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BREEDERS’ CUP Wagering Guide

Trinniberg wins the 2012 Xpressbet Breeders’ Cup Sprint

866.88XPRESS (866.889.7737) Fellow Racing Fan,

Welcome to the 10th fantastic edition of Xpressbet’s Breeders’ Cup Wagering Guide!

For the second consecutive year, Xpressbet proudly remains the official Wagering Partner of the Breeders’ Cup and title sponsor of the Breeders’ Cup Sprint. Trinniberg, last season’s Sprint winner, is featured on this guide cover.

Breeders’ Cup encompasses two days of outstanding championship racing and Xpressbet is pleased to offer this free wagering guide as an aid toward mutuel success. Inside you will find Analysis, Main Contenders, Value Plays and $100 Wagering Strategies from top handicappers, writers and broadcasters. Also included are lots of useful Breeders’ Cup Stats & Trends you won’t find anywhere else and a special Best of the Best page with key plays.

Make sure to return to Xpressbet.com for free daily online Breeders’ Cup Wagering Guide Updates (beginning Tuesday, Oct. 29) including revised selections based on scratches, post positions, weather, etc. Updates also feature noted Southern -based clocker Gary Young’s analysis of important morning workouts leading up to the main events.

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866.88XPRESS (866.889.7737) Best of the Best

Below are the most interesting Breeders’ Cup runners with expert comments.

Friday, November 1 CATON BREDAR (Distaff) Having followed throughout her long and distinguished journey, I can’t wait to see how she rebounds from defeat (as she has in the past) in the Distaff. She will have to run the race of her life to turn the tables on --which I believe Bill Mott has her poised to do. Throw in a the caliber of Authenticity, said to be training better than ever, and you have the makings of another race for the ages, with the reigning champion the star of Friday’s show.

Saturday, November 2 BOB NEUMEIER (Filly & Turf) My interest is piqued for the fascinating Filly & Mare Turf, featuring , who added some cash into my betting account in the Beverly D. at Arlington Park. While she is a lovely filly, she will be facing the iron in this heat, possibly including The Fugue, who appears to be entering this year’s edition in better form than in 2012. The Fugue encountered Ventura Highway-like traffic in last year’s BC event.

MIKE BATTAGLIA (Turf) Point of Entry hasn’t raced since June, but trainer Shug McGaughey wouldn’t run him if he wasn’t fit and ready. He loves the mile and one-half distance and arguably the best horse in this race last year. He looks like the bet of the day for me.

JEREMY PLONK (Mile) It’s fascinating what one loss by did to this division. Last year we had a record-low field size and it seemed no one would want a piece of him this year either the way he smashed the course record in the Woodbine Mile. One loss at , and the Euro contingent now boasts winners of the Sussex (Toronado), British Champions Mile (), French Guineas (Flotilla) and the Irish Guineas (). If you like Wise Dan, and you should, send a “thank you card” to Silver Max for the inflated price and deeper exotics.

JENNIE REES (Classic) The Breeders’ Cup Classic has much of last year’s field back, plus the exciting Graydar. Coolmore once again is taking a shot with Declaration of War. Improving 3-year-olds and add interest. But I want to get 9-1 again on defending champ .

DICK JERARDI (Classic) I want to see if can withstand strong early heat, hold off all the terrific closers and look as good in the Classic as he has looked in all his other 2013 races.

Xpressbet Breeders’ Cup Wagering Guide Stats & Trends and Know This information provided by Jeremy Plonk (Horseplayernow.com).

BREEDERS’ CUP Wagering Guide Updates Available Online Daily Beginning Tuesday, October 29 EXOTIC WAGERING CHART Breeders’ Cup exotic wagers usually produce hefty payoffs. Use this handy Exotic Wagering Chart to plan your attack.

exacta box: ($1 Wager) trifecta key: ($.50 Wager) 2 horse box ...... $2 1 Horse with 3 others ...... $3 3 horse box ...... $6 (Example: 1/ 2, 3, 4/ 2, 3, 4) 4 horse box ...... $12 1 Horse with 4 others ...... $6 5 horse box ...... $20 (Example: 1/ 2, 3, 4, 5/ 2, 3, 4, 5) 6 horse box ...... $30 1 Horse with 5 others ...... $10 7 horse box ...... $42 (Example: 1/ 2, 3, 4, 5, 6/ 2, 3, 4, 5, 6) 8 horse box ...... $56 1 Horse with 6 others ...... $15 (Example: 1/ 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7/ 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7) exacta wheel: ($1 Wager) 1 Horse with 7 others ...... $21 One Horse with All (Example: 1/ 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8/ 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8) 6 horse field ...... $5 7 horse field ...... $6 Superfecta box: ($.10 Wager) 8 horse field ...... $7 4 Horse Box ...... $2 .40 9 horse field ...... $8 5 Horse Box ...... $12 10 horse field ...... $9 6 Horse Box ...... $36

trifecta box: ($.50 Wager) Superfecta wheel: ($.10 Wager) 3 Horse Box ...... $3 One Horse with All with All with All 4 Horse Box ...... $12 7 Horse Field ...... $12 5 Horse Box ...... $30 8 Horse Field ...... $21 6 Horse Box ...... $60 9 Horse Field ...... $33 .60 7 Horse Box ...... $105 10 Horse Field ...... $50 .40 8 Horse Box ...... $168 (Example: 1/All/All/All or All/1/All/All or All/All/1/All or All/ All/ All/1)

trifecta wheel: ($.50 Wager) One Horse with Two Horses with All with All One Horse with All with All 7 Horse Field ...... $4 (Example: 1/All/All or All/1/All or All/All/1) 8 Horse Field ...... $6 7 Horse Field ...... $15 9 Horse Field ...... $8 .40 8 Horse Field ...... $21 10 Horse Field ...... $11 .20 9 Horse Field ...... $28 (Example: 1/ 2/ All/ All or 2/ 1/ All/ All or 1/ All/ All/ 2 or 2/ All/ All/ 1 10 Horse Field ...... $36 or All/ All/ 1/ 2 or All/ All/ 2/ 1)

One Horse with Two Horses with All Superfecta Key: ($.10 Wager) (Example: 1/2/All or 2/1/All or 1/All/2 or 2/a 1 Horse with 3 others ...... $ .60 All ll/1 or All/1/2 or All/2/1) (Example: 1/2, 3, 4/2, 3, 4/2, 3, 4) 7 Horse Field ...... $5 1 Horse with 4 others ...... $2 .40 8 Horse Field ...... $6 (Example: 1/2, 3, 4, 5/2, 3, 4, 5/2, 3, 4, 5) 9 Horse Field ...... $7 1 Horse with 5 others ...... $6 10 Horse Field ...... $8 (Example: 1/2, 3, 4, 5, 6/2, 3, 4, 5, 6/2, 3, 4, 5, 6) 1 Horse with 6 others ...... $12 (Example: 1/2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7/2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7/2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7) 1 Horse with 7 others ...... $21 (Example: 1/2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8/2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8/2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8)

