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Sindh, Pakistan IPC ACUTE FOOD INSECURITY ANALYSIS SINDH, PAKISTAN MARCH - SEPTEMBER 2021 LOCUST INFESTATION, REDUCED INCOME DUE TO COVID-19 Issued May 2021 RELATED RESTRICTIONS, FLOODING AND HIGH FOOD PRICES ARE DRIVING FOOD INSECURITY IN SINDH, PAKISTAN. CURRENT MARCH - JUNE 2021 PROJECTED JULY - SEPTEMBER 2021 Phase 5 0 Phase 5 0 People in Catastrophe People in Catastrophe 3.1M Phase 4 806,000 2.6M Phase 4 684,000 People in Emergency People in Emergency 26% of the rural 22% of the rural Phase 3 2,259,000 Phase 3 1,874,000 population analysed in population analysed in People in Crisis People in Crisis 9 rural districts of Sindh 9 rural districts of Sindh Phase 2 4,156,000 Phase 2 4,541,0001 - Minimal People facing high People Stressed People facing high People Stressed1 - Minimal acute food insecurity acute food insecurity 2 - Stressed (IPC Phase 3 or above) Phase 1 4,708,000 (IPC Phase 3 or above) Phase 1 4,831,00032 - CStrrisisessed 3 - Crisis People in food People in food4 - Emergency IN NEED OF URGENT security IN NEED OF URGENT security 4 - Emergency ACTION ACTION 5 - Famine 5 - Famine Areas with inadequate evidence Areas with inadequate evidence Overview Current Acute Food Insecurity (March-JuneAreas 2021) not analysed Areas not analysed Map Symbols Sindh is one of the provinces in Pakistan with the highest KeyMap for SymbolsUrban the settlementMap prevalence of food insecurity, malnutrition and poverty. In Urbanclassification settlement 2020, the population faced multiple shocks including high food IPC AcuteclassificationIDPs/other Food settlements InsecurityIDPs/otherclassification Phase settlements prices, locust outbreaks and heavy monsoon rains/flooding, all Classificationclassification Area receives significant exacerbated by the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. Around 1 - Minimal Areas with inadequate evidence Area receives significant Areahumanitarian receives foodsignificant assistance humanitarian food assistance 3.1 million people (26 percent of the rural population analysed) humanitarian(accounted2 - Stressed for in foodPhase assistance classification)Areas not analysed (accounted for in Phase classification) are estimated to be facing high levels of acute food insecurity (accounted3 - Cr>isis 25% for in of Phase households classification)Map Symbols meet 25-50% > 25% of households meet 25-50% >of 25%caloric of householdsneeds throughUrban meet assistance settlement 25-50% of caloric needs through assistance (IPC Phase 3 or above) in the current period of March to June 4 - Emergency classification of caloric needs through assistance > 25% of householdsIDPs/other meet > settlements50% > 25% of households meet > 50% 2021, corresponding to the end of the lean season and the 1 - Minimal 5Areas - Famine ofwith caloric inadequate needs evidence throughclassification assistanceArea receives significant of caloric needs through assistance > 25% of households meet >humanitarian 50% food assistance beginning of the harvest season. These include around 2.26 of caloric needs through assistance 2 - Stressed EvidenceAreas not Level analysed (accounted for in Phase classification) million people (19 percent of the rural population) in IPC Phase 3 Map Symbols 3 - Crisis Evidence* Acceptable Level > 25% of households meet 25-50% UrbanMedium settlement of caloric needs through assistance (Crisis) and 0.8 million people (7 percent of the rural population) 4 - Emergency *** classificationAcceptable ***** MediumHigh in IPC Phase 4 (Emergency) across the nine districts analysed. IDPs/otherHighScarce evidence settlements due to limited or > 25% of households meet > 50% 5 - Famine ***classification of caloric needs through assistance At least 5 percent of the population analysed in all the districts Scarceno humanitarian evidence accessdue to limited or no humanitarian access is in Phase 4, and between 15 to 30 percent in IPC Phase 3 or 1 - Minimal 1 - Minimal 4. The analysis of the projection period (July-September 2021) 2 - Stressed 2 - Stressed corresponding to the post-harvest season indicates that the 3 - Crisis 3 - Crisis number of people in IPC Phase 3 or above is expected to reduce 4 - Emergency 4 - Emergency to 2.6 million (22 percent of the rural population). Urgent action 5 - Famine is required to protect livelihoods and reduce food consumption 5 - Famine Areas with inadequate evidence gaps of people in Crisis and save lives and livelihoods of people Areas with inadequate evidence in Emergency. Projected Acute Food Insecurity (July-SeptemberAreas not analysed 2021) Areas not analysed Map Symbols Key Drivers KeyMap for SymbolsUrban the settlementMap Urbanclassification settlement IPC AcuteclassificationIDPs/other Food settlements High Food Prices InsecurityIDPs/otherclassification Phase settlements Classificationclassification