Appendix a – Profiles of Conditions and Trends
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AppendixAppendix AA ProfilesProfiles ofof 20092009 ConditionsConditions andand TrendsTrends The Eastern Adams County Joint Comprehensive Plan and Route 194 Corridor Study , 2012 This page intentionally blank for two-sided printing. Eastern Adams County Joint Comprehensive Plan Population Profile Population statistics were derived from the US Census Bureau and used to characterize the Eastern Adams County region resident population by age, race, ethnicity, density, and households. Population projections for 2010, 2020 and 2030 were collected from the Adams County Office of Planning and Development. These demographic conditions provide an indication of current resident needs for land, infrastructure, and services. Population projections enable an estimate of future resident needs for the same. Findings of the Data • The region’s population at the turn of the 21st century was 15,992. Growth surged between 1990 and 2000, when the region added nearly 30% more residents; an average annual increase of 2.9%. This was due in large part to the fact that municipalities in this region had land zoned for development and available sewer capacity that other areas of the county did not have. Every municipality in the region grew with Abbottstown Borough growing the most (67.9%) and New Oxford Borough growing the least (4.89%) between 1990 and 2000. In real numbers, Oxford Township had the largest population increase, adding 1,439 residents, followed by Reading Township which increased by 1,278 residents. During this period, the region grew faster than Adams County and the State (Table 1). • More detailed data at the census block group level shows that the population in Abbottstown Borough, adjacent areas of Hamilton Township, eastern New Oxford Borough and adjacent areas of Oxford Township saw the greatest rates of increase between 1990 and 2000 (60-80%). Population growth was also strong in the eastern half of Reading Township and the western portion of New Oxford Borough and adjacent areas of Oxford Township. The southwestern portion of Oxford Township was stable or lost population during this period (Map 1). • Population growth in the region slowed to 14.41% between 2000 and 2007; an average annual increase of 2.1%. This growth rate was still higher than Adams County (13.7%) and significantly higher than the state (1.13%) over the same period. Every municipality in the region experienced a population increase, with Hamilton Township having the highest rate of growth (25.3%) and Abbottstown Borough, the lowest (5.3%) (Table 1). • The region is younger on average than the county and the state. The median age within the region is 34.7 years, much lower in comparison to Adams County or Pennsylvania. The age demographics of the region indicate that there are many younger families with children. The largest age group in the region is the 0-14 year old age group (22.6%), followed by the 35-44 year old age group (17.4%). Oxford Township has the largest population of residents over age 75 (865), influenced by the presence of Cross Keys Village, the Brethren Home Community. If the 376 residents of the nursing homes, namely the Brethren Home, in Oxford Township are excluded, the median age for the remaining five municipalities is 34.3 years (Table 2). • The region is less diverse racially and ethnically in comparison to the county and the state. The largest racial minority group is those who classify themselves as some other race (1.9%). People of Hispanic or Latino ethnicity are the largest ethnic group, with 576 residents or 3.6 percent of the total population. Oxford Township has the largest number of minority residents (Table 3). • The region is more densely populated in comparison to the county or the state. In 2000, there were 308.1 residents per square mile in the 51.91 square mile region, or 0.48 residents per acre in the Eastern Adams County Joint Comprehensive Plan 1 Population Profile 33,222 acre region. Population density for Adams County in 2000 was 175.6 residents per square mile or 0.27 residents per acre (Table 4). • Household type statistics for the region are similar to the county. The largest household type in the region is married couples (61.1%). Nearly 45% of families have children less than 18 years of age, and 9.4% of families are single women with children. One in five residents (20.5%) live alone, and nearly half of those living alone are over age 65. Approximately 75% of the