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Limerick City Profile National Institute for Regional and Spatial Analysis NIRSA Working Paper Series No. 13 September 2001 LIMERICK CITY PROFILE Prepared for LIMERICK CITY DEVELOPMENT BOARD By Jim Walsh and Brídín Feeney NIRSA And Des McCafferty, Department of Geography, Mary Immaculate College & NIRSA National University of Ireland, Maynooth, Maynooth, Co. Kildare Ireland i TABLE OF CONTENTS INTRODUCTION..............................................................................................................1 AN OUTLINE MODEL OF DEVELOPMENT................................................................................................1 LIMERICK IN ITS NATIONAL AND REGIONAL CONTEXT ..............................................3 SOCIO-ECONOMIC PROFILE OF THE CITY....................................................................6 POPULATION DISTRIBUTION AND CHANGE ............................................................................................8 AGE STRUCTURE ...................................................................................................................................9 LABOUR FORCE AND EMPLOYMENT PATTERNS...................................................................................10 SOCIAL EXCLUSION .............................................................................................................................12 AN ANALYSIS OF SOCIAL AREAS IN LIMERICK..........................................................14 FACTOR 1: SOCIAL STATUS .................................................................................................................14 FACTOR 2: FAMILY STATUS.................................................................................................................15 FACTOR 3: MATURE AREAS / NEW DEVELOPMENT AREAS .................................................................16 A TYPOLOGY OF AREAS ......................................................................................................................16 Cluster 1 - the suburban DEDs ......................................................................................................16 Cluster 2 - the local authority estates.............................................................................................17 Cluster 3 - older residential areas..................................................................................................17 Cluster 4 - the city centre / urban renewal areas. ..........................................................................17 LOCAL DEVELOPMENT ...............................................................................................18 CULTURAL DEVELOPMENT.........................................................................................19 SUMMARY AND EMERGING ISSUES .............................................................................20 THE FUTURE ROLE OF THE CITY AS REGIONAL CAPITAL ...........................................20 ii List of Tables List of Maps ...........................................................................................................................................iv Table 1: Distribution of Population, Mid-West Region ......................................................................3 Table 2: Income Indices .........................................................................................................................4 Table 3: Industrial Indicators for Mid-West Counties and Region ...................................................4 Table 4: Employment in Selected Sectors, 1996, Limerick City and Environs .................................5 Table 5: Suburbs of Limerick included in the Map Analysis .............................................................7 Table 6: Population of DEDs containing Limerick Environs .............................................................7 Table 7: No. of Recipients of Social Welfare Benefits 1999, and Change 1996-99..........................13 Appendix 1 Variables employed in the factor analysis..........................................................................23 Appendix 2 Variables with the strongest (positive and negative) association with each factor ............24 Appendix 3 Mean Characteristics of each cluster and city average........................................................2 Appendix 3 (Cont’d) Mean Characteristics of each cluster and city average .........................................3 iii List of Maps1 No Mapped Variable: 1 Employment Locations** 2 DED boundaries and names 3 Population Density 1996 4 Population Change 1991-1996 5 Age specific migration: % change in total 20-29 yr. ,1996 6 Age specific migration: % change in total 30-39 yr. ,1996 7 % aged 0-14 yr. 1996 8 % aged 15-24 yr. 1996 9 % aged 25-44yr. 1996 10 % aged 45-64yr. 1996 11 % Aged 65+ yr. 1996 12 Youth Dependency Ratio, 1996 13 Elderly Dependency Ratio, 1996 14 Vitality Ratio, 1996 15 Labour Force Participation Rate, All persons 1996 16 Labour Force Participation Rate, Females 1996 17 % change in total at work, 1991-1996 18 % at work in Agriculture, Forestry & fishing, 1996 19 % at work in Manufacturing Industries, 1996 20 % At work in Commerce, Insurance, Finance, & Bus. Servs., 1996 21 % At Work in Professional Services, 1996 22 Highest level of Education is lower Second level or less, 1996 23 Highest level of Education is a Postgraduate Degree, 1996 24 Persons in Social Class 1&2 25 Persons in Social Class 5&6 26 Unemployment Rate, 1996 27 Long-term Unemployment as Percent Total Unemployment, 1996 28 % aged 65+ and living alone, 1996 29 % Lone Parent Young Families, 1996 30 Average Household Income, 1996** 31 Deprivation Scores 1996** 32 Factor 1 – Social Status 33 Factor 2 – Family Areas 34 Factor 3 – Mature Areas / New Development Areas 35 A Typology of Socio-Economic Areas 36 Arts organisations and institutions - revised 37 Playing fields 38 Swimming Pools 39 Available Housing Land** 1 All Maps are available on accompanying CD Rom iv INTRODUCTION The City of Limerick is located at the lowest bridging point of the River Shannon. It has been a centre of trade since Viking times, and is one of the oldest chartered cities in Ireland. The original city occupied a defensive island site located between the Shannon and its tributary, the Abbey River. This area of King’s Island forms the historic core of what is now the third largest urban area in the state, and the manufacturing, commercial, administrative, and cultural capital of the Mid-West region. The purpose of this profile is to provide a comprehensive account of the present state of the city, in order to assist the City Development Board in the preparation of its strategy for economic, social and cultural development over the next ten years. The profile provides a summary of the current situation in respect of a wide range of indicators as suggested in the Guidelines document, A Shared Vision for County/City Development Boards. Comparative data for neighbouring counties and the Mid-West region are provided where appropriate, and detailed mapping has been undertaken to illustrate patterns within the city wherever data has been available. The profile commences with a brief outline of a model of development which identifies the main determinants of living standards and quality of life for the residents of the city. This is followed by an overview of the role of the city as a regional capital, with particular attention given to the main forms of economic restructuring that have occurred in recent years. The central part of the profile examines the geographical distribution, at the level of the city ward and surrounding DEDs, of several variables that are considered relevant to the themes identified in the Guidelines document. This analysis first considers the variables in isolation from each other, and then goes on to explore the inter-relationships among more than 40 indicators, which results in four maps that provide a synthetic summary of the social geography of the city and environs. Following this is a brief overview of local development initiatives in the city, as well as an assessment of cultural development needs. The profile concludes by identifying a number of key emerging issues in the city’s development. An Outline Model of Development The analysis of demographic, economic and social patterns provided by this profile is guided by a model which has been developed by NUI Maynooth and the Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI) and very much underpins the philosophy of the National Development Plan. According to this model per capita wealth creation depends on the interplay of four key factors. These are: • productivity, measured as the value of output per employee, • the employment rate, measured as the percentage of the labour force that is at work, • the participation rate, measured as the percentage of the total number of persons of working age (16-65 years) that are in the labour force, and • the dependency rate, i.e., the ratio of the number of people who are not of working age to those aged between 16 and 65 years. 1 The crucial issue in policy and strategy analysis is to identify those variables that can be subject to influence and those that cannot. The dependency rate, for example, is determined by the age structure of the population, and is not amenable to major policy influence at national level over the short term. However, at city level the rate is sensitive to population movement patterns, which in turn can be affected by housing development – an influx of young families will
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