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Grantham Institute's Tenth Anniversary Year
Each year, a distinguished speaker is invited to deliver the Grantham Annual Lecture to business- leaders, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, students and the public. Read how some of these past speakers reflect on ten years of environmental and climate action achievements, and catch up with their lectures at imperial.ac.uk/grantham Congratulations to the Grantham Institute on its tenth year in pursuit of a worthy goal of sustainable, resilient, zero carbon society. AL GORE, FORMER VICE PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES 2017 ANNUAL LECTURER I was honoured to give the 8th Grantham Lecture, I loved that so many students attended as they are our hope to motivate future generations to challenge climate change and injustice. MARY ROBINSON, FORMER PRESIDENT OF IRELAND 2015 ANNUAL LECTURER It was an honour and pleasure to address the Grantham Institute due to its significance and all the people that contribute to its greatness. HIS SERENE HIGHNESS PRINCE ALBERT II OF MONACO Grantham Institute’s 2018 ANNUAL LECTURER tenth anniversary year The work that is being done by the Grantham Institute is absolutely key because it will keep Celebrating the past and looking to the future countries moving forward understanding that decarbonisation is actually a huge opportunity. CHRISTIANA FIGUERES, FORMER EXECUTIVE SECRETARY OF THE UN FRAMEWORK CONVENTION ON CLIMATE CHANGE 2016 ANNUAL LECTURER The Grantham Institute promotes inter-disciplinary The Grantham Institute’s vision is for a working to meet some of the greatest challenges faced by society. Over ten years, the Institute has built up sustainable, resilient, zero-carbon society successful programmes that drive forward discovery, convert innovations into applications, train future leaders The Institute seeks to achieve its vision by working and communicate academic knowledge to businesses, in the following ways: industry and policymakers to help shape their decisions. -
Ocabulary of Definitions : P
Service bibliothèque Catalogue historique de la bibliothèque de l’Observatoire de Nice Source : Monographie de l’Observatoire de Nice / Charles Garnier, 1892. Marc Heller © Observatoire de la Côte d’Azur Février 2012 Présentation << On trouve… à l’Ouest … la bibliothèque avec ses six mille deux cents volumes et ses trentes journaux ou recueils périodiques…. >> (Façade principale de la Bibliothèque / Phot. attribuée à Michaud A. – 188? - Marc Heller © Observatoire de la Côte d’Azur) C’est en ces termes qu’Henri Joseph Anastase Perrotin décrivait la bibliothèque de l’Observatoire de Nice en 1899 dans l’introduction du tome 1 des Annales de l’Observatoire de Nice 1. Un catalogue des revues et ouvrages 2 classé par ordre alphabétique d’auteurs et de lieux décrivait le fonds historique de la bibliothèque. 1 Introduction, Annales de l’Observatoire de Nice publiés sous les auspices du Bureau des longitudes par M. Perrotin. Paris,Gauthier-Villars,1899, Tome 1,p. XIV 2 Catalogue de la bibliothèque, Annales de l’Observatoire de Nice publiés sous les auspices du Bureau des longitudes par M. Perrotin. Paris,Gauthier-Villars,1899, Tome 1,p. 1 Le présent document est une version remaniée, complétée et enrichie de ce catalogue. (Bibliothèque, vue de l’intérieur par le photogr. Jean Giletta, 191?. - Marc Heller © Observatoire de la Côte d’Azur) Chaque référence est reproduite à l’identique. Elle est complétée par une notice bibliographique et éventuellement par un lien électronique sur la version numérisée. Les titres et documents non encore identifiés sont signalés en italique. Un index des auteurs et des titres de revues termine le document. -
The History Group's Silver Jubilee
History of Meteorology and Physical Oceanography Special Interest Group Newsletter 1, 2010 ANNUAL REPORT CONTENTS We asked in the last two newsletters if you Annual Report ........................................... 1 thought the History Group should hold an Committee members ................................ 2 Annual General Meeting. There is nothing in Mrs Jean Ludlam ...................................... 2 the By-Law s or Standing Orders of the Royal Meteorological Society that requires the The 2010 Summer Meeting ..................... 3 Group to hold one, nor does Charity Law Report of meeting on 18 November .......... 4 require one. Which papers have been cited? .............. 10 Don’t try this at home! ............................. 10 Only one person responded, and that was in More Richard Gregory reminiscences ..... 