Breeders’ Cup Wagering Guide Updates Available Online Daily Beginning Tuesday, October 29 $ $ $ $ $ $ $ rewards$

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London Bridge Stands Strong Stats & Trends Division Debut: 2008 by Caton Bredar Horse Player NOW & HRTV Favorites: Win 0% ANALYSIS: If you like long prices, the Marathon is for you! In-The-Money 40% Including late-running Calidoscopio in last year’s renewal, Average Winning Payoffs longshots have taken all but one edition. International horses have $2 Win: $37.28 dominated, with European or, in last year’s case, Argentine horses $1 Exacta: $201.34 taking three of five editions—all three at Santa Anita. But with this $1 Trifecta: $1,322.64 race just beginning to come of age, and US horsemen becoming $1 Superfecta: $10,752.52 more adept at developing long-distance runners and/or pointing them for the Marathon, the times, they may be changing…but only 2012 Marathon Highlight slightly. An abundance of early speed-types this year sets up pretty Argentine-bred Calidoscopio nicely, once again, for a foreign horse with the ability to go a long rallied from last of 13 to become distance to come rolling at the end. the oldest horse ever to win a Breeders’ Cup event at age 9. MAIN CONTENDERS: With so few preps at this Marathon distance, it’s difficult to predict who the favorites will be. LONDON Know This BRIDGE, a son of Arch, is bred to transition well to dirt, and The Marathon has the highest his races at a mile and a half on turf suggest the ability to get average $2 win payoff of any the distance. EVER RIDER is one of the few to be proven at the Breeers’ Cup race at $37.28. Marathon distance. The Argentine was successful in the same Group 2 there in June that propelled Calidoscopio last year. The horse leading the Marathon after the first mile has a record of VALUE PLAYS: Again, it’s difficult to guess where the value will 5: 0-0-1, finishing 3rd, 4th, 8th, 9th be. INDIAN JONES may not get much respect as he hails from and 11th. the Mid-Atlantic circuit. His ability to close well and pedigree for distance make him a legitimate threat, particularly as he’s a late 4 of 5 Marathon winners exited runner who should have a lot of speed to run down. OLD TIME final prep victories, while the other HOCKEY hasn’t proven good enough on grass, but is bred to handle previously finished second. the dirt and is another who should handle the distance. Europeans are 7: 0-0-0 in WAGERING STRATEGIES ($100): Marathon editions on dirt, none • $20 Win: LONDON BRIDGE ($20) finishing better than eighth. • $5 Exacta Key Box: LONDON BRIDGE with EVER RIDER, Euros won both the 2008 and 2009 INDIAN JONES, OLD TIME HOCKEY, WORLDLY and Marathons at Santa Anita on a PERCUSSION ($50) synthetic surface. • $.50 Trifecta Box: LONDON BRIDGE, EVER RIDER, INDIAN JONES, OLD TIME HOCKEY and WORLDLY ($30) Only 3 of 15 horses to complete the Marathon trifectas were below 6-1 odds.

Caton’s 1. london bridge 2. indian jones Picks 3. ever rider 4. old time hockey Race 7 Breeders’ Cup Wagering Menu Win, Place, Show, FRIDAY Exacta, Trifecta, Juvenile Turf 1 Mile Turf Superfecta, Daily Double, $1 Million - Grade 1 START FINISH Pick 3, Pick 4 Post 2:25 pm Pacific

Ken & Chad Win It For Bobby Stats & Trends Division Debut: 2007 by Jeff Siegel HRTV Favorites: Win 17% ANALYSIS: As his own personal tribute, owner Ken Ramsey In-The-Money 67% decided to name the best two-year-old from his 2013 crop after Average Winning Payoffs the late Hall of Fame trainer Bobby Frankel. He left the decision $2 Win: $18.03 as to which that would be to one of his current trainers, Chad $1 Exacta: $120.90 Brown, himself a former assistant to Frankel. To Brown, the choice $1 Trifecta: $1,146.03 quickly became obvious, a colt by Kitten’s Joy from the Forestry $1 Superfecta: $11,178.70 mare Celestial Woods whose name would be changed to BOBBY’S KITTEN. And after breaking his maiden at Saratoga and then 2012 Juvenile Turf Highlight winning the Grade 3 Pilgrim Stakes at by more than Irish import George Vancouver, six lengths, BOBBY’S KITTEN not only is Ramsey’s best two-year- trainer Aidan O’Brien’s second old, he’s arguably the best in the North America – at least on grass. consecutive Juvenile Turf He should be a short-priced favorite in the Juvenile Turf. winner, got the jump on deep- closing Noble Tune and Balance MAIN CONTENDERS: AOTEAROA ran to his turf breeding last the Books as the Chad Brown month in the Zuma Beach Stakes over the same course and stablemates settled for second distance as the Juvenile Turf. The Cal-bred son of Good Journey and third. produced an electric kick to win from the thought-to-be unbeatable DIAMOND BACHELOR. The gelding wasn’t BC nominated, and his Know This owner had no plans to supplement; that is, until he took down Europeans have won all 3 Juvenile the entire Santa Anita Pick Six pool a week later. Problem solved. Turf editions at Santa Anita BASHART was a smart winner of the With Anticipation Stakes (Donativum, Pounced & George at Saratoga and then lost little when a game runner-up in the Vancouver). subsequent off-the-turf Bourbon Stakes at Keeneland. At least one European has been in VALUE PLAYS: The European contingent always has to be the Juvenile Turf exacta in 5 of 6 respected; imports have won four of six renewals of this race and editions. Irish-based Aidan O’Brien has captured the last two. Whichever colt O’Brien decides to start must be respected; the West Virginia-bred 5 of 6 Juvenile Turf runnings have colt GIOVANNI BOLDINI looks especially formidable, included at least 2 European- though both of his victories in Ireland were accomplished over all- prepped horses in the superfecta. weather surfaces. The last 5 winners of the Juvenile WAGERING STRATEGIES ($100): Turf have a combined 1-for-16 • $20 Exacta Key: BOBBY’S KITTEN over AOTEAROA, BASHART record after those signature and GIOVANNI BOLDINI ($60) scores. 2008 champ Donativum • $5 Exacta Box: BOBBY’S KITTEN, AOTEAROA and was the last to win a post-BC GIOVANNI BOLDINI ($30) triumph race at any level. • $5 Exacta Box: BOBBY’S KITTEN and BASHART ($10)

Jeff’s 1. BOBBY’S KITTEN 2. AOTEAROA Picks 3. GIOVANNI BOLDINI 4. BASHART Race 8 Breeders’ Cup Wagering Menu Win, Place, Show, FRIDAY 1 Mile Exacta, Trifecta, Superfecta, Dirt Mile START FINISH Daily Double, Post 3:05 pm Pacific $1 Million - Grade 1 Pick 3

