PUBLIC EXPENDITURE REVIEW OF THE Water, Sanitation, and Hygiene Sector of Malawi
February 2020 WATER, SANITATION AND HYGIENE SECTOR MALAWI FEBRUARY 2020 i PUBLIC EXPENDITURE REVIEW © UNICEF/2016/Sebastian Rich © UNICEF/2016/Sebastian
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
Appreciation goes to all individuals and institutions that Muchabaiwa, Patrick Okuni, Nkandu David Chilombo, Alessandro contributed to the development of this PER. The Government Ramella Pezza, Kelvin Tapiwa Mutambirwa and Chimwemwe would like to thank staff from several Ministries, Departments Nyimba for the technical and logistical support. and Agencies (MDAs) who were involved in this PER. Specifically, appreciation goes to staff from the M&E Division under the The Government would also like to deeply thank the Oxford Economic Planning and Development (EP&D) of the Ministry of Policy Management (OPM) consultancy team – comprising of Finance; the Water Supplies Department under the Ministry of Nick Hall (team leader), Zach White (project manager), Tuntufye Agriculture, Irrigation and Water Development (MoAIWD); and Mwalyambwire, and Tim Cammack for providing technical the Environmental Health Department under the Ministry of support that enabled the production of this PER. Also the OPM Health and Population (MoHP). staff that worked in the background to make this exercise a success are appreciated. Sincere gratitude goes to the following Government staff – Sophie Kang’oma, Victoria Geresomo, Richard Jack Kajombo, Gringoster The analysis in this PER draws on scores of interviews with Kajomba and Stevier Kaiyatsa from the EP&D; Emma Mbalame, district staff, with a list of those interviewed or consulted Bibo Charles Yatina and Gertrude Makuti Botomani from the provided in Annex I. The Government is extremely thankful to all MoAIWD; Allone Ganizani, Holystone Kafanikhale, Samuel district for their inputs. Ligowe and Flora Dimba from the MoHP, Paul Chunga from the Lilongwe District Health Office, Esther Rajabu from the National Statistics Office (NSO), Pilirani Mbedza, Dhumisani Msowoya, Adam Chikapa Guys, Fyness Mwafulirwa, Sangwani Phiri and
Mphatso Elias Ackim from the Parliamentary Budget Office Oxford Policy Management Limited (PBO). The Government would also like to extend its gratitude Registered in England: 3122495 to the following – Gloria Nyirenda and Hopeson Chaima from the Level 3, Clarendon House 52 Cornmarket Street Water and Environmental Sanitation Network (WESNET), Egolet Oxford, OX1 3HJ Roberts from the PRDO. United Kingdom Tel: +44 (0) 1865 207 300 Fax: +44 (0) 1865 207 301 Special thanks goes to UNICEF for providing financial, technical Email: [email protected] Website: www.opml.co.uk and logistical support which enabled the production of this PER. Twitter: @OPMglobal Specifically, the Government wishes to thank the following Facebook: @OPMglobal YouTube: @OPMglobal UNICEF team – Beatrice Targa, Michele Paba, Bob Libert LinkedIn: @OPMglobal MALAWI FEBRUARY 2020 WATER, SANITATION AND HYGIENE SECTOR PUBLIC EXPENDITURE REVIEW ii © UNICEF/2009/Pirozzi
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Context ministries: the Ministry of Agriculture, Irrigation and Water Development (MoAIWD) has overall responsibility for water Over the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) period service provision and water resource management; the Ministry (2000–2015) Malawi made good progress on increasing of Health and Population (MoHP) leads on sanitation and hygiene access to basic water, sanitation and hygiene (WASH) promotion, including the management of frontline staff; and the services. MDG 7c, ‘Halve, by 2015, the proportion of the Ministry of Local Government and Rural Development (MLGRD) population without sustainable access to safe drinking water is responsible for supporting sector ministries to reform in line and basic sanitation’ was met in terms of access to water, while with decentralisation, and to support district governments to there was only ‘moderate progress’ on sanitation. Malawi’s level adopt their devolved functions. of access to improved water services is substantially higher than the sub-Saharan African average and that of regional and income-group peers. National averages do, however, mask sharp WASH sector financing inequities in service provision. Access to water and sanitation Despite limited fiscal space, the Government of Malawi services varies widely between districts and across wealth (GoM) has increased budget allocations to WASH since quintiles. 2017/18, mainly due to the introduction of the Borehole Fund. Over the period of this public expenditure review (PER), Malawi has extremely limited fiscal space. Malawi’s poverty 2014/15 to 2018/19, GoM funding of the sector has averaged at incidence is among the worst in sub-Saharan Africa, with gross 0.39% of total government expenditure, or just under 0.1% of domestic product (GDP) per capita at just $389 in 2018. GDP GDP. The average in the three years before the Borehole Fund grew at 4.0% in 2018 and 5.1% in 2019, and is expected to reach was 0.32%, and then 0.49% thereafter. 6% in the medium term. In 2018, inflation was brought down to single digits after many years of double-digit inflation. However, GoM budget allocations to WASH as a proportion of GDP is low compared to that of other countries in the WASH service delivery in Malawi region. Available data show that the Malawi Government’s allocation of resources to WASH is 0.081% of GDP, which is only The legislation underpinning the sector establishes clear 55%, 52%, 43%, and 27% of that allocated by Kenya, Zambia, roles and responsibilities. Service delivery functions are Ghana and Mali, respectively; the per capita allocation is less performed by the district councils and the water boards, with the than one-fifth of those countries. water boards focused on urban areas. Operation and maintenance functions for rural water systems are performed by water users associations (WUAs). At the national level there are three key WATER, SANITATION AND HYGIENE SECTOR MALAWI FEBRUARY 2020 iii PUBLIC EXPENDITURE REVIEW
target highlights the sector is currently funded to just above 30% of the target level. A critical assumption behind the SIP projections is that donors would ‘step up’ grant financing to the sector. The withdrawal of many donors is a key reason for this financing gap emerging.
