Guantanarno Say - - :ane azetle 1,2001 NLMOD watches more than GUANTANAMO BAY- Hurricanes, by definition, are the final and most dangerous stage of cyclonic storms. They possess wind speeds of greater than 64 knots (74 mph) and are accompanied by severe and damaging weather. The warm waters of the Caribbean, which surround , are often conducive to hurricanes. This is especially true during the summer and fall months. June 1 was the start of hurricane season and it lasts until Nov. 30. Guantanamo Bay remains in a state of increased preparedness during this time. One of the problems with tropical cyclones and their movement is that they are extremely unpredictable and remain very difficult to forecast. Winds approaching 90 knots (101 mph) have been reported in the past and the area covered could be over a radius of 300 miles. Because of the potential threat to instruction are now provided as you move As the base population is in a continuous Guantanamo Bay by hurricanes, it is into family housing. This special edition process of turnover, an ongoing education imperative that all base residents be familiar of the Gazette briefly explains hurricane program is required to maintain a high state with the warning conditions and what to do conditions. Guantanamo Bay is in of readiness. The yearly hurricane exercise if the base is threatened. Hurricane Condition IVA from June 1 to is an example of this effort. However, many COMNAVBASEGTMOINST 3440.4 November 30, unless a hurricane threatens people check on board between exercises, should be reviewed by all base residents in the base, causing an upgrading of the while others simply fail to remember what order to become familiar with hurricane hurricane preparedness condition. they are expected to do. conditions of readiness. Copies of this (See 'Season' on page two)

Hurricane Conditions A Look Inside GUANTANAMO BAY - The Hurricane Condition III following are the hurricane conditions Set when a hurricane is within 48 hours of First aid information established for Naval Station Guantanamo the base. Check nonperishable food supplies, Bay. When condition I, II or III are set, fill water containers and secure all loose Hurricane-resistant housing list the information will be broadcast on radio objects. -page 3- station FM 103.1, the emergency broadcast Hurricane Condition II station (EBS). Set when a hurricane moves within 24 Hurricane basket information Hurricane Condition V (Dec. 1 hours of the base. All emergency personnel through May 31) report for duty and all base leave and liberty -page 6- Normal routine. is cancelled. Where to get information during Hurricane Condition IVA All base personnel should stay tuned to (June 1 through Nov. 30, set by the EBS for further instructions. Outdoor the storm COMNAVBASE Guantanamo Bay) furniture, trash cans and other moveable Normal readiness during hurricane objects should be moved inside or securely - pages 2& 7 - season. tied. Water cans should be cleaned in Tracking map Hurricane Condition IV preparation for filling with water. Set when hurricane force winds are -pages 4 & 5- possible within 72 hours. See Conditions-page 6 I HURRICANE | - Check your inventory of batteries for radio, flashlights, emergency lamps and emergency I Season cooking material. (contintued from page 1) - Stay tuned to the EBS and TV channels 2, In 1998, passed over 4 or 6 for emergency broadcasts, official GTMO and the base sustained some high winds bulletins and announcements. and damage. The base was fortunate not to - If storms do come, move furniture to the have any injuries or casualties. center of the room or inside wall away from Being prepared means it's a good idea to windows. have some safety rules to follow. Here are just During a tropical storm/hurricane a few. " Do not go outside. Prior to a tropical storm/hurricane " Stay in your shelter until "all clear" is threat announced/signaled. - Know the location of your shelter if your - Remain calm. housing is not hurricane-resistant. - When using lanterns, lamps, candles, etc. " Know the safe haven for your boat. take precautions to prevent fires. " Know the hurricane conditions of After the tropical storm/hurricane readiness. - Use emergency lighting sparing, it may " Maintain your hurricane basket. take a while to restore base utilities. " Maintain several hurricane lamps with - Do not go near downed power lines. sufficient fuel or candles. - Do not go near disaster areas. - Keep emergency cooking material - Conserve water. Ifunsure about its purity, available (Coleman stove/sterno/gas and grills). boil it for five minutes before using. - Provide means to store fresh water (in -Avoid frequent opening of the refrigerator plastic containers, water cans or jars). and/or freezer to help keep the food cold. When a tropical storm/hurricane - Do not eat cooked food that has not been threatens refrigerated or canned goods that have been " Trim dead wood from trees. left open for a long time. " Pickup and store loose objects in your - Do not drive a vehicle, except in yard, patio or working area. emergencies. The road may be washed-out, - Check your medicines and first aid covered with loose debris or otherwise supplies. impassable. - Check your stock of nonperishable foods Remember your safety rules, listen closely and canned goods. to the television and radio, and reread this - Store water in a clean bathtub, sink and special edition. It could be the most important other containers. thing you do as you prepare for hurricane - Fuel your car. season.