Sophomores in the Spotlight Stats & Trends Division Debut: 2007 by Dick Jerardi Philadelphia Daily News & Daily Racing Form Favorites: Win 0% ANALYSIS: This race is going to have a full field, so there is at In-The-Money 17% least potential for chaos. If a contender breaks poorly, there may Average Winning Payoffs be no chance to catch up because of traffic. If a contender is moving $2 Win: $32.37 behind too much traffic, he may never get a chance to make a $1 Exacta: $175.97 winning run. There are sprinters going longer and distance horses $1 Trifecta: $1,842.52 going shorter, but very few horses that would be considered milers. $1 Superfecta: $13,567.98 Given the disparate backgrounds of the horses, even trying to predict how the race might be run is quite difficult. If, however, you 2012 Dirt Mile Highlight are looking to make a score, this could be your race, especially if , fifth in the ’11 Dirt Mile you think you can beat the likely favorite. at age 3, returned as a 4-year-old to score clear at 15-1 odds. The MAIN CONTENDERS: has been absolutely brilliant win was trainer ’s in several of his races and absolutely awful in the Derby fourth career Breeders’ Cup and Travers. If you think the distance got him in those mile and a victory. quarter races, you have to him. There is zero doubt about the horse with the most talent in the race. That would be VERRAZANO, Know This but he was never a factor in the Travers and that does give one The last 5 Dirt Mile favorites have pause. was really bad in the and finished out of the money: Master less-bad in the Preakness, but still not nearly good enough. Other Craftsman (7-5), Well Armed (6-5), than those races, he has given great effort every time he has run. Here Comes Ben (5-2), Willburn He’s been running against top sprinters since the Triple Crown, (5-2) and Emcee (5-2). with three consecutive seconds. The added distance may be exactly the right prescription. FED BIZ always has been kind of a tease The last 4 winners of the Dirt Mile horse. You knew he had the talent, he just did not always show it. were longshots at 21-1, 37-1, 6-1 Well, he showed it when he won the Pat O’Brien at Del Mar. PANTS and 15-1, including last year’s ON FIRE has been positively brilliant in his last two starts, stakes winner Tapizar. wins at Monmouth Park and . HYMN BOOK is probably going to need a contested pace to win, but, if he gets one, 5 of 6 Dirt Mile winners exited he has a chance. prep disappointments where they finished third or worse. Only VALUE PLAYS: CENTRALINTELIGENCE got off poorly last out Furthest Land won back-to-back and was eliminated. He will be overlooked in the wagering because races in ’09. of that, but his best race is good enough. Caleb’s Posse (’11) is the only WAGERING STRATEGIES ($100): 3-year-old to win the Dirt Mile. • $1 Superfecta Key: GOLDENCENTS over CENTRALINTELIGENCE, FED BIZ, HYMN BOOK, PANTS ON FIRE and VERRAZANO ($60) In 6 renewals, no horse over the • $20 Exacta Box: GOLDENCENTS and PANTS ON FIRE ($40) age of 5 has won the Dirt Mile.

Dick’s 1. GOLDENCENTS 2. PANTS ON FIRE Picks 3. VERRAZANO 4. FED BIZ Race Wagering Menu 9 Breeders’ Cup Win, Place, Show,

FRIDAY Exacta, Trifecta, Superfecta, Juvenile Turf 1 Mile Turf Daily Double, Super High-5, $1 Million - Grade 1 START FINISH Post 3:50 pm Pacific Pick 3

Brown vs. the World Stats & Trends Division Debut: 2008 by Jeremy Plonk Horse Player NOW Favorites: Win 0% ANALYSIS: When the Juvenile Fillies Turf began in 2008, in this In-The-Money 40% space your (not so) humble correspondent suggested a $100 win Average Winning Payoffs bet on Maram. She paid $24.20; you collected $1,210. Easy game. $2 Win: $22.80 Four losses later in this division, I’m still looking for a follow-up $1 Exacta: $85.62 score. Maram’s upset turned out to be merely average by Juvenile $1 Trifecta: $770.68 Fillies Turf standards, which now boasts a $22.80 par payoff and is $1 Superfecta: $9,594.94 where favorites come to flail at 0-for-5. 2012 Juv. Fillies Turf Highlight MAIN CONTENDERS: Unbeaten MY CONQUISTADORY has turned French trainer Mikel Delzangles heads with professionalism beyond her two-race resume. The sub- made a winning Breeders’ Cup par performance of Mark Casse’s juveniles at the ’12 Cup offers debut when late-running Flotilla some pause in any coronation plans, however. Belmont’s Miss registered an 11-1 upset over a trio Grillo Stakes has produced two winners and two runner-ups in of American-based pursuers. five years of the Juvenile Fillies Turf, and French ex-patriot TESTA ROSSI laid claim to that title in her first US start. Her trainer, Chad Know This Brown, won this race in ’08 and was second last year. Brown’s Americans have filled 17 out of 20 merry maids in this edition include dominator superfecta spots in 5 editions of KITTEN KABOODLE, exiting a breakout performance; READY TO this race. ACT, who was well on her way to victory in the when she made a sudden, wicked left-hand turn into the rail; and GRANNY Juvenile Fillies Turf winners have MC’S KITTEN, beaten favorite from a wide post in the Ms. Grillo. If gone off at odds of 13-1, 6-1, 11-1, the French allowance filly TESTA ROSSI could win America’s top 9-1 and 11-1. prep and Irish maiden CLENOR could dominate California’s stakes preps, then European Group 1 winners VORDA and Favorites are 5: 0-1-1 in the come to this party with a stocked fridge. Juvenile Fillies Turf, finishing eighth in 2009, 2011 and 2012. VALUE PLAYS: SKY PAINTER was beaten a nose by TESTA ROSSI in the all-important Ms. Grillo prep and will be considerable odds No west coast-trained filly ever in the rematch. AL THAKHIRA, a Group 2 winner from Newmarket, has finished third or better in the measures close up on numbers with the Group 1-winning Euros. Juvenile Fillies Turf .

WAGERING STRATEGIES ($100): Flotilla ventured across the pond • $40 Win and Place: READY TO ACT ($80) to win this Lasix-free race a year • $10 Exacta Box: TESTA ROSSI and READY TO ACT ($20) ago. However, the historical focus primarily has been on Xpressbet Breeders’ Cup Wagering Guide free daily online updates and Kentucky shippers. with revised Analysis, Picks and Wagering Strategies and clocker Gary Young’s workout analysis, begins Tuesday, Oct. 29.

