The World’s Water 8 Volume The Biennial Report on Freshwater Resources

Peter H. Gleick • Hydraulic Fracturing

Newsha Ajami • Corporate Water Engagement

Juliet Christian-Smith • Water Footprints

Heather Cooley • Sustainable Water Jobs Kristina Donnelly • Global Water Governance Julian Fulton

Mai-Lan Ha • Financing

Matthew Heberger • Zombie Water Projects

Eli Moore • Water and Conflict Jason Morrison

Stewart Orr

Peter Schulte

Veena Srinivasan

About the Pacific Institute for Studies in Development, Environment, and Security The Pacific Institute is one of the world’s leading research and policy nonprofits work- ing to create a healthier planet and sustainable communities. Based in Oakland, Cali- fornia, we conduct interdisciplinary research and partner with stakeholders to produce solutions that advance environmental protection, economic development, international security, and social equity—nationally and internationally. Since the Institute’s founding in 1987, we have worked to change policy and find real-world solutions to problems like water shortages, habitat destruction, global warming, and environmental injustice, with the fundamental idea that adequate, safe, clean water is closely connected to every vital resource issue of our time. We have moved the focus of water thinking away from narrow approaches and toward more integrated and sustainable water practices and concepts through rigorous independent research, extensive policy engagement, and intensive outreach to the public. The Pacific Institute has formulated a new vision for long-term water planning in California and internationally; developed a new approach for valuing well-being in local communities; worked on transborder environment and trade issues in North America and beyond; analyzed standards in global environmental protection; clarified key concepts and criteria for sustainable water use; offered recommendations for reducing conflicts over water in the Middle East, Latin America, and Central Asia; championed the human right to water; assessed the impacts of global warming on fresh- ; and created programs to address environmental justice concerns in low-income communities and communities of color. Our research has reached tens of millions of people through reports, projects, speeches, testimony, and media; more than 100 research papers, reports, and testimonies are available free on the Pacific Institute websites at www.pacinst.org and www.worldwater.org.

THE WORLD’S WATER Volume 8

The Biennial Report on Freshwater Resources

Peter H. Gleick with Newsha Ajami, Juliet Christian-Smith, Heather Cooley, Kristina Donnelly, Julian Fulton, Mai-Lan Ha, Matthew Heberger, Eli Moore, Jason Morrison, Stewart Orr, Peter Schulte, and Veena Srinivasan

Washington | Covelo | London Copyright © 2014 Pacific Institute for Studies in Development, Environment, and Security

All rights reserved under International and Pan-American Copyright Conventions. No part of this book may be reproduced in any form or by any means without permission in writing from the publisher: Island Press, 2000 M Street NW, Suite 650, Washington, DC 20009.

ISLAND PRESS is a trademark of the Center for Resource Economics.

Library of Congress Card Catalog Number 98024877 ISBN 10: 1-61091-481-3 (cloth) ISBN 13: 978-1-61091-481-9 (cloth) ISBN 10: 1-61091-482-1 (paper) ISBN 13: 978-1-61091-482-6 (paper)

ISSN 15287-7165

Printed on recycled, acid-free paper

Manufactured in the United States of America 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1

Keywords: water management, water quality, fracking, desalination, virtual water, water conflict, green jobs, the Dead Sea, Syria, corporate water use

Island Press would like to thank the New Mexico Water Initiative, a project of the Hanuman Foundation, for generously supporting the production of this book. Contents

Foreword by Ismail Serageldin xi

Introduction xiii ONE Global Water Governance in the Twenty-First Century 1 Heather Cooley, Newsha Ajami, Mai-Lan Ha, Veena Srinivasan, Jason Morrison, Kristina Donnelly, and Juliet Christian-Smith Global Water Challenges 2 The Emergence of Global Water Governance 6 Conclusions 15 TWO Shared Risks and Interests: The Case for Private Sector Engagement in Water Policy and Management 19 Peter Schulte, Stuart Orr, and Jason Morrison The Business Case for Investing in Sustainable Water Management 21 Utilizing Corporate Resources While Ensuring Public Interest Outcomes and Preventing Policy Capture 28 Moving Forward: Unlocking Mutually Beneficial Corporate Action on Water 31 THREE Sustainable Water Jobs 35 Eli Moore, Heather Cooley, Juliet Christian-Smith, and Kristina Donnelly Water Challenges in Today’s Economy 36 Job Quality and Growth in Sustainable Water Occupations 54 Conclusions 57 Recommendations 58 FOUR Hydraulic Fracturing and Water Resources: What Do We Know and Need to Know? 63 Heather Cooley and Kristina Donnelly Overview of Hydraulic Fracturing 64 Concerns Associated with Hydraulic Fracturing Operations 65 Water Challenges 67 Conclusions 77