FirstAid: Are You Prepared ForAny Emergency Guantanamno Bay GUANTANAMO BAY - Hurricane certified instructor. preparedness means having a first aid kit and - After breathing is restored, stop the GAZETTE refreshing your emergency medical skills. bleeding. Apply direct firm pressure to U.S. Naval Base During a hurricane, people are injured the wound, with sterile gauze pads. Don't Guantanamo Bay, Cuba by flying debris. After the storm, shattered remove the gauze pads; just add new pads glass, broken tree limbs and fallen power if the bleeding continues. Keep pressure Commander, Naval Base lines may cause further injuries. on the wound. If the injury is on an arm CAPT Robert A. Buehn According to U.S. Naval Hospital or leg, elevate the limb. Tourniquets are Chief Staff Officer personnel, you can either buy or make your used only as a last resort. CDR Michael Fair own first aid kit. ' Check for broken bones, or parts of Command Master Chief Keep the following numbers by your the body that look deformed, for example: CMDMC(AW/SW) Ellen M. Mustain phone in case of a medical emergency: a dislocated shoulder. A temporary splint Public Affairs Officer ambulance, 911; USNH emergency can be made by securing a rolled . JOC Richard Evans information, 3200. If an ambulance can't magazine or piece of wood to the affected Editorial Assistant leave the hospital for weather reasons, limb with Ace wraps. ABHAN Lindsay Clay hospital personnel at 3200 can give you - Keep the patient warm to prevent This newspaper is an authorized advice on what to do for the emergency. shock. publication for members of the military If you have to treat someone yourself, The best way to treat an injury is to service stationed overseas. Its contents follow these guidelines: avoid getting it. Never touch downed do not necessarily reflect the official views of the U.S. Government, the Department of - Look the injured person over from head electrical wires, even days after the storm. Defense or the U.S. Navy and do not imply to toe; check for breathing, bleeding and They may still be live. A line that you endorsement thereof. broken bones. assume is dead may suddenly become live Voice: 4502, 4819 Fax: 5279 E-mail: [email protected] - If necessary, first restore breathing. You as workmen restore power. Don't go GAZETTE On-line: can learn to do this in CPR and first aid sight-seeing and stay away from www.nsgtmo.navy.mil classes offered by - windows. The high winds send glass, certified instructors. Call 4676 to find a branches and other debris flying. Page 2 - Guantanamo Bay Hurricane Edition |I HURRICANE | Is Your Housing Hurricane-resistant Protect GUANTANAMO BAY - The following information is provided to assist residents in determining whether their housing is hurricane-resistant. If you reside in nonhurricane-resistant housing, you are Your Home assigned a shelter. People in nonhurricane-resistant housing can also stay with a neighbor or friend who There are ways to prevent damage to your home during a is in hurricane-resistant housing, but must first fill out a relocation memorandum for hurricane shelter hurricane. Throughout the reassignment with the Operations Department. Call 4704/4366 for more information. hurricane season, ensure all yards and work areas are free from loose Hurricane-resistant housing: debris, which could possibly Caravella Point Evans Point MobilePoint become missile hazards during Caribbean Circle/Court Gold Hill Towers Navy Lodge high winds. CBQ Granadillo Nob Hill Flashlights, hurricane lamps; candles and other sources of East, Ctr & West Bargo Iguana Terrace Villamar emergency lighting should be East Caravella Leeward Point West Iguana procured in case of power failure. In the event Hurricane If you live in nonhurricane-resistant housing, your hurricane shelter is listed below: Condition I is set, move furiture Deer Point, Paola Point, Radio Point, Marina Point, Marine Site - Youth Center away from doors and windows and Hibiscus