Does Mr. Trump Intend to Remain President If He Loses the Election? Dr. Tim S. Stuart President, Stuart Analytics Draft: December 14, 2019 Table of Contents Executive Summary 2 I. Introduction 6 II. Motive, Opportunity and Means 15 III. A Possible “Scheme” 16 IV. Conclusion 31 Appendixes: A. Discussion of Motivation, Opportunity and Means with a Focus on 36 Three Known Norm-breakers: Mr. Trump, Mr. McConnell, and Mr. Barr B. Additional Information: Likely Reaction to Scheme Implementation 53 Contact Information: Dr. Tim S. Stuart Phone: 703.850.7478 e-Mail:
[email protected] Web: www.stuartanalytics.com © 2019, 2020. This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 license. 1 Does Mr. Trump Intend to Remain President if He Loses the Election? Executive Summary I. Introduction: This paper describes a number of “actions and inactions” by Mr. Trump and others that indicate Mr. Trump may be preparing a scheme to stay in power if he loses the 2020 election. This description of a possible “scheme’ is my effort to “connect the dots” between certain curious “actions and inactions” by Mr. Trump, Mr. McConnell and their allies, with a focus on foreign election interference. Connecting the dots led to the possible scheme described here. My concern that the possible scheme might indicate an actual scheme was increased by my later reading of Geltzer’s article, including his discussion of Mr. Trump’s tweet implying that Mr. Trump might allege foreign interference in the 2018 mid-term election and how this behavior might preview Mr. Trump’s effort to cast doubt on the results of the 2020 election.