11 passing during a telephone conversation about something else. He was in favour of Storm warnings for seafarers: Part 2 ....... 13 holding an AGM but only slightly so. He Swedish storm warnings ......................... 17 expressed the view that an AGM provides an Rikitea meteorological station ................. 19 opportunity to put forward ideas for the More on the D-Day forecast .................... 20 Group’s committee to consider. Recent publications ................................ 21 As there has been so little response, the Did you know? ........................................ 22 Group’s committee has decided that there will Date for your diary .................................. 23 not be an AGM this year. Historic picture ........................................ 23 2009 members of the Group ................... 24 CHAIRMAN’S REVIEW OF 2009 by Malcolm Walker year. Sadly, however, two people who have supported the Group for many years died during I begin as I did last year. Without an enthusiastic 2009. David Limbert passed away on 3 M a y, and conscientious committee, there would be no and Jean Ludlam died in October (see page 2). -
Prof. Sir Brian Hoskins
Welcome! Agenda The Challenge of Climate Change What Reading is doing Reading Climate Action Network Reading Business Climate Action Network One business’ story – Field and Hawken Q&A Trees – why Thames Lido story Planting the first Tree for Reading Thank you to Blake Morgan for breakfast! Help us to make Reading a better place to live and work www.ethicalreading.org.uk The Challenge of Climate Change Brian Hoskins Professor of Meteorology, University of Reading Chair, Grantham Institute for Climate Change Imperial College London Measured Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Global Mean Surface Temperature 1850-2018 Ed Hawkins Arctic Sea ice Sep 2019 Global average sea level change 1992- 2018 1981-2010 average NSIDC Projections of surface temperature change 1986-2005 to 2081-2100 for a continued emissions growth scenario IPCC 2013 Global surface temperature changes Royal Society, November 2018 4 °C If emissions continue to increase at their present rate If current promises by countries are carried out 3 °C International target before Paris 2 °C Paris agreement below 2°C Basis for UK target in 2008 Climate Change Act Paris aspiration 1.5 °C 1 °C Today and increasing at rate 1°C per 50 years 0 °C Pre-Industrial The UK Climate Change Act Climate change mitigation • 80% reduction by 2050 • 5 year carbon budgets – legally binding • Requirement to develop policies and proposals to meet budgets Preparing for climate change • Established independent advisory body – Committee 5 yearly Climate Change on Climate Change (CCC) Risk Assessment (CCRA) & National Adaptation Plan www.theccc.org.uk Climate Change Committee June 2018 Progress Report to Parliament 1. -
Chapter 7. Cities of the Russian North in the Context of Climate Change
? chapter seven Cities of the Russian North in the Context of Climate Change Oleg Anisimov and Vasily Kokorev Introduction In addressing Arctic urban sustainability, one has to deal with the com- plex interplay of multiple factors, such as governance and economic development, demography and migration, environmental changes and land use, changes in the ecosystems and their services, and climate change.1 While climate change can be seen as a factor that exacerbates existing vulnerabilities to other stressors, changes in temperatures, precipitation, snow accumulation, river and lake ice, and hydrological conditions also have direct implications for Northern cities. Climate change leads to a reduction in the demand for heating energy, on one hand, and heightens concerns about the fate of the infrastruc- ture built upon thawing permafrost, on the other. Changes in snowfall are particularly important and have direct implications for the urban economy, because, together with heating costs, expenses for snow removal from streets, airport runways, roofs, and ventilation spaces underneath buildings standing on pile foundations built upon perma- frost constitute the bulk of a city’s maintenance budget during the long cold period of the year. Many cities are located in river valleys and are prone to fl oods that lead to enormous economic losses, inju- ries, and in some cases human deaths. The severity of the northern climate has a direct impact on the regional migration of labor. Climate could thus potentially be viewed as an inexhaustible public resource that creates opportunities for sustainable urban development (Simp- 142 | Oleg Anisimov and Vasily Kokorev son 2009). Long-term trends show that climate as a resource is, in fact, becoming more readily available in the Russian North, notwith- standing the general perception that globally climate change is one of the greatest challenges facing humanity in the twenty-fi rst century. -