Hollow - Base Gym store small items under a bed or in closets. All lamps, fans and other small appliances should be unplugged, Vital Hurricane First Aid Supplies as well as large appliances, such Residents preparing for the -Over-the-counter first aid kit. as stoves, washers and dryers. hurricane season should add the medications - Bleach for preparation The only exception to this are following first aid items to their * Eye glasses - an extra of the tub for water refrigerators and freezers. These should be set at the coldest setting supplies: pair is good storage and purification to help avoid food spoilage in the - Prescribed medications- - Electrolyte solutions - Supply of canned or event of a power outage. Ensure that personal " Band-aids powered baby formula Make a careful inspection prescriptions are up-to- -Antiseptic solutions such - 2 or 3 Ace bandages before appliances are reconnected date and filled. Asthmatics as alcohol, iodine or - adhesive tape or turned back on to ensure they're should consider a spare peroxide - bandages not wet or still in contact with inhaler in addition to their - Rolled gauze, gauze pads " thermometer water. Following this simple asthma medication. and gauze sponges - blanket to keep shock or procedure could prevent Maintain enough - pain relievers such as hypothermia patients warm. electocution. prescription medication to Tylenol Being prepared is essential Pictures and paintings should last seven days, especially " Scissors to survival during a major be removed and stored in a safe for heart problems, blood " Tape hurricane as well as any place to prevent water damage. pressure, etc. " Consider buying a basic emergency. Vet Clinic Says Protect Pets During Hurricane Season GUANTANAMO BAY-In - food and water bowls (large/ -Do not leave any vitamins or be cared for by the vet clinic staff. the event of a hurricane, animals stable, not easily knocked over) mineral supplements; overeating The pet shelter is located in are not allowed in the base - cat litter and litter box (20- them could cause salt poisoning. Granadillo Circle 84B. Pet emergency shelters for public lb.bag of no scooping litter) - Water should be left in owners will have six hours to drop health and safety reasons. This - cat litter box bathtubs or other sturdy containers off their pets after Hurricane means planning ahead is essential. - medications to prevent spillage. Ifyour animal Condition I is announced. No The pet hurricane shelter is Remember these items will be is on any special medication, exceptions. Granadillo Circle 78B. needed to properly care for your consult the veterinarian for The animal must be in a carrier Before hurricane season animals in the event of an suggestions. (one pet per carrier), clearly arrives, you should prepare a emergency. If your house is - Separate your pets; animals labeled with the pet's name, hurricane basket for your pet, too. hurricane-resistant: who are usually friendly may owner's name and phone number. These items include: - Prepare an area in your house become scared and fight each All pets must have items listed in - pet carrier (required by that is away from windows, such other. the hurricane basket. The vet regulation) as in a utility room or bathroom. - Provide an area off the floor clinic will not provide those items. - collar (include leash for dogs) - Bring your pet inside. Never in case of flooding. Once the hurricane passes and - water for three days leave pets outside during a When Hurricane Condition I is Hurricane Condition IR is - food for 3 days (about 1 - hurricane. announced, all pet owners living announced, pet owners will have 51b. bag) - Leave only dry foods that are in nonhurricane-resistant housing 12 hours to pick up their pets. - familiar toys and one towel relatively unpalatable to prevent will be allowed to drop off their For more information, call the or blanket overeating. pet at the pet shelter where it will vet clinic at 2101 or 2212.

