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The Anticipation of the Number of Tourists Arrived
Network Intelligence Studies Volume IV, Issue 1 (7) / 2016 Kamer Ainur M. AIVAZ Ion Danut I. JUGANARU Mariana C. JUGANARU Ovidius University of Constanta THE ANTICIPATION OF THE Empirical study NUMBER OF TOURISTS ARRIVED IN MAMAIA USING THE TYPE OF MODELS ARIMA Keywords Tourists arrivals, Auto regressive models, Prevision JEL Classification C10, C21, C53, M21, J63, Y32, Z33 Abstract The Mamaia station is, at the moment, the biggest and the most looked for touristic station from the Romanian seaside of the Black Sea. From the analysis of the evolution of the main indicators of touristic circulation from the last 10 years (2006-2015), we can notice a significant increase, but we are also interested in knowing the tendency of their modification in the near future. For this reason, in the present study, we wanted to test the contribution of the models ARIMA to the elaboration of an anticipation regarding the indicators: arrivals of tourists, totally and structurally: Romanians and foreigners, for Mamaia station. We consider that the results obtained in this study may contribute to the defining of the strategy of development of the station and ensuring the necessary conditions for hosting a significant greater number of tourists, in the following years. 93 Network Intelligence Studies Volume IV, Issue 1 (7) / 2016 buildings, but there isn’t a clear evidence of those. We estimate that they have a total capacity between INTRODUCTION 3.000 and 5.000 of places. In these conditions, we can talk about 2 From the previous study, made by us, that -
Peles Castle in Sinaia Is the Most Known Royal Palace in Romania
Peles Castle in Sinaia is the most known royal palace in Romania. You may see the coat of arms of the royal family on the tower in the middle of the picture. December 1999, Copyright A. Petrisor This is a sunrise in the mountains. The picture was taken in a small railway station, Gura Beliei, during the winter. December 1999, Copyright A. Petrisor Cismigiu Garden is an old and picturesque park, in the middle of Bucharest. You may see here a concrete-and-steel bridge that copies the shape of tree branches. The bridge crosses an artificial lake, out of which the water is taken each fall to clean the bottom. December 1999, Copyright A. Petrisor George Enescu is a famous Romanian composer. His most popular composition is the Romanian Rhapsody No. 1. Above is his house in Bucharest, hosting today the Museum of Romanian Music. December 1999, Copyright A. Petrisor The building of the National History Museum lies in the historical center of Bucharest. The museum includes valuable vestiges from the more than 2000 years of the Romanian history. December 1999, Copyright A. Petrisor The building of the National Bank of Romania lies in the historical center of Bucharest. December 1999, Copyright A. Petrisor The Stavropoleos Church (Orthodox), one of the oldest in Bucharest, lies in the historical center of Bucharest. Even if small, it has to be visited! December 1999, Copyright A. Petrisor Again, let's walk through Cismigiu Garden, on one of its alleys. The picture is taken during the winter, but when spring comes all the seats on the sides of the alley are taken. -
Discrepancies Between the Demand and Offer on the Seaside Tourism of Romania
Scientific Papers Series Management, Economic Engineering in Agriculture and Rural Development Vol. 19, Issue 1, 2019 PRINT ISSN 2284-7995, E-ISSN 2285-3952 DISCREPANCIES BETWEEN THE DEMAND AND OFFER ON THE SEASIDE TOURISM OF ROMANIA Agatha POPESCU1, Daniela PLESOIANU2 1University of Agricultural Sciences and Veterinary Medicine Bucharest, 59 Marasti Boulevard, District 1, 011464, Bucharest Romania, Phone: +40213182564, Fax: +40213182888, Email: [email protected] 2"Ovidius" University, 1, University Avenue, Campus, Building B, Constanta, Romania, Email: [email protected] Corresponding author: [email protected] Abstract The paper aimed to analyze the demand/offer ratio in the seaside tourism of Romania in the period 2007-2017 based on the official data provided by the National Institute of Statistics. The main indicators taken into account have been: number of units with function for tourist accommodation, number of places (beds), number of beds-days, number of tourist arrivals and overnight stays. The index method, structure index, correlation coefficient and regression analysis allowed to analyze the dynamics of these indicators and the relationships existing among them. The results pointed out an increase by 31.8 % of the arrivals, by 6.4 % of the overnight stays, but also a decrease by 16.7 % of the accommodation units and by 31.7 % of the number of beds. This unbalanced demand/offer ratio was confirmed by the weak correlation and regression analysis as well. The seaside tourism represents 9.8 % in the total accommodation tourism structures, 23.4% in the total number of places and 10.5 % in the total beds-days in Romania's tourism. About 77.7 % of tourism accommodation units and number of beds is represented by hotels, bungalows and tourist villas in Romania's tourism. -
Maritime Spatial Plan for the Cross-Border Area Mangalia
Marine spatial plan for the cross-border area Mangalia Shabla Current situation analysis EUROPEAN COMMISSION Executive Agency for Small and Medium-sized Enterprises (EASME) Department A - COSME, H2020 SME and EMFF Unit A3 - EMFF Call reference No: MARE/2014/22 Project Full Name: Cross border maritime spatial planning in the Black Sea – Romania and Bulgaria (MARSPLAN – BS) Project No: EASME/EMFF/2014/1.2.1.5/2/SI2.707672 MSP LOT 1 /BLACK SEA/MARSPLAN-BS European Maritime and Fisheries Fund (EMFF) Marine spatial plan for the cross-border area Mangalia Shabla Volume 1 Current situation analysis - topic paper DELIVRABLE Page 1 Marine spatial plan for the cross-border area Mangalia Shabla Current situation analysis 1. Introduction to specific problems of the area The marine spatial plan for Mangalia-Shabla area was conceived as a pilot project included in MATSPLAN -BS project in order to test the capacities of the two countries to develop and adopt a concrete instrument for the management of the marine area. This plan takes into consideration the existing data describing the processes of the natural marine areas as well as the human activities developed in this area in order to establish balance between human actions and ecosystems subsistence. The plan is meant also to to put into practice the EU Directive for MSP, creating an institutional framework for MSP implementation in Romania and Bulgaria, enhancing the cross-border cooperation and exchange of information between the two countries. 1.1 Plan area delimitation The spatial plan area is located at the border between Romania and Bulgaria, its delimitation took into consideration two types of zones: the territorial waters (the management area) and coastal area and EEZ (the extended analyse area for the study of interactions). -
AMENAJARE PLAJĂ Năvodari, Eforie Nord, Cordon Eforie Nord- Eforie S
Memoriu de prezentare a Planului Plan Urbanistic Zonal: „AMENAJARE PLAJĂ Năvodari, Eforie Nord, Cordon Eforie Nord- Eforie Sud, Eforie Sud, Tuzla, Costinești, 23 August, Olimp, Neptun, Jupiter, Cap Aurora, Venus, Saturn, Cordon Venus- Saturn, Mangalia. Actualizare P.U.Z. Amenajare plajă Mamaia și Constanța” jud. Constanța Cuprins INFORMAȚII PRIVIND AMPLASAREA PLANULUI ÎN RAPORT CU ARIILE NATURALE PROTEJATE DE INTERES COMUNITAR ..................................... 3 Descrierea succintă a planului......................................................... 3 Amplasarea planului în raport cu ariile naturale protejate de interes comunitar..................................................................... 7 ROSPA0076 Marea Neagră ................................................................. 9 ROSCI0197 Plaja submersă Eforie Nord-Eforie Sud ... 19 ROSCI0281 Cap Aurora .................................................................... 28 ROSCI0293 Costinești – 23 August ....................................... 32 ROSCI0094 Izvoarele sulfuroase submarine de la Mangalia ................................................................................................................... 37 ROSCI0273 Zona marină de la Capul Tuzla ...................... 47 ROSPA0061 Lacul Techirghiol ................................................... 57 ROSPA0066 Limanu – Herghelia ................................................ 65 ROSCI0114 Mlaștina Hergheliei – Obanul Mare și Peștera Movilei și Rezervația Mlaștina Hergheliei ................. 68 -
