State of the County ‐ Hays
STATE OF THE COUNTY ‐HAYS
The Capital Area Council of Governments GROWTH (TEXAS)
THE CAPITAL AREA COUNCIL OF GOVERNMENTS │ STATE OF COUNTY POPULATION – THE RISE OF TEXAS
1,400,000 DOMESTIC MIGRATION TEXAS TRIANGLE MSA NET MIGRATION 1,200,000
1,000,000
800,000
600,000
400,000
200,000
0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 POPULATION – THE RISE OF TEXAS
1,000,000 900,000 800,000 700,000 600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 TX ΔTexas Metro Delaware South Alaska North Vermont District of Wyoming Influx Since Triangle Dakota Dakota Columbia 2000 THE CAPITAL AREA COUNCIL OF GOVERNMENTS │ STATE OF COUNTY GROWTH (CAPCOG REGION)
THE CAPITAL AREA COUNCIL OF GOVERNMENTS │ STATE OF COUNTY POPULATION GROWTH – CAPCOG REGION
2,000,000 1,800,000 1,600,000 1,400,000 1,200,000 1,000,000 800,000 600,000 400,000 200,000 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 THE CAPITAL AREA COUNCIL OF GOVERNMENTS │ STATE OF COUNTY POPULATION – GROWTH BY COUNTY (2000 – 2010)
80%
70% 60%
50%
40% CAPCOG AVERAGE
30%
20% 10%
0% Bastrop Blanco Burnet Caldwell Fayette Hays Lee Llano Travis Williamson COUNTY POPULATION 10,000 100,000 1,000,000
THE CAPITAL AREA COUNCIL OF GOVERNMENTS │ STATE OF COUNTY MIGRATION
THE CAPITAL AREA COUNCIL OF GOVERNMENTS │ STATE OF COUNTY POPULATION – COMPONENTS OF CHANGE (2000 – 2009) U.S.
MIGRATION 36.1% NATURAL INCREASE 63.9%
CAPCOG
MIGRATION 66.5% NATURAL INCREASE 33.5%
HAYS COUNTY
NATURAL INCREASE MIGRATION 81.2% 18.2% POPULATION – HAYS COUNTY IN‐MIGRATION PATTERNS
Travis County, TX
Caldwell County, TX
Los Angeles County, CA
Riverside County, CA
Foreign Country, FR
Jefferson County, TX
Clark County, NV
Harris County, TX
Dallas County, TX
Brazos County, TX
THE CAPITAL AREA COUNCIL OF GOVERNMENTS │ STATE OF COUNTY PEOPLE (RACE & ETHNICITY)
THE CAPITAL AREA COUNCIL OF GOVERNMENTS │ STATE OF COUNTY PEOPLE ‐ RACIAL & ETHNIC COMPOSITION ‐ 2010
75% HAYS COUNTY CAPCOG Region
50%
25%
0% White Hispanic Black Asian Other
THE CAPITAL AREA COUNCIL OF GOVERNMENTS │ STATE OF COUNTY GROWTH BY RACIAL & ETHNIC GROUP – 2000 to 2010
150% HAYS COUNTY CAPCOG Region 125%
100%
75%
50%
25%
HAYS COUNTY 0% POPULATION White Hispanic Black Asian Other 10,000
25,000 100,000
THE CAPITAL AREA COUNCIL OF GOVERNMENTS │ STATE OF COUNTY PEOPLE (AGE)
THE CAPITAL AREA COUNCIL OF GOVERNMENTS │ STATE OF COUNTY PEOPLE – MEDIAN AGE (2005‐2009)
55 50 45 40
35 AUSTIN MSA 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Bastrop Blanco Burnet Caldwell Fayette Hays Lee Llano Travis Williamson COUNTY POPULATION 10,000 100,000 1,000,000
THE CAPITAL AREA COUNCIL OF GOVERNMENTS │ STATE OF COUNTY PEOPLE – CHANGE IN MEDIAN AGE
35 2000 2005/09 30
25
20
15
10
5
0 U.S. Hays County
THE CAPITAL AREA COUNCIL OF GOVERNMENTS │ STATE OF COUNTY PEOPLE – AGE DISTRIBUTION (2005‐2009) HAYS COUNTY U.S. Under 5 years
5 to 9 years
10 to 14 years
15 to 19 years
20 to 24 years
25 to 34 years
35 to 44 years
45 to 54 years
55 to 59 years