Water sector expenditure and progress WASH sector expenditure is heavily weighted towards water, and less towards sanitation and hygiene. Over the PER period an average of 65% of GoM funding went to the water sub- sector and 35% went to hygiene and sanitation. The water sub- sector is dominated by capital expenditure. Over 80% of GoM expenditure over the five-year period was capital expenditure. There was little GoM capital expenditure at district level until the introduction of the District Development Fund (DDF) in 2015-16, with the Borehole Fund later leading to a sharper increase.
Water board revenue has increased dramatically over the PER period, both in absolute and real terms. The growth in
© UNICEF/2009/Pirozzi revenue has primarily been driven by increased revenues from institutional and commercial sources, and due to price increases, Malawi remains reliant on external sources of financing to rather than an expansion in services. Across all sources revenue drive investments in the WASH sector. The ratio of Malawi’s per m3 increased, in real terms: 32% between 2014/15 and external funding to financing from domestic resources is 8.8, 2018/19 – equivalent to a 123% rise in prices in nominal terms. much higher than Kenya’s 2.9 and Zambia’s 2.0, and higher still than Mali’s and Ghana’s. This is despite Malawi’s comparatively There is no regulator in Malawi; as per the Waterworks low funding from external sources measured in per capita terms. Act 1995 it is MoAIWD that regulates tariffs in the sector. Malawi receives $3.2 per capita external funding for WASH, The current tariff policy is implicitly pro-poor in that there is a compared to Kenya’s $6.2 and Zambia’s $4.2. External funding substantial cross-subsidy between commercial and institutional to the sector has fallen sharply in recent years, with many rates and kiosk users. However, the loose regulatory environment bilateral donors leaving the sector. Additionally, the composition and cross-ministerial responsibilities for water board oversight, of external finance has changed over the PER period as new combined with the recent substantial price rises, point towards external funding is almost exclusively directed to urban WASH, the need to review tariff rates and policy, as well as the need for via the water boards, and as loans as opposed to grants. Since greater oversight of utility performance. While the water boards 2014 donors to Malawi are apparently giving less priority to report year-on-year increases in the number of connections, the WASH. While total official donor development assistance (ODA) volume of water supplied has not increased greatly and non- to Malawi has risen since 2014, the proportion of ODA provided revenue water remains stubbornly high. to the WASH sector has dropped by two-thirds. A large proportion of the household expenditure is spent Household expenditure is the single largest source of on providers other than the water boards. This expenditure is financing to the sector, accounting for nearly 60% of sector potentially a ‘blind spot’ in policymaking as these expenditures financing. In 2016 households were estimated to spend are not regularly tracked. This non-water board household Malawian Kwacha (MKW) 35 billion (2016 prices) on water – expenditure is substantial and represents 16.8% of funding 36% of which was directed to water boards. As such, 64% of to the sector, as much as two-thirds of GoM and donor (ODA) household expenditure on water is spent on other providers. expenditure combined. Much of this expenditure is likely These are likely to include: fees paid to WUAs; expenditure on associated with WUAs, and more effectively leveraging this self-supply; and expenditure on purchasing water from informal expenditure towards sector outcomes requires a focus on and formal private sector actors. professionalising the community-based management models used in Malawi. The Water Sector Investment Plan (SIP) (2012) outlines that $140 million is needed annually between 2015 and 2030 in Access to basic water service is high in Malawi – 85% as per order for the sector to achieve 98% access to improved water the latest census. However, there has been little progress in supply by 2025 and 90% access to improved sanitation by last four years, and improvements have not been pro-poor. While 2030. A comparison of the sector expenditure against the SIP the Borehole Fund has increased funding to the sector, there are MALAWI FEBRUARY 2020 WATER, SANITATION AND HYGIENE SECTOR PUBLIC EXPENDITURE REVIEW iv
concerns surrounding how efficiently this is being spent. Funds in of external investment in the sector in the run-up to the MDG are often spent by constituency members of parliament (MPs) deadline, and progress in rural sanitation is heavily dependent on private contractors, without the District Water Development on external funding. The number of ‘open defecation free’ (ODF) Officer having a role in technical oversight. traditional authorities is a key measure of progress in sanitation. As at December 2018, 112 of Malawi’s 263 traditional authorities In recent years there has been moderate progress on (TAs) had been declared ODF. Implementation in 86 of these 112 improving water point functionality in some districts, but TAs had been funded by external partners. The rising rates of a marked drop in others. Nationally, water point functionality open defecation are seen to be associated with a lower level of fell from 77% to 71% between 2016/17 and 2017/18. Efforts to donor engagement in the sector, and with the physical collapse improve functionality in rural areas have centred on training area of household latrines. mechanics and linking these to shop partners who stock parts. This PER also highlights challenges associated with low other Progress in rural sanitation is heavily dependent on frontline recurrent transactions (ORT) funding and inadequate staffing. staff being able to travel to communities to conduct health The number of water monitoring assistants (WMA) per person promotion. There is a target ratio of one Health Surveillance in the district averages 1:230,966. The sector vacancy rate for Assistant (HSA) per 1,000 of population. The current average ratio established positions was 68% in 2017/18. of HSAs to population is 1:1,921, well below