For Media Release

MCA political Peninsular Opinion Poll developments, BN October 2009 reforms, PKFZ and perceptions on 29 Sept – 4 October 2009 Pakatan Rakyat

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MERDEKA CENTER FOR OPINION RESEARCH 901B Diamond Complex, 43650 Bandar Baru Bangi, , MALAYSIA

Tel: 603 8210 1488/1499 Fax: 603 8210 1466 Email: [email protected] Web: www.merdeka.org

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Methodology

• 846 randomly selected Malaysian adults aged 21+ were interviewed via telephone for the survey

• Respondents were selected via random stratified sampling method along the lines of state of residence, ethnicity, gender and age

• Survey was carried out between 29 September – 4 October 2009

• Survey margin of error estimated at ±3.4%

• Important events during survey period: Padang 7.6 magnitude earthquake, Bagan Pinang By-election Nomination, on-going developments surrounding approaching MCA EGM, developments surrounding approaching UMNO General Assembly

Note: Total percentages presented may or may not add up to 100% due to rounding up of figures.

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Respondent Profile – pt1

Ethinicity 59% Age 60% 30% 20% 22% 21% 19% 17% 40% 33% 20%

20% 10% 9% 0% 0% 21-30 31-40 41-50 51-60 Above 60 Malay Chinese Indian

Gender Setting Region

Central Eastern 37% 19% Urban Female 57% Male Rural 52% 43% 48% Southern Northern 24% 19%

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Respondent Profile – pt2

Occupation

40% Monthly household income 30% 60%

20% 16% 12% 12% 10% 4% 5% 4% 38% 1% 2% 2% 3% 40% 0%

26%

office office

office office

office office

-

Retired

Student

–

–

non

Homemaker

– Professional Professional

office worker office 20%

Self employed Self

- organization organization <

organization organization > 14% 14%

– –

executive executive

Executive Executive Non

- Non

Supervisor Supervisor 5% 10 people 10 10 people 10 3%

Unemployed, lost lost Unemployed, to ability work 0% Employer/Management Employer/Management < RM1,500 RM1,501 – RM3,001 – > RM5,000 Don't know No RM3,000 RM5,000 response Occupation

Education Level Internet access 80% 60% 51%

60% 57% 40%

40% 19% 20% 12% 14% 26% 4% 20% 0% 7% 0% 4% 4% No formal Primary Secondary Diploma & Degree No response 1% education school school equivalent 0% At home Workplace/schoolAt home and workplace/schoolOther locationsMobile internetNo internet5 access For Media Release

Peninsular Malaysia Opinion Poll 29 Sept – 4 October 2009

Perceptions on BN Reforms

6 For Media Release Peninsula Malaysia Public Opinion Poll 29 Sept – 4 Oct 09, n = 846 View on BN component parties’ reform

What is your view on reforms with regards to the individual component parties in BN?

40% 37% 34% 34% 34% 29% 30% 28% 26% 23% 4% 20% 21% 21% 20% 18% 17% 18% 3% 3% 11% 4% 24% 15% 14% 14%

0%

2 3 2 3 1 2 1 2 1 1 3 3

DK/NR DK/NR DK/NR DK/NR

Overall (847) Malay (497) Chinese (275) Indian (974)

1 Reforms in UMNO and other component parties are equally important 2 Unless other component parties reform extensively, changes in UMNO will mean little 3 Unless UMNO reforms extensively, changes in other component parties will mean little

7 For Media Release Peninsula Malaysia Public Opinion Poll 29 Sept – 4 Oct 09, n = 846 Focus on MCA party reforms What do you think should MCA leaders pay attention to? (all respondents & Chinese only)

50% All respondents (846) Chinese (275)

40% 39%

34% 31% 30% 27%

20%

13% 13% 10% 10% 8% 6% 4% 4% 5% 3% 2%

0% Resolve infighting Winning back the Deal with UMNO Win back Others DK NR confidence of the confidence of Chinese community Malaysian of all races

8 For Media Release Peninsula Malaysia Public Opinion Poll 29 Sept – 4 Oct 09, n = 846 Perception on MIC after party elections How do you perceive the MIC after its recent party elections? 80%

68% 63% 59% 60% 49% 28% 29% 25% 40% 17% 37%

26% 11% 23% 22% 8% 20% 7% 39% 15% 34% 14% 35% 14% 33% 11% 26% 16% 19% 3% 13% 11% 16% 14% 5% 8%

