A Multiple Overlapping Deprivation Analysis
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A Multiple Overlapping Deprivation Analysis July 2016 Child Poverty in Zimbabwe: A Multiple Overlapping Deprivation Analysis July 2016 © UNICEF Zimbabwe and Zimbabwe National Statistics Agency All rights reserved. No part of this report may be reproduced or utilized in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording or by any information storage or retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publishers. This publication is available on the following websites: www.unicef.org/zimbabwe and www.zimstat.co.zw/ The Child Poverty in Zimbabwe is based on A Multiple Overlapping Deprivation Analysis of data collected in the Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey 2014. Recommended citation: UNICEF Zimbabwe (2016) The Child Poverty in Zimbabwe: A Multiple Overlapping Deprivation Analysis of Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey 2014. Harare, UNICEF Foreword Poverty reduction is a national priority for Zimbabwe. The Ministry of Finance and Economic Development coordinated the development of an Interim Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper (IPRSP) (2016-2018) for Zimbabwe. The purpose of the IPRSP is to enhance Government efforts in fighting poverty in Zimbabwe and ensure inclusive growth, guided by the country’s national development plan, Zimbabwe Agenda for Sustainable Socio-Economic Transformation (ZimASSET). This report presents the multidimensional child deprivation analysis for Zimbabwe, applying the Multiple Overlapping Deprivation Analysis (MODA) methodology that measures various aspects of child poverty. Child poverty is defined as non- fulfilment of children’s rights to survival, development, protection and participation, anchored in the Convention on the Rights of the Child. The 2014 Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey (MICS) data was used, taking the child as a unit of analysis and applying a life-cycle approach when selecting dimensions and indicators to capture the different deprivations children experience at different stages of their life. The main objective of the report is to present Child Poverty in Zimbabwe using a direct method of child poverty measurement which analyses deprivations experienced by the child. The report goes beyond mere deprivation rates and identifies the depth of child poverty by analysing the extent to which the different deprivations are experienced simultaneously. Focus on the key determinants affecting children today creates an enabling environment to support evidence-based advocacy around investment in critical basic services, including where high future returns can be achieved (e.g. education, nutrition, water and sanitation and early childhood development). These will help to accelerate the unfinished business as well as sustain the gains on the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) and pave the way for achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). We thank Swedish International Development Cooperation Agency (SIDA) for their financial support and acknowledge the great technical support and contribution of Prof. Dr. Chris De Neubourg and Nesha Ramful from the Economic Policy Research Institute (EPRI) and Marlous de Milliano from the UNICEF Office of Research – Innocenti. Special thanks to the Zimbabwe National Statistics Agency (ZIMSTAT) team, namely Taizivei Mungate, Evelyn Marima, Handrick Chigiji, Lloyd Mahere, Lovemore Sungano Ziswa, Jacob Chitiyo, Tinashe Mwadiwa and Tidings Matangira (Zimbabwe 2014 MICS Lead Team), the UNICEF Zimbabwe Country Office team i.e. Chief of Social Policy and Research, Samson Muradzikwa, the Social Protection Specialist, Chrystelle Tsafack and the Social and Economic Analysis Officer Rumbidza Tizora. We also acknowledge with much appreciation all those who participated in the N-MODA workshops held by UNICEF Zimbabwe in 2015 and 2016 and provided their invaluable inputs. Dr. Mohamed Ayoya M. Dzinotizei Representative, UNICEF Harare, Zimbabwe Director-General, ZIMSTAT July 2016 Child Poverty in Zimbabwe: A Multiple Overlapping Deprivation Analysis i Table of Contents Foreword . .i List of Abbreviations . .vii Executive Summary . .ix 1. Introduction . .1 1.1 Background . .1 2. Methodology . .3 2.1 MODA methodology . .3 2.2 Indicator and dimension selection . .4 3. Results . .8 3.1 Deprivation among children aged 0–17 years (aggregation of results for all age groups of children) . .8 3.1.1 Multidimensional child poverty . .8 3.1.2 Overlap between child poverty based on wealth status of the household and multidimensional poverty . .18 3.2 Deprivation among children aged 0–23 months . .22 3.2.1 Single deprivation analysis . .22 3.2.2 Multiple Overlapping Deprivation Analysis . .33 3.3 Deprivation among children aged 24–59 