the target rate. This suggests that frontline preventative healthcare is understaffed. Sanitation and hygiene expenditure and progress Analysis of access by wealth quintile and region highlights GoM expenditure in the sanitation and hygiene sub-sector is that the progress on open defecation has largely been dominated by salaries. This reflects implementation activities, pro-poor, although inequalities still exist. In all regions and which are predominantly based around district-level health nationally the rate of reduction was largest among the poorest promotion activities. District-level salaries are nearly 70% of wealth quintile. While this is partially a reflection of the fact that GoM sub-sector expenditure. There is no identified GoM-funded rates were higher to begin with it does highlight that spending development expenditure on hygiene and sanitation, and over and efforts in reducing open defecation benefit the least wealthy the PER period there was no substantial change in GoM funding in society. Eliminating open defecation will by definition entail to the sector (in real terms). reaching all households in Malawi and this unambiguously requires targeting the very poorest. Nationally, open defecation rates fell from 13% in 2008 to under 6% in 2015, but have since risen to over 7% in 20181. The progress in the period 2008–2013 was related to a crowding
1 2008 and 2018 data are census data; 2015 data are DHS data. © UNICEF/2012/Nesbitt WATER, SANITATION AND HYGIENE SECTOR MALAWI FEBRUARY 2020 v PUBLIC EXPENDITURE REVIEW
Alignment with policy objectives Overall, all spending is aligned with elements of national A sector-wide approach (SWAp) in WASH has long been policies. The critical challenge is that the sector is substantially considered and is a stated policy aim of GoM, and is also an underfunded against the investment plan, meaning some international policy commitment. There are some institutional aspects of policy receive little attention. The different sub- apparatuses associated with a SWAp (joint sector reviews, sectors rely on different funding streams. The sanitation sub- technical working groups, etc), and these are seen as beneficial sector is comparatively exposed to changes in donor financing. to sector functioning. However, many donors remain unwilling to In water, the Borehole Fund has been successful in mobilising pool funds due to fiduciary risks. Even without budget support, funds for the rural water sub-sector, though there are concerns other SWAp financing models are available. Both the health and surrounding how efficiently this is being spent and functionality education sectors now have new SWAp funding models – such remains a critical issue in rural areas. In sanitation and hygiene, as Health Services Joint Fund (HSJF) and the Education Sector the lack of a dedicated sector fund may be a contributing factor Joint Fund, which avoid the risks associated with budget support to the extremely low GoM allocations to the sector. – that offer a blueprint for the WASH sector.
Progress in any of the individual sub-sectors is dependent The latest sector report highlights the need to agree an on the degree to which different financing sources align. This approach to achieving the Sustainable Development PER has highlighted the importance of household, donor, and Goals (SDGs), as well as deciding the degree to which water board expenditure in achieving sector outcomes. MoAIWD global progress indicators can be integrated with national and MoHP have a central role in effectively coordinating these progress indicators (especially in rural sanitation). As Malawi funding streams through policy, regulation, and sector leadership. approaches universal access to basic services much of the effort Where donors and non-governmental organisations (NGO) focus to meet the SDGs needs to be focused on raising service levels their programmes has a strong influence on who is reached and ensuring the quality and sustainability of supplies. The level with services. The recent trend in donor funding to be primarily of ambition in the SDGs as regards ‘safely managed’ services is channelled to urban areas and through the water boards means substantially above that of the MDGs’ references to access to that the funding for rural areas, where the majority of those ‘basic’ or ‘improved’ services. without services are located, is disproportionately low in relation to need. © UNICEF/2012/Nesbitt MALAWI FEBRUARY 2020 WATER, SANITATION AND HYGIENE SECTOR PUBLIC EXPENDITURE REVIEW vi © UNICEF/2015/Chikondi
Recommendations
Recommendation area 1: increased government financing of the service delivery functions of the water boards or district WASH, especially ORT. Despite limited fiscal space for overall councils. Investing in WUA capacity is likely to contribute to financing of WASH, funding for operation and maintenance improved sector outcomes on functionality if it means non- is such a small proportion of the total that a large increase in water board household expenditure is spent more effectively funding may be possible. Related to this, it is appropriate for the in the sector. sector to lobby for enhanced budgetary decentralisation, so that allocations between sectors of expenditures, such as ORT, can Recommendation area 5: sufficiency of frontline staff. be decided at the local authority level. There is a shortage of frontline staff in both the water and sanitation sectors. New recruitment of frontline staff should Recommendation area 2: the use of conditional grants be prioritised in those districts with the greatest staff deficit and funds for financing WASH services at district level. The per population and in relation to service levels. development of a targeted preventative health fund to support sanitation and hygiene promotion may contribute to increasing Recommendation area 6: adjusting to reductions in sector financing, following the example of the Borehole Fund. external funding. In the more constrained external funding However, there is a need for strong oversight of these funds by environment there is a need for increased donor and GoM district councils or ministries, departments and agencies (MDA); coordinating in prioritising remaining resources around ‘core’ and there is currently a need to strengthen the oversight of