INGREDIENTS FOR ACCURATE COLLIDER PHYSICS Gavin Salam, CERN PSI Summer School Exothiggs, Zuoz, August 2016
1 LHC – TWO ROLES – A DISCOVERY MACHINE AND A PRECISION MACHINE
Today ➤ 20 fb-1 at 8 TeV ➤ 13 fb-1 at 13 TeV
Future ➤ 2018: 100 fb-1 @ 13 TeV ATLAS: general purpose CMS: general purpose ➤ 2023: 300 fb-1 @ 1? TeV ➤ 2035: 3000 fb-1 @ 14 TeV
Interconnection between 1 fb-1 = 1014 collisions two “dipoles” (bending ALICE: heavy-ion physicsmagnets) in the LHCb: LHC B-physics tunnel.
Increase in luminosity brings
+TOTEM,LHCf discovery reach and precision LHC – TWO ROLES – A DISCOVERY MACHINE AND A PRECISION MACHINE
Post/pre-dictionsZ’ exclusion for sequential reach Z' v.exclusion lumi reach 8 GPSreference & Weiler (ATLAS) 14 TeV 7 cern.ch/collider-reachextrapolations 2035 [preliminary plot] ATLAS / CDF 6 CMS / D0 2023 13 TeV 5 2018
4 mid 2016 end 2012
Z' reach [TeV] 3 8 TeV ATLAS: general purpose CMS: general purpose 7 TeV 2 − 1.96 TeV, pp 1
Interconnection between 0 two “dipoles” (bending 0.01 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 ALICE: heavy-ion physicsmagnets) in the LHCb: LHC B-physics -1 tunnel. integrated lumi [fb ]
Increase in luminosity brings
+TOTEM,LHCf discovery reach and precision LHC – TWO ROLES – A DISCOVERY MACHINE AND A PRECISION MACHINE
Higgs couplings
ATLAS and CMS H → γγ 3 LHC Run 1 f VBF+VH H → ZZ µ H → WW H → ττ 2 H → bb
1
ATLAS: general purpose CMS: general purpose 0
−1 68% CL Best fit SM expected Interconnection between two “dipoles” (bending 0 1 2 3 ALICE: heavy-ion physics LHCb: B-physics µf magnets) in the LHC ggF+ttH tunnel.
f f Figure 14: Negative log-likelihood contours at 68% CL in the (µggF+ttH, µVBF+VH) plane for the combination of ATLAS and CMS, as obtained from the ten-parameter fit described in the text for each of the five decay channels H ZZ, H WW, H , H ⌧⌧, and H bb. The best fit values obtained for each of the five decay ! ! ! ! ! channels are also shown, together with the SM expectation.
mass measurementsIncrease in the di↵erent in channels. luminosity Several BSM models predict, brings for example, a superposition of states with indistinguishable mass values [121–124], possibly with di↵erent coupling structures to the +TOTEM,LHCf SM particles.discovery With such an assumption, reach it may be possible and to distinguish precision between single and multiple states by measuring the cross sections of individual production processes independently for each decay mode, as described in Section 4.1.1. Several methods have been proposed to assess the compatibility of the data with a single state [125, 126]. A test for the possible presence of overlapping Higgs boson states is performed, based on a profile likelihood ratio suggested in Ref. [127]. This test accounts both for missing measurements, such as the H bb decay mode in the ggF and VBF production processes, ! and for uncertainties in the measurements, including their correlations.
35 LONG-TERM HIGGS PRECISION?
����� ���������� ������������� �� ��� ���� ��� ��� ������� �� ����� NAIVELY EXTRAPOLATE��� ����� 7+8 TEV RESULTS (based on lumi and σ) official HL-LHC ����� ���������� ������������� �� ��� ���� ��� ��� ������� forecasts ����������� ����������� today’s ��� ����� �� ����� TH syst ��� ��������� �����������
�� CMS naively extrapolate 7/8 TeV results��� (based on lumi and 50% TH syst. ATLAS �� �� no TH syst.
