Implementation of Yale Interactive Terrestrial Biosphere Model V1.0 Into GEOS-Chem V12.0.0: a Tool for Biosphere–Chemistry Interactions
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Climate Models and Their Evaluation
8 Climate Models and Their Evaluation Coordinating Lead Authors: David A. Randall (USA), Richard A. Wood (UK) Lead Authors: Sandrine Bony (France), Robert Colman (Australia), Thierry Fichefet (Belgium), John Fyfe (Canada), Vladimir Kattsov (Russian Federation), Andrew Pitman (Australia), Jagadish Shukla (USA), Jayaraman Srinivasan (India), Ronald J. Stouffer (USA), Akimasa Sumi (Japan), Karl E. Taylor (USA) Contributing Authors: K. AchutaRao (USA), R. Allan (UK), A. Berger (Belgium), H. Blatter (Switzerland), C. Bonfi ls (USA, France), A. Boone (France, USA), C. Bretherton (USA), A. Broccoli (USA), V. Brovkin (Germany, Russian Federation), W. Cai (Australia), M. Claussen (Germany), P. Dirmeyer (USA), C. Doutriaux (USA, France), H. Drange (Norway), J.-L. Dufresne (France), S. Emori (Japan), P. Forster (UK), A. Frei (USA), A. Ganopolski (Germany), P. Gent (USA), P. Gleckler (USA), H. Goosse (Belgium), R. Graham (UK), J.M. Gregory (UK), R. Gudgel (USA), A. Hall (USA), S. Hallegatte (USA, France), H. Hasumi (Japan), A. Henderson-Sellers (Switzerland), H. Hendon (Australia), K. Hodges (UK), M. Holland (USA), A.A.M. Holtslag (Netherlands), E. Hunke (USA), P. Huybrechts (Belgium), W. Ingram (UK), F. Joos (Switzerland), B. Kirtman (USA), S. Klein (USA), R. Koster (USA), P. Kushner (Canada), J. Lanzante (USA), M. Latif (Germany), N.-C. Lau (USA), M. Meinshausen (Germany), A. Monahan (Canada), J.M. Murphy (UK), T. Osborn (UK), T. Pavlova (Russian Federationi), V. Petoukhov (Germany), T. Phillips (USA), S. Power (Australia), S. Rahmstorf (Germany), S.C.B. Raper (UK), H. Renssen (Netherlands), D. Rind (USA), M. Roberts (UK), A. Rosati (USA), C. Schär (Switzerland), A. Schmittner (USA, Germany), J. Scinocca (Canada), D. Seidov (USA), A.G. -
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15 NOVEMBER 2006 A R O R A A N D B O E R 5875 The Temporal Variability of Soil Moisture and Surface Hydrological Quantities in a Climate Model VIVEK K. ARORA AND GEORGE J. BOER Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Meteorological Service of Canada, University of Victoria, Victoria, British Columbia, Canada (Manuscript received 4 October 2005, in final form 8 February 2006) ABSTRACT The variance budget of land surface hydrological quantities is analyzed in the second Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project (AMIP2) simulation made with the Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis (CCCma) third-generation general circulation model (AGCM3). The land surface parameteriza- tion in this model is the comparatively sophisticated Canadian Land Surface Scheme (CLASS). Second- order statistics, namely variances and covariances, are evaluated, and simulated variances are compared with observationally based estimates. The soil moisture variance is related to second-order statistics of surface hydrological quantities. The persistence time scale of soil moisture anomalies is also evaluated. Model values of precipitation and evapotranspiration variability compare reasonably well with observa- tionally based and reanalysis estimates. Soil moisture variability is compared with that simulated by the Variable Infiltration Capacity-2 Layer (VIC-2L) hydrological model driven with observed meteorological data. An equation is developed linking the variances and covariances of precipitation, evapotranspiration, and runoff to soil moisture variance via a transfer function. The transfer function is connected to soil moisture persistence in terms of lagged autocorrelation. Soil moisture persistence time scales are shorter in the Tropics and longer at high latitudes as is consistent with the relationship between soil moisture persis- tence and the latitudinal structure of potential evaporation found in earlier studies. -
Large-Scale Tropospheric Transport in the Chemistry–Climate Model Initiative (CCMI) Simulations