0% 2% 3%

DK/ NR DK/ NR DK/ DK/ NR DK/ NR DK/

Favourably Favourably Favourably Favourably

Unfavourable Unfavourable Unfavourable Unfavourable

All(846) Malay (497) Chinese (275) Indian (73) 9 For Media Release

Peninsular Malaysia Opinion Poll 29 Sept – 4 October 2009

Perceptions on MCA Leaders and

Political Developments 10 10 For Media Release Peninsula Malaysia Public Opinion Poll 29 Sept – 4 Oct 09, n = 846 MCA Leadership- pt1 Who do you think should lead the MCA?

50% 47.6% Malay (497) Chinese (273) Indian (74) Total (844) 22.7% 32.2% 16.2% 25.2% 45% 5.8% 5.1% 8.1% 5.8% Kong Chor Ha 1.6% 1.1% 1.4% 1.4% 40% 5.8% 3.7% 2.7% 4.9% 1.8% 4.4% 0.0% 2.5% 35.5% 35% 1.2% 3.7% 1.4% 2.0% 32.2% Others 2.2% 3.3% 4.1% 2.7% Don't know 51.9% 35.5% 63.5% 47.6% 30% No response 6.8% 11.0% 2.7% 7.8% 25.2% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 25%

20%

15% 11.0% 10% 7.8% 5.8% 5.1% 4.9% 4.4% 5% 3.7% 3.7% 3.3% 2.5% 2.0% 2.7% 1.1% 1.4% 0% Ong Tee Keat Chua Soi Lek Kong Chor Ha Liow Tiong Lai Ng Yen Yen Wee Ka Siong Others Don't know No response

Chinese (273) All respondents (844)

11 For Media Release Peninsula Malaysia Public Opinion Poll 29 Sept – 4 Oct 09, n = 846 MCA Leadership - pt2

Who do you think should lead the MCA (excluding those who “don’t know” and did not respond)?

Chinese 70% Malay (205) (146) Indian (25) Total (376) Ong Tee Keat 55.1% 60.3% 48.0% 56.6% 60.3% Chua Soi Lek 14.1% 9.6% 24.0% 13.0% 60% 56.6% Kong Chor Ha 3.9% 2.1% 4.0% 3.2% Liow Tiong Lai 14.1% 6.8% 8.0% 10.9% 50% Ng Yen Yen 4.4% 8.2% 0.0% 5.6% Wee Ka Siong 2.9% 6.8% 4.0% 4.5% Others 40% 2.9% 2.7% 8.0% 3.2% None of the above 2.4% 3.4% 0.0% 2.7%

30%

20% 13.0% 10.9% 9.6% 10% 8.2% 6.8% 5.6% 6.8% 4.5% 3.4% 2.1% 3.2% 2.7% 3.2% 2.7% 0% Ong Tee Keat Chua Soi Lek Kong Chor Ha Liow Tiong Lai Ng Yen Yen Wee Ka Siong Others None of the above -10%

Chinese (146) Total (376) 12 For Media Release Peninsula Malaysia Public Opinion Poll 29 Sept – 4 Oct 09, n = 846 Confidence in MCA Leaders – pt1 How do you view the following MCA personalities, … (all respondents)

Strongly Confident Somewhat Confident Neutral Somewhat Not Confident Not Confident at All Don't Know / Can't Evaluate NR

Tan Kok Hong 1% 11% 8% 10% 8% 58% 4%

Ng Yen Yen 3% 20% 9% 15% 10% 38% 4%

Liow Tiong Lai 5% 28% 9% 11% 7% 36% 4%

Kong Cho Ha 3% 13% 9% 13% 10% 49% 4%

Chua Soi Lek 3% 15% 5% 20% 24% 31% 4%

Ong Tee Keat 8% 25% 9% 14% 11% 30% 4%

13 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% For Media Release Peninsula Malaysia Public Opinion Poll 29 Sept – 4 Oct 09, n = 846 Confidence in MCA Leaders – pt2 How do you view the following MCA personalities, … (Chinese Respondents only, n=276)

Strongly Confident Somewhat Confident Neutral Somewhat Not Confident Not Confident at All Don't Know / Can't Evaluate