Curriculum Vitae - Dr
Curriculum Vitae - Dr. Niklas Boers CONTACT Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research Research Department IV - Complexity Science Future Lab “Artificial Intelligence in the Anthropocene” Telegraphenberg A31 14473 Potsdam email: [email protected] web: www.pik-potsdam.de/members/boers research gate: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Niklas Boers ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1239-9034 CURRENT POSITIONS Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research since 09/2019 Leader Future Lab “Artificial Intelligence in the Anthropocene” Free University Berlin since 09/2019 Junior research group leader at the Department of Mathematics and Computer Science University of Exeter since 09/2019 Senior Lecturer at the Global Systems Institute and Department of Mathematics FORMER ACADEMIC Potsdam Institut fur¨ Klimafolgenforschung 09/2018–08/2019 POSITIONS Humboldt fellow at the Department “Complexity Science” Imperial College London 09/2017–08/2018 Associate researcher at the Grantham Institute Advisors: Joanna Haigh and Brian Hoskins Ecole Normale Superieure´ de Paris 09/2015–08/2017 Humboldt fellow at the Geosciences Department and the Laboratoire de Met´ eorologie´ Dynamique Advisors: Michael Ghil and Denis-Didier Rousseau Potsdam Institut fur¨ Klimafolgenforschung 10/2011–08/2015 Guest researcher at the Department “Transdisciplinary Concepts and Methods” Advisor: Jurgen¨ Kurths Ludwig-Maximilians-Universitat¨ Munchen¨ 03/2011–09/2011 Associate researcher and lecture assistant at the Department of Mathematics Supervisors: Detlef Durr¨ and Peter Pickl HIGHER EDUCATION Humboldt-Universitat¨ zu Berlin PhD in Theoretical Physics 11/2011–04/2015 • Title: Complex Network Analysis of Extreme Rainfall in South America • Supervisors: Prof. Dr. Dr. h.c. mult. Jurgen¨ Kurths and Prof. Dr. Jose´ Marengo • Date of Defense: April 30th 2015 Ludwig-Maximilians-Universitat¨ Munchen¨ Diploma in Physics 09/2004–03/2011 • Diploma Thesis: Mean Field Limits for Classical Many Particle Systems • Supervisors: Prof. -
Wallace Smith Broecker (1931-2019) Geochemist Who Transformed Understanding of the Climate System
COMMENT OBITUARY Wallace Smith Broecker (1931-2019) Geochemist who transformed understanding of the climate system. t was Wallace Smith Broecker who coupled with changes in ocean circulation, at pointed out in the 1980s that massive the surface and deep down. The climate sys- changes in global climate can arise from tem, Broecker noted in 1998, is like “an angry Imodest changes in ocean circulation. After beast and we are poking it with sticks” as we all, the oceans contain roughly 50 times pour greenhouse gases into the atmosphere. more carbon than does the atmosphere, and On 8 August 1975, Broecker published a are responsible for nearly half of global heat paper in Science entitled ‘Climate change: transport towards the poles. Are we on the brink of a pronounced global With monumental intellect and unbridled warming?’ (W. S. Broecker Science 189, curiosity, Broecker defined much of today’s 460–463; 1975). It was the first scientific use understanding of the climate system. His of ‘global warming’, something he did not neat, elegant solutions to complex Earth- want to be remembered for. He later offered science problems — expressed in more than a reward to anyone who could find an earlier 500 publications and 17 books — reshaped usage. The paper was remarkably well timed, entire disciplines. however: global temperatures have risen His path-breaking career spanned nearly consistently above baseline values since 1976. seven decades, during which he defined the Despite a shower of awards and positions ocean’s role in global climate change and car- recognizing his leadership, Broecker led a JEAN-LOUIS ATLAN/PARIS MATCH/GETTY ATLAN/PARIS JEAN-LOUIS bon cycling, and used palaeoclimatic records simple life: jeans and jumpers, a dented car to understand how climate changed in the and a small, spartan apartment near Colum- past and its implications for our collective ocean circulation in which surface waters cool bia University. -
The Potential for Skill Across the Range of the Seamless-Weather Climate Prediction Problem
