Journal of Infection and Public Health 13 (2020) 216–220

Contents lists available at ScienceDirect

Journal of Infection and Public Health

j ournal homepage: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jiph

Hypocalcemia, hypochloremia, and eosinopenia as clinical predictors

of leptospirosis: A retrospective study

a b a c

Cheng-Yee Fish-Low , Ahmed D. Balami , Leslie T.L. Than , King-Hwa Ling ,

a d a,∗

Niazlin Mohd Taib , Anim Md. Shah , Zamberi Sekawi

a

Department of Medical Microbiology and Parasitology, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Universiti Putra Malaysia, 43400 Serdang, Selangor, Malaysia

b

Department of Community Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Universiti Putra Malaysia, 43400 Serdang, Selangor, Malaysia

c

Department of Biomedical Sciences, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Universiti Putra Malaysia, 43400 Serdang, Selangor, Malaysia

d

Department of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Universiti Putra Malaysia, 43400 Serdang, Selangor, Malaysia

a

r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t

Article history: Background: Underestimation of leptospirosis cases is happening in many countries. The most common

Received 1 December 2018

factor of underreporting is misdiagnosis. Considering the limitations of direct detection of pathogen and

Received in revised form 15 July 2019

serological diagnosis for leptospirosis, clinical features and blood tests though non-specific are usually

Accepted 27 July 2019

referred in making presumptive diagnosis to decide disease management.

Methods: In this single-centre retrospective study, comparative analysis on clinical presentations and

Keywords:

laboratory findings was performed between confirmed leptospirosis versus non-leptospirosis cases.

Leptospirosis

Results: In multivariate logistic regression evidenced by a Hosmer-Lemeshow significance value of

Diagnostic scoring

Hypocalcemia 0.979 and Nagelkerke R square of 0.426, the predictors of a leptospirosis case are hypocalcemia (cal-

Hypochloremia cium <2.10 mmol/L), hypochloremia (chloride <98 mmol/L), and eosinopenia (absolute eosinophil count

9

×

Eosinopenia <0.040 10 /L). The proposed diagnostic scoring model has a discriminatory power with area under the

curve (AUC) 0.761 (p < 0.001). A score value of 6 reflected a sensitivity of 0.762, specificity of 0.655, a

positive predictive value of 0.38, negative predictive value of 0.91, a positive likelihood ratios of 2.21, and

a negative likelihood ratios of 0.36.

Conclusion: With further validation in clinical settings, implementation of this diagnostic scoring model

is helpful to manage presumed leptospirosis especially in the absence of leptospirosis confirmatory tests.

© 2019 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Limited on behalf of King Saud Bin Abdulaziz University

for Health Sciences. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://

creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).

Introduction The microscopic agglutination test (MAT) for detection of agglu-

tinating antibodies [3] serves as the gold standard of serological

A broad array of clinical manifestations has been documented diagnosis for leptospirosis [2]. MAT is not an ideal test for lep-

for human leptospirosis [1,2]. Leptospiral infections may be asymp- tospirosis diagnosis especially during the bacteremia phase, and

tomatic, or with symptoms ranging from mild and self-limiting in regions where the diagnostic facilities are poorly accessible or

febrile illnesses to multi-organ dysfunction with fatal outcomes. not available. Although there are many other commercially avail-

Leptospirosis may mimic other febrile illnesses, which makes the able rapid serological tests, the problem of delayed diagnosis due to

clinical manifestations not fully reliable for the diagnosis of lep- late sero-conversion and undetectable antibodies titre still exists.

tospirosis. Underreporting due to misdiagnosis of leptospirosis is On the other hand, direct detection of leptospiral DNA by

therefore common. Reliance on laboratory diagnostic tests to differ- polymerase chain reaction (PCR) has been proposed to be used

entiate leptospirosis from other diseases is not entirely practicable routinely in leptospirosis diagnosis as it overcomes the limita-

considering the limitations of currently available leptospirosis tions of MAT especially during the early acute phase [4]. However,

diagnostic tests. it may have more stringent requirements on sampling tim-

ing and type of specimen. This is because leptospiremia may

end very soon after the onset of symptoms [5]. The success of

molecular detection of leptospiral DNA depends not only on the

Corresponding author. bacterial load in clinical materials, but also on the specificity

E-mail address: [email protected] (Z. Sekawi).

