Society for Economic Dynamics

SED Annual Meeting

is co-hosted by Yonsei University (Global Research Team) Ministry of Strategy and Finance SED Annual Meeting The Bank of Korea June 27-29, 2013 Korea Development Institute , Korea

Society for Economic Dynamics gratefully acknowledges additional sponsorship of

© National Museum of Korea SED Annual Meeting 2013

is hosted by

SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics http://www.economicdynamics.org/sed2013.htm

Program Chairs Virgiliu Midrigan - NYU Josep Pijoan-Mas - CEMFI

Local Organizers Yongsung Chang - University of Rochester & Yonsei University Jang-Ok Cho - Sogang University Sun-Bin Kim - Yonsei University Hyun Song Shin - Princeton University Kwanho Shin - Korea University Tack Yun - Seoul National University

SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Contents

Message from the President 3

Program Committee Members 4

SED 2013 Schedule 5

Overview of Sessions by Day 6

Complete List of Sessions 9

Local Information 49

Transportation 51

Map of Conference Site 53

Restaurants Suggestions 55

City Map 60

List of Presenters 62

1

SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Message from the President

Dear participants in our 2013 Annual Meeting, Welcome to the first SED meeting in Asia!

It’s a pleasure for me to welcome all of you to Seoul. For many of you it has been a long trip, for others at last a short one. But in any case, the SED meeting is home to all of us. Thanks to the excellent work of the program chairs, Virgiliu Midrigan and Josep Pijoan-Mas, and their collaborators, we have an exciting program and in our exchange of ideas, distances blur. As in previous years, many papers presented here will later appear in RED and other leading economic journals; I am sure they will benefit from discussions in and out of our sessions; so, there is much to thank the program organizers for.

Great papers, sessions and discussions are the landmark of our meetings, but the place, logistics and social events also define their success. On this score we should thank Yonsei University for hosting us, as well as thanking those who have provided financial support (Korean Ministry of Strategy and Finances, Bank of Korea, Korea Development Institute, and Samsung Corporation) and especially the local organizers who, behind the scenes, have collaborated through their efforts: Yongsung Chang, Jang-Ok Cho, Sun-Bin Kim, Hyun Song Shin, Kwanho Shin and Tack Yun. I am sure this year’s meeting is going to be fun too!

What is new for us – having a meeting in Asia – is only a reflection of something that is certainly not new in Economic Dynamics: the increasing number of Asian scholars contributing to our research, meetings, and journals. For many of you this meeting in Seoul may be a discovery of a vibrant city, while for the Society it is no more than an overdue recognition that excellent economic research is also spreading East.

Enjoy the meeting!

Ramon Marimon President of the Society for Economic Dynamics

3 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Program Committee Members

 Program Chairs Virgiliu Midrigan New York Univ. Josep Pijoan-Mas CEMFI

 Committee Azzimonti, Marina FRB of Philadelphia Moll, Benjamin Princeton Univ. Bai, Yan Univ. of Rochester Nakajima, Makoto FRB of Philadelphia Bianchi, Francesco Duke Univ. Nosal, Jaromir Duke Univ. Carvalho, Vasco CREI Ordonez, Guillermo Univ. of Pennsylvania Casanova, Maria Univ. of California, Los Angeles Ramondo, Natalia Arizona State Univ. Chien, Yili FRB of St. Louis Rendhal, Pontus Cambridge Univ. Colacito, Riccardo Univ. of North Carolina Rudanko, Leena Boston Univ. Cunha, Flavio Univ. of Pennsylvania Schaal, Edouard New York Univ. Fajgelbaum, Pablo Univ. of California, Los Angeles Scheuer, Florian Stanford Univ. Hassan, Tarek Univ. of Chicago (Booth) Schoellman, Todd Arizona State Univ. Hong, Jay Univ. of Rochester Schoonbroodt, Alice Univ. of Iowa Ilut, Cosmin Duke Univ. Schulhofer-Wohl, Sam FRB of Minneapolis Itskhoki, Oleg Princeton Univ. Shin, Yongseok Washington Univ. in St. Louis Kaboski, Joe Univ. of Notre Dame Shourideh, Ali Univ. of Pennsylvania (Wharton) Kaplan, Greg Princeton Univ. Simsek, Alp MIT Koehne, Sebastian IIES Song, Zheng Michael Univ. of Chicago (Booth) Kredler, Matthias Universidad Carlos III Waugh, Mike New York Univ. (Stern) Kurlat, Pablo Stanford Univ. Wiederholt, Mirko Goethe Univ. La'o, Jennifer Univ. of Chicago (Booth) Xu, Daniel Duke Univ. Lagakos, David Arizona State Univ. Yared, Pierre Columbia Univ. Lise, Jeremy Univ. College London Yogo, Motohiro FRB of Minneapolis Maziero, Pricila Univ. of Pennsylvania (Wharton) Yue, Vivian Federal Reserve Board Mertens, Thomas New York Univ.

4 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

SED 2013 Schedule

Day Wednsday Thursday Friday Saturday Time June 26 June 27 June 28 June 29

09:00-09:45 Registration Registration Registration

09:45-11:45 Parallel Sessions Parallel Sessions Parallel Sessions

11:45-13:00 Lunch Lunch Lunch

13:00-15:00 Parallel Sessions Parallel Sessions Parallel Sessions

15:00-15:30 Coffee Break Coffee Break Coffee Break

15:30-17:30 Parallel Sessions Parallel Sessions Parallel Sessions

17:30-17:45 Coffee Break Coffee Break Coffee Break

Plenary Session Plenary Session Plenary Session 17:45-18:45 Mark Watson Hal Cole Gianluca Violante B130 B130 B130

Welcome Reception Lotte Hotel Sapphire Room BBQ and Beer (18:30 - 20:30) Conference Dinner Party Lotte Hotel Yonsei University Crystal Room President’s House (20:00-22:00) (19:00-21:00)

5 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Overview of Parallel Sessions Thursday, June 27

Time 09:45 - 11:45 13:00 - 15:00 15:30 - 17:30 Room

Productivity and Firm Dynamics and Fiscal Policy, Public Debt B106 Economic Growth Aggregate Productivity and Risk Sharing

Monetary and Labor Markets and B109 China Macroprudential Policy Unemployment

Uncertainty and Networks and B112 Sovereign Debt and Default the Macroeconomy Supply Chains

Housing, Leverage, Inflation and B120 Development and Growth Demand and the Recession Currency Risk

Fluctuations in Labor Supply Imports, Productivity B121 Macro and Finance and Insurance and Trade Reform

Dynamic Models of Topics in Credit Booms. 101 Old-Age Risks International Trade I Early Warnings?

Housing and 102 Trade and Inequality Political Economy Inventory Dynamics

Culture, Social Learning 110 Topics in IO Open Economy Macro and Human Development

Economic Growth and Earnings and 112 Financial Regulation Structural Change Labor Supply Dynamics

Labor and Technology Adoption, 113 Bankruptcy and Repayment Capital Market Frictions Innovation and Diffusion

Marriage, Divorce, Housing and Firm Dynamics 115 and Fertility Portfolio Choice and Financial Frictions

Information in 201 Macro Labor Advances in NDPF Finacial Markets

6 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Overview of Parallel Sessions Friday, June 28

Time 09:45 - 11:45 13:00 - 15:00 15:30 - 17:30 Room

Exchange Rates and Empirical Industrial B106 Inflation Dynamics Capital Controls Organization

Unemployment in B109 Wage Inequality I Expectations the Great Recession

Topics in Demand Effects and Labour Macroeconomics across B112 International Trade II Market Interactions Time and Space

Structural Transformation, Labor Market Search: Search and B120 Development, and Heterogeneity and Information Frictions Urbanization Aggregate Uncertainty

Macroeconomic Tax Policy in B121 Externalities with Financial International Capital Flows a Diverse World Frictions

Exchange Rates Firm Dynamics, Growth, 101 Productivity and Growth and Prices Trade, and Productivity

Default, Crises, and 102 Pricing Frictions International Macro Financial Intermediation

The Big Recession: Perspectives on 110 Aggregate Demand or Household Risk Sharing the Arab Spring Frictions to Reallocation?

