Rwanda: in Brief

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Rwanda: in Brief Rwanda: In Brief Updated February 23, 2021 Congressional Research Service https://crsreports.congress.gov R44402 Rwanda: In Brief Summary Rwanda has seen rapid development and security gains since the 1994 genocide, in which an estimated 800,000 people—mostly members of the ethnic Tutsi minority—were killed over a three-month period. The Rwandan Patriotic Front (RPF), then a rebel movement, ended the genocide by seizing power and has been the dominant force in Rwandan politics ever since. The RPF-led government has won donor plaudits for its efforts to improve health, boost agricultural output, encourage foreign investment, and promote women’s empowerment. Rwanda’s relatively effective response to the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has spotlighted its public health and state service-delivery capacities. Yet, analysts debate whether Rwanda’s authoritarian political system and periodic support for rebel groups in neighboring countries could jeopardize the country’s stability in the long run, or undermine the case for donor support. President Paul Kagame, in office since 2000, won reelection to another seven-year term in 2017 with nearly 99% of the vote, after a new constitution effectively exempted him from term limits through 2034. His overwhelming margin of victory may reflect popular support for his efforts to stabilize and transform Rwandan society, although the government also imposes tight constraints on opposition activity and monitors citizen behavior. Public criticism of the RPF’s legitimacy and overarching policy platform is rare. Some exiled opposition figures, including senior RPF defectors, have formed armed groups in neighboring countries. Human rights advocates assert that the Rwandan government has targeted dissidents with violent attacks and intimidation at home and abroad. President Kagame and other top officials have generally denied specific allegations of targeted assassinations and human rights abuses, while asserting a duty to take all steps deemed necessary to ensure Rwanda’s stability and security. Over the past decade, successive U.S. Administrations and Congresses have supported continued U.S. partnership with Rwanda on development and international peacekeeping (to which Rwanda is a robust contributor of troops and police), while criticizing the government’s human rights record and role in regional conflicts. Congress has continued to appropriate substantial bilateral development aid, while also enacting restrictions on certain military aid for any government in Africa’s Great Lakes region (which includes Rwanda) found to be aiding rebel groups in a neighboring country (most recently, under P.L. 116-260, Division K). Invoking a similar provision in prior appropriations measures and separate child soldiers legislation (Title IV of P.L. 110-457), the Obama Administration withheld certain security assistance for Rwanda in connection with its alleged support for rebels in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) and Burundi. Rwanda appears to have had less involvement in regional conflicts in recent years. U.N. sanctions investigators reported in late 2020, however, that Rwandan troops had conducted operations in eastern DRC during the year, which Rwanda denied. After meeting with President Kagame in 2018, President Trump expressed appreciation for U.S.- Rwandan economic ties, Rwanda’s peacekeeping contributions, and Kagame’s pursuit of African Union institutional reforms. The Trump Administration nonetheless subsequently suspended Rwanda’s eligibility for duty-free treatment of eligible apparel sector goods under the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA, P.L. 106-200, as amended), citing Rwandan barriers to U.S. exports of used clothing. In line with its proposals to decrease foreign aid worldwide, the Trump Administration’s FY2021 budget proposal would have reduced U.S. bilateral aid to Rwanda by 34% compared to FY2020 estimated allocations. Congress generally did not enact the Trump Administration’s proposed topline cuts to foreign aid accounts; final FY2021 country- level allocations have yet to be published. The United States has allocated additional funds for global health and peacekeeping capacity-building activities in Rwanda, via programs budgeted on a global or regional (as opposed to country-specific) basis. Congressional Research Service Rwanda: In Brief Contents Introduction ..................................................................................................................................... 1 Politics ............................................................................................................................................. 4 Governance and Human Rights ....................................................................................................... 6 Regional Security ............................................................................................................................ 7 The Economy and Development ..................................................................................................... 8 U.S. Relations and Aid .................................................................................................................... 9 Legislative Restrictions on Security Assistance ....................................................................... 11 Issues for Congress and Outlook ................................................................................................... 12 Figures Figure 1. Rwanda at a Glance .......................................................................................................... 2 Tables Table 1. U.S. Aid to Rwanda .......................................................................................................... 11 Contacts Author Information ........................................................................................................................ 13 Congressional Research Service Rwanda: In Brief Introduction Rwanda has achieved a rare degree of political stability, public safety, economic growth, and poverty alleviation in a sub-region plagued by armed conflicts and humanitarian crises. These gains are particularly remarkable in the wake of the 1994 genocide, in which extremist members of the ethnic Hutu majority orchestrated a three-month killing spree targeting the minority Tutsi community, along with politically moderate Hutus and members of the Indigenous Twa community (see text box, below). The Rwandan Patriotic Front (RPF), founded as a rebel movement by Tutsi refugees in neighboring Uganda, seized power in mid-1994 and stopped the genocide. President Paul Kagame, leader of the RPF—now the country’s dominant political party—has since been widely portrayed as the architect of Rwanda’s development “miracle” and of its autocratic political model.1 International perspectives on Rwanda tend to be polarized. President Kagame’s supporters assert that he is a visionary and that Rwanda represents an extraordinary post-conflict success story.2 To supporters, Rwandan voters’ support for Kagame is easily explained: “he has kept them from killing each other ... [and] has also given them a sense of hope and pride.”3 Critics, for their part, have argued that restrictions on political and civil rights may ultimately undermine Rwanda’s hard-won stability, and mask ethnic, political, and social tensions.4 Given evident constraints on free expression, one academic argued ahead of Rwanda’s 2017 elections that “we simply don’t know ... what Rwandans want from their political leaders.”5 Some critics have questioned Rwanda’s development statistics (a key justification for donor aid), and some posit that the ruling party’s reportedly extensive involvement in the economy may be stifling independent private sector growth.6 Kagame has dismissed external criticism as inaccurate, irrelevant, neocolonialist, and/or morally vacuous, often citing the international community’s failure to halt the genocide.7 Rwanda and the United States have cultivated strong ties since the mid-1990s, underpinned by U.S. development aid and support for Rwanda’s robust participation in international peacekeeping (see “U.S. Relations and Aid”). Over the past decade, U.S. officials and some Members of Congress have nonetheless voiced concerns regarding Rwanda’s authoritarian political system and its periodic support for rebel groups in neighboring countries. Congress has held hearings examining these and related issues, most recently in 2017.8 While continuing to appropriate foreign assistance for Rwanda (Table 1), Congress has placed conditions on certain types of U.S. security assistance due to concerns over Rwanda’s role in regional conflicts (see 1 See, e.g., Julian Hattem, “Kagame seems set to win again in Rwanda. But is he a ‘miracle man’ or a nascent dictator?” Washington Post, August 2, 2017; The Economist, “Paul Kagame, Feted and Feared,” July 15, 2017. 2 Andy Kristian Agaba, “The case for Kagame’s third term in Rwanda,” Washington Post, August 3, 2017. 3 Stephen Kinzer, “Rwanda and the Dangers of Democracy,” Boston Globe, July 22, 2017. 4 See, e.g., Scott Strauss, “Twenty Years After the Rwandan Genocide,” Oxford University Press Blog, April 8, 2014. 5 Laura Seay, “Is Rwanda’s Authoritarian State Sustainable?” Washington Post, June 2, 2016. 6 An Ansoms et al., “Statistics versus livelihoods: questioning Rwanda’s pathway out of poverty,” Review of African Political Economy, 44: 151 (2016); The Economist, “The Rwandan Patriotic Front’s business empire,” March 2, 2017.
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