BREXIT MEANS BREXIT TOWARDS A NEW RELATIONSHIP WITH THE UK No. 103, March 2017 ADVISORY COUNCIL ON INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS ADVIESRAAD INTERNATIONALE VRAAGSTUKKEN AIV Members of the Advisory Council on International Affairs Chair Professor Jaap de Hoop Scheffer Vice-chair Professor Alfred van Staden Members Professor Tineke Cleiren Professor Joyeeta Gupta Professor Ernst Hirsch Ballin Professor Mirjam van Reisen Monica Sie Dhian Ho Lieutenant-General (ret.) Marcel Urlings Professor Joris Voorhoeve Executive Secretary Tiemo Oostenbrink P.O. Box 20061 2500 EB The Hague The Netherlands telephone + 31 70 348 5108/6060 e-mail
[email protected] www.aiv-advice.nl Members of the Joint Committee on Brexit Chair Monica Sie Dhian Ho Members Dr Rem Korteweg Professor Kees van Paridon Dr Adriaan Schout Professor Mathieu Segers Professor Linda Senden Professor Alfred van Staden Carlo Trojan Mirella Visser Niek van Zutphen Executive secretary André Westerink Contents Foreword Introduction 7 I Brexit in a wider European context 9 I.1 The British context 9 I.2 The European context 11 II The negotiating process 14 II.1 The article 50 TEU process 14 II.2 Future relations 16 II.3 Possible stance in Brexit negotiations 17 II.4 Future trade relations 18 III Other elements of the future relationship with the UK 25 III.1 Financial services 25 III.2 External security – foreign policy and defence 28 III.3 Development cooperation 31 III.4 Internal security – cooperation in the field of Justice and Home Affairs (JHA) 32 III.5 Free movement of workers 35 III.6 Cooperation