Labor Supply and 112 Corporate Finance Macro Finance Aggregate Fluctuations

Robustness and Advances in 113 Asset Pricing Heterogeneous Beliefs Public Finance

Migration and Geography, Risk Sharing, 115 Labor Market Shocks Labor Markets and Income Inequality

Public Finance Financial Intermediation Policy Making and 201 in Aging Societies and the Macroeconomy the Great Recession

7 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Overview of Parallel Sessions Saturday, June 29

Time 09:45 - 11:45 13:00 - 15:00 15:30 - 17:30 Room

Bubbles and Identification Family, Demography, and Parameter Instability in B106 in DSGE Models the Macroeconomy DSGE Models

Monetary Policy Entry Costs, Firm Sizes, Tax Distortions and Political B109 and the Zero Bound and Development Economy on Interest Rates

Dynamic Taxation and Information Frictions: Unemployment, Product B112 Insurance Theory and Evidence Markets and Search

Human Capital and Search in the Housing Uncertainty, Expectations B120 Development Market and Business Cycles

International B121 Government Spending Barriers to Reallocation Macro-Finance

Uncertainty and Sovereign Default, Savings 101 Global Production Fluctuations and Capital Flows

Output, Inflation, Longevity, Fertility, and 102 and International Solution Methods Health Macroeconomic Dynamics

Monetary Policy and Human Capital and 110 Search Theory Welfare Technical Change

Household Insurance and Global and Repeated 112 Risk and Portfolio Choice Credit Games

Inequality and 113 Labor and Finance Wage Inequality II Intergenerational Mobility

Financial Frictions Money, Liquidity, and The Service Sector across 115 and Field Experiments Trading in OTC Markets Time and Countries in General Equilibrium

Networks in 201 Sovereign Debt Trade and Development Macroeconomics

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Thursday June 27, 09:45 - 11:45

Productivity and Economic Growth Location: B106

Size-Dependent Regulations, Firm Size Distribution, and Reallocation Francois Gourio; Nicolas Roys, University of Wisconsin – Madison

Investment and Productivity Dynamics at the Plant and the Firm Level Matthias Kehrig, University of Texas at Austin; Nicolas Vincent

Dynamic Sorting Simeon Alder, University of Notre Dame; Moritz Meyer-ter-Vehn; Lee Ohanian

Rethinking the Growth of Nations Alexander Monge-Naranjo; Juan Sanchez, FRB of St. Louis; Raul Santaeulalia-Llopis

Dynamic Models of Old-Age Risks Location: 101

The Joint Implications of Medicaid and Social Security for Savings and Welfare Karen Kopecky, FRB of Atlanta; R. Braun; Tatyana Koreshkova

Explaining the Decline of the U.S. Saving Rate: the Joint Role of Health Expenditure and Employer Contributions Bela Szemely, Boston University

Dynamic Wage and Employment Effects of Elder Parent Care Meghan Skira, University of Georgia

Long-Term Care: Macroeconomic Implications and Policy Daniel Barczyk; Matthias Kredler, Universidad Carlos III Madrid

Macro Labor Location: 201

Worker Flows under Mismatch William Hawkins, Yeshiva University

The Joint Dynamics of Capital and Employment at the Plant Level Ryan Michaels, University of Rochester

How Sticky Wages in Existing Jobs Can Affect Hiring Mark Bils, University of Rochester; Yongsung Chang; Sun-Bin Kim

Monetary Policy with Heterogeneous Agents Makoto Nakajima; FRB of Philadelphia

9 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Thursday June 27, 09:45 - 11:45

Sovereign Debt and Default Location: B112

In for a Penny, In for a 100 Billion Pounds: Quantifying the Welfare Benefits from Debt Relief Daniel Dias; Christine Richmond; Mark Wright, UCLA

Efficient Sovereign Default Alessandro Dovis; University of Minnesota

Partial Default Cristina Arellano; Xavier Mateos-Planas, Queen Mary University of London; Jose-Victor Rios-Rull

Maturity Structure and Debt Renegotiation in International Lending Jaromir Nosal, Columbia University

Fluctuations in Macro and Finance Location: B121

Liquidity Management and Monetary Policy Javier Bianchi, University of Wisconsin - Madison; Saki Bigio

Investor Polarization, Trading Volume, and Return Dynamics Marcin Kacperczyk; Jaromir Nosal; Luminita Stevens, University of Maryland

Missing Aggregate Dynamics: On the Slow Convergence of Lumpy Adjustment Models David Berger, Northwestern University

A Traffic Jam Theory of Recessions Jennifer La'O, University of Chicago

China Location: B109

Multiplier Effects of Government Spending: A Tale of China Xin Wang, Tsinghua University; Yi Wen

The One-Child Policy and Household Savings in China Nicolas Coeurdacier, Sciences Po Paris; Keyu Jin

A Model of China’s State Capitalism Xi Li; Wuewen Liu; Yong Wang, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology

The Effect of Economic Reform and Industrial Policy in a Panel of Chinese Cities Simon Alder; Lin Shao, Washington University of St. Louis; Fabrizio Zilibotti

10 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Thursday June 27, 09:45 - 11:45

Housing, Leverage, Demand and the Recession Location: B120

Demand Shocks and Open Economy Puzzles Yan Bai, University of Rochester; Jose-Victor Rios-Rull

Household Leverage and the Recession Virgiliu Midrigan, ; Thomas Philippon

Did the Housing Bust Cause the Great Recession? Greg Kaplan; Kurt Mitman, University of Pennsylvania; Gianluca Violante

Wealth and Volatility Jonathan Heathcote; Fabrizio Perri, University of Minnesota

Culture, Social Learning and Human Development Location: 110

Cultures, Worldviews, and Intergenerational Altruism Kohei Kubota; Akiko Kamesaka; Masao Ogaki, ; Fumio Ohtake

Why Do Europeans Steal So Much More Than Americans? Marek Kapicka, University of California Santa Barbara; Peter Rupert; Giulio Zanella

The Human Value Index Christian Zimmermann, FRB of St. Louis

Supervised Social Learning Johannes Horner, Yale University

Labor and Capital Market Frictions Location: 113

Equilibrium Default and Slow Recoveries Julio Blanco; Joseph Mullins; Gaston Navarro, New York University

Startups, Credit, and the Jobless Recovery Immo Schott, European University Institute

Net Leverage, Risk, and Credit Spreads Berardino Palazzo, Boston University, School of Management

Bank Leverage Cyles Galo Nuno; Carlos Thomas, Banco de España

11 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Thursday June 27, 09:45 - 11:45

Marriage, Divorce, and Fertility Location: 115

The Demographic Consequences of Gender Selection Technology Qi Li; Juan Pantano, Washington University in St. Louis

Marriage, Social Insurance and Labor Supply Hamish Low; Costas Meghir; Luigi Pistaferri; Alessandra Voena, University of Chicago

Sex Ratios and Long-Term Marriage Trends Satoshi Tanaka, University of Queensland; Jose-Victor Rios-Rull; Shannon Seitz

Divorce, Remarriage and Old Age Poverty Maria Casanova, UCLA; Clement Joubert

Trade and Inequality Location: 102

Trade Imbalances and Wage Inequality Rosario Crinò, CEMFI; Paolo Epifani

Offshoring, Low-skilled Immigration and Labor Market Polarization Federico Mandelman; Andrei Zlate, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

Import Switching and the Impact of a Large Devaluation Dan Lu, the University of Rochester

Financial Regulation Location: 112

The Regulation of Money Market Funds: Adding Discipline to the Policy Debate Cecilia Parlatore Siritto, University of Pennsylvania

Optimal Policy for Macro-Financial Stability Gianluca Benigno; Huigang Chen; Christopher Otrok, University of Missouri and St Louis Fed; Alessandro Rebucci; Eric Young

Managing Financial Crises: Lean or Clean? Mitsuru Katagiri; Ryo Kato; Takayuki Tsuruga, Kyoto Unviersity

Interest Rate Policy and Financial Regulation: How to Control Excessive Risk Taking? Simona Cociuba, University of Western Ontario; Malik Shukayev; Alexander Ueberfeldt

12 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Thursday June 27, 13:00 - 15:00

Uncertainty and the Macroeconomy Location: B112

Financial Distress and Endogenous Uncertainty Francois Gourio, Boston University

Identifying Long-Run Risks: A Bayesian Mixed-Frequency Approach Frank Schorfheide; Dongho Song, University of Pennsylvania; Amir Yaron

Beliefs and Fluctuations: A Quantitative Exploration George-Marios Angeletos; Fabrice Collard, University of Bern; Harris Dellas

Uncertainty Shocks, Asset Supply and Pricing over the Business Cycle Francesco Bianchi; Cosmin Ilut, Duke University; Martin Schneider

Topics in International Trade I Location: 101

Love for Quality, Comparative Advantage, and Trade Esteban Jaimovich, University of Surrey; Vincenzo Merella

Trade Patterns, Income Differences and Gains from Trade Wyatt Brooks, University of Notre Dame; Pau Pujolas

Trade and Interdependence in a Spatially Complex World Michal Fabinger, Pennsylvania State University

Financial Development and International Trade Fernando Leibovici, New York University and York University

Inflation and Currency Risk Location: B120

Money, Markets & Intermediaries Martin Schneider, Stanford University

Expectations from the Term Structure Arunima Sinha, Santa Clara University

What Do Nominal Rigidities and Monetary Policy Tell Us about the Real Yield Curve? Alex Hsu, Georgia Tech; Francisco Palomino

Who Bears Long-Run Inflation Risk? Implications for Bond Risk Premia YiLi Chien, FRB of St. Louis; Harold Cole; Hanno Lustig

13 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Thursday June 27, 13:00 - 15:00

