Normality Tests
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Use of Proc Iml to Calculate L-Moments for the Univariate Distributional Shape Parameters Skewness and Kurtosis
Statistics 573 USE OF PROC IML TO CALCULATE L-MOMENTS FOR THE UNIVARIATE DISTRIBUTIONAL SHAPE PARAMETERS SKEWNESS AND KURTOSIS Michael A. Walega Berlex Laboratories, Wayne, New Jersey Introduction Exploratory data analysis statistics, such as those Gaussian. Bickel (1988) and Van Oer Laan and generated by the sp,ge procedure PROC Verdooren (1987) discuss the concept of robustness UNIVARIATE (1990), are useful tools to characterize and how it pertains to the assumption of normality. the underlying distribution of data prior to more rigorous statistical analyses. Assessment of the As discussed by Glass et al. (1972), incorrect distributional shape of data is usually accomplished conclusions may be reached when the normality by careful examination of the values of the third and assumption is not valid, especially when one-tail tests fourth central moments, skewness and kurtosis. are employed or the sample size or significance level However, when the sample size is small or the are very small. Hopkins and Weeks (1990) also underlying distribution is non-normal, the information discuss the effects of highly non-normal data on obtained from the sample skewness and kurtosis can hypothesis testing of variances. Thus, it is apparent be misleading. that examination of the skewness (departure from symmetry) and kurtosis (deviation from a normal One alternative to the central moment shape statistics curve) is an important component of exploratory data is the use of linear combinations of order statistics (L analyses. moments) to examine the distributional shape characteristics of data. L-moments have several Various methods to estimate skewness and kurtosis theoretical advantages over the central moment have been proposed (MacGillivray and Salanela, shape statistics: Characterization of a wider range of 1988). -
Linear Regression in SPSS
Linear Regression in SPSS Data: mangunkill.sav Goals: • Examine relation between number of handguns registered (nhandgun) and number of man killed (mankill) • Model checking • Predict number of man killed using number of handguns registered I. View the Data with a Scatter Plot To create a scatter plot, click through Graphs\Scatter\Simple\Define. A Scatterplot dialog box will appear. Click Simple option and then click Define button. The Simple Scatterplot dialog box will appear. Click mankill to the Y-axis box and click nhandgun to the x-axis box. Then hit OK. To see fit line, double click on the scatter plot, click on Chart\Options, then check the Total box in the box labeled Fit Line in the upper right corner. 60 60 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10 Killed of People Number Number of People Killed 400 500 600 700 800 400 500 600 700 800 Number of Handguns Registered Number of Handguns Registered 1 Click the target button on the left end of the tool bar, the mouse pointer will change shape. Move the target pointer to the data point and click the left mouse button, the case number of the data point will appear on the chart. This will help you to identify the data point in your data sheet. II. Regression Analysis To perform the regression, click on Analyze\Regression\Linear. Place nhandgun in the Dependent box and place mankill in the Independent box. To obtain the 95% confidence interval for the slope, click on the Statistics button at the bottom and then put a check in the box for Confidence Intervals. -
On the Meaning and Use of Kurtosis
Psychological Methods Copyright 1997 by the American Psychological Association, Inc. 1997, Vol. 2, No. 3,292-307 1082-989X/97/$3.00 On the Meaning and Use of Kurtosis Lawrence T. DeCarlo Fordham University For symmetric unimodal distributions, positive kurtosis indicates heavy tails and peakedness relative to the normal distribution, whereas negative kurtosis indicates light tails and flatness. Many textbooks, however, describe or illustrate kurtosis incompletely or incorrectly. In this article, kurtosis is illustrated with well-known distributions, and aspects of its interpretation and misinterpretation are discussed. The role of kurtosis in testing univariate and multivariate normality; as a measure of departures from normality; in issues of robustness, outliers, and bimodality; in generalized tests and estimators, as well as limitations of and alternatives to the kurtosis measure [32, are discussed. It is typically noted in introductory statistics standard deviation. The normal distribution has a kur- courses that distributions can be characterized in tosis of 3, and 132 - 3 is often used so that the refer- terms of central tendency, variability, and shape. With ence normal distribution has a kurtosis of zero (132 - respect to shape, virtually every textbook defines and 3 is sometimes denoted as Y2)- A sample counterpart illustrates skewness. On the other hand, another as- to 132 can be obtained by replacing the population pect of shape, which is kurtosis, is either not discussed moments with the sample moments, which gives or, worse yet, is often described or illustrated incor- rectly. Kurtosis is also frequently not reported in re- ~(X i -- S)4/n search articles, in spite of the fact that virtually every b2 (•(X i - ~')2/n)2' statistical package provides a measure of kurtosis. -
