FSNAU Food Security and Nutrition Special Brief, September 2017
FSNAU Food Security Food Security and Nutrition Analysis Unit - Somalia & Nutrition Issued September 28, 2017 Special Brief - Focus on Post Gu 2017 Assessment Results Based on results Map 1: Most Likely Food Security Outcome, KEY ISSUES of assessments August-December 2017 conducted across Somalia in June and July 2017 by FSNAU and FEWS NET, in collaboration with government and other partners, levels of acute food insecurity and malnutrition will remain high in Somalia through the end of the year. In the worst- case scenario where humanitarian assistance is scaled Climate down substantially, food prices increase sharply, and the Deyr rains perform poorly, Famine (IPC Phase 5) Markets is possible. · In southern Somalia, which is the major crop Nutrition producing part of the country, 2017 Gu cereal production is estimated at 78 400 tonnes, which is Agriculture 37 percent lower than the long-term (1995-2016) average. In the Northwest, 2017 the Gu/Karan harvest is estimated at 6 500 tonnes (preliminary), Livestock which is 87 percent lower than the 2010-2016 average. Civil Insecurity · Prices of local cereals remain well above average, and substantial livestock losses have occurred, all of which have lowered household access to food Emerging and income. Persistent drought has led to large- Regional scale population displacement. Source: FSNAU/FEWS NET Issues This map represents acute food insecurity outcomes relevant for · The drought, which was the result of three emergency decision-making, and does not necessarily reflect chronic consecutive very poor rainy season (Gu 2016, Deyr food insecurity. For more information on this scale, please visit ipcinfowww.ipc 2016, and Gu 2017), resulted in substantial livestock losses (decline in herd size), low conception, low births and low milk production in most pastoral livelihood zones.
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