Lessons from Globalization and the COVID-19 Pandemic for Economic, Environmental and Social Policy
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Apocalypse Now? Initial Lessons from the Covid-19 Pandemic for the Governance of Existential and Global Catastrophic Risks
journal of international humanitarian legal studies 11 (2020) 295-310 brill.com/ihls Apocalypse Now? Initial Lessons from the Covid-19 Pandemic for the Governance of Existential and Global Catastrophic Risks Hin-Yan Liu, Kristian Lauta and Matthijs Maas Faculty of Law, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark [email protected]; [email protected]; [email protected] Abstract This paper explores the ongoing Covid-19 pandemic through the framework of exis- tential risks – a class of extreme risks that threaten the entire future of humanity. In doing so, we tease out three lessons: (1) possible reasons underlying the limits and shortfalls of international law, international institutions and other actors which Covid-19 has revealed, and what they reveal about the resilience or fragility of institu- tional frameworks in the face of existential risks; (2) using Covid-19 to test and refine our prior ‘Boring Apocalypses’ model for understanding the interplay of hazards, vul- nerabilities and exposures in facilitating a particular disaster, or magnifying its effects; and (3) to extrapolate some possible futures for existential risk scholarship and governance. Keywords Covid-19 – pandemics – existential risks – global catastrophic risks – boring apocalypses 1 Introduction: Our First ‘Brush’ with Existential Risk? All too suddenly, yesterday’s ‘impossibilities’ have turned into today’s ‘condi- tions’. The impossible has already happened, and quickly. The impact of the Covid-19 pandemic, both directly and as manifested through the far-reaching global societal responses to it, signal a jarring departure away from even the © koninklijke brill nv, leiden, 2020 | doi:10.1163/18781527-01102004Downloaded from Brill.com09/27/2021 12:13:00AM via free access <UN> 296 Liu, Lauta and Maas recent past, and suggest that our futures will be profoundly different in its af- termath. -
9.1 Financial Cost Compared with Economic Cost 9.2 How
9.0 MEASUREMENT OF COSTS IN CONSERVATION 9.1 Financial Cost Compared with Economic Cost{l} Since financial analysis relates primarily to enterprises operating in the market place, the data of costs and retums are derived from the market prices ( current or expected) of the transactions as they are experienced. Thus the cost of land, capital, construction, etc. is the ~ recorded price of the accountant. By contrast, in economic analysis ( such as cost bene fit analysis) the costs and benefits of a project are analysed from the point of view of society and not from the point of view of a single agent's utility of the landowner or developer. They are termed economic. Some effects of the project, though conceming the single agent, do not affect society. Interest on borrowing, taxes, direct or indirect subsidies are transfers that do not deploy real resources and do not therefore constitute an economic cost. The costs and the retums are, in part at least, based on shadow prices, which reflect their "social value". Economic rate of retum could therefore differ from the financial costs which are based on the concept of "opportunity cost"; they are measured not in relation to the transaction itself but to the value of the resources which that financial cost could command, just as benefits are valued by the resource costs required to achieve them. This differentiation leads to the following significant rules in conside ring costs in cost benefit analysis, as for example: (a) Interest on money invested This is a transfer cost between borrower and lender so that the economyas a whole is no different as a result. -
Cost-Benefit Analysis and the Economics of Investment in Human Resources
DOCUMENT RESUME ED 04E d48 VT 012 352 AUTHOR Wood, W. D.; Campbell, H. F. TITLE Cost-Benefit Analysis and the Economics of Investment in Human Resources. An Annotated Bibliography. INSTITUTION Queen's Univ., Kingston (Ontario). Industrial Felaticns Centre. REPORT NO Eibliog-Ser-NO-E PU2 EATS 70 NOTE 217F, AVAILABLE FROM Industrial Relations Centre, Queen's University, Kingston, Ontario, Canada ($10.00) EDBS PRICE EDPS Price MF-$1.00 HC Not Available from EDRS. DESCRIPTORS *Annotated Bibliographies, *Cost Effectiveness, *Economic Research, *Human Resources, Investment, Literature Reviews, Resource Materials, Theories, Vocational Education ABSTRACT This annotated bibliography presents 389 citations of periodical articles, monographs, and books and represents a survey of the literature as related to the theory and application of cost-benefit analysis. Listings are arranged alphabetically in these eight sections: (1) Human Capital, (2) Theory and Application of Cost-Benefit Analysis, (3) Theoretical Problems in Measuring Benefits and Costs,(4) Investment Criteria and the Social Discount Rate, (5) Schooling,(6) Training, Retraining and Mobility, (7) Health, and (P) Poverty and Social Welfare. Individual entries include author, title, source information, "hea"ings" of the various sections of the document which provide a brief indication of content, and an annotation. This bibliography has been designed to serve as an analytical reference for both the academic scholar and the policy-maker in this area. (Author /JS) 00 oo °o COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS AND THE ECONOMICS OF INVESTMENT IN HUMAN RESOURCES An Annotated Bibliography by W. D. WOOD H. F. CAMPBELL INDUSTRIAL RELATIONS CENTRE QUEEN'S UNIVERSITY Bibliography Series No. 5 Cost-Benefit Analysis and the Economics of investment in Human Resources U.S. -