the sector functions that need to be in place (including monitoring implementation of the Borehole Fund. and oversight). The new large injections of external resources to the sector that are channelled to water boards underscores Recommendation area 3: enhanced identification of GoM the importance of effective sector coordination between the WASH expenditures. A separate ‘sanitation and hygiene’ sector water boards, MDAs, and donors. (or cost centre) at district level (as for water) is likely to empower environmental health staff with more funds and more attention Recommendation area 7: adoption of stronger SWAp to sanitation; and would also facilitate better tracking of overall processes in the WASH sector. It is recommended that WASH expenditures. stronger SWAp processes be adopted both centrally and at district level, including an added emphasis on aid Recommendation area 4: professionalising the community- coordination. This approach could include SWAp funding, based management model. Dedicated capacity-building preferably at district level, with special fiscal controls. The packages should be developed to support WUAs in service health and education sectors are already adopting innovative delivery. MoAIWD should lead in providing clearer policy approaches that can be mirrored for the WASH sector. guidance on their governance structures and links to the formal The use of stronger SWAp processes can facilitate higher sector (water boards or district councils). Where appropriate, efficiency and effectiveness in the use of donor and NGO WUA service delivery functions should be more clearly linked to resources. WATER, SANITATION AND HYGIENE SECTOR MALAWI FEBRUARY 2020 vii PUBLIC EXPENDITURE REVIEW
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Acknowledgements i 6 SECTOR PERFORMANCE 35 Executive summary ii 6.1 Access to improved drinking water 35 Table of contents vii 6.2 Sanitation and hygiene 40 List of tables, figures, and boxes viii 6.3 Progress on WASH by district 43 List of abbreviations x 6.4 Alignment between sector spending and sector policy 44
1 INTRODUCTION 1 7 DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS 48 1. 1 Objectives and scope of the PER 1 7. 1 Government financing in WASH 48 1. 2 Structure of the PER 2 7. 2 External WASH financing 49 1. 3 Approach and methodology 2 7. 3 Water board expenditure and performance 50 7. 4 Household expenditure 50 2 NATIONAL CONTEXT 5 7. 5 Financing in emergencies 51 2.1 Macro-economic situation 5 7. 6 WASH expenditure tracking and general PFM processes 51 2.2 Government revenues and expenditure 7 2.3 Government budget credibility experience 10 8 RECOMMENDATIONS, WITH LESSONS LEARNT 52 2.4 External support 10 2.5 Public Finance Management (PFM) in Malawi 11 REFERENCES 54
3 WASH SERVICE DELIVERY IN MALAWI 14 Annex A - Details of the budget cycle 55 Annex B - Overview of key WASH sector legislation, policy, and strategy 57 4 WASH FINANCING FINDINGS 16 Annex C - Mapping of key donor projects 60 4.1 Government financing of WASH 16 Annex D - Technical note on the use of JMP and survey data 61 4.2 External financing for WASH 18 Annex E - District level progress data tables 63 4.3 WASH financing by households 18 Annex F - Household expenditure estimates by district 66 Annex G - Stakeholder mapping in rural water supplies 71 5 EXPENDITURE FINDINGS 20 Annex H - Sector staffing and PE costs 72 5.1 Government WASH Expenditures 20 Annex I - Stakeholders interviewed 74 5.2 Donor and NGO expenditures on WASH 24 Annex J - Specific sources, assumptions and calculations 77 5.3 Water board revenue 29 5.4 Household expenditure 30 5.5 Expenditure in emergencies 31 5.6 Total sector expenditure 32 5.7 Analysis of all WASH expenditures by sub-sector 33 MALAWI FEBRUARY 2020 WATER, SANITATION AND HYGIENE SECTOR PUBLIC EXPENDITURE REVIEW viii
LIST OF TABLES, FIGURES, AND BOXES
TABLES Table 33 Household water expenditure estimates 2016 (IHS 4) 67
Table 1 Key financing flows and data sources 2 Table 34 Household water expenditure estimates 2010 (IHS 3) 68 Table 2 Primary data collection tools 3 Table 35 Household soap expenditure estimates 2016 Table 3 Inflation indices used to adjust to 2014/15 prices 3 (IHS 4) 69 Table 4 Assessing sector performance 4 Table 36 Household soap expenditure estimates 2010 Table 5 Description of GoM budget elements 9 (IHS 3) 70 Table 6 MDA responsibilities for water and sanitation 14 Table 37 Household expenditure 2010-2016 (MWK 2016 prices) 71 Table 7 Water sector expenditure – economic classification (MWK million – 2014/15 prices) 21 Table 38 District-level staffing – sanitation 72 Table 8 Sanitation and hygiene sub-sector expenditure – Table 39 District-level staffing – water 73 economic classification (MWK million – 2014/15 prices) 23 FIGURES Table 9 ORT budget execution data for the water sector at districts (MWK million, nominal) 23 Figure 1 Performance of key macro-economic indicators 6 Table 10 DDF budget allocation and execution (MWK million – 2014/15 prices) 23 Figure 2 Composition of GDP by sector 7 Table 11 Externally funded WASH expenditure (MWK Figure 3 Evolution of Income inequality* 7 billion) 27 Figure 4 Government revenue (MWK billion – June Table 12 Invoiced sales of the five water boards (MWK 2014/15 prices/real and actual/nominal) 8 million – 2014/15 prices) 29 Figure 5 Key elements of GoM-financed expenditure 9 Table 13 Post-tax profit of four of the five water boards in Figure 6 GoM-wide budget execution experience based 2017 (MKW million – nominal) 29 on averages of the five years 2014/15 through to Table 14 Estimated household expenditure on WASH 2018/19 10 items (2016) 30 Figure 7 Grants revenue (MWK billion – June 2014/15 Table 15 Estimations of household expenditure 30 prices/real and actual/nominal) 10 Table 16 Total sector expenditure by source (MWK billion Figure 8 ODA to Malawi by type of aid and delivery – real 2014-15 prices) 32 channel (constant 2017 USD millions, disbursements) 11 Table 17 Total sector expenditure by source (MWK billion – nominal) 33 Figure 9 Comparison of government WASH financing from domestic revenues between seven sub- Table 18 Expenditure by sub-sector by funding source Saharan African countries (% of GDP and USD (MWK billion, 2014/15 prices) 34 per capita) 16 Table 19 Expenditure by sub-sector by