2018 TBL Annual 3 the TBL Baseball Annual
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The TBL Baseball Annual A publication of the Transcontinental Baseball League The New Normal 2018 Edition Walter H. Hunt All 24 Teams Analyzed Robert Jordan Using the T.Q. System Mark H. Bloom The TBL Baseball Annual A publication of the Transcontinental Baseball League by Walter H. Hunt Robert Jordan Mark H. Bloom with contributions from TBL’s managers and extra help from: Joe Auletta Ray Murphy Jim Dietz Copyright © 2018 Walter H. Hunt, except the “Justin K.” poem, which is copyright © 2018, Jim Dietz. This book was produced using a Macintosh with Adobe InDesign and Adobe Photoshop. I can be reached by mail at 3306 Maplebrook Road, Bellingham, MA 02019 or by e-mail at [email protected]. The 2018 TBL Annual 3 the TBL baseball annual Welcome to the 2018 TBL Baseball Annual. This is the twenty-third year of the Annual in the book format. This year we’re looking at what we call The New Normal: hitting cards, and offenses, based on power with lots of strikeouts. One of our most insightful colleagues, Joe Auletta, gives us some excellent analysis on how things have already changed and what we should make of it all. Our usual features are mostly here, but we don’t have the Vegas Line this year due to our friend and colleague Paul Harrington’s illness. We hope to have it back next year. Enjoy the Annual and enjoy the season. Walter, Robert, Mark June, 2018 The T.Q. System Shamelessly stolen from the Mazeroski annual, the T.Q. System assigns points to each area of the team’s expected performance and totals the result. The maximum score under the T.Q. System is 50, divided as follows: Pitching: 20 points Offense: 17 points Defense: 8 points Bench: 5 points The T.Q. System does not take age or prospect value into account, only present capability. It does, however, consider usage (available games, at bats and innings). 4 The 2018 TBL Annual table of contents FRONT MATTER Future Drafts 6 TQ Summary 7 Manager Roll Call 8 2017 Computer Pre-Play Clay Beard 9 Hall of Fame 10 The Sky Is Falling (Or Not) Joe Auletta 12 SNTs / The New Normal 15 A Contrarian Perspective Joe Auletta 16 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE Clemente Division Shark Tank 18 Riverwoolf 20 Calusa 24 Blue Hill 28 Whitman 32 Mays Division Fight Club 36 Gotham City 38 New Westminster 42 Maracaibo 46 Rye 50 Ruth Division Likely Not One and Done 54 Hoboken 56 Midwest 60 Knoxville 64 Brobdingnag 68 2017 World Series Report Mark Bloom 72 NATIONAL CONFERENCE Aaron Division All IN 74 Strong City 76 Kansas 80 Las Vegas 84 Melrose 88 Mantle Division Photo Finish 92 Hudson 94 Columbus 98 Munich 102 Detroit 106 Williams Division Back From the Brink 110 Northboro 112 Zion 116 Grand Cayman 120 Warrenton 124 FINAL WORDS Breakthrough 128 Future 129 Editorial 130 Commissioner’s Report Ray Murphy 131 Justin K. Jim Dietz 132 The 2018 TBL Annual 5 future drafts In many cases, what’s on the field isn’t the whole story. Some of our teams have quite a bit to say in future drafts, and any evaluation should properly take that into account. The graphical displays below show how much each team has in the tank. The middle 9 mark on the thermometer (9) represents a full draft (picks #1-#3) in 2019; above the base middle line is excess, while below means something’s missing. haves have nots WARRENTON. Two #1s, their own and CALUSA. Their own earlier #1 and #3. Riverwoolf’s; three #2s; four #3s. They also NEW WESTMINSTER. Their own #1 and #2. have many picks in rounds 4 to 7. 7 GRAND CAYMAN. Their #2, two #3s. BROBDINGNAG. Three top-half #1s; Knoxville’s #2; two #3s. Another chance for LAS VEGAS, COLUMBUS, ZION. Prince of Darkness machinations. Their #1 and #3. MARACAIBO. Their own and Strong 6 City’s #1s; three #2s; their own #3. KNOXVILLE. Hudson #2 and their own Maracaibo’s biggest draft in years. 18 #3. DETROIT. Their own #1; three later #2s; their own #3. 5 15 balanced all in RYE, MUNICH, BLUE HILL, WHITMAN. 10 Their own drafts, likely higher up. RIVERWOOLF, MIDWEST. Riverwoolf drafts in rounds 8 and 9; Midwest drafts in round 7. 0 STRONG CITY. Nada. GOTHAM CITY, HOBOKEN, HUDSON, MELROSE, NORTHBORO, KANSAS. Their own drafts. These indicators also appear 9 at the bottom of each team article, for your convenience. 