months . .45 3.3.1 Single deprivation analysis . .45 3.3.2 Multiple Overlapping Deprivation Analysis . .55 3.4 Deprivation among children aged 5–14 years . .65 3.4.1 Single deprivation analysis . .65 3.4.2 Multiple Overlapping Deprivation Analysis . .71 3.5 Deprivation among children aged 15–17 years . .80 3.5.1 Single deprivation analysis . .80 3.5.2 Multiple Overlapping Deprivation Analysis . .87 3.6 Analysis of multidimensional poverty according to the wealth status of children . .96 3.6.1 Single deprivation analysis . .96 3.6.2 Multiple deprivation analysis . .99 3.6.3 Overlap analysis between monetary poverty and multidimensional deprivation . .104 References . .106 Annexes . .107 ii Child Poverty in Zimbabwe: A Multiple Overlapping Deprivation Analysis July 2016 Table of Contents Index of Tables Table 1: Dimensions, indicators and age groups for N-MODA Zimbabwe using MICS5 . .5 Table 2: Multidimensional deprivation indices for children aged 0–17 years at the national level . .9 Table 3: Percentage distribution of children aged 0–17 years by province . .10 Table 4: Deprivation distribution for children aged 0–17 years by child’s characteristics . .10 Table 5: Overlap between child poverty for children aged 0–17 years based on wealth status of households and multidimensional poverty by area . .19 Table 6: Deprivation rates for children aged 0–23 months by dimension and child’s characteristics . .32 Table 7: Percentage distribution of children aged 0–23 months deprived on each number of deprivations by province . .38 Table 8: Deprivation distribution for children aged 0–23 months by child’s characteristics . .39 Table 9: Multidimensional deprivation indices for children aged 0–23 months at the national level . .40 Table 10: Deprivation rates for children aged 24–59 months by dimension and child’s characteristics . .55 Table 11: Deprivation distribution for children aged 24–59 months by child’s characteristics . .60 Table 12: Multidimensional deprivation indices for children aged 24–59 months at national level . .61 Table 13: Deprivation rates for children aged 5–14 years by dimensions and child’s characteristics . .70 Table 14: Deprivation distribution of children aged 5–14 years by child’s characteristics . .75 Table 15: Multidimensional deprivation indices at national level for children aged 5–14 years . .76 Table 16: Deprivation rates for children aged 15–17 years by dimension and child’s characteristics . .86 Table 17: Deprivation distribution for children aged 15–17 years by child’s characteristics . .91 Table 18: Multidimensional deprivation indices for children aged 15–17 years at national level . .92 July 2016 Child Poverty in Zimbabwe: A Multiple Overlapping Deprivation Analysis iii Table of Contents Index of Figures Figure 1: Selected dimensions for each age group . .5 Figure 2: Deprivation distribution for children aged 0–17 years . .8 Figure 3: Percentage distribution of deprived children aged 0–17 years by area . .9 Figure 4a: Multidimensional child poverty (K=2) for children aged 0–17 years by province . .12 Figure 4b: Multidimensional child poverty (K=2) for children aged 0–17 years by area . .12 Figure 5: Multidimensional headcount ratios (K=2) for children aged 0–17 years by child’s characteristics . .13 Figure 6: Deprivation overlap for children aged 0–17 years by dimension . .14 Figure 7: Deprivation overlap for children aged 0–17 years for the dimensions Health, Water and Sanitation . .15 Figure 8: Deprivation overlap for children aged 0–17 years for the dimensions Health, Water and Sanitation by area . .16 Figure 9: Deprivation overlap for children aged 0–17 years for the dimensions Health, Water and Sanitation by poverty status of households . .17 Figure 10: Deprivation overlap for children aged 0–17 years based on wealth status of households and multidimensional poverty . .18 Figure 11a: Child poverty for children aged 0–17 years based on wealth status of households by province . .20 Figure 11b: Child poverty of children aged 0–17 years based on multidimensional poverty (K=2) by province . .21 Figure 12a: Percentage distribution of deprivation rates for children aged 0–23 months by indicator and dimension . .22 Figure 12b: Percentage distribution of deprivation rates for children aged 0–23 months by dimension . .23 Figure 13: Deprivation rates for children aged 0–23 months by area . .24 Figure 14a: Deprivation rates for children aged 0–23 months for Nutrition by province . .26 Figure 14b: Deprivation rates for children aged 0–23 months for Health by province . .27 Figure 14c: Deprivation rates for children aged 0–23 months for Physical development by province . .28 Figure 14d: Deprivation rates for children aged 0–23 months for Water by province . .29 Figure 14e: Deprivation rates for children aged 0–23 months for Sanitation by province . .30 Figure 15a: Percentage distribution