60 to 64 years
65 to 74 years
75 to 84 years
85 years and older 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%
THE CAPITAL AREA COUNCIL OF GOVERNMENTS │ STATE OF COUNTY PEOPLE (EDUCATION)
THE CAPITAL AREA COUNCIL OF GOVERNMENTS │ STATE OF COUNTY HIGH SCHOOL EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT (2005‐2009)
100%
CAPCOG AVERAGE
75%
50%
25%
0% US Texas Bastrop Blanco Burnet Caldwell Fayette Hays Lee Llano Travis Williamson
THE CAPITAL AREA COUNCIL OF GOVERNMENTS │ STATE OF COUNTY COLLEGE EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT (2005‐2009)
50%
40% CAPCOG AVERAGE 30%
20%
10%
0% Bastrop Blanco Burnet Caldwell Fayette Hays Lee Llano Travis Williamson
COUNTY POPULATION 10,000 100,000 1,000,000
THE CAPITAL AREA COUNCIL OF GOVERNMENTS │ STATE OF COUNTY PEOPLE – THE EDUCATION OF MIGRANTS
ANNUAL RATE OF INCREASE OF COLLEGE EDUCATED POPULATION DUE TO MIGRATION, 2007‐2009
Austin, TX
Hays County, TX
Raleigh, NC
Portland, OR
Riverside, CA
Phoenix, AZ
Charlotte, NC
San Antonio, TX
Tampa, FL
Nashville, TN
Kansas City, MO
0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% THE CAPITAL AREA COUNCIL OF GOVERNMENTS │ STATE OF COUNTY COLLEGE EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT BY RACE (2005‐2009)
75% HAYS COUNTY CAPCOG Region
50% CAPCOG AVERAGE
25%
0% White Black Hispanic Asian Other POPULATION WITH DEGREE
1,000 5,000 20,000
THE CAPITAL AREA COUNCIL OF GOVERNMENTS │ STATE OF COUNTY HAYS COUNTY – EDUCATION & POPULATION GROWTH
75% ASIAN
50% WHITE
25%
BLACK HISPANIC COLLEGE ATTAINMENT (2000 – 2010)
0% 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 125% 150% POPULATION GROWTH (2000 – 2010) ECONOMY
THE CAPITAL AREA COUNCIL OF GOVERNMENTS │ STATE OF COUNTY UNEMPLOYMENT – 2000 ‐ 2010
10% HAYS COUNTY 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 201 201 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1
THE CAPITAL AREA COUNCIL OF GOVERNMENTS │ STATE OF COUNTY HAYS COUNTY – TOTAL EMPLOYMENT
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
THE CAPITAL AREA COUNCIL OF GOVERNMENTS │ STATE OF COUNTY HAYS COUNTY EMPLOYMENT BY INDUSTRY (2010)
Education and Health Services
Trade, Transportation and Utilities
Leisure and Hospitality
Manufacturing
Professional and Business Services
Construction
Public Administration
Financial Activities
Information
Natural Resources and Mining
0 3,000 6,000 9,000 12,000 15,000 HAYS COUNTY EMPLOYMENT BY INDUSTRY (2006 – 2010)
Trade, Transportation and Utilities
Education and Health Services
Leisure and Hospitality
Professional and Business Services
Public Administration
Financial Activities
Natural Resources and Mining
Manufacturing
Construction
Information
‐2,000 ‐1,500 ‐1,000 ‐500 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000
THE CAPITAL AREA COUNCIL OF GOVERNMENTS │ STATE OF COUNTY HAYS COUNTY DYNAMICS OF EMPLOYMENT GROWTH
EMPLOYMENT GROWTH (2006 – 2010) VS. AVERAGE SALARY (2010) VS. EMPLOYMENT SIZE (2010) HAYS COUNTY
$60,000