Guantanamo Bay Hurricane Edition - Page 3 HURRICANE Track HURRICANE Storm names for 2001: l Allison l Barry (Check them off as , they are named) F' Q C h a n t a I l Dean Bermuda E E r i n SFelix Mo SGabriel P sacol E Humbert Houston Q Iris 30 Q Jerry >rlando p l Karen lam pa Q L or enz o Q Michell Q Noel Q Olga Q Pablo

Q Rebekah 25 Q Sebastian Q Tanya Q Van Q Wendy

Veracruz

551

Plot your own tracking map - Advisories are message gives the name, eye position, intensity and the advisory number, eye concentrate more on where the circulation and winds greater numbered consecutively for each storm and forecast movement of the hurricane. position, intensity and forecast storm will go, rather than where than 34 knots (39 mph). describe the present and forecasted position and Hurricane eye positions are given by latitude and direction of movement. Then, it has been. Hurricanes typically form off intensity of the storm. Hurricane advisories are longitude, to the nearest one-tenth of one degree. make the eye position on the Tropical cyclones are not the coast of Western Africa, the issued at six-hour intervals, at midnight, 6 a.m., Eye positions may also be givenas statute mile tracking chart. given names until they reach Western Caribbean or in the noon and 6 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time. compass direction from aspecified point. Because hurricanes change tropical storm stage. They are and they normally Bulletins provide additional information. Each When you receive hurricane advisories, note direction very quickly, you should closed isobars, have rotary track west or north.

Page 4 - Guantanamo Bay Hurricane Edition Guantanamo Bay Hurricane Edition -- Page 5 HURRICANE I I Definitions And Terms To Weather The Storm GUANTANAMO BAY - The primary mission ofNaval Atlantic 55 mph winds and gusts up to 64 mph. Meteorology and Oceanography Detachment (NLMOD) is to The base sustained minimal damage but other areas in the provide weather and oceanography information to the Department Caribbean were severely damaged. of Defense and the public. Any hurricane that comes within 180 miles is considered a storm NLMOD's area of responsibility covers Guantanamo Bay and that could cause damage to the base. extends out to Jamaica and . The most dangerous characteristic of a hurricane is the storm During the hurricane season, NLMOD also surge. A storm surge can raise tide levels pays particular attention to the Eastern- --. -- well above normal. A surge of more than Atlantic and the Caribbean Sea for - -- , eight feet would be very serious signs of tropical development. - .' in Guantanamo Bay. The NL MOD forecasters -- - ^- - Fortunately, there is a drop-off continuously look for in water depth just outside the organization of clouds that - - bay, which helps to cut down exhibit rotation, continuously the effects of a storm surge. monitor low-level The storm surge, however, atmospheric conditions and - could still generate large upper-level conditions for ~ --- swells in the bay and areas that are conducive for - subsequent shoreline damage formation. - - and erosion. Even though tropical storms - As a tropical storm or and hurricanes form in the Atlantic - .. hurricane approaches NLMOD and Caribbean, the severe weather must will advise the Naval Base overcome many obstacles to strike Guantanamo Bay. Commander of the current location, forecasted track and a There are mountains that surround the base and even higher recommended condition of readiness. The base commander will mountains in Haiti and the . then set the condition of readiness as appropriate. Hurricanes generally follow a west-northwest track and when During this hurricane season stay tuned to the Channel 6 Weather they hit the mountains, it takes away a lot of the storm's punch. channel where NLMOD will keep all base personnel informed about The last storm with any "punch" to strike Guantanamo was current hurricane conditions of readiness and Hurricane tracking hurricane Georges in 1998. The storm raged through the base with information.

