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ANU CRAWFORD LEADERSHIP FORUM PROGRAM GLOBAL REALITIES, DOMESTIC CHOICES Rebuilding Trust 23-25 JUNE 2019

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ANU CRAWFORD LEADERSHIP FORUM PROGRAM GLOBAL REALITIES, DOMESTIC CHOICES Rebuilding Trust 23-25 JUNE 2019 ANU CRAWFORD LEADERSHIP FORUM PROGRAM GLOBAL REALITIES, DOMESTIC CHOICES Rebuilding trust 23-25 JUNE 2019 ANU Public Policy and Societal Impact Hub CONTENTS Information 1 Welcome 5 The Forum 6 Convening Group 6 Program 7 After the Forum 17 Breakfast sessions 19 International speakers 25 Domestic speakers 28 Participant list 58 INFORMATION Registration desk Forum App Acton Foyer, JG Crawford Building iPhone - download from iTunes Android - download from Google Play Event support Mel Huggins Forum Website 0498 435 169 http://aclf.anu.edu.au E [email protected] Venues Forum Management National Gallery of Australia Bob McMullan Parkes Pl E, Parkes ACT 2600 Director, ANU Crawford Leadership Forum T 0481 756 525 JG Crawford Building E [email protected] 132 Lennox Crossing, Acton ACT 2601 Lauren Bartsch University House Manager, ANU Crawford Leadership Forum 1 Balmain Crescent, Acton ACT 2601 T 0405 387 960 E [email protected] Llewellyn Hall 100 William Herbert Place, Canberra ACT 2601 ANU media hotline T (02) 6125 7979 E [email protected] James Giggacher 0436 803 488 Twitter #ACLForum Wifi internet access Network: ANU-Secure Username: ANUForum2019 Password: Forum! ANU Security T (02) 6125 2249 Emergency services T 000 1 MAPS Level 2 Plenary Sessions Molonglo Theatre CRAWFORD Breakfast Sessions Common Seminar Rooms 7-9 ANNEX Room Monday Lunch Seminar Rooms 5-9 4 5 Media Room Brindabella Seminar Room 4 Theatre 6 ANU Media Studio Level 2 Common Room 7 Molonglo Theatre LIFT 8 9 Legend Womens toilet Mens toilet LIFT Disabled toilet 2 Level 1 Concurrent Sessions Barton Theatre Acton Theatre CRAWFORD Breakfast Sessions ANNEX Lennox Room Grifn Room 1 Stanner building Tuesday Lunch Canberry/Springbank Room LIFT Barton Theatre Monday Lunch Seminar Room 1 Lennox Room Grifn Room Acton Forum Secretariat Theatre 2 Weston Acton Foyer Theatre TAXI SHUTTLE LIFT Lennox Room Grifn Room Springbank Room Canberry Liversidge Street Room LIFT OLD CANBERRA HOUSE P Murdoch Room Legend Women’s toilet Men’s toilet Disabled toilet P Parking TAXI Taxi SHUTTLE Shuttle Bus 3 Level 3 Monday Lunch Seminar Rooms 10 CRAWFORD ANNEX 10 LIFT Legend Womens toilet Mens toilet Disabled toilet LIFT 4 WELCOME The central challenge for democratic governments everywhere is to make good policy good politics. Australia is not alone in facing ever more intense geopolitical, economic and social policy challenges, but finding it difficult to build the political and community consensus necessary to confront them effectively. The ANU Crawford Leadership Forum, now in its sixth year, brings together on an invitation- only basis, 150 distinguished business, public sector, research and advocacy community leaders, Australian and international, to debate for two days both the global realities and the domestic choices needed to address them. There is no more appropriate venue to wrestle with these issues, and to begin building the consensus necessary to resolve them, than this great national university of ours, and I offer all our visitors the warmest of welcomes. Gareth Evans Chancellor, The Australian National University Chair, ANU Crawford Leadership Forum Honorary Professorial Fellow, ANU Crawford School of Public Policy The Australian National University aspires to the highest standards of excellence—to be recognised not only as our national university but our finest; in research, in academic excellence and in our contribution to national and international public policy-making. I am proud to welcome you to this year’s Crawford Leadership Forum. In its sixth year, this forum has become an important arena for leaders across our nation to discuss the major challenges facing our country and beyond, and to foster ideas that can inform the development of public policy. We have some incredible minds coming together for this year’s forum and I look forward to participating in these discussions as we look at ways to rebuild trust. Brian Schmidt Vice-Chancellor, The Australian National University 2011 Nobel Laureate in Physics 5 THE FORUM Trust is a precious commodity. It is hard to win and easy to lose. In mid-2019 trust in many of our institutions is severely damaged. The Banking Royal Commission, the reports of institutional abuse and the lack of response from the churches, the decline of mainstream media and the rise of echo chamber social media have all challenged our trust in Australian institutions. But it is a global phenomenon. Brexit has exposed the UK parliament’s inability to resolve a crisis; Donald Trump has exploited the hyper-partisanship in US politics. And the established international order of treaties and agreements is under challenge. This