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Don't Believe Pundits' Claims About the Cost of Brexit.Pdf
Don’t Believe Pundits’ Claims About the Cost of Brexit Experts agree leaving the European Union will damage the British economy, but past performance should make them wary of offering outlandish assertions about an unknowable future. Embattled British Prime Minister Theresa May put on a brave face last week at the U.K. Conservative Party’s annual conference in Birmingham. Facing pressure from all sides over what has become known as her Chequers proposal for an orderly Brexit, she reiterated her government’s commitment to leaving the European Union as scheduled on March 29 of next year. Ridiculing opponents’ calls for further compromise, she stated unequivocally that “Britain isn’t afraid to leave with no deal if we have to.” May’s feisty formal address was preempted by an off-program speech the day before by the former foreign secretary and perennial Conservative Party renegade Boris Johnson, who all but called for a no-deal hard Brexit as the only way to avoid bowing to a Brussels dictatorship. Johnson called the Chequers plan “a cheat” of the electorate and likened it to the 14th-century offense of praemunire. (According to the Oxford English Dictionary, that’s “the offence of asserting or maintaining papal jurisdiction in England.”) In another reference that left watchers turning to Wikipedia for enlightenment, Johnson warned that the Chequers plan would see the United Kingdom “paraded in manacles down the Rue de la Loi like Caractacus.” (For the record, he’s referring to “a 1st-century AD British chieftain of the Catuvellauni tribe, who led the British resistance to the Roman conquest.”) As Johnson and other hard Brexiteers portray the Chequers plan as an abrogation of British sovereignty, hard core Remainers who want the United Kingdom to stay in the European Union routinely warn that a no-deal Brexit will be an economic catastrophe for their country. -
Where Next for Britain and for Europe? Senior European Experts Seminar
Where next for Britain and for Europe? Senior European Experts Seminar Tuesday 26 February Regent’s University London 16:30 – 18:00 This background paper has been prepared by the Senior European Experts Group, an independent group of former UK ambassadors and former EU and UK government officials which prepares briefings on current EU topics for opinion formers. Introduction Brexit has been a huge challenge for the UK and a headache Just as there were differences within the UK, so there were for the EU. The 2016 referendum plunged the UK into a differences between the regions of England. London had the constitutional and political crisis. More than two years on, the highest vote to Remain but the Leave vote was highest in the UK’s future relationship with the EU is still unresolved. East and West Midlands.1 EU Member States have been united in their response to Detailed analysis of the result identified the two most Brexit, but divided when responding to other challenges such significant factors separating Leave from Remain voters as as immigration and the stability of the euro, as well as being their level of educational achievement and their age. No less troubled by the rise of populist parties in some Member States. than 78 per cent of those with no qualifications voted Leave What should their response be to Brexit in the longer term? (admittedly only about 10 per cent of voters), and 61 per cent How can they maintain a united European front on security and of those whose education had stopped at O-levels or CSEs trade in the face of the challenges from Putin and from Trump? (about a quarter of voters).2 Leave voters tended to be older than Remain voters, with 61 per cent of people over 65 voting This paper looks at the history of Brexit from the referendum to Leave compared to 60 per cent of 18-34 year-olds voting until the end of January 2019 and poses some questions to Remain.3 In addition, 59 per cent of voters identifying as about the future direction of the UK and of the EU. -
Current Impasse in Brexit Negotiations and Future Outlook
Mitsui & Co. Global Strategic Studies Institute Monthly Report October 2018 CURRENT IMPASSE IN BREXIT NEGOTIATIONS AND FUTURE OUTLOOK Ryuji Hiraishi Strategic Information & Research Dept. Mitsui & Co. Europe PLC BREXIT NEGOTIATIONS DEADLOCKED AS TIME RUNS OUT The negotiations on the United Kingdom’s withdrawal from the European Union (Brexit) are approaching a climax. The Brexit negotiations began on June 19, 2017 after the UK made the decision to leave the EU in a referendum held on June 23, 2016 and then submitted notice of its intention to leave the EU to the European Council on March 29, 2017 (Figure 1). Under Article 50 of the Treaty of Lisbon, a country that decides to leave the EU shall leave two years after submitting notice of its intention to leave even if it is unable to conclude a withdrawal agreement, unless there is unanimous agreement of all member states to extend the negotiation period. As such, the UK and EU are negotiating on the assumption that the UK will leave the EU on March 29, 2019, which will be two years after the UK submitted its notice. The Brexit negotiations are composed of the following three discussions: (1) the terms of withdrawal : including payment by the UK of its liabilities, securing the rights of citizens of both the UK and EU, and managing the border between the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland; (2) the future relationship: this could include a comprehensive FTA after the UK’s withdrawal; and (3) the transition period: this is the relationship in the period after withdrawal until the future relationship can be finalized. -