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 7217–7235, 2018 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-7217-2018 © Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License. Large-scale tropospheric transport in the Chemistry–Climate Model Initiative (CCMI) simulations Clara Orbe1,2,3,a, Huang Yang3, Darryn W. Waugh3, Guang Zeng4, Olaf Morgenstern 4, Douglas E. Kinnison5, Jean-Francois Lamarque5, Simone Tilmes5, David A. Plummer6, John F. Scinocca7, Beatrice Josse8, Virginie Marecal8, Patrick Jöckel9, Luke D. Oman10, Susan E. Strahan10,11, Makoto Deushi12, Taichu Y. Tanaka12, Kohei Yoshida12, Hideharu Akiyoshi13, Yousuke Yamashita13,14, Andreas Stenke15, Laura Revell15,16, Timofei Sukhodolov15,17, Eugene Rozanov15,17, Giovanni Pitari18, Daniele Visioni18, Kane A. Stone19,20,b, Robyn Schofield19,20, and Antara Banerjee21 1Goddard Earth Sciences Technology and Research (GESTAR), Columbia, MD, USA 2Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Maryland, USA 3Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA 4National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New Zealand 5National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), Atmospheric Chemistry Observations and Modeling (ACOM) Laboratory, Boulder, USA 6Climate Research Branch, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Montreal, QC, Canada 7Climate Research Branch, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Victoria, BC, Canada 8Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques UMR 3589, Météo-France/CNRS, -
Improving Representations of Boundary Layer Processes
1 2 3 4 5 6 Regional climate modeling over the Maritime Continent: Improving 7 representations of boundary layer processes 8 9 Rebecca L. Gianotti* and Elfatih A. B. Eltahir 10 11 Ralph M. Parsons Laboratory, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 12 15 Vassar St, Cambridge MA 02139, USA 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 ELTAHIR Research Group Report #3, 21 March, 2014 1 Abstract 2 This paper describes work to improve the representation of boundary layer processes 3 within a regional climate model (Regional Climate Model Version 3 (RegCM3) coupled to 4 the Integrated Biosphere Simulator (IBIS)) applied over the Maritime Continent. In 5 particular, modifications were made to improve model representations of the mixed 6 boundary layer height and non-convective cloud cover within the mixed boundary layer. 7 Model output is compared to a variety of ground-based and satellite-derived observational 8 data, including a new dataset obtained from radiosonde measurements taken at Changi 9 airport, Singapore, four times per day. These data were commissioned specifically for this 10 project and were not part of the airport’s routine data collection. It is shown that the 11 modifications made to RegCM3-IBIS significantly improve representations of the mixed 12 boundary layer height and low-level cloud cover over the Maritime Continent region by 13 lowering the simulated nocturnal boundary layer height and removing erroneous cloud 14 within the mixed boundary layer over land. The results also show some improvement with 15 respect to simulated radiation and rainfall, compared to the default version of the model. -
Global Climate Models and Their Limitations Anthony Lupo (USA) William Kininmonth (Australia) Contributing: J
1 Global Climate Models and Their Limitations Anthony Lupo (USA) William Kininmonth (Australia) Contributing: J. Scott Armstrong (USA), Kesten Green (Australia) 1. Global Climate Models and Their Limitations Key Findings Introduction 1.1 Model Simulation and Forecasting 1.2 Modeling Techniques 1.3 Elements of Climate 1.4 Large Scale Phenomena and Teleconnections Key Findings Confidence in a model is further based on the The IPCC places great confidence in the ability of careful evaluation of its performance, in which model general circulation models (GCMs) to simulate future output is compared against actual observations. A climate and attribute observed climate change to large portion of this chapter, therefore, is devoted to anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases. They the evaluation of climate models against real-world claim the “development of climate models has climate and other biospheric data. That evaluation, resulted in more realism in the representation of many summarized in the findings of numerous peer- quantities and aspects of the climate system,” adding, reviewed scientific papers described in the different “it is extremely likely that human activities have subsections of this chapter, reveals the IPCC is caused more than half of the observed increase in overestimating the ability of current state-of-the-art global average surface temperature since the 1950s” GCMs to accurately simulate both past and future (p. 9 and 10 of the Summary for Policy Makers, climate. The IPCC’s stated confidence in the models, Second Order Draft of AR5, dated October 5, 2012). as presented at the beginning of this chapter, is likely This chapter begins with a brief review of the exaggerated. -