Lost Wages: the COVID-19 Cost of School Closures
DISCUSSION PAPER SERIES IZA DP No. 13641 Lost Wages: The COVID-19 Cost of School Closures George Psacharopoulos Victoria Collis Harry Anthony Patrinos Emiliana Vegas AUGUST 2020 DISCUSSION PAPER SERIES IZA DP No. 13641 Lost Wages: The COVID-19 Cost of School Closures George Psacharopoulos Harry Anthony Patrinos Georgetown University The World Bank and IZA Victoria Collis Emiliana Vegas The EdTech Hub Center for Universal Education, Brookings AUGUST 2020 Any opinions expressed in this paper are those of the author(s) and not those of IZA. Research published in this series may include views on policy, but IZA takes no institutional policy positions. The IZA research network is committed to the IZA Guiding Principles of Research Integrity. The IZA Institute of Labor Economics is an independent economic research institute that conducts research in labor economics and offers evidence-based policy advice on labor market issues. Supported by the Deutsche Post Foundation, IZA runs the world’s largest network of economists, whose research aims to provide answers to the global labor market challenges of our time. Our key objective is to build bridges between academic research, policymakers and society. IZA Discussion Papers often represent preliminary work and are circulated to encourage discussion. Citation of such a paper should account for its provisional character. A revised version may be available directly from the author. ISSN: 2365-9793 IZA – Institute of Labor Economics Schaumburg-Lippe-Straße 5–9 Phone: +49-228-3894-0 53113 Bonn, Germany Email: [email protected] www.iza.org IZA DP No. 13641 AUGUST 2020 ABSTRACT Lost Wages: The COVID-19 Cost of School Closures1 Social distancing requirements associated with COVID-19 have led to school closures. -
The Economic Cost of War May 2008
The Economic Cost of War May 2008 What is the true cost of war? As economists and government officials offer cost estimates of the current occupation of Iraq, others have begun to question the opportunity cost of forgone investment and develop - ment in American infrastructure and education. See “Debate rages about impact of Iraq war on U.S. econ omy” by Sue Kirchhoff in the April 10, 2008, USA Today . “I have a yardstick by which I test every major problem—and that yardstick is: Is it good for America?” —Dwight D. Eisenhower, 34th President of the United States The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimates that the cost of U.S. operations in Iraq and Afghanistan, and of other activities related to the war on terrorism, has totaled $651 billion from 2001 through the end of 2007. This estimate includes costs incurred through direct military operations and related expenses such as medical costs, disability compensation, and survivor benefits. However, the estimate does not include appropriations requested for 2008 and beyond. The CBO projects that the war on terrorism could require additional outlays of $570 billion to $1.2 trillion from 2008 to 2017. One difficulty with such projections is that a lot can change over the next 10 years, such as the course of the war. Another difficulty is that this estimate fails to fully consider the opportunity cost of funding the war on terrorism, which is the cost incurred by not investing that same money in other projects. A number of economists have attempted to quantify these explicit economic costs, such as forgone investments in American infrastructure, government research, or government assistance programs. -
COVID-19: Make It the Last Pandemic
COVID-19: Make it the Last Pandemic Disclaimer: The designations employed and the presentation of the material in this publication do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Independent Panel for Pandemic Preparedness and Response concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city of area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. Report Design: Michelle Hopgood, Toronto, Canada Icon Illustrator: Janet McLeod Wortel Maps: Taylor Blake COVID-19: Make it the Last Pandemic by The Independent Panel for Pandemic Preparedness & Response 2 of 86 Contents Preface 4 Abbreviations 6 1. Introduction 8 2. The devastating reality of the COVID-19 pandemic 10 3. The Panel’s call for immediate actions to stop the COVID-19 pandemic 12 4. What happened, what we’ve learned and what needs to change 15 4.1 Before the pandemic — the failure to take preparation seriously 15 4.2 A virus moving faster than the surveillance and alert system 21 4.2.1 The first reported cases 22 4.2.2 The declaration of a public health emergency of international concern 24 4.2.3 Two worlds at different speeds 26 4.3 Early responses lacked urgency and effectiveness 28 4.3.1 Successful countries were proactive, unsuccessful ones denied and delayed 31 4.3.2 The crisis in supplies 33 4.3.3 Lessons to be learnt from the early response 36 4.4 The failure to sustain the response in the face of the crisis 38 4.4.1 National health systems under enormous stress 38 4.4.2 Jobs at risk 38 4.4.3 Vaccine nationalism 41 5. -
