Journal of Infection and Public Health 13 (2020) 216–220
Contents lists available at ScienceDirect
Journal of Infection and Public Health
j ournal homepage: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jiph
Hypocalcemia, hypochloremia, and eosinopenia as clinical predictors
of leptospirosis: A retrospective study
a b a c
Cheng-Yee Fish-Low , Ahmed D. Balami , Leslie T.L. Than , King-Hwa Ling ,
a d a,∗
Niazlin Mohd Taib , Anim Md. Shah , Zamberi Sekawi
a
Department of Medical Microbiology and Parasitology, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Universiti Putra Malaysia, 43400 Serdang, Selangor, Malaysia
b
Department of Community Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Universiti Putra Malaysia, 43400 Serdang, Selangor, Malaysia
c
Department of Biomedical Sciences, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Universiti Putra Malaysia, 43400 Serdang, Selangor, Malaysia
d
Department of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Universiti Putra Malaysia, 43400 Serdang, Selangor, Malaysia
a
r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t
Article history: Background: Underestimation of leptospirosis cases is happening in many countries. The most common
Received 1 December 2018
factor of underreporting is misdiagnosis. Considering the limitations of direct detection of pathogen and
Received in revised form 15 July 2019
serological diagnosis for leptospirosis, clinical features and blood tests though non-specific are usually
Accepted 27 July 2019
referred in making presumptive diagnosis to decide disease management.
Methods: In this single-centre retrospective study, comparative analysis on clinical presentations and
Keywords:
laboratory findings was performed between confirmed leptospirosis versus non-leptospirosis cases.
Leptospirosis
Results: In multivariate logistic regression evidenced by a Hosmer-Lemeshow significance value of
Diagnostic scoring
Hypocalcemia 0.979 and Nagelkerke R square of 0.426, the predictors of a leptospirosis case are hypocalcemia (cal-
Hypochloremia cium <2.10 mmol/L), hypochloremia (chloride <98 mmol/L), and eosinopenia (absolute eosinophil count
9
×
Eosinopenia <0.040 10 /L). The proposed diagnostic scoring model has a discriminatory power with area under the
curve (AUC) 0.761 (p < 0.001). A score value of 6 reflected a sensitivity of 0.762, specificity of 0.655, a
positive predictive value of 0.38, negative predictive value of 0.91, a positive likelihood ratios of 2.21, and
a negative likelihood ratios of 0.36.
Conclusion: With further validation in clinical settings, implementation of this diagnostic scoring model
is helpful to manage presumed leptospirosis especially in the absence of leptospirosis confirmatory tests.
© 2019 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Limited on behalf of King Saud Bin Abdulaziz University
for Health Sciences. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://
creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
Introduction The microscopic agglutination test (MAT) for detection of agglu-
tinating antibodies [3] serves as the gold standard of serological
A broad array of clinical manifestations has been documented diagnosis for leptospirosis [2]. MAT is not an ideal test for lep-
for human leptospirosis [1,2]. Leptospiral infections may be asymp- tospirosis diagnosis especially during the bacteremia phase, and
tomatic, or with symptoms ranging from mild and self-limiting in regions where the diagnostic facilities are poorly accessible or
febrile illnesses to multi-organ dysfunction with fatal outcomes. not available. Although there are many other commercially avail-
Leptospirosis may mimic other febrile illnesses, which makes the able rapid serological tests, the problem of delayed diagnosis due to
clinical manifestations not fully reliable for the diagnosis of lep- late sero-conversion and undetectable antibodies titre still exists.
tospirosis. Underreporting due to misdiagnosis of leptospirosis is On the other hand, direct detection of leptospiral DNA by
therefore common. Reliance on laboratory diagnostic tests to differ- polymerase chain reaction (PCR) has been proposed to be used
entiate leptospirosis from other diseases is not entirely practicable routinely in leptospirosis diagnosis as it overcomes the limita-
considering the limitations of currently available leptospirosis tions of MAT especially during the early acute phase [4]. However,
diagnostic tests. it may have more stringent requirements on sampling tim-
ing and type of specimen. This is because leptospiremia may
end very soon after the onset of symptoms [5]. The success of
molecular detection of leptospiral DNA depends not only on the
∗
Corresponding author. bacterial load in clinical materials, but also on the specificity
E-mail address: [email protected] (Z. Sekawi).