Housing and Portfolio Choice Location: 115

Renegotiating Distressed Mortgage Loans: A Structural Estimation Hanming Fang; You Suk Kim; Wenli Li, FRB of Philadelphia

Mortgage Market Concentration, Foreclosures and House Prices Giovanni Favara, Federal Reserve Board

House Prices, Household Leverage, and Entrepreneurship Stefano Corradin, European Central Bank

The Home Bias of the Poor: Terms of Trade Effects and Portfolios across the Wealth Distribution Tobias Broer, Stockholm University

Labor Supply and Insurance Location: B121

A Life-Cycle Model of Unemployment and Disability Insurance Sagiri Kitao, Hunter College

Hours and Occupations Andres Erosa; Luisa Fuster; Gueorgui Kambourov, University of Toronto; Richard Rogerson

Heterogeneity and Government Revenues: Does Tax Progressivity Matter? Nezih Guner, ICREA-MOVE; Martin López Daneri; Gustavo Ventura

Labor Supply, Endogenous Wage Dynamics and Tax policy Árpád Ábrahám, European University Institute; Jay Hong; Ricardo Santos

Firm Dynamics and Aggregate Productivity Location: B106

Industry Dynamics, Investment and Business Cycles Julieta Caunedo, Washington University in St. Louis

Financing Constraints, Firm Dynamics and Innovation Andrea Caggese, Pompeu Fabra University

Financial Stress and Economic Dynamics: The Transmission of Crises Kirstin Hubrich, European Central Bank; Robert Tetlow

The Financing and Growth of Firms in China and India: Evidence from Capital Markets Tatiana Didier, World Bank; Sergio Schmukler

14 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Thursday June 27, 13:00 - 15:00

Information in Finacial Markets Location: 201

Intermediating Adverse Selection Christian Opp, University of Pennsylvania; Vincent Glode

Trading Dynamics with Adverse Selection and Search Jonathan Chiu, Bank of Canada; Thorsten Koeppl

Markets with Multidimensional Private Information Veronica Guerrieri; Robert Shimer, University of Chicago

The Social Value of Expertise Pablo Kurlat, Stanford University

Monetary and Macroprudential Policy Location: B109

Monetary Policy in Korea through the Lense of Taylor Rule in DSGE Model Tae Bong Kim, Korea Development Institute

Monetary Policy, External Finance Dependence, and the Cross-section of Stock Returns: A FAVAR Approach Tiago Berriel, EPGE-FGV; Carlos Carvalho; Victor Duarte

Expectations and Fluctuations: The Role of Monetary Policy Michael Rousakis, European University Institute

Assessing the Effects of Macroprudential Policy Measures in Korea Changho Choi, Bank of Korea

Topics in IO Location: 110

Campaign Finance in U.S. House Elections Kei Kawai, New York University

Market Effects of Patent Reform in the US Semiconductor Industry Jeff Thurk, University of Notre Dame

The Role of Entrepreneurial Wealth in Team Formation Galina Vereshchagina, Arizona State University

Customer Driven Establishment Dynamics and Allocative Efficiency Allen Tran, UCLA

15 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Thursday June 27, 13:00 - 15:00

Bankruptcy and Repayment Location: 113

Austerity and Bailouts in Sovereign Debt Restructuring David Benjamin, SUNY Buffalo; Mark Wright

Debt Dilution and Seniority in a Model of Defaultable Sovereign Debt Burcu Eyigungor, Phildalephia FRB; Satyajit Chatterjee

Modeling the Credit Card Revolution: The Role of Debt Collection and Informal Bankruptcy Lukasz Drozd, Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania

Screening as a Unified Theory of Delinquency, Renegotiation and Bankruptcy Natalia Kovrijnykh; Igor Livshits, University of Western Ontario

Economic Growth and Structural Change Location: 112

Asymmetric Information, Government Credit Subsidy, and Economic Growth Yong Wang, City University of Hong Kong

Redefining Industrial Revolution: Song China and England Ronald A. Edwards, Tamkang University

Structural Change and the Kaldor Facts in a Growth Model with Relative Price Effects and Non-Gorman Preferences Timo Boppart, IIES and Stockholm University

Economic Reforms and the Evolution of China's TFP Chadwick Curtis, University of Richmond

Political Economy Location: 102

Implications of Fiscal Constraints Fernando Martin, FRB of St. Louis

Political Economy in a Changing World Daron Acemoglu; Georgy Egorov, Northwestern University; Konstantin Sonin

Efficiency Gains from Wealth Taxation Daphne Chen; Fatih Guvenen; Gueorgui Kambourov; Burhanettin Kuruscu, University of Toronto

The Political Economy of Entry Barriers Toshihiko Mukoyama; Latchezar Popov, The University of Virginia

16 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Thursday June 27, 15:30 - 17:30

Fiscal Policy, Public Debt and Risk Sharing Location: B106

Expiring Budgets and Wasteful Year-End Spending in Federal Procurement Neale Mahoney, University of Chicago

How Well Did Social Security Mitigate the Effects of the Great Recession? William Peterman, Federal Reserve Board of Governors; Kamila Sommer

Public Deficit Bias and Immigration Michael Ben-Gad, City University London

Tax Competition and Migration Laurent Simula, Uppsala University

Networks and Supply Chains Location: B112

Losing to Win: Reputation Management of Online Sellers Ying Fan; Jiandong Ju; Mo Xiao, University of Arizona

Financial Constraints and Franchising Decisions Ying Fan, University of Michigan; Kai-Uwe Kuhn; Francine Lafontaine

Institutions and the Sectoral Organization of Production Ana Fernandes, University of Bern; Berner Fachhochschule

The Welfare Effects of Vertical Integration in Multichannel Television Markets Gregory Crawford; Robin Lee, Stern School of Business of NYU; Michael Whinston; Ali Yurukoglu

Credit Booms. Early Warnings? Location: 101

When Credit Bites Back Oscar Jorda, FRB of San Francisco; Moritz Schularick; Alan Taylor

Aggregate Uncertainty and the Supply of Credit Fabian Valencia, International Monetary Fund; Jeanne Verrier

Anatomy of Credit Booms and Their Demise Enrique Mendoza; Marco Terrones, International Monetary Fund

Political Booms, Financial Crises Helios Herrera, Columbia University; Guillermo Ordonez; Christoph Trebesch

17 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Thursday June 27, 15:30 - 17:30

Imports, Productivity and Trade Reform Location: B121

Imported Inputs, Quality Complementarity, and Skill Demand Diego Saravia; Nico Voigtlaender, UCLA

International Trade with Inattentive Importers Kunal Dasgupta; Jordi Mondria, University of Toronto

Using the New Products Margin to Predict the Sectoral Impact of Trade Reform Timothy Kehoe, University of Minnesota; Jack Rossbach; Kim Ruhl

Firms, Destinations, and Aggregate Fluctuations Julian di Giovanni; Andrei Levchenko; Isabelle Mejean, Ecole Polytechnique

Firm Dynamics and Financial Frictions Location: 115

Intangibles and Endogenous Firm Volatility over the Business Cycle Pablo D'Erasmo; Hernan Moscoso Boedo, University of Virginia

Dynamics of Firms and Trade in General Equilibrium Robert Dekle; Hyeok Jeong, KDI School;

Financial Frictions, Investment and Tobin’s q Dan Cao, Georgetown University; Guido Lorenzoni; Karl Walentin

Diversification, Cost Structure, and the Stock Returns of Multinational Corporations Jose Fillat; Stefania Garetto, Boston University; Lindsay Oldenski

Development and Growth Location: B120

Long-Run Misallocation in the Labor Market: Evidence from Germany's Post-War Population Transfers Michael Peters, Yale University

Apprenticeship and Technological Progress in the Malthusian World David de la Croix; Matthias Doepke, Northwestern University; Joel Mokyr

Constraints to the Growth of Firms: All in the Family? David Atkin; Francisco Buera, UCLA; Amit Khandelwal; Yongseok Shin

Financial Frictions and Industrial Policies Oleg Itskhoki; Benjamin Moll, Princeton University

18 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Thursday June 27, 15:30 - 17:30

Advances in NDPF Location: 201

Social Security is NOT a Substitute for Annuities Frank Caliendo; Lei (Nick) Guo; Roozbeh Hosseini, Arizona State University

Machines, Buildings, and Optimal Dynamic Taxes Ctirad Slavik, Goethe University in Frankfurt; Hakki Yazici

Strategic Default Antonio Mele, University of Surrey

Taxation and Redistribution of Residual Income Inequality Pricila Maziero, University of Pennsylvania

Open Economy Macro Location: 110

Third-Country Effects on the Exchange Rate Kimberly Berg, University of Notre Dame; Nelson Mark

The Risk Premium and Long-Run Global Imbalances YiLi Chien; Kanda Naknoi, University of Connecticut

The Great Recession: A Self-Fulfilling Global Panic Philippe Bacchetta, University of Lausanne; Eric van Wincoop

Exchange Rates as an Instrument of Monetary Policy Ilian Mihov; Ana Maria Santacreu, INSEAD