The Probability Lifesaver: Order Statistics and the Median Theorem
The Probability Lifesaver: Order Statistics and the Median Theorem Steven J. Miller December 30, 2015 Contents 1 Order Statistics and the Median Theorem 3 1.1 Definition of the Median 5 1.2 Order Statistics 10 1.3 Examples of Order Statistics 15 1.4 TheSampleDistributionoftheMedian 17 1.5 TechnicalboundsforproofofMedianTheorem 20 1.6 TheMedianofNormalRandomVariables 22 2 • Greetings again! In this supplemental chapter we develop the theory of order statistics in order to prove The Median Theorem. This is a beautiful result in its own, but also extremely important as a substitute for the Central Limit Theorem, and allows us to say non- trivial things when the CLT is unavailable. Chapter 1 Order Statistics and the Median Theorem The Central Limit Theorem is one of the gems of probability. It’s easy to use and its hypotheses are satisfied in a wealth of problems. Many courses build towards a proof of this beautiful and powerful result, as it truly is ‘central’ to the entire subject. Not to detract from the majesty of this wonderful result, however, what happens in those instances where it’s unavailable? For example, one of the key assumptions that must be met is that our random variables need to have finite higher moments, or at the very least a finite variance. What if we were to consider sums of Cauchy random variables? Is there anything we can say? This is not just a question of theoretical interest, of mathematicians generalizing for the sake of generalization. The following example from economics highlights why this chapter is more than just of theoretical interest. -
Theoretical Statistics. Lecture 5. Peter Bartlett
Theoretical Statistics. Lecture 5. Peter Bartlett 1. U-statistics. 1 Outline of today’s lecture We’ll look at U-statistics, a family of estimators that includes many interesting examples. We’ll study their properties: unbiased, lower variance, concentration (via an application of the bounded differences inequality), asymptotic variance, asymptotic distribution. (See Chapter 12 of van der Vaart.) First, we’ll consider the standard unbiased estimate of variance—a special case of a U-statistic. 2 Variance estimates n 1 s2 = (X − X¯ )2 n n − 1 i n Xi=1 n n 1 = (X − X¯ )2 +(X − X¯ )2 2n(n − 1) i n j n Xi=1 Xj=1 n n 1 2 = (X − X¯ ) − (X − X¯ ) 2n(n − 1) i n j n Xi=1 Xj=1 n n 1 1 = (X − X )2 n(n − 1) 2 i j Xi=1 Xj=1 1 1 = (X − X )2 . n 2 i j 2 Xi<j 3 Variance estimates This is unbiased for i.i.d. data: 1 Es2 = E (X − X )2 n 2 1 2 1 = E ((X − EX ) − (X − EX ))2 2 1 1 2 2 1 2 2 = E (X1 − EX1) +(X2 − EX2) 2 2 = E (X1 − EX1) . 4 U-statistics Definition: A U-statistic of order r with kernel h is 1 U = n h(Xi1 ,...,Xir ), r iX⊆[n] where h is symmetric in its arguments. [If h is not symmetric in its arguments, we can also average over permutations.] “U” for “unbiased.” Introduced by Wassily Hoeffding in the 1940s. 5 U-statistics Theorem: [Halmos] θ (parameter, i.e., function defined on a family of distributions) admits an unbiased estimator (ie: for all sufficiently large n, some function of the i.i.d. -
The Normal Probability Distribution
BIOSTATISTICS BIOL 4343 Assessing normality Not all continuous random variables are normally distributed. It is important to evaluate how well the data set seems to be adequately approximated by a normal distribution. In this section some statistical tools will be presented to check whether a given set of data is normally distributed. 1. Previous knowledge of the nature of the distribution Problem: A researcher working with sea stars needs to know if sea star size (length of radii) is normally distributed. What do we know about the size distributions of sea star populations? 1. Has previous work with this species of sea star shown them to be normally distributed? 2. Has previous work with a closely related species of seas star shown them to be normally distributed? 3. Has previous work with seas stars in general shown them to be normally distributed? If you can answer yes to any of the above questions and you do not have a reason to think your population should be different, you could reasonably assume that your population is also normally distributed and stop here. However, if any previous work has shown non-normal distribution of sea stars you had probably better use other techniques. 2. Construct charts For small- or moderate-sized data sets, the stem-and-leaf display and box-and- whisker plot will look symmetric. For large data sets, construct a histogram or polygon and see if the distribution bell-shaped or deviates grossly from a bell-shaped normal distribution. Look for skewness and asymmetry. Look for gaps in the distribution – intervals with no observations. -
Lecture 14 Testing for Kurtosis
