BUS SYSTEMS for the FUTURE BUS SYSTEMS for the FUTURE Achieving Sustainable Transport Worldwide
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BUS SYSTEMS FOR THE FUTURE BUS SYSTEMS FOR THE FUTURE Achieving Sustainable Transport Worldwide Cities around the world face enormous problems of transport sustainability. Rapidly increasing populations and vehicle usage have created gridlock and sprawl, even in very poor cities, as well as unacceptably high levels of air pollution, noise, and accident rates. But improvements can be made. This book explores how the provision of better bus services can bring concrete solutions. “Bus rapid transit” systems emerging in Latin America provide fast, reliable and efficient urban travel for large numbers of people. Express busways, employing high- capacity buses and new technologies such as GPS-based bus tracking systems, can conveniently and reliably Worldwide Achieving Sustainable Transport move up to 10 times as many people along a route as can cars – and be profitable. BUS SYSTEMS This book shows how bus rapid transit differs from traditional bus systems and how it can be developed FOR THE FUTURE around the world. There is a detailed look at clean fuels Achieving Sustainable Transport Worldwide and advanced technologies such as “clean diesel”, CNG, hybrid-electric and fuel cells. Case studies are made of six cities and of the steps each might take to encourage more sustainable transport systems. $100 €110 (61 02 26 1 P1) ISBN : 92-64-19806-7 -:HSQBMA=UWW[VU: 2002 INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY BUS SYSTEMS FOR THE FUTURE Achieving Sustainable Transport Worldwide INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY page2-16x23 8/04/02 15:20 Page 1 INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY ORGANISATION FOR 9, rue de la Fédération, ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION 75739 Paris, cedex 15, France AND DEVELOPMENT The International Energy Agency (IEA) is an Pursuant to Article 1 of the Convention signed in autonomous body which was established in Paris on 14th December 1960, and which came November 1974 within the framework of the into force on 30th September 1961, the Organisation Organisation for Economic Co-operation and for Economic Co-operation and Development Development (OECD) to implement an inter- (OECD) shall promote policies designed: national energy programme. • to achieve the highest sustainable economic It carries out a comprehensive programme of growth and employment and a rising standard energy co-operation among twenty-six* of the of living in Member countries, while maintaining OECD’s thirty Member countries. The basic aims financial stability, and thus to contribute to the of the IEA are: development of the world economy; • to maintain and improve systems for coping • to contribute to sound economic expansion in with oil supply disruptions; Member as well as non-member countries in the process of economic development; and • to promote rational energy policies in a global context through co-operative relations with non- • to contribute to the expansion of world trade member countries, industry and international on a multilateral, non-discriminatory basis in organisations; accordance with international obligations. • to operate a permanent information system on The original Member countries of the OECD are the international oil market; Austria, Belgium, Canada, Denmark, France, Germany, Greece, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, • to improve the world’s energy supply and Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, demand structure by developing alternative Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, the United energy sources and increasing the efficiency of Kingdom and the United States. The following energy use; countries became Members subsequently • to assist in the integration of environmental and through accession at the dates indicated energy policies. hereafter: Japan (28th April 1964), Finland (28th January 1969), Australia (7th June 1971), * IEA Member countries: Australia, Austria, New Zealand (29th May 1973), Mexico (18th Belgium, Canada, the Czech Republic, Denmark, May 1994), the Czech Republic (21st December Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, 1995), Hungary (7th May 1996), Poland (22nd Italy, Japan, the Republic of Korea, Luxembourg, November 1996), the Republic of Korea (12th the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Portugal, December 1996) and Slovakia (28th September Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, the United 2000). The Commission of the European Kingdom, the United States. The European Communities takes part in the work of the OECD Commission also takes part in the work of the IEA. (Article 13 of the OECD Convention). © OECD/IEA, 2002 Applications for permission to reproduce or translate all or part of this publication should be made to: Head of Publications Service, OECD/IEA 2, rue