vii viii Contents FIVE Water Footprint 83 Julian Fulton, Heather Cooley, and Peter H. Gleick The Water Footprint Concept 83 Water, Carbon, and Ecological Footprints and Nexus Thinking 85 Water Footprint Findings 87 Conclusion 90 SIX Key Issues for Seawater Desalination in California: Cost and Financing 93 Heather Cooley and Newsha Ajami How Much Does Seawater Desalination Cost? 93 Desalination Projects and Risk 101 Case Studies 106 Conclusions 117 SEVEN Zombie Water Projects 123 Peter H. Gleick, Matthew Heberger, and Kristina Donnelly The North American Water and Power Alliance— NAWAPA 124 The Reber Plan 131 Alaskan Water Shipments 133 Las Vegas Valley Pipeline Project 136 Diverting the Missouri River to the West 140 Conclusions 144 WATER BRIEF One The Syrian Conflict and the Role of Water 147 Peter H. Gleick Two The Red Sea–Dead Sea Project Update 153 Kristina Donnelly Three Water and Conflict: Events, Trends, and Analysis (2011– 2012) 159 Peter H. Gleick and Matthew Heberger Four Water Conflict Chronology 173 Peter H. Gleick and Matthew Heberger DATA SECTION Data Table 1: Total Renewable Freshwater Supply by Country (2013 Update) 221 Data Table 2: Freshwater Withdrawal by Country and Sector (2013 Update) 227 Data Table 3A: Access to Improved Drinking Water by Country, 1970– 2008 236 Contents ix

Data Table 3B: Access to Improved Drinking Water by Country, 2011 Update 247 Data Table 4A: Access to Improved Sanitation by Country, 1970– 2008 252 Data Table 4B: Access to Improved Sanitation by Country, 2011 Update 263 Data Table 5: MDG Progress on Access to Safe Drinking Water by Region 268 Data Table 6: MDG Progress on Access to Sanitation by Region 271 Data Table 7: Monthly Natural Runoff for the World’s Major River Basins, by Flow Volume 274 Data Table 8: Monthly Natural Runoff for the World’s Major River Basins, by Basin Name 292 Data Table 9: Area Equipped for Irrigation Actually Irrigated 310 Data Table 10: Overseas Development Assistance for Water Supply and Sanitation, by Donating Country, 2004–2011 317 Data Table 11: Overseas Development Assistance for Water Supply and Sanitation, by Subsector, 2007–2011 320 Data Table 12: Per Capita Water Footprint of National Consumption, by Country, 1996–2005 323 Data Table 13: Per Capita Water Footprint of National Consumption, by Sector and Country, 1996–2005 332 Data Table 14: Total Water Footprint of National Consumption, by Country, 1996–2005 341 Data Table 15: Total Water Footprint of National Consumption, by Sector and Country, 1996–2005 350 Data Table 16A: Global Cholera Cases Reported to the World Health Organization, by Country, 1949–1979 359 Data Table 16B: Global Cholera Cases Reported to the World Health Organization, by Country, 1980–2011 367 Data Table 17A: Global Cholera Deaths Reported to the World Health Organization, by Country, 1949–1979 373 Data Table 17B: Global Cholera Deaths Reported to the World Health Organization, by Country, 1980–2011 381 Data Table 18A: Perceived Satisfaction with Water Quality in Sub- Saharan Africa 387 Data Table 18B: Regional Assessment of Satisfaction with Water (and Air) Quality 389 Data Table 18C: Countries Most and Least Satisfied with Water Quality 392 WATER UNITS, DATA CONVERSIONS, AND CONSTANTS 395 x Contents COMPREHENSIVE TABLE OF CONTENTS 405 Volume 1: The World’s Water 1998–1999: The Biennial Report on Freshwater Resources 405 Volume 2: The World’s Water 2000–2001: The Biennial Report on Freshwater Resources 408 Volume 3: The World’s Water 2002–2003: The Biennial Report on Freshwater Resources 411 Volume 4: The World’s Water 2004–2005: The Biennial Report on Freshwater Resources 414 Volume 5: The World’s Water 2006–2007: The Biennial Report on Freshwater Resources 418 Volume 6: The World’s Water 2008–2009: The Biennial Report on Freshwater Resources 422 Volume 7: The World’s Water Volume 7: The Biennial Report on Freshwater Resources 426 Volume 8: The World’s Water Volume 8: The Biennial Report on Freshwater Resources 430 COMPREHENSIVE INDEX 435 Foreword