Tan Kok Hong 13% 9% 12% 5% 56% 5%

Ng Yen Yen 2% 28% 10% 23% 11% 22% 5%

Liow Tiong Lai 2% 35% 11% 17% 5% 25% 5%

Kong Cho Ha 1%14% 10% 18% 8% 46% 5%

Chua Soi Lek 3% 20% 8% 29% 20% 16% 4%

Ong Tee Keat 11% 33% 11% 13% 11% 18% 4%

14 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% For Media Release Peninsula Malaysia Public Opinion Poll 29 Sept – 4 Oct 09, n = 846 Perception on MCA issues Of the two statements provided, which one is closest to your view on the problems experienced by the MCA? (All respondents & Chinese only)

70% All respondents (846) Chinese (275) 64%

60%

49% 50%

40%

30% 23%

20% 18% 15%

10% 7% 5% 4% 5% 4% 5% 2% 0% It's an internal It's something that [Don't care] Others DK NR MCA affair will affect BN & the government

15 For Media Release

Peninsular Malaysia Opinion Poll 29 Sept – 4 October 2009

Perceptions on Pakatan Rakyat

16 For Media Release Peninsula Malaysia Public Opinion Poll 29 Sept – 4 Oct 09, n = 846 Viability of Pakatan Rakyat at Federal level How convinced or not convinced are you that Pakatan Rakyat can be a viable alternative to BN?

100%

80%

60% 56% 47% 20% 43% 42% 38% 40% 26% 32% 20% 31% 21% 25% 25% 18% 20% 19% 35% 21% 6% 20% 25% 6% 1% 36% 6% 26% 19% 16% 20% 17% 20% 18% 8% 13% 8% 10%

0% 6%

DK/ NR DK/ NR DK/ NR DK/ DK/ NR DK/

Convinced Convinced Convinced Convinced

Unconvinced Unconvinced Unconvinced Unconvinced

Overall (847) Malay (497) Chinese (275) Indian (74)

17 For Media Release Peninsula Malaysia Public Opinion Poll 29 Sept – 4 Oct 09, n = 846 Viability of Pakatan Rakyat at Federal level How convinced or not convinced are you that Pakatan Rakyat can be a viable alternative to BN? 60% 57% 52% 49% 50% 47% 46% 48% 41% 40% 39% 33% 38% 16% 18% 25% 32%20% 26% 30% 31% 12% 29% 28%38% 28% 25%25% 28% 21% 6% 20% 28% 22% 7% 20% 25% 20% 18% 4% 6% 4% 20% 22% 15% 29% 15% 30% 30% 5% 27% 12% 28% 24% 27% 25% 5% 21% 3% 15% 18% 16% 18% 13% 10% 12% 10% 11% 10% 10% 8% 7% 9% 8%

0% 2%

DK/ NR DK/ NR DK/ NR DK/ DK/ NR DK/ NR DK/ NR DK/ NR DK/ NR DK/

Convinced Convinced Convinced Convinced Convinced Convinced Convinced Convinced

unconvinced

Unconvinced Unconvinced Unconvinced Unconvinced Unconvinced Unconvinced Unconvinced

Overall (847) Rest of the Kedah (80) Pulau Pinang (109) Selangor (143) (74) country (311) (69) (61)

18 For Media Release Peninsula Malaysia Public Opinion Poll 29 Sept – 4 Oct 09, n = 846 Viability of Pakatan Rakyat at State Level How satisfied or not satisfied are you with the performance of the four Pakatan Rakyat state governments (Selangor, Pulau Pinang, Kelantan & Kedah)? (along respondent’s ethnic background)

100%

80% 65% 60% 58% 46% 47% 40% 34% 33% 21% 57% 44%

38% 18% 20% 1% 20% 26% 6% 14% 6% 26% 14% 21% 16% 20% 14% 13% 15% 14% 8% 7% 8%

0% 1% 6%

DK/ NR DK/ NR DK/ NR DK/ DK/ NR DK/

Satisfied Satisfied Satisfied Satisfied

Unsatisfie Unsatisfie Unsatisfie Unsatisfie

Overall (847) Malay (497) Chinese (275) Indian (74)

19 For Media Release Peninsula Malaysia Public Opinion Poll 29 Sept – 4 Oct 09, n = 846 Viability of Pakatan Rakyat at State Level How satisfied or not satisfied are you with the performance of the four Pakatan Rakyat state governments (Selangor, Pulau Pinang, Kelantan & Kedah)? 80%

