Emergency Response Coordination Centre (ERCC) – DG ECHO Daily Map | 19/01/2021 , | ELOISE

INDIAN OCEAN COMOROS

Mozambique Channel Mayotte 18 Jan 18:00 UTC (FRANCE) 111 km/h sust. winds

20 Jan 18:00 UTC 56 km/h sust. winds 19 Jan 6:00 UTC Warnings 93 km/h sust. winds Source: Meteo Madagascar 21 Jan 6:00 UTC Imminent danger 65 km/h sust. winds 19 Jan 18:00 UTC Threat 83 km/h sust. winds District

COMOROS Standardized Mayotte (FRANCE) Precipitation Index (SPI-6) July-Dec 2020 Source: JRC GDO Mozambique Extremely dry Channel Severely dry Moderately dry 23 Jan 6:00 UTC Near normal 130 km/h sust. winds INDIAN 22 Jan 6:00 UTC OCEAN 102 km/h sust. winds The Standardized Precipitation Réunion Index at the 6-months (FRANCE) accumulation period (SPI-6) is used to monitor the occurrence of meteorological drought. The lower the SPI, the more intense is the drought. More info and references: JRC GDO Portal.

Tropical Cyclone (TC) 7-day rainfall forecast (mm) Source: GDACS, JTWC Source: NOAA-GFS 24 Jan 6:00 UTC Drought situation Current position 25 - 50 111 km/h sust. winds 50 - 100 Madagascar has a strong precipitation Past track 100 - 200 seasonality, with the core of the rainy Forecast track ELOISE season between December and 200 - 400 March. The rainy season 2020/21 uncertainty cone Intensity 400 - 600 Past TC started poorly, as shown by the SPI- CHALANE track 6, with less than half of the rainfall D < 63 km/h GDACS Orange alert normally expected for November and for TC ELOISE INDIAN December. Despite the seemingly OCEAN 63 – 118 km/h GDACS Red alert abundant rainfall of the period, î deficits may persist to become for drought evident on crop growth and later in î 119 – 130 km/h Populated area the dry season 2021 (May-October). Source: JRC GHSL Wind buffer Province 24-30 Dec © European Union, 2021. Map produced by (Madagascar, Mozambique) the JRC. The boundaries and the names ≥ 119 km/h shown on this map do not imply official Country border endorsement or acceptance by the Storm surge European Union. 19-21 Jan Airport Port Source: JRC, atm. NOAA-HWRF 0.2 - 0.7 m Main roads