Community Services and Facilities Impact Study Appendix 6
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COMMUNITY SERVICES AND FACILITIES IMPACT STUDY APPENDIX 6 October 29, 2018 Introduction facilities (e.g. playgrounds, basketball courts, employment lands east of Highway 400 and gymnasiums) may be the result of more detailed south of Highway 407, dissemination areas are This Community Services and Facilities Impact planning work and community consultation. much larger and extend beyond the walkshed. Study (CSFIS) has been prepared as part of the background report for the Highway 7 and This CSFIS assesses future provision of A portion of the study area is located within the Weston Road Secondary Plan Study Phase 1. community services and facilities for each of boundaries of the City of Toronto. As residents of A CSFIS is typically required in support of site- the five development scenarios prepared by Vaughan may access services in Toronto and vice specific secondary plans, and is intended to Hemson Consulting Ltd., with the 160 p+j/ha versa, this area has not been excluded in either provide the City of Vaughan an assessment of being the current density target as per the 2010 the inventory of services and facilities or the the basic community services needs for the Official Plan. As the City continues to explore the demographic analysis. development of sustainable communities that future of the planning area in regards to density offer a high quality of life. The CSFIS is a tool the targets, this document should be consulted to City can employ to address service gaps, identify understand the implications from a community Demographic Profile potential impacts future growth may have, and services and facilities perspective. Methodology and Overview set planning priorities. Study Area This section presents a demographic analysis of the study area. The demographic analysis This study includes three sections. First, a Two study areas have been delineated for the is based on data from the 2016 Census of demographic profile of the study area is purposes of this CSFIS. For the purposes of Population by Statistics Canada, and includes presented, based on 2016 Census data related compiling an inventory of community services findings on population, household and family to age, household composition, labour force and facilities, a two-kilometre walkshed has been composition, housing, immigration, labour statistics, socio-economic status, immigration, created, extending from the boundary of the force activity, education, and socio-economic and other considerations. This is followed by an planning area. This represents a reasonable travel characteristics, as required by the City of inventory of existing community services and time and distance to access community services Vaughan’s terms of reference for Community facilities that serve the study area, based on data and facilities, while taking into consideration Services and Facilities Impact Studies. As provided by the City of Vaughan. This section significant physical barriers such as Highway described above, the demographic study considers the current level of provision of various 400 and Highway 407. The walkshed is primarily area comprises the 29 dissemination areas services in relation to the targeted provision rates for qualitative and visual purposes, as the ATMP which overlap with the walkshed boundary. outlined in the 2018 Active Together Master Plan assigns service areas for most facilities and For comparative purposes, data for the City of (ATMP). This section also assesses how provision services. Where the ATMP has not assigned a Vaughan is shown alongside. levels may change over the long-term planning service area, the walkshed is used to determine horizon, based on the development scenarios whether a specific facility should be included in prepared by Hemson Consulting Ltd. for the the inventory. Study Area Vaughan Secondary Plan. 2016 population 24,590 306,233 A demographic study area has been delineated The final section is a summary of service gaps to prepare a demographic profile. This study 2011 population 25,681 288,301 and the potential impacts of future growth in area comprises Statistics Canada dissemination the Weston 7 Secondary Plan Area. Greater areas which overlap with the walkshed described Population change -4.25 6.22 emphasis is placed on more substantial above. In most instances, the overlapping Table 1: Population community services and facilities such as parks, dissemination areas roughly align with the libraries, schools, and community centres. The walkshed boundary. However, in areas with various components that constitute these larger relatively low population density, such as the 2 \ WESTON 7 SECONDARY PLAN BACKGROUND REPORT - COMMUNITY SERVICES AND FACILITIES IMPACT STUDY Overall Population these general trends are in line with the City of Housing Type & Tenure Vaughan as well as national trends of population The 2016 Census shows a