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Lowland Hosts in Numerous Lakes Unique Records of Late Pleistocene to Holocene Sediments

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Lowland Hosts in Numerous Lakes Unique Records of Late Pleistocene to Holocene Sediments International Conference on Climate Change The environmental and socio-economic response in the southern Baltic region NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center, GeoEye University of Szczecin, Poland 25 - 28 May 2009 Conference Proceedings Editors: Andrzej Witkowski, Jan Harff and Hans-Jörg Isemer Organisers University of Szczecin GKSS Research Centre Geesthacht GmbH State Authority for Environment, Nature Protection and Geology of Mecklenburg Vorpommern (LUNG) Helmholtz-Centre Potsdam German Research Centre for Geosciences GFZ BALTEX – The Baltic Sea Experiment Sponsors The City of Szczecin The Office of the Marshal of the Province of Western Pomerania Committee for Quaternary Research (CQR) of the Polish Academy of Science PZU Group Scientific Committee Andris Andrušaitis, University of Lativa, Latvia Krzysztof Borówka, University of Szczecin, Poland Achim Brauer, GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Germany Boris Chubarenko, Atlantic Branch of P.P. Shirshov Institute of Oceanology, Russia Inga Dailidiene, Klaipedia University, Lithuania Peter Fröhle, University of Rostock, Germany Stanisław Gawłowski, Secretary of State, Ministry of the Environment, Poland Phil Graham, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Sweden Jan Harff, University of Szczecin, Poland Hans-Jörg Isemer, International BALTEX Secretariat, Germany Aarno Kotilainen, Geological Survey of Finland, Finland Zbigniew Kundzewicz, Research Centre of Agriculture and Forest Environment, Poland Markus Meier, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Sweden Zygmunt Meyer, Szczecin Technical University, Poland Matthias Moros, Leibniz Institute for Baltic Sea Research, Germany Stanisław Musielak, University of Szczecin, Poland Ralf-Otto Niedermeyer, LUNG Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, Germany Dan Rosbjerg, Danish Technical University – Environment, Denmark Hans von Storch, GKSS Research Centre Geesthacht, Germany Stefan Trzeciak, Maritime University of Szczecin, Poland Szymon Uścinowicz, Polish Geological Institute, Poland Joanna Waniek, Leibniz Institute for Baltic Sea Research, Germany Andrzej Witkowski, University of Szczecin, Poland Eduardo Zorita, GKSS Research Centre Geesthacht, Germany Organising Committee Kazimierz Furmańczyk, University of Szczecin, Poland Roman Marks, University of Szczecin, Poland Krystyna Osadczuk, University of Szczecin, Poland Teresa Radziejewska, University of Szczecin, Poland Marcus Reckermann, International BALTEX Secretariat, Germany Andrzej Witkowski, University of Szczecin, Poland Sylwia Wochna-Bartnik, University of Szczecin, Poland Preface Climate change and its interrelation with human life are in the focus of scientific research and political debates. Remarkable progress in understanding the climate system has been achieved e.g. through analysing climate records and using numerical global models for future climate projections based on reliable socio-economic scenarios. Tailored downscaling of these global projections to the regional scale for impact studies and decision making in the context of mitigation and adaptation is urgently required. Due to both its complex geophysical structure and large regional variability the Baltic Sea basin is an ideal example to be studied with high spatial resolution. In addition, the densely populated basin is under stress by further activities, e.g. agriculture and industry. The southern part of the Baltic basin is of special interest: The Polish lowland hosts in numerous lakes unique records of Late Pleistocene to Holocene sediments. Together with sediments of the Baltic Proper these deposits can be used for the derivation of complex climate proxies for a high resolution reconstruction of the regional climate. At the same time, the adjustment of agriculture and water management to the changes in climate challenge stake holders and planning agencies. In addition, sea level rise superimposed on neotectonic land subsidence leads to a continuous retreat of the southern Baltic Sea coast line and requires increasingly activities in coastal protection at the southern Baltic Sea. The conference is organised in the frame of the BALTEX program and brings together scientists, economists, engineers, politicians and managers. The conference site has been selected thoughtfully: Regionally, Szczecin represents the Polish lowland – a zone of transition between the influence of air pressure systems of the North Atlantic and Eurasia. Politically, the town stands for the ongoing process of European unification – hospitably to scientist from all over Europe and beyond. Altogether, more than 120 participants from 23 countries (11 of which outside