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Follow These 3 Simple Steps to Profit From FWRWM_0610.qxd 23/6/10 11:18 Page 1 June 2010 What Really Wins Money An independent review of tipsters and betting systems elcome to June’s WRWM. The World Cup is in a jaunt to the races. And why not? Well, Chris Beek Wfull flow but my publisher has not allowed me to marks your card with what to look for if you pay a visit include a free CD of my vuvuzela greatest hits to share to the races and especially the paddock for a close look with you! Oh well. With football everywhere this at the horses. month, I begin with a look at how we can uncover how The Patriarch has uncovered a free tipster who has a football match is most likely to turn out by using produced 565 points profit! And we finish off with the professionals who have done the research for us. Tony system and tipsters update which I hope will change Gibson looks at laying the draw – he’s convinced we radically in the intervening period to August’s WRWM. can still profit from this strategy. Plus! I have a great freebie for you to enjoy this The Statman gives us a glimpse of a project that has month. Anyone who has read this newsletter for a while his computers breathing heavily after much processing. will be familiar with me talking about my 16/1 system. Some superb stats again from the Statman. Would you It’s a system that you can get up and running within 20 expect anything less? Martin Blakey turns his hand to minutes of using it. And something I highly recommend nurseries (Two-year-old handicaps). I look at each-way you trying. doubles and how we can exploit the bet the bookies I was shocked, then, when I sent a survey out to you hate. www.bettertipster.co.uk have had a great month, all a month or two back to get some feedback that you and have kindly shared with us the findings from their weren’t all sure exactly what it was and how it could stable tour of a number of prominent trainers. work for you! I obviously haven’t covered it enough in With the weather so good this summer, you may like recent months. So, to make amends, I’ve put together a really great (even if I do say so myself) report for you IN THIS ISSUE: that explains it all. Betting Strategy Revealed: Follow These 3 The 16/1 System is a simple system which shows Simple Steps to Profit From Asian Handicaps ....1 you how to find big-priced winners on a regular basis. Football Betting System: Fancy Winning 14 Download it for free here: Out of Every 15 Bets? Here’s How... ..................5 http://www.whatreallywinsmoney.co.uk/16to1 Statman: Complete Stats Rundown: “I’ve Analysed 15,000 Statisitics for Every UK Race Enjoy, Course. Here’s What I Discovered ...”... .............6 Clive Handicap Betting Strategy: How to Profit From 2 Year-Old Nursery Races .........................7 Betting Strategy Revealed Betting Strategy: Each-way Doubles: Mr Hibbert Disappoints But I’ve Got a System That Works .............................................8 Follow These 3 Simple Better Tipster: Better Tipster Reveals The Flat Steps to Profit From Horses to Watch This Season ............................10 The Patriarch Presents: Who Else Wants Asian Handicaps to Make 565 Points Profit a Year and Not a here is a great little tool that you can use to help Penny to Pay? .....................................................12 Tyou predict the outcome of certain football matches Systems And Tipsters Update ...........................13 that I have been using throughout the World Cup which Betting Advice – Chris Beek: How to Pick A will be nearing its close as you receive this newsletter. Winner in the Paddock ......................................15 That tool is free, and uses the brains of those who please turn over FWRWM_0610.qxd 23/6/10 11:18 Page 2 are in the know and have done all of the studying and I am using Fairbot here, but this mirrors what will research for you!! be seen at www.betfair.com. And that tool is (drum roll) the Asian Handicap What do we see here? market. Well the market makers have quoted the Asian The what now? No, I haven’t lost my marbles, bear handicap spread between 0, 0.5, 1, and 1.5. with me here for a second and let me explain. What does this tell us? The Asian Handicap market The Asian Handicap market? What’s that? makers are telling us that they expect Brazil to win by one or two goals, and for this to be a tight game, I suppose there is no better starting point