Technology Adoption, Innovation and Diffusion Location: 113

Cumulative Innovation, Growth and Welfare-Improving Patent Policy Edwin Lai, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology

Shared Rights and Technological Progress Matthew Mitchell; Yuzhe Zhang, Texas A&M University

Directed Technological Change: A Quantitative Analysis Robert Tamura, Clemson University; Michal Jerzmanowski

Spin-offs: Theory and Evidence from the Early U.S. Automobile Industry Luis Cabral; Zhu Wang, FRB of Richmond

19 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Thursday June 27, 15:30 - 17:30

Housing and Inventory dynamics Location: 102

House Prices and Monetary Policy: Focus on The Elasticity of Intra-Temporal Substitution between Housing and Consumption In Ho Song, Korea Development Institute

Mortgage Guarantees and House Price Inflation: A Quantitative Analysis Omer Acikgoz; James Kahn, Yeshiva University

House Price Dynamics with Household Debt: the Korean Case Hyun Jeong Kim; Jong Chil Son, The Bank of Korea; Myoung-Soo Yie

Can News Shocks Account for the Business-cycle Dynamics of Inventories? Nicolas Crouzet; Hyunseung Oh, Columbia University

Earnings and Labor Supply Dynamics Location: 112

Post Schooling Human Capital Investments and the Life Cycle Variance of Earnings Nicolas Pistolesi, Toulouse School of Economics (GREMAQ); Thierry Magnac; Sebastien Roux

Better Workers Move to Better Firms: A Simple Test to Identify Sorting Cristian Bartolucci, Collegio Carlo Alberto; Francesco Devicienti

Career Progression, Economic Downturns, and Skills Jerome Adda; Christian Dustmann, University College London; Costas Meghir; Jean-Marc Robin

Employer Learning, Job Mobility, and Wage Dynamics Seik Kim; Emiko Usui, Nagoya University

Labor Markets and Unemployment Location: B109

Endogenous Dual Labor Markets Enchuan Shao; Pedro Silos, FRB of Atlanta

The Cyclical Behavior of Equilibrium Unemployment and Vacancies Across OECD Countries Pedro Amaral, FRB of Cleveland; Murat Tasci

On Households and Unemployment Sekyu Choi, Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona

Optimal Unemployment Insurance with Monitoring Ofer Setty, Tel Aviv University

20 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Thursday June 27, 17:45 - 18:45

Mark Watson Plenary Location: B130

Friday June 28, 09:45 - 11:45

Inflation Dynamics Location: B106

Inflation Announcements and Social Dynamics Kinda Hachem, University of Chicago; Jing Cynthia Wu

Indeterminacy and Learning: An Analysis of Monetary Policy in the Great Inflation Thomas Lubik, FRB of Richmond; Christian Matthes

What Explains Japan's Persistent Deflation? Carlos Carvalho, Pontificia Universidade Catolica do Rio de Janeiro; Andrea Ferrero

Inflation Dynamics During the Financial Crisis Simon Gilchrist; Raphael Schoenle; Jae Sim, Federal Reeserve Board; Egon Zakrajsek

Topics in International Trade II Location: B112

Inter-Regional Trade, Inter-Sectoral Trade, and Productivity Lorenzo Caliendo, Yale University; Fernando Parro; Esteban Rossi-Hansberg; Pierre-Daniel Sarte

Trade Reforms, Foreign Competition, and Labor Market Adjustments in the U.S. Illenin Kondo, Federal Reserve Board

The Intensive Margin of Imports and Firm Productivity Joaquin Blaum, Brown University; Claire Lelarge; Michael Peters

Measuring the Unequal Gains From Trade Pablo Fajgelbaum, UCLA; Amit Khandelwal

21 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Friday June 28, 09:45 - 11:45

Macroeconomic Externalities with Financial Frictions Location: B121

Macroprudential Regulation versus Mopping Up after the Crash Olivier Jeanne; Anton Korinek, Johns Hopkins University and IMF

Fiscal Unions Emmanuel Farhi, Harvard University

Monetary and Macroprudential Policy in an Estimated DSGE Model of the Euro Area Dominic Quint, Free University Berlin

Liquidity Trap and Excessive Leverage Anton Korinek; Alp Simsek, Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Structural Transformation, Development, and Urbanization Location: B120

Urbanization with and without Structural Transformation Remi Jedwab, George Washington University and LSE

Sectoral Technology and Structural Transformation Akos Valentinyi, Cardiff Business School

Financial Frictions and Agricultural Productivity Differences Junmin Liao; Wei Wang, Washington University in St. Louis

Stages of Diversification and Industry Productivity Differences Roberto Samaniego, George Washington University

Migration and Labor Markets Location: 115

Dual Income Couples and Interstate Migration Bulent Guler, Indiana University - Bloomington

Immigration Restrictions and Skill Premia John Kennan, University of Wisconsin - Madison

The Native-Immigrant Wage Gap in the United States Rebecca Lessem; Carl Sanders, Washington University in St. Louis

Regional Mismatch and Labor Reallocation in an Equilibrium Model of Migration Plamen Nenov, Norwegian Business School (BI)

22 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Friday June 28, 09:45 - 11:45

Unemployment in the Great Recession Location: B109

Sectoral Shocks, the Beveridge Curve and Monetary Policy Dmitriy Sergeyev, Columbia University; Neil Mehrotra

Job Search Behavior over the Business Cycle Toshihiko Mukoyama, University of Virginia; Christina Patterson; Aysegul Sahin

Unemployment Benefits and Unemployment in the Great Recession: The Role of Macro Effects Marcus Hagedorn; Fatih Karahan, FRB of New York; Iourii Manovskii; Kurt Mitman

Hysteresis in Unemployment and Jobless Recoveries Dmitry Plotnikov, UCLA

Perspectives on the Arab Spring Location: 110

Medieval Universities, Legal Institutions, and the Commercial Revolution Davide Cantoni; Noam Yuchtman, UC Berkeley

"The People Want the Fall of the Regime": Schooling, Political Protest, and the Economy Filipe Campante, Harvard University

Corruption Networks and the Balance of Power in Egypt's Arab Spring Daron Acemoglu; Tarek Hassan, The University of Chicago; Ahmed Tahoun

Exchange Rates and Prices Location: 101

Pass-through Across Products and Time David Berger; Joseph Vavra, University of Chicago

Product Introductions, Currency Unions, and the Real Exchange Rate Alberto Cavallo, MIT; Brent Neiman; Roberto Rigobon

IKEA: Product, Pricing, and Pass-Through Marianne Baxter; Anthony Landry, University of Pennsylvania

Importers, Exporters, and Exchange Rate Disconnect Oleg Itskhoki, Princeton University

23 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Friday June 28, 09:45 - 11:45

Robustness and Heterogeneous Beliefs Location: 113

The Role of Bounded Rationality in Macro-Finance Affine Term-Structure Models Jinsook Kim; Eunmi Ko; Tack Yun, Seoul National University

Robust Preference Expansions Jaroslav Borovicka, New York University; Lars Hansen

Woodford's Approach to Robust Policy Analysis in a Linear-Quadratic Framework Hyosung Kwon, Boston University; Jianjun Miao

Policy Design with Private Sector Skepticism in the Textbook New Keynesian Model Robert King; Yang Lu, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology; Ernesto Pasten

Pricing Frictions Location: 102

Learning to Price Isaac Baley, New York University; Julio Blanco

Time- and State-Dependent Pricing: A Unified Framework Marco Bonomo, Fundação Getulio Vargas; Carlos Carvalho; Rene Garcia

Estimating Quarterly Different Price and Wage Rigidity and Its Implication for Monetary Policy Sung Ho Park, Bank of Korea

Menu Costs, Trade Flows, and Exchange Rate Volatility Logan Lewis, Federal Reserve Board

Public Finance in Aging Societies Location: 201

The Role of Social Insurance Programs in Accounting for Cross-Country Differences in Retirement Behavior Tobias Laun; Johanna Wallenius, Stockholm School of Economics

On Financing Retirement with an Aging Population Ellen McGrattan, FRB of Minneapolis; Edward Prescott

Achieving Fiscal Balance in Japan Selahattin Imrohoroglu, University of Southern California; Sagiri Kitao; Tomoaki Yamada

Health Heterogeneity and the Preferences for Consumption Growth Jay Hong; Josep Pijoan-Mas, CEMFI; Jose-Victor Rios-Rull

24 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Friday June 28, 09:45 - 11:45

Corporate Finance Location: 112

Financing Growth without Banks: Korean Housing Repo Contract Se-Jik Kim, Seoul National University; Hyun Shin

Is Bank Debt Special for the Transmission of Monetary Policy? Evidence from the Stock Market Filippo Ippolito; Ali Ozdagli, FRB of Boston; Ander Perez

Contingent Convertible Bonds and Capital Structure Decisions Boris Albul; Dwight Jaffee; Alexei Tchistyi, Haas School of Business of UC Berkeley