funding source Figure 10 GoM financing of WASH over five years, as a (MWK billion, nominal) 34 proportion of TGE and GDP, and per capita (MWK Table 20 Number of active connections 36 2014/15 prices) 17 Table 21 Non-revenue Water (NRW) for the period Figure 11 Comparison of external financing of WASH 2016/17-2017/18 37 between six sub-Saharan African countries (% of Table 22 Progress on ODF declaration 41 GDP and USD per capita) 18 Table 23 Expenditure against investment plan and Figure 12 Ratio of external financing of WASH to funding financing gap 45 from government domestic resources in six sub- Saharan African countries 18 Table 24 Cost of implementing the National Sanitation and Hygiene Strategy 2018–2024 (MKW million) 46 Figure 13 Comparison of expenditures on WASH by households between seven sub-Saharan African Table 25 Key legislation relevant to the WASH sector 57 countries (% of GDP and USD per capita) 18 Table 26 Key sector policies 57 Figure 14 Comparison of relative proportions of WASH Table 27 Key sector strategies 58 financed by households, external sources, and Table 28 Key sector institutions, their responsibilities, and government 19 functions 59 Figure 15 GoM WASH expenditures – economic Table 29 Key externally financed projects 2012-2018 60 classification summary (MWK millions, real – 2014/15 prices) 20 Table 30 Access to an improved drinking water source by district and region (2010-2018) 63 Figure 16 GoM WASH expenditures by sub-sector (MWK million, both real 2014/15 prices and actual/ Table 31 Open defecation rates by district and region nominal prices) 21 (2010-2018) 64 Figure 17 Water sector expenditure – economic Table 32 Access to an improved or traditional latrine by classification (MWK million – 2014/15 prices) 22 district and region (2010-2018) 65 WATER, SANITATION AND HYGIENE SECTOR MALAWI FEBRUARY 2020 ix PUBLIC EXPENDITURE REVIEW
Figure 18 Sanitation and hygiene sub-sector expenditure – Figure 37 Proportion of the population with access to an economic classification (MWK million – 2014/15 improved water source by region and wealth prices) 22 quintile 2010–2016 39 Figure 19 District water sector ORT funded (MWK million Figure 38 Per capita Borehole fund allocations vis-a-vis – actual/nominal and 2014/15 prices) 23 access to improved water sources by district. 40 Figure 20 Donor WASH ODA commitments 2011–17 (2016 Figure 39 Proportion of the population defecating in the prices USD millions) 24 open 40 Figure 21 WASH sector disbursements as a proportion of Figure 40 Number of ODF TAs by funding partner 41 total ODA disbursements 25 Figure 41 Ratio of HSAs* to population in districts 42 Figure 22 Commitments vs disbursements to WASH (2016 Figure 42 Proportion of the population defecating in the prices USD millions) 25 open by region and wealth quintile 2010–2016 43 Figure 23 Disbursements by delivery channel (govt. vs Figure 43 District-level progress on access to improved NGO) by funder (multilateral vs. bilateral) (2016 water sources and an improved or traditional prices USD millions) 26 latrine (2013–2018) 44 Figure 24 Commitments by grant and loan 2010-2017 (2016 Figure 44 Global costs of meeting the SDGs 48 USD millions) 26 Figure 45 The MTEF and the Budget Cycle 55 Figure 25 Externally funded WASH expenditure (MWK billion) 27 Figure 46 JMP sanitation estimates 2017 and 2019 data release 62 Figure 26 Invoiced sales of the five water boards (MKW million – 2014/15 prices) 29 Figure 47 District level progress on improved water and open defecation 66 Figure 27 Income per m3 invoiced (MKW 2014/15 prices) 30 Figure 48 Rural water supply stakeholder mapping 71 Figure 28 Water board water volume invoiced mil-m3 30 Figure 29 Household expenditure 2010–2016 (MWK 2016 prices) 31 BOXES Figure 30 Trends in total expenditure 32 Figure 31 Proportions of total expenditures over four Box 1 Key Sector policy and service delivery issues 15 sources 33 Box 2 International policy commitments 46 Figure 32 Sub-sector expenditure 2018/19 (MWK billion, Box 3 Sources, assumptions and calculations of water nominal) 33 sector GoM expenditures 77 Figure 33 Access to improved drinking water source Box 4 Sources, assumptions and calculations of (2008–2018) 35 sanitation and hygiene GoM expenditures 78 Figure 34 Water point functionality and access by district 36 Box 5 Assumptions for sub-sector analysis 78 Figure 35 Ratio of WMAs to population in districts 37 Figure 36 ORT per capita* and water point functionality 38 MALAWI FEBRUARY 2020 WATER, SANITATION AND HYGIENE SECTOR PUBLIC EXPENDITURE REVIEW x
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
AfDB African Development Bank MoAIWD Ministry of Agriculture, Irrigation and Water Development CDF Constituency Development Fund MoHP Ministry of Health and Population CRS Creditor Reporting System MTEF Medium-term Expenditure Framework DAC Development Assistance Committee (OECD) NGO Non-Governmental Organisation DCT District Coordinating Team NLGFC National Local Government Financing Committee DDF District Development Fund NRW Non-Revenue Water DEHO District Environmental Health Officer NRWB Northern Region Water Board DFAT Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (Australia) O&M Operation and Maintenance DFID Department for International Development (UK) ODA Official Development Assistance DHRMD Department of Human Resources and Management Development ODF Open Defecation Free DHS Demographic and Health Survey OECD Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development DODMA Department of Disaster Management Affairs OPM Oxford Policy Management DWDO District Water Development Officer ORT Other Recurrent Transactions EP&D Economic Planning and Development PBB Programme-Based Budgeting FY Financial Year PE Personal Emoluments GDP Gross Domestic Product PEFA Public Expenditure and Financial Accountability GLAAS Global Analysis and Assessment of Sanitation and Drinking-Water PER Public Expenditure Review GoM Government of Malawi PFM Public Financial Management HSA Health Surveillance Assistant PPP Public–Private Partnership HSJF Health Services Joint Fund SDGs Sustainable Development Goals IBNET International Benchmarking Network for Water SRWB Southern Region Water Board and Sanitation Utilities TA Traditional Authority IFMIS Integrated Financial Management System TGE Total Government Expenditure IHS Integrated Household Survey UNICEF United Nations Children’s Fund IMF International Monetary Fund USD US Dollar MDAs Ministries, Departments, and Agencies VLOM Village-Level Operation and Maintenance MDGs Millennium Development Goals WASH Water, Sanitation, and Hygiene MGDS Malawi Growth and Development Strategy WESNET Water and Environmental Sanitation Network MICS Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey WHO World Health Organization MP Member of Parliament WMA Water Monitoring Assistant MWK Malawian Kwacha WUA Water Users Association MLGRD Ministry of Local Government and Rural Development WATER, SANITATION AND HYGIENE SECTOR MALAWI FEBRUARY 2020 1 PUBLIC EXPENDITURE REVIEW © UNICEF/2015/Chikondi