46 Post-Growth Economics
46 POST-GROWTH ECONOMICS Niko Paech Introduction Today’s sustainability concepts are mostly based on ecological modernisation. Modern societies follow this trend and tend to shift the necessity of changing their consumption habits to a point later in time, or even deny the necessity of change completely. This is based on the hope that technological progress can solve the sustainability problem without having to go through difficult changes in lifestyle and a moderation of consumption habits. However, many of those ‘Green’ innovations intensify material and energy overexploitation by making use of previously unspoilt landscapes and untouched resources. As long as decoupling by technological means turns out to be impossible, sustainable development can only be understood as a programme for economic reduction rather than conjuring Green Growth solutions. In this chapter I will explore an alternative to this popularised approach. That is a world that no longer clings to the growth imperative and makes the post-growth economy its goal. I start by defining what is meant by post-growth economics and how it has developed. This is followed by an exploration of the case for limits to growth and why decoupling runs into problems, including the rebound effect. I then outline some key aspects of a post-growth economy, before briefly identifying future directions and finishing with some concluding remarks. The development and meaning of post-growth economics Development of post-growth economics The terms post-growth economics (as an analytical framework) and post-growth economies (as a concrete draft for the future) arose in debates over sustainability held at Carl von Ossietzky University in Oldenburg during 2006. -
Relation Between Sunspots and Covid19 – a Proof for Panspermia
International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology (IRJET) e-ISSN: 2395-0056 Volume: 07 Issue: 11 | Nov 2020 www.irjet.net p-ISSN: 2395-0072 RELATION BETWEEN SUNSPOTS AND COVID19 – A PROOF FOR PANSPERMIA Janani T1 1Department of Biotechnology, Kumaraguru College of Technology, Coimbatore, Tamilnadu, India ---------------------------------------------------------------------***---------------------------------------------------------------------- Abstract - The novel viral or the bacterial pandemics and epidemics are not new to this earth. Often these disease-causing pathogens are of unknown origin and often identified as an infection which is transmitted from other animals. They are frequently found as the mutated form of the original strain or completely a newly developed strain. The causes for this mutation are many which comprises of both natural and artificial sources. The time of occurrence of these pandemic and epidemic astonishingly coincides with the sun spot extremum (often minimum). It is observed that whenever there is a sun spot extremum there was a novel microbial pandemic or epidemic. The current COVID19 pandemic is also suggested to be due to such sunspot extremum as the sun cycle is currently at its sun spot minimum. This review aims at providing the facts of relation between sunspots and the novel corona virus pandemic and there by stating this occurrence as a proof for panspermia. Key Words: Pandemic, Epidemic, COVID19, Sunspot, Solar Cycle, Solar minimum, Panspermia 1. INTRODUCTION 1.1 SUNSPOTS: Sunspots are the dark regions in the sun’s surface due to the concentration of magnetic field in that region. These regions are relatively colder to the other regions of the sun’s surface. Hotter region emits more light than the colder region hence these regions appear to be darker and called the spots of the sun. -
Global Catastrophic Risks Survey
GLOBAL CATASTROPHIC RISKS SURVEY (2008) Technical Report 2008/1 Published by Future of Humanity Institute, Oxford University Anders Sandberg and Nick Bostrom At the Global Catastrophic Risk Conference in Oxford (17‐20 July, 2008) an informal survey was circulated among participants, asking them to make their best guess at the chance that there will be disasters of different types before 2100. This report summarizes the main results. The median extinction risk estimates were: Risk At least 1 million At least 1 billion Human extinction dead dead Number killed by 25% 10% 5% molecular nanotech weapons. Total killed by 10% 5% 5% superintelligent AI. Total killed in all 98% 30% 4% wars (including civil wars). Number killed in 30% 10% 2% the single biggest engineered pandemic. Total killed in all 30% 10% 1% nuclear wars. Number killed in 5% 1% 0.5% the single biggest nanotech accident. Number killed in 60% 5% 0.05% the single biggest natural pandemic. Total killed in all 15% 1% 0.03% acts of nuclear terrorism. Overall risk of n/a n/a 19% extinction prior to 2100 These results should be taken with a grain of salt. Non‐responses have been omitted, although some might represent a statement of zero probability rather than no opinion. 1 There are likely to be many cognitive biases that affect the result, such as unpacking bias and the availability heuristic‒‐well as old‐fashioned optimism and pessimism. In appendix A the results are plotted with individual response distributions visible. Other Risks The list of risks was not intended to be inclusive of all the biggest risks. -