Constanta Constanta Constanta
MCI MAP MS INSTITUTUL NATIONAL ADMINISTRATIA DIRECTIA DE DE CERCETARE BAZINALA DE APA SANATATE PUBLICA DEZVOLTARE MARINA DOBROGEA-LITORAL JUDETEANA „GRIGORE ANTIPA” CONSTANTA CONSTANTA CONSTANTA I N F O R M A R E PRIVIND CALITATEA APELOR DE ÎMBĂIERE ŞI A PLAJELOR ÎN SECTORUL MAMAIA - MANGALIA PERIOADA 3 – 16. 06. 2019 Caracterizarea parametrilor fizico-chimici și biologici INSTITUTUL NATIONAL DE CERCETARE DEZVOLTARE MARINA „GRIGORE ANTIPA” CONSTANȚA (INCDM) În perioada 03 - 16.06.2019, condițiile de mediu marin au fost influențate de viteza tangențială a vântului asupra suprafeței marine determinând starea de agitație marină cât și amestecul pe verticală a maselor de apă în zona de mică adâncime. Acoperirea cu nori a cerului s-a încadrat ca senin în proporție de 71% din perioadă (nebulozitate 0-25%), conform datelor NOAA (http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/). Temperatura aerului în această perioadă s-a încadrat între 19,50 – 27,00C, valorile scăzute fiind înregistrate noaptea (http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/). Cantitatea totală de precipitații de 7,3mm/h înregistrată în perioada 03 - 16.06.2019 (http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/), se poate încadra ca slab cantitativ. Climatologic, luna Iunie este caracterizată de o medie de 40mm/h în județul Constanța. Vântul, la 10m altitudine, a prezentat o viteză medie de 4,3m/s. Statistic, direcţia predominantă a vântului, dintr-un total de 110 date disponibile pentru această perioadă, a avut o frecvență de apariție de ~15.3% din ENE; de ~14.4% din NE, de 12,6% din NNE și de 9.9% din E (Figura 1). Maximul perioadei a fost de 8,8m/s din NNE în data de 15.06.2019 la 03:00 ora locală. -
Assessment Upon Seasonality of Tourist Offer on the Romanian Seaside Using the Paul Krugman's Core-Periphery Model
Ruxandra Luminiţa GHEORGHE Assessment upon Seasonality of Tourist Offer on the Romanian Seaside using the Paul Krugman's Core-Periphery Model Ruxandra Luminiţa GHEORGHE1a a S. Mehedinţi Doctoral School, University of Bucharest, No,1, N. Bălcescu Avenue, code10041, Bucharest, Romania Abstract: Seasonality is a specific problem of Romanian tourism, especially on the Black Sea seaside. Through a comprehensive approach, based on statistical data, we show the huge differences between the summer and the off-season offer, providing a starting point for future studies, both from official and field sources. The Krugman's Core-Periphery model clearly emphasizes that the development of a core neglects the periphery, and seasonality only accentuates its affectation until its complete abandonment, stagnation of development or regression. The impact of seasonality on the Romanian Black Sea seaside determines, to a certain extent, the development of egocentric poles, around which satellite-resorts are extremely dependent, their improvement requiring a research of all economic indicators involved. The development of the Northern Zone to the detriment of the Southern one has led to the emergence of extremely comprehensive results on the current situation, and the intense study of this area could reduce the socio-economic gap between them, being profitable for both private and public. Key words: Krugman, core-periphery, Romanian seaside, seasonality, offer. Introduction The history of tourism in Romania and of the seaside in particular has not been the subject of systematic studies that would have brought to light this aspect of our national industry. In Romanian literature, this region was subject in books about general aspect of Romania’s tourism and economy ( Neacşu et al., 2006; Ciangă, 2008) or tourism development in all countries around The Black Sea (Stănciulescu et al., 2000). -
Challenges and Development Prospects for Tourism in Romania