1. INTRODUCTION
This WASH public expenditure review (PER) is a concise and WASH sector and improve expenditure management. More focused study, aimed at understanding the spending patterns and specifically, the PER generates evidence and analysis on the financing of WASH services in Malawi. The PER complements a efficiency, effectiveness, equity and sustainability of WASH range of researches and policy analysis work aimed at mapping expenditures, as guided by relevant WASH strategies and sector and analyzing decision-making, financial flows, allocation criteria plans. Findings from the PER are useful to inform development, and spending levels relevant to WASH services to inform financing and implementation of WASH interventions in Malawi. advocacy and to promote equitable and sustainable WASH The PER is anchored around three primary objectives: services for children. The results from this PER feed into ongoing discussions on development and implementation of the third • To assess sources of revenue and financing structure of National Water Development Programme and the new National WASH programs and interventions in Malawi. Open Defecation Free (ODF) and Hygiene Strategy. Additionally, • To analyze the size, composition, equity and effectiveness the PER provides baseline information on WASH expenditure of WASH spending. performance in Malawi. • To set out a range of options and recommendations to improve the quality of WASH spending in order to benefit all This PER was produced under the guidance of a technical children in Malawi. working group with cross-departmental representation from the M&E Division of the Department of Economic Planning and Through a collaborative UNICEF-GoM approach, a secondary Development (EP&D), the Water Supplies Department under objective of the PER was to build the capacity of the Government the Ministry of Agriculture, Irrigation and Water Development of Malawi in public expenditure analysis. (MoAIWD), the Environmental Health and Sanitation Department under the Ministry of Health and Population (MoHP), the National The PER covers a period of five fiscal years from 2013/14 to Statistics Office (NSO), Civil Society representation through 2018/19. The review included a wide range of components, WESNET. The United Nations Children Fund (UNICEF) provided focused on six key areas: (I) a review of the Malawi WASH the financial, technical and logistical support that enabled the context; (ii) a sector review of financing, budget allocation, and production of this PER. The Oxford Policy Management (OPM) national expenditures on WASH in Malawi, and an analysis of provided the technical backstopping in the entire PER process. sector performance; (iii) an assessment of the critical budget and expenditure challenges and how they influence service 1.1 Objectives and scope of the PER delivery; (iv) district-level insights into the factors affecting budget decisions, and those factors affecting budget execution, The overarching goals of the PER are to assist the Government efficiency, and equity; (v) stakeholder workshops; and (vi) of Malawi to analyse public expenditure and performance in the developing policy options and recommendations. MALAWI FEBRUARY 2020 WATER, SANITATION AND HYGIENE SECTOR PUBLIC EXPENDITURE REVIEW 2
1.2 Structure of the PER The sector performance analysis drew on data from nationally representative surveys and MoAIWD sector performance The remainder of the report is structured as follows: Section 1.3 reports. Table 1 provides an overview of the data collected for provides details of the approach and methodology. Sections 2 and different funding sources. 3 provide a summary of the sector context, covering: an overview of the macro-fiscal context in Malawi, a description of key public financial management (PFM) processes and their performance, TABLE 1 Key financing flows and data sources and an overview of the structure of the WASH sector in Malawi. Section 4 provides an analysis of sector financing, comparing Source/flow Description Key data sources Malawi to regional peers for which there are data. Section 5 Domestic • Budget and • Budget reports, funding public expenditure of reports, and IFMIS presents the findings related to sector expenditure – this includes transfers MDAs (Ministries, reports (secondary) – an analysis of government, water board, donor, household, and Departments and see discussion below emergency expenditures in the sector. Section 6 presents the Agencies). for details of the documents used. analysis related to sector performance and efficiency and equity • Budget and expenditure by considerations. Section 7 discusses the key findings by thematic districts. area. Section 8 presents recommendations. International • Transfers by • OECD-DAC creditor public international donors reporting system (CRS) 1.3 Approach and methodology transfers to government (secondary). institutions classified as ODA. • WESNET data 1.3.1 Data sources and data collection (secondary). • This includes on- Data collection was both quantitative and qualitative. Data budget and off-budget • NGO/development on GoM expenditures were collected from various sources, expenditure. partner questionnaire (primary). including the integrated financial management system (IFMIS) Voluntary • NGO expenditure • WESNET data and treasury reports. Data on water board expenditures were transfers funded from private (secondary). drawn from corporate and management accounts shared with sources (i.e. non- OECD Development • NGO/development the PER team. Data on household expenditure were estimated Assistance Committee partner questionnaire from expenditure surveys. Data on donor expenditure drew (DAC) sources). (primary). on various sources, including: Organisation for Economic Co- Tariffs • Tariff collection by • Data from water operation and Development (OECD) development assistance the water boards boards on revenues and water board and expenditures committee (DAC) data; WESNET data on NGO expenditure; and a expenditures. (secondary). survey questionnaire sent by the PER team to donors and NGOs. Expenditure • Revenues and • Living standards on self- expenditure by WUAs, surveys – Integrated supply and by households Household Survey (HIS) on onsite latrines and 3 and 4 (secondary). latrine maintenance. Source: Authors
