A Decision Theory Perspective on Complexity in Performance
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Applying the Cynefin Sense-Awareness Framework to Develop a Systems Engineering Method Diagnostic Assessment Model (SEMDAM)
Applying the Cynefin Sense-Awareness Framework to Develop a Systems Engineering Method Diagnostic Assessment Model (SEMDAM) by Russell L. Gilbertson Bachelor of Electrical Engineering, June 1983, University of Minnesota Master of Business Administration, December 1985, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute A Dissertation submitted to The Faculty of The School of Engineering and Applied Science of the George Washington University in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy January 19, 2018 Dissertation directed by Bereket Tanju Professorial Lecturer in Engineering Management and Systems Engineering and Timothy Eveleigh Professorial Lecturer in Engineering Management and Systems Engineering The School of Engineering and Applied Science of The George Washington University certifies that Russell L. Gilbertson has passed the Final Examination for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy as of October 24, 2017. This is the final and approved form of the dissertation. Applying the Cynefin Sense-Awareness Framework to Develop a Systems Engineering Method Diagnostic Assessment Model (SEMDAM) Dissertation Research Committee Bereket Tanju, Professorial Lecturer in Engineering Management and Systems Engineering, Dissertation Co-Director Timothy Eveleigh, Professorial Lecturer in Engineering Management and Systems Engineering, Dissertation Co-Director Shahram Sarkani, Professor of Engineering Management and Systems Engineering, Committee Member Thomas Mazzuchi, Professor of Engineering Management and Systems Engineering & of Decision Sciences, Committee Member Amir Etemadi, Assistant Professor of Engineering and Applied Science, Committee Member ii Dedication I wish to dedicate this work to my wife, Ms. Debra Daniels who supported me throughout this endeavor and my mother, Ms. Sandra J. Gilbertson, who passed away before I completed this work, but inspired me to always keep learning. -
Cynefin, Statistics and Decision Analysis
Cynefin, Statistics and Decision Analysis Simon French Manchester Business School University of Manchester Manchester, M15 6PB [email protected] April 2011 Abstract David Snowden‟s Cynefin framework, introduced to articulate discussions of sense-making, knowledge management and organisational learning, also has much to offer discussion of statistical inference and decision analysis. In this paper, I explore its value particularly in its ability to help recognise which analytic and modelling methodologies are most likely to offer appropriate support in a given context. I also use the framework to offer a further perspective on the relationship between scenario thinking and decision analysis in supporting decision makers. Keywords: Cynefin; Bayesian statistics; decision analysis; decision support systems; knowledge management; scenarios; scientific induction; sense-making; statistical inference. 1 Introduction Several years back David Snowden visited Manchester Business School and gave a seminar on knowledge management. At this he described his conceptual framework, Cynefin, which, among other things, offers a categorisation of decision contexts (Snowden 2002). At first I thought this said little if anything more than many other ways of categorising decisions, such as the strategy pyramid stemming from Simon (1960) and beyond Simon back to the prehistory of military theory: viz. strategic, tactical and operational (see Figure 2 below). However, a colleague, Carmen Niculae, had more insight and working with her and others, I have since come to realise Cynefin‟s power to articulate discussions of inference and decision making. In the following, I want to explore the ideas underlying Cynefin and their import for thinking about statistics and decision analysis. There is nothing dramatic in anything I shall say. -
EA.Com © Pragmatic EA Ltd (2008-2017) V1.3A April 2017 Context Context Is King™ Context Is Kingtm
The Pragmatic Operating model for Enterprise Transformation 2 v1.3a – April 2017 PragmaticE N T E R P R I S E A R C H I T E C T U R E P F Connecting the DOTS Part of the Pragmatic Family of Frameworks Context Context Context 2 www.PragmaticEA.com © Pragmatic EA Ltd (2008-2017) v1.3a April 2017 Context Context is King™ Context is KingTM 2 www.PragmaticEA.com © Pragmatic EA Ltd (2008-2017) v1.3a April 2017 Context Context is King™ > Types Purpose Why Applies Context to System Structural Who, What, Where Limitations Constraints Transformational How, When 2 www.PragmaticEA.com © Pragmatic EA Ltd (2008-2017) v1.3a April 2017 Context Why Use POET > Sage Words “If the rate of change on the outside exceeds the rate of change on the inside, the end is near.” - Jack Welch “It is not the strongest of the species that survives, nor the most intelligent that survives. It is the one that is most adaptable to change.” - Charles Darwin “We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.” - Albert Einstein 2 www.PragmaticEA.com © Pragmatic EA Ltd (2008-2017) v1.3a April 2017 Context Why Use POET > Enterprise Viability (pre 20th Century) (20th Century) (Now!) The era of The era of The era of the Transformation of the Transformation of Operations Operations Transformation Importance 2 www.PragmaticEA.com © Pragmatic EA Ltd (2008-2017) v1.3a April 2017 Context Why Use POET > Basic Premise How an Enterprise effects Transformation has become a Strategic Strength where massive business opportunities can be gained, or a Strategic Weakness where massive business problems will result. -