Jeremy’s 1. READY TO ACT 2. testa rossi Picks 3. vorda 4. chriselliam Race 10 Breeders’ Cup Wagering Menu Win, Place, Show, FRIDAY 1 1/8 Miles Exacta, Trifecta, Superfecta, Distaff START FINISH Distaff/Classic $2 Million - Grade 1 Post 4:35 pm Pacific Double

’Princess vs. the Queen Stats & Trends Division Debut: 1984 by Jennie Rees Louisville Courier-Journal Favorites: Win 45% ANALYSIS: This race became far more interesting with the 3-year- In-The-Money 59% old PRINCESS OF SYLMAR’s addition after owner Ed Stanco and Average Winning Payoffs trainer had suggested since summer that she’d skip $2 Win: $17.77 the Distaff to rest up for next year. In addition to ROYAL DELTA $1 Exacta: $63.71 going for an unprecedented third straight Distaff (in the race $1 Trifecta: $861.09 formerly known as the Ladies’ Classic), we also have a rematch of $1 Superfecta: $3,774.10 Belmont’s Beldame, when the ‘Princess drubbed racing’s reigning Queen. The presence of those two, along with last year’s 2-year- 2012 Distaff Highlight old filly champion , put a cramp on entries; only six Favored Royal Delta repeated competitors will battle. her Breeders’ Cup brilliance with a front-running tally under MAIN CONTENDERS: ROYAL DELTA did not run her best race Mike Smith, giving the rider his in Belmont’s Beldame, but this is the one trainer Bill Mott has fourth Distaff victory all-time and focused on all year, whereas it is an added-starter for PRINCESS matching Pat Day’s career mark in OF SYLMAR. However, PRINCESS OF SYLMAR has blossomed into this race. a real force, and the race could set up well for her with ROYAL DELTA and BEHOLDER creating a legit pace. BEHOLDER has the Know This home-field advantage, including winning last year’s Breeders’ Cup Trainer Bill Mott has won 3 Juvenile Fillies. She is 5-for-6 with a close second at Santa Anita, consecutive editions of the Ladies beating older horses to take the Grade 1 in her last start. Classic with Royal Delta (twice) and Unrivaled Belle. Mott-trained VALUE PLAYS: Beware the other half of the uncoupled trainer Mushka finished second in this entries – AUTHENTICITY for Pletcher and for race at Santa Anita four years ago. Mott. AUTHENTICITY ran second to BEHOLDER in the Zenyatta and second to ROYAL DELTA at Saratoga. She is game, consistent and The last 2 Distaff renewals on has a versatile stalking style, while benefitting from a race over the Santa Anita’s dirt track have track. She also uncorked a monster workout at Santa Anita. The been won in wire-to-wire fashion, Mott camp has always had high hopes for the 3-year-old CLOSE Adoration in 2003 and Royal Delta HATCHES, winner of Parx’s Cotillion. Having said that, the value in in 2012. this race is settling on a couple of horses and playing doubles or pick 3s. At least one 3-year-old has been in the Distaff exacta in each of the WAGERING STRATEGIES ($100): last 3 years, including runner-up • $15 Exacta Key: ROYAL DELTA over PRINCESS OF SYLMAR, a year ago. CLOSE HATCHES, BEHOLDER and AUTHENTICITY ($60) • $10 Exacta Part-Wheel: CLOSE HATCHES over ROYAL DELTA, Since 2006, every Distaff winner PRINCESS OF SYLMAR, BEHOLDER and AUTHENTICITY ($40) has had a final prep at either Belmont or Santa Anita.

Jennie’s 1. royal delta 2. princes of sylmar Picks 3. authenticity 4. close hatches Race 4 Breeders’ Cup Wagering Menu Win, Place, Show, 1 1/16 Miles SATURDAY Exacta, Trifecta, Superfecta, Juvenile Fillies START FINISH Daily Double, $2 Million - Grade 1 Post 12:05 pm Pacific Pick 3, Pick 4

West Coast Can Hold Serve Stats & Trends Division Debut: 1984 by Mike Battaglia NBC Sports Favorites: Win 59% ANALYSIS: It’s always tough to separate the lightly raced 2-year- In-The-Money 83% olds, and this year is no exception. The 2-year-olds (both colts Average Winning Payoffs and fillies) from the East have better numbers, but the West Coast $2 Win: $15.89 runners have the benefit of racing over the Santa Anita surface. $1 Exacta: $66.02 Trainer always is tough to beat in this race, and fellow $1 Trifecta: $766.42 California-based trainers Doug O’Neill and Jeff Bonde both have $1 Superfecta: $2,546.25 formidable contenders. The Eastern runners will have to be at their best to get the money in this one. 2012 Juvenile Fillies Highlight Beholder outran favored MAIN CONTENDERS: SWEET REASON has won 2-of-3 and Executiveprivilege to give trainer probably would be undefeated if she hadn’t ducked in leaving Richard Mandella his third Juvenile the gate in the Grade 1 Frizette at Belmont. She never has raced Fillies title in a Santa Anita-hosted around two turns, but is sired by and should get event. He also saddled the added distance. SHE’S A TIGER is aptly named. She is battle- in 2003 and Phone Chatter in 1993. tested and figures to be on or near the lead with Gary Stevens in the saddle. She will be tough to catch. SECRET COMPASS Know This narrowly beat SHE’S A TIGER in the Grade 1 Chandelier Stakes, The Juvenile Fillies exacta has paid while her stablemate FASCINATING was a fast-closing third. less than $29 for a buck in 8 of the Both Baffert runners have to be given strong consideration. MY last 9 years. CONQUESTADORY could be tough if she handles the dirt, but trainer Mark Casse deemed her 99% leaning toward the Juvenile Juvenile Fillies winners have Fillies Turf. returned 7-1 or less in 11 consecutive editions. VALUE PLAYS: is an undefeated runner for the Steve Asmussen barn who seems to be sitting on another big effort. Favorites are in the money an Odds of 6-1 or higher would make her attractive. ROSALIND could astounding 24-for-29 times in the run late and be part of the gimmicks. Juvenile Fillies.

WAGERING STRATEGIES ($100): 10 of the last 11 Juvenile Fillies • $20 Exacta Key: SHE’S A TIGER over SECRET COMPASS, winners exited victories in their FASCINATING and UNTAPABLE ($60) most-recent preps. Only She Be • $10 Exacta Part-Wheel: SECRET COMPASS, FASCINATING and Wild came off of a loss (second in UNTAPABLE over SHE’S A TIGER ($30) the ’09 Alcibiades). • $10 Exacta: SHE’S A TIGER over ROSALIND ($10) At Santa Anita, west coast-based Xpressbet Breeders’ Cup Wagering Guide free daily online updates fillies have won this race 5 out of with revised Analysis, Picks and Wagering Strategies and clocker 6 times. Only Midwestern invader Gary Young’s workout analysis, begins Tuesday, Oct. 29. She Be Wild (‘09) shipped to win at Santa Anita. Mike’s 1. she’s a tiger 2. untapable Picks 3. fascinating 4. secret compass Race 5 Breeders’ Cup Wagering Menu Win, Place, Show, SATURDAY Exacta, Trifecta, Filly & Mare Turf START 1 1/4 Mile Turf Superfecta, Daily Double, $2 Million - Grade 1 FINISH Pick 3 Post 12:43 pm Pacific