Europe) have registered for the Conference, and 93 papers – both oral and as posters – will be presented and discussed. In this volume the abstracts are ordered by Conference session and alphabetically according to first authors’ name, where - on purpose - no distinction is made between poster and oral presentations: Session A: Marine and terrestrial proxies for reconstructions of paleo-climate Session B: Modelling of past climate change and future projections Session C: Climate and anthroposphere interactions Session D: Prehistoric communities and climate change Session E: Climate variability and change impacts on Baltic Sea coasts The numerous participants from overseas prove that the Baltic Sea basin is regarded a natural laboratory of general interest for the study of regional climate change processes. The organisers wish to thank Mr Frithjof Sterrenburg for language editing of several abstracts and Ms Kheira Dashti-Hashtjin at the BALTEX Secretariat for invaluable logistic support during the Conference’s preparation phase. April 2009 Andrzej Witkowski, Jan Harff and Hans-Jörg Isemer Editors i Contents Winter air temperatures in the Baltic Sea region during the past millenium Andres Tarand.............................................................................................................................. 1 The BACC Strategy (BALTEX Assessment of Climate Change for the Baltic Sea basin) Hans von Storch, Hans-Jörg Isemer, Marcus Reckermann and the BACC Author Team........... 2 Nuclear astrophysics versus global warming Konrad Czerski............................................................................................................................. 3 Session A: Marine and terrestrial proxies for reconstructions of paleo-climate Dating of paleo-shoreline terraces of Lake Lisan high stands Shahrazad Abu Ghazleh and Stephan Kempe.............................................................................. 5 Global warming in the perspective of 20,000 years Svante Björck ............................................................................................................................... 6 Sedimentation of a marine deposit in the "Szczecin Bay" during the Littorina transgression Ryszard Krzysztof Borówka, Andrzej Witkowski, Malgorzata Latałowa and Artur Skowronek.......................................................................................................................... 8 Geomorphic evolution of small river-lake-systems in Northeast Germany during the Late Quaternary Knut Kaiser, Henrik Rothery, Sebastian Lorenz, Peter Gärtner and Ralf Papenroth .................. 9 BONUS programme: INFLOW project – Providing information on forcing mechanisms of environmental changes of the Baltic Sea during the past 6000 years and future scenarios Aarno Kotilainen, Laura Arppe, Eystein Jansen, Juha Karhu, Mia Kotilainen, Antoon Kuijpers, Markus Meier, Matthias Moros, Thomas Neumann, Daria Ryabchuk, Ian Snowball, Mikhael Spiridonov and Andrzej Witkowski ..................................................... 11 Lake Hańcza (northeast Poland) – A new multi-proxy record of Lateglacial and early Holocene climate and environmental change from the Eastern Baltic Stefan Lauterbach, Achim Brauer, Birgit Plessen, Peter Dulski, Katarzyna Zamelczyk, Krystyna Milecka, Tadeusz Namiotko, Matthias Hüls, Nils Andersen, Ulrich von Grafenstein, Dan L. Danielopol and DecLakes participants.................................... 12 Climatic changes reflected in high-resolution pollen diagram from Lake Hańcza, NE Poland Krystyna Milecka, Milena Obremska and Kazimierz Tobolski................................................. 14 Sediments of the Gulf of Gdańsk as indicator of short term climatic oscillation Urszula S. Paczek and Szymon Uścinowicz............................................................................... 16 ii Multi-proxy record of climate and Holocene palaeohydrological events in SE Wolin Island (Southern Baltic Sea) Anna Pędziszewska, Kamila Mianowicz, Ryszard Krzysztof Borówka and Małgorzata Latałowa.................................................................................................................. 18 Palaeobiogeochemical data in the models of global and regional climate change Anna Y. Romanchuk and Evgeny V. Krasnov........................................................................... 19 Debatable questions of Holocene geological history of the Eastern Gulf of Finland Darya Ryabchuk, Vladimir Zhamoida, Mikhail Spiridonov, Elena Nesterova and Andrey Grigoriev ....................................................................................................................... 20 Non-stationarities in the circulation-climate-relationship over the Baltic Sea and its effects on reconstructions of climate indices Frederik Schenk, Daniel Hansson, Sebastian Wagner and Eduardo Zorita............................... 22 Paleo-environmental
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