Assemble Your Hurricane Basket Conditions GUANTANAMO BAY - For those of - Nonessential, but desirable items may (Continuedfrom page 1) you who aren't sure what to put in your include small toys, reading material, playing Hurricane Condition I and [A hurricane basket, here is a good list to go by. cards, oil lamps/lamp oil, etc. Set when the hurricane is within 12 Everyone should have a hurricane basket - A seven-day supply of all medications hours of the base. The base siren will sound a three-minute series of wails to ready at all times. taken for chronic or acute medical conditions indicate "take cover." At this time, the It is a good idea to stock these items and such as asthma, high blood pressure or heart ferry will be secured and all privately- keep them on hand for emergencies. In the problems. owned vehicle traffic will be secured. event of an actual hurricane, a hurricane " Moist towelettes Also, all nonessential personnel should basket should already be assembled. " Blankets proceed to hurricane shelters or hurricane-resistant housing. All The basket should include: - First aid kits preparations for Hurricane Condition II - Enough canned, or other ready-to-eat - Safety matches should be complete by this time. food for 24 to 48 hours for you and your - Bandages Condition IA is set when winds of34 family, including items such as a can opener, - Books, cards, nonelectric games knots (39 mph) have struck the base and disposable plates, cups, forks, knives, spoons, " Bag/basket large enough to carry higher winds are expected. paper towels, napkins, bottled water, plastic everything Hurricane Condition IR Set when the hurricane has cleared drop cloth, and other items such as these. the area. Firefighting, rescue and - Minimum clothing, soap, toilet articles, Do not takethe following items to the security teams will be deployed while and a towel for each member of the family. hurricane shelter: nonessential personnel will remain in - One blanket for each family member. - Pets their shelters until a verbal "all clear" is - Disposable diapers, baby formula and - Alcoholic beverages passed. When "all clear" is passed, all military nursing supplies for infants. - Cooking utensils and equipment and civilian employees should leave their - Batteries, flashlights, water containers, - Valuables shelters and report to work centers for first-aid kits, safety matches, bandages, - Electric games or devices muster and further instructions. All other candles, portable battery-powered radio, - Large toys base personnel will be allowed to return wind-up alarm clock and cooler. - Nonessential personal belongings to their residences.

Page 6 Guantanamo Bay hurricane Edition | HURRICANE | Jacobs. "Emergency situations FM 103.1 - Update Central can happen anytime, weather- Naval Media Center (NMC) ways to communicate with large cable Channel 4. This includes related or otherwise. That's why Detachment's FM 103.1 is groups of people during weather hurricane shelter locations, items it's important to be ready at all Guantanamo Bay's primary emergencies because of both the that should be in a hurricane times." emergency broadcast station or speed and efficiency of basket and other important During a hurricane, the radio EBS. The detachment and its transmissions. information. becomes more than a source of radio transmitters have "NLMOD (Naval Atlantic In a severe storm, the radio information. Listeners can tune emergency auxiliary power Meteorology and Oceanography station stays on the air as long as in and find out exactly where the which allow uninterrupted Detachment) provides us with possible, according to Jacobs. hurricane is, what it's doing - broadcast capability in the weather reports and hurricane "We pass on as much information they can even track it themselves event of storm-related power conditions set by the base to the community as we can, as using a hurricane tracking chart. outages. commander and we can turn required by the base commander," "The radio keeps them "We also provide valuable around and pass it on to the she said, "so make sure you have informed as to what's going on information on our other radio community within seconds, if a portable radio and plenty of around them. That, combined frequencies," said JOC Diane necessary. " batteries." with the music and entertainment Jacobs, detachment officer-in- NMC provides general A portable radio and batteries provided by the radio station, charge. "But we want people to information about hurricane should be kept handy throughout will hopefully lessen any feelings know that FM 103.1 is the first preparedness throughout the year, notjust during hurricane of fear they may have." station