The Fugue’s Race... If They Want It Stats & Trends Division Debut: 1999 by Caton Bredar Horse Player NOW & HRTV Favorites: Win 21% ANALYSIS: While you don’t have to be international to win the Filly In-The-Money 79% & Mare Turf, it definitely doesn’t hurt. Distaffers bred in France Average Winning Payoffs or Great Britain have accounted for 10 of 15 editions of the race, $2 Win: $23.43 including last year’s winner, the French-bred Zagora. And that stat $1 Exacta: $93.79 doesn’t even include the horse many thought should have won last $1 Trifecta: $886.83 year’s edition, British-bred THE FUGUE, who, at odds of 8/5 was $1 Superfecta: $7,843.94 tucked in on the rail behind horses with absolutely no chance to run for pretty much the entire trip. However, THE FUGUE instead may 2012 Filly & Mare Turf Highlight be sent to the Turf vs. the boys. When Javier Castellano won the F&M Turf with Zagora MAIN CONTENDERS: Even if she hadn’t nearly won last year, he snapped a personal 39-race THE FUGUE would be one of the primary contenders by virtue of BC losing streak. His previous back-to-back Group 1 wins in Great Britain and Ireland in her last BC win was the 2004 Classic with two starts. Primary competition will likely come from MARKETING . MIX, second last year by just three-quarters of a length and continuing to run in good form. LAUGHING, a supplemental Know This nominee, has won four straight on the East Coast and, with an Irish 24 foreign-bred runners have filled pedigree and an abundance of early speed, also is likely be one of trifecta slots in the 14-year history the favorites. of the F&M Turf, including 4 spots in the past 2 years. VALUE PLAYS: The Great Britain-bred ROMANTICA ships from France for Andre Fabre and may offer good value as her Fillies and prepped in last doesn’t flatter. The mare seems to do her best work on California are 0-for-28 all-time firm ground. She likely will adjust well to Santa Anita. A pair of in the Filly & Mare Turf, with only California-based runners, TIZ FLIRTACIOUS and VIONNET also are three in-the-money finishes. worth putting into the mix; the former by virtue of a 4-for-5 record at Santa Anita, and the latter by virtue of her trainer, Dick Mandella. The F&M Turf winner has paid $20 or more in each of the past 3 years. WAGERING STRATEGIES ($100): • $10 Exacta Key: THE FUGUE over ROMANTICA, MARKETING MIX, In its 14-year history, only ’05 VIONNET and TIZ FLIRTACIOUS ($40) winner Intercontinental won while • $5 Exacta Part-Wheel: ROMANTICA, MARKETING MIX, VIONNET racing 1st or 2nd early. and TIZ FLIRTACIOUS over THE FUGUE ($20) • $1 Trifecta Key: THE FUGUE over ROMANTICA, MARKETING MIX, Notable turf trainers who struggle VIONNET and TIZ FLIRTACIOUS ($12) in the F&M Turf include Christophe • $1 Exacta Box: ROMANTICA, MARKETING MIX, VIONNET and Clement (7: 0-1-0), Aidan O’Brien TIZ FLIRTACIOUS ($12) (8: 0-1-2), (4: 0-0-1), • $16 Win: VIONNET ($16) Saeed bin Suroor (5: 0-0-0) and Bill Mott (5: 0-0-0). Caton’s 1. the fugue 2. romantica Picks 3. marketing mix 4. vionnet Race START 6 Breeders’ Cup Wagering Menu Win, Place, Show, 7 Furlongs SATURDAY Exacta, Trifecta, Superfecta, Filly & Mare Sprint FINISH Daily Double, $1 Million - Grade 1 Post 1:21 pm Pacific Pick 3

Keeneland Holds the Key Stats & Trends Division Debut: 2007 by Jeremy Plonk Horse Player NOW Favorites: Win 17% ANALYSIS: Even if you’re not much for historical trends in your In-The-Money 50% handicapping, Keeneland’s Club of America Stakes Average Winning Payoffs has to be important as you handicap this division. What do you $2 Win: $16.56 make of following her loss to ? $1 Exacta: $66.18 Is the reigning queen of the dash over the top? And was her $1 Trifecta: $750.32 conqueror in Lexington merely a horse who moved up a notch or $1 Superfecta: $5,149.07 three on Polytrack? Now, what if I told you the last four F&M Sprint winners came out of the TCA? Suddenly you see the urgency in 2012 Filly & Mare Sprint Highlight coming up with the answer to solve this puzzle. The TCA looks legit When romping past second choice as the fastest 6 furlongs of the meet at Keeneland, and quicker Dust and Diamonds, heavily than the boys went 24 hours prior in the Phoenix. favored Groupie Doll keyed the shortest Breeders’ Cup $2 exacta MAIN CONTENDERS: The GROUPIE DOLL we saw win this race payoff ($6) since 1994. in ’12 appears to be well off the current mark when compared to her lofty standards. She will be retired and sold in November as a Know This broodmare, and owner/trainer Buff Bradley will be leaning hard on Keeneland’s Thoroughbred Club her for one last hurrah. She will leave nothing behind in the barn. of America Stakes has produced 4 However, the way JUDY THE BEAUTY swept past GROUPIE DOLL consecutive winners of this race: in the TCA suggests she can do it again in the F&M Sprint. On dirt, Groupie Doll, Musical Romance, JUDY THE BEAUTY has not been quite the same finisher, but still Dubai Majesty and Informed very effective. While the F&M Sprint runs through the TCA once Decision. again, 3-year-old filly SWEET LULU is a serious racehorse and best of the west coast contingent. Veteran locals TEDDY’S PROMISE and Last year Groupie Doll was the BOOK REVIEW are honest, but neither seems to have much more F&M Sprint’s first winning favorite upside. and just the third BC-race winner since 1995 to return $3.40 or less. VALUE PLAYS: DANCE TO BRISTOL had won seven in a row, and simply by having that streak snapped when second in her final prep, Pacesetters have finished 3rd, 5th, she likely doubled her potential odds. Fans flock to win streaks. 7th, 8th, 10th and 11th in 6 editions Her ability to win this race seems no less diminished. of the Filly & Mare Sprint.

WAGERING STRATEGIES ($100): All 6 winners of the F&M Sprint • $50 Win: JUDY THE BEAUTY ($50) were either first or second in their • $25 Exacta Box: JUDY THE BEAUTY and SWEET LULU ($50) final prep races.

Xpressbet Breeders’ Cup Wagering Guide free daily online updates Switch, runner-up in 2010, is the with revised Analysis, Picks and Wagering Strategies and clocker only California-prepped runner to Gary Young’s workout analysis, begins Tuesday, Oct. 29. finish in a F&M Sprint exacta.