Systems Thinking
Systems Thinking https://www.disruptdesign.co/blog/an-introduction-to-the-disruptive-design-method Contents Welcome!! .............................................................................................................................................. 2 Classic Theory Discussion ........................................................................................................................ 3 A. Why a systems approach ............................................................................................................ 3 B. Who thinks in this area? ............................................................................................................. 3 C. System theory and evaluation? .................................................................................................. 3 Ideas ........................................................................................................................................................ 5 A. Mapping systems: ....................................................................................................................... 5 B. Using systems:............................................................................................................................. 5 i. Evaluation and Complexity: the Cynefin Framework.............................................................. 6 ii. Implications for Evaluation ..................................................................................................... 7 Controversy Corner ................................................................................................................................ -
PF2, POET, PEAF and the Author
Certification Training 2 - Foundation 2 November 2020 POETWhat does POET help you cope with? Keypoint The only constant is the ACCELERATION of change. POET helps you cope with the punishing G- Force, by driving the Transformation of Transformation™. Adoption Management: Instigate a project to ensure everyone related to Transformation is trained in POET/XOET. 09:02 Adoption Adoption What does the Adoption section of POET contain? Keypoint The Adoption section of POET defines Adoption 'HOW' it should be adopted and used. v2020 May 09:04 Adoption Step 4 What is the fourth step in Adopting POET? Elaborating Keypoint Designing Changes Step 4 allows you to decide what to change from Logical Design Physical POET to your Changes own XOET. v2020 May 09:07 Adoption Step 4 > Actions When Adopting POET, what are the fundamental Actions in Step 4? Step 4 Keypoint Design Changes Measures Framework Training Measures Enterprise Use POET to Measures’Level 3 Measures’Dependant Assessment Mitigate Risks Assessment design your Enterprise Design Your Framework Enterprise Dependant Dependant Assessment’ Target Assessment’ Target State own XOET. 4 MTargetA G StateS I C Motivation Current CONSTRAINT Target Motivation Enterprise EnterpriseINPUT Phase OUTPUT Enterprise Adoption Dependant DependantCurrent State Target State Dependant Motivation’ CurrentM A G StateI C MTargetA G StateI C Motivation’ IMPACT EA Project Team: ASSESSMENT Current State Actions Actions Follow the 4th step in Do I Care? Adoption Adoption POET for maturing your Transformation Guidance capability. v2020 May 09:09 Adoption Step 5 What is the fifth step in Adopting POET? Constructing Keypoint Developing Step 5 Changes allows you to create Physical Develop Operational your own Changes XOET. -
The Cynefin Framework and Making Sense of Life Events a Blog/Essay by Josefina Howard, Student - HHP 630, Fall 2019, FHSU
The Cynefin Framework and Making Sense of Life Events A Blog/Essay by Josefina Howard, Student - HHP 630, Fall 2019, FHSU In September 2019, my online Healthcare Administration class introduced me to a new concept called “Cynefin Framework.” I have never heard of it before! The term sounded to me like an engineering formula, a building construction framework, or a complex production process! My initial readings about the Cynefin Framework reminded me of the OODA Loop, (Observe, Orient, Decide, Act). OODA Loop is a four-step approach to decision-making. It focuses on: 1) filtering available information, 2) putting it in context, and 3) quickly making the most appropriate decision while also understanding that changes can be made as more data becomes available. As a spouse of a retired naval aviator, I am very familiar with OODA Loop as our family lived in hostile environments overseas for seventeen years. My husband taught me and our two sons the OODA Loop strategy to be able to safely adapt to our locations and situations. But Cynefin Framework is different than OODA Loop. As a final class assignment, I chose to write about the Cynefin Framework and how it can be used to make sense of unplanned life events. Most articles written about the Cynefin Framework focus on its application to management and problem- solving in organizations, healthcare, businesses, and workplaces. A quick Google search for “the cynefin framework” yielded about 205,000 results in .63 seconds that include videos, images, scholarly articles, websites, etc.; quite impressive and overwhelming! How about using the Cynefin Framework to make sense of personal life events? Until recently, I was not sure how I would write about the Cynefin Framework as it applies to life events; especially to my life events. -
Frameworks for Strategic Leadership
