https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2020-571 Preprint. Discussion started: 26 November 2020 c Author(s) 2020. CC BY 4.0 License. Learning about precipitation orographic enhancement from snow-course data improves water-balance modeling Francesco Avanzi1, Giulia Ercolani1, Simone Gabellani1, Edoardo Cremonese2, Paolo Pogliotti2, Gianluca Filippa2, Umberto Morra di Cella2,1, Sara Ratto3, Hervè Stevenin3, Marco Cauduro4, and Stefano Juglair4 1CIMA Research Foundation, Via Armando Magliotto 2, 17100 Savona, Italy 2Climate Change Unit, Environmental Protection Agency of Aosta Valley, Loc. La Maladière, 48-11020 Saint-Christophe, Italy 3Regione Autonoma Valle d’Aosta, Centro funzionale regionale, Via Promis 2/a, 11100 Aosta, Italy 4Direzione Operativa Operations, C.V.A. S.p.A., Via Stazione 31, 11024 Châtillon, Italy Correspondence: Francesco Avanzi (
[email protected]) Abstract. Precipitation orographic enhancement depends on both synoptic circulation and topography. Since high-elevation headwaters are often sparsely instrumented, the magnitude and distribution of this enhancement remain poorly understood. Filling this knowledge gap would allow a significant step ahead for hydrologic-forecasting procedures and water management in general. 5 Here, we hypothesized that spatially distributed, manual measurements of snow depth (courses) could provide new insights into this process. We leveraged 11,000+ snow-course data upstream two reservoirs in the Western European Alps (Aosta Valley, Italy) to estimate precipitation orographic enhancement in the form of lapse rates and consequently improve predictions of a snow-hydrologic modeling chain (Flood-PROOFS). We found that Snow Water Equivalent (SWE) above 3000 m ASL was between 2 and 8.5 times higher than recorded cumulative seasonal precipitation below 1000 m ASL, with gradients up to 1000 1 10 mm w.e.