6 The 2018 TBL Annual t.q. summary TEAM (DIVISION) OFFENSE DEFENSE PITCHING BENCH TOTAL The Cream of the Crop Strong City (Aaron) 14.0 5.5 17.0 3.0 39.5 Kansas (Aaron) 10.0 5.0 15.5 2.5 33.0 The Solid Performers Northboro (Williams) 8.0 4.5 14.0 2.5 29.0 Hoboken (Ruth) 12.5 5.5 8.0 3.0 29.0 Hudson (Mantle) 10.0 4.5 9.5 3.5 27.5 Gotham City (Mays) 11.0 4.5 9.0 3.0 27.5 Columbus (Mantle) 10.0 5.5 8.5 3.0 27.0 Zion (Williams) 10.0 4.5 8.5 3.0 26.0 Riverwoolf (Clemente) 7.0 4.0 12.5 2.5 26.0 New Westminster (Mays) 9.0 6.5 7.0 3.0 25.5 Midwest (Ruth) 7.0 3.5 11.0 2.0 23.5 The Transitional Teams Las Vegas (Aaron) 9.0 4.5 7.5 2.0 23.0 Maracaibo (Mays) 7.0 6.5 7.5 2.0 23.0 Melrose (Aaron) 10.0 5.5 5.0 2.0 22.5 Grand Cayman (Williams) 7.0 5.5 7.0 2.0 21.5 Blue Hill (Clemente) 7.0 5.0 6.5 2.0 20.5 Munich (Mantle) 6.0 6.5 6.0 2.0 20.0 Calusa (Clemente) 8.0 4.0 5.0 2.5 19.5 The Rebuilders Detroit (Mantle) 7.0 4.0 6.5 1.5 19.0 Rye (Mays) 5.5 4.0 6.5 2.5 18.5 Knoxville (Ruth) 5.0 4.0 6.5 2.0 17.5 Whitman (Clemente) 4.5 4.0 6.0 2.0 16.5 Brobdingnag (Ruth) 6.0 4.0 3.5 2.0 15.5 Warrenton (Williams) 4.0 4.0 2.5 2.0 12.5 Division Totals National 301.5 (25.2 average) Aaron (NC) 118.0 Williams (NC) 90.0 International 262.5 (21.8 average) Mays (IC) 94.5 Ruth (IC) 85.5 Mantle (NC) 93.5 Clemente (IC) 82.5 The 2018 TBL Annual 7 manager roll call Munich Marauders Mantle Division Paul Montague 35th year Hudson Generals Mantle Division Clay Beard 34th year Elders of Zion Williams Division Richard Meyer 34th year Gotham City Batmen Mays Division Anton Greenwald 33rd year Knoxville Outlaws Ruth Division Pat Martin 32nd year Maracaibo Rumrunners Mays Division Walter Hunt 32nd year Brobdingnag Barbarians Ruth Division Joe Auletta 30th year Hoboken Zephyrs Ruth Division Steve Powell 29th year Grand Cayman Havens Williams Division Mark Bloom 28th year Melrose Avengers Aaron Division Mark Freedman 25th year Blue Hill Mudslides Clemente Division Mark Ludwig 23rd year Whitman River Rats Clemente Division Brian Hanley 23rd year Las Vegas Gamblers Aaron Division Paul Harrington 22nd year Northboro Phoenix Williams Division Robert Jordan 19th year Midwest Mongrels Ruth Division Darrell Skogen 17th year Northboro Phoenix Williams Division Steve Stein 16th year Strong City Statesmen Aaron Division Eric Sheffler 15th year Rye Herons Mays Division Craig Musselman 14th year New West Whiskeyjacks Mays Division Jim Jeatt 14th year Columbus Jets Mantle Division Vic Vaughn 12th year Kansas Koyotes Aaron Division Bill Schwartz 11th year Warrenton Giants Williams Division Jack Chapman 10th year Detroit Stars Mantle Division Dave Jaskot 7th year Calusa Indians Clemente Division Gordon Rodell 4th year Riverwoolf Sharks Clemente Division Daniel Dumont 2nd year Ray Murphy is serving his third year as our non-playing Commissioner. Hall of Fame managers in Bold Italic. 8 The 2018 TBL Annual 2018 computer pre-play by Clay Beard Here’s the setup for this thing. I used Duke Robinson Jr. to Mantle, which the “knock-down” manage all the teams. I checked Fatigue only under Fatigue had as air tight at the meeting. and Injury Rules. I also checked all three of the options at So who knows what mysterious the bottom; Automatic AIM Subs, Enforce BFP, and that No strategies Duke employed. PR > 930 thing, which provides some innocuous usage. The two best races are the Mays, Something new this year is some “platoon awareness” thing where Gotham City eeked it out which I checked. All players were active for the whole sea- 88.5 to 87.7, and the Williams, son. These settings basically allow the season to be played where Northboro and Zion will tangle all year. As usual, the with usage similar to that of the MLB season with some race for the second wild-card is tight in both conferences. innocuous help. Then I just pushed the button and played the season 10 times. The won/loss records below indicate Only three teams made it to the post-season dance in all the average of the 10 seasons. As always, take this with a ten seasons; Strong City, Columbus & Hoboken. grain of salt as Duke is basically the village idiot. Only four teams never made to at least game 163. As for The first thing that draws my attention is all the .5’s. Warrenton? Mission accomplished, I guess.