TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACK MAP Tropical Cyclone

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TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACK MAP Tropical Cyclone

Vanuatu Meteorology and Geo-Hazards Department TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE POR T VILA TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACK MAP Tropical Cyclone OMA Tropical Cyclone Forecast Track Map Number 34 issued at 3:05 pm VUT Saturday 16 February 2019 Community Threat Past Cyclone Details Warning Zone - Gales within 24 hours Past Location and Intensity Number Advisory Zone - Gales from 24 to 48 Past Track and Movement hours Current Cyclone Details Forecast Cyclone Details (up to 72 hours from time of issue) Forecast Location and Intensity Current Location and Intensity Number Number Very Destructive Winds Very Destructive Wind Boundary Destructive Winds Destructive Wind Boundary Gale Force Winds Gale Force Wind Boundary Most Likely Future Track Range of Likely Tracks The forecast path shown above is VMGD's best estimate of the cyclone's future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks. Due to the uncertainty in the future movement, the indicated winds will almost certainly extend to regions outside the rings on this map. The extent of the warning & watch zones reflects this. Remarks: Heavy rainfalls and flash flooding over low lying areas and areas close to the river banks, including coastal flooding expected to continue to affect northern and parts of the central islands today. Seas will remain very rough to phenomenal with heavy to phenomenal swells over the affected areas. People, including sea going vessels are strongly advised not to go out to sea until the system has moved further away of the area. The Marine strong wind warning and High seas warning are current for northern and central coastal and open waters. Name: Tropical Cyclone OMA Details: Latitude Longitude Estimated Position Time (VUT) Intensity Category (decimal deg.) (decimal deg.) Accuracy (km) 0hr 2 pm February 16 2 15.5S 163.9E 75 +6hr 8 pm February 16 2 15.6S 163.7E 100 +12hr 2 am February 17 2 15.7S 163.5E 130 +18hr 8 am February 17 3 15.8S 163.4E 155 +24hr 2 pm February 17 3 16.0S 163.4E 185 +36hr 2 am February 18 3 16.8S 163.2E 245 +48hr 2 pm February 18 3 17.8S 162.8E 305 +60hr 2 am February 19 3 18.8S 162.2E 395 +72hr 2 pm February 19 3 19.7S 161.6E 480 The next Forecast Track Map will be issued by 6:00 pm VUT Saturday.

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