André-Pascal, 75775 Paris cedex 16, France or 9, rue de la Fédération, 75739 Paris Cedex 15, France. FOREWORD Rapidly increasing traffic congestion, air pollution, and sprawl are jeopardising the ability of the developing world’s premier cities to achieve sustainability. These problems, present in most large urban areas of developing countries, also account for a substantial share of the expected increase in world oil use and CO2 emissions over the next twenty years. Near-term bus system improvements in these cities – before cars become dominant – could be among the most important and most cost-effective approaches for achieving transport sustainability. Compared to urban transport systems dominated by private vehicles, bus-dominated systems result in much less traffic congestion, lower energy use and emissions, and improved mobility for all social and economic classes. New bus technologies are also emerging that can dramatically reduce emissions and oil use from buses themselves. This book shows how better bus systems and bus technologies can put urban transportation on a more sustainable path around the world. Robert Priddle, IEA Executive Director 3 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS This publication is the product of an IEA study undertaken by the Office of Energy Efficiency, Technology and R&D under the direction of Marianne Haug, and supervised by Carmen Difiglio, Head of the Energy Technology Policy Division. The study was coordinated by Lew Fulton and Lee Schipper. The book was co-authored by Lew Fulton, Jeffrey Hardy, Lee Schipper, and Aaron Golub. Other individuals who provided important contributions include Lloyd Wright, ITDP (New York), Dana Lowell, NYCT (New York), Peter Danielsson, Volvo Bus (Sweden), Jean Cadu, Shell (UK), Karl Fjellstrom, GTZ (Surabaya), Roland Wong, BEMP (Dhaka), Dinesh Mohan, IIT (Delhi), Bambang Susantano, Pelangi (Jakarta), Florencia Serrannia, STE (Mexico), Claudio de Senna Frederico, Secretaria de Estado dos Transportes Metropolitanos (CPG, Sao Paulo), and Oscar Diaz, formerly of the Mayor’s Office of the City of Bogota. The IEA would also like to express its appreciation to the following individuals for their advice and support to develop the programme of analysis that led to this publication: Karen Peabody O’Brien and J. Q. Zhang, both formerly of W. Alton Jones Foundation, David Rodgers, US Department of Energy, and Glenda Menges, Homeland Foundation. Assistance with editing and preparation of the manuscript was provided by Chris Henze, Scott Sullivan, and Sally Wilkinson. Production assistance was provided by Loretta Ravera, Muriel Custodio and Fiona Davies. The cover photo of Bogota’s TransMilenio bus system courtesy of Peter Danielsson, Volvo Bus Corp. 5 TABLE OF CONTENTS Executive Summary ........................................................................... 11 ■ Key Messages .......................................................................... 12 1. Introduction.................................................................................. 17 ■ Urban Public Transport in Developing Countries: Potential and Problems ............................................................ 19 ■ Why Urban Transit Buses?....................................................... 22 ■ The Importance of Getting Buses Moving............................... 23 ■ The Role of New Bus Technologies.......................................... 24 ■ City Experiences: IEA’s Case Studies........................................ 24 2. Bus Systems ................................................................................. 27 ■ Bus Rapid Transit Systems ....................................................... 27 ■ Improving Bus Systems: Potential Benefits............................... 41 ■ New Technologies for Bus Systems .......................................... 51 ■ Improving Bus System Management........................................ 55 ■ How to Afford Better Buses..................................................... 58 3. Bus Technologies and Fuels....................................................... 61 ■ Diesel Technologies ................................................................. 61 ■ Water-in-oil Emulsions............................................................ 75 ■ Biodiesel and Blends................................................................ 80 ■ Compressed Natural Gas ......................................................... 81 ■ Liquefied Petroleum Gas ......................................................... 90 ■ Dimethyl Ether ....................................................................... 94 ■ Hybrid-electric Vehicles......................................................... 100 ■ Fuel-cell Buses ....................................................................... 107 ■ Chapter Summary: Moving up the Technology Ladder.......... 119 7 4. Bus System Development: Six Case Studies ........................ 123 ■ Surabaya,