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September 2016 INSIDE INDIA BANGLADESH NEPAL NEIGHBOUR Perception and Fact Terrorism Threat Musical Chairs Across the Line

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September 2016 INSIDE INDIA BANGLADESH NEPAL NEIGHBOUR Perception and Fact Terrorism Threat Musical Chairs Across the Line INTERNATIONAL Failed Coup in Turkey 2016 Reg. ss-973 September www.southasia.com.pk INSIDE INDIA BANGLADESH NEPAL NEIGHBOUR Perception and Fact Terrorism Threat Musical Chairs Across the Line WHO Will Be The New ARMY CHIEF? This is a crucial question both for the Pakistan Army and the nation’s political leadership. The ‘who’ and ‘when’ of the decision will be important for the on-going operation Zarb-e-Azb as well as for the future course of democracy. Contents 12 Difficult Legacy Will he or won’t he? Will Gen. Raheel Sharif accept an extension and become a Field Marshal? India Pakistan Perception20 and Fact India takes an important The Real Estate step forward. Conundrum 26 How well will the real estate sector perform after reforms? Nepal Musical Chairs The world is watching Nepal as 28 it makes its next move. The Maldives Waiting Game Voices of dissent against the 32 Yameen government are growing. 22 Bangladesh Terrorism Denied There are some key lessons that Bangladesh needs to learn. 4 SOUTHASIA • SEPTEMBER 2016 REGULAR FEATURES 35 Editor’s Mail 8 After the Storm On Record 9 The Turkish government is going into the causes Briefs 10 of the aborted coup with COVER STORY great vehemence. Difficult Legacy 12 Change of Guard 14 Marching Forward 16 Passing the Baton 18 REGION India Perception and Fact 20 Bangladesh Terrorism Threat 22 Sri Lanka Ways of Democracy 24 Pakistan The Real Estate Conundrum 26 Sri42 Lanka Nepal Another War Musical Chairs 28 The country is devastated by the drug menace. Bhutan Groping for Good Sense 30 The Maldives Waiting Game 32 Bhutan INTERNATIONAL Save that Glacier! After the Storm 35 Among the many reasons for climate change in South Asia, 44 NEIGHBOUR melting glaciers in Bhutan is one. Across the Line 38 FEATURES India Saffronising of India 40 Sri Lanka Another War 42 Bhutan 38 Save that Glacier! 44 Neighbour SOUTHASIA 15 Years Ago 46 Across the Line The love-hate relationship SPECIAL REPORT INSIDE: continues. France & Pakistan SOUTHASIA • SEPTEMBER 2016 5 COMMENT Pakistan’s New Direction SEPTEMBER 2016 VOL.20 ISSUE 09 n the backdrop of the intensely growing relationship between Pakistan PRESIDENT & EDITOR IN CHIEF and China, there has been a major development in U.S.-India security Syed Jawaid Iqbal Irelations, resulting in the signing of the long-anticipated Logistics Exchange Memorandum of Agreement (LEMOA). The Agreement facilitates the provision of MANAGING EDITOR logistical support, supplies and services between the U.S. and Indian militaries Zeba Jawaid on a reimbursable basis and incorporates a framework to govern the arrangement. EDITOR LEMOA would help both countries in monitoring the use of each others’ land, Javed Ansari air and naval bases for repair and resupply and would be a step forward in ASSISTANT EDITORS building mutual defence ties as both countries seek to counter the growing Mahrukh Farooq maritime assertiveness of China. It is interesting to note that a week before the Samina Wahid – Faizan Usmani signing of the LEMOA, Forbes magazine had warned China and Pakistan that Feature Writer: Khawaja Amer India and the U.S. were about to sign a major pact. The fact that the magazine described the US-India agreement as ‘a major pact’ was pregnant with meaning. CONTRIBUTING EDITOR Commenting on the agreement, US media noted that it was a key component S. G. Jilanee of the Obama Administration’s policy to contain China, which would further spread its influence across Asia by deploying 60 per cent of its surface ships in CONTRIBUTORS the Indo-Pacific region in the near future. The media reports also pointed out Saira Owais Adil - Dr. Moonis Ahmar that unlike Afghanistan and Iraq, where the US had to build everything from M.M. Alam - Muhammad Ali Ehsan scratch, India already had the military facilities the United States could use Muhammad Omar Iftikhar - S.G. Jilanee when needed. Taha Kehar - Dr. Raza Khan - Taj M. Khattak The advisor on foreign affairs to Pakistan Prime Minister, Sartaj Aziz, said, Mahrukh A. Mughal - Lubna Jerar Naqvi “The U.S. approaches Pakistan whenever it needs it, and abandons it when it S. Mubashir Noor - Tahera Sajid - Faizan Usmani doesn't.” He also said, “We firmly conveyed it to the U.S. that maintaining effective nuclear deterrence is critical for Pakistan's security and only Pakistan GRAPHICS & LAYOUT itself can determine how it should respond to growing strategic imbalance in Kamran Ghulam Nabi Haroon Rasheed South Asia." The massive expansion of US-India military ties will definitely impact both Pakistan and China and may draw actions on their part which could MARKETING & ADVERTISING further escalate the military balance in the region. At the same time, there is no Aqam-ud-Din Khan denying the fact that Pakistan has