total population of Similar to the wider City of Vaughan, the majority aging and declining fertility rates, they are 24,590 in the demographic study area1. This of dwellings (63%) consist of single-detached somewhat more intense within the demographic represents a decline of 4.3% or 1,091 residents houses, followed by semi-detached houses study area. For example, the median age of the over 2011. This is substantially lower than the (12%) and row houses (10%). Fourteen per cent study area increased by 8% between 2011 and growth rate of the City of Vaughan, which grew of the dwellings are apartment type, including 2016 (from 45.4 to 48.9 years), compared to an by 6.2% during the same period, making it the duplexes, walkups, and buildings taller than five increase of only 6% for the City as a whole (from 17th fastest-growing city among the country’s storeys. Comparable to the City of Vaughan, 88% 37.9 to 40.2 years). Changes in the distribution of 100 largest municipalities. of households of owned and 11% are rented. population across age cohorts has implications In absolute terms, the 20-24 age cohort Of the existing housing stock, 83% was for the nature of recreation opportunities that a experienced the greatest decline since 2011, constructed between 1961 and 2000, with population desires, as well as the services that followed by the 40-44 and 45-49 age cohorts. All almost half (49%) built between 1981 and 1990. they require. These will be considered in detail in age cohorts 29 years of age experienced absolute Comparatively, only 22% of the housing stock of the Community and Social Impact section of this decline. Meanwhile, the 65-69, 75-79 and 85+ age Vaughan was built during the 1980s, and 69% report. cohorts experienced the greatest absolute gain. was built after 1990. In terms of the proportion of the overall Family Composition population of the demographic study area, the Immigration Household size senior population (65+) grew from 19% to 23% A slightly greater proportion of the demographic The composition of households is changing between 2011 and 2016 (the proportion of the 85+ study area immigrated to Canada (50% within the demographic study area. In 2011, 37% cohort grew by 35%). Meanwhile, the proportion versus 46%). The majority of immigrants in of households had one or two people, while 63% of the City of Vaughan population made up of the demographic study area (55%) have been had three or more. By 2016, the proportion of seniors declined from 16% to 14% during the in Canada since before 1981, while a greater one- to two-person households grew to 45%, and same period. proportion of immigrants in the broader City households with three or more people decreased of Vaughan arrived to Canada since 2000 (31% to 56%. Accordingly, the average household size The cohorts that experienced the greatest versus 18%). decreased from 3.2 to 3.0 people. decline in their proportion of the overall More than 46% of immigrants living in the population were the 0-4, 10-14 and 20-24 Couples with children demographic study area were born in Italy, age cohorts. While the City of Vaughan also compared to 18% of immigrants2 in Vaughan. The The 2016 Census shows that 41% of census experienced a proportional decline in the 0-4 second most significant source of immigration families in the study area do not have children, age cohort, the greatest proportional decline was is India, comprising 8% of the immigrant compared to 31% of census families in the City of among those aged 35-39. population. India is the top place of origin of Vaughan. Of the census families with children, recent immigrants living in the demographic 41% have one child, 43% have two children, and Analysis of the population of the demographic study area, making up 18% of all recent 17% of three children or more. study area suggests that the senior population immigrants. is growing both in absolute and relative terms, while younger cohorts are declining, again Lone parent families both in absolute and relative terms. While Within the demographic study area, 15% of 2 Recent immigrants include people who obtained landed census families are headed by a single parent, immigrant or permanent residency status between 2011 and comparable to the broader City of Vaughan. In 2016. 1 Of the total population of the demographic study area, 7% both cases, 80% of single-parent families are (1,857 people) live within the City of Toronto. headed by a female parent, and more than 85% have one or two children. URBAN STRATEGIES / 3 Education The demographic study area has a relatively Future population growth smaller labour force: 62% of the population The demographic study area has a lower level The CSFIS study area is anticipated to experience 15 years and older as compared to 69%. As of educational attainment that the broader substantial population growth over the long- previously discussed, the demographic study City of Vaughan. In the 2016 Census, 70% of the term planning horizon.