sensors Article Short-Term Foreshocks as Key Information for Mainshock Timing and Rupture: The Mw6.8 25 October 2018 Zakynthos Earthquake, Hellenic Subduction Zone Gerassimos A. Papadopoulos 1,*, Apostolos Agalos 1 , George Minadakis 2,3, Ioanna Triantafyllou 4 and Pavlos Krassakis 5 1 International Society for the Prevention & Mitigation of Natural Hazards, 10681 Athens, Greece;
[email protected] 2 Department of Bioinformatics, The Cyprus Institute of Neurology & Genetics, 6 International Airport Avenue, Nicosia 2370, P.O. Box 23462, Nicosia 1683, Cyprus;
[email protected] 3 The Cyprus School of Molecular Medicine, The Cyprus Institute of Neurology & Genetics, 6 International Airport Avenue, Nicosia 2370, P.O. Box 23462, Nicosia 1683, Cyprus 4 Department of Geology & Geoenvironment, National & Kapodistrian University of Athens, 15784 Athens, Greece;
[email protected] 5 Centre for Research and Technology, Hellas (CERTH), 52 Egialias Street, 15125 Athens, Greece;
[email protected] * Correspondence:
[email protected] Received: 28 August 2020; Accepted: 30 September 2020; Published: 5 October 2020 Abstract: Significant seismicity anomalies preceded the 25 October 2018 mainshock (Mw = 6.8), NW Hellenic Arc: a transient intermediate-term (~2 yrs) swarm and a short-term (last 6 months) cluster with typical time-size-space foreshock patterns: activity increase, b-value drop, foreshocks move towards mainshock epicenter. The anomalies were identified with both a standard earthquake catalogue and a catalogue relocated with the Non-Linear Location (NLLoc) algorithm. Teleseismic P-waveforms inversion showed oblique-slip rupture with strike 10◦, dip 24◦, length ~70 km, faulting depth ~24 km, velocity 3.2 km/s, duration 18 s, slip 1.8 m within the asperity, seismic moment 26 2.0 10 dyne*cm.