dismally failed to put in order its foreign office SPECIAL PROJECTS so that it can more effectively tackle such developments as LEMOA and many Waqas Jan - Syed Ovais Akhtar other similar situations. In fact, the question of India’s entry into the NSG will Hira Sarwar again raise its ugly head very soon, as the U.S. will now feel more confident in making another attempt of supporting India. The pity is that the democratic COORDINATOR government in Pakistan is still without a full-time foreign minister which has Shehryar Zulfiqar impacted the country’s outlook in many sticky situations pertaining to foreign CIRCULATION relations. Danish Shahid The newly developing ties between the U.S. and India are seen as a foreign policy success of the Obama administration. It is now becoming clear that EDITORIAL & BUSINESS OFFICE America regards India as an important counter-balance to China. Pakistan has 20-C, Lane 12, off Khayaban-e-Ittehad, Phase II been ignored in the entire equation and the U.S. is giving much more weight Extension, DHA, Karachi - 75500, Pakistan to India as the bigger power in the region. Pakistan should, therefore, take this Phones: 92-21- 35313821-24 opportunity to get all the more close to China and provide it everything that is Fax: 92-21-35313832 possible in terms of cooperation and support for CPEC. The country should also Website: www.southasia.com.pk Email: [email protected] expand its military and technical cooperation with the Central Asia Republics and there should be a renewed focus on exchanges with these countries. So MIDDLE EAST far Pakistan’s main interest has been in the economic and energy area but now REPRESENTATIVE OFFICE regional security and stability must be a part of the agenda. By boosting its Pirana Advertising JLT military cooperation with the CAR nations, Pakistan could minimize India's PO Box 486207, 1704, Level 17, HDS Tower, regional role because the Central Asian States are not backward countries Jumeirah Lake Towers Cluster F, Dubai, UAE anymore and are much advanced in terms of education, infrastructure, standard Phone: +97-14- 4508309 of life, gender rights, etc. On the US front, the Logistics Exchange Memorandum Fax: +97-14-3688487 of Agreement (LEMOA) is like a wakeup call for Pakistan. Instead of just looking Email: [email protected] towards the U.S. for aid in various areas, it needs to have a better understanding of the emerging realities nearer to home. Being a part of CPEC is very much a SouthAsia is published every month logical direction for this South Asian power to take. After all, it is the world’s by Syed Jawaid Iqbal for and on behalf of sixth largest country and has one of the best standing armies. It must take full JAWZ Communications (Pvt.) Ltd. advantage of its positive points and, by further leveraging its relationship with and printed by Union Graphics, Karachi. China, it must become an important player in the region. Views expressed by the contributors are not necessarily shared by the editors. Published since 1977 as Thirdworld, the magazine was re-launched in 1997 as SouthAsia. Syed Jawaid Iqbal EDITOR’S MAIL Beyond CPEC Stunted Corruption Region Rules WaterAid is an According to a recent international NGO, working report issued by Transparency to make sure that everyone in International, less than 38 the world has access to safe per cent of the accused in water and proper sanitation. Bangladesh are convicted Recently, it has issued its in corruption cases, while annual report titled ‘Caught the remaining lot of the Short,’ which reveals the accused goes scotfree owing Procedure' to entertain those world’s worst places in terms to lack of substantial proofs bids and proposals which of children’s physical growth and witnesses. More than are sent by the private sector and cognitive development. for the implementation of According to the report, such government projects. Based South Asian nations as India, on a Swiss model, the Pakistan and Bangladesh are system is already in use in among the top-ten countries many countries other than with the greatest number Switzerland and is supposed of stunted children. India to be an effective method tops the list, while Pakistan to select private contractors and Bangladesh are ranked and investors purely on at 3rd and 7th positions, merit because it disregards respectively. This is really any political influence a matter of concern for the or favouritism during the Southasia’s cover story region, which lags well bidding process. This is a on the China-Pakistan behind the rest of the world good move and will help Economic Corridor (CPEC) in providing basic facilities bring transparency in Sri featured the strategic to its people. Instead of Lanka, where even mega significance and huge spending the most part of 68 per cent of the people development projects are growth potential of CPEC their hard-earned resources are affected by rampant assigned to parties through which is being termed as a on military expenditure, corruption both in the wheeling and dealing and game-changer in the region.
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