Cost-Benefit Analysis of the 2006 Air Force Materiel Command Test and Evaluation Proposal
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This electronic representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for non-commercial use only. Unauthorized posting of RAND PDFs to a non-RAND Web site is prohibited. RAND PDFs are protected under copyright law. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of our research documents for commercial use. For information on reprint and linking permissions, please see RAND Permissions. This product is part of the RAND Corporation monograph series. RAND mono- graphs present major research findings that address the challenges facing the public and private sectors. All RAND monographs undergo rigorous peer review to ensure high standards for research quality and objectivity. Cost-Benefit Analysis of the 2006 Air Force Materiel Command Test and Evaluation Proposal Michael R. Thirtle, Michael Boito, Ian P. Cook, Bernard Fox, Phyllis Gilmore, Michelle Grace, Jeff Hagen, Thomas Hamilton, Lawrence M. Hanser, Herbert J. Shukiar, Jerry M. Sollinger, David Vaughan Prepared for the United States Air Force Approved for public release; distribution unlimited PROJECT AIR FORCE The research described in this report was sponsored by the United States Air Force under Contract FA7014-06-C-0001. Further information may be obtained from the Strategic Planning Division, Directorate of Plans, Hq USAF. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Cost-benefit analysis of the 2006 Air Force Materiel Command test and evaluation proposal / Michael R. Thirtle ... [et al.]. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references. ISBN 978-0-8330-4300-9 (pbk. : alk. paper) 1. United States. Air Force Materiel Command—Reorganization—Cost effectiveness. I. Thirtle, Michael R., 1967– UG633.2.C67 2008 358.4'1621—dc22 2007049639 The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit research organization providing objective analysis and effective solutions that address the challenges facing the public and private sectors around the world. RAND’s publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors. R® is a registered trademark. © Copyright 2008 RAND Corporation All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced in any form by any electronic or mechanical means (including photocopying, recording, or information storage and retrieval) without permission in writing from RAND. Published 2008 by the RAND Corporation 1776 Main Street, P.O. Box 2138, Santa Monica, CA 90407-2138 1200 South Hayes Street, Arlington, VA 22202-5050 4570 Fifth Avenue, Suite 600, Pittsburgh, PA 15213-2665 RAND URL: http://www.rand.org To order RAND documents or to obtain additional information, contact Distribution Services: Telephone: (310) 451-7002; Fax: (310) 451-6915; Email: [email protected] Preface This monograph provides the results of a cost-benefit analysis (CBA) of an Air Force proposal to consolidate and divest itself of a portion of its test and evaluation (T&E) facilities and capa- bilities. Congress directed the Air Force, in the 2007 Defense Appropriations Act, to study the effects of this proposal, and the Air Force asked RAND Project AIR FORCE to carry out the analysis. This monograph should interest those associated with military T&E facilities and capabilities. The work documented here was part of a fiscal year (FY) 2007 project, “United States Air Force Test and Evaluation Infrastructure Assessment.” RAND Project AIR FORCE RAND Project AIR FORCE (PAF), a division of the RAND Corporation, is the U.S. Air Force’s federally funded research and development center for studies and analysis. PAF pro- vides the Air Force with independent analyses of policy alternatives affecting the development, employment, combat readiness, and support of current and future aerospace forces. Research is conducted in four programs: Aerospace Force Development; Manpower, Personnel, and Train- ing; Resource Management; and Strategy and Doctrine. Integrative research projects and work on modeling and simulation are conducted on a PAF-wide basis. The research reported here was prepared within the PAF-wide program. Additional information about PAF is available on our Web site: http://www.rand.org/paf/ iii Contents Preface ........................................................................................................... iii Figures ........................................................................................................... ix Tables ............................................................................................................ xi Summary .......................................................................................................xiii Acknowledgments ............................................................................................ xxi Abbreviations ................................................................................................ xxiii CHAPTER ONE Introduction ..................................................................................................... 1 Background ....................................................................................................... 1 Project Scope...................................................................................................... 2 Research Approach ............................................................................................... 3 Data Sources .................................................................................................... 3 Effects on Customers .......................................................................................... 4 How We Analyzed the Data .................................................................................. 5 Financial Methods and Considerations ....................................................................... 5 Organization of This Monograph .............................................................................. 6 CHAPTER TWO Test Wing Consolidation ...................................................................................... 7 The Test Wings ................................................................................................... 7 Overview: The Air Armament Center and the 46th Test Wing ......................................... 7 Edwards AFB Overview ...................................................................................... 7 Human Capital Issues ......................................................................................... 8 Summary of Findings ......................................................................................... 9 What Functions Would Move from the 46th Test Wing to Edwards AFB? .............................. 9 46th Flying Hour Program ..................................................................................10 46th Test Wing Maintenance ...............................................................................12 Support Staff Reductions ....................................................................................19 Miscellaneous AFMC Test Wing Reductions Not Included in This CBA ...............................21 46th Test Wing Resource Earning Units That Move .....................................................21 412th Test Wing REU ...................................................................................... 22 C4ISR ......................................................................................................... 23 Arnold Engineering Development Center Contractor Staff and Information Technology ......... 23 Effect of Changes at Eglin AFB on the 53rd Wing ........................................................ 23 v vi Cost-Benefit Analysis of the 2006 Air Force Materiel Command Test and Evaluation Proposal Wing Activities at Eglin ..................................................................................... 23 Effect of Facility Closures ................................................................................... 24 Effect of Overall Range Capacity Reduction ..............................................................25 Effect of the 46th Test Wing Relocation .................................................................. 26 Cost Summary ............................................................................................... 28 Other Alternatives for the 53rd Wing ..................................................................... 28 CHAPTER THREE Ranges ...........................................................................................................31 Ground-Based Activities .......................................................................................32