Jeremy’s 1. JUDY THE BEAUTY 2. SWEET LULU Picks 3. GROUPIE DOLL 4. BOOK REVIEW Race START 7 GEICO Breeders’ Cup Wagering Menu Win, Place, Show,

SATURDAY Exacta, Trifecta, 6 1/2 Furlongs Turf Superfecta, Turf Sprint Daily Double, $1 Million - Grade 1 FINISH Pick 3, Pick 6 Post 2:05 pm Pacific

Huge Home-Field Advantage Stats & Trends Division Debut: 2008 by Jennie Rees Louisville Courier-Journal Favorites: Win 40% ANALYSIS: The Turf Sprint at Santa Anita is as different as you In-The-Money 60% can be from the race held at Churchill Downs. California horses Average Winning Payoffs have all the experience running six and one-half furlongs on turf, $2 Win: $24.40 starting on the downhill chute, vs. the five-furlong distance used $1 Exacta: $128.80 at Churchill (the only two tracks to stage the event since its 2008 $1 Trifecta: $1,666.06 inception). California horses went 1-2-3 last year, with the $1 $1 Superfecta: $12,429.40 trifecta paying $360. The 5-year-old mare , last year’s winner, is 5-for-5 on the downhill course. And if she hasn’t 2012 Turf Sprint Highlight raced since June, well, she hadn’t raced since May when she won Sports personality Jim Rome’s last year. In fact, last year’s top three finishers are back, including Jungle Racing won a thrilling runner-up ’S NOTE and RENEESGOTZIP. The new Turf Sprint with 4-year-old California runner is CHIPS ALL IN, who won the Santa Anita prep, Mizdirection, the first filly to win the Eddie D. this event in its short history.

MAIN CONTENDERS: California, California, California. Know This UNBRIDLED’S NOTE was a rallying third as the defending The Turf Sprint’s post-time favorite champion in the Eddie D., while making his first start since May. has finished first or second in 3 of Santa Anita-based BOAT TRIP (lost Eddie D. by a nose) and the old the last 4 editions. hard-knocker CARACORTADO (fourth in the Eddie D. by less than a length in his first start since January) will offer good value. The California-based horses have won problem is, there’s no way to handicap racing luck in this race. all 3 Turf Sprints held on Santa Anita’s unique, downhill turf VALUE PLAYS: I want to hear what Xpressbet.com’s exclusive course. clocker Gary Young reports as to who’s been training well, because he came up with RENEESGOTZIP last year in her turf debut. And Europeans have finished 4th, 10th, Young was very impressed with CHIPS ALL IN’s recent work. 12th and 14th (twice) in the Turf (Editor’s note: Young’s free workout reports begin at Xpressbet. Sprint at Santa Anita. com on Oct. 29). CARACORTADO is 9-for-20 lifetime and should be a square price. Females have placed in 3 of 5 Turf Sprints, including Mizdirection WAGERING STRATEGIES ($100): winning a year ago. • $10 Exacta Part-Wheel: CHIPS ALL IN and CARACORTADO over MIZDIRECTION, RENEESGOTZIP, CHIPS ALL IN, CARACORTADO, Mizdirection, off since May before UNBRIDLED’S NOTE and BOAT TRIP ($100) winning the ’12 Turf Sprint, became the first runner to light Xpressbet Breeders’ Cup Wagering Guide free daily online updates the board in this race without a with revised Analysis, Picks and Wagering Strategies and clocker September or October prep. Gary Young’s workout analysis, begins Tuesday, Oct. 29.

Jennie’s 1. chips all in 2. caracortado Picks 3. mizdirection 4. reneesgotzip Race 8 Breeders’ Cup Wagering Menu Win, Place, Show, 1 1/16 Miles SATURDAY Exacta, Trifecta, Superfecta, Juvenile START FINISH Daily Double, $2 Million - Grade 1 Post 2:43 pm Pacific Pick 3

Baffert’s Band Stats & Trends Division Debut: 1984 by Bob Neumeier NBC Sports Favorites: Win 38% ANALYSIS: Hmmmm … Should it be TAP IT RICH or NEW In-The-Money 69% YEAR’S DAY? Both captured their maiden two-turn races in eye- Average Winning Payoffs popping style, suggesting both offer promising futures. The pair $2 Win: $16.89 will go postward with a home-track advantage over the speedy, $1 Exacta: $90.14 presumptive favorite HAVANA. A stalking trip seems to be the ideal $1 Trifecta: $643.37 set-up for Bob Baffert’s band. On an August day at Del Mar, Gary $1 Superfecta: $7,927.44 and Mary West’s NEW YEAR’S DAY cruised to a maiden-buster with flair, despite breaking from an outside post position. A few weeks 2012 Juvenile Highlight later at Santa Anita, Baffert unleashed a first-time starter from the When jockey Fog City Stable in TAP IT RICH. This gray son of walked out of guided Shanghai Bobby to a pace- the starting gate but then made a wide, cruising run to the winner’s pressing score she joined Julie circle in his maiden graduation. While both babies will be spotting Krone as the only females to ride experience to their rivals, both are clearly exciting Triple Crown BC winners. prospects. Know This MAIN CONTENDERS: In his first start HAVANA jogged across the 5 of the last 6 Juvenile winners wire, crushing at 2-5 odds. That said, and even after his subsequent raced on the lead or pressed the gutsy win in the Champagne, I do not believe in him around two pace in second. The only winner to turns. STRONG MANDATE did not lift a hoof in that race for the close in recent history was Vale of irrepressible D. Wayne Lukas. But draw a line through that fiasco, York in 2009. and he’s in the mix. With $20 million in Breeders’ Cup earnings and a record 19 BC wins, Lukas needs no directions to the winner’s 7 consecutive Juvenile favorites circle. Winning big races after clunkers has been Wayne’s latest have finished in the exacta, dating M.O. (, Will Take Charge…anyone?). back to First Samurai’s 2005 third- place effort. VALUE PLAYS: With the love-them or hate-them rules about Lasix, anything is possible. BOND HOLDER, CLEBURNE and WE In 6 Juveniles at Santa Anita, MISS ARTIE have won races with illusionary late runs, exploiting west coast-based horses have pace lines of VERY FAST/VERY SLOW race shapes. won 4 times (Capote ’86, Brocco ’93, Action this Day ’03 and WAGERING STRATEGIES ($100): Midshipman ’08). Dubai-based • $20 Exacta Box: TAP IT RICH and NEW YEAR’S DAY ($40) Vale of York tallied in ’09 and New • $60 Win: Longer price between TAP IT RICH and Yorker Shanghai Bobby in ‘12. NEW YEAR’S DAY ($60) At least 1 Keeneland-prepped Xpressbet Breeders’ Cup Wagering Guide free daily online updates horse has finished in the Juvenile with revised Analysis, Picks and Wagering Strategies and clocker trifecta since 2008, and in 6 of the Gary Young’s workout analysis, begins Tuesday, Oct. 29. last 7 since Polytrack was installed at Keeneland. Bob’s 1. NEW YEAR’S DAY 2. TAP IT RICH Picks 3. STRONG MANDATE 4. HAVANA Race 9 Breeders’ Cup START Wagering Menu Win, Place, Show, SATURDAY Exacta, Trifecta, Turf 1 1/2 Mile Turf Superfecta, Daily Double, $3 Million - Grade 1 FINISH Pick 3, Pick 4 Post 3:22 pm Pacific

