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Violence and Sexual Offences trafforddatalab.io | @traffordDataLab Violence and sexual offences Violence and sexual offences include offences against the person such as common assaults, Grievous Bodily Harm and sexual offences. Violence and sexual offences last month There were 512 violence and sexual Figure 1: Count of violence and sexual offences by month in Trafford offences recorded by Greater Manchester Police in Trafford during December 2017. 500 This is 139 more crimes than the same 400 300 month last year. 200 100 0 7 7 7 7 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 - - - - 1 - - - - - - - r y v r c- c- g l p b n n ct a a e e o p u u e e a u J J J O A F S D D A N M M Source: data.police.uk | @traffordDataLab Download: Data | Image | R code Violence and sexual offences over the last 3 years Violence and sexual offences have Figure 2: Violence and sexual offences in Trafford, 2015- 2017 hovered between 179 and 554 offences over the last 36 months. The overall trend Observed Trend is increasing sharply with offences 600 peaking in July 2017. The rate of violence and sexual offences 400 over the last 3 years for each of Trafford's wards has been visualised in this linked 200 chart. 0 5 6 7 5 6 7 5 6 7 5 6 7 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 - - - - - - - - - - - - r r r l l l n n n ct ct ct p p p u u u a a a J J J J J J O O O A A A Source: data.police.uk | @traffordDataLab Download: Data | Image | R code Violence and sexual offence rates There were approximately 2.2 violence Figure 3: Rates of violence and sexual offences in Trafford's wards and sexual offences recorded for every 1,000 Trafford residents during December Greater Manchester 3.2 Trafford 2.2 2017. However, there is some variation in Flixton 0.9 Village 1.1 rates of violence and sexual offences Timperley 1.2 Ashton upon Mersey 1.2 Brooklands 1.3 between wards. Gorse Hill ward recorded Hale Central 1.4 Hale Barns 1.5 the highest rate of violence and sexual Bowdon 1.7 St Mary's 1.8 offences with 4.4 offences per 1,000 Sale Moor 2.1 Broadheath 2.1 Stretford 2.4 residents. Clifford 2.6 Urmston 2.7 Priory 2.7 Longford 2.7 Davyhulme East 2.7 Altrincham 2.7 Davyhulme West 2.8 Bucklow-St Martins 3.1 Gorse Hill 4.4 0 1 2 3 4 crimes per 1,000 population Source: data.police.uk | @traffordDataLab Download: Data | Image | R code Location quotient The location quotient (Brantingham & Figure 4: Violence and sexual offences location quotient, December 2017 Brantingham 1997) provides a measure of the difference between the rate of crime GOH in a ward and the rate of crime for the DVE DVW CLF LFD FLX whole of Trafford. A location quotient of URM STR AOM PRI 1.0 indicates that a ward has a BSM STM SLM BRK BRD proportional share of crime whilst a value TMP VLG ALT greater than 1 indicates a BOW HCT HBN disproportionate share. Violence and sexual offences location quotient Figure 4 shows that Gorse Hill ward 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 Source: data.police.uk | @traffordDataLab recorded more than twice the rate of violence and sexual offences during Download: Data | Image | R code December 2017 as Trafford as a whole. Violence and sexual offences as a proportion of all crime Violence and sexual offences accounted Figure 5: Violence and sexual offences as a proportion of total offences*, December 2017 for 57% of recorded crime in Urmston ward during December 2017 and 34% in Greater Manchester 33% Trafford 34% Trafford overall. Davyhulme East 17% Village 20% Ashton upon Mersey 27% Hale Central 28% Hale Barns 28% Altrincham 29% Priory 30% Flixton 33% Stretford 33% Clifford 34% Gorse Hill 34% Bowdon 36% Broadheath 36% St Mary's 37% Bucklow-St Martins 37% Sale Moor 41% Longford 43% Timperley 45% Brooklands 47% Davyhulme West 54% Urmston 57% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% percentage of all crime Source: data.police.uk | @traffordDataLab *not including incidents of anti-social behaviour Download: Data | Image | R code Notes Violence and sexual offences rates have been calculated using the number of residents in each area. Ward abbreviations: Altrincham (ALT); Ashton upon Mersey (AOM); Bowdon (BOW); Broadheath (BRD); Brooklands (BRK); Bucklow-St Martins (BSM); Clifford (CLF); Davyhulme East (DVE); Davyhulme West (DVW); Flixton (FLX); Gorse Hill (GOH); Hale Barns (HBN); Hale Central (HCT); Longford (LFD); Priory (PRI); St Mary's (STM); Sale Moor (SLM); Stretford (STR); Timperley (TMP); Urmston (URM); Village (VLG) References Brantingham, P.L. and Brantingham, P.J. (1998). Mapping crime for analytic purposes: location quotients, counts and rates. In D. Weisburd and T. McEwen, eds, Crime Mapping and Crime Prevention, 263-288. Monsey, NY: Criminal Justice Press. Data sources Greater Manchester Police recorded crime: data.police.uk Mid-year population estimates (2016): ONS Released under Open Government Licence.
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