��������� � Extrapolation suggests that ��������� � � we get value from full lumi only if we aim for O(1%) ������������ � µ or better precision
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Naive extrapolation suggests LHC has long-term potential to do Higgs physics at 1% accuracy 5 Phenomenology: lecture 1 (9/101) Recall of SM (EW part) Higgs mechanism THE HIGGS SECTOR Higgs fields: complex scalar doublet The theory is old (1960s-70s). V( ) + φ φ µ φ = , H =(D φ)†(Dµφ) V (φ) But the particle and it’s theory are φ0 L − unlike anything we’ve seen in nature. ! " Potential has form ➤ A fundamental scalar φ, i.e. spin 0 2 2 (all other particles are spin 1 or 1/2) V (φ)= µ φ†φ + λ(φ†φ) − 2 † † 2 ➤ + Α potential V(φ) ~ -μ (φφ ) + λ(φφ ) , 0 |φ | which leads to a Vacuum Ex- which until now was limited to being |φ | pectation Value (VEV): φ = 4 2 | | theorists’ “toy model” (φ ) µ /2λ = v/√2. SU(2) symmetry of configurations with#φ = v/√2. Choose gauge ➤ ”Yukawa” interactions responsible for | | transformation (unitary gauge) to map fermion masses, y i ¯ , with couplings (y ) spanning 5 orders of magnitude 0 i φ → (v + H)/√2 ! "
6 Phenomenology: lecture 1 (9/101) Recall of SM (EW part) Higgs mechanism THE HIGGS SECTOR Higgs fields: complex scalar doublet The theory is old (1960s-70s). V( ) + φ φ µ φ = , H =(D φ)†(Dµφ) V (φ) But the particle and it’s theory are φ0 L − unlike anything we’ve seen in nature. ! " Potential has form ➤ A fundamental scalar φ, i.e. spin 0 2 2 (all other particles are spin 1 or 1/2) V (φ)= µ φ†φ + λ(φ†φ) − 2 † † 2 ➤ + Α potential V(φ) ~ -μ (φφ ) + λ(φφ ) , 0 |φ | which leads to a Vacuum Ex- which until now was limited to being |φ | pectation Value (VEV): φ = 4 2 | | theorists’ “toy model” (φ ) µ /2λ = v/√2. SU(2)Higgs symmetry sector of configurationsneeds with#φ = v/√2. Choose gauge ➤ ”Yukawa” interactions responsible for | | transformationstress-testing (unitary gauge) to map fermion masses, y i ¯ , with couplings (y ) spanning 5 orders of magnitude 0 i φ Is Higgs fundamental or composite?→ (v + H)/√2 If fundamental, is it “minimal”?! " 4 Is it really φ ? Are Yukawa couplings responsible for all fermion masses?
6 up) interactions are modelled by overlaying minimum-bias interactions generated using Pythia8. Further detail of all MC generators and cross sections used is given in Ref. [19].