Dynamic Corporate Liquidiy Lukas Schmid; Roberto Steri, Duke University

25 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Friday June 28, 13:00 - 15:00

Tax Policy in a Diverse World Location: B121

Taxation and the Allocation of Talent Ben Lockwood; Charles Nathanson; Eric Weyl, University of Chicago

Financial Transaction Taxes and Fire Sales Felix Bierbrauer, University of Cologne

Taxing Top Earners: A Human Capital Perspective Alejandro Badel, St. Louis Fed; Mark Huggett

Capital Taxation with Multidimensional Heterogeneity Casey Rothschild; Florian Scheuer, Stanford University

Financial Intermediation and the Macroeconomy Location: 201

Banking, Liquidity and Bank Runs in an Infinite Horizon Economy Nobuhiro Kiyotaki, Princeton University

A Macroeconomic Framework for Quantifying Systemic Risk Zhiguo He, University of Chicago, Booth School of Busniess

The I-Theory of Money Markus Brunnermeier; Yuliy Sannikov, Princeton University

Deleveraging versus Default Guillermo Ordonez; David Perez-Reyna; Motohiro Yogo, FRB of Minneapolis

Exchange Rates and Capital Controls Location: B106

Capital Controls or Real Exchange Rate Policy? A Pecuniary Externality Perspective Christopher Otrok; Alessandro Rebucci; Eric Young, University of Virginia

FX Funding Risks and Exchange Rate Volatility - Korea's Case Kyoungsoo Yoon, The Bank of Korea

Capital Inflows and Exchange Rate Volatility in Korea Kyuil Chung, The Bank of Korea

Capital Controls: a Normative Analysis Bianca De Paoli; Anna Lipinska, Federal Reserve Board

26 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Friday June 28, 13:00 - 15:00

Search and Information Frictions Location: B120

Consumers' Imperfect Information and Price Rigidities Jean-Paul L'Huillier, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance

Informational Fragility of Dynamic Rational Expectations Equilibria Giacomo Rondina, University of California, San Diego

Customer Relationship and Sales Shouyong Shi, University of Toronto

The Social Value of Private Information Thomas Mertens, New York University

Wage Inequality I Location: B109

Occupational Complexity, Experience, and the Gender Wage Gap Elisa Keller, University of Iowa

Cyclical Employment and Learning Ability Jongsuk Han, University of Rochester

Math Matters: Student Ability, College Majors, and Wage Inequality Andrew Rendall, University of Zurich; Michelle Rendall

Job Polarization : Market Responses to Interindustry Wage Differentials Myungkyu Shim, UCSD; Hee-Seung Yang

The Big Recession: Aggregate Demand or Frictions to Reallocation? Location: 110

Long-term Unemployment: Attached and Mismatched? David Wiczer, University of Minnesota

Sectoral Shocks, Reallocation and Unemployment in a Model of Competitive Labor Markets Maximiliano Dvorkin, Yale University

Job Destruction without Job Creation: Structural Trasformation in the Overborrowed America Alessandro Galesi; Claudio Michelacci, CEMFI

Job Uncertainty and Deep Recessions Morten Ravn; Vincent Sterk, University College London

27 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Friday June 28, 13:00 - 15:00

Firm Dynamics, Growth, Trade, and Productivity Location: 101

Eventually, Noise and Imitation Implies Balanced Growth Erzo Luttmer, University of Minnesota

Dynamic Selection and the New Gains from Trade with Heterogeneous Firms Thomas Sampson, London School of Economics

The Informativeness of Stock Prices, Misallocation and Aggregate Productivity Joel David, USC; Hugo A. Hopenhayn; Vaidyanathan Venkateswaran

Equilibrium Technology Diffusion, Trade, and Growth Jesse Perla; Christopher Tonetti, New York University; Mike Waugh

Demand Effects and Labour Market Interactions Location: B112

Understanding Non-Inflationary Demand Driven Business Cycles Paul Beaudry; Franck Portier, Toulouse School of Economics

A Theory of Aggregate Supply and Aggregate Demand as Functions of Market Tightness with Prices as Parameters Pascal Michaillat, London School of Economics; Emmanuel Saez

Precautionary Saving and Aggregate Demand Edouard Challe, Ecole Polytechnique; Julien Matheron; Xavier Ragot; Juan Rubio-Ramirez

Unemployment (Fears), Precautionary Savings, and Aggregate Demand Pontus Rendahl, University of Cambridge

Asset Pricing Location: 113

"Shooting" the CAPM Hang Bai; Howard Kung, University of British Columbia; Lu Zhang

Asset Prices with Heterogeneity in Preferences and Beliefs Harjoat Bhamra, University of British Columbia; Raman Uppal

Financial Expertise and Asset Prices Andrea Eisfeldt, UCLA Anderson School of Management; Hanno Lustig; Lei Zhang

Asset Pricing in the Frequency Domain: Theory and Empirics Ian Dew-Becker, FRB of San Francisco; Stefano Giglio

28 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Friday June 28, 13:00 - 15:00

Labor Market Shocks Location: 115

Time and Space Aggregation of the Labor Market Flows Katarina Borovickova, New York University

The Effect of Moral Hazard on Wage Inequality with On-the-Job Search and Employer Competition Árpád Ábrahám; Susanne Forstner, Institute for International Economic Studies

On The Welfare Costs Of Unemployment Fluctuations Michael Reiter, Institute for Advanced Studies

What Do Data on Millions of U.S. Workers Say About Labor Income Risk? Fatih Guvenen, University of Minnesota; Fatih Karahan; Serdar Ozkan; Jae Song

International Macro Location: 102

Real Exchange Rate Dynamics in Sticky-Price Models with Capital Carlos Carvalho; Fernanda Nechio, FRB of San Francisco

Distribution Capital and the Short- and Long-run Import Demand Elasticity Mario Crucini; Scott Davis, FRB of Dallas

Trade, Unemployment, and Monetary Policy Matteo Cacciatore, HEC Montreal

Global Gains from Reduction of Trade Costs Edwin Lai; Han Qi, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology; Haichao Fan

Labor Supply and Aggregate Fluctuations Location: 112

Hours Worked With and Without Capital Income Jeffrey Campbell; Christine Ostrowski, FRB of Chicago

Coordinated Labor Supply within the Firm: Evidence and Implications Michele Battisti, Ifo Institute at University of Munich; Ryan Michaels

Bargaining with Existing Workers, Over-hiring of Firms, and Labor Market Fluctuations Jiwoon Kim, University of Minnesota

Sorting by Skill over the Course of Job Search Marianna Kudlyak, FRB of Richmond; Damba Lkhagvasuren; Roman Sysuyev

29 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Friday June 28, 15:30 - 17:30

Expectations Location: B121

Wage Dynamics with Private Learning-by-doing and On-the-job Search Seung-Gyu Sim,

First- and Second-order Subjective Expectations in Strategic Decision-Making: Experimental Evidence Claudia Neri, University of St.Gallen; Charles Manski

Eliciting Maternal Beliefs about the Technology of Skill Formation Flavio Cunha, University of Pennsylvania

Empirical Industrial Organization Location: B106

Signaling in Online Credit Markets Kei Kawai; Ken ONISHI, Northwestern University; Kosuke Uetake

Very Simple Markov-Perfect Industry Dynamics Jaap Abbring; Jeffrey Campbell, FRB of Chicago; Jan Tilly; Nan Yang

Agglomeration Matters for Trade Enrique Moral-Benito, Bank of Spain

Estimating Platform Market Power in Two-Sided Markets with an Application to Magazine Advertising Minjae Song, University of Rochester

Policy making and the Great Recession Location: 201

Household Debt and Foreign Capital Flows Alejandro Justiniano, Federal Reserve Chicago; Giorgio Primiceri; Andrea Tambalotti

Monetary Policy at the Zero Lower Bound: An Endogenous Switching Approach to Forward Guidance Daniel Waggoner, FRB of Atlanta; Tao Zha

Emergency Lending in a Monetary Union Harald Uhlig, University of Chicago

Escaping the Great Recession Francesco Bianchi, Duke University; Leonardo Melosi

30 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Friday June 28, 15:30 - 17:30

International Capital Flows Location: B109

Two-Way Capital Flows and Global Imbalances: A Neoclassical Approach Pengfei Wang; Yi Wen; Zhiwei XU, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology

International Capital Flows, Financial Frictions and Welfare Filippo Taddei, SAIS - The Johns Hopkins University and Collegio Carlo Alberto

Global Imbalances and Structural Change in the United States Timothy Kehoe; Kim Ruhl; Joseph Steinberg, University of Minnesota

Rising Intangible Capital, Shrinking Debt Capacity, and the US Corporate Savings Glut Antonio Falato, Federal Reserve Board; Dalida Kadyrzhanova; Jae Sim

Labor Market Search: Heterogeneity and Aggregate Uncertainty Location: B120

Stochastic Search Equilibrium Giuseppe Moscarini; Fabien Postel-Vinay, University of Bristol