9/8/2016 CHE384, From Data to Decisions: Measurement, Kurtosis Uncertainty, Analysis, and Modeling • For any distribution, the kurtosis (sometimes Lecture 14 called the excess kurtosis) is defined as Testing for Kurtosis 3 (old notation = ) • For a unimodal, symmetric distribution, Chris A. Mack – a positive kurtosis means “heavy tails” and a more Adjunct Associate Professor peaked center compared to a normal distribution – a negative kurtosis means “light tails” and a more spread center compared to a normal distribution http://www.lithoguru.com/scientist/statistics/ © Chris Mack, 2016Data to Decisions 1 © Chris Mack, 2016Data to Decisions 2 Kurtosis Examples One Impact of Excess Kurtosis • For the Student’s t • For a normal distribution, the sample distribution, the variance will have an expected value of s2, excess kurtosis is and a variance of 6 2 4 1 for DF > 4 ( for DF ≤ 4 the kurtosis is infinite) • For a distribution with excess kurtosis • For a uniform 2 1 1 distribution, 1 2 © Chris Mack, 2016Data to Decisions 3 © Chris Mack, 2016Data to Decisions 4 Sample Kurtosis Sample Kurtosis • For a sample of size n, the sample kurtosis is • An unbiased estimator of the sample excess 1 kurtosis is ∑ ̅ 1 3 3 1 6 1 2 3 ∑ ̅ Standard Error: • For large n, the sampling distribution of 1 24 2 1 approaches Normal with mean 0 and variance 2 1 of 24/n 3 5 • For small samples, this estimator is biased D. N. Joanes and C. A. Gill, “Comparing Measures of Sample Skewness and Kurtosis”, The Statistician, 47(1),183–189 (1998). -
Covariances of Two Sample Rank Sum Statistics
JOURNAL OF RESEARCH of the National Bureou of Standards - B. Mathematical Sciences Volume 76B, Nos. 1 and 2, January-June 1972 Covariances of Two Sample Rank Sum Statistics Peter V. Tryon Institute for Basic Standards, National Bureau of Standards, Boulder, Colorado 80302 (November 26, 1971) This note presents an elementary derivation of the covariances of the e(e - 1)/2 two-sample rank sum statistics computed among aU pairs of samples from e populations. Key words: e Sample proble m; covariances, Mann-Whitney-Wilcoxon statistics; rank sum statistics; statistics. Mann-Whitney or Wilcoxon rank sum statistics, computed for some or all of the c(c - 1)/2 pairs of samples from c populations, have been used in testing the null hypothesis of homogeneity of dis tribution against a variety of alternatives [1, 3,4,5).1 This note presents an elementary derivation of the covariances of such statistics under the null hypothesis_ The usual approach to such an analysis is the rank sum viewpoint of the Wilcoxon form of the statistic. Using this approach, Steel [3] presents a lengthy derivation of the covariances. In this note it is shown that thinking in terms of the Mann-Whitney form of the statistic leads to an elementary derivation. For comparison and completeness the rank sum derivation of Kruskal and Wallis [2] is repeated in obtaining the means and variances. Let x{, r= 1,2, ... , ni, i= 1,2, ... , c, be the rth item in the sample of size ni from the ith of c populations. Let Mij be the Mann-Whitney statistic between the ith andjth samples defined by n· n· Mij= ~ t z[J (1) s=1 1' = 1 where l,xJ~>xr Zr~= { I) O,xj";;;x[ } Thus Mij is the number of times items in the jth sample exceed items in the ith sample. -
Analysis of Covariance (ANCOVA) with Two Groups
NCSS Statistical Software NCSS.com Chapter 226 Analysis of Covariance (ANCOVA) with Two Groups Introduction This procedure performs analysis of covariance (ANCOVA) for a grouping variable with 2 groups and one covariate variable. This procedure uses multiple regression techniques to estimate model parameters and compute least squares means. This procedure also provides standard error estimates for least squares means and their differences, and computes the T-test for the difference between group means adjusted for the covariate. The procedure also provides response vs covariate by group scatter plots and residuals for checking model assumptions. This procedure will output results for a simple two-sample equal-variance T-test if no covariate is entered and simple linear regression if no group variable is entered. This allows you to complete the ANCOVA analysis if either the group variable or covariate is determined to be non-significant. For additional options related to the T- test and simple linear regression analyses, we suggest you use the corresponding procedures in NCSS. The group variable in this procedure is restricted to two groups. If you want to perform ANCOVA with a group variable that has three or more groups, use the One-Way Analysis of Covariance (ANCOVA) procedure. This procedure cannot be used to analyze models that include more than one covariate variable or more than one group variable. If the model you want to analyze includes more than one covariate variable and/or more than one group variable, use the General Linear Models (GLM) for Fixed Factors procedure instead. Kinds of Research Questions A large amount of research consists of studying the influence of a set of independent variables on a response (dependent) variable. -
A Robust Rescaled Moment Test for Normality in Regression
