SOLUTIONS THE MAGAZINE BY PRACTITIONERS FOR PRACTITIONERS VOLUME 14, ISSUE 1, 2019
MANUFACTURING PROCESS RELIABILITY 02
1.8MM Return on Planning, $10MM Spare Parts Reduction, 49% Availability Increase. What Will Your Return Be?
Reliability Engineering – People –Leadership/ Operations Excellence – RCM/ RCA Supervision Operator Driven Reliability a. Applying risk management by using a. Maintenance management a. Defect elimination strategies such as RCM3, FMEA, training to transform culture implementation and coaching PMO, and more from top to bottom to prevent new and recurring b. Condition assessment to identify b. Best practices implementation failures b. Operator-driven reliability asset health against key indicators guidance to set expectations and provide feedback implementation and coaching c. Software solutions to help optimize c. Supervisor coaching and to improve reliability and your reliability engineering strategy mentoring to implement profitability changes in culture and c. Best practices implementation processes and mentoring to ensure adherence to defined processes
MRO Storerooms Maintenance Strategies – a. Assessment to provide you with Maintenance CBM/ PM/ PdM understanding of current state a. Development for organizations b. Coaching and mentoring to and that lack resourcing or knowledge reduce storeroom costs of best practices c. Implementation of best Reliability b. Optimization for existing bractices principles, techniques programs to minimize downtime and tools c. Best practices coaching and Solutions mentoring to learn principles, techniques and tools
Planning and Scheduling CMMS/ EAM Best Practices a. Assess and identify factors Assessment & Strategic benefiting and prohibiting a. Selecting the right CMMS Improvement Roadmap planning or assessing current for best practices a. Benchmarking more than 20 b. Implementation of areas of interest proven processes and b. Asset criticality and equipment hierarchy for b. Gap analysis – written report methodologies better work execution to leadership team c. Coaching and mentoring for c. Strategic roadmap to improve more effective work execution c. Implementation and configuration guidance and close the gaps
It's About Your Success! www.peopleandprocesses.com
Consulting and Educational Services - UTK RMC Training Partner - SMRP Tier 5 Approved Provider
People and Processes, Inc. PO Box 460, Yulee, Florida 32041-0460 - (843) 814-3795 - (866) 637-9437 Fax SOLUTIONS VOL. 14, ISSUE 1 03
04 CONTRIBUTORS, OFFICERS & DIRECTORS
05 LETTER FROM THE CHAIR Vlad Bacalu, CMRP, CMRT, CAMA
THE NEW OPTIMUM REPLACEMENT TIME METHODOLOGY FOR AGED EQUIPMENT Dr. Eduardo Calixto, CRP, CFSE, AFSP 06
RELIABILITY STARTS WITH MATERIALS Randy Riddell, CMRP, PSAP, CLS 16
ORGANIZING FOR RELIABILITY: MAXIMIZING YOUR RELIABILITY SOFTWARE INVESTMENT 22 Timothy Payne, CMRP
UNDERSTANDING OPERATIONAL PROCESSES AS AN ADVANTAGE FOR MAINTENANCE AND RELIABILITY PROFESSIONALS 30 Victor D. Manriquez, CMRP, CAMA
33 Chapter News
34 New CMRP & CMRT
42 SMRPCO SUSTAINING SPONSORS
WWW.SMRP.ORG 04
CONTRIBUTORS SMRP OFFICERS & DIRECTORS
Chair Vlad Bacalu, CMRP, CAMA, CMRT &BOARD AECOM [email protected]
Vice Chair Gina Hutto-Kittle, CMRP CONTRIBUTORS The Timken Company [email protected] Eduardo Calixto, CRP, CFSE, AFSP, is the founder and CEO at ECC. He has over 18 years of experience in reliability, safety Treasurer and asset management. Eduardo has worked across many Carl Shultz, CMRP different industries around the world, including oil and gas, ALL-TEST Pro, LLC mining, railway and aerospace. [email protected]
Secretary Paul Casto, CMRP Gray Matter Systems [email protected]
Immediate Past Chair Howard Penrose, PhD, CMRP Randy Riddell, CMRP, PSAP, CLS, is the reliability manager MotorDoc, LLC for Essity at the Barton Mill in Alabama. He has over 28 years [email protected] of industrial experience with a career focus on equipment reliability. He has a BSME from Mississippi State University, Certification Director and is a pump system assessment professional from the Steve Mikolajcik, CMRP, CAMA Hydraulic Institute. Cargill [email protected]
Body of Knowledge Director Keith Nye, CMRP Walmart [email protected]
Timothy (Tim) Payne, CMRP, is a senior industrial-managed Education Director services consultant with GE Digital. He has forty years Maureen Gribble, CMRP of maintenance, operations, engineering and consulting UE Systems experience associated with commercial nuclear plants, [email protected] military nuclear plants and refining. His expertise is in equipment reliability program improvement, maintenance, Member Services Director engineering support, business process improvement and as Jeff Shiver, CMRP an instructor. People & Processes [email protected]
Outreach Director Dan Anderson, MBA, CMRP, CRL Life Cycle Engineering Víctor D. Manríquez, CMRP, CAMA, is a maintenance, reliability [email protected] and asset management consultant and mechanical engineer with over 32 years of professional experience in the mining, oil and gas, and manufacturing industries. He holds a masters degree in Renewable Energies and Education Management, and is an SMRP Body of Knowledge (BoK) educator and trainer in Peru, Costa Rica and Mexico.