4 Event selection
This section describes the reconstruction-level definition of the signal region. The definition of physics objects reconstructed in the detector follows that of Ref. [19] exactly and is summarised here. All objects are defined with respect to a primary interaction vertex, which is required to have at least three associated tracks with pT 400 MeV. If more than one such vertex is present, the one with the largest value of 2 (pT), where the sum is over all tracks associated with that vertex, is selected as the primary vertex. P 4.1 Object reconstruction and identification
Electron candidates are built from clusters of energy depositions in the EM calorimeter with an associ- ated well-reconstructed track. They are required to have ET > 10 GeV, where the transverse energy ET is defined as E sin(✓). Electrons reconstructed with ⌘ < 2.47 are used, excluding 1.37 < ⌘ < 1.52, which A three-level trigger system reduces the event rate| to| about 400 Hz [21]. The Level-1| trigger| is imple- corresponds to the transition region between the barrel and the endcap calorimeters. Additional identi- mented in hardware and uses a subset of detector information to reduce the event rate to a design value fication criteria are applied to reject background, using the calorimeter shower shape, the quality of the of at most 75 kHz. The two subsequent trigger levels, collectively referred to as the High-Level Trigger match between the track and the cluster, and the amount of transition radiation emitted in the ID [46–48]. (HLT), are implemented in software. ForATLAS electrons H → withWW* 10 GeV ANALYSIS< ET < 25[1604.02997] GeV, a likelihood-based electron selection at the “very tight” oper- ating point is used for its improved background rejection. For ET > 25 GeV, a more e cient “medium” selection is used because background is less of a concern. The e ciency of these requirements varies 3strongly Signal as a and function background of ET, starting models from 65–70% for ET < 25 GeV, jumping to about 80% with the change in identification criteria at ET = 25 GeV, and then steadily increasing as a function of ET [47]. The ggF and VBF production modes for H WW are modelled at next-to-leading order (NLO) in the Muon candidates are selected from tracks! reconstructed⇤ in the ID matched to tracks reconstructed in strong coupling ↵ with the Powheg MC generator [22–25], interfaced with Pythia8[26] (version 8.165) the muon spectrometer.S Tracks in both detectors are required to have a minimum number of hits to for the parton shower, hadronisation, and underlying event. The CT10 [27] PDF set is used and the para- ensure robust reconstruction. Muons are required to have ⌘ < 2.5 and p > 10 GeV. The reconstruction meters of the Pythia8 generator controlling the modelling| of| the parton showerT and the underlying event e ciency is between 96% and 98%, and stable as a function of p [49]. are those corresponding to the AU2 set [28]. The Higgs boson massT set in the generation is 125.0 GeV, whichAdditional is close criteria to the are measured applied to value. electrons The and Powheg muonsggF to reducemodel takes backgrounds into account from finitenon-prompt quark massesleptons andand a electromagnetic running-width Breit–Wigner signatures produced distribution by hadronic that includes activity. electroweak Lepton isolation corrections is atdefined NLO [ using29]. To track- im- provebased the and modelling calorimeter-based of the Higgs quantities. boson p AllT distribution, isolation variables a reweighting used are scheme normalised is applied relative to reproduce to the trans- the predictionverse momentum of the next-to-next-to-leading-order of the lepton, and are optimised (NNLO) for the andH next-to-next-to-leading-logarithmWW e⌫µ⌫ analysis, resulting in (NNLL) stricter ! ⇤! dynamic-scalecriteria for better calculation background given rejection by the HR ates lower2.1 programp and looser [30]. Events criteria with for better2 jets e areciency further at reweighted higher p . T T H owheg / toSimilarly, reproduce requirements the pT spectrum on the predicted transverse by impact-parameter the NLO P significancesimulation ofd0 Higgsd0 and boson the production longitudinal in im- as- sociationpact parameter with twoz0 are jets made. (H + The2 jets) e ciency [31]. Interference of the isolation with and continuum impact-parameterWW production requirements [32, 33 for] has elec- a negligibletrons satisfying impact all on of this the identification analysis due to criteria the transverse-mass requirements ranges selection from criteria 68% for described 10 GeV in< SectionET < 154 GeVand isto not greater included than in 90% the forsignal electrons model. with ET > 25 GeV. For muons, the equivalent e ciencies are 60– 96%. The inclusive cross sections at ps = 8 TeV for a Higgs boson mass of 125.0 GeV, calculated at NNLO+NNLL inJets QCD are reconstructed and NLO in fromthe electroweak topological couplings, clusters of are calorimeter 19.3 pb cells and 1.58 [50–52 pb] for using ggF the and anti- VBFkt algorithm respect- ivelywith a [34 radius]. The parameter uncertainty of onR = the0. ggF4[53 cross]. Jet section energies has are approximately corrected for equal the e↵ contributionsects of calorimeter from QCD non- scalecompensation, variations signal (7.5%) losses and PDFs due to (7.2%). noise threshold For the VBF e↵ects, production, energy lost the in uncertainty non-instrumented on the crossregions, section con- istributions 2.7%, mainly from in-time from PDF and variations. out-of-time The pile-up,WH and andZH theprocesses position areof the modelled primary with interaction Pythia8 vertex and norm- [50, alised54]. Subsequently, to cross sections the jets of 0.70 are pb calibrated and 0.42 to pb the respectively, hadronic energy calculated scale at [50 NNLO, 55]. inTo QCD reduce and the NLO chance in the of7 electroweak couplings [34]. The uncertainty is 2.5% on the WH cross section and 4.0% on the ZH cross section.