Assimila Blank
NERC NERC Strategy for Earth System Modelling: Technical Support Audit Report Version 1.1 December 2009 Contact Details Dr Zofia Stott Assimila Ltd 1 Earley Gate The University of Reading Reading, RG6 6AT Tel: +44 (0)118 966 0554 Mobile: +44 (0)7932 565822 email: [email protected] NERC STRATEGY FOR ESM – AUDIT REPORT VERSION1.1, DECEMBER 2009 Contents 1. BACKGROUND ....................................................................................................................... 4 1.1 Introduction .............................................................................................................. 4 1.2 Context .................................................................................................................... 4 1.3 Scope of the ESM audit ............................................................................................ 4 1.4 Methodology ............................................................................................................ 5 2. Scene setting ........................................................................................................................... 7 2.1 NERC Strategy......................................................................................................... 7 2.2 Definition of Earth system modelling ........................................................................ 8 2.3 Broad categories of activities supported by NERC ................................................. 10 2.4 Structure of the report ........................................................................................... -
Review of the Global Models Used Within Phase 1 of the Chemistry–Climate Model Initiative (CCMI)
Geosci. Model Dev., 10, 639–671, 2017 www.geosci-model-dev.net/10/639/2017/ doi:10.5194/gmd-10-639-2017 © Author(s) 2017. CC Attribution 3.0 License. Review of the global models used within phase 1 of the Chemistry–Climate Model Initiative (CCMI) Olaf Morgenstern1, Michaela I. Hegglin2, Eugene Rozanov18,5, Fiona M. O’Connor14, N. Luke Abraham17,20, Hideharu Akiyoshi8, Alexander T. Archibald17,20, Slimane Bekki21, Neal Butchart14, Martyn P. Chipperfield16, Makoto Deushi15, Sandip S. Dhomse16, Rolando R. Garcia7, Steven C. Hardiman14, Larry W. Horowitz13, Patrick Jöckel10, Beatrice Josse9, Douglas Kinnison7, Meiyun Lin13,23, Eva Mancini3, Michael E. Manyin12,22, Marion Marchand21, Virginie Marécal9, Martine Michou9, Luke D. Oman12, Giovanni Pitari3, David A. Plummer4, Laura E. Revell5,6, David Saint-Martin9, Robyn Schofield11, Andrea Stenke5, Kane Stone11,a, Kengo Sudo19, Taichu Y. Tanaka15, Simone Tilmes7, Yousuke Yamashita8,b, Kohei Yoshida15, and Guang Zeng1 1National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA), Wellington, New Zealand 2Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, UK 3Department of Physical and Chemical Sciences, Universitá dell’Aquila, L’Aquila, Italy 4Environment and Climate Change Canada, Montréal, Canada 5Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zürich (ETHZ), Zürich, Switzerland 6Bodeker Scientific, Christchurch, New Zealand 7National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), Boulder, Colorado, USA 8National Institute of Environmental Studies (NIES), Tsukuba, Japan 9CNRM UMR 3589, Météo-France/CNRS, -
Terrestrial Biosphere Carbon Storage Under Alternative Climate Projections