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jiph.2019.07.021

1876-0341/© 2019 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Limited on behalf of King Saud Bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences. This is an open access article under the

CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).

C.-Y. Fish-Low et al. / Journal of Infection and Public Health 13 (2020) 216–220 217

and sensitivity of the primers or probes that are used in the of total antibodies in MAT [2] using a 20-serovar panel, which

detection. consisted of Australis, Autumnalis, Bataviae, Canicola, Celledoni,

To address the non-availability of a rapid confirmatory diag- Djasiman, Grippotyphosa, Hardjoprajitno, Icterohaemorrhagiae,

nostic test for leptospirosis, several scoring models have been Javanica, Patoc, Pomona, Pyrogenes, Tarassovi, IMR LEP/1, IMR

developed as guidelines in diagnosing presumptive leptospirosis. LEP/115, IMR LEP/175, IMR LEP 803/11, IMR LEP/27, and IMR

Faine’s criteria [6] were first developed based on clinical data (Part LEP/22. A confirmed leptospirosis case (CLC) is defined as single

A), epidemiological factors (Part B), and bacteriological and labo- serum titre of 1:400 or at least a four-fold rise in titre of paired

ratory findings based on only MAT titre (Part C). A score of 26 or sera in the standard MAT, a positive culture of Leptospira in blood

more in Part A or in Part A + Part B, or 25 or more as the total of or urine sample, or positive detection of Leptospira DNA in PCR

three parts may suggest a presumptive diagnosis. Faine’s criteria [12]. All cases of confirmed leptospirosis are tested negative in

were then modified, hence known as modified Faine’s criteria [7] both aerobic and anaerobic blood culture, and negative in dengue

to include other formats of serological tests under Part C. The modi- IgM and NS1 detection. The cases otherwise are non-leptospirosis

fied Faine’s criteria were later amended (known as modified Faine’s (NLC).

criteria with amendment) to improve the usefulness in clinical set-

tings [8]. Statistical analysis

Despite several amendments of the guidelines, a scoring section

based on blood test profile has never been incorporated. This study The data collected was analysed by using IBM Statistical

aimed to determine the clinical predictors for leptospirosis based Package for Social Sciences (SPSS) version 22. The laboratory

on comparative analysis of blood test parameters between con- findings were categorized as normal, low or high, based on

firmed leptospirosis versus non-leptospirosis cases. Then a scoring the hospital’s pre-defined cut-off values. Comparative analysis

model is developed for the determined predictors. between CLC (n = 30) and NLC (n = 107) was performed. Bivariate

analysis using the Chi-square test was run on all the vari-

Material and methods ables, to determine any difference between the two groups.

Variables significant in the bivariate analysis along with other

Ethics statement variables with p-value <0.25 were entered into a multivariate

logistic regression using the Backward-LR method, and the best

The study protocol was approved by the Institutional Review model was selected to obtain the predictors of leptospirosis

Board of Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Universiti Putra infection.

Malaysia, and the Medical Research Ethics Committee (MREC), Min-

istry of Health Malaysia (NMRR-15-2148-27536). Development of diagnostic scoring model

Study design and study subjects In line with a previous similar study [14], the beta coefficients

of the predictor variables were used to develop a practical scoring

This study utilized a cross-sectional study design among clin- system. All the coefficients were divided by the smallest coeffi-

ically suspected leptospirosis patients [2] admitted in Hospital cient, and then multiplied by 4, the results of which were rounded

Serdang, Selangor, Malaysia. Since leptospirosis was gazetted as up to the nearest whole number. This scoring system was then

a notifiable disease in Malaysia in December 2010, patients admit- used to generate the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve.

ted from 2011 to 2017 constituted the sampling frame. Patients The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), nega-

in the paediatric age group (below 18 years old) and patients tive predictive value (NPV) and likelihood ratios (LR) were also

with past history of autoimmune diseases or any known comor- computed.

bidities were excluded. The one proportion formula was used to

calculate the minimum required sample size [9]. The expected Results

prevalence (P) of leptospirosis (8.4%) was taken from a previ-

ous study in Malaysia [10]. The Z-statistic and precision level A total of 137 subjects were included in the study, 72.3% of whom