For all of the background processes, with the exception6 of W + jets and multijet events, MC simulation is used to model event kinematics and as an input to the background normalisation. The W + jets and multijet background models are derived from data as described in Section 5. For the dominant WW and top-quark backgrounds, the MC generator is Powheg +Pythia6[35] (version 6.426), also with CT10 for the input PDFs. The Perugia 2011 parameter set is used for Pythia6[36]. For the WW background with N 2, to better model the additional partons, the Sherpa [37] program (version 1.4.3) with the CT10 jet PDF set is used. The Drell–Yan background, including Z/ ⌧⌧, is simulated with the Alpgen [38] ⇤ ! program (version 2.14). It is interfaced with Herwig [39] (version 6.520) with parameters set to those of the ATLAS Underlying Event Tune 2 [40] and uses the CTEQ6L1 [41] PDF set. The same configuration is applied for W events. Events in the Z/ ⇤ sample are reweighted to the MRSTmcal PDF set [42]. For the W ⇤ and Z/ backgrounds, the Sherpa program is used, with the same version number and PDF set as the WW background with 2 jets. Additional diboson backgrounds, from WZ and ZZ, are modelled using Powheg +Pythia8. For all MC samples, the ATLAS detector response is simulated [43] using either Geant4[44] or Geant4 combined with a parameterised Geant4-based calorimeter simulation [45]. Multiple proton–proton (pile-
5 ATLAS H →WW* ANALYSIS [1604.02997]
400 300 ATLAS Data SM bkg (sys ⊕ stat) That ATLASwhole Data SM bkg (sys ⊕ stat) H WW H WW 350 -1 -1 s = 8 TeV, 20.3 fb Other VV W+jet paragraph250 s = 8 TeV, was 20.3 fb just Top Other VV Top Z/γ* W+jet Z/γ* 300 H→WW*→eνµν, 0 jets H→WW*→eνµν, 1 jet Multijet for the red part of Multijet 200 Events / 5 GeV 250 Events / 10 GeV this distribution 200 (the150 Higgs signal). 150 Complexity100 of 100 modelling50 each of the 50 backgrounds is
60 Data-Bkg comparable60 Data-Bkg SM bkg (sys ⊕ stat) SM bkg (sys ⊕ stat) 40 H 40 H 20 20 Data - Bkg 0 Data - Bkg 0 -200 50 100 150 200 250 0 50 100 150 200 250
mT [GeV] mT [GeV]
(a) Njet = 0 (b) Njet =81
140 ATLAS Data SM bkg (sys ⊕ stat) H Top -1 120 s = 8 TeV, 20.3 fb WW Z/γ* H→WW*→eνµν, ≥ 2j Other VV W+jet Multijet 100 Events / 10 GeV 80
60
40
20
40 Data-Bkg SM bkg (sys ⊕ stat) 20 H 0 Data - Bkg -20 0 50 100 150 200 250
mT [GeV] (c) N 2 jet
Figure 1: Observed distributions of mT with signal and background expectations after all other selection criteria have been applied for the N = 0 (top left), N = 1 (top right) and N 2 (bottom) signal regions. The background jet jet jet contributions are normalised as described in Section 5. The SM Higgs boson signal prediction shown is summed over all production processes. The hatched band shows the sum in quadrature of statistical and systematic uncer- tainties of the sum of the backgrounds. The vertical dashed lines indicate the lower and upper selection boundaries on mT at 85 and 125 GeV.
half the number of events that ggF does, and constitute about 3% of the total background. The Njet distribution and other shapes are taken from simulation.