It is a privilege to write a foreword to volume 8 of The World’s Water, an indispensable biennial report on the condition of the earth’s water resource. Water is life. Without water, there is no life as we know it. Yet humans have abused it and misused it and polluted, wasted, and destroyed it. In the 1990s, when I was vice president of environmentally and socially sustainable development for the World Bank, I was appalled at the lack of international engagement on the issue of water. In a speech I gave in Stockholm in August 1995, I said: “The wars of this century have been for oil, but the wars of the next century shall be for water”—a statement that echoed around the news media of the world. Many accused me of being an alarmist, but gradually, within a few years, the issue of water and water management started taking its rightful place among the national, regional, and global priorities of vari- ous actors around the planet. What was lacking was a proper global perspective on the issue of water that would go way beyond chapter 18 of Rio’s Agenda 21. And here, like a beacon unto the multitudes, the careful and meticulous scientific work of the Pacific Institute and its president, Peter Gleick, came to the fore in the form of The World’s Water series. It provided the most thoughtful, comprehensive, and interest- ing coverage of the available knowledge and the insights needed to deal with the myriad problems that water represents. Sixteen years later, the eighth volume of The World’s Wa- ter continues that distinguished tradition. Although many notable agencies of the United Nations, the World Water Council, the Global Water Partnership, the World Resources In- stitute, and others have been producing excellent reports on water issues, The World’s Water continues its tradition of excellence, and I heartily recommend it to anyone inter- ested in dispassionate and thoughtful discussion of the complex and important issues involved. As we have come to expect, this year’s report, beyond providing a host of useful data, also marshals many experts to address important themes of water and water use. Starting with global water governance, it deals with the issue that most concerned me so many years ago. Today, as I sit in Egypt and watch the unfolding debates about the manage- ment of the Nile’s waters as Ethiopia proceeds to build its Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD), and as I watch the agonies of populations in places enduring droughts and the general mismanagement of our most precious resources in so many countries, I can think of no more important topic that should elicit an international focus on coopera- tion rather than conflict. We must see that does not recognize political bound- aries and that, just as water flows in rivers shared by countries, affects all countries, not only those whose economic conduct plays a major role in causing it. Beyond global water governance (addressed in chapter 1), the importance of engaging the private sector in smart water management is addressed in chapter 2. Here, if public and private partnerships are to thrive, transparency must be the order of the day. Such collaboration will help us attain the goal of ensuring that all people have access to clean

xi xii Foreword water and proper sanitation and that water is properly managed in agriculture, still the sector accounting for the largest water withdrawals. Economic issues are widely discussed in this report. There are great opportunities to generate employment and jobs by smart investments in water systems (discussed in chapter 3). The rapidly expanding technique of hydraulic fracturing (or “fracking”) raises problems and poses risks to water systems from inappropriately conducted fossil-fuel extraction, all of which is discussed in chapter 4. The cost and financing of seawater de- salination projects are discussed in chapter 6. And recurrently revived large-scale infra- structure schemes and projects—here named “zombie water projects”—are discussed in chapter 7. Chapter 5 of this report presents background and detail on a tool of enormous value, the “water footprint,” and discusses its application worldwide. If only the concerned par- ties would all listen and make use of the insights generated by this tool. But why should I take up more of the readers’ time? Let them delve into the riches be- tween these covers. It is time to read, learn, and reflect . . . and to enjoy.

Ismail Serageldin Librarian of Alexandria Former Vice President, World Bank Introduction

When the first volume of The World’s Water was published, the United Nations’ Millen- nium Development Goals had not yet been established. Today, as we finish volume 8, we are racing toward the 2015 deadline for those goals, but basic human needs for water and sanitation remain unsatisfied. Deadlines aside, if we are ever to achieve the objectives of global health and sustainability, is critical. In this volume, we continue to provide data on access (by country and by urban- rural split) to water and sanitation. We also provide data on the ongoing, unchecked se- vere cholera outbreaks that are a direct consequence of our failure to meet basic human needs for safe water. Human-caused climate changes are also increasingly apparent, with growing evidence around the world in the form of alterations of natural hydrology and impacts on our built water infrastructure. Ecosystems that rely on freshwater con- tinue to deteriorate in many parts of the world as human competition for water grows. And conflicts over water allocations and use are growing, not diminishing, as reflected in the Water Conflict Chronology—a regular feature of these volumes. The World’s Water, however, has always been about more than water “problems.” My colleagues and I believe strongly that there are successful and expandable solutions out there, and we try to describe and discuss them in every volume. New thinking about so- lutions and the “soft path for water” are both needed and available, if we look around. As a result, The World’s Water has always tried to explore new ideas, successful case studies, and innovative communications efforts. There is no shortage of topics to address, and as always it is a challenge to try to choose among them for inclusion in the books. In this latest volume we tackle some new topics and revisit and update some older ones. Chapter 1 offers an overview of the complex institutions and ideas that constitute “global water governance” and offers some thoughts about how to improve and manage water systems at local, continental, and global scales while still protecting the critical needs of communities. Chapter 2 revisits previous Pacific Institute efforts on how to engage the corporate sector in more sustainable water management, reporting, and use. Some innovative ef- forts are under way under the auspices of the United Nations Global Compact office and the United Nations’ CEO Water Mandate, bringing new voices into the water discussion. The hope, still to be fully realized, is that responsible and sustainable corporate water management will play a role alongside the efforts of governments and nongovernmental organizations in moving toward more sustainable water policy. The third chapter in this volume summarizes recent work completed at the Pacific Institute on water-related jobs. Jobs, in different sectors of the economy, are required to manage, deliver, and treat the freshwater required to satisfy our commercial, institu- tional, industrial, agricultural, and domestic needs for goods and services. In addition, growing attention is being given to sustainable measures such as low-impact develop- ment, water reuse, watershed restoration, water conservation and efficiency, and many