2356-13 Targeted Training Activity: ENSO-Monsoon in the Current and Future Climate 30 July - 10 August, 2012 The Potential for Skill across the range of the Seamless-Weather Climate Prediction Problem HOSKINS Brian John University of Reading, Department of Meteorology 2 Earley Gate. Whiteknights, P.O. Box 243 RG6 6BB Reading UNITED KINGDOM The Potential for Skill across the range of the Seamless-Weather Climate Prediction Problem Brian Hoskins Grantham Institute for Climate Change, Imperial College London Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, UK Outline of talk 1. Introduction 2. The seamless weather - climate prediction problem & the basis for prediction 3. Increasing time-scales a) 1-day b) 1-day – 1 week c) 1 week – 1month d) 1 month – seasons e) 1 year- 1 decade f) 1 decade – 1 century 4. Concluding comments Introduction Lorenz model: chaos sensitivity to initial conditions Up-scale cascade and error doubling time ~ 1-2 days Forecast error ECMWF Dynamics can lead to predictable behaviour The Quasi-Biennial Oscillation in the equatorial stratosphere 50km Pressure (hPa) Pressure 10km Year 1979 2003 Easterly winds Westerly winds The Seamless Weather-Climate Prediction Problem Ice sheets atmospheric chemistry land moisture vegetation ocean skin upper full region global atmosphere 1day 1week 1month 1season 1year 1 decade 1 century Fronts Cyclones MJO ENSO PDO Convective NAO AMO systems Blocks QBO The Prediction Problem t shorter time-scale of interest longer slave phenomena free external •Observations → initial conditions •Ensembles -
Teoria De Gaia; Transdisciplinaridade
PONTIFÍCIA UNIVERSIDADE CATÓLICA DE SÃO PAULO PUC – SP HOMERO JORGE MAZZOLA INCERTEZAS, BIFURCAÇÕES E DILEMAS NA JORNADA HUMANA DOUTORADO EM CIÊNCIAS SOCIAIS SÃO PAULO 2017 HOMERO JORGE MAZZOLA INCERTEZAS, BIFURCAÇÕES E DILEMAS NA JORNADA HUMANA Tese apresentada à Banca Examinadora da Pontifícia Universidade Católica de São Paulo, PUC-SP, como exigência parcial para obtenção do título de DOUTOR em Ciências Sociais, sob a orientação do Prof. Dr. Edgard de Assis Carvalho. SÃO PAULO 2017 BANCA EXAMINADORA __________________________________________ __________________________________________ __________________________________________ __________________________________________ __________________________________________ AGRADECIMENTO ESPECIAL O meu profundo agradecimento à FUNDASP, pela concessão de bolsa e licença da docência na FEA/PUCSP, o que possibilitou a conclusão de meu programa de doutorado em Ciências Sociais. AGRADECIMENTOS Agradeço ao meu orientador, Prof. Dr. Edgard de Assis Carvalho. Palavras são insuficientes para expressar seu empenho em me abrir portas de novos conhecimentos e me proporcionar liberdade para a elaboração desta tese. Reitero minha gratidão por sua seriedade, sua ética, seu compromisso acadêmico inabalável e por compartilhar sua erudição, que se tornaram para mim uma referência viva e presente, a qual espero ser capaz de passar adiante como modelo a ser difundido e seguido. Às professoras doutoras Graziela C. Vidal e Vivian Blaso, a minha gratidão pelas críticas construtivas no momento da qualificação. Aos membros da banca, professores Edmilson Felipe da Silva, Francisco Agustin Machado Echalar, Graziela Cristina Vital, Lucia Helena Vitalli Rangel, Mauro Luiz Peron e Vivian Blaso, que juntamente com meu orientador, prof. Edgard, contribuíram para a realização de meu projeto. Agradeço aos meus professores da pós-graduação em Ciências Sociais da PUC de São Paulo, pelos ensinamentos, compreensão e incentivo dados durante a condução deste trabalho Meu reconhecimento à Profa. -
News and New IPRC Staff
IPRC NEWS The IPRC 10th Anniversary sea-level rise. In age, the students ranged from kindergarten to high school. They were fascinated by the images displayed The IPRC marked the completion of 10 years of scientific on the Magic Planet, as were their parents, and asked many achievements with a series of events in May 2008. The pre- questions about the animations displayed on this truly magi- vious issue of the IPRC Climate described the special IPRC cal sphere. Annual Symposium held on May 5 and 6 at the East-West A final event in our celebration was an informal review Center. In their invited symposium talks, University of To- workshop on May 16, in which younger IPRC scientists kyo Professor Toshio Yamagata remembered the history and showcased their research. evolution of the IPRC, and University of Maryland Profes- sor Antonio Busalacchi described the scientific accomplish- Bin Wang Elected AMS Fellow! ments