For the Njet = 0 and Njet = 1 categories, the WW background is normalised using control regions distin- guished from the SR primarily by m``, and the shape is taken from simulated events generated using Powheg +Pythia6 as described in Section 3. For the N 2 category, WW is normalised using the NLO jet
10 AIMS OF THESE LECTURES
➤ Give you basic understanding of the “jargon” of theoretical collider prediction methods and inputs ➤ Give you insight into the power & limitations of different techniques for making collider predictions
9 A proton-proton collision: INITIAL STATE
proton proton
10 A proton-proton collision: FINAL STATE
+ − B µ π K ...
+ µ B −
(actual final-state multiplicity ~ several hundred hadrons) 11 QCD lecture 1 (p. 12) Basic methods What do Feynman rules mean physically? Perturbation theory
A, A, IT’SQCD MOSTLY lecture 1 (p. QUANTUM 5) CHROMODYNAMICS (QCD) µ µ What is QCD Lagrangian + colour
ψ1 Quarks — 3 colours: ψa = ψ ⎛ 2 ⎞ ψ3 ba ba ¯ A µ Quark part of Lagrangian: ⎝ ⎠ ψb(−igs tbaγ )ψa ¯ µ µ C C ( 0 1 0 ) 010 1 Lq = ψa(iγ ∂µδab − gs γ tabAµ − m)ψb 100 0 2 1 8 ⎛ ⎞ ⎛ ⎞ SU(3) local gauge symmetry ↔ 8(=3 − 1) generators tab ...tab 000 0 corresponding to 8 gluons A1 ...A8 . ⎝ ⎠ ⎝ ⎠ µ µ ¯ 1 ψa ψb tab A 1 A A representation is: t = 2 λ , ! "# $ ! "# $ ! "# $ 010 0 −i 0 100 Agluonemission001 repaints the quark colour. λ1 = ⎛ 100⎞ , λ2 = ⎛ i 00⎞ , λ3 = ⎛ 0 −10⎞ , λ4 = ⎛ 000A gluon⎞ itself, carries colour and anti-colour. ⎝ 000⎠ ⎝ 000⎠ ⎝ 000⎠ ⎝ 100⎠
−i 1 00 00 000 00 0 ⎛√3 ⎞ λ5 ⎛ ⎞ , λ6 ⎛ ⎞ , λ7 ⎛ −i ⎞ , λ8 0 1 0 , = 00 0 = 001 = 00 = √3 2 i 00 010 0 i 0 ⎜ 00− ⎟ ⎝ ⎠ ⎝ ⎠ ⎝ ⎠ ⎝ √3 ⎠ 12 QCD lecture 1 (p. 11) QCD lecture 1 (p. 11) Basic methods QCD lecture 1 (p. 6) Basic methods What is QCD Lagrangian:Perturbation gluonic part theory Perturbation theory Perturbation theory Perturbation theory
Relies on idea of order-by-orderIT’S MOSTLY QUANTUM expansion CHROMODYNAMICS small (QCD) coupling, αs ≪ 1 Relies on idea of order-by-order expansion small coupling, αs ≪ 1 2 3 Field tensor:α2 F A = ∂αA3A − ∂ AA − g...f AB AC [tA, tB ]=if tC αs + α s +µν αµ sν +ν ν ...s ABC µ ν ABC αs + s + s + fABC are structure constants of SU(3) (antisymmetric in all indices — small smallerABC negligible? SU(2)small equivalentsmaller was ϵ ). Needednegligible? for gauge invariance of gluon part of Lagrangian: 1 L = − F µν F A µν !"#$ !"#$ G !"#$4 A InteractionInteraction vertices vertices of of Feynman Feynman!"#$ rules: rules:!"#$ !"#$ A, µ A, µ D, σ A, µ A, µ A, µ D, σ A, µ p p r r C, ρ C, ρ q C, ρ B, ν q C, ρ B, ν a b B, ν 2 XAC XBD µν ρσ a b B, ν XAC XBD A µ ABC ρ µν −ig2s f f [gµν gρσ − −ig tA γµ −g fABC [(p − q)ρ gµν −igs fµσ νγf [g g − s ba s µσ νγ −igs tbaγ −gs f [(p −µq)νρg g g ]+(C, γ) ↔ +(q − r)µ gνρ g g ]+(C, γ) ↔ +(q − r) g (D, ρ)+(B, ν) ↔ (C, γ) 13 ν ρµ (D, ρ)+(B, ν) ↔ (C, γ) +(+(rr−−pp))νggρµ]]