SOLUTIONS VOL. 14, ISSUE 1 05
Happy New Year fellow members and colleagues! A fresh year is once again upon us and I look forward to everything 2019 has to offer with SMRP. I am excited to start the year with Career and Technical Education Month® this February. This month-long public awareness FROM campaign launched by the Association for Career & Technical Education (ACTE) works to celebrate the value of career and technical education (CTE) and the accomplishments within the many verticals of CTE. While CTE works to shed light on professions that require special training, the THE ACTE depends on organizations within each professional vertical, such as SMRP, to advance career education and training for their members. As with many of the professions CTE covers, a majority of maintenance and reliability professionals are set to retire and there isn’t a new generation of professionals behind them to take their place. CTE Month is a valuable CHAIR reminder to us that maintenance and reliability education is crucial for our organization moving forward.
During CTE Month, I encourage you take the time to talk to students and introduce them to maintenance and reliability. Show them how today’s professionals work on complex assets, integrate the industrial internet of things (IIoT) into their work, and utilize state-of-the-art equipment. If you can, offer to host a career week at a local school or check with nearby technical colleges to participate in their CTE Month activities.
Looking ahead to March, SMRP is set to host our first international event, the 2019 Symposium in Lima, Peru, March 6-7, 2019. The event includes two days of track sessions, general sessions, certification exams, opening and closing keynote addresses and networking opportunities, all tailored to Spanish-speaking practitioners and professionals. Attendees from across Latin America will gather for this Symposium, which offers maintenance, reliability and physical asset management attendees access to our society’s education and network of members. Additionally, leading organizations such as Accenture, GE Digital, Fikal SAS, APTIM, Schulmberger, AES Corporation, Ingredion and Hudbay will be onsite for attendees to gain exposure with industry-leading companies. Attendees Vlad Bacalu, CMRP, CMRT, CAMA will also have the opportunity to take the CMRP, CMRT and CAMA exams SMRP Chair on March 7, earning their credentials onsite.
As we look further into the year, SMRP is excited to host a second Symposium in Phoenix, Arizona, June 26 - 27, and will round out the year at the 27th Annual Conference, October 7 - 10, in Louisville, Kentucky. Don't miss the chance to learn from experts and network with your peers around the world this year with SMRP. I look forward to seeing you at the next SMRP event.
WWW.SMRP.ORG 06
The New Optimum Replacement Time Methodology for Aged Equipment The UFCC compressor Case Study Dr. Eduardo Calixto, CRP, CFSE, AFSP
SOLUTIONS VOL. 14, ISSUE 1 07
The New Optimum Replacement Time Methodology for aged Failure and Repair Data Analysis equipment supports the best replacement time decision related Fluid catalytic cracking (FCC) plants convert the high-boiling, to aging assets where preventive maintenance (PM) is not able high-molecular weight hydrocarbon fractions of petroleum to recover the reliability to an economically feasible state. crude oils into more valuable gasoline, olefinic gases and other Such proposed methodology encompasses different methods products. In order to predict future performance and define the through implementation steps such as Reliability, Availability, FCC’s critical equipment, the RAM analysis is performed. Once Maintainability (RAM) analysis, lifetime data analysis, reliability the RAM analysis scope is defined, the lifetime data analysis growth analysis and equipment operation cost analysis. The (LDA) is the next step. The LDA is based on the historical main different of the previous methodology is that the expected failure data of FCC plants in operation. Thus, by collecting the operational cost proposed is based on the Crow-AMSSA model. failure and repair data from equipment files, it was possible to In order to demonstrate such methodology, I have assessed the obtain the proper data and perform the LDA by using statistical critical compressor of the UFCC refinery plant in the following software (Reliasoft Weibull++) to define PDF parameters for case study. each piece of equipment that is part of this study. To ensure the accurate representation of data collection, maintenance professionals with knowledge of each piece of equipment took part in this stage.
