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World Bank Document 2013 ANNUAL MEETINGS Washington, D.C. THE WOftlD BANK G~OUP • INTEIINAT!Or-t'IL MONETAAY fUNO Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized thelibrarynetwork • • • • • • • • • • • Serving the World Bank Group and IMF 2013 ANNUAL MEETINGS Washington, D.C. PROGRAM OF SEMINARS RECOMMENDED READING ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS Recommended Reading was prepared by the staff of the Library Network of the World Bank Group (WBG) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF), with contributions from IMF Departments who sponsored the IMF Seminars and suggested research for this compilation. A special thank you goes to the Communications Department (COM), African Department (AFR), Asia Pacific Department (APD), European Depart- 2013 ment (EUR), Fiscal Affairs Department (FAD), Monetary and Capital ANNUAL MEETINGS Washington, D.C. Markets Department (MCM), Research Department (RES), and the Strategy, Policy and Review Department (SPR). ©2013 The World Bank Group ©2013 International Monetary Fund TABLE OF CONTENTS Foreword . v Preface . vii Introduction . ix About the Program. x CNN Debate on the Global Economy . 1 Emerging Markets: Restoring Momentum . 7 Frontier Economies: The Next Generation of Emerging Markets . 15 Policies for Growth and Jobs in Europe . 23 Taxing Times. 27 Unconventional Monetary Policies and their Cross-Country Spillovers. 35 iv Program Of Seminars | RECOMMENDED READING FOREWORD elcome to the 2013 Annual Meetings of the World Bank WGroup (WBG) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF). The Meetings bring together central bankers, ministers of finance and development, private sector executives, academics, representatives of civil society, and others to discuss issues impacting the global international economy and global development. This year, for the first time, the Library Network, which serves the information needs of both organizations, is proud to support the IMF’s high-level flagship Program of Seminars. The Program of Seminars offers a forum for debates around major challenges facing the interna- tional community. This year, seminar topics include emerging markets sustaining the momentum; policies for growth and jobs in Europe; taxation issues; frontier economies as the next generation of emerging markets; and unconventional monetary policies and exit strategies. It is my great pleasure to launch the first issue of Recommended Reading, a complementary booklet for attendees. The publication offers a bibliography of current research from the IMF, the WBG, central banks, and other international financial institutions (IFIs) and organizations, together with additional background information on the economic and financial challenges confronting the world today. I hope that Recommended Reading will help to keep discussions going beyond the meetings and promote new ideas and academic research toward finding sustainable solutions to global economic problems. Frank Harnischfeger Director of Technology and General Services Department International Monetary Fund THE LIBRARY NETWORK v vi Program Of Seminars | RECOMMENDED READING PREFACE “What unites our diverse members is that all are searching for new solutions to secure a more prosperous, more sustainable, and more inclusive future.” - President Jim Kim, 2012 Annual Meetings. ecuring the more prosperous, sus- tainable, and inclusive future Presi- Sdent Kim referred to requires access to reliable information and knowledge to inform our efforts to reduce poverty, increase shared prosperity, and protect monetary stability. Accessible, high-quality development literature plays an important role in this regard. Recommended Reading offers timely suggestions for reading ma- terial on topics such as markets, taxation, monetary policies, and employment. Compiled by World Bank Group and International Monetary Fund researchers and information professionals, the book- let is a valuable resource for sharing and increasing access to and knowledge of available development literature. The publications featured are publicly available and, as such, encourage knowledge exchange among development stakeholders across the globe. They provide a foundation for open discussion of the challenges facing the international community and encourage greater transparency, accountability, and public participation in the work of the WBG and IMF. I would like to thank the Library Network—a partnership be- tween the WBG and IMF—for connecting us to the latest thinking on some of the pressing development issues we face today. Stephanie von Friedeburg Chief Information Officer and Vice President World Bank Group THE LIBRARY NETWORK vii INTRODUCTION he Library Network of the World Bank Group (WBG) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) is pleased to support