TheseThese expressions expressions are are fairly fairly complex, complex, soso you you really really don’t don’t want want to to have have to to deal deal withwith too too many many orders orders of of them! them! i.e.i.e. ααss hadhad better better be be small. small. . . . . IT’S MOSTLY QUANTUM CHROMODYNAMICS (QCD)
The only complete solution uses lattice QCD ➤ put all quark & gluon fields on a 4d lattice (NB: imaginary time) ➤ Figure out most likely configurations (Monte Carlo sampling) image credit fdecomite [flickr]
14 IT’S MOSTLY QUANTUM CHROMODYNAMICS (QCD)
The only complete solution hadron spectrum from lattice QCD uses lattice QCD ➤ put all quark & gluon fields on a 4d lattice (NB: imaginary time) ➤ Figure out most likely configurations
(Monte Carlo sampling) Durr et al, arXiv:0906.3599
15 IT’S MOSTLY QUANTUM CHROMODYNAMICS (QCD)
The only complete solution hadron spectrum from lattice QCD uses lattice QCD ➤ put all quark & gluon fields on a 4d lattice (NB: imaginary time) ➤ Figure out most likely configurations
(Monte Carlo sampling) Durr et al, arXiv:0906.3599
For LHC reactions, lattice would have to ➤ Resolve smallest length scales (2 TeV ~ 10-4 fm) ➤ Contain whole reaction (pion formed on timescale of 1fm, with boost of 10000 — i.e. 104 fm) That implies 108 nodes in each dimension, i.e. 1032 nodes — unrealistic 15 A proton-proton collision: FILLING IN THE PICTURE
+ − B µ π K ...
+ µ B −
proton proton
16 A proton-proton collision: FILLING IN THE PICTURE
+ − B µ π K ... _ + µ b B − b Z H
σ _ u u
proton proton
17 A proton-proton collision: SIMPLIFYING IN THE PICTURE
_ µ− b + µ b Z H
σ _ u u
proton proton
18 WHY IS SIMPLIFICATION “ALLOWED”? KEY IDEA #1 FACTORISATION
➤ Proton’s dynamics occurs on timescale O(1 fm) Final-state hadron dynamics occurs on timescale O(1fm) ➤ Production of Higgs, Z (and other “hard processes”) occurs on timescale + 1/MH ~ 1/125 GeV ~ 0.002 fm − B µ π K ... _ + µ b B − b Z H
σ _ u u
proton proton
That means we can separate — “factorise” — the hard process, i.e. treat it as independent from all the hadronic dynamics 19 WHY IS SIMPLIFICATION “ALLOWED”? KEY IDEA #2 SHORT-DISTANCE QCD CORRECTIONS ARE PERTURBATIVE
➤ On timescales 1/MH ~ 1/125 GeV ~ 0.002 fm you can take advantage of asymptotic freedom ➤ i.e. you can write results in terms of an expansion in the (not
so) strong coupling constant αs(125 GeV) ~ 0.11