you should turn to in case hurricane season in the form of season. "Scientists say hurricanes Should NMC lose its primary of a weather emergency. radio commercials and normally occur during certain FM signal, emergency Jacobs said radio and announcements on the months ofthe year but that doesn't information will be broadcast on television broadcasts are effective Community Bulletin Board on necessarily mean they will," said AM 1340. Hurricanes - giant, spiral whirlwinds Hurricanes are tropical cyclones in which raising tides some 15 feet or more above September, the principal areas of origin shift winds reach speeds of 74 mph or more, and normal. The rise may come rapidly, and back to the western Caribbean and Gulf of blow in a large spiral around a relatively calm produce flash floods in coastal lowlands, or Mexico. center-the eye ofthe hurricane. Every year, may come in the form of giant waves, which On the average, six Atlantic hurricanes these violent storms bring destruction to are mistakenly called tidal waves. occur per year. However, there are coastlines and islands in their erratic path. Waves and currents erode beaches and significant deviations from this average. In Tropical cyclones of the same type are barrier islands, undermine waterfront 1916 and 1950, 11 hurricanes were called typhoons in the North Pacific, baguios structures, and wash out highway and railroad observed, and no hurricanes were observed in the Philippines, and cyclones in the Indian beds. The torrential rains produce sudden in 1907 and 1914. During 1893, 1950 and Ocean. flooding, as the storm moves inland and its 1961 seasons, four hurricanes were observed Circulation is counterclockwise in the wind diminishes, floods constitute the in progress at the same time. Northern Hemisphere and clockwise in the hurricane's greatest threat. Hurricanes also form along the west coast Southern Hemisphere. The hurricanes that strike the eastern United of Mexico and Central America, but their Stated very simply, hurricanes are giant States are born in the tropical and sub-tropical effects are seldom felt as far north as whirlwinds in which air moves in a large, California. These threaten shipping and tightening spiral around a center of extreme IO - 40 mircAzS ci c la Id aviation, however, they are watched as low pressure, reaching maximum velocity carefully as their Atlantic cousins. in a circular band extending outward 20 or k'9rrl Feede b.;nAn Hurricanes begin as relatively small 30 miles from the run of the eye. e tropical cyclones which drift gradually This circulation is counterclockwise in to the west-northwest (in the Northern the Northern hemisphere, and clockwise ~iK - ~i - Hemisphere), imbedded in the in the Southern Hemisphere. Near the eye, westward blowing tradewinds of the hurricanes winds may gust to more than tropics. Under certain conditions these 200 mph, and the entire storm dominates disturbances increase in size, speed, the ocean surface and lower atmosphere over and intensity until they become full- tens of thousands of square miles. North Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea and fledged hurricanes. The eye, like the spiral structure ofthe storm, the Gulf of Mexico. Most occur in August, The storms move forward very slowly is unique to hurricanes. Here, winds are light September and October, but the six-month in the tropics, and may sometimes hover and skies are clear or partly cloudy. But this period from June 1 to Nov. 30 is considered for short periods of time. The initial calm is deceptive, bordered as it is by hurricane- the season. forward speed is usually 15 mph or less. force winds and torrential rains. Many people The principle regions of tropical cyclone Then, as the hurricane moves farther from have been killed or injured when the calm eye origin vary during the season. Most early the equator, its forward speed tends to lured them out of shelter, only to be caught in (May and June) storms originate in the Gulf increase at middle latitudes, it may exceed the hurricane winds at the far side of the eye, of Mexico and western Caribbean. In July 60 mph. where the winds blows from a direction opposite and August, the areas of most frequent origin These great stonns are driven by the heat to that in the leading half of the storm. shift eastward, and by September are located released by condensing water vapor, and by Hurricane winds do the most damage, but over the larger areas form external mechanical forces. Once cut off from drowning is the greatest cause of hurricane southeastward to the , and the warm ocean, the storm begins to die, deaths. As the storm approaches and moves eastward to south of Cape Verde Islands, near