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jiph.2019.07.021
1876-0341/© 2019 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Limited on behalf of King Saud Bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences. This is an open access article under the
CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
C.-Y. Fish-Low et al. / Journal of Infection and Public Health 13 (2020) 216–220 217
and sensitivity of the primers or probes that are used in the of total antibodies in MAT [2] using a 20-serovar panel, which
detection. consisted of Australis, Autumnalis, Bataviae, Canicola, Celledoni,
To address the non-availability of a rapid confirmatory diag- Djasiman, Grippotyphosa, Hardjoprajitno, Icterohaemorrhagiae,
nostic test for leptospirosis, several scoring models have been Javanica, Patoc, Pomona, Pyrogenes, Tarassovi, IMR LEP/1, IMR
developed as guidelines in diagnosing presumptive leptospirosis. LEP/115, IMR LEP/175, IMR LEP 803/11, IMR LEP/27, and IMR
Faine’s criteria [6] were first developed based on clinical data (Part LEP/22. A confirmed leptospirosis case (CLC) is defined as single
A), epidemiological factors (Part B), and bacteriological and labo- serum titre of 1:400 or at least a four-fold rise in titre of paired
ratory findings based on only MAT titre (Part C). A score of 26 or sera in the standard MAT, a positive culture of Leptospira in blood
more in Part A or in Part A + Part B, or 25 or more as the total of or urine sample, or positive detection of Leptospira DNA in PCR
three parts may suggest a presumptive diagnosis. Faine’s criteria [12]. All cases of confirmed leptospirosis are tested negative in
were then modified, hence known as modified Faine’s criteria [7] both aerobic and anaerobic blood culture, and negative in dengue
to include other formats of serological tests under Part C. The modi- IgM and NS1 detection. The cases otherwise are non-leptospirosis
fied Faine’s criteria were later amended (known as modified Faine’s (NLC).
criteria with amendment) to improve the usefulness in clinical set-
tings [8]. Statistical analysis
Despite several amendments of the guidelines, a scoring section
based on blood test profile has never been incorporated. This study The data collected was analysed by using IBM Statistical
aimed to determine the clinical predictors for leptospirosis based Package for Social Sciences (SPSS) version 22. The laboratory
on comparative analysis of blood test parameters between con- findings were categorized as normal, low or high, based on
firmed leptospirosis versus non-leptospirosis cases. Then a scoring the hospital’s pre-defined cut-off values. Comparative analysis
model is developed for the determined predictors. between CLC (n = 30) and NLC (n = 107) was performed. Bivariate
analysis using the Chi-square test was run on all the vari-
Material and methods ables, to determine any difference between the two groups.
Variables significant in the bivariate analysis along with other
Ethics statement variables with p-value <0.25 were entered into a multivariate
logistic regression using the Backward-LR method, and the best
The study protocol was approved by the Institutional Review model was selected to obtain the predictors of leptospirosis
Board of Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Universiti Putra infection.
Malaysia, and the Medical Research Ethics Committee (MREC), Min-
istry of Health Malaysia (NMRR-15-2148-27536). Development of diagnostic scoring model
Study design and study subjects In line with a previous similar study [14], the beta coefficients
of the predictor variables were used to develop a practical scoring
This study utilized a cross-sectional study design among clin- system. All the coefficients were divided by the smallest coeffi-
ically suspected leptospirosis patients [2] admitted in Hospital cient, and then multiplied by 4, the results of which were rounded
Serdang, Selangor, Malaysia. Since leptospirosis was gazetted as up to the nearest whole number. This scoring system was then
a notifiable disease in Malaysia in December 2010, patients admit- used to generate the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve.
ted from 2011 to 2017 constituted the sampling frame. Patients The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), nega-
in the paediatric age group (below 18 years old) and patients tive predictive value (NPV) and likelihood ratios (LR) were also
with past history of autoimmune diseases or any known comor- computed.