Thomas Jefferson University Jefferson Digital Commons School of Continuing and Professional Studies School of Continuing and Professional Studies Faculty Papers Papers 8-15-2018 Frameworks for Strategic Leadership Larry Starr, PhD Thomas Jefferson University Follow this and additional works at: https://jdc.jefferson.edu/jscpsfp Part of the Leadership Studies Commons Let us know how access to this document benefits ouy Recommended Citation Starr, PhD, Larry, "Frameworks for Strategic Leadership" (2018). School of Continuing and Professional Studies Faculty Papers. Paper 1. https://jdc.jefferson.edu/jscpsfp/1 This Article is brought to you for free and open access by the Jefferson Digital Commons. The Jefferson Digital Commons is a service of Thomas Jefferson University's Center for Teaching and Learning (CTL). The Commons is a showcase for Jefferson books and journals, peer-reviewed scholarly publications, unique historical collections from the University archives, and teaching tools. The Jefferson Digital Commons allows researchers and interested readers anywhere in the world to learn about and keep up to date with Jefferson scholarship. This article has been accepted for inclusion in School of Continuing and Professional Studies Faculty Papers by an authorized administrator of the Jefferson Digital Commons. For more information, please contact: [email protected]. FRAMEWORKS FOR STRATEGIC LEADERSHIP WORKING PAPER August 15, 2018 Larry M. Starr Doctor of Management in Strategic Leadership THOMAS JEFFERSON UNIVERSITY School of Continuing and Professional Studies East Falls Campus, DEC 311 4201 Henry Avenue, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19144 +1 215-951-5332 1 Introduction1 I suggest two frameworks that may improve understanding of strategic thinking, strategic decision making, and strategic leadership. -
A Decision Theory Perspective on Complexity In
International Journal of Operations & Production Management A decision theory perspective on complexity in performance measurement and management Anthony Alexander, Maneesh Kumar, Helen Walker, Article information: To cite this document: Anthony Alexander, Maneesh Kumar, Helen Walker, (2018) "A decision theory perspective on complexity in performance measurement and management", International Journal of Operations & Production Management, https://doi.org/10.1108/IJOPM-10-2016-0632 Permanent link to this document: https://doi.org/10.1108/IJOPM-10-2016-0632 Downloaded on: 28 February 2018, At: 03:10 (PT) References: this document contains references to 90 other documents. The fulltext of this document has been downloaded 86 times since 2018* Users who downloaded this article also downloaded: ,"The use of management control and performance measurement systems in SMEs: A levers of control perspective", International Journal of Operations & Production Management, Vol. 0 Iss 0 pp. - <a href="https://doi.org/10.1108/IJOPM-09-2016-0565">https://doi.org/10.1108/ IJOPM-09-2016-0565</a> Access to this document was granted through an Emerald subscription provided by All users group For Authors If you would like to write for this, or any other Emerald publication, then please use our Emerald for Authors service information about how to choose which publication to write for and submission guidelines are available for all. Please visit www.emeraldinsight.com/authors for more information. About Emerald www.emeraldinsight.com Emerald is a global publisher linking research and practice to the benefit of society. The company manages a portfolio of more than 290 journals and over 2,350 books and book series volumes, as Downloaded by University of Sussex Library At 03:10 28 February 2018 (PT) well as providing an extensive range of online products and additional customer resources and services. -
Frameworks for Strategic Leadership Larry Starr, Phd Thomas Jefferson University, [email protected]
View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE provided by Jefferson Digital Commons Thomas Jefferson University Jefferson Digital Commons School of Continuing and Professional Studies Jefferson School of Continuing and Professional Faculty Papers Studies 8-15-2018 Frameworks for Strategic Leadership Larry Starr, PhD Thomas Jefferson University, [email protected] Let us know how access to this document benefits ouy Follow this and additional works at: https://jdc.jefferson.edu/jscpsfp Part of the Leadership Studies Commons Recommended Citation Starr, PhD, Larry, "Frameworks for Strategic Leadership" (2018). School of Continuing and Professional Studies Faculty Papers. Paper 1. https://jdc.jefferson.edu/jscpsfp/1 This Article is brought to you for free and open access by the Jefferson Digital Commons. The effeJ rson Digital Commons is a service of Thomas Jefferson University's Center for Teaching and Learning (CTL). The ommonC s is a showcase for Jefferson books and journals, peer-reviewed scholarly publications, unique historical collections from the University archives, and teaching tools. The effeJ rson Digital Commons allows researchers and interested readers anywhere in the world to learn about and keep up to date with Jefferson scholarship. This article has been accepted for inclusion in School of Continuing and Professional Studies Faculty Papers by an authorized administrator of the Jefferson Digital Commons. For more information, please contact: [email protected]. FRAMEWORKS FOR STRATEGIC LEADERSHIP WORKING PAPER August 15, 2018 Larry M. Starr Doctor of Management in Strategic Leadership THOMAS JEFFERSON UNIVERSITY School of Continuing and Professional Studies East Falls Campus, DEC 311 4201 Henry Avenue, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19144 +1 215-951-5332 1 Introduction1 I suggest two frameworks that may improve understanding of strategic thinking, strategic decision making, and strategic leadership.