Europe Ready to Reclaim Turf Stats & Trends Division Debut: 1984 by Jeff Siegel HRTV Favorites: Win 31% ANALYSIS: There have been 29 editions of the Breeders’ Cup In-The-Money 55% Turf. European imports haven’t won every one -- only 19. And Average Winning Payoffs home-grown LITTLE MIKE shut the door on the invaders last $2 Win: $21.53 year. However, the percentages say the Euros will be back in the $1 Exacta: $85.80 winner’s circle soon, probably this year, especially if the four-year- $1 Trifecta: $641.45 old filly THE FUGUE shows up as expected and tackles the boys, $1 Superfecta: $9,249.78 something that she’s been able to do with great success overseas in 2013. Though she could manage only a third-place finish last 2012 Turf Highlight year in the BC Filly & Mare Turf – traffic cost her dearly – she’s With his 17-1 score, Little Mike clearly a better type now and looks primed to reward trainer John recorded the fourth-largest upset Gosden, who enjoyed great success training at Santa Anita in the in BC Turf history. Only Lashkari 1980s, with his first BC Turf victory. (53-1), Miss Alleged (42-1) and Better Talk Now (27-1) paid more. MAIN CONTENDERS: Trainer Shug McGaughey believes POINT OF ENTRY will be ready for a top effort despite the fact that last Know This year’s BC Turf runner-up has been off since early June, owning to Last year, Point of Entry was the a left-hind cannon bone fracture. That he’s recovered so quickly first American-based turf favorite and able to make the race is truly remarkable; but, without a prep since 2004 when Kitten’s Joy was against a world-class field and at a marathon distance, he’s really the chalk. Both finished second. up against it. Defending champ LITTLE MIKE regained his top form when winning the Turf Classic Invitational while the two that Turf rebounds have become the finished just behind him, the Ramsey runners BIG BLUE KITTEN norm as 3 of the last 4 winners of and REAL SOLUTION, both have strong credentials. this race had finished off the board in their final preps. VALUE PLAYS: If you’re looking for a European invader at a price, consider GRANDEUR. Victimized by a poor draw in the Arlington At least one foreign-bred horse Million, he failed to threaten, but then returned to England and won has been in the Turf trifecta each a strong listed race to get his confidence back. He loves top-of- of the past 14 years, including 9 the-ground – he won the Twilight Derby at Santa Anita last year winners during that span. – and, on his best day, he’s as good as anything the Americans can offer. European invaders have won 11 of the last 14 Turf events - a 4-race WAGERING STRATEGIES ($100): win streak was snapped in 2012. • $10 Exacta Key: THE FUGUE over GRANDEUR, BIG BLUE KITTEN, REAL SOLUTION, and INDY POINT ($40) The last pacesetter to win the Turf • $4 Exacta Box: THE FUGUE, GRANDEUR, BIG BLUE KITTEN ($24) was Buck’s Boy in 1998. • $4 Exacta Box: THE FUGUE, GRANDEUR, REAL SOLUTION ($24) • $2 Exacta Box: THE FUGUE, GRANDEUR, INDY POINT ($12) No horse over the age of 5 has won the Breeders’ Cup Turf. Jeff’s 1. THE FUGUE 2. GRANDEUR Picks 3. BIG BLUE KITTEN 4. REAL SOLUTION Race 10 Xpressbet Breeders’ Cup START Wagering Menu Win, Place, Show, SATURDAY 6 Furlongs Exacta, Trifecta, Sprint Superfecta, FINISH Daily Double, $1.5 Million - Grade 1 Post 4:01 pm Pacific Pick 3

Too Fast For Their Own Good Stats & Trends Division Debut: 1984 by Dick Jerardi Philadelphia Daily News & Daily Racing Form Favorites: Win 21% ANALYSIS: The fractions should be sizzling and the early lead In-The-Money 41% hotly contested by more than a few of these speedballs with so Average Winning Payoffs many 1s on their past performances. Vosburgh winner PRIVATE $2 Win: $21.84 ZONE, the incredibly fast filly RENEESGOTZIP, Phoenix winner SUM $1 Exacta: $162.38 OF THE PARTS, defending Sprint champion TRINNIBERG and FAST $1 Trifecta: $1,566.81 BULLET all win by flashing speed from the start and running their $1 Superfecta: $18,747.35 opponents out of the race. If they all show similar speed, they will run themselves out of this race and set it up for an off-the-pace 2012 Sprint Highlight horse or even, if they really fly up top, a deep closer. TRINNIBERG East coasters Trinniberg and The has not won this year and FAST BULLET obviously has issues, but Lumber Guy became just the third they still are fast, and that speed will affect how the race is run and, 3-year-old tandem to sweep the thus, how it finishes. This really does not look like a race that has Sprint exacta in the event’s history. one of those “speed of the speed” types, but one where the speed is high quality. However, there simply is too much of it. Know This The 2012 Sprint superfecta paid MAIN CONTENDERS: POINTS OFFTHEBENCH was the winner of $54,432.90 for a buck - second just two races and had been off for nearly a year when he made his largest payout in the race’s history. 2013 debut on Feb. 2. He lost that day by a half-length, but has not The Sprint’s average superfecta lost since, winning four straight, including a pair of Grade 1 stakes. payout of $18,747.35 ranks second This 4-year-old has the perfect, stalking style, especially if there is only to the Classic’s. a wicked speed duel up top. This horse could win without any help. If he gets some help, he will be very hard to beat. JUSTIN PHILLIP California-based horses have won may have the right closing style, but he could get too far back. 5 of the last 7 Sprints. PRIVATE ZONE is really fast and showed great heart when he came back to win the Vosburgh after JUSTIN PHILLIP got by him in deep In title defenses Sprint champs stretch. have finished 7th (Big Drama) and 8th (Amazombie) the past 2 years. VALUE PLAYS: RENEESGOTZIP may be so fast that she can actually outrun the other speed and keep right on going. Even if she Jockey has does not clear, she still has a chance as she could pass one or two finished in the Sprint superfecta in the stretch. She was 8-1 when third in the Turf Sprint last year with 9 of 12 career mounts, and could be a similar price in this spot. including 4 wins.

