Five Fallacies of Devolution
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+ Jane Aaron Words come alive in the downturn Five fallacies Mark Drakeford Labour’s referendum ground war David Melding of devolution Terrific twins of the constitution Deian Hopkin Student fees challenge universities Geraint Talfan Davies Forced marriage between S4C and the BBC Dai Smith Tonypandy and our collective memory Tom Nairn Globalisation and national identity Trevor Fishlock Elaine Morgan’s flavour of Wales Jan Morris Catastrophe turned into art Helena Braithwaite In defence of music www.iwa.org.uk | Winter 2010 | No. 42 | £5 The Institute of Welsh Affairs gratefully acknowledges funding support from the Joseph Rowntree Charitable Trust, the Esmée Fairbairn Foundation and the Waterloo Foundation. 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Editor: John Osmond Associate Editors: Carwyn’s Referendum Opportunity Geraint Talfan Davies Rhys David The referendum on further powers for at Westminster is likely to be extremely Administration: Helen Sims-Coomber the National Assembly, to be held next unpopular as the impact of the public 3 March, presents a challenge and an spending squeeze accelerates, with the Design: [email protected] opportunity for political leadership. In his attendant misery of cuts in services and job article on how the referendum should losses in both the public and private sectors. To advertise, tel: 029 2066 0820 be fought from Labour’s point of view, Since the public sector forms more than 60 Institute of Welsh Affairs on pages 30, Mark Drakeford, Rhodri per cent of Welsh GDP we can expect to be 4 Cathedral Road Morgan’s former political adviser, rightly one of the worst affected parts of the UK. Cardiff CF11 9LJ points out that the campaign will merge When things are going badly people Tel: 029 2066 0820 seamlessly into the National Assembly tend to blame the government. So far Email: [email protected] www.iwa.org.uk elections, being held two months later on as the referendum is concerned a lot 6 May. The party or parties most closely will be depend on how far Welsh voters The IWA is a non-aligned independent associated with a successful outcome in differentiate the Welsh from the UK think-tank and research institute. the referendum campaign stand to benefit government. If Cardiff Bay is tarred with Members (annual subscription £40) receive agenda three times a year, in the Assembly election as well. the same brush as Westminster the outlook can purchase reports at a 25 per cent Labour has had an ambivalent for further powers being endorsed may be reduction, and receive discounts when attitude towards devolution ever since bleak. On the other hand, if the Labour-led attending IWA events. the slow process that led to the creation government in Cardiff can separate itself Branches of the Assembly began in earnest in the from the Conservative-led government late 1950s. For more than half a century in London and tell a different story about North Wales Secretariat c/o Huw Lewis the party divided into broadly two camps. insulating Wales from the worst effects of 6 Maes yr Haul, Mold, One has seen Welsh identity as a threat the cuts then the outcome should be Flintshire CH7 1NS to Labour identity. The other has seen more hopeful. Tel: 01352 758311 Wales and devolution as an arena within In this endeavour a lot rests on Gwent Secretariat which social democratic values, especially the shoulders of First Minister Carwyn c/o Chris O’Malley as they affect health and education, can Jones. He should be planning now to University of Wales, Newport, Caerleon Campus be allowed greater rein than if complete put the month of February aside and PO Box 179, Newport NP18 3YG sovereignty still resided at Westminster. spend it in a battle bus touring the 40 Tel: 01633 432005 Until the early to mid 2000s the former Welsh constituencies. Each day should West Wales Secretariat tendency had the upper hand. But since culminate in a rally and social gathering c/o Margaret Davies the first elections to the Assembly in 1999 with entertainment in key centres across Principal’s Office, Trinity University the latter has been growing in strength. Wales. These occasions should be an College, Carmarthen SA31 3EP The tipping point came in the wake of the opportunity to present broad cross-party Tel: 01267 237971 2007 Assembly election when a special and wider civil society and cultural Swansea Bay Secretariat Welsh Labour conference endorsed the support for the Assembly having the c/o Beti Williams One Wales coalition agreement with Plaid tools it needs to carry out its work. At Department of Computer Science, Cymru. The leadership of Welsh Labour each event Carwyn Jones should be Swansea University, Swansea SA2 8PP now firmly resides in Cardiff Bay rather given a platform to present the middle Tel: 01792 295625 than Westminster where it was notable ground, common sense case that his own that not a single Welsh MP managed to convictions and personality underline. It Cardiff and Valleys Secretariat c/o Llio Ellis get elected to Labour’s shadow cabinet would be a great opportunity for him to 3 De Clare Drive, this Autumn. transform himself into the national figure Radyr, Cardiff CF15 8FY The referendum in early March he deserves to be. It would also be a great Tel: 07971 246116 will not be held in the most propitious opportunity for his party to demonstrate IWA Women circumstances. February is not a good that it is comfortable with devolution c/o Kirsty Davies month for campaigning. Dark nights and united in making it work for Wales. [email protected] and bad weather lead to poor turnouts. Carwyn and Labour should seize the Tel: 07900 692898 By then, too, the coalition government chance with both hands. Wales in London c/o Robert John First Base, 22 Ganton Street, London W1F 7BY Tel: 020 7851 5521 agenda winter 2010—issue 42 | 1 Contents a 2 3 Agenda 42 | Winter 2010 Politics Law 4. Essay 24. Five fallacies 38. The emerging When anger breaks into of devolution need for a Welsh metaphorical music Gerald Holtham calls for jurisdiction Jane Aaron on how words a sensible debate on tax John Williams argues that can come alive at times of varying powers for the as the body of distinctive stress in a community National Assembly Welsh law grows so too will tensions within the 10. IWA News 29. Terrific twins of Welsh unitary system constitutional thought 12. Outlook David Melding reflects on 41. Reforming Welsh law Comprehensive the impact of the Holtham Richard Percival reviews Spending Review and Richard Commissions the Law Commission’s Cover photograph: from the book Senedd written by Trevor Fishlock, –Eurfyl ap Gwilym engagement with Wales photographed by Andrew Molyneux, –Steve Thomas 30. Labour’s referendum since devolution published by Graffeg (see page 33). –Phil Cooper ground war –Mike German Mark Drakeford argues for a new level of sophistication in the design of the Yes campaign for the referendum next March 4 5 Education Social Policy 1 32.