Data on GoM budgets and expenditures at different levels are reported in different sources and documents and, as such, the PER drew on multiple sources. The secondary sources used for GoM data include the following:
• National-level documents for each year (available online): draft financial statements (Budget Document 3), annual economic report (Budget Document 2); programme- based budget (Budget Document 5). • MDA-level and sub-MDA documents for each year (from Accountant General Department): IFMIS reports for the whole of MoAIWD and the whole of MoHP for each year – called ‘Itemized Comm and Expen Report by Cost Center’, which includes line-by-line details (with up to 8,200 lines each) of budgets, funding, and expenditures; and budget reports for MoAIWD’s Water Services Department and MoHP’s Environmental Health Unit. © UNICEF/2009/Pirozzi WATER, SANITATION AND HYGIENE SECTOR MALAWI FEBRUARY 2020 3 PUBLIC EXPENDITURE REVIEW
• District-level documents for each year (from National and to six key donors; returns were received from six NGOs and Local Government Financing Committee (NLGFC)): three donors. programme-based budgets (itemised per district); treasury funding reports, per district and per sector; IFMIS budget and 1.3.2 Analysis of financial data expenditure reports; and ‘End of Year Councils Consolidated The analysis of the WASH financial data included the following Cost Centre Report’, itemised per district, per cost centre, core analyses: and per item.
i. Sector financing – Analysis of financing from each main The quantitative data collection at district level was supplemented financing source, in comparison with the sector financing of by qualitative data collection in 10 districts and by questionnaires other countries. completed by WASH staff in all 28 districts. The focus of the qualitative data collection was on understanding the involvement ii. Level and composition of government spending based of various actors in the budget process, the policy priorities of on economic classification – Analysis of WASH GoM districts, and service delivery challenges, and how these relate to expenditures in relation to total government expenditure sector financing. Additionally, a further key aspect of this primary (TGE) and GDP in nominal and real terms. data collection was to gather information that would allow for iii. Budget utilisation and execution – Analysis of budget reliable estimates to be made where budget lines needed to credibility and execution: actual government expenditures be assigned to specific sub-sectors. The scope and focus of the against approved and revised budgets. primary data collection is summarised in Table 2. iv. External expenditures – Analysis of commitments and expenditures of ODA (government to government) and from TABLE 2 Primary data collection tools private sources.
Source/ tool Details v. Water boards – Analysis of expenditure of the five boards. DEHO/DWDO Questionnaires were sent to key staff (District vi. Household expenditure – Estimates of expenditures by questionnaires Environmental Health Officers (DEHOs) and District Water Development Officers (DWDOs)) in members of the public. all 28 districts. These questionnaires focused on gathering information related to: staffing within vii. Total sector expenditure – Analysis of the result of bringing the districts; funding and activities in WASH together government, external, water board, and household over the PER period; donors/NGOs working in expenditures. the district; and their priorities and challenges in WASH. viii. Functional classification – Estimation of each element of NGO/Donor Questionnaires were sent to all prominent donors total sector spending across four sub-sectors. questionnaires and NGOs working in WASH. These focused on gathering information related to: their sources of financing; which districts and sub-sectors their Where data were available with sufficient granularity, they were expenditure is in; and if they distribute funding to sorted and analysed using tailor-made spreadsheet tools. In other NGOs. Interviews in ten Case studies were undertaken in 10 districts some cases there were gaps in required granularity, so estimates District Councils (Rumphi, Lilongwe, Kasungu, Chikwawa, and extrapolations were made from available data. Annex J Machinga, Mzuzu, Ntcheu, Nkhotakota, Phalombe, provides details of sources, assumptions, and calculations for and Mangochi). In these case studies the teams interviewed all key district council staff, frontline GoM expenditure elements, and for the functional analysis. staff, and WUAs. The expenditure analyses include a focus on a comparison of spending over the five years of the PER period, from 2014/15 With the support of officers at MoHP and MoAIWD, respectively, through 2018/19. Much of this analysis is presented with inflation- completed DEHO/DWDO questionnaires were received from all adjusted data (‘real’), in order that the trend over years may be 28 districts – from 292 DEHOs and from 28 DWDOs – a 100% better understood. This is done by presenting data in 2014–15 response rate. NGO/donor questionnaires were sent to 19 NGOs prices. The indices3 used to prepare such inflation-adjusted data
2 Mzimba has two District Health Offices – North and South. are presented in Table 3.
3 The indices are calculated from consumer prices indices as at 30 June of each year. For example, 2018/19 data are multiplied by 1.090 to convert to 2019/20 prices, because the consumer price inflation between 30 June 2018 and 30 June 2019 was 9.0%.