61% 60% 56% 52% 50% 46% 48% 42% 39% 39% 40% 37% 36% 35% 34% 34% 40% 29% 55% 35% 14% 20% 25% 21% 48% 24% 38% 18% 7% 41% 33% 20% 20% 19% 19% 22% 20% 30% 5% 14% 3% 15% 15% 19% 6% 12% 21% 4% 22% 4% 7% 20% 19% 18% 4% 16% 15% 16% 13% 16% 16% 15% 14% 8% 10% 9% 8% 7% 8% 11% 7% 6% 6% 4%

0% 3%

DK/ NR DK/ NR DK/ NR DK/ NR DK/ NR DK/ DK/ NR DK/ NR DK/ NR DK/

Sastisfied Sastisfied Sastisfied Sastisfied Sastisfied Sastisfied Sastisfied Sastisfied

Unsastisfied Unsastisfied Unsastisfied Unsastisfied Unsastisfied Unsastisfied Unsastisfied Unsastisfied

Overall (847) Rest of the Kedah (80) Pulau Pinang (69) Perak (109) Selangor (143) Kuala Lumpur Kelantan (74) country (311) (61)

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Peninsular Malaysia Opinion Poll 29 Sept – 4 October 2009

Perceptions on Political Leaders

21 For Media Release Peninsula Malaysia Public Opinion Poll 29 Sept – 4 Oct 09, n = 846 Acceptance of leaders tainted with sex scandals

Do you agree or disagree that a leader tainted by sex scandal can lead a major political party?

6% 2% 5% Strongly disagree 13% Somewhat disagree Somewhat agree Strongly agree 11% 64% Don't know No response

All respondents, n = 846

22 For Media Release Peninsula Malaysia Public Opinion Poll 29 Sept – 4 Oct 09, n = 846 Acceptance of leaders tainted with money politics Do you agree or disagree that a leader charged with money politics in party election should be allowed to stand in by-election or general election?

2% 6% 6% 11% Strongly disagree Somewhat disagree Somewhat agree Strongly agree Don't know 76% No response

All respondents, n = 846

23 For Media Release

Peninsular Malaysia Opinion Poll 29 Sept – 4 October 2009

Perceptions on the PKFZ

24 For Media Release Peninsula Malaysia Public Opinion Poll 29 Sept – 4 Oct 09, n = 846 Awareness of PKFZ problem Have you heard of the Port Klang Free Zone (PKFZ) problem?

Yes, somewhat know Yes, know a lot Yes, partly Yes, very little No Don't know No response

1% 2% 1% 100% 1% 2%1% 12%

80% 43% 56% 40% 60% 75%

40% 30% 26% 27% 20% 14% 8% 11% 4% 8% 4% 1% 12% 6% 0% 7% 5% 3% Overall (847) Malay (497) Chinese (275) Indian (974)

25 For Media Release Peninsula Malaysia Public Opinion Poll 29 Sept – 4 Oct 09, n = 846 Source of Information about PKFZ problem What is your main source of information about the PKFZ problem? (among those who know PKFZ problem, n=463) Overall Malay Chinese Indian (463) (208) (237) (18) Mainstream printed and online 82% 76% 88% 76% media Alternative printed media 2% 4% 0% 6% Alternative online media 6% 8% 3% 12% Talks and forums 1% 2% 0% 0% Discussion with others 4% 4% 5% 0% Others 2% 1% 2% 6% Don't know 2% 3% 0% 0% No response 2% 2% 1% 0%

26 For Media Release Peninsula Malaysia Public Opinion Poll 29 Sept – 4 Oct 09, n = 846 Government handling of the PKFZ problem How do you view the government’s handling of the PKFZ problem? (among those who know about the PKFZ problem, n=463)

Opportunity for BN to show its seriousness in reform to combat corruption and wrong doing BN is not serious to solve and it involves corrupted national leaders Tool of the opposition to bring down the government One man show by Ong Tee Keat against the system 40% Don't know No response

31% 29%

24% 24% 22% 20% 20% 20% 20% 18% 17% 16% 15% 13% 12% 12% 10%

6% 5% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2%

0% Overall (463) Malay (208) Chinese (237) Indian (18) 27