bidities were excluded. The one proportion formula was used to
calculate the minimum required sample size [9]. The expected Results
prevalence (P) of leptospirosis (8.4%) was taken from a previ-
ous study in Malaysia [10]. The Z-statistic and precision level A total of 137 subjects were included in the study, 72.3% of whom
(d) were substituted with 1.96 and 0.05 respectively [11], and were males. Their ages ranged from 18 to 86 years, and a mean
an adjustment for 90% eligibility to obtain a minimum sample (SD) age of 35.5 (14.8) years. Their ethnicities were: Malay (68.6%),
size requirement of 133 respondents. Case notes of all suspected Indian (13.1%), Chinese (6.6%) and others (11.7%). Around one-fifth
leptospirosis patients admitted between 2011 and 2017 were (21.9%) had a diagnosis of confirmed leptospirosis. Out of the 30
extracted from the hospital’s medical patients’ electronic database, cases of confirmed leptospirosis, 53.3% (n = 16) gave positive PCR
using the ‘Filter’ function. The file serial numbers of these patients result, 36.7% (n = 11) was positive by MAT, 3.3% (n = 1) was positive
was then copied and transferred to Excel spreadsheet from where in blood cultures, and 6.7% (n = 2) of the cases were positive in both
137 out of these were randomly selected using the ‘Random’ func- urine cultures and MAT. tion.
Bivariate analysis
Data collection and case definition
Table 1 shows the comparison of clinical and laboratory char-
A structured proforma was used to collect data from the acteristics of CLC and NLC. There was a significant difference
selected case notes. Data on clinical presentations were collected between the two groups in their proportions of temperature above
◦
on a binary scale (Yes or No), while the values for the labo- 39 C, low calcium (<2.10 mmol/L), high urea (>9.2 mmol/L), low
ratory findings were collected in their raw numerical forms as sodium (<136 mmol/L), low chloride (<98 mmol/L), and low abso-
9
continuous variables. The cases were categorized into confirmed lute eosinophil count (<0.040 × 10 /L).
leptospirosis versus non-leptospirosis. The confirmatory diagno-
sis of leptospirosis was performed by the Institute for Medical Multivariate analysis
Research (IMR), Ministry of Health Malaysia [12]. The tests per-
formed were pathogen isolation [2], detection of leptospiral DNA For the multivariate logistic regression, the model fitted
by real-time polymerase chain reaction [13], and and detection the sample, evidenced by a Hosmer-Lemeshow significance
218 C.-Y. Fish-Low et al. / Journal of Infection and Public Health 13 (2020) 216–220
Table 1
Comparison of clinical and laboratory features of confirmed (CLC) and non-confirmed leptospirosis cases (NLC).
NLC (n = 107) CLC (n = 30) p-value
Characteristic
Frequency (%) Frequency (%)
Headache 48 (44.9) 16 (53.3) 0.411
Fever 99 (92.5) 28 (93.3) 0.880
◦ *
Temperature >39 C 17 (15.9) 10 (33.3) 0.034
Conjunctival suffusion 14 (13.1) 3 (10.0) 0.651
Myalgia 72 (67.3) 20 (66.7) 0.949
Jaundice 11 (10.3) 3 (10.0) 0.964
Haemoptysis / shortness of breath 14 (13.1) 4 (13.3) 0.972
Skin rash 15 (14.0) 4 (13.3) 0.924
Gastrointestinal symptoms 83 (77.6) 27 (90.0) 0.130
Haemorrhages 6 (5.6) 2 (6.7) 0.827
Creatinine kinase <29 U/L 4 (3.7) 0 (0.0) 0.657
Creatinine kinase >200 U/L 63 (58.9) 19 (63.3) 0.830
C-reactive protein >5 mg/L 66 (81.5) 18 (90.0) 0.362
*
Calcium <2.10 mmol/L 43 (62.3) 20 (90.9) 0.014
Calcium >2.55 mmol/L 1 (1.4) 0 (0.0) 1.000
Magnesium <0.85 mmol/L 51 (72.9) 15 (68.2) 0.476