TABLE 3 Inflation indices used to adjust to 2014/15 prices
11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 Annual inflation 22.7% 32.5% 25.7% 18.8% 18.2% 11.3% 8.6% 9.0% Adjustment factor 2.044 1.666 1.257 1.000 0.842 0.712 0.640 0.589
Source: Consumer price data from the Reserve Bank of Malawi4.
4 The indices are calculated from consumer price indices as at 30 June of each year. MALAWI FEBRUARY 2020 WATER, SANITATION AND HYGIENE SECTOR PUBLIC EXPENDITURE REVIEW 4
1.3.3 Analysis of sector performance and equity
Progress in the WASH sector is assessed through the level of access to WASH services, and the quality and functionality of those services. Utility performance is a distinct component, which is measured by indicators reported to MoAIWD and reported in sector performance reports. Separately, equity analyses focus on the degree to which progress in WASH has been pro-poor, and the allocation of budget in relation to need and location. Table 4 summaries the data sources used in the analysis of sector performance.
TABLE 4 Assessing sector performance
Performance Details of analysis Data sources area
Access • Analysis of access • Secondary nationally to basic to basic services by representative surveys services district and nationally, (Demographic and over time. Health Surveys (DHS) and Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys (MICS), and the census.
Service • Analysis of • Secondary data on functionality functionality rates sector performance and quality across districts and in from MoAIWD. relation to operation and maintenance • Sector performance (O&M) expenditure. reports (especially Analysis of service the 2016 report). levels. Data currently being collected on water point mapping.
Utility • Analysis of • Data obtained from performance performance the water boards. Data in reference to from MoAIWD. key International Benchmarking Network for Water and Sanitation Utilities (IBNET) areas. WATER, SANITATION AND HYGIENE SECTOR MALAWI FEBRUARY 2020 5 PUBLIC EXPENDITURE REVIEW © UNICEF/2015/Chikondi
2. NATIONAL CONTEXT 2.1 Macro-economic situation
Malawi’s GDP per capita remains low, at $389 in 2018, Low GDP growth in 2015–2016 was attributed, in part, to a and its poverty incidence, as well as some of its human persistent two-year drought10. The 2016 drought is estimated development indices are among the worst in sub-Saharan to have left over 40% of the population (~6.5 million people) Africa. The proportion of the population living below the poverty facing food insecurity11. In addition to drought, Malawi has also line ($1.90 per day) was 69.4% in 2018 (World Bank, 2018), and experienced shocks related to flooding, notably heavy flooding Malawi ranks 172 of 187 countries on the Human Development in 2015 and Cyclone Idai in 2019. For example, the 2015 floods Index5. Malawi ranks also 172 in gender equality6 reflecting affected over a million people, displaced 230,000, and caused high gender-based violence, frequent early marriages, and poor damage and loss totalling over $335 million, with the cost of maternal health. The 2018 census reported a population of 17.5 disaster recovery estimated at $494 million (GoM, 2015). million. Population growth between 2008 and 2018 averaged 2.9%. The majority of the population (84%) lives in rural areas. In 2018 inflation eased to single-digits, after years of double- Malawi’s population is youthful: 51% of the population is under digits with a peak of around 30% in 2013. The decline in 18, and the median age is 17. However, the latest census shows inflation is attributed to the stabilisation in food prices, a prudent early signs of a slowing birth rate and a demographic transition, macro-economic policy (IMF, 2018), and the continued stability with a narrowing base in the 0–4 years’ cohort. of the Malawi Kwacha (World Bank, 2018). Key inflationary pressures include food prices, and rising water and electricity Malawi’s GDP growth rate averaged 4.7% between 2017 and tariffs12. 2019 – 5.2% (2017), 4.0% (2018) and 5.0% (2019)7. GDP growth is expected to increase gradually to 6% in the medium term8. Changes in GDP growth are largely associated with shifts in the agricultural sector, which accounts for over 72% of employment9.
5 http://hdr.undp.org/en/countries/profiles/MWI 10 These droughts were associated with El Nino and were also accompanied by flooding. 6 http://hdr.undp.org/en/data The droughts were the worst in 35 years and resulted in a food crisis following two failed harvest due to lack of rains. 7 2019 Annual Economic Report 11 Estimates by Oxfam, www.oxfam.org.uk/what-we-do/emergency-response/mala- 8 ‘IMF DataMapper’ https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper [accessed September 2019], wi-food-crisis [accessed October 2019] differing slightly from Malawi government data 12 Ibid. 9 As at 2018. Source: World Bank DataBank https://databank.worldbank.org [accessed October 2019] MALAWI FEBRUARY 2020 WATER, SANITATION AND HYGIENE SECTOR PUBLIC EXPENDITURE REVIEW 6