(d) were substituted with 1.96 and 0.05 respectively [11], and were males. Their ages ranged from 18 to 86 years, and a mean

an adjustment for 90% eligibility to obtain a minimum sample (SD) age of 35.5 (14.8) years. Their ethnicities were: Malay (68.6%),

size requirement of 133 respondents. Case notes of all suspected Indian (13.1%), Chinese (6.6%) and others (11.7%). Around one-fifth

leptospirosis patients admitted between 2011 and 2017 were (21.9%) had a diagnosis of confirmed leptospirosis. Out of the 30

extracted from the hospital’s medical patients’ electronic database, cases of confirmed leptospirosis, 53.3% (n = 16) gave positive PCR

using the ‘Filter’ function. The file serial numbers of these patients result, 36.7% (n = 11) was positive by MAT, 3.3% (n = 1) was positive

was then copied and transferred to Excel spreadsheet from where in blood cultures, and 6.7% (n = 2) of the cases were positive in both

137 out of these were randomly selected using the ‘Random’ func- urine cultures and MAT. tion.

Bivariate analysis

Data collection and case definition

Table 1 shows the comparison of clinical and laboratory char-

A structured proforma was used to collect data from the acteristics of CLC and NLC. There was a significant difference

selected case notes. Data on clinical presentations were collected between the two groups in their proportions of temperature above

on a binary scale (Yes or No), while the values for the labo- 39 C, low calcium (<2.10 mmol/L), high urea (>9.2 mmol/L), low

ratory findings were collected in their raw numerical forms as (<136 mmol/L), low chloride (<98 mmol/L), and low abso-

9

continuous variables. The cases were categorized into confirmed lute eosinophil count (<0.040 × 10 /L).

leptospirosis versus non-leptospirosis. The confirmatory diagno-

sis of leptospirosis was performed by the Institute for Medical Multivariate analysis

Research (IMR), Ministry of Health Malaysia [12]. The tests per-

formed were pathogen isolation [2], detection of leptospiral DNA For the multivariate logistic regression, the model fitted

by real-time polymerase chain reaction [13], and and detection the sample, evidenced by a Hosmer-Lemeshow significance

218 C.-Y. Fish-Low et al. / Journal of Infection and Public Health 13 (2020) 216–220

Table 1

Comparison of clinical and laboratory features of confirmed (CLC) and non-confirmed leptospirosis cases (NLC).

NLC (n = 107) CLC (n = 30) p-value

Characteristic

Frequency (%) Frequency (%)