Magnesium >1.05 mmol/L 8 (11.4) 2 (9.1) 0.529
Albumin <35 g/L 57 (54.3) 18 (60.0) 0.614
Albumin >50 g/L 1 (1.0) 0 (0.0) 0.614
Bilirubin, total >20.5 mol/L 32 (30.2) 10 (33.3) 0.742
Alkaline phosphatase <40 U/L 2 (1.9) 1 (3.3) 0.526
Alkaline phosphatase >150 U/L 14 (13.1) 4 (13.3) 1.000
Aspartate transferase >34 U/L 83 (77.6) 23 (76.7) 0.917
Urea <2.5 mmol/L 8 (7.5) 2 (6.7) 0.767
*
Urea >9.2 mmol/L 17 (15.9) 12 (40.0) 0.004
*
Sodium <136 mmol/L 66 (61.7) 26 (86.7) 0.010
Potassium <3.5 mmol/L 23 (21.5) 8 (26.7) 0.640
Potassium >5.1 mmol/L 5 (4.7) 0 (0.0) 0.364
*
Chloride <98 mmol/L 26 (24.3) 16 (53.3) 0.004
Chloride >107 mmol/L 6 (5.6) 1 (3.3) 0.972
Creatinine <53 mol/L 1 (0.9) 0 (0.0) 1.000
Creatinine >115 mol/L 38 (35.8) 15 (50.0) 0.172
12
Red blood cell <3.80 × 10 /L 6 (5.6) 1 (3.3) 0.664
12
Red blood cell >5.80 × 10 /L 19 (17.8) 7 (23.3) 0.527
Haemoglobin <11.5 g/dL 13 (12.1) 1 (3.3) 0.160
Haemoglobin >18.0 g/dL 3 (2.8) 1 (3.3) 1.000
9
Platelet <150 × 10 /L 24 (22.4) 9 (30.0) 0.490
9
×
Platelet >400 10 /L 6 (5.6) 0 (0.0) 0.204
9
White blood cell <4.0 × 10 /L 11 (10.3) 5 (16.7) 0.285
9
White blood cell >11.0 × 10 /L 33 (30.8) 10 (33.3) 0.601
9
Absolute neutrophil <2.00 × 10 /L 7 (6.5) 5 (16.7) 0.069
9
Absolute neutrophil >7.50 × 10 /L 42 (39.9) 12 (40.0) 0.588
9
Absolute lymphocyte <1.50 × 10 /L 65 (60.7) 23 (76.7) 0.069
9
Absolute lymphocyte >4.00 × 10 /L 1 (0.9) 0 (0.0) 0.588
9
×
Absolute monocyte <0.200 10 /L 9 (8.4) 1 (3.3) 0.439
9
Absolute monocyte >0.800 × 10 /L 43 (40.2) 10 (33.3) 0.367
9 *
Absolute eosinophil <0.040 × 10 /L 24 (22.4) 14 (46.7) 0.014
9
Absolute eosinophil >0.400 × 10 /L 9 (8.4) 1 (3.3) 0.577
*
Statistically significant at p < 0.05.
Table 2
Predictors of presumptive leptospirosis.
Factors B SE Wald df p-value Adjusted OR 95% CI
Calcium
Normal – – – – – 1.00 –
Low (<2.10 mmol/L) 2.04 1.00 4.17 1 0.041 7.72 1.09–54.98
Chloride
Normal – – – – – 1.00 –
Low (<98 mmol/L) 1.70 0.77 4.82 1 0.028 5.45 1.20–24.79
Absolute eosinophil
Normal – – – – – 1.00 –
9
Low (<0.040 × 10 /L) 1.76 0.73 5.75 1 0.017 5.80 1.38–24.41
B = beta coefficient; SE = standard error; df = degrees of freedom; OR = odd ratio; CI = confidence interval.
value of 0.979. The Nagelkerke R square was 0.426, and Fig. 1 shows the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve
the predictors of being a case of leptospirosis are pre- to differentiate between leptospirosis and non-leptospirosis. The
sented in Table 2. Table 3 illustrates the proposed score for area under the curve (AUC) was 0.761 (p < 0.001). As presented in
diagnosis of leptospirosis, based on the multivariate analysis Table 4, score value of 6 reflected a sensitivity of 0.762, specificity of
results. 0.655, a positive predictive value (PPV) of 0.38, negative predictive
C.-Y. Fish-Low et al. / Journal of Infection and Public Health 13 (2020) 216–220 219
Table 3
Proposed score for diagnosis of leptospirosis, based on multivariate analysis.
Factor Beta coefficient Calculated Score (rounded to
score nearest integer)
Calcium <2.10 mmol/L 2.044 4.80 5
Chloride <98 mmol/L 1.696 4.00 4
Eosinophil 1.758 4.15 4
9
<0.040 × 10 /L
Maximum possible 13
score
value (NPV) of 0.91, a positive likelihood ratios (PLR) of 2.21, and a
negative likelihood ratios (NLR) of 0.36.
Discussion
As observed in the present study and other similar studies
that compared serum biochemistry between leptospirosis and
non-leptospirosis patients, the variables proposed in the respec-
tive diagnostic score models may be cohort- or region-specific.