Tthe IMF Program of Seminars held during the 2013 Annual Meetings in Washington, D.C. This Recommended Reading booklet has been customized to meet the information needs of Annual Meetings attendees and non-attendees alike by highlighting resources from the IMF, the World Bank Group, and other public sources. The booklet covers the most recent materials written on each of the seminar topics, which have been evaluated for quality, pertinence, and accuracy. When possible, links to the full text of a document have been included. Many of the publications are publicly available and may be accessed electronically from the websites of the World Bank Group (WBG) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Due to intel- lectual property rights requirements, some material is only available commercially or through university or other local libraries. We encourage you to share Recommended Reading with others working in the field of international development. It will be available online on the Program of Seminars website at: http://www.imf.org/external/AM/2013/seminars.htm The Library Network of the World Bank Group and IMF Washington, DC October 2013 THE LIBRARY NETWORK ix ABOUT THE PROGRAM he 2013 Annual Meetings Program of Seminars bring together thought leaders and policy experts to discuss and debate issues Tthat impact the global international economy and global development. Seminar topics include how to mobilize global actions to end extreme poverty; collaborate globally to boost jobs and growth and manage risks; sustain growth in advanced and emerging markets, frontier economies and fragile states; pursue inclusive growth as a foundation for shared prosperity; deal with the cross-country spillovers of unconventional monetary policies; make the economic case for climate action; and manage risks for development. x Program Of Seminars | RECOMMENDED READING 2013 Flagship Seminar CNN DEBATE ON THE GLOBAL ECONOMY Sponsored by IMF’s Research Department and Communications Department hile conditions may be improving in some quarters, the world economy continues to struggle to jumpstart growth. Global growth remains subdued but its underlying Wdynamics are changing. Major advanced economies are seeing gradual improvement in activity, while key emerging economies have slowed. Private demand growth continues to recover in the U.S. and the euro area is beginning to emerge from recession. However, growth is slowing in China, India and an increasing number of emerging economies. At the same time, global financial conditions have tightened and market turbulence has hit several emerging markets with important vulnerabilities. Thus, risks—old and new—continue to dominate the outlook and some have become more prominent. Against this backdrop, cross-border spillovers may pose greater risks and new policy challenges are arising. The debate will focus on how policymakers could collaborate globally to better manage the risks and durably boost jobs and growth. THE LIBRARY NETWORK 1 CNN Debate on the Global Economy Angeloni, Ignazio, and Blanchard, Olivier J., David Romer, Jean Pisani-Ferry. 2012. Michael Spence and Joseph E. Stigliz. 2012. “The G20: Characters in Search of an Author.” Brue- In the Wake of the Crisis: Leading Economists Reassess gel Working Paper 2012/04, Bruegel, Brussels. Economic Policy. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press. The G20 has produced mixed results. After initial high In 2011, the International Monetary Fund invited hopes and some success, negotiations within the G20 prominent economists and economic policy makers forum have slowed, progress is less visible and dis- to consider the brave new world of the post-crisis agreement rather than agreement has come to the fore. global economy. The result is a book that captures Against this background, this paper revisits the basic the state of macroeconomic thinking at a transfor- economic and geopolitical motivations for the G20, in mational moment. order to review its performance and attempt to draw lessons for the path ahead. Blanchard, Olivier and ■ http://www.bruegel.org/publications/publica Gian-Maria Milesi-Ferretti. 2011. tion-detail/publication/714-the-g20-characters-in- “(Why) Should Current Account Balances Be search-of-an-author/ Reduced?” IMF Staff Discussion Note SDN/11/03, International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC. Bernanke, Ben S. 2013. This Staff Discussion Note was inspired by the The Federal Reserve and the Financial Crisis. Prince- G-20’s request to the IMF to help develop “indicative ton, NJ: Princeton University Press. guidelines” for the reduction of global current account In 2012, Ben Bernanke, chairman of the U.S. Federal imbalances. Its purpose is to discuss two complex Reserve, gave a series of lectures about the Federal issues. First,
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