World Gold Council – Our Mission
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Gold in Islamic Finance – Opportunities for Standardisation November 2018 World Gold Council – Our mission • The gold industry’s market development organisation • The recognised global authority on gold and its uses • Active in stimulating and sustaining demand in key markets and sectors • Focused on: o lowering barriers to gold ownership o raising industry standards and enhancing market infrastructure to increase market efficiency, transparency and trust o increasing the understanding of gold as a mainstream investment asset • Offices in London (head office), New York, Beijing, Shanghai, Singapore, Tokyo and Mumbai World Gold Council | Gold in Islamic Finance - Standardisation | November 2018 2 1 AAOIFI Shari’ah Standard on Gold World Gold Council | Gold in Islamic Finance - Standardisation | November 2018 3 AAOIFI Shari’ah Standard on Gold The AAOIFI Shari’ah Standard clarifies the Shari’ah treatment of gold trading and investing. It was launched at the World Islamic Banking Conference in 2016. A dedicated website (www.shariahgold.com) hosts the Standard and related materials. World Gold Council | Gold in Islamic Finance - Standardisation | November 2018 4 2 Industry reaction “AAOIFI’s Shari’ah expertise and the World Gold Council’s industry know-how have ensured that the Standard becomes the basis not only for the inclusion of a historically and economically important asset class, but for the stability of Islamic Financial Institutions around the world.” Sheikh Yusuf DeLorenzo International Shari’ah Scholar and advisor to Dow Jones “There is a recent precedent that initially contradictory opinions can converge and finally allow a collective fatwa – namely, the AAOIFI Shari’ah Standard 57 on gold and its Trading” Islamic Financial Services Board (2017 Financial Stability Report) "Given its history and reputation, the opportunity for the use of gold in Islamic finance is clear… This Standard will enable the foundation of what could be the most significant event for Shari’ah finance in modern times." Dr Mark Mobius former Chairman, Templeton Emerging Market Fund World Gold Council | Gold in Islamic Finance - Standardisation | November 2018 5 Key principles 1. Gold must be traded on a spot basis (hand-to-hand). Conventional forwards and futures are not permissible. 2. Gold can be owned on a physical or a constructive basis. This very important as it allows gold products to be structured. 3. In the case of constructive possession, gold has to be fully allocated. Unallocated gold is not permissible. 4. Allocation can occur through either T+0 settlement OR the receipt of a certificate/email specifying bar ownership. 5. It is permissible to own gold jointly, where each partner owns an undivided beneficial interest in a trust. This is important for structuring purposes, such as for some physical gold ETFs. World Gold Council | Gold in Islamic Finance - Standardisation | November 2018 6 3 Key products 1. Gold investment accounts - ad hoc purchases of gold, vaulted on the investor’s behalf 2. Gold savings plans - regular purchases of gold, vaulted on the investor’s behalf 3. Gold certificate programmes – ad hoc or regular purchases of gold, evidenced through the issuance of a certificate 4. Physical gold ETFs - fully-backed gold funds traded on an exchange 5. Gold spot contracts – exchange traded contracts 6. In addition there are a number of other transactions and uses of gold covered by the Standard, including gold as capital (Salam), gold leasing (Ijarah), gold collateral (Rahn), security deposits (Hamish Jiddiyyah), unilateral promises (Wa’d) World Gold Council | Gold in Islamic Finance - Standardisation | November 2018 7 Key products – Gold Sukuk Turkish Treasury launched a gold backed Sukuk (Ijara) in 2017 to mobilise 2200 tonnes of household gold: Refineries Treasury Physical Standard 1. Takeover 2. Leasing 4. Rental gold gold of the real of the real revenue estate estate Commercial 1. Standard Central Bank of Households Jewellery Special Purpose Turkey (TCMB) (Women key Banks Standard gold gold player) Gold Vehicle (SPV) on behalf of Treasury 3. Issuance of lease certificate Kilobars / LGD big bars 5. Rental/Principle Payments1 Golden Days Lease Certificates Denominated in Gold (Gold SUKUK) 1Rental payments in TL indexed to gold prices; principle payments in standard gold (options: most liquid Turkish gold coin - Ceyrek - or kilobar) World Gold Council | Gold in Islamic Finance - Standardisation | November 2018 8 4 Key products – Gold ETFs Sources: Respective ETP providers, Bloomberg, LBMA, World Gold Council Note: Gold holdings are as reported by the ETF/ETC issuers. Where data is unavailable, holdings have been calculated using reported AUM numbers. World Gold Council | Gold in Islamic Finance - Standardisation | November 2018 9 Facilitating the use of gold in Islamic finance World Gold Council | Gold in Islamic Finance - Standardisation | November 2018 10 5 Opportunities for standardisation • All of these products must be fully backed by allocated physical gold • Allocated gold accounts are opened when a customer requires title or ownership of specific bars. The client