Failure Time (Years) Repair Time (hour) Tag Failure Mode PDF Parameters PDF Paremeters
Gumbell μ ∂ Lognormal μ ∂ Turbine Bearing 4,5 2,04 3,08 0,64
Exponential λ γ Normal μ ∂ Gas Valve 1 0,5426 0,0946 47,6 40,8 EC301 A Weibull β η γ Normal μ ∂ Gas Valve 2 0,5418 1,2061 0.6185 36,4 20,94
Gumbell μ ∂ Weibull β η γ Seal Leakage 4,97 0,24 0,77 4,23 2,36
Weibull β η γ Lognormal μ ∂ Gas Valve 1 0,51 2,85 0,298 3,21 1,73
Weibull β η γ Loglogistic μ ∂ EC301 B Gas Valve 2 0.418 0,64 0,6049 3,3 0,75
Normal μ ∂ Normal μ ∂ Turbine Bearing 3,56 0,1 24 1
Gumbell μ ∂ Lognormal μ ∂ Turbine Bearing 4,09 1,61 2,93 0,92 Gumbell μ ∂ Lognormal μ ∂ EC301 C Gas Valve 1 4,09 1,61 3,05 1,09
PSV Valve and Normal μ ∂ Lognormal μ ∂ Others 2,07 1,21 2,72 1,52
Figure 1 - Furnace failure and repair PDF parameters. Source: Calixto, E, et al 2012
WWW.SMRP.ORG 08
1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 Warm Conversion Cold DEA Cleaning Subsystem Subsystem Area
Figure 2 - Fluid Cracking Catalytic System RBD. Source: Calixto, E, et al 2012
Reliability Diagram Block Modeling Before performing the Monte Carlo simulation, it is necessary RI shows how much influence one subsystem or equipment has to create a reliability diagram block. In this way, it is important to on system reliability. By using partial derivation, it is possible to be familiar with the production flowchart details that influence demonstrate that increasing the reliability of one subsystem or losses in production. Consequently, some statements and piece of equipment can improve the whole system reliability. definitions about equipment failure impact on the FCC The following equation shows the mathematical relation: process were applied to the Reliability Block Diagram (RBD) modeling. Figure 2 shows the FCC system RBD model. At a top-level configuration, whenever any of the critical subsystems Despite this relation, some equipment or subsystems may be are unavailable, such as warming, conversion, cold area, prioritized due to repair time having an expressive impact on diethylamine (DEA) and cleaning, the FCC system is also system operational availability. This means the operational unavailable. The main FCC profile information points are: availability impact is the most important parameter, despite • The availability target is 98 percent in five years reliability being highly influential in system performance. • The facility supply had 100 percent availability in five years However, RI is the best index to understand the equipment • The total production per day was 55 m3 reliability target achievement.
Simulation In this case, the RI is the best index to show how much RAM analysis simulation was performed using BlockSim improvement the system can accommodate. However, it is software. The Monte Carlo simulation allows for the creation necessary to consider availability. In the FCC system, the most of typical life cycle scenarios for the system by considering the critical subsystems are the cold area and conversion subsystems RBD model, reliability and maintainability of the PDF’s input based on the RI and DECI assessment. Figure 8 shows the RI data. The entire UFCC plant unit was modeled through RBDs, assessment results. considering the redundancies and the possibilities for bypass in each equipment or system configuration, as demonstrated in Figure 2. The Monte Carlo simulation allows for the assessment of operational availability to verify if the target of 98 percent in three years will be achieved. If the operational availability After critical analysis, it target is not achieved, it becomes necessary to improve the critical equipment operational performance. This simulation was becomes clear that no performed concerning a five-year lifetime – 1,000 simulations were run to confirm the results. The results show the UFCC will improvement actions achieve 99.81 percent operational availability in five years and is expected to have five equipment failures during this period. are required in the
Critical analysis FCC system in regards The critical analysis defines which subsystems are the most to the operational critical and which equipment has the most influence on operational availability, and consequently, production losses. availability target There are two indicators applied to demonstrate criticality: Reliability Importance (RI) and Down Event Critical Index (DECI). achievement.