xiii xiv Introduction other proven and promising practices. As the country shifts to more sustainable water management, new services, occupations, and markets are emerging. Our research sug- gests that water is a worthy arena for exploring green jobs. Chapter 4 expands on the work we presented in the previous volume focused on en- ergy and water, especially the increasingly controversial issue of hydraulic fracturing, or “fracking.” This practice has been particularly controversial in the United States but is expanding globally, wherever unconventional natural gas development is under way. To better identify and understand the key issues, the Pacific Institute conducted extensive interviews with a diverse group of stakeholders, including representatives from state and federal agencies, academia, industry, environmental groups, and community-based organizations from across the United States. This chapter provides a short summary of the key issues identified in the interviews and an assessment and synthesis of existing research. Chapter 5 digs into the useful concept of the “water footprint.” We use water for many purposes: drinking, bathing, washing our clothes, watering our gardens, and more. In addition to these direct uses, however, water is needed to produce nearly everything we use and consume, from the food we eat and the clothes we wear to the technological devices that are integral to our modern society. A full measure of the water footprint of an individual, industrial sector, or society is the combination of direct and indirect water needed to provide our basket of goods and services. This chapter discusses the tool of “footprinting,” how it is related to other footprint indicators, such as the carbon footprint and the ecological footprint, how it is calculated, and the findings from some recent research. Chapter 6 returns to the issue of desalination. In this chapter, we provide a short sum- mary of the economics of various major desalination projects and the spatial and tempo- ral variability associated with these costs. We also describe project-related risks associ- ated with desalination plants, and we provide two case studies of seawater desalination projects in the United States to highlight some of the issues around cost and financing of these projects. The final chapter, chapter 7, tackles the issue of water “zombies.” As any consumer of popular culture today knows, a zombie is an undead creature, something that was killed but came back to “life” in some form to terrify, entertain, and gross people out. Zombie books, movies, costumes, makeup, computer games, and more are big business. But not all zombies are fictional, and some are potentially really dangerous—at least to our pocketbooks and environment. These include “zombie water projects,” which we de- fine as large, costly water projects that are proposed, killed off for one reason or another, and brought back to life, even if the project itself is socially, politically, economically, or environmentally unjustified. In chapter 7 we offer—in an only partly tongue-in-cheek presentation—a description of some major zombie water projects from the past century: serious proposals for massive projects to use, divert, or transfer water that died only to come back to life in one form or another. In short, this chapter argues that modern civili- zation must learn that our ability to do something doesn’t mean that we actually should do it, especially in the field of large-scale geoengineering. The chapters are supplemented with shorter In Brief reports on items of interest. The current volume includes an update on the Red Sea–Dead Sea proposals, the role of water in the current Syrian conflict, and a detailed update of our popular Water Conflict Chro- nology, with entries through the end of 2012. The chronology offers historical examples Introduction xv of conflicts related to water going back millennia, and it is also available in a flexible and useful format online at http://www.worldwater.org, where readers can sort water conflicts by time, location, type of conflict, and more and see the results in active maps. We provide in the back of volume 8 a complete table of contents and integrated index across all previous volumes, to help readers find information in the earlier editions that might be useful or relevant in their research or other efforts. Finally, The World’s Water again offers a wide variety of important, useful, and popular data on water in a series of data tables. In this volume we present updated data on water supply and use by country, the latest progress (or lack thereof) toward the Millennium Development Goals for water and sanitation, runoff data for the world’s largest and most important rivers, irrigation data, estimates of funding for water from overseas develop- ment agencies, tables on water footprints of consumption, and more. If there is any good news, it is that water is receiving more attention from policy mak- ers, scientists, the media, and members of the public. Education and awareness are key steps in moving toward implementing smart and effective solutions. We are happy to think we are playing even a small role. Special thanks to all of my coauthors, both within the Pacific Institute and outside with partner organizations. This project continues to benefit from the support of Island Press, including Emily Davis, my new(ish) editor. Thank you, Emily, for your help getting this latest volume out the door! Peter H. Gleick Oakland, California, 2013