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2016-7-27 Comparison AL-2018-GOP-Primary-Poll

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2016-7-27 Comparison AL-2018-GOP-Primary-Poll Alabama 2018 Gubernatorial Republican Primary Poll July 2015 July 2016 Hi, is this the ______________ household? Hi, this is [YOUR NAME] with Public Insight Research, a public opinion polling firm. We are seeking the opinions of registered voters with a survey about important issues facing Alabama.....[CONTINUE - DO NOT PAUSE] QUESTION First, how likely are you to vote in the June 5, 2018 Republican Primary for Governor? Would you say: Very Likely; Somewhat Likely; or Not Likely At All? 1=Very likely [CONTINUE] 554 92.18 564 92.92 2=Somewhat Likely [CONTINUE] 47 7.82 43 7.08 3=Not Likely [THANK AND TERMINATE] 0 0.00 0 0 4=Unsure [THANK AND TERMINATE] 0 0.00 0 0 5=Refused [THANK AND TERMINATE] 0 0.00 0 0 601 100.00 607 100 QUESTION Next, I'm going to read you the names of several potential Republican Candidates for Governor in 2018. For each, please tell me whether you have heard of that person and if so, whether you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of them. If you do not recognize the name, just say so. First: Attorney General Luther Strange 1=Favorable 267 44.43 305 50.25 2=Unfavorable 111 18.47 96 15.82 3=Heard of - No Opinion 182 30.28 168 27.68 4=Never Heard of 41 6.82 38 6.26 5=Refused 00.0000 601 100.00 607 100 QUESTION Next: Businessman Tim James 1=Favorable 83 13.81 73 12.03 2=Unfavorable 73 12.15 65 10.71 3=Heard of - No Opinion 128 21.30 104 17.13 4=Never Heard of 316 52.58 365 60.13 5=Refused 10.1700 601 100.00 607 100 1 Alabama 2018 Gubernatorial Republican Primary Poll July 2015 July 2016 QUESTION Next: Alabama Senate President Pro Tem Del Marsh 1=Favorable 121 20.13 82 13.51 2=Unfavorable 83 13.81 69 11.37 3=Heard of - No Opinion 150 24.96 166 27.35 4=Never Heard of 247 41.10 290 47.78 5=Refused 0 0.00 0 0.00 601 100.00 607 100.00 QUESTION Next: Alabama House Speaker Mike Hubbard 1=Favorable 158 26.29 2=Unfavorable 197 32.78 3=Heard of - No Opinion 192 31.95 4=Never Heard of 53 8.82 5=Refused 10.17 601 100.00 QUESTION Next: Commissioner of Agriculture and Industries John McMillan 1=Favorable 144 23.96 150 24.71 2=Unfavorable 43 7.15 33 5.44 3=Heard of - No Opinion 184 30.62 163 26.85 4=Never Heard of 229 38.10 261 43.00 5=Refused 1 0.17 0 0.00 601 100.00 607 100.00 QUESTION Next: Secretary of State John Merrill 1=Favorable 98 16.31 126 20.76 2=Unfavorable 40 6.66 34 5.60 3=Heard of - No Opinion 178 29.62 133 21.91 4=Never Heard of 285 47.42 314 51.73 5=Refused 0 0.00 0 0.00 601 100.00 607 100.00 2 Alabama 2018 Gubernatorial Republican Primary Poll July 2015 July 2016 QUESTION Next: Chief Justice Roy Moore 1=Favorable 361 60.07 352 57.99 2=Unfavorable 159 26.46 173 28.50 3=Heard of - No Opinion 67 11.15 67 11.04 4=Never Heard of 14 2.33 12 1.98 5=Refused 0 0.00 3 0.49 601 100.00 607 100.00 QUESTION Next: State Treasurer Young Boozer 1=Favorable 161 26.52 2=Unfavorable 55 9.06 3=Heard of - No Opinion 210 34.60 4=Never Heard of 181 29.82 5=Refused 00.00 607 100.00 QUESTION Next: Congresswoman Martha Roby 1=Favorable 138 22.73 2=Unfavorable 56 9.23 3=Heard of - No Opinion 93 15.32 4=Never Heard of 320 52.72 5=Refused 00.00 607 100.00 QUESTION Next: Huntsville Mayor Tommy Battle 1=Favorable 134 22.08 2=Unfavorable 28 4.61 3=Heard of - No Opinion 81 13.34 4=Never Heard of 364 59.97 5=Refused 00.00 607 100.00 3 Alabama 2018 Gubernatorial Republican Primary Poll July 2015 July 2016 QUESTION If the 2018 Republican Primary for Governor were held today and the candidates were: [READ AND ROTATE] Mike Hubbard, Tim