ECOFORUM [Volume 5, Issue 1 (8), 2016] CHALLENGES AND DEVELOPMENT PROSPECTS FOR TOURISM IN ROMANIA Cătălin POSTELNICU Babeș-Bolyai University Cluj-Napoca, Romania [email protected] Dan-Cristian DABIJA Babeș-Bolyai University Cluj-Napoca, Romania [email protected] Abstract Tourism in Romania has witnessed in recent years a sinuous evolution marked to a great extent by a multitude of private initiatives and to a lesser extent by strategic coordination at governmental and regional level, respectively. The development of tourism is somewhat chaotic and unplanned, devoid of any inclusive, holistic vision concerning the correlation between transport infrastructure investments and investments in accommodation and tourist destinations. This led to a paradoxical situation in which areas with great tourism potential (e.g. the Danube Delta) are hardly accessible to foreign tourists/tourists from faraway regions. The attraction of such tourists is accomplished by primitive means, without any strategic thinking or appropriate planning. The authorities’ great disinterest and disengagement notwithstanding, Romania as a tourist destination possesses some major advantages stemming from its high potential for development in various directions. Entire tourism sectors (spa-based, mountain, cultural tourism etc.) are not yet exploited at maximum capacity while tourism initiatives undertaken by various entities are not sufficiently developed. In this paper, the authors attempt to highlight the main strategic development directions of tourism in Romania, pointing to Romania’s major advantages as a tourist destination and drawing attention to the primary courses of action that must carefully be considered by decision makers in developing a viable tourism strategy. Key words: comparative advantage; international tourism; international business; tourism; tourism practices integration. -
PII03 Part II Chap3 02.03
CHAPTER 3 TRAFFIC DEMAND FORECAST 3.1 Introduction This section deals with the traffic demand forecast for the feasibility study of priority projects in the Port of Constantza. Forecasts were undertaken accordingly based on the methodology proposed. Three frames of scenario were presented to the Steering Committee in 19, Dec. 2000 and necessary discussion was carried out between the Committee and the study team. These three basic scenarios are the following: Case 1 : High case, (2001/2004, Romania Middle Term Economics Development Strategy) Case 2 : Medium case, (2001/2015, MOT Transport Master Plan, 1999) Case 3: Low case, (Modified Case 2 by the port planner of the study team) Case 3 is so similar to Case 2, that there is no significant difference. Thus the study team carried out the traffic demand forecast for Scenarios Case 1 and Case 2. Basic input data were arranged through the collected statistics and results of direct interview to end uses and terminal operators at the port. The most important information and key decisions to the traffic demand forecast were as follows: (1) Port Development Potential (2) Industrial Development Plan in Romania (3) Socio-economic Frame of Romania and Surrounding Countries (4) Inter-modal Transport Study (5) Translation of above to Input Data for traffic demand forecast (6) Undertaking Traffic Demand Forecast Among these, two port planners carried out the study on (1) Port Development Potential including the investigation of neighboring countries. Various experts in the study team participated in this study. All these discussion are presented herewith elsewhere in different chapters. The experts carried out study of items (1) to (5) and the transport economist carried out study of Item (6) Undertaking Traffic Demand Forecast. -
The Evolution of Seaside Tourism in the First Tourist Season of the COVID-19 Pandemic: the Situation of the Romanian Black Sea Resorts
“Ovidius” University Annals, Economic Sciences Series Volume XX, Issue 2 /2020 The Evolution of Seaside Tourism in the First Tourist Season of the COVID-19 Pandemic: The Situation of the Romanian Black Sea Resorts Ion Danut Juganaru “Ovidius” University of Constanța, Faculty of Economic Sciences, Romania [email protected] Abstract Tourism and travel were among the most affected sectors of the economy in 2020, due to the measures taken to prevent the spread of COVID-19, including the restriction of movement of people. Tourism in Romania was also severely affected by this crisis, especially the inbound tourism, but the tourism in the coastal area had, in the first 9 months of 2020, a better evolution than in other tourist areas of the country and compared to other EU countries, based on domestic tourism, since inbound tourism collapsed. The main objectives and goals of the research are the analysis of the evolution of the