Item 10 Brexit Update Report
THIS PAPER RELATES TO ITEM 10 CLACKMANNANSHIRE COUNCIL ON THE AGENDA Report to: CLACKMANNANSHIRE COUNCIL Date of Meeting: 25TH October 2018 Subject: Brexit Update Report Report by: Strategic Director – Partnership & Performance 1.0 Purpose 1.1. The purpose of this report is to summarise the latest developments in Brexit negotiations, and to highlight the high level implications for Scotland and Clackmannanshire. Given the critical stage of the EU Withdrawal negotiations, it is advised that regular future briefings are prepared to ensure that Council is kept updated on developments. 2.0 Recommendations 2.1. It is recommended that Council: a) Note, challenge and comment on the report as appropriate; b) Note that future update briefings on EU Withdrawal negotiations will be brought to Council until at least 29th March 2019. 3.0 Considerations Background and Update on Brexit Negotiations 3.1. Details of the final withdrawal treaty and any transitional deals require to be ratified by the EU nations and the UK Parliament before the UK leaves in March 2019. Negotiations on the UK’s departure from the EU is governed by provisions in Article 50 of the Treaty of the European Union. Article 50 makes provision for a withdrawal agreement to include the terms of the UK’s withdrawal from the EU and to take account of future relationship between the EU and the UK. Updates on the latest negotiation rounds in July and August 2018 have focussed on resolving the remaining issues in relation to the Withdrawal Agreement. Further negotiations in late August took place in Brussels with the focus being on the framework for future relationship between the UK and the EU. -
Making a Hasty Brexit? Ministerial Turnover and Its Implications
Making a Hasty Brexit? Ministerial Turnover and Its Implications Jessica R. Adolino, Ph. D. Professor of Political Science James Madison University Draft prepared for presentation at the European Studies Association Annual Meeting May 9-12, 2019, Denver, Colorado Please do not cite or distribute without author’s permission. By almost any measure, since the immediate aftermath of the June 16, 2016 Brexit referendum, the British government has been in a state of chaos. The turmoil began with then- Prime Minister David Cameron’s resignation on June 17 and succession by Theresa May within days of the vote. Subsequently, May’s decision to call a snap election in 2017 and the resulting loss of the Conservatives’ parliamentary majority cast doubt on her leadership and further stirred up dissension in her party’s ranks. Perhaps more telling, and the subject of this paper, is the unprecedented number of ministers1—from both senior and junior ranks—that quit the May government over Brexit-related policy disagreements2. Between June 12, 2017 and April 3, 2019, the government witnessed 45 resignations, with high-profile secretaries of state and departmental ministers stepping down to return to the backbenches. Of these, 34 members of her government, including 9 serving in the Cabinet, departed over issues with some aspect of Brexit, ranging from dissatisfaction with the Prime Minister’s Withdrawal Agreement, to disagreements about the proper role of Parliament, to questions about the legitimacy of the entire Brexit process. All told, Theresa May lost more ministers, and at a more rapid pace, than any other prime minister in modern times. -
PDF | Brexit Blog: Why 'No Deal' May Still Be Avoided
Economic and Financial Analysis 26 September 2018 Brexit blog: Why ‘no deal’ may still be avoided Article Plus: What markets should look out for in this year's political party conferences, and is the UK economy heading into another rough patch? Source: Shutterstock Theresa May, UK Prime Minister Content - Has the Salzburg meeting really raised the odds of no deal? - All eyes on Conservative Brexiteers as Labour reiterates it'll reject final deal - Other things to watch this week With six months to go until the UK leaves the EU, our weekly Brexit update/blog is back. Each week we'll try to give a brief digest of the twists and turns of the negotiations as the clock counts down, as well as provide our latest thoughts on the UK economy and markets. Has the Salzburg meeting really raised the odds of no deal? We kick-off following what has been, even by Brexit standards, a tumultuous period. The big hope for the meeting in Salzburg last week was that at long last, EU leaders would signal talks were moving closer to a positive conclusion. But in the event, the week ended in bitter disagreement and stark warnings from both UK and EU leaders. So what went wrong? Cast your mind back to July when the UK government reached a tentative (and ultimately short-lived) truce on what the future trading relationship should entail. The so-called Chequers plan, which was effectively centred on single market access for goods, was met with a cold reception in Europe. But despite a range of concerns - chiefly on the issue of cherrypicking - EU negotiators had appeared wary to completely destroy May's plan publically. -