all reinforces the need to look at how we re-build trust. We need institutions worthy of the people’s trust and messages that tell people the truth about them. This year’s Forum brings together a truly outstanding group of international and domestic speakers to attempt to distinguish the ephemeral from the enduring trends and begin the necessary task of rebuilding the trust that is essential to a healthy democracy. Bob McMullan Director, ANU Crawford Leadership Forum The Australian National University CONVENING GROUP Gareth Evans (Chair) Brian P. Schmidt Chancellor, The Australian National University Vice-Chancellor, The Australian National University Bob McMullan Heather Smith Director, ANU Crawford Leadership Forum, The Australian Secretary, Department of Industry, Innovation and Science National University Helen Sullivan Melinda Cilento Professor and Director, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Chief Executive, Committee for Economic Development of Australian National University Australia Michael Wesley Allan Gyngell Professor and Dean, ANU College of Asia & the Pacific President, Australian Institute of International Affairs Sean Innis Director, Public Policy and Societal Impact Hub, The Australian National University Sung Lee Director, Asia Practice, PricewaterhouseCoopers Australia Graeme Samuel Member, The Australian National University Council 6 PROGRAM Sunday 23 June 2019 4 - 5.30pm JG Crawford Oration Llewellyn Hall, ANU Opening remarks School of Music Brian P. Schmidt Vice-Chancellor, The Australian National University Oration Dato’ Seri Anwar Ibrahim President, People’s Justice Party, Malaysia Followed by a conversation with Gareth Evans Chancellor, The Australian National University Closing remarks Sally Wheeler Pro-Vice Chancellor for International Strategy, The Australian National University 7 PROGRAM Sunday 23 June 2019 6 - 7.30pm Registration & opening reception Foyer, National Gallery of Australia 7.30 - 9.30pm Gala dinner Gandel Hall, Welcome to Country National Gallery of Matilda House Australia Honorary Doctor, The Australian National University Ngambri-Ngunnawal-Canberra Indigenous elder Gandel Hall, Welcome remarks National Gallery of Gareth Evans Australia Chancellor, The Australian National University The state of the world Zhu Feng Executive Director, China Centre for Collaborative Studies of South China Sea Director, Institute of International Studies, Nanjing University Kelly Magsamen Vice President, National Security and International Policy, Centre for American Progress Gideon Rachman Chief Foreign Affairs Columnist, Financial Times in conversation with Gareth Evans Chancellor, The Australian National University 8 PROGRAM Monday 24 June 2019 7.30 - 8.45am Concurrent breakfast sessions Seminar Rooms Please see page 19 for more details. 8.45 - 9am Break Acton Foyer 9 - 9.10am Welcome Molonglo Theatre Brian P. Schmidt Vice-Chancellor, The Australian National University Bob McMullan Director, ANU Crawford Leadership Forum 9.10 - 9.30am Opening session Molonglo Theatre Trends in trust This session will provide a background of global trends in trust as measured by the most prestigious international benchmarks. Daryl Karp Director, Museum of Australian Democracy Jill Sheppard Lecturer, School of Politics and International Relations, The Australian National University Laura Tingle (Chair) Chief Political Correspondent, 7:30, ABC 9 PROGRAM Monday 24 June 2019 9.30 - 11am Plenary session 1 Molonglo Theatre State of the global economy The Global Financial Crisis left many people around the world wondering whether the current regulatory regimes are adequate to the task they have been set and undermined trust in banks and the prevailing orthodoxy. Are we are facing a serious prospect of another global economic crisis? Warwick McKibbin Director, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, The Australian National University Thomas Lembong Chair, Indonesia Investment Coordinating Board Philip Lowe Governor, Reserve Bank of Australia Su-Lin Ong Managing Director, Chief Economist & Head of Australian Research, RBC Capital Markets Melinda Cilento (Chair) Chief Executive, Committee for Economic Development of Australia 11 - 11.30am Break Acton Foyer 10 PROGRAM Monday 24 June 2019 11.30am - 1pm Concurrent sessions 1 A1: Acton Theatre A1: Economic/Social B1: Geopolitics B1: Barton Theatre Growth without inequality Global pressures and impact on South East Asia and South Asia One of the supposed perceived drivers of The sharpening of US-China strategic mistrust of economic and political institutions has competition, China’s strategic ambitions and been the unequal distribution of the benefits and economic policies, the prospect of a technology costs of economic growth. Are there options for “Cold War” and some of the Asia policies of the distributing opportunities more fairly, and what Trump Administration
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