Efficient Firm Dynamics in a Frictional Labor Market Leo Kaas, University of Konstanz; Philipp Kircher

Job, Employment and Occupation Flows over the Business Cycle Carlos Carrillo-Tudela; Lodewijk Visschers, Universidad Carlos III

The Macro-dynamics of Sorting between Workers and Firms Jeremy Lise, University College London; Jean-Marc Robin

Default, Crises, and Financial Intermediation Location: 110

Sovereign Default Risk and Bank Balance Sheets Emine Boz; Pablo D'Erasmo; Bora Durdu, Federal Reserve Board

Sovereign Debt Crises and Financial Contagion: Estimating Effects in an Endogenous Network Brent Glover, Carnegie Mellon University; Seth Richards-Shubik

Financial Intermediation, Sudden Stops and Financial Crises Ozge Akinci; Albert Queralto, Federal Reserve Board

Time-Varying Risk Premia and Capital Flows to Developing Countries Espen Henriksen; Ina Simonovska, University of California Davis

31 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Friday June 28, 15:30 - 17:30

Advances in Public Finance Location: 113

Optimal Taxation and Occupational Choice: The Redistributive Role of Production Inefficiencies Renato Gomes, Toulouse School of Economics; Jean-Marie Lozachmeur; Alessandro Pavan

Social Insurance, Information Revelation, and Lack of Commitment Mikhail Golosov; Luigi Iovino, Bocconi University

Market-based Incentives Borys Grochulski, FRB of Richmond; Yuzhe Zhang

Optimal Taxation of Wealthy Individuals Ali Shourideh, University of Pennsylavnia

Macroeconomics across Time and Space Location: B112

Trends in Hours Worked across Countries: Evidence using Micro Data Alexander Bick, Arizona State University; Bettina Brueggemann; Nicola Fuchs-Schuendeln

Explaining Educational Attainment across Countries and over Time Diego Restuccia, University of Toronto; Guillaume Vandenbroucke

Labor Supply Incentives of Medicaid Svetlana Pashchenko; Ponpoje (Poe) Porapakkarm, University of Macau

Consumption, Income and Wealth of the Very Poor: An Empirical Investigation of Cross- sectional and Lifetime Inequality in Sub-Saharan Africa Leandro De Magalhaes, University of Bristol; Raul Santaeulalia-Llopis

Household Risk Sharing Location: 102

Implications of Labor Market Frictions for Risk Aversion and Risk Premia Eric Swanson, FRB of San Francisco

Risk Aversion Heterogeneity, Risky Jobs and Wealth Inequality Marco Cozzi, Queen's University

Household Income Risk, Nominal Frictions, and Incomplete Markets Christian Bayer, Bonn University; Ralph Lütticke; Lien Pham; Volker Tjaden

Efficient Risk Sharing with Model Uncertainty Anmol Bhandari, New York University

32 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Friday June 28, 15:30 - 17:30

Productivity and Growth Location: 101

Binding Up the Nation's Wounds: An Economic Analysis of the Korean Reunification Sang Yoon (Tim) Lee; Yongseok Shin, Washington University in St. Louis

A Unified Model of Structural Adjustments and International Trade: Theory and Evidence from China Jiandong Ju, Tsinghua University; Vivian Yue

Is the GDP Growth Rate in NIPA a Welfare Measure? Omar Licandro, IAE-CSIC and Barcelona GSE; Jorge Duran

The Role of Allocative Efficiency in A Decade of Recovery Kaiji Chen, Emory University

Macro Finance Location: 112

Means of Payment and Timing of Mergers and Acquisitions in a Dynamic Economy Alexander Gorbenko, London Business School; Andrey Malenko

Who Should Pay for Credit Ratings and How? Anil Kashyap; Natalia Kovrijnykh, Arizona State University

Household Risk Management Adriano Rampini, Duke University; S. Viswanathan

Dynamic Debt Runs and the Market for Variable Rate Demand Obligations Bin Wei, Federal Reserve Board; Vivian Yue

Geography, Risk Sharing, and Income Inequality Location: 115

Contagion and Risk Sharing Antonio Cabrales; Piero Gottardi, European University Institute; Fernando Vega Redondo

The Geography of the Great Recession Alessandra Fogli, University of Minnesota; Enoch Hill; Fabrizio Perri

Macroeconomic Implications of Agglomeration Morris Davis; Jonas Fisher, FRB of Chicago; Toni Whited

Fiscal Policy and Inequality in Economies with Large, Unproductive, Agricultural Sectors Adrian Peralta-Alva, International Monetary Fund and FRB of St. Louis

33 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Friday June 28, 17:45 - 18:45

Hal Cole Plenary Location: B130

Saturday June 29, 09:45 - 11:45

Human Capital and Development Location: B120

Instability, Misallocation and Productivity Rody Manuelli, Washington University in St. Louis; Thomas Sargent

Human Capital and the Urban and Structural Transformation of Countries Alexander Monge-Naranjo, FRB of St. Louis; Alejandro Badel; Pedro Ferreira

The Option Value of Human Capital Sang Yoon (Tim) Lee, University of Mannheim; Yongseok Shin

Refugees and Early Childhood Human Capital Todd Schoellman, Arizona State University

Bubbles and Identification in DSGE models Location: B106

A Bayesian DSGE Model of Stock Market Bubbles and Business Cycles Jianjun Miao; Pengfei Wang, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology; Zhiwei Xu

On the Distribution of Information in the Moment Structure of DSGE Models Nikolay Iskrev, Bank of Portugal

On the Identification of Financial and Uncertainty Shocks Dario Caldara, Federal Reserve Board of Governors; Cristina Fuentes Albero; Simon Gilchrist; Egon Zakrajsek

Stock Market Bubbles and Unemployment Jianjun Miao; Pengfei Wang; Lifang Xu, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology

34 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Saturday June 29, 09:45 - 11:45

Networks in Macroeconomics Location: 201

Business Networks, Production Chains, and Productivity: A Theory of Input-Output Architecture Ezra Oberfield, FRB of Chicago

Interaction-based Foundation of Aggregate Investment Shocks Makoto Nirei, Hitotsubashi University

Financial Frictions in Production Networks Saki Bigio, Columbia Business School

The Rise of General Purpose Technologies Vasco Carvalho, CREI and Universitad Pompeu Fabra; Nico Voigtlaender

Money, Liquidity, and Trading in OTC Markets Location: 115

On the Stability of Money Demand Juan Nicolini, FRB of Minneapolis

A Model of Monetary Exchange in Over-the-Counter Markets Ricardo Lagos; Shengxing Zhang, New York University

Trading and Information Diffusion in Over-the-Counter Markets Ana Babus, Imperial College London; Peter Kondor

Dealers' Insurance, Market Structure And Liquidity Francesca Carapella, Federal Reserve Board; Cyril Monnet

Dynamic Taxation and Insurance Location: B112

Dynamic Tax Reforms Mikhail Golosov; Aleh Tsyvinski; Nicolas Werquin, Yale University

Welfare Programs and Motivation Bias of Social Workers Pierre Boyer; Jean-Marie Lozachmeur, Toulouse School of Economics

Taxes, Wedges and Aggregate Uncertainty: A Mirrleesian Approach. Carlos da Costa, Fundação Getulio Vargas

Optimal Capital Taxation for Time-nonseparable Preferences Sebastian Koehne, Stockholm University; Moritz Kuhn

35 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Saturday June 29, 09:45 - 11:45

Entry Costs, Firm Sizes, and Development Location: B109

Foreign Firms, Distribution of Income, and the Welfare of Developing Countries Manuel García-Santana, ECARES

Entry Costs Rise with Development Albert Bollard; Peter Klenow; Huiyu Li, Stanford University

Capital Account Openness and the Losses from Financial Frictions Minsoo Han, Pennsylvania State University

The Role of Establishment Heterogeneity in the Recovery from Sudden Stops Horag Choi, Monash University

Search Theory Location: 110

Efficient Entry in Competitive Search with Nonrival Meetings and Asymmetric Information James Albrecht, Georgetown University

Mixed Search Anna Godøy, The Ragnar Frisch Centre for Economic Research; Espen Moen

Bidding for Teams Benoit Julien; John Kennes; Moritz Ritter, Temple University

Stochastic Sorting Hector Chade, Arizona State University

Uncertainty and Fluctuations Location: 101

Modeling the Evolution of Expectations and Uncertainty in General Equilibrium Leonardo Melosi, FRB of Chicago

Entrepreneurial Tail Risk: Implications for Employment Dynamics Thorsten Drautzburg, University of Chicago

Uncertainty and Investment Options Nancy Stokey, University of Chicago

Uncertainty Shocks Are Aggregate Demand Shocks Sylvain Leduc; Zheng Liu, FRB of San Francisco

36 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Saturday June 29, 09:45 - 11:45

Government Spending Location: B121

Fiscal Reform and Government Debt in Japan: A Neoclassical Perspective Gary Hansen, UCLA; Selahattin Imrohoroglu