TERRESTRIAL BIOSPHERE CARBON STORAGE UNDER ALTERNATIVE CLIMATE PROJECTIONS SIBYLL SCHAPHOFF1, WOLFGANG LUCHT1, DIETER GERTEN1, STEPHEN SITCH1, WOLFGANG CRAMER1 and I. COLIN PRENTICE2 1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, P.O. Box 601203, D-14412 Potsdam, Germany E-mail: [email protected] 2QUEST, Department of Earth Sciences, University of Bristol, Wills Memorial Building, Bristol BS8 1RJ, UK Abstract. This study investigates commonalities and differences in projected land biosphere carbon storage among climate change projections derived from one emission scenario by five different gen- eral circulation models (GCMs). Carbon storage is studied using a global biogeochemical process model of vegetation and soil that includes dynamic treatment of changes in vegetation composition, a recently enhanced version of the Lund-Potsdam-Jena Dynamic Global Vegetation Model (LPJ- DGVM). Uncertainty in future terrestrial carbon storage due to differences in the climate projections is large. Changes by the end of the century range from −106 to +201 PgC, thus, even the sign of the response whether source or sink, is uncertain. Three out of five climate projections produce a land carbon source by the year 2100, one is approximately neutral and one a sink. A regional breakdown shows some robust qualitative features. Large areas of the boreal forest are shown as a future CO2 source, while a sink appears in the arctic. The sign of the response in tropical and sub-tropical ecosys- tems differs among models, due to the large variations in simulated precipitation patterns. The largest uncertainty is in the response of tropical rainforests of South America and Central Africa. 1. Introduction The land biosphere plays a substantial role in the global carbon cycle. -
Coupled Chemistry-Meteorology/ Climate Modelling (CCMM): Status and Relevance for Numerical Weather Prediction, Atmospheric Pollution and Climate Research
GAW Report No. 226 WWRP 2016-1 WCRP Report No. 9/2016 Coupled Chemistry-Meteorology/ Climate Modelling (CCMM): status and relevance for numerical weather prediction, atmospheric pollution and climate research (Geneva, Switzerland, 23-25 February 2015) WEATHER CLIMATE WATER CLIMATE WEATHER WMO-No. 1172 GAW Report No. 226 WWRP 2016-1 WCRP Report No. 9/2016 Coupled Chemistry-Meteorology/ Climate Modelling (CCMM): status and relevance for numerical weather prediction, atmospheric pollution and climate research (Geneva, Switzerland, 23-25 February 2015) WMO-No. 1172 2016 WMO-No. 1172 © World Meteorological Organization, 2016 The right of publication in print, electronic and any other form and in any language is reserved by WMO. Short extracts from WMO publications may be reproduced without authorization, provided that the complete source is clearly indicated. Editorial correspondence and requests to publish, reproduce or translate this publication in part or in whole should be addressed to: Chairperson, Publications Board World Meteorological Organization (WMO) 7 bis, avenue de la Paix Tel.: +41 (0) 22 730 84 03 P.O. Box 2300 Fax: +41 (0) 22 730 80 40 CH-1211 Geneva 2, Switzerland E-mail: [email protected] ISBN 978-92-63-11172-2 NOTE The designations employed in WMO publications and the presentation of material in this publication do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of WMO concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area, or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of itsfrontiers or boundaries. The mention of specific companies or products does not imply that they are endorsed or recommended by WMO in preference to others of a similar nature which are not mentioned or advertised. -
Development of a Grid-Independent GEOS-Chem Chemical Transport Model As an Atmospheric Chemistry Module for Earth System Models
Development of a grid-independent GEOS-chem chemical transport model as an atmospheric chemistry module for Earth System Models The Harvard community has made this article openly available. Please share how this access benefits you. Your story matters Citation Long, M. S., R. Yantosca, J. E. Nielsen, C. A. Keller, A. da Silva, M. P. Sulprizio, S. Pawson, and D. J. Jacob. 2014. “Development of a Grid-Independent GEOS-Chem Chemical Transport Model as an Atmospheric Chemistry Module for Earth System Models.” Geoscientific Model Development Discussions 7 (6): 7505–7524. doi:10.5194/gmdd-7-7505-2014. Published Version doi:10.5194/gmdd-7-7505-2014 Citable link http://nrs.harvard.edu/urn-3:HUL.InstRepos:14004548 Terms of Use This article was downloaded from Harvard University’s DASH repository, and is made available under the terms and conditions applicable to Open Access Policy Articles, as set forth at http:// nrs.harvard.edu/urn-3:HUL.InstRepos:dash.current.terms-of- use#OAP 1 Development of a Grid-Independent GEOS-Chem Chemical Transport Model as an atmospheric 2 chemistry module for Earth System Models. 