Kentucky (June 14, 2019)
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Kentucky Polling Contact: Doug Kaplan, 407-242-1870 Executive Summary Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 741 individuals across the state of Kentucky. The poll was conducted from June 11th through the 12th and has a margin of error of 3.6%. The survey was conducted using live agents and an online panel of cell phone users. The results are weighted by the voting demographics of Kentucky residents. The poll was paid for by GMI. 2) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of President Trump’s job performance? Race Age group Gender African-American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or older Female Male Q2: TRUMPPERFORMANCE Somewhat Approve 11.0% 0.0% 7.6% 9.7% 12.4% 18.9% 16.9% 7.5% 9.5% 14.1% 10.0% Somewhat Disapprove 25.3% 0.0% 2.4% 2.0% 8.9% 26.7% 12.6% 4.4% 5.0% 10.5% 9.3% Strongly Approve 26.1% 100.0% 62.0% 50.9% 49.2% 23.7% 43.3% 59.3% 51.5% 38.5% 58.3% Strongly Disapprove 37.6% 0.0% 28.1% 37.3% 26.1% 21.1% 23.0% 28.4% 32.6% 31.5% 22.1% Uncertain 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.4% 9.7% 4.2% 0.4% 1.4% 5.5% 0.3% 3) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s job performance? Race Age group Gender African-American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or older Female Male Q3: PELOSIPERFORMANCE Somewhat Approve 18.4% 0.0% 18.4% 22.5% 13.4% 23.5% 10.5% 13.2% 13.0% 15.0% 12.6% Somewhat Disapprove 14.9% 0.0% 10.7% 3.8% 10.7% 14.2% 16.0% 6.7% 9.4% 10.5% 11.3% Strongly Approve 31.4% 0.0% 24.2% 10.0% 15.0% 11.4% 13.4% 17.2% 21.2% 17.4% 15.1% Strongly Disapprove 30.3% 100.0% 38.8% 52.8% 52.3% 16.3% 52.9% 60.1% 54.8% 46.3% 55.5% Uncertain 4.9% 0.0% 7.8% 10.9% 8.6% 34.6% 7.3% 2.8% 1.6% 10.8% 5.5% 5) Assuming you had to vote today for Governor, would you vote for Republican Matt Bevin or Democrat Andy Beshear? Race Age group Gender African-American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or older Female Male Q5: BEVINVSBESHEAR Beshear 47.5% 0.0% 26.1% 41.4% 42.5% 39.5% 44.6% 41.1% 42.5% 47.0% 37.1% Bevin 45.2% 100.0% 65.9% 50.3% 47.4% 50.0% 41.7% 49.9% 51.9% 39.8% 56.8% Uncertain 7.3% 0.0% 8.0% 8.2% 10.1% 10.5% 13.6% 9.0% 5.7% 13.2% 6.1% 6) Assuming you had to vote today for State Attorney General, would you vote for Republican Daniel Cameron or Democrat Greg Stumbo? Race Age group Gender African-American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or older Female Male Q6: CAMERONVSSTUMBO Cameron 30.9% 100.0% 64.7% 54.5% 47.6% 33.3% 40.5% 55.0% 51.4% 38.0% 56.8% Stumbo 58.6% 0.0% 29.7% 31.1% 34.9% 27.1% 37.1% 38.0% 38.3% 40.2% 32.3% Uncertain 10.5% 0.0% 5.6% 14.4% 17.5% 39.6% 22.4% 7.0% 10.2% 21.8% 10.9% 7) Assuming you had to vote today for President, would you vote for Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Bernie Sanders? Race Age group Gender African-American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or older Female Male Q7: TRUMPVSBERNIE Sanders 61.2% 0.0% 32.5% 26.5% 33.6% 59.0% 31.4% 32.1% 30.9% 43.3% 27.2% Trump 33.5% 100.0% 64.2% 59.7% 58.5% 33.5% 58.1% 63.8% 59.6% 47.4% 67.2% Uncertain 5.3% 0.0% 3.3% 13.8% 7.8% 7.4% 10.5% 4.1% 9.5% 9.3% 5.6% 8) Assuming you had to vote today for President, would you vote for Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Joe Biden? Race Age group Gender African-American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or older Female Male Q8: TRUMPVSBIDEN Biden 61.2% 0.0% 31.3% 37.2% 35.9% 54.7% 34.2% 32.7% 38.3% 44.9% 29.7% Trump 33.5% 100.0% 62.0% 62.8% 58.3% 31.5% 56.6% 65.6% 58.9% 47.5% 66.6% Uncertain 5.3% 0.0% 6.7% 0.0% 5.8% 13.9% 9.2% 1.7% 2.9% 7.6% 3.7% 9) Assuming you had to vote today for President, would you vote for Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Elizabeth Warren? Race Age group Gender African-American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or older Female Male Q9: TRUMPVSWARREN Trump 33.5% 100.0% 67.9% 59.2% 61.3% 44.6% 60.3% 64.5% 60.1% 50.4% 69.1% Uncertain 11.3% 0.0% 3.3% 1.1% 12.6% 25.8% 13.2% 7.7% 9.4% 16.0% 8.1% Warren 55.1% 0.0% 28.8% 39.7% 26.1% 29.6% 26.5% 27.8% 30.4% 33.6% 22.8% 10) Assuming you had to vote today for President, would you vote for Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Pete Buttigieg? Race Age group Gender African-American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or older Female Male Q10: TRUMPVSBUTTIGIEG Buttigieg 47.8% 0.0% 33.1% 38.6% 26.5% 30.2% 25.6% 28.0% 30.1% 33.0% 23.2% Trump 33.5% 100.0% 66.9% 59.7% 61.8% 47.0% 58.1% 66.9% 59.1% 51.9% 68.4% Uncertain 18.6% 0.0% 0.0% 1.7% 11.8% 22.8% 16.3% 5.0% 10.7% 15.1% 8.5% 11) Assuming you had to vote today for Senate, would you vote for Republican Mitch McConnell or Democrat Jim Gray? Race Age group Gender African-American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or older Female Male Q11: MCCONNELLVSGRAY Gray 57.1% 0.0% 30.1% 45.9% 39.6% 39.6% 38.5% 41.3% 42.1% 43.6% 37.3% McConnell 36.9% 100.0% 57.4% 43.7% 49.8% 43.0% 48.2% 51.3% 51.3% 43.0% 55.9% Uncertain 6.0% 0.0% 12.4% 10.5% 10.6% 17.4% 13.3% 7.4% 6.5% 13.3% 6.9% The following questions are for demographic purposes. 1) Are you registered to vote in the state of Kentucky? 4) How likely are you to vote in the Kentucky 2019 Elections? 12) What is your party affiliation? 13) What is your political ideology? 14) Are you or is a member of your immediate family from a Latino, Hispanic or Spanish speaking background? 15) What race do you identify yourself as? 16) Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation? 17) What is the highest level of education have you completed? 18) How old are you? 19) What is your gender? .