On the Optimal Size of Public Employment Anna Dos Reis; Eduardo Zilberman, PUC-Rio

Are Government Spending Multipliers State Dependent? Evidence from U.S. and Canadian Historical Data Michael Owyang; Valerie Ramey, University of California San Diego; Sarah Zubairy

Deficits, Gifts, and Bequests Daniel Barczyk, McGill University

Inequality and Intergenerational Mobility Location: 113

Accounting for the Trends in Inequality and Intergenerational Mobility in the U.S. Marina Mendes Tavares, ITAM; Carlos Urrutia

The Inheritance of Advantage Jose Rodriguez Mora, University of Edinburgh

Public Education Financing Systems, Earnings Inequality, and Intergenerational Mobility Christopher Herrington, Arizona State University

It's Not Me, It's You: Social Skills and Human Capital in the Labor and Marriage Markets Gueorgui Kambourov; Aloysius Siow; Laura Turner, University of Toronto

Longevity, Fertility, and Health Location: 102

The Longevity of Famous People from Hammurabi to Einstein David de la Croix, Université Catholique de Louvain; Omar Licandro

Does Longevity Improvement Always Raise the Length of Schooling through the Longer- horizon Mechanism? Sau-Him Lau, University of Hong Kong

Female Employment and Fertility: The Effects of Rising Female Wages Christian Siegel, University of Exeter

Cross-subsidization in Employer-based Health Insurance and the Effects of Tax Subsidy Reform Svetlana Pashchenko, Uppsala University; Ponpoje (Poe) Porapakkarm

37 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Saturday June 29, 09:45 - 11:45

Household Insurance and Credit Location: 112

Does the Social Safety Net Improve Welfare?: A Dynamic General Equilibrium Analysis Kai (Jackie) Zhao, University of Western Ontario

Health Insurance over the Life Cycle with Adverse Selection Martin Dumav, Institut für Mathematische Wirtschaftsforschung

Tax Avoidance, Welfare Transfers, and Asset Prices Denis Gorea, Goethe University Frankfurt

A Quantitative Theory of Credit Scoring Kartik Athreya, FRB of Richmond; Xuan Tam; Eric Young

38 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Saturday June 29, 13:00 - 15:00

Sovereign Debt Location: 201

Secondary Markets in Turbulent Times Alberto Martin, CREI and Universitat Pompeu Fabra

Optimal Domestic Sovereign Default Enrique Mendoza, University of Pennsylvania

Evaluating the Welfare Effects of International Bankruptcy Regimes in a Political Economy Model Satyajit Chatterjee, FRB of Philadelphia; Burcu Eyigungor

Sovereign Risk and Financial Risk Simon Gilchrist; Vivian Yue, Federal Reserve Board of Governors; Egon Zakrajsek

Search in the Housing Market Location: B120

Housing and Liquidity Chao He, Renmin University of China; Randall Wright; Yu Zhu

Search, Liquidity and the Dynamics of House Prices and Construction Allen Head, Queen's University; Huw Lloyd-Ellis; Hongfei Sun

Trading Places Monika Piazzesi, Stanford University

Learning from Search in the Housing Market Leena Rudanko, Boston University; Irina Telyukova

Family Macro Location: B106

Jobless Recoveries and Gender Biased Technological Change Stefania Albanesi, FRB of New York; Aysegul Sahin

Female Migration, Human Capital and Fertility Vincenzo Caponi, Ryerson University

An Equilibrium Model of the African HIV/AIDS Epidemic Jeremy Greenwood; Philipp Kircher; Cezar Santos, University of Mannheim; Michele Tertilt

39 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Saturday June 29, 13:00 - 15:00

The Service Sector across Time and Countries Location: 115

Home Work and Market Work in the US and Continental Europe Georg Duernecker, University of Mannheim; Berthold Herrendorf

Quantifying the Growth in Services: the Role of Skills, Scale, and Female Labor Supply Francisco Buera; Joseph Kaboski; Min Qiang (Kent) Zhao, Xiamen University

The Service Sector and Female Market Work: Europe vs the US Michelle Rendall, University of Zurich

Services, Skill and Labor Supply: A Cross-Country Perspective Francisco Buera; Joseph Kaboski, University of Notre Dame; Richard Rogerson

Tax Distortions and Political Economy Location: B109

Will a Decline in the Corporate Income Tax Rate Generate Jobs? Daphne Chen, Florida State University; Shi Qi; Don Schlagenhauf

Fiscal Policy Coordination in Monetary Unions Josef Schroth, Bank of Canada

Sand in the Wheels of Capitalism, On the Political Economy of Capital Market Frictions Mario Bersem, Copenhagen Business School; Enrico Perotti; Ernst-Ludwig von Thadden

Political Turnover, Dynamic Separation of Power and Efficiency Facundo Piguillem, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance; Alessandro Riboni

Information Frictions: Theory and Evidence Location: B112

Marginal Tax Rates and Reported Incomes: New Time Series Evidence Karel Mertens, Cornell University

Attention Discrimination: Theory and Field Experiments Filip Matejka, CERGE-EI

Public Information in Populations with Heterogenous Interests Kristoffer Nimark, Universitat Pompeu Fabra

Information Processing and Limited Liability Bartosz Mackowiak; Mirko Wiederholt, Goethe University Frankfurt

40 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Saturday June 29, 13:00 - 15:00

Global Production Location: 101

The Perfect Match: Assortative Matching in International Acquisitions Maria Guadalupe; Veronica Rappoport, London School of Economics; Bernard Salanie; Catherine Thomas

Global Production with Export Platforms Felix Tintelnot, The Pennsylvania State University

Global Welfare Impact of China: Trade Integration and Technology Change Jing Zhang, University of Michigan

Measuring Horizontal and Vertical Foreign Direct Investment Natalia Ramondo; Veronica Rappoport; Kim Ruhl, New York University Stern School of Business

Barriers to Reallocation Location: B121

Delayed Capital Reallocation Wei Cui, Princeton University

On the Measure of Distortions Hugo A. Hopenhayn, UCLA

The Market for Used Capital: Endogenous Irreversibility and Reallocation over the Business Cycle Andrea Lanteri, London School of Economics

Monetary Policy and Welfare Location: 110

Optimal Monetary Policy in an Open Economy under Asset Market Segmentation Rajesh Singh, Iowa State University

Search-Based Endogenous Illiquidity, Business Cycles and Monetary Policy Wei Cui; Soeren Radde, German Institute for Economic Research

Demand for Liquidity and Welfare Cost of Inflation by Cohort and Age of Households Shutao Cao; Césaire Meh; Jose-Victor Rios-Rull; Yaz Terajima, Bank of Canada

Monetary Policy in Private Money Economies David Andolfatto; Aleksander Berentsen; Christopher Waller, University of Notre Dame

41 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Saturday June 29, 13:00 - 15:00

Labor and Finance Location: 113

On the Composition Effects on the Labor Market Outcomes Javier Fernandez-Blanco, University Carlos III of Madrid; Pedro Gomes

Unemployment Risk and the Distribution of Assets Jan Eeckhout, University College London and GSE-UPF

Labor and Finance: Mortensen and Pissarides Meet Holmstrom and Tirole Pietro Garibaldi, University of Torino and Collegio Carlo Alberto

Can Employer Credit Checks Create Poverty Traps? Daphne Chen; Dean Corbae; Andrew Glover, University of Texas at Austin

Output, Inflation, and International Macroeconomic Dynamics Location: 102

The Inflation Output Trade-Off Revisited Gauti Eggertsson; Marc Giannoni, FRB of New York

Okun’s Macroscope: Changes in the Cyclical Behavior of Productivity and the Comovement between Output and Unemployment Mary Daly; John Fernald, FRB of San Francisco; Oscar Jorda; Fernanda Nechio

Labor Market Polarization and International Macroeconomic Dynamics Federico Mandelman, FRB of Atlanta

Investment-Specific Technology Shocks and Recursive Preferences Hakon Tretvoll, BI Norwegian Business School

Global and Repeated Games Location: 112

Limits to Reputations Nuh Dalkiran, Bilkent University; Mehmet Ekmekci

Strongly Symmetric Equilibria in Bandit Games Johannes Horner; Nicolas Klein, University of Montreal; Sven Rady

Avoidance and Mitigation of Public Harm Ruilin Zhou; Bruno Salcedo; Bruno Sultanum, The Pennsylvania State University

The Power of Whispers: A Theory of Rumor, Communication and Revolution Heng Chen, University of Hong Kong; Yang Lu; Wing Suen

42 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Saturday June 29, 15:30-17:30

Parameter Instability in DSGE Models Location: B106

How Credible is the Federal Reserve?: A Structural Estimation of Policy Re-optimizations Davide Debortoli; Aeimit Lakdawala, Michigan State University

Monetary Policy Regime Switches and Macroeconomic Dynamics Andrew Foerster, FRB of Kansas City

Inflation Dynamics: The Role of Public Debt and Policy Regimes Saroj Bhattarai; Jae Won Lee; Woong Yong Park, University of Hong Kong