starved for water and heat energy, and dragged across the coastline, it brings huge waves, the west coast of Africa. After mid- apart by friction as it moves over the land. Guantanamo Bay Hurricane Edition - Page 7 I HURRICANE | Guantanamo Bay Base Weather Office Plays Vital Storm Preparation Role GUANTANAMO BAY -They predict the mph winds and gusts up to 64 mph. The base As for being prepared, everyone needs weather. Most would say that's a piece of sustained over a million dollars in property alternate sources of power. Make sure you cake in Guantanamo Bay since the weather damage but no injuries. Other areas in the have batteries for flashlights and radios. Put is very nearly the same every day. Try telling Caribbean were severely affected. together a hurricane basket. You might think that to the aerographers who man the Naval Any hurricane that comes within 180 miles you will never have to use it, but it's best to Atlantic Meteorology and Oceanography is considered a storm that could cause damage be prepared for something that never Detachment on Leeward Point; especially to the base due to the size of most storms and happens than to be unprepared when it does. during hurricane season. their contributing weather patterns. As we all prepare for hurricane season, It's primary mission is to keep the public The most dangerous characteristic of a watch your television weather reports and and the Navy Department updated on hurricane is the storm surge. A storm surge listen to the radio for the weather forecasters anything to do with weather and oceanography can raise tide levels well above normal who keep us informed and prepared for Most residents frequently check the flooding low-lying areas and causing serious hurricane season. weather channel and know that Guantanamo Bay averages a balmy 90 degrees during the day and a comfortable 70 degrees at night. Locally, the coverage area is around Guantanamo and the area covering Jamaica to the , but when the weather changes, as it often does this time of year, that coverage area expands from the Gulf of Mexico east to Africa. Activity for NLMOD does increase during the hurricane season. The weather office is manned 24-hours a day by the chief petty officer-in-charge, two forecasters and two observers upon the setting of Hurricane Condition III. Before Guantanamo's weathermen begin their 24-hour test of endurance, they must first detect the storm. If the weather watchers note a turning band of clouds and look at the time of the year, they can detennine whether a system has the ability to form into a tropical storm or hurricane. They then check the low level atmospheric conditions first and then check the upper level, up to 100,000 feet and see if Gazette file photo Guantanamo Bay escaped Georges conditions are favorable for the formation of with only property damage, a testimony to being prepared. tropical storms. damage to structures and property. A surge Even though tropical storms and of more than eight feet would be very Forecasters predict hurricanes may form in the Atlantic or serious in Guantanamo Bay. Fortunately the Caribbean, the severe weather must huge drop-off in water depth just outside 'moderate' season overcome a number of obstacles to strike the bay, severely restricts the stonn surge Guantanamo Bay. effects here and protects the base. GUANTANAMO BAY - This A quick check of a topographical map of The surge could still cause large swells year's hurricane forecast, made by Dr. the Caribbean region shows mountains in the bay and subsequent shoreline damage William Gray (Professor of surrounding the base, and even higher and erosion. Atmospheric Science, Colorado State mountains in Haiti and the Dominican As a tropical storm or hurricane University) and his colleagues, call Republic. Hurricane tracks generally follow approaches, different storm conditions are for a "moderate" season with 10 a west-northwest pattern and when they hit set depending on the measured storm named storms, six hurricanes and the mountains, the surface friction and intensity and potential. NLMOD does not three intense hurricanes predicted. nature barrier effects take away a lot of the set hurricane or tropical stonn conditions. Gray estimates the landfall storm's punch. We advise the Naval Base Commander of probability of one or more major The last stonn with any "punch" to strike the present weather conditions, hurricane storms striking the Caribbean at 10 Guantanamo was hurricane Georges in 1998. approaches and on the different conditions. percent above the long-term average. The stonn raged through Guantanamo with 55 He then sets local conditions as appropriate. Page 8 - Guantanamo Bay lurricane Edition