The Contested Concept of Growth Imperatives: Technology and the Fear of Stagnation
A Service of Leibniz-Informationszentrum econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible. zbw for Economics Richters, Oliver; Siemoneit, Andreas Working Paper The contested concept of growth imperatives: Technology and the fear of stagnation Oldenburg Discussion Papers in Economics, No. V-414-18 Provided in Cooperation with: University of Oldenburg, Department of Economics Suggested Citation: Richters, Oliver; Siemoneit, Andreas (2018) : The contested concept of growth imperatives: Technology and the fear of stagnation, Oldenburg Discussion Papers in Economics, No. V-414-18, University of Oldenburg, Department of Economics, Oldenburg This Version is available at: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/184870 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. personal and scholarly purposes. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle You are not to copy documents for public or commercial Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, If the documents have been made available under an -
The Economics of Risky Health Behaviors
A Service of Leibniz-Informationszentrum econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible. zbw for Economics Cawley, John; Ruhm, Christopher J. Working Paper The economics of risky health behaviors IZA Discussion Papers, No. 5728 Provided in Cooperation with: IZA – Institute of Labor Economics Suggested Citation: Cawley, John; Ruhm, Christopher J. (2011) : The economics of risky health behaviors, IZA Discussion Papers, No. 5728, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA), Bonn, http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:101:1-201106013425 This Version is available at: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/52115 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. personal and scholarly purposes. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle You are not to copy documents for public or commercial Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, If the documents have been made available under an Open gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort Content Licence (especially Creative Commons Licences), you genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. may exercise further usage rights as specified in the indicated licence. www.econstor.eu IZA DP No. 5728 The Economics of Risky Health Behaviors John Cawley Christopher J. Ruhm May 2011 DISCUSSION PAPER SERIES Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit Institute for the Study of Labor The Economics of Risky Health Behaviors John Cawley Cornell University and IZA Christopher J. -
Covid-19 Response and Recovery
COVID-19 RESPONSE AND RECOVERY Nature-Based Solutions for People, Planet and Prosperity Recommendations for Policymakers November 2020 Nicole Schwab Elena Berger Co-Director Executive Director 1t.org Bank Information Center Patricia Zurita M. Sanjayan CEO CEO Birdlife International Conservation International Mark Gough Kathleen Rogers CEO President Capitals Coalition Earth Day Network Andrea Crosta Carlos Manuel Rodriguez Founder and Executive Director CEO and Chairperson Earth League International Global Environment Facility Wes Sechrest Paul Polman Chief Scientist and CEO Chair Global Wildlife Conservation Imagine Azzedine Downes Karen B. Strier President and CEO President International Fund for Animal Welfare International Primatological Society II Sylvia Earle Lucy Almond President and Chair Director and Chair Mission Blue Nature4Climate Jennifer Morris Bonnie Wyper CEO President The Nature Conservancy Thinking Animals United Justin Adams Cristián Samper Executive Director President and CEO Tropical Forest Alliance Wildlife Conservation Society Peter Bakker President and CEO Andrew Steer World Business Council for President and CEO Sustainable Development World Resources Institute Jodi Hilty Marco Lambertini President and Chief Scientist Director General Yellowstone to Yukon WWF International Conservation Initiative III Executive Summary COVID-19 highlights the critical connection between the health of nature and human health. This connection must be better reflected in our priorities, policies and actions. The root causes of this pandemic are common to many root causes of the climate change and biodiversity crises. Confronting these intertwined crises requires an integrated approach and unprecedented cooperation to achieve an equitable carbon-neutral, nature-positive economic recovery and a sustainable future. Our organizations’ recommendations to policymakers for meeting this challenge are offered below.