A Sri Lankan cohort-based study [14] reveals high creatinine
(>150 mol/L), high bilirubin (>30 mol/L), neutrophil >80%, low
3
platelet count (<85,000/mm ), and exposure to possible source
of leptospirosis are positively associated with the confirmed
diagnosis. A recent Thai cohort-based study [15] reported the
presence of hypotension, jaundice, muscle pain, acute kidney
Fig. 1. Coordinates of the ROC curve for outcome—positive leptospirosis.
failure, low haemoglobin (<12 g/dL), and hypokalemia (potas-
sium <3.5 mEq/L) with hyponatremia (sodium <135 mEq/L)
are significant predictors for leptospirosis. On the other hand, observation may be explained by calcium deposition in damaged
hypocalcemia (calcium <2.10 mmol/L), hypochloremia (chloride muscle followed by resolving calcification once the renal functions
9
<98 mmol/L), and eosinopenia (<0.040 × 10 /L) are proposed as the have recovered [26].
scoring criteria for leptospirosis in this Malaysian cohort-based Phenomenon of low eosinophil count in leptospirosis is either
study. has not been evaluated or lacks of emphasis in previous studies.
Despite none of the predictors in any of the abovementioned It has once been reported in canine leptospirosis [27]. Eosinopenia
studies are present in another study, abnormal renal panel is com- is evidenced to be associated with peritonitis [28], sepsis [29], and
mon across these studies. Perturbations of electrolytes: chloride, enteric fever [30]. Bass DA et al. [31] speculated that the migra-
potassium, sodium, and creatinine (waste product), and calcium tion of eosinophils to the inflammatory site, which was triggered
(minerals) may serve as indications of renal involvement during by chemotactic factors during acute inflammation has resulted in
leptospirosis. eosinopenia.
Hypokalemia is regularly seen in leptospirosis [16,17] whereas Further analysis on renal profile of leptospirosis patients would
hyponatremia resolves quickly as soon as the infection is con- be beneficial and have diagnostic values. Kidney is the known target
trolled [18]. Leptospirosis-induced acute kidney injury (AKI) organ where leptospires may colonize and persist [32,33], possibly
causes rapid increment of serum creatinine and blood urea nitro- related to their ability of forming biofilm [34]. In addition, leptospi-
gen [19]. Though not proven in the context of leptospirosis, ral outer membrane proteins have been demonstrated to induce
dyschloremia is proposed as a risk factor for development of AKI, renal inflammation and interstitial nephritis [35]. Collectively, bac-
and hypochloremic patients are particularly having higher mortal- terial invasion, inflammation, haemodynamic perturbations and,
ity rate [20]. pathogenicity of bacterial products contribute to the develop-
Mild hypocalcemia usually develops asymptomatically and ment of leptospiral nephropathy [19]. Varying clinical spectrum
unnoticed or otherwise may show cardiac arrest, seizures, numb- of renal involvement are documented in leptospirosis, ranging
ness, and confusion [21,22]. It can be caused by kidney failure, from mild course of proteinuria [36], serum electrolyte changes
rhabdomyolysis, overdose of calcium channel blocker, and med- [16] to severe acute renal failure associated with rhabdomyolysis
ications [21]. Hypocalcemia in leptospirosis is recognized as one [37].
of the reasons leading to arrhythmias [23,24]. The biphasic cal-
cium kinetic in leptospirosis that was reported by Zakout R et al. Conclusion
[23] is found consistent with that seen in rhabdomyolysis-induced
AKI [25], which hypocalcemia occurred in oliguric phase and then Confirmatory diagnosis of leptospirosis is challenging and cur-
hypercalcemia in diuretic phase during recovery. This sequential rently limited by many well recognized factors. A scoring model
Table 4
Diagnostic model performance (sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive value and likelihood ratios).
Score Sensitivity Specificity PPV NPV PLR NLR
4 0.810 0.483 0.29 0.96 1.45 0.14
6 0.762 0.655 0.38 0.91 2.21 0.36
10 0.238 0.966 0.38 0.89 2.18 0.43
PPV = positive predictive value; NPV = negative predictive value; PLR = positive likelihood ratios; NLR = negative likelihood ratios.
220 C.-Y. Fish-Low et al. / Journal of Infection and Public Health 13 (2020) 216–220
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