V to Regulation 423/2007 as amended by the Annex to Regulation 668/2010 must be frozen. No funds or economic resources are to be made available, directly or indirectly, to or for the benefit of persons listed in Annex V unless authorised by the Treasury. -
Iran: State of the Art and Future Perspectives After the Reintroduction of All the Us Sanctions Against Iran
IRAN: STATE OF THE ART AND FUTURE PERSPECTIVES AFTER THE REINTRODUCTION OF ALL THE US SANCTIONS AGAINST IRAN AVV. MARCO PADOVAN AVV. MARCO ZINZANI Operating (or not) with Iran after the reintroduction of the second round of sanctions by the US Government Bologna, 9 November 2018 Sanctions against Iran between 16 January 2016 and 8 May 2018 - Free supply/export towards any Iranian person, entity or body or for the use in Iran - Prohibition for US persons to engage in transactions with Iran and with the of all goods, except for: Government of Iran except for operations conducted under an ad hoc or general authorisation; • those indicated in (EU) Regulation No. 267/2012; - General authorisations for, inter alia, medical devices (General License medical • specific goods which may be used with the purpose of internal devices); export of commercial passenger aircraft; import of Persian carpets and repression and control of telecommunication (EU Regulation foodstuff of Iranian origin, including pistachios and caviar. General License H No.359/2011); enabled non-US entities owned or controlled by a US person to establish trade relationships with Iran; • armaments (EU embargo in force until the Transition Day); - Designation of Iranian persons/entities suspected of committing human rights • the provision to designated persons/entities. violations, terrorism and engaged in missile proliferation; - Transactions with non-designated Iranian persons are allowed, as well as opening of - Prohibition for non-US financial institution to clear transactions -
Iran Sanctions
Iran Sanctions Kenneth Katzman Specialist in Middle Eastern Affairs January 6, 2012 Congressional Research Service 7-5700 www.crs.gov RS20871 CRS Report for Congress Prepared for Members and Committees of Congress Iran Sanctions Summary There is broad international support for imposing progressively strict economic sanctions on Iran to try to compel it to verifiably confine its nuclear program to purely peaceful uses. During 2011, there was broad agreement that sanctions had not hurt Iran’s economy to the point at which the Iranian leadership feels pressured to accommodate core Western goals on Iran’s nuclear program. However, as 2012 begins, Iran is indicating it perceives new U.S. and other sanctions affecting its vital oil export lifeline as a severe threat - to the point where Iran might threaten armed conflict in the Strait of Hormuz. It also has offered new nuclear talks in the hopes of heading off some of the oil export- related sanctions under consideration. The energy sector provides nearly 70% of Iran’s government revenues. The signs of effectiveness of sanctions mounted throughout 2011. The value of Iran’s rial has dropped dramatically over the past two years. Iranian leaders have admitted that Iran is virtually cut off from the international banking system. There have been a stream of announcements by major international firms since early 2010 that they are exiting or declining to undertake further work in the Iranian market, particularly the energy sector, taking with them often irreplaceable expertise. Partly as a result, Iran’s oil production has remained relatively steady at about 4.1 million barrels per day, defying Iranian efforts to increase production. -
Testimony of FDD's Emanuele Ottolenghi at a Hearing
Emanuele Ottolenghi July 12, 2018 INTRODUCTION Chairman Pierce, Ranking Member Perlmutter, members of the subcommittee, on behalf of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies and its Center on Sanctions and Illicit Finance, I thank you for inviting me to testify. The Islamic Republic of Iran has been under U.S. sanctions since late 1979. From 2006 to 2016, Iran’s nuclear and ballistic missile programs were the target of a United Nations sanctions regime, which the United States, the European Union, and their Western allies (Australia, Canada, Japan, New Zealand, Norway, South Korea, and Switzerland) subsequently expanded with their own set of far-reaching measures. Initially designed to both punish and prevent proliferation attempts, these sanctions over time became wider in scope, eventually targeting Iran’s energy industry, financial sector (including its Central Bank and most of its banking institutions), shipping, aviation, insurance, and oil exports. Beginning in January 2016, the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, or JCPOA, granted Iran sanctions relief, though non-nuclear sanctions remained in force. Due to President Trump’s May 2018 decision to withdraw from the JCPOA, Iran again faces U.S. sanctions, including secondary sanctions, which are already causing numerous international companies to withdraw from the Iranian market. Iran is therefore likely to ramp up its sanctions evasion efforts.1 Sanctions significantly inhibit Tehran’s ability to trade with the world. Still, Iran has adapted, engaging sanctions enforcers in a complex and evolving cat-and-mouse game. With over three decades of experience eluding sanctions, Iran has displayed ingenuity and inventiveness to defy the embargo on its oil and petrochemical exports, bypass financial restrictions on its banking activities, and procure critical technology.