Nationally, food prices went up by 9.1 percent for rural Area receives significant 1 - Minimal Areas with inadequate evidence Area receives significant consumers on a year-over-year basis in February 2021. Areahumanitarian receives foodsignificant assistance humanitarian food assistance Inflation, high food prices of commodities coupled humanitarian(accounted2 - Stressed for in foodPhase assistance classification)Areas not analysed (accounted for in Phase classification) (accounted for in Phase classification) with loss of employment and reduced income due 3 - Cr>isis 25% of householdsMap Symbols meet 25-50% > 25% of households meet 25-50% >of 25%caloric of householdsneeds throughUrban meet assistance settlement 25-50% of caloric needs through assistance to COVID-19 related restrictions reduced household 4 - Emergency classification of caloric needs through assistance purchasing power, particularly for low income groups > 25% of householdsIDPs/other meet > settlements50% > 25% of households meet > 50% Area receives significant 1 - Minimal 5Areas - Famine >ofwith 25%caloric inadequate of householdsneeds evidence throughclassification meet assistance > 50% of caloric needs through assistance e.g., small farmers, wage labors, households relying on humanitarian food assistance of caloric needs through assistance petty trades, etc. 2 - Stressed EvidenceAreas not Level analysed (accounted for in Phase classification) 3 - Crisis MapEvidence* SymbolsAcceptable Level > 25% of households meet 25-50% Locust Infestation UrbanAcceptableMedium settlement of caloric needs through assistance 4 - Emergency *** classification ***** MediumHigh Most of the districts are heavily reliant on agriculture IDPs/otherHighScarce evidence settlements due to limited or > 25% of households meet > 50% 5 - Famine ***classification of caloric needs through assistance where locust infestation was experienced, that adversely Scarceno humanitarian evidence accessdue to limited or affected food crop and fodder production. no humanitarian access Flooding The majority of the households were also affected by heavy rains/flooding that affected agriculture crop production. SINDH, PAKISTAN | IPC ACUTE FOOD INSECURITY ANALYSIS 2 CURRENT SITUATION MAP AND POPULATION TABLE (MARCH - JUNE 2021) 1 - Minimal 1 - Minimal 2 - Stressed 2 - Stressed 3 - Crisis 3 - Crisis 4 - Emergency 4 - Emergency 5 - Famine 5 - Famine Areas with inadequate evidence Key forAreas the with inadequateMap evidence Areas not analysed IPC AcuteAreas not Food analysed Insecurity Map Symbols Phase Classification Map SymbolsUrban settlement (mappedUrbanclassification Phase settlement represents highest severity affectingclassification at least 20% of the population) 1 IDPs/other- Minimal settlements IDPs/otherclassification settlements 21 classification- SMtinimalressed Area receives significant 32 - CStrrisisessed humanitarianArea receives foodsignificant assistance humanitarian(accounted43 - EmergencyC forrisis in foodPhase assistance classification) (accounted for in Phase classification) 54> - 25%FEmergencyamine of households meet 25-50% of> 25%caloric of householdsneeds through meet assistance 25-50% 5Areasof - Fcaloricamine with needsinadequate through evidence assistance > 25% of households meet > 50% Areasof> 25%caloric notwith of analysed inadequatehouseholdsneeds through evidence meet assistance > 50% of caloric needs through assistance Evidence Level Map SymbolsAreas not analysed EvidenceAcceptable Level * Map SymbolsAcceptableMediumUrban settlement *** classification ***** MediumHigh ScarceUrban evidencesettlement due to limited or *** HighclassificationIDPs/other settlements Scarcenoclassification humanitarian evidence accessdue to limited or noIDPs/other humanitarian settlements access Area receivesclassification significant humanitarian food assistance (accountedArea receives for in Phasesignificant classification) humanitarian food assistance (accounted> 25% for in of Phase households classification) meet 25-50% of caloric needs through assistance > 25% of households meet 25-50% of> caloric25% of needs households through meet assistance > 50% of caloric needs through assistance > 25% of households meet > 50% Evidenceof Levelcaloric needs through assistance District Total Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3 Phase 4 Phase 5 Area Phase 3+ Evidence* Acceptable Level population ** Medium Phase analysed #people % #people % #people % #people**** HighAcceptable% #people % #people % ** ScarceMedium evidence due to limited or *** noHigh humanitarian access Badin 1,525,994 610,398 40 534,098 35 305,199 20 76,300Scarce evidence5 due to limited0 or 0 3 381,499 25 Ghotki 1,341,474 603,663 45 335,369 25 268,295 20 134,147no humanitarian 10 access 0 0 3 402,442 30 Khairpur 1,747,035 786,166 45
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