has full title to the metal in the account, with the dealer holding it on the client’s behalf. Clients’ holdings are identified in a weight list of bars, showing the unique bar number, gross weight, the assay or fineness of each bar and its fine weight - LBMA • A standardised allocated gold account agreement exists for conventional interbank transactions • IIFM and WGC exploring opportunities for the development of standardised agreements and documentation for Islamic participants World Gold Council | Gold in Islamic Finance - Standardisation | November 2018 11 Opportunities for standardisation Preliminary recommendation to Participants discussed study allocated gold IIFM-WGC consultative opportunities for creating accounts agreement, forum held at Borsa standardised swaps & forwards Istanbul – Mar 2018 documentation confirmation notices, guidelines for ETFs and gold sukuk World Gold Council | Gold in Islamic Finance - Standardisation | November 2018 12 6 Annex: The role of gold in Islamic finance World Gold Council | Gold in Islamic Finance - Standardisation | November 2018 13 Safety – No default risk United Kingdom Germany Brazil 1932 1948 1990 United States Japan Russia Greece 1933 1946-52 1998 2012 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 World Gold Council | Gold in Islamic Finance - Standardisation | November 2018 14 7 Safety – performance during times of crisis World Gold Council | Gold in Islamic Finance - Standardisation | November 2018 15 The gold market is larger and more liquid than major Islamic asset classes • Gold has a market capitalisation Takaful of $7 trillion* - 24 times larger $23bn than the outstanding volume of sukuk Islamic Funds $71bn • Average daily turnover of the global gold market is $100-120 billion, making it more liquid than Gold Sukuk both the German and UK Outstanding $7 trillion $291bn sovereign bond markets • New gold products have improved investor access to gold, boosting Islamic Banking the size and liquidity of the global Assets gold market $1.5tn *Includes jewellery Source: World Gold Council; IFSB World Gold Council | Gold in Islamic Finance - Standardisation | November 2018 16 8 Gold performs well in periods of high inflation Gold returns as a function of annual inflation* Avg. annual return 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% Low inflation (≤3%) High inflation (>3% ) US CPI %y-oy Nominal return Real return * Inflation computed using annual US CPI year-on-year changes between 1970 and 2017. * * For each year on the sample, real return = (1+nominal return)/(1+inflation)-1. Source: Bloomberg, Bureau of Labor Statistics, ICE Benchmark Administration, World Gold Council World Gold Council | Gold in Islamic Finance - Standardisation | November 2018 17 Gold outperforms other Islamic asset classes 566.8% Gold in Local Currency Terms (10 year) Islamic Financial Currencies Indices 121.2% 105.3% 85.7% 65.9% 67.2% 37.3% 8.9% 20.5% -17.4% -37.9% -79.4% Gold (USD / Gold (MYR / Gold (EUR / Gold (GBP / Gold (IDR / Gold (TRY / DJ Islamic DJ Sukuk DXY Index USDMYR USDIDR USDTRY oz) oz) oz) oz) oz) oz) Index Index Sources: World Gold Council; Bloomberg. As of 8 October 2018 World Gold Council | Gold in Islamic Finance - Standardisation | November 2018 18 9 Gold is a powerful diversifier Islamic Asset Classes Annualized Volatility of Islamic Correlation to Gold (10 Year) Assets and Gold (10 Year) FTSE World Shariah Index DJ Sukuk Index DJ Sukuk Index Gold Axis REIT Axis REIT DJ Islamic Index FTSE NASDAQ Shariah Index FTSE World Shariah Index FTSE NASDAQ Shariah DJ Islamic Index Index 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 (0.05) 0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 Source: World Gold Council; Bloomberg. As of 8 Oct 2018 World Gold Council | Gold in Islamic Finance - Standardisation | November 2018 19 Gold is used by many people for many different things Average annual demand ≈ 4,100 tonnes* (approx. US$166bn) Jewelry Investment Technology Central banks 54% 30% 10% 6% *Based on 10-year average demand estimates ending in 2016. Includes jewelry, technology, bars, coins, and ETF demand. It excludes over-the-counter transactions. Figures may not add to 100% due to rounding. Source: Thomson Reuters GFMS, World Gold Council World Gold Council | Gold in Islamic Finance - Standardisation | November 2018 20 10 Demand is strongly linked to emerging markets Europe incl. Russia US & 12% Greater Canada China 10% 24% Middle East Indian Developed market 12% subcontinent 24% demand ≈ 30%* SE Asia 8% Other Emerging market 10% demand ≈ 70%* *Based on 10-year average demand estimates ending in 2016.Includes jewelry, technology, bars, coins, and ETF demand. It excludes over-the-counter transactions and central bank purchases. Source: Thomson Reuters GFMS, World Gold Council World Gold Council | Gold in Islamic Finance - Standardisation | November 2018 21 Disclaimer COPYRIGHT AND OTHER RIGHTS © 2018 World Gold Council. All rights reserved. World Gold Council and the Circle device are trademarks of the World Gold Council or its affiliates. All references to LBMA Gold Price are used with the permission of ICE Benchmark Administration Limited and have been provided for informational purposes only.