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MCA Political Developments, BN Reforms, PKFZ and Perceptions On For Media Release MCA political Peninsular Malaysia Opinion Poll developments, BN October 2009 reforms, PKFZ and perceptions on 29 Sept – 4 October 2009 Pakatan Rakyat 1 For Media Release “All rights reserved. This report is published by proprietary subscription. No parts of this publication may be distributed, reproduced, copied or transmitted in any form or by any means including photocopying without the permission of the copyright owner, application for which should be addressed to the same. The distribution, reproduction, copying or transmission including the quotation of a part of the whole thereof by a non-customer is strictly prohibited” MERDEKA CENTER FOR OPINION RESEARCH 901B Diamond Complex, 43650 Bandar Baru Bangi, Selangor, MALAYSIA Tel: 603 8210 1488/1499 Fax: 603 8210 1466 Email: [email protected] Web: www.merdeka.org 2 For Media Release Methodology • 846 randomly selected Malaysian adults aged 21+ were interviewed via telephone for the survey • Respondents were selected via random stratified sampling method along the lines of state of residence, ethnicity, gender and age • Survey was carried out between 29 September – 4 October 2009 • Survey margin of error estimated at ±3.4% • Important events during survey period: Padang 7.6 magnitude earthquake, Bagan Pinang By-election Nomination, on-going developments surrounding approaching MCA EGM, developments surrounding approaching UMNO General Assembly Note: Total percentages presented may or may not add up to 100% due to rounding up of figures. 3 For Media Release Respondent Profile – pt1 Ethinicity 59% Age 60% 30% 20% 22% 21% 19% 17% 40% 33% 20% 20% 10% 9% 0% 0% 21-30 31-40 41-50 51-60 Above 60 Malay Chinese Indian Gender Setting Region Central Eastern 37% 19% Urban Female 57% Male Rural 52% 43% 48% Southern Northern 24% 19% 4 For Media Release Respondent Profile – pt2 Occupation 40% Monthly household income 30% 60% 20% 16% 12% 12% 10% 4% 5% 4% 38% 1% 2% 2% 3% 40% 0% 26% office office office office office office - Retired Student – – non Homemaker – Professional Professional office workeroffice 20% Self employed Self - organization organization < organization organization > 14% 14% – – executive executive Executive Executive Non - Non Supervisor Supervisor 5% 10 people 10 10 people 10 3% Unemployed, lost lost Unemployed, to ability work 0% Employer/Management Employer/Management < RM1,500 RM1,501 – RM3,001 – > RM5,000 Don't know No RM3,000 RM5,000 response Occupation Education Level Internet access 80% 60% 51% 60% 57% 40% 40% 19% 20% 12% 14% 26% 4% 20% 0% 7% 0% 4% 4% No formal Primary Secondary Diploma & Degree No response 1% education school school equivalent 0% At home Workplace/schoolAt home and workplace/schoolOther locationsMobile internetNo internet5 access For Media Release Peninsular Malaysia Opinion Poll 29 Sept – 4 October 2009 Perceptions on BN Reforms 6 For Media Release Peninsula Malaysia Public Opinion Poll 29 Sept – 4 Oct 09, n = 846 View on BN component parties’ reform What is your view on reforms with regards to the individual component parties in BN? 40% 37% 34% 34% 34% 29% 30% 28% 26% 23% 4% 20% 21% 21% 20% 18% 17% 18% 3% 3% 11% 4% 