Journal of Mathematics and Statistics 5 (1): 54-62, 2009 ISSN 1549-3644 © 2009 Science Publications A Robust Rescaled Moment Test for Normality in Regression 1Md.Sohel Rana, 1Habshah Midi and 2A.H.M. Rahmatullah Imon 1Laboratory of Applied and Computational Statistics, Institute for Mathematical Research, University Putra Malaysia, 43400 Serdang, Selangor, Malaysia 2Department of Mathematical Sciences, Ball State University, Muncie, IN 47306, USA Abstract: Problem statement: Most of the statistical procedures heavily depend on normality assumption of observations. In regression, we assumed that the random disturbances were normally distributed. Since the disturbances were unobserved, normality tests were done on regression residuals. But it is now evident that normality tests on residuals suffer from superimposed normality and often possess very poor power. Approach: This study showed that normality tests suffer huge set back in the presence of outliers. We proposed a new robust omnibus test based on rescaled moments and coefficients of skewness and kurtosis of residuals that we call robust rescaled moment test. Results: Numerical examples and Monte Carlo simulations showed that this proposed test performs better than the existing tests for normality in the presence of outliers. Conclusion/Recommendation: We recommend using our proposed omnibus test instead of the existing tests for checking the normality of the regression residuals. Key words: Regression residuals, outlier, rescaled moments, skewness, kurtosis, jarque-bera test, robust rescaled moment test INTRODUCTION out that the powers of t and F tests are extremely sensitive to the hypothesized error distribution and may In regression analysis, it is a common practice over deteriorate very rapidly as the error distribution the years to use the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) becomes long-tailed. -
Testing Normality: a GMM Approach Christian Bontempsa and Nour
Testing Normality: A GMM Approach Christian Bontempsa and Nour Meddahib∗ a LEEA-CENA, 7 avenue Edouard Belin, 31055 Toulouse Cedex, France. b D´epartement de sciences ´economiques, CIRANO, CIREQ, Universit´ede Montr´eal, C.P. 6128, succursale Centre-ville, Montr´eal (Qu´ebec), H3C 3J7, Canada. First version: March 2001 This version: June 2003 Abstract In this paper, we consider testing marginal normal distributional assumptions. More precisely, we propose tests based on moment conditions implied by normality. These moment conditions are known as the Stein (1972) equations. They coincide with the first class of moment conditions derived by Hansen and Scheinkman (1995) when the random variable of interest is a scalar diffusion. Among other examples, Stein equation implies that the mean of Hermite polynomials is zero. The GMM approach we adopt is well suited for two reasons. It allows us to study in detail the parameter uncertainty problem, i.e., when the tests depend on unknown parameters that have to be estimated. In particular, we characterize the moment conditions that are robust against parameter uncertainty and show that Hermite polynomials are special examples. This is the main contribution of the paper. The second reason for using GMM is that our tests are also valid for time series. In this case, we adopt a Heteroskedastic-Autocorrelation-Consistent approach to estimate the weighting matrix when the dependence of the data is unspecified. We also make a theoretical comparison of our tests with Jarque and Bera (1980) and OPG regression tests of Davidson and MacKinnon (1993). Finite sample properties of our tests are derived through a comprehensive Monte Carlo study. -
Power Comparisons of Shapiro-Wilk, Kolmogorov-Smirnov, Lilliefors and Anderson-Darling Tests
Journal ofStatistical Modeling and Analytics Vol.2 No.I, 21-33, 2011 Power comparisons of Shapiro-Wilk, Kolmogorov-Smirnov, Lilliefors and Anderson-Darling tests Nornadiah Mohd Razali1 Yap Bee Wah 1 1Faculty ofComputer and Mathematica/ Sciences, Universiti Teknologi MARA, 40450 Shah Alam, Selangor, Malaysia E-mail: nornadiah@tmsk. uitm. edu.my, yapbeewah@salam. uitm. edu.my ABSTRACT The importance of normal distribution is undeniable since it is an underlying assumption of many statistical procedures such as I-tests, linear regression analysis, discriminant analysis and Analysis of Variance (ANOVA). When the normality assumption is violated, interpretation and inferences may not be reliable or valid. The three common procedures in assessing whether a random sample of independent observations of size n come from a population with a normal distribution are: graphical methods (histograms, boxplots, Q-Q-plots), numerical methods (skewness and kurtosis indices) and formal normality tests. This paper* compares the power offour formal tests of normality: Shapiro-Wilk (SW) test, Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) test, Lillie/ors (LF) test and Anderson-Darling (AD) test. Power comparisons of these four tests were obtained via Monte Carlo simulation of sample data generated from alternative distributions that follow symmetric and asymmetric distributions. Ten thousand samples ofvarious sample size were generated from each of the given alternative symmetric and asymmetric distributions. The power of each test was then obtained by comparing the test of normality statistics with the respective critical values. Results show that Shapiro-Wilk test is the most powerful normality test, followed by Anderson-Darling test, Lillie/ors test and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test. However, the power ofall four tests is still low for small sample size.