of the IPRC over the last 10 years and speculated about IPRC’s future in the international climate research commu- IPRC Team Leader and Professor nity. In the evening of May 5, the IPRC staff held a reception of Meteorology Bin Wang has been and dinner to honor Jay McCreary’s service as IPRC Direc- elected Fellow of the American Me- tor and to mark Professor Yamagata’s 60th birthday. teorological Society (AMS) for his On May 9 the IPRC held an Open House for local school “outstanding contributions to the children and their parents. About 40 homeschooled stu- atmospheric and related oceanic dents and their parents came to watch animations with the and hydrologic sciences during a Magic Planet, a smaller version of the NOAA Science On a substantial period of years.” The Sphere. -
November 2019
A selection of some recent arrivals November 2019 Rare and important books & manuscripts in science and medicine, by Christian Westergaard. Flæsketorvet 68 – 1711 København V – Denmark Cell: (+45)27628014 www.sophiararebooks.com AMPÈRE, André-Marie. THE FOUNDATION OF ELECTRO- DYNAMICS, INSCRIBED BY AMPÈRE AMPÈRE, Andre-Marie. Mémoires sur l’action mutuelle de deux courans électri- ques, sur celle qui existe entre un courant électrique et un aimant ou le globe terres- tre, et celle de deux aimans l’un sur l’autre. [Paris: Feugeray, 1821]. $22,500 8vo (219 x 133mm), pp. [3], 4-112 with five folding engraved plates (a few faint scattered spots). Original pink wrappers, uncut (lacking backstrip, one cord partly broken with a few leaves just holding, slightly darkened, chip to corner of upper cov- er); modern cloth box. An untouched copy in its original state. First edition, probable first issue, extremely rare and inscribed by Ampère, of this continually evolving collection of important memoirs on electrodynamics by Ampère and others. “Ampère had originally intended the collection to contain all the articles published on his theory of electrodynamics since 1820, but as he pre- pared copy new articles on the subject continued to appear, so that the fascicles, which apparently began publication in 1821, were in a constant state of revision, with at least five versions of the collection appearing between 1821 and 1823 un- der different titles” (Norman). The collection begins with ‘Mémoires sur l’action mutuelle de deux courans électriques’, Ampère’s “first great memoir on electrody- namics” (DSB), representing his first response to the demonstration on 21 April 1820 by the Danish physicist Hans Christian Oersted (1777-1851) that electric currents create magnetic fields; this had been reported by François Arago (1786- 1853) to an astonished Académie des Sciences on 4 September. -
'Boring Billion' Redefining Earth's
SCIENTISTVOLUME 29 No. 11 ◆ DECEMBER 2019 ◆ WWW.GEOLSOC.ORG.UK/GEOSCIENTIST GEOThe Fellowship Magazine of the Geological Society of London @geoscientistmag REDEFINING EARTH’S ‘BORING BILLION’ Simon Poulton on a billion year interval in Earth’s history that might not be so boring after all Foram Week takes over Twitter! PETROLEUM PIONEERS BEYOND ACADEMIA A GEOLOGIST’S CHRISTMAS Sarah Day interviews GSA Tools and tips for thinking The trials and tribulations of President Robbie Gries outside the academic box geological mapping in 1841 WWW.GEOLSOC.ORG.UK/GEOSCIENTIST | DECEMBER 2019 | 1 The Geological Society Publishing House For Special Publications, Maps, Memoirs and seasonal gift ideas visit the Geogift page AD SPACEwww.geolsoc.org.uk/geogifts It’s that time of year again! We’ve put together a range of our favourite items on our GeoGifts page that make for great seasonal gifts for you or someone else, with prices starting from £7. View the full range at: www.geolsoc.org.uk/geogifts GEOSCIENTIST CONTENTS Geoscientist is the Fellowship ADVERTISING SALES © Geological Society Library The Geological Society magazine Dominic Arnold of the Geological Society T 01727 739 184 of London E [email protected] The Geological Society, Burlington ART EDITOR Publishing House House, Piccadilly, Peter Davies London W1J 0BG T +44 (0)20 7434 9944 PRINTED BY F +44 (0)20 7439 8975 Century One Publishing Ltd. E [email protected] (Not for Editorial - Please contact Copyright the Editor) The Geological Society of London is a Registered Charity, number Publishing House 210161. The Geological Society Publishing ISSN (print) 0961-5628 House, Unit 7, ISSN (online) 2045-1784 Brassmill Enterprise Centre, Brassmill Lane, Bath The Geological Society of London accepts no responsibility for the views BA1 3JN expressed in any article in this publication.