WAGERING STRATEGIES ($100): Since 2000, only 1 Sprint winner • $1 Superfecta Key: POINTS OFFTHEBENCH over has been older than age 5 JUSTIN PHILLIP, BAHAMIAN SQUALL, PRIVATE ZONE, (Speightstown in 2004 at age 6). RENEESGOTZIP and WINE POLICE ($60) • $40 Exacta: POINTS OFFTHEBENCH over PRIVATE ZONE ($40)

Dick’s 1. POINTS OFFTHEBENCH 2. PRIVATE ZONE Picks 3. JUSTIN PHILLIP 4. RENEESGOTZIP Race 11 Breeders’ Cup Wagering Menu Win, Place, Show, SATURDAY Exacta, Trifecta, Mile 1 Mile Turf Superfecta, Daily Double $2 Million - Grade 1 START FINISH Post 4:42 pm Pacific

Wise to Expect ’Dan to Repeat Stats & Trends Division Debut: 1984 by Johnny D Xpressbet.com Favorites: Win 38% ANALYSIS: Analysis of the Breeders’ Cup Mile must begin with In-The-Money 52% defending champ and 2012 Horse of the Year WISE DAN. Since a Average Winning Payoffs solid score over a troubled in this race on this $2 Win: $22.18 course last year, WISE DAN has won all five of his 2013 turf starts $1 Exacta: $157.98 at four different tracks. Trouble is he lost his BC prep race to $1 Trifecta: $1,673.09 SILVER MAX when rain caused Keeneland’s Shadwell Turf Mile $1 Superfecta: $14,937.80 to be moved from grass to a synthetic surface at a mile and one- sixteenth. The question handicappers must answer is: At age six, 2012 Mile Highlight has WISE DAN finally taken a backward step or can we expect a Wise Dan, the first American- return to his best on turf? based Mile favorite since Leroidesanimaux in 2005, set a MAIN CONTENDERS: Horseplayers probably ought to consider new course record of 1:31.78 en the chances of SILVER MAX, a winner of over $1.6 million and first route to Horse of the Year honors. or second in nine of 16 turf starts. He defeated WISE DAN last out He defeated on a synthetic track at Keeneland. OBVIOUSLY, a speedy California- winner Animal Kingdom, a noble based runner who is five out of six in the money over Santa Anita’s second following a layoff since turf, finished off the board at less than even money in the City of February. Hope at SA last out. He was third in this race last year. OLYMPIC GLORY added blinkers and recently powered to victory in the Grade Know This 1 QE II at Ascot over “soft” going. That race was Oct. 19, so it’s a bit American runners have comprised quick back, but he’s on his game. at least two-thirds of the Mile trifecta in the last eight years, VALUE PLAYS: NO JET LAG, a turf sprinter in Great Britain and including 1-2 finishes in each of Ireland as a 2-year-old, seems to have found a home in California. the past 2 years and a 1-2-3 sweep He’s made two US starts, both at a mile and both were wins. One a year ago. was in an allowance race at Del Mar and the other in the Grade 2 City of Hope at Santa Anita. Jockey Mike Smith, a Breeders’ Cup The 9-horse field in the 2012 Mile riding superstar, will pilot the 3-year-old gelding and Smith reports was the shortest field for this event that his mount is “getting good right now.” HE BE FIRE N ICE has in its 29-year history and only one finished first or second in his last five races. ZA APPROVAL was other time (1984) did a Mile offer bested by OBVIOUSLY in the Shoemaker Mile and then by WISE less than 11 runners. DAN in the Woodbine Mile, but that pair of runner-up finishes puts him in the mix. The Woodbine Mile has produced the last 2 winners of this race: WAGERING STRATEGIES ($100): Court Vision in 2011 and Wise Dan • $20 Exacta Key: WISE DAN over NO JET LAG, ZA APPROVAL, in 2012. Five of the last 6 renewals OBVIOUSLY and HE BE FIRE N ICE ($80) have had a Woodbine Mile alumnus • $10 Exacta Box: WISE DAN and NO JET LAG ($20) in the trifecta.

Johnny’s 1. wise dan 2. NO JET LAG Picks 3. za approval 4. obviously Race 12 Breeders’ Cup Wagering Menu 1 1/4 Miles Win, Place, Show, SATURDAY Exacta, Trifecta, Superfecta, Classic START FINISH $5 Million - Grade 1 Post 5:35 pm Pacific Super High-5

Coolmore Poised to Win With ’War Stats & Trends Division Debut: 1984 by Steve Byk At the Races - Sirius/XM Favorites: Win 28% ANALYSIS: Even if you forgive likely favorite GAME ON DUDE for In-The-Money 62% his poor start and non-effort in this race last year, how can you Average Winning Payoffs embrace him in his third Classic try against a breakneck pace $2 Win: $28.84 scenario? GAME ON DUDE, 2012 Classic exacta finishers FORT $1 Exacta: $109.74 LARNED and , stretch-out player GRAYDAR, $1 Trifecta: $1,829.37 speedy MORENO and prompters and PALACE MALICE $1 Superfecta: $50,024.19 guarantee that the opening six furlongs will the 1:10 interior fraction of a year ago. This race sets up for stalker/closers to corral 2012 Classic Highlight tiring leaders in the stretch and DECLARATION OF WAR, WILL Fort Larned and Mucho Macho TAKE CHARGE and are the top candidates. Man ran one-two throughout, the first front-running Classic one- MAIN CONTENDERS: The five returning runners from the two finish since Ghostzapper and 2012 edition demand consideration, but all have perceivable Roses In May in 2004. negatives from a style or lead-up standpoint. ‘Now’ sophomore candidates PALACE MALICE and WILL TAKE CHARGE have the Know This best chance sophs have had in this event in recent memory. (’93) is the only Classic DECLARATION OF WAR is an outsider with the right formula to winner in history who did not finish provide Coolmore and Aidan O’Brien with a long-sought Classic in the money in a final prep race. win. By red-hot sire War Front out of a sister to Union Rags, He exited a fourth-place effort DECLARATION OF WAR has a compact, efficient stride that should prior to his 133-1 stunner. translate to dirt and is proven at ten furlongs. All 4 superfecta finishers in last VALUE PLAYS: The best value is DECLARATION OF WAR, year’s Classic were single-digit but FLAT OUT, third here a year ago, will be the forgotten horse off odds—only the fourth time that’s a dull effort in the . happened in Classic history and the first since 1998. WAGERING STRATEGIES ($100): • $40 Win: DECLARATION OF WAR ($40) The top 4 finishers in the 2012 • $1.50 Trifecta Part Wheel: DECLARATION OF WAR with Classic all exited New York preps. WILL TAKE CHARGE, FLAT OUT, PALACE MALICE with The only other time that happened WILL TAKE CHARGE, FLAT OUT, PALACE MALICE, was in 1985 when led FORT LARNED, MUCHO MACHO MAN, GAME ON DUDE, a similar NY-prepped sweep. , PAYNTER and MORENO ($36) • $1 Trifecta Part Wheel: WILL TAKE CHARGE, FLAT OUT, Mike Smith has a remarkable PALACE MALICE with DECLARATION OF WAR with 5: 2-2-1 resume in the last 5 WILL TAKE CHARGE, FLAT OUT, PALACE MALICE, Classics. FORT LARNED, MUCHO MACHO MAN, GAME ON DUDE, RON THE GREEK, PAYNTER and MORENO ($24) No horse over the age of 5 has ever won the Breeders’ Cup Classic. Steve’s 1. declaration of war 2. will take charge Picks 3. flat out 4. palace malice BET ANY RACE FROM ANY PLACE

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