Headache 48 (44.9) 16 (53.3) 0.411

Fever 99 (92.5) 28 (93.3) 0.880

◦ *

Temperature >39 C 17 (15.9) 10 (33.3) 0.034

Conjunctival suffusion 14 (13.1) 3 (10.0) 0.651

Myalgia 72 (67.3) 20 (66.7) 0.949

Jaundice 11 (10.3) 3 (10.0) 0.964

Haemoptysis / shortness of breath 14 (13.1) 4 (13.3) 0.972

Skin rash 15 (14.0) 4 (13.3) 0.924

Gastrointestinal symptoms 83 (77.6) 27 (90.0) 0.130

Haemorrhages 6 (5.6) 2 (6.7) 0.827

Creatinine kinase <29 U/L 4 (3.7) 0 (0.0) 0.657

Creatinine kinase >200 U/L 63 (58.9) 19 (63.3) 0.830

C-reactive protein >5 mg/L 66 (81.5) 18 (90.0) 0.362

*

Calcium <2.10 mmol/L 43 (62.3) 20 (90.9) 0.014

Calcium >2.55 mmol/L 1 (1.4) 0 (0.0) 1.000

Magnesium <0.85 mmol/L 51 (72.9) 15 (68.2) 0.476

Magnesium >1.05 mmol/L 8 (11.4) 2 (9.1) 0.529

Albumin <35 g/L 57 (54.3) 18 (60.0) 0.614

Albumin >50 g/L 1 (1.0) 0 (0.0) 0.614

Bilirubin, total >20.5 ␮mol/L 32 (30.2) 10 (33.3) 0.742

Alkaline phosphatase <40 U/L 2 (1.9) 1 (3.3) 0.526

Alkaline phosphatase >150 U/L 14 (13.1) 4 (13.3) 1.000

Aspartate transferase >34 U/L 83 (77.6) 23 (76.7) 0.917

Urea <2.5 mmol/L 8 (7.5) 2 (6.7) 0.767

*

Urea >9.2 mmol/L 17 (15.9) 12 (40.0) 0.004

*

Sodium <136 mmol/L 66 (61.7) 26 (86.7) 0.010

Potassium <3.5 mmol/L 23 (21.5) 8 (26.7) 0.640

Potassium >5.1 mmol/L 5 (4.7) 0 (0.0) 0.364

*

Chloride <98 mmol/L 26 (24.3) 16 (53.3) 0.004

Chloride >107 mmol/L 6 (5.6) 1 (3.3) 0.972

Creatinine <53 mol/L 1 (0.9) 0 (0.0) 1.000

Creatinine >115 ␮mol/L 38 (35.8) 15 (50.0) 0.172

12

Red blood cell <3.80 × 10 /L 6 (5.6) 1 (3.3) 0.664

12

Red blood cell >5.80 × 10 /L 19 (17.8) 7 (23.3) 0.527

Haemoglobin <11.5 g/dL 13 (12.1) 1 (3.3) 0.160

Haemoglobin >18.0 g/dL 3 (2.8) 1 (3.3) 1.000

9

Platelet <150 × 10 /L 24 (22.4) 9 (30.0) 0.490

9

×

Platelet >400 10 /L 6 (5.6) 0 (0.0) 0.204

9

White blood cell <4.0 × 10 /L 11 (10.3) 5 (16.7) 0.285

9

White blood cell >11.0 × 10 /L 33 (30.8) 10 (33.3) 0.601

9

Absolute neutrophil <2.00 × 10 /L 7 (6.5) 5 (16.7) 0.069

9

Absolute neutrophil >7.50 × 10 /L 42 (39.9) 12 (40.0) 0.588

9

Absolute lymphocyte <1.50 × 10 /L 65 (60.7) 23 (76.7) 0.069

9

Absolute lymphocyte >4.00 × 10 /L 1 (0.9) 0 (0.0) 0.588

9

×

Absolute monocyte <0.200 10 /L 9 (8.4) 1 (3.3) 0.439

9

Absolute monocyte >0.800 × 10 /L 43 (40.2) 10 (33.3) 0.367

9 *

Absolute eosinophil <0.040 × 10 /L 24 (22.4) 14 (46.7) 0.014

9

Absolute eosinophil >0.400 × 10 /L 9 (8.4) 1 (3.3) 0.577

*

Statistically significant at p < 0.05.

Table 2

Predictors of presumptive leptospirosis.

Factors B SE Wald df p-value Adjusted OR 95% CI

Calcium

Normal – – – – – 1.00 –

Low (<2.10 mmol/L) 2.04 1.00 4.17 1 0.041 7.72 1.09–54.98

Chloride

Normal – – – – – 1.00 –

Low (<98 mmol/L) 1.70 0.77 4.82 1 0.028 5.45 1.20–24.79

Absolute eosinophil

Normal – – – – – 1.00 –

9

Low (<0.040 × 10 /L) 1.76 0.73 5.75 1 0.017 5.80 1.38–24.41

B = beta coefficient; SE = standard error; df = degrees of freedom; OR = odd ratio; CI = confidence interval.

value of 0.979. The Nagelkerke R square was 0.426, and Fig. 1 shows the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve

the predictors of being a case of leptospirosis are pre- to differentiate between leptospirosis and non-leptospirosis. The

sented in Table 2. Table 3 illustrates the proposed score for area under the curve (AUC) was 0.761 (p < 0.001). As presented in

diagnosis of leptospirosis, based on the multivariate analysis Table 4, score value of 6 reflected a sensitivity of 0.762, specificity of

results. 0.655, a positive predictive value (PPV) of 0.38, negative predictive

C.-Y. Fish-Low et al. / Journal of Infection and Public Health 13 (2020) 216–220 219

Table 3

Proposed score for diagnosis of leptospirosis, based on multivariate analysis.

Factor Beta coefficient Calculated Score (rounded to

score nearest integer)

Calcium <2.10 mmol/L 2.044 4.80 5

Chloride <98 mmol/L 1.696 4.00 4

Eosinophil 1.758 4.15 4

9

<0.040 × 10 /L

Maximum possible 13

score

value (NPV) of 0.91, a positive likelihood ratios (PLR) of 2.21, and a

negative likelihood ratios (NLR) of 0.36.

Discussion

As observed in the present study and other similar studies

that compared serum biochemistry between leptospirosis and

non-leptospirosis patients, the variables proposed in the respec-

tive diagnostic score models may be cohort- or region-specific.