households in the region are families and 25% are non-families (unrelated individuals living together). The average household size is 2.66 people, whereas the average family size is 3.07 (Table 5). • The Adams County Office of Planning and Development projected future municipal populations based on the build out of planned residential developments. These projections indicated that the population in the region would increase by 804 residents by 2010, from the 2007 estimated population. Between 2010 and 2020, the region’s population would increase by 24.7% which is slightly less than the region’s 1990 to 2000 growth rate (29.43%), and much less than Adams County’s projected growth rate (42.7%). Projected growth to 2030 could result in a regional population between 26,000 and nearly 31,000 residents—an increase of 10-30%--under current zoning and depending on the intensity of infill and redevelopment (Table 6). • Abbottstown Borough had the lowest percentage of population below poverty level (0-2.8%) in 1999, while the western half of Reading Township had the highest percentage (11.3-14%) below poverty level (Map 2). For comparison, Adams County’s poverty rate was 7.1%. Eastern Adams County Joint Comprehensive Plan 2 Population Profile Table 1: Population Change for Eastern Adams County Region, Adams County, and State, 2007 Population Estimated % Change % Change 2007 ACOPD % Change Area 1980 1990 1980-1990 2000 1990-2000 Estimate 2000-2007 Pennsylvania 11,863,895 11,881,643 0.15 12,281,054 3.36 12,419,930 1.13 Adams County 68,292 78,274 14.62 91,292 16.63 103,759 13.70 EAC Region 10,318 12,356 19.75 15,992 29.43 18,296 14.41 Abbottstown borough 689 539 -21.77 905 67.90 953 5.30 East Berlin borough 1,054 1,175 11.48 1,365 16.17 1,552 13.70 Hamilton township 1,692 1,760 4.02 2,044 16.14 2,561 25.3 New Oxford borough 1,921 1,617 -15.83 1,696 4.89 1,829 7.8 Oxford township 2,302 3,437 49.30 4,876 41.87 5,635 15.60 Reading township 2,660 3,828 43.91 5,106 33.39 5,766 12.90 Table 2: Age, 2000 Age Groups Median 0-14 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-59 60-74 75+ Area Age Yrs Yrs Yrs Yrs Yrs Yrs Yrs Yrs Pennsylvania 38.0 16,911,794 850,986 746,086 1,560,486 1,948,076 2,325,001 1,480,928 949,893 Adams County 37.0 20,227 6,810 5,573 11,426 15,001 17,242 10,393 6,025 EAC Region 34.7 3,621 1,054 735 2,242 2,780 2,689 1,545 1,326 Abbottstown 31.9 229 58 49 154 175 144 69 27 borough East Berlin borough 34.6 313 81 77 219 218 208 157 92 Hamilton township 38 440 140 89 254 358 448 244 71 New Oxford 34.6 371 139 98 249 265 294 167 113 borough Oxford township* 39.6 984 300 188 606 746 706 481 865 Reading township 34.4 1284 336 234 760 1018 889 427 158 *The institutionalized population in nursing homes totals 376. The only nursing home facility in the region is the Brethren Home in Oxford Township. Eastern Adams County Joint Comprehensive Plan 3 Population Profile Table 3: Race and Hispanic Ethnicity, 2000 Percent of total population Race Ethnicity One race Total Geographic area population White Black or African American American Indian Native and Alaska Asian & Native Hawaiian Other Pacific Islander Some other race Two or more races more races Two or Hispanic or Latino (of any race) Pennsylvania 12,281,054 10,484,203 1,224,612 18,348 219,813 3,417 188,437 142,224 394,088 Adams County 91,292 87,088 1,105 184 448 21 1,559 887 3,323 EAC Region 15,992 96.4 0.4 0.2 0.3 0 1.9 0.8 3.6 Abbottstown 905 862 2 1 0 1 35 4 50 borough East Berlin borough 1,365 1,330 7 2 4 0 12 10 39 Hamilton township 2,044 2,005 4 0 6 0 16 13 35 New Oxford 1,696 1,568 23 4 3 3 75 20 152 borough Oxford township 4,876 4,629 23 6 23 0 151 40 239 Reading township 5,106 5,017 9 12 9 1 14 44 61 Table 4: Population Density, 2000 Land Area Density Land Area Density Geographic area Population (Sq. Miles) (Sq. Miles) (Acres) (Acres) Pennsylvania 12,281,054 44,817 274 28,682,880 0.43 Adams County 91,292 520.01 175.6 332,806.4 0.27 EAC Region 15,992 51.91 308.10 33,222.4 0.48 Abbottstown borough 905 0.57 1,592.20 364.8 2.48 East Berlin borough 1,365 0.70 1,962.10 448.0 3.05 Hamilton township 2,044 13.71 149.10 8,774.4 0.23 New Oxford borough 1,696 0.63 2,700.70 403.2 4.21 Oxford township 4,876 9.74 500.7 6,233.6 0.78 Reading township 5,106 26.56 192.30 16,998.4 0.30 Hampton CDP 633 0.63 1,010.20 403.2 1.57 Lake Meade CDP (portion in 1,447 0.75 1,933.20 480 3.01 Reading township)* Remainder of Reading twp 3,026 25.18 120.2 16,115.2 0.19 *The total population of the Lake Meade CDP (Census designated place) was 1,832 in 2000.