Background, Brexit, and Relations with the United States
The United Kingdom: Background, Brexit, and Relations with the United States Updated April 16, 2021 Congressional Research Service https://crsreports.congress.gov RL33105 SUMMARY RL33105 The United Kingdom: Background, Brexit, and April 16, 2021 Relations with the United States Derek E. Mix Many U.S. officials and Members of Congress view the United Kingdom (UK) as the United Specialist in European States’ closest and most reliable ally. This perception stems from a combination of factors, Affairs including a sense of shared history, values, and culture; a large and mutually beneficial economic relationship; and extensive cooperation on foreign policy and security issues. The UK’s January 2020 withdrawal from the European Union (EU), often referred to as Brexit, is likely to change its international role and outlook in ways that affect U.S.-UK relations. Conservative Party Leads UK Government The government of the UK is led by Prime Minister Boris Johnson of the Conservative Party. Brexit has dominated UK domestic politics since the 2016 referendum on whether to leave the EU. In an early election held in December 2019—called in order to break a political deadlock over how and when the UK would exit the EU—the Conservative Party secured a sizeable parliamentary majority, winning 365 seats in the 650-seat House of Commons. The election results paved the way for Parliament’s approval of a withdrawal agreement negotiated between Johnson’s government and the EU. UK Is Out of the EU, Concludes Trade and Cooperation Agreement On January 31, 2020, the UK’s 47-year EU membership came to an end. -
University of Birmingham from Eating Cake to Crashing
University of Birmingham From eating cake to crashing out Kettell, Steven; Kerr, Peter DOI: 10.1057/s41295-019-00200-6 License: Other (please specify with Rights Statement) Document Version Peer reviewed version Citation for published version (Harvard): Kettell, S & Kerr, P 2020, 'From eating cake to crashing out: constructing the myth of a no-deal Brexit', Comparative European Politics, vol. 18, no. 4, pp. 590–608. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41295-019-00200-6 Link to publication on Research at Birmingham portal Publisher Rights Statement: This is a post-peer-review, pre-copyedit version of an article published in Comparative European Politics. The final authenticated version is available online at: https://doi.org/10.1057/s41295-019-00200-6 General rights Unless a licence is specified above, all rights (including copyright and moral rights) in this document are retained by the authors and/or the copyright holders. The express permission of the copyright holder must be obtained for any use of this material other than for purposes permitted by law. •Users may freely distribute the URL that is used to identify this publication. •Users may download and/or print one copy of the publication from the University of Birmingham research portal for the purpose of private study or non-commercial research. •User may use extracts from the document in line with the concept of ‘fair dealing’ under the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988 (?) •Users may not further distribute the material nor use it for the purposes of commercial gain. Where a licence is displayed above, please note the terms and conditions of the licence govern your use of this document. -
FOI Letter Template
Americas Directorate Foreign and Commonwealth Office King Charles Street London SW1A 2AH Website: https://www.gov.uk/fco Mr George Greenwood Email: [email protected] 23 October 2017 Dear Mr Greenwood FREEDOM OF INFORMATION ACT 2000 REQUEST REF: 0567/2017 Thank you for your email of 5 June stating you are happy to continue the following request under the Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) 2000, as suggested in our internal review. You asked: ‘Please provide all communications between the Foreign and Commonwealth Office and the British embassy in Washington concerning American immigration and border control policy regarding Muslims. Please reduce the scope of my request to the three weeks between 23th January and 12th February’. I am writing to confirm that we have now completed the search for the information which you requested. I can confirm that the Foreign and Commonwealth Office (FCO) does hold information relevant to your request. We have carefully considered if we can release this information and conducted the appropriate Public Interest Tests. We can release some of the information and this is attached as a digest of information to be released. However, we do not intend to release the other information relevant to your request as we judge it is exempt from release under the following exemptions of the Freedom of Information Act 2000 (FOIA): - section 27 (1) (a) (c) (d) (International relations) - section 35 (1) (a) (Formulation of government policy, etc.) - section 40 (2) and (3) (Personal information) 1 - Section 41 (1) (Information provided in confidence) Section 27 (1) (a) (c) and (d) International Relations Some of the information you have requested is being withheld under section 27 (1) (a) (c) and (d) of the FOIA. -