A Sri Lankan cohort-based study [14] reveals high creatinine

(>150 ␮mol/L), high bilirubin (>30 ␮mol/L), neutrophil >80%, low

3

platelet count (<85,000/mm ), and exposure to possible source

of leptospirosis are positively associated with the confirmed

diagnosis. A recent Thai cohort-based study [15] reported the

presence of hypotension, jaundice, muscle pain, acute kidney

Fig. 1. Coordinates of the ROC curve for outcome—positive leptospirosis.

failure, low haemoglobin (<12 g/dL), and hypokalemia (potas-

sium <3.5 mEq/L) with hyponatremia (sodium <135 mEq/L)

are significant predictors for leptospirosis. On the other hand, observation may be explained by calcium deposition in damaged

hypocalcemia (calcium <2.10 mmol/L), hypochloremia (chloride muscle followed by resolving calcification once the renal functions

9

<98 mmol/L), and eosinopenia (<0.040 × 10 /L) are proposed as the have recovered [26].

scoring criteria for leptospirosis in this Malaysian cohort-based Phenomenon of low eosinophil count in leptospirosis is either

study. has not been evaluated or lacks of emphasis in previous studies.

Despite none of the predictors in any of the abovementioned It has once been reported in canine leptospirosis [27]. Eosinopenia

studies are present in another study, abnormal renal panel is com- is evidenced to be associated with peritonitis [28], sepsis [29], and

mon across these studies. Perturbations of electrolytes: chloride, enteric fever [30]. Bass DA et al. [31] speculated that the migra-

potassium, sodium, and creatinine (waste product), and calcium tion of eosinophils to the inflammatory site, which was triggered

(minerals) may serve as indications of renal involvement during by chemotactic factors during acute inflammation has resulted in

leptospirosis. eosinopenia.

Hypokalemia is regularly seen in leptospirosis [16,17] whereas Further analysis on renal profile of leptospirosis patients would

resolves quickly as soon as the infection is con- be beneficial and have diagnostic values. Kidney is the known target

trolled [18]. Leptospirosis-induced acute kidney injury (AKI) organ where leptospires may colonize and persist [32,33], possibly

causes rapid increment of serum creatinine and blood urea nitro- related to their ability of forming biofilm [34]. In addition, leptospi-

gen [19]. Though not proven in the context of leptospirosis, ral outer membrane proteins have been demonstrated to induce

dyschloremia is proposed as a risk factor for development of AKI, renal inflammation and interstitial nephritis [35]. Collectively, bac-

and hypochloremic patients are particularly having higher mortal- terial invasion, inflammation, haemodynamic perturbations and,

ity rate [20]. pathogenicity of bacterial products contribute to the develop-

Mild hypocalcemia usually develops asymptomatically and ment of leptospiral nephropathy [19]. Varying clinical spectrum

unnoticed or otherwise may show cardiac arrest, seizures, numb- of renal involvement are documented in leptospirosis, ranging

ness, and confusion [21,22]. It can be caused by kidney failure, from mild course of proteinuria [36], serum electrolyte changes

rhabdomyolysis, overdose of calcium channel blocker, and med- [16] to severe acute renal failure associated with rhabdomyolysis

ications [21]. Hypocalcemia in leptospirosis is recognized as one [37].

of the reasons leading to arrhythmias [23,24]. The biphasic cal-

cium kinetic in leptospirosis that was reported by Zakout R et al. Conclusion

[23] is found consistent with that seen in rhabdomyolysis-induced

AKI [25], which hypocalcemia occurred in oliguric phase and then Confirmatory diagnosis of leptospirosis is challenging and cur-

hypercalcemia in diuretic phase during recovery. This sequential rently limited by many well recognized factors. A scoring model

Table 4

Diagnostic model performance (sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive value and likelihood ratios).

Score Sensitivity Specificity PPV NPV PLR NLR

4 0.810 0.483 0.29 0.96 1.45 0.14

6 0.762 0.655 0.38 0.91 2.21 0.36

10 0.238 0.966 0.38 0.89 2.18 0.43

PPV = positive predictive value; NPV = negative predictive value; PLR = positive likelihood ratios; NLR = negative likelihood ratios.

220 C.-Y. Fish-Low et al. / Journal of Infection and Public Health 13 (2020) 216–220

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