tourist season in the seaside resorts, in 2020, and to highlight some mistakes that, if avoided in the future, there is a great chance for much better results in the summer tourist season of 2021. The mistakes were made by the state authorities rather than the tour operators. Key words: coastal tourism Romania, COVID-19 impact, extension of the beaches, unjustified restrictions, adaptation of the tourist offer J.E.L. classification: Z31, Z33, Z38, Z39, Q58, R11 1. Introduction The lives of billions of people on the entire planet Earth were endangered in 2020 by the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic. The governments of the world's states were taken by surprise, unable to promptly and adequately respond to this threat from an "invisible enemy" for which there was no vaccine or treatment known to be effective against the disease. -
INCDPM-INCDM “Grigore Antipa” CONSTANTA
MCI MAP MS INSTITUTUL NATIONAL ADMINISTRATIA DIRECTIA DE DE CERCETARE BAZINALA DE APA SANATATE PUBLICA DEZVOLTARE MARINA DOBROGEA-LITORAL JUDETEANA „GRIGORE ANTIPA” CONSTANTA CONSTANTA CONSTANTA I N F O R M A R E PRIVIND CALITATEA APELOR DE ÎMBĂIERE ŞI A PLAJELOR ÎN SECTORUL MAMAIA - MANGALIA PERIOADA 17-30.06. 2019 Caracterizarea parametrilor fizico-chimici și biologici INSTITUTUL NATIONAL DE CERCETARE DEZVOLTARE MARINA „GRIGORE ANTIPA” CONSTANȚA (INCDM) În perioada 17 - 30.06.2019, condițiile de mediu marin au fost influențate de viteza tangențială a vântului asupra suprafeței marine determinând starea de agitațieAcoperirea marină cât cuși noriamestecul pe verticală- a maselor de apă în zona de mică adâncime. - a cerului s a încadrat ca senin în proporție de 61,54% din perioadăTemperatura (nebulozitate aerului 0 25%) și în proporție- de 100% în 19,2% 0 din– 28,6 timp,0C, conform datelor NOAA (http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/). în această perioadă s a încadrat între 19,1 17 - valorile scăzute fiind înregistrate noaptea (http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/). Cantitatea totală de precipitații de 11,44 mm înregistrată în perioada 30.06.2019 (http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/), se poate încadra ca moderată cantitativ. Perioada cu ploi abundente a fost înregistrată în data de 20.06.2019 cu 2,91mm/24h.Vântul Climatologic, luna Iulie este caracterizată de o medie de 30mm în județul Constanța. - , la 10m altitudine, a prezentat o viteză medie de 5,31m/s. Statistic, direcţia predominantă a vântului,Figura dintr 1 un total de 110 date disponibile pentru această perioadă, a avut o frecvență de apariție de ~26,1% din NNE; de ~13,5% din NE, ENE și N și de 12,6% din E ( ). -
Annex IV NON TEHNICAL SUMMARIES
Rehabilitation and modernization of water supply and sewerage CF Application system in Constanta and Ialomita region Annex IV NON TEHNICAL SUMMARIES TAHAL CONSULTING ENGINEERS LTD MUNICIPAL SERVICES PROJECT - CONSULTING SERVICES FOR BRAILA, VRANCEA, ILFOV, IALOMITA AND CONSTANTA COUNTIES ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ASSESSMENT STUDY REPORT „REHABILITATION AND MODERNIZATION OF WATER AND WASTEWATER SUPPLY SYSTEM IN CONSTANTA –IALOMITA REGION” NON-TECHNICAL SUMMARY CONSTANTA AGGLOMERATION Evaluators of the Environmental Impact Assessment Study Report: SC BIOSYS GROUP SRL Ecology Counsellor Gabriel BANICA Main Evaluator Expert Mihaela ISPAS Main Evaluator Expert Marina DINU TAHAL CONSULTING ENGINEERS LTD Non-technical summary of Environmental Impact Assessment Study Report for „Rehabilitation and modernization of water and wastewater supply system in Constanta – Ialomita region–Constanta agglomeration” CONTENT 1. PROJECT DESCRIPTION...............................................................................................................4 2. ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ASSESSMENT..............................................................................6 2.1. Environmental factor WATER.....................................................................................................6 2.1.1. Water pollution sources and pollutions emissions........................................................................7 2.1.2. Water protection measures............................................................................................................8