than to perhaps more so in the early part of the game. explain to you what precisely the Asian Handicap market is, and then how you can use it to gauge the How do I ascertain this? likely outcome of a football match (and thus make more Let me go through the handicaps. speculative bets which could result in bigger profits!). TIP – by selecting one of the bets, and inserting a The Asian Handicap market defined nominal stake, Betfair will provide an explanation of In simple, stripped down terms, an Asian Handicap the Asian Handicap bet (the examples below use £100 is created by giving the favourite in a specific football stakes): match a handicap to overcome (and what better Brazil -0 & -0.5 odds to back 1.52 handicap than goals!) while the underdog is given a head start of the same number of goals. If Brazil win £52 If the match is a draw -£50 These handicaps are subtracted from, or added to, If Ivory Coast win £100 the final score of the football match in order to determine whether your bet is a winning one, a losing Brazil -0.5 odds to back 1.81 one, or uniquely, if your stake is returned, or half stake If Brazil win £81 is returned. If Brazil do not win -£100 Let’s look at an Asian Handicap Market on Betfair Brazil -0.5 and -1 – odds of 2.07 to bring the above description to life. If Brazil win by 2 or more £107 If Brazil win by 1 £53.50 If Brazil do not win -£100 Brazil -1 – odds of 2.49 If Brazil win by 2 or more £149 If Brazil win by 1 £0.00 If Brazil do not win -£100 Here we have a tight match, Brazil v Ivory Coast at Brazil -1 & -1.5 – odds of 2.96 the World Cup on 20th June 2010. If Brazil win by 2 or more £196 The match odds favour Brazil who are quoted at 1.8. If Brazil win by 1 -£50 If Brazil do not win -£100 Let’s look at the Asian Handicap market. These are effectively win-only bets. continued on page 3... It is my intention to be as accurate in fact, detail and comment as possible. However, the publishers and their representatives cannot be held responsible for any error in detail, accuracy or judgement whatsoever. What Really Wins Money is sold on this understanding. ISSN: 1741 9018 All subscription correspondence to: What Really Wins Money, Subscription Office, Unit 1, Hainault Works, Hainault Road, Little Heath, Romford, RM6 5SS.Tel: 0208 597 0181 Fax: 0208 597 4040. Registered office: Canonbury Publishing Ltd. Curzon House, 24 High Street, Banstead, Surrey, SM7 2LJ. Registered in England No. 4765425 Vat Reg No. 811 5700 64 © Copyright What Really Wins Money 2010 2 FWRWM_0610.qxd 23/6/10 11:18 Page 3 I will be writing an article on Asian Handicaps in will see later.) the future, focusing specifically on how we can profit The 2nd shortest odds are for the following bet: from these markets, but here I would just like to explain how to use the Asian Handicap market as a Brazil 0 & -0.5 (odds of 1.54) research tool in helping you decide how a game is If Brazil win £54 likely to turn out as regards goals scored. If the match is a draw -£50 STEP 1 – Determine the spread If Ivory Coast win -£100 Again, the punter’s next most likely outcome is a What do I mean? Simple really. Just make a note of Brazilian win or a draw. No discernable handicap here, all of the Asian Handicap quotes. just a straight win, with the option of a 50% loss of In this game the quotes go from 0, 0.5, 1, and 1.5. stake for a draw. We can now determine the most optimistic assessment of the Asian Handicap market makers and STEP 3 – Make your assessment their most pessimistic assessment. What have we garnered from this Asian Handicap market? The most optimistic assessment is 1.5, and here the market makers are telling us that Brazil could lead by I have ascertained the following: two goals at some stage in the match. It could happen An optimal Brazilian performance could see them given their pedigree and the fact that they led by this win by two goals. scoreline against North Korea. The punters’ most popular market (the shortest The most pessimistic assessment is 0, and this priced market) also incorporates the option that Brazil signals that, as with a number of the games this World will win by one or two goals (or indeed Ivory Coast Cup, this particular game could be tight. draw or win, but I would focus on the Brazil options STEP 2 – The punters themselves from that bet) and a draw for an extended part of the game with an eventual Brazilian win by one goal.
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