Trump's Twiplomacy
Trump’s Twiplomacy: A New Diplomatic Norm? Kajsa Hughes Two-year Political Science MA programme in Global Politics and Societal Change Dept. of Global Political Studies Course: Political Science Master’s thesis ST631L (30 credits) Thesis submitted: Summer, 2020 Supervisor: Corina Filipescu Kajsa Hughes 19940526-2867 Political Science: Global Politics Abstract This study examined how Trump frames various countries and their leaders and whether the framing changes from different factors. It also observed whether foreign leaders were following the same path as Trump in their diplomatic communication and interaction on Twitter. This was to contribute more knowledge that connects global politics with social media to see if changes of frames through Twitter caused any global politica l consequences. Theories including realist constructivism and framing theory, along with concepts of social norms, political context, events, and enemy images, were applied to the study. Using directed content analysis, together with longitudinal and comparative elements, the findings showed a separation between Trump’s and the other leaders’ tweets. Almost all tweets were connected to the concepts, and various techniques of framing were identified in tweets from most leaders. However, Trump’s informa l, disdain, and dramatics in his tweets have distanced himself from the rest of the leaders’ posts. Although a couple of leaders’ attempt to be hostile towards Trump and the U.S. in their tweets, they were still formal. It shows that not only is Trump’s Twiplomacy a reflection of American superpower forcefulne ss, but also a unique form that the rest choose to ignore. Keywords: framing, social norms, Trump, Twiplomacy, Twitter, Word count: 21,979 1 Kajsa Hughes 19940526-2867 Political Science: Global Politics Table of Contents 1. -
Whole Day Download the Hansard
Monday Volume 663 8 July 2019 No. 326 HOUSE OF COMMONS OFFICIAL REPORT PARLIAMENTARY DEBATES (HANSARD) Monday 8 July 2019 © Parliamentary Copyright House of Commons 2019 This publication may be reproduced under the terms of the Open Parliament licence, which is published at www.parliament.uk/site-information/copyright/. HER MAJESTY’S GOVERNMENT MEMBERS OF THE CABINET (FORMED BY THE RT HON. THERESA MAY, MP, JUNE 2017) PRIME MINISTER,FIRST LORD OF THE TREASURY AND MINISTER FOR THE CIVIL SERVICE—The Rt Hon. Theresa May, MP CHANCELLOR OF THE DUCHY OF LANCASTER AND MINISTER FOR THE CABINET OFFICE—The Rt Hon. David Lidington, MP CHANCELLOR OF THE EXCHEQUER—The Rt Hon. Philip Hammond, MP SECRETARY OF STATE FOR THE HOME DEPARTMENT—The Rt Hon. Sajid Javid, MP SECRETARY OF STATE FOR FOREIGN AND COMMONWEALTH AFFAIRS—The Rt. Hon Jeremy Hunt, MP SECRETARY OF STATE FOR EXITING THE EUROPEAN UNION—The Rt Hon. Stephen Barclay, MP SECRETARY OF STATE FOR DEFENCE AND MINISTER FOR WOMEN AND EQUALITIES—The Rt Hon. Penny Mordaunt, MP LORD CHANCELLOR AND SECRETARY OF STATE FOR JUSTICE—The Rt Hon. David Gauke, MP SECRETARY OF STATE FOR HEALTH AND SOCIAL CARE—The Rt Hon. Matt Hancock, MP SECRETARY OF STATE FOR BUSINESS,ENERGY AND INDUSTRIAL STRATEGY—The Rt Hon. Greg Clark, MP SECRETARY OF STATE FOR INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND PRESIDENT OF THE BOARD OF TRADE—The Rt Hon. Liam Fox, MP SECRETARY OF STATE FOR WORK AND PENSIONS—The Rt Hon. Amber Rudd, MP SECRETARY OF STATE FOR EDUCATION—The Rt Hon. Damian Hinds, MP SECRETARY OF STATE FOR ENVIRONMENT,FOOD AND RURAL AFFAIRS—The Rt Hon. -
Intelligence and Security Committee of Parliament Annual Report 2012
Intelligence and Security Committee of Parliament Annual Report 2012–2013 Chairman: The Rt. Hon. Sir Malcolm Rifkind, MP Intelligence and Security Committee of Parliament Annual Report 2012–2013 Chairman: The Rt. Hon. Sir Malcolm Rifkind, MP Presented to Parliament pursuant to section 3 of the Justice and Security Act 2013 Ordered by the House of Commons to be printed on 10 July 2013 HC 547 £16.00 © Crown copyright 2013 You may re-use this information (excluding logos) free of charge in any format or medium, under the terms of the Open Government Licence. To view this licence, visit http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/ or e-mail: [email protected]. Where we have identified any third party copyright information you will need to obtain permission from the copyright holders concerned. Any enquiries regarding this publication should be sent to us at [email protected] ISBN: 9780102986525 Printed in the UK by The Stationery Office Limited on behalf of the Controller of Her Majesty’s Stationery Office ID: 2573953 07/13 Printed on paper containing 75% recycled fibre content minimum. THE INTELLIGENCE AND SECURITY COMMITTEE OF PARLIAMENT The Rt. Hon. Sir Malcolm Rifkind, MP (Chairman) The Rt. Hon. Hazel Blears, MP The Rt. Hon. Paul Goggins, MP The Rt. Hon. Lord Butler KG GCB CVO The Rt. Hon. George Howarth, MP The Rt. Hon. Sir Menzies Campbell CH CBE QC, MP Dr Julian Lewis, MP Mr Mark Field, MP Lord Lothian QC PC The Intelligence and Security Committee of Parliament (ISC) is a statutory committee of Parliament that has responsibility for oversight of the UK intelligence community.