24% 15% 14% 14% 0% 2 3 2 3 1 2 1 2 1 1 3 3 DK/NR DK/NR DK/NR DK/NR Overall (847) Malay (497) Chinese (275) Indian (974) 1 Reforms in UMNO and other component parties are equally important 2 Unless other component parties reform extensively, changes in UMNO will mean little 3 Unless UMNO reforms extensively, changes in other component parties will mean little 7 For Media Release Peninsula Malaysia Public Opinion Poll 29 Sept – 4 Oct 09, n = 846 Focus on MCA party reforms What do you think should MCA leaders pay attention to? (all respondents & Chinese only) 50% All respondents (846) Chinese (275) 40% 39% 34% 31% 30% 27% 20% 13% 13% 10% 10% 8% 6% 4% 4% 5% 3% 2% 0% Resolve infighting Winning back the Deal with UMNO Win back Others DK NR confidence of the confidence of Chinese community Malaysian of all races 8 For Media Release Peninsula Malaysia Public Opinion Poll 29 Sept – 4 Oct 09, n = 846 Perception on MIC after party elections How do you perceive the MIC after its recent party elections? 80% 68% 63% 59% 60% 49% 28% 29% 25% 40% 17% 37% 26% 11% 23% 22% 8% 20% 7% 39% 15% 34% 14% 35% 14% 33% 11% 26% 16% 19% 3% 13% 11% 16% 14% 5% 8% 0% 2% 3% DK/ NR DK/ NR DK/ DK/ NR DK/ NR DK/ Favourably Favourably Favourably Favourably Unfavourable Unfavourable Unfavourable Unfavourable All(846) Malay (497) Chinese (275) Indian (73) 9 For Media Release Peninsular Malaysia Opinion Poll 29 Sept – 4 October 2009 Perceptions on MCA Leaders and Political Developments 10 10 For Media Release Peninsula Malaysia Public Opinion Poll 29 Sept – 4 Oct 09, n = 846 MCA Leadership- pt1 Who do you think should lead the MCA? 50% 47.6% Malay (497) Chinese (273) Indian (74) Total (844) Ong Tee Keat 22.7% 32.2% 16.2% 25.2% 45% Chua Soi Lek 5.8% 5.1% 8.1% 5.8% Kong Chor Ha 1.6% 1.1% 1.4% 1.4% 40% Liow Tiong Lai 5.8% 3.7% 2.7% 4.9% Ng Yen Yen 1.8% 4.4% 0.0% 2.5% 35.5% Wee Ka Siong 35% 1.2% 3.7% 1.4% 2.0% 32.2% Others 2.2% 3.3% 4.1% 2.7% Don't know 51.9% 35.5% 63.5% 47.6% 30% No response 6.8% 11.0% 2.7% 7.8% 25.2% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 25% 20% 15% 11.0% 10% 7.8% 5.8% 5.1% 4.9% 4.4% 5% 3.7% 3.7% 3.3% 2.5% 2.0% 2.7% 1.1% 1.4% 0% Ong Tee Keat Chua Soi Lek Kong Chor Ha Liow Tiong Lai Ng Yen Yen Wee Ka Siong Others Don't know No response Chinese (273) All respondents (844) 11 For Media Release Peninsula Malaysia Public Opinion Poll 29 Sept – 4 Oct 09, n = 846 MCA Leadership - pt2 Who do you think should lead the MCA (excluding those who “don’t know” and did not respond)? Chinese 70% Malay (205) (146) Indian (25) Total (376) Ong Tee Keat 55.1% 60.3% 48.0% 56.6% 60.3% Chua Soi Lek 14.1% 9.6% 24.0% 13.0% 60% 56.6% Kong Chor Ha 3.9% 2.1% 4.0% 3.2% Liow Tiong Lai 14.1% 6.8% 8.0% 10.9% 50% Ng Yen Yen 4.4% 8.2% 0.0% 5.6% Wee Ka Siong 2.9% 6.8% 4.0% 4.5% Others 40% 2.9% 2.7% 8.0% 3.2% None of the above 2.4% 3.4% 0.0% 2.7% 30% 20% 13.0% 10.9% 9.6% 10% 8.2% 6.8% 5.6% 6.8% 4.5% 3.4% 2.1% 3.2% 2.7% 3.2% 2.7% 0% Ong Tee Keat Chua Soi Lek Kong Chor Ha Liow Tiong Lai Ng Yen Yen Wee Ka Siong Others None of the above -10% Chinese (146) Total (376) 12 For Media Release Peninsula Malaysia Public Opinion Poll 29 Sept – 4 Oct 09, n = 846 Confidence in MCA Leaders – pt1 How do you view the following MCA personalities, … (all respondents) Strongly Confident Somewhat