3 4 M.S. Long, R. Yantosca, J. E. Nielsen, C.A. Keller, A. da Silva, M.P. Sulprizio., S. Pawson, D. J. Jacob 5 6 Abstract 7 The GEOS-Chem global chemical transport model (CTM), used by a large atmospheric chemistry 8 research community, has been re-engineered to also serve as an atmospheric chemistry module for Earth 9 System Models (ESMs). This was done using an Earth System Modeling Framework (ESMF) interface 10 that operates independently of the GEOS-Chem scientific code, permitting the exact same GEOS-Chem 11 code to be used as an ESM module or as a stand-alone CTM. -
Modeling Activities in the Department of Energy’S Atmospheric Sciences Program
Modeling Activities in the Department of Energy’s Atmospheric Sciences Program Jerome D. Fast, Steven J. Ghan, and Stephen E. Schwartz March 2009 Modeling Activities in the Department of Energy’s Atmospheric Sciences Program Jerome D. Fast1, Steven J. Ghan1, and Stephen E. Schwartz2 1Pacific Northwest National Laboratory 2Brookhaven National Laboratory March 2009 Executive Summary The Department of Energy's Atmospheric Science Program (ASP) conducts research pertinent to radiative forcing of climate change by atmospheric aerosols. The program consists of approximately 40 highly interactive peer-reviewed research projects that examine aerosol properties and processes and the evolution of aerosols in the atmosphere. Principal components of the program are instrument development, laboratory experiments, field studies, theoretical investigations, and modeling. The objectives of the Program are to 1) improve the understanding of aerosol processes associated with light scattering and absorption properties and interactions with clouds that affect Earth's radiative balance and to 2) develop model-based representations of these processes that enable the effects of aerosols on Earth's climate system to be properly represented in global-scale numerical climate models. Although only a few of the research projects within ASP are explicitly identified as primarily modeling activities, modeling actually comprises a substantial component of a large fraction of ASP research projects. This document describes the modeling activities within the Program as a whole, the objectives and intended outcomes of these activities, and the linkages among the several modeling components and with global-scale modeling activities conducted under the support of the Department of Energy's Climate Sciences Program and other aerosol and climate research programs. -
Evaluation of Chemical Dispersion Models Using Atmospheric Plume Measurements from Field Experiments EPA Contract No
September 2012 FINAL REPORT FINAL REPORT Evaluation of Chemical Dispersion Models using Atmospheric Plume Measurements from Field Experiments EPA Contract No: EP‐D‐07‐102 Work Assignment No: 4‐06 and 5‐08 Prepared for: Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards U.S. Environmental Protection Agency 109 T.W. Alexander Drive Mail Code: C439‐1 Research Triangle Park, NC 27709 Prepared by: ENVIRON International Corporation 773 San Marin Drive, Suite 2115 Novato, California, 94998 Under Subcontract to the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill September 2012 06‐20443M6 UNC–EMAQ 4‐06.018.v4 September 2012 FINAL REPORT UNC–EMAQ 4‐06.016.v4 i September 2012 FINAL REPORT Contents Page 1.0 INTRODUCTION ..................................................................................................... 1 1.1 BACKGROUND ..................................................................................................... 1 1.2 PURPOSE ............................................................................................................. 2 1.3 OVERVIEW OF APPROACH .................................................................................. 2 1.3.1 Field Experiments used in the Evaluation ............................................. 2 1.3.2 Models Evaluated .................................................................................. 2 1.4 ORGANIZATION OF THE REPORT ........................................................................ 2 2.0 TECHNICAL APPROACH .........................................................................................