James, John McMillan, Del Marsh, John Merrill, Roy Moore and Luther Strange , for whom would you vote? 1=Mike Hubbard 24 3.99 2=Tim James 27 4.49 20 3.29 3=John McMillan 12 2.00 21 3.46 4=Del Marsh 32 5.32 14 2.31 5=John Merrill 15 2.50 21 3.46 6=Roy Moore 195 32.45 171 28.17 7=Luther Strange 113 18.80 113 18.62 7=Young Boozer 12 1.98 8=Martha Roby 35 5.77 9=Tommy Battle 54 8.90 8=Undecided/Other 179 29.78 143 23.56 9=Refused 4 0.67 3 0.49 601 100.00 607 100.00 QUESTION If your candidate did not make the 2018 Republican primary runoff who would be you second choice? 1=Tim James 31 6.72 2=John McMillan 21 4.56 3=Del Marsh 13 2.82 4=John Merrill 17 3.69 5=Roy Moore 47 10.20 6=Luther Strange 108 23.43 7=Young Boozer 26 5.64 8=Martha Roby 29 6.29 9=Tommy Battle 28 6.07 10=Undecided/Other 141 30.59 11=Refused 00.00 QUESTION Do you approve or disapprove of the creation of an Alabama State Lottery? [IF APPROVE/DISAPPROVE, ASK:] Is that Strongly or Somewhat [Approve/Disapprove]? 1=Strongly Approve 198 32.95 2=Somewhat Approve 104 17.30 3=Somewhat Disapprove 58 9.65 4=Strongly Disapprove 193 32.11 5=Unsure/Refused 48 7.99 601 100.00 4 Alabama 2018 Gubernatorial Republican Primary Poll July 2015 July 2016 QUESTION Do you approve or disapprove of expanding casino gambling in Alabama? [IF APPROVE/DISAPPROVE, ASK:] Is that Strongly or Somewhat [Approve/Disapprove]? 1=Strongly Approve 134 22.30 2=Somewhat Approve 95 15.81 3=Somewhat Disapprove 70 11.65 4=Strongly Disapprove 248 41.26 5=Unsure/Refused 54 8.99 601 100.00 QUESTION Do you approve or disapprove of Attorney General Luther Strange's handling of the BP oil spill settlement, where the state of Alabama will receive $2.3 billion for environmental restoration and economic damages? [IF APPROVE/DISAPPROVE, ASK:] Is that Strongly or Somewhat [Approve/Disapprove]? 1=Strongly Approve 169 28.12 2=Somewhat Approve 222 36.94 3=Somewhat Disapprove 24 3.99 4=Strongly Disapprove 36 5.99 5=Unsure/Refused 150 24.96 601 100.00 QUESTION And for statistical purposes only: How often do you attend church? [READ CHOICES] 1=Two or More Times Weekly 195 32.45 160 26.36 2=Weekly 240 39.93 280 46.13 3=Once or Twice a Month 66 10.98 49 8.07 4=A few Times a Year 32 5.32 40 6.59 5=Seldom 37 6.16 35 5.77 6=Never 19 3.16 29 4.78 7=Unsure/Refused 12 2.00 14 2.31 601 100.00 607 100.00 5 Alabama 2018 Gubernatorial Republican Primary Poll July 2015 July 2016 QUESTION If you had to choose, would you more closely identify yourself [READ AND ROTATE] as part of the traditional Republican party, or with the Tea Party? 1=Traditional Republican Party 347 57.74 2=Tea Party 148 24.63 3=Both 25 4.16 4=Neither 56 9.32 5=Not Sure/Refused 25 4.16 601 100.00 QUESTION In which category does your age fall: [READ CHOICES] 1=18 to 29 13 2.16 11 1.81 2=30 to 39 46 7.65 34 5.60 3=40 to 49 83 13.81 82 13.51 4=50 to 59 130 21.63 128 21.09 5=60 to 69 133 22.13 155 25.54 6=70 or Older 194 32.28 190 31.30 7=Refused 2 0.33 7 1.15 601 100.00 607 100.00 QUESTION Finally, what is your annual household income: [READ CHOICES] 1=Under $25,000 52 8.65 57 9.39 2=$25,000 to $50,000 95 15.81 87 14.33 3=$50,000 to $75,000 106 17.64 91 14.99 4=$75,000 to $100,000 89 14.81 82 13.51 5=Over $100,000 123 20.47 138 22.73 6=Unsure/Refused 136 22.63 152 25.04 601 100.00 607 100.00 QUESTION [Gender: By Observation Only] 1=Male 291 48.42 296 48.76 2=Female 310 51.58 311 51.24 601 100.00 607 100.00 6 Alabama 2018 Gubernatorial Republican Primary Poll July 2015 July 2016 QUESTION Area Code: [FROM FILE] 1=205 184 30.62 188 30.97 2=251 88 14.64 87 14.33 3=256 187 31.11 184 30.31 4=334 142 23.63 148 24.38 601 100.00 607 100.00 7.
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