MANUFACTURING FINANCIAL ACTIVITIES PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION INFORMATION EDUCATION & HEALTH CARE $40,000 PROFESSIONAL & CONSTRUCTION BUSINESS SERVICES
NATURAL RESOURCES TRADE & TANSPORTATION $20,000
LEISURE & HOSPITALITY
$0 ‐50% ‐25% 0% 25% 50%
THE CAPITAL AREA COUNCIL OF GOVERNMENTS │ STATE OF COUNTY PEOPLE (WEALTH)
THE CAPITAL AREA COUNCIL OF GOVERNMENTS │ STATE OF COUNTY MEDIAN HOUSEHOLD INCOME (2005‐2009)
$70,000
$60,000 AUSTIN MSA
$50,000
$40,000
$30,000
$20,000
$10,000
$0 Bastrop Blanco Burnet Caldwell Fayette Hays Lee Llano Travis Williamson
THE CAPITAL AREA COUNCIL OF GOVERNMENTS │ STATE OF COUNTY CHANGE IN MEDIAN HOUSEHOLD INCOME (2000 vs. 2005/09)
10%
5%
0%
‐5%
AUSTIN MSA ‐10%
‐15%
‐20% Bastrop Blanco Burnet Caldwell Fayette Hays Lee Llano Travis Williamson
THE CAPITAL AREA COUNCIL OF GOVERNMENTS │ STATE OF COUNTY HOUSING AFFORDABILITY (2000)
PERCENTAGE OF HOMEOWNERS WITH A MORTGAGE THAT SPEND MORE THAN 30% OF INCOME ON HOUSING 40%
35%
30% 22.6% (7) 25% CAPCOG 20%
15%
10%
5%
0% Bastrop Blanco Burnet Caldwell Fayette Hays Lee Llano Travis Williamson
THE CAPITAL AREA COUNCIL OF GOVERNMENTS │ STATE OF COUNTY HOUSING AFFORDABILITY (2005‐2009)
PERCENTAGE OF HOMEOWNERS WITH A MORTGAGE THAT SPEND MORE THAN 30% OF INCOME ON HOUSING 40% 34.4% (5) 35% CAPCOG 30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0% Bastrop Blanco Burnet Caldwell Fayette Hays Lee Llano Travis Williamson
THE CAPITAL AREA COUNCIL OF GOVERNMENTS │ STATE OF COUNTY COLLEGE STUDENTS & DEMOGRAPHICS
. National media coverage of Austin often describes the city as a college town; in the metropolitan area, college students comprise 9% of the population. In San Marcos, the figure is 39.5%. . The influence of college students on the demographics of San Marcos is profound and often produces a distorted portrait of the City.
SCHOOL ENROLLMENT FOR POPULATION 3 YEARS OF AGE AND OLDER, 2000 Austin MSA KEY San Marcos Pre‐K – 12 19.9% 9.0% 39.5% College 12.7%
71.1% Not in School 47.8%
THE CAPITAL AREA COUNCIL OF GOVERNMENTS │ SAN MARCOS HOUSING AFFORDABILITY ANALYSIS WORKFORCE COMPOSITION
. Due to the prevalence of college students, a remarkably small proportion of San Marcos residents work full‐time. . Within the Austin metropolitan area, nearly half of all residents age 16 years and older work full‐time. In San Marcos, barely a quarter of all residents age 16 years and older work full‐time.
PERCENTAGE OF RESIDENTS 16 YEARS OF AGE AND OLDER WORKING FULL‐TIME, 2000 Austin MSA KEY San Marcos Not Working Full Time 51.5% 72.8%
Working Full 48.5% Time 27.2%
THE CAPITAL AREA COUNCIL OF GOVERNMENTS │ SAN MARCOS HOUSING AFFORDABILITY ANALYSIS EARNINGS: FULL‐TIME vs. PART‐TIME EMPLOYMENT
. In San Marcos, the median earnings of a full‐time worker are approximately $34,000. The median earnings of part‐time workers are $7,000. . The median earnings of full‐time works in San Marcos are about 81% of the regional average; the figure for part‐time workers is 63%.