Confident Neutral Somewhat Not Confident Not Confident at All Don't Know / Can't Evaluate NR Tan Kok Hong 1% 11% 8% 10% 8% 58% 4% Ng Yen Yen 3% 20% 9% 15% 10% 38% 4% Liow Tiong Lai 5% 28% 9% 11% 7% 36% 4% Kong Cho Ha 3% 13% 9% 13% 10% 49% 4% Chua Soi Lek 3% 15% 5% 20% 24% 31% 4% Ong Tee Keat 8% 25% 9% 14% 11% 30% 4% 13 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% For Media Release Peninsula Malaysia Public Opinion Poll 29 Sept – 4 Oct 09, n = 846 Confidence in MCA Leaders – pt2 How do you view the following MCA personalities, … (Chinese Respondents only, n=276) Strongly Confident Somewhat Confident Neutral Somewhat Not Confident Not Confident at All Don't Know / Can't Evaluate Tan Kok Hong 13% 9% 12% 5% 56% 5% Ng Yen Yen 2% 28% 10% 23% 11% 22% 5% Liow Tiong Lai 2% 35% 11% 17% 5% 25% 5% Kong Cho Ha 1%14% 10% 18% 8% 46% 5% Chua Soi Lek 3% 20% 8% 29% 20% 16% 4% Ong Tee Keat 11% 33% 11% 13% 11% 18% 4% 14 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% For Media Release Peninsula Malaysia Public Opinion Poll 29 Sept – 4 Oct 09, n = 846 Perception on MCA issues Of the two statements provided, which one is closest to your view on the problems experienced by the MCA? (All respondents & Chinese only) 70% All respondents (846) Chinese (275) 64% 60% 49% 50% 40% 30% 23% 20% 18% 15% 10% 7% 5% 4% 5% 4% 5% 2% 0% It's an internal It's something that [Don't care] Others DK NR MCA affair will affect BN & the government 15 For Media Release Peninsular Malaysia Opinion Poll 29 Sept – 4 October 2009 Perceptions on Pakatan Rakyat 16 For Media Release Peninsula Malaysia Public Opinion Poll 29 Sept – 4 Oct 09, n = 846 Viability of Pakatan Rakyat at Federal level How convinced or not convinced are you that Pakatan Rakyat can be a viable alternative to BN? 100% 80% 60% 56% 47% 20% 43% 42% 38% 40% 26% 32% 20% 31% 21% 25% 25% 18% 20% 19% 35% 21% 6% 20% 25% 6% 1% 36% 6% 26% 19% 16% 20% 17% 20% 18% 8% 13% 8% 10% 0% 6% DK/ NR DK/ NR DK/ NR DK/ DK/ NR DK/ Convinced Convinced Convinced Convinced Unconvinced Unconvinced Unconvinced Unconvinced Overall (847) Malay (497) Chinese (275) Indian (74) 17 For Media Release Peninsula Malaysia Public Opinion Poll 29 Sept – 4 Oct 09, n = 846 Viability of Pakatan Rakyat at Federal level How convinced or not convinced are you that Pakatan Rakyat can be a viable alternative to BN? 60% 57% 52% 49% 50% 47% 46% 48% 41% 40% 39% 33% 38% 16% 18% 25% 32%20% 26% 30% 31% 12% 29% 28%38% 28% 25%25% 28% 21% 6% 20% 28% 22% 7% 20% 25% 20% 18% 4% 6% 4% 20% 22% 15% 29% 15% 30% 30% 5% 27% 12% 28% 24% 27% 25% 5% 21% 3% 15% 18% 16% 18% 13% 10% 12% 10% 11% 10% 10% 8% 7% 9% 8% 0% 2% DK/ NR DK/ NR DK/ NR DK/ DK/ NR DK/ NR DK/ NR DK/ NR DK/ NR DK/ Convinced Convinced Convinced Convinced Convinced Convinced Convinced Convinced unconvinced Unconvinced Unconvinced Unconvinced Unconvinced Unconvinced Unconvinced Unconvinced Overall (847) Rest of the Kedah (80) Pulau Pinang Perak (109) Selangor (143) Kuala Lumpur Kelantan (74) country (311) (69) (61) 18 For Media Release Peninsula Malaysia Public Opinion Poll 29 Sept – 4 Oct 09, n = 846 Viability of Pakatan Rakyat at State Level How satisfied or not satisfied are you with the performance of the four Pakatan Rakyat state governments
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