SOLUTIONS VOL. 14, ISSUE 1 09
The DECI was also used to assess which equipment causes more and FCC shutdown risk. Therefore, the following assessment shutdowns in the FCC system, and despite the low number of will be considered in the sensitivity analysis: shutdowns and k/n configuration, it was found that compressors EC-01 A–C are responsible for most, as shown in Figure 9. • Optimum replacement time Despite the compressors being the most critical equipment, • Phase block diagram analysis the fluid catalytic cracking system achieved the availability In the first case, it is necessary to assess each compressor and target (99.91 percent in five years) and through the target define the future optimum replacement time considering the achievement point of view, no improvements are required in this operational costs for each piece of equipment, which includes system. However, these compressors have operated for more maintenance, purchases and costs related to loss of production. than 20 years, and despite increasing corrective and preventive Despite the k/n configuration, such compressors do not impact maintenance (PM) costs, they require optimum replacement FCC’s operational availability, but have increasing operational time analysis to decide when they must be replaced. costs over time. Figure 10 shows the optimum replacement time philosophy based on a cost perspective. Sensibility Analysis: The Optimum Replacement Time Indeed, cost is not the only aspect to be considered in the decision to replace equipment. It is also necessary to access After critical analysis, it becomes clear that no improvement additional aspects, such as expected number of failures based actions are required in the FCC system in regards to the on the proposed Crow-AMSAA RGA model prediction. The operational availability target achievement. However, optimum complete approach to assess the best time to replace the replacement time assessment is required to decide when the equipment is described in Figure 11. compressors need to be replaced to reduce the operational cost
Reliability Importance vs. Time 0,991 Importance
U-2221 Cold Area Subsystem 4.0 - DEA 1.0 - Warm Subsystem 2.0 - Conversion Subsystem 3.0 - Cold Area Subsystem 5.0 - Cleaning 0,793 Convertion Subsystem
0,595
0,396 Reliability Importance Reliability
0,198
1,091E-9 0,000 10000,00 20000,00 30000,00 40000,00 50000,00
Figure 8 - Reliability Index. Source: Calixto, E, et al 2012
WWW.SMRP.ORG 10
RS DECI 37,315 Availability 100%
50% 29,852
0% 3 Item(s) EC-01 A-C {EC-01 A-C} 22,389 Availability = 1,000 RS DECI = 37, 315
14,925
7,453
0,000 EC-01 A-C General (Gas Cilinder and sh...) EC-02 A-B
Figure 9 - Down Event Critical Index. Source: Calixto, E, et al 2012
For instance, the lifetime data analysis for compressor A revealed fix-test), the Crow-AMSAA model is used to predict reliability increasing failure rates for most of the components, as shown growth and the expected cumulative number of failures. The in Figure 12. However, the lifetime data analysis is not enough expected cumulative number of failures are represented to decide if compressor A needs to be replaced. The next step mathematically by: is to perform the reliability growth analysis. Depending on the result of this analysis, you can then go to step four and access the operational cost for the critical equipment. Based on the The Crow-AMSAA model assumes that intensity failure is life cycle analysis, compressor A reveals that after equipment approximately the Weibull failure rate, thus intensity of failure overhaul, there is still an increasing failure rate for most of the on time is: components, as shows Figure 12.
Based on Figure 11, the next step is to apply the Crow-AMSSA Model. This model was introduced by Dr. Larry H. Crow in Using the initial failure rate as: 1974. It is a statistical model that uses the Weibull distribution parameter to describe the relationship between accumulated time between failure and test time. This approach is applied in reliability growth analysis to show the effect of corrective If the cumulative failure rate is approximately the failure intensity actions on reliability when a product is being developed or we have: even in repairable systems during the operation phase. Thus, whenever improvements are implemented during testing (test-
SOLUTIONS VOL. 14, ISSUE 1 11
Cost per unit Time vs. Time 0.02
0.018
0.016
0.014
0.012
0.01
0.008 Minimum Cost of Replacement
Cost per unit Time 0.006 Preventive 0.004 Replacement Corrective Costs Replacement Costs 0.002
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000
Time,t Figure 10 - Optimum Replacement Time. Source: Calixto, E, et al 2012
1 - To define Critical Equipment (RAM analysis) The time to failure is defined by the equation:
2 - Critical Equipment Lifetime Data Analysis
The preceding equation describes failure intensity during No testing and depends on the increase, decrease or constant of the β value. In fact, β is a shape parameter of the intensity Increasing failure function in the Crow-AMSAA model. Thus, in this model failure rate? when β > 1, the reliability is decreasing over time because Yes failure intensity is increasing, or in other words, the corrective product actions are not improving the product. When β < 1, the 3 - Critical Equipment Reliability Growth Analysis intensity of failure is decreasing over time, or in other words, the corrective product actions are improving product reliability. When β=1, the product behaves as if no corrective action 4 - Critical Equipment Operation Cost Analysis has taken place and intensity failure is constant over time. It is important to keep in mind that the b in the Crow-AMSAA model describes intensity failure behavior and has no relation No to the Weibull distribution shape parameter. The growth rate Increasing Operational cost? in the Crow-AMSAA model is 1-β. The Crow-AMSSA model assessment was applied to compressor A, as defined in Figure Yes 11 as step three of the optimum replacement time methodology. In case of equipment in operation, the model considers the Change Equipment when operational cost is increasing on time effect of PM and replacement as well as all other operational effects on equipment performance. Figure 11 - Optimum replacement time methodology. Source: Calixto, E, et al 2012
WWW.SMRP.ORG 12