MEDIAN EARNINGS OF WORKERS 16 YEARS OF AGE AND OLDER, 2007‐09 Austin MSA KEY San Marcos $50,000 Not Working $50,000 $40,000 Full Time $40,000 $30,000 $30,000 $20,000 Working Full $20,000 $10,000 Time $10,000 $0 $0
THE CAPITAL AREA COUNCIL OF GOVERNMENTS │ SAN MARCOS HOUSING AFFORDABILITY ANALYSIS COMMUTING PATTERNS (REGIONAL)
THE CAPITAL AREA COUNCIL OF GOVERNMENTS │ STATE OF COUNTY REGIONAL WORKFORCE – RESIDENT WORKERS BY COUNTY
Bastrop
Blanco
Burnet
Caldwell
Fayette
Hays
Lee
Llano
Travis
Williamson
0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000
THE CAPITAL AREA COUNCIL OF GOVERNMENTS │ STATE OF COUNTY REGIONAL WORKFORCE – RESIDENTS BY PLACE OF WORK
Bastrop Work in Home County Blanco Work Outside Home County
Burnet
Caldwell
Fayette
Hays
Lee
Llano
Travis
Williamson
0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000
THE CAPITAL AREA COUNCIL OF GOVERNMENTS │ STATE OF COUNTY REGIONAL WORKFORCE – WORKERS BY PLACE OF RESIDENCE
Bastrop Live in County of Employment Blanco Work Outside County of Employment
Burnet
Caldwell
Fayette
Hays
Lee
Llano
Travis
Williamson
0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000
THE CAPITAL AREA COUNCIL OF GOVERNMENTS │ STATE OF COUNTY COMMUTING PATTERNS (HAYS COUNTY)
THE CAPITAL AREA COUNCIL OF GOVERNMENTS │ STATE OF COUNTY HAYS COUNTY – WHERE DO RESIDENTS WORKS?
Tarrant Dallas 1,014 (1.7%) 2,766 (4.6%) Bell 355 (.6%) Williamson Other 1,643 (2.7%) 5,591 (9.3%)
Travis 24,690 (41.0%)
Hays Hays Harris 3,216 (5.3%) 60,176 15,903 (26.4%) Comal 1,294 (2.2%) Guadalupe Bexar 767 (1.3%) 2,937 (4.9%) HAYS COUNTY – WHERE DO WORKERS LIVE?
Tarrant Dallas 1,014 (1.7%) 2,766 (4.6%)4,88 (1.1%) Bell 355 (.6%) Williamson Williamson1,231 (2.9%) Other 1,643 (2.7%) 7,371 (17.1%)5,591 (9.3%) Travis 5,807 (13.5%) Travis 24,690 (41.0%) Hays 15,903 (37.0%) Bastrop 5,21 (1.2%)
Hays Harris 1,780 (4.1%)3,216 (5.3%) Comal 15,903 (26.4%)Caldwell 2,485 (5.8%)Comal 1,975 (4.6%) 1,294 (2.2%) Bexar GuadalupeGuadalupe 2,667 (6.2%) Bexar 2,746 (6.4%)767 (1.3%) 2,937 (4.9%) HAYS COUNTY – GEOGRAPHY OF WORKER RESIDENCIES
Dallas 4,88 (1.1%)
Williamson 1,231 (2.9%) Other 7,371 (17.1%) Travis 5,807 (13.5%)
Hays Hays 15,903 (37.0%) Bastrop 42,984 5,213 (1.2%) Harris Comal Caldwell 1,780 (4.1%) 2,485 (5.8%) 1,975 (4.6%)
Bexar Guadalupe 2,667 (6.2%) 2,746 (6.4%) HAYS COUNTY – BALANCE OF COMMUTING PATTERNS
Guadalupe
Caldwell
Comal
Bastrop
Bexar
Williamson
Tarrant
Harris
Dallas
Travis
‐20,000 ‐15,000 ‐10,000 ‐5,000 0 5,000