State-Dependent Probability Distributions in Non Linear Rational Expectations Models Jean Barthelemy, Banque de France; Magali Marx

Financial Frictions and Field Experiments in General Equilibrium Location: 115

Structural Experimentation to Distinguish between Models of Risk Sharing with Frictions Ethan Ligon, University of California Berkeley; Laura Schechter

Understanding Peer Effects in Financial Decisions: Evidence from a Field Experiment Leonardo Bursztyn; Florian Ederer, UCLA; Bruno Ferman; Noam Yuchtman

How Does Risk Management Influence Production Decisions? Evidence From a Field Experiment Shawn Cole; Xavier Gine; James Vickery, FRB of New York

Welfare Losses from Financial Frictions: The Role of Fixed Costs Ahrang Lee, The Bank of Korea

International Macro-Finance Location: B121

The U.S. Dollar Safety Premium Matteo Maggiori, New York University

Differences of Opinion and International Equity Markets Bernard Dumas, INSEAD; Karen Lewis; Emilio Osambela

Inflation Risk and Sovereign Spreads Sewon Hur; University of Pittsburgh; Illenin Kondo; Fabrizio Perri

BKK the EZ way. An International Production Economy with Recursive Preferences. Riccardo Colacito, University of North Carolina Chapel Hil; Mariano Croce; Steven Ho; Philip Howard

43 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Saturday June 29, 15:30-17:30

Monetary Policy and the Zero Bound on Interest Rates Location: B109

Structural Reforms in a Monetary Union: The Role of the ZLB Gauti Eggertsson; Andrea Ferrero; Andrea Raffo, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve

The Shadow Rate, Taylor Rules, and Monetary Policy Lift-off Michael Bauer, FRB of San Francisco; Glenn Rudebusch

Credit Spreads and the Zero Bound on Interest Rates Isabel Correia; Fiorella De Fiore, European Central Bank; Pedro Teles; Oreste Tristani

Uncertainty at the Zero Lower Bound Taisuke Nakata, Federal Reserve Board

Risk and Portfolio Choice Location: 112

Life Cycle Uncertainty and Portfolio Choice Puzzles Marios Karabarbounis, FRB of Richmond; Yongsung Chang; Jay Hong

Limited Stock Market Participation among Renters and Home Owners Roine Vestman, Stockholm University and SIFR

Market Preferences for Risk Distributions: Evidence from Lottery Loans Francois Velde, FRB of Chicago

Liquidity and Welfare Yi Wen, FRB of St. Louis

Unemployment, Product Markets and Search Location: B112

A Theory of Targeted Search Anton Cheremukhin; Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria, The Ohio State University; Antonella Tutino

Wage Dynamics in Long-term Contracts Moritz Kuhn, University of Bonn; Philip Jung

Viewing Job-Seekers' Reservation Wages and Acceptance Decisions through the Lens of Search Theory Robert Hall; Andreas Mueller, Columbia University

Five Facts about Price Dispersion Greg Kaplan, Princeton University; Guido Menzio

44 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

Saturday June 29, 15:30-17:30

Uncertainty, Expectations and Business Cycles Location: B120

Understanding Uncertainty Shocks Anna Orlik, Federal Reserve Board of Governors; Laura Veldkamp

Firms' Optimism and Pessimism Ruediger Bachmann, RWTH Aachen University; Steffen Elstner

Robust Animal Spirits Rhys Bidder, FRB of San Francisco; Matthew Smith

Uncertainty Traps Pablo Fajgelbaum; Edouard Schaal, New York University; Mathieu Taschereau-Dumouchel

Trade and Development Location: 201

Internal Geography, International Trade, and Regional Outcomes A. Kerem Cosar, University of Chicago; Pablo Fajgelbaum

Competition, Markups, and the Gains from International Trade Daniel Yi Xu, Duke University

International Trade and Inequality with Multiple Types of Labor and Capital Ariel Burstein, UCLA

Grasp the Large, Let Go of the Small: The Transformation of the State Sector in China Chang-Tai Hsieh; Zheng Song, Booth School of Business

Sovereign Default, Savings and Capital Flows Location: 101

Explaining World Savings Colin Caines; Amartya Lahiri, University of British Columbia

The Size of the Precautionary Component of Household Saving: China and the U.S. Horag Choi; Steven Lugauer; Nelson Mark, University of Notre Dame

Credibility for Sale Harris Dellas; Dirk Niepelt, Gerzensee/Univ. of Bern/ IIES/ Stockholm Univ.

Migration and The Welfare State: Political-Economy Perspective on Tax Competition Assaf Razin, Cornell University and Tel Aviv University

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Saturday June 29, 15:30-17:30

Human Capital and Technical Change Location: 110

Age Earnings Profiles and TFP Differences: Financial Institutions in a Vintage Human Capital Model Yong Kim, Yonsei University

The Composition of Knowledge and Economic Growth in a Path-Dependent World Jie Cai; Nan Li, International Monetary Fund

Occupational Choice, Human Capital, and Financing Constraints Rui Castro; Pavel Sevcik, Ecole des Sciences de Gestion, Universite du Quebec a Montreal (ESG UQAM)

Non-homothetic Preferences and Industry Directed Technical Change Timo Boppart; Franziska Weiss, University of Zurich

Wage Inequality II Location: 113

Worker Betas Fatih Guvenen; Serdar Ozkan, Federal Reserve Board; Sam Schulhofer-Wohl; Jae Song

Earnings Losses and Labor Mobility over the Lifecycle Philip Jung, University of Bonn

On the Time-varying Substitutability between Skilled and Unskilled Workers and the Rise of Wage Inequality in the U.S. 1960-2010 Jay Hong; Raul Santaeulalia-Llopis, Washington University in St. Louis

Comparative Advantage and Risk Premia in Labor Markets GERMAN CUBAS, Central Bank of Uruguay; Pedro Silos

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Saturday June 29, 15:30-17:30

Solution Methods Location: 102

Applying Negishi's Method to Stochastic Models with Overlapping Generations Johannes Brumm, University of Zurich; Felix Kubler

Estimation of Non-linear DSGE Models Made Easy: Taking Second-order Model Approximations to the Data (with an Application to a DSGE Model with a Banking Sector) Robert Kollmann, ECARES and Université Libre de Bruxelles

Global Dynamics at the Zero Lower Bound William Gavin, FRB of St. Louis; Benjamin Keen; Alexander Richter; Nathaniel Throckmorton

International Portfolios: A Comparison of Solution Methods Katrin Rabitsch; Serhiy Stepanchuk, University of Pennsylvania; Serhiy Stepanchuk

Saturday June 29, 17:45 - 18:45

Gianluca Violante Plenary Location: B130

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MEMO

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Local Information

 Conference Venue Yonsei University, College of Business and Economics (Daewoo Hall) Tel. +82-2-2123-2452~5 Detailed maps of the conference venues in Yonsei University are located on pages 53 and 54.

 Reception Wednesday June 26, Lotte Hotel 3rd floor, Sapphire room.

 Registration Registration starts on Wednesday June 26 from 18:00 until 20:00 at Lotte Hotel, Sapphire room during the reception. Registration opens from 9AM to 3PM during the conference period. For local information, please use the registration desk or ask a member of our staff who will be wearing black shirts with the SED 2013 logo.

 Name Badge Your name badge is your security pass for entrance into the conference venues. We request all conference participants to wear their name badge at all times. Your badge will be checked at lunch and coffee. Separate tickets, received upon registration, are needed for admission to the social events.

 Presentations All presentations will be made by using data projectors. Please bring a USB key containing your presentation in PDF or Powerpoint format. The staff will help you with loading the presentation onto the computers.

 Internet Access Access to computers and printers is available at room B104. ID: sed2013 PW: seoul (lowercase) Wireless internet is available at Yonsei. ID: yonsei_open (no password necessary)

 Lunch and Coffee Lunch can be picked-up at lounge 2. There will be tables outside (in front of and behind the 1st floor) of the building where you can enjoy your lunch. Also, you can freely use the session rooms if you prefer eating inside. Lunch menus: Bibimbap or a Sandwich of your choice (BLT or Mushroom). Coffee and snacks are available at lounge 1 for your convenience all day. (on map pg 53)

 Tourist Information Tourist information is available online at http://www.visitkorea.or.kr Also, official Seoul tour books are available at the information desk upon request.

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Social Events

Upon registration, you will receive tickets for the social events that you have registered for. You will be asked for these tickets at the entrance.

Wednesday, June 26, 18:30 - 20:30 Welcome Reception at Lotte Hotel Sapphire Hall 30, Eulji-Ro, Jung-Gu, Seoul, Korea 100-721

Friday, June 28, 20:00 - 22:00 Conference Dinner at Lotte Hotel Crystal Room 30, Eulji-Ro, Jung-Gu, Seoul, Korea 100-721

Saturday, June 29, 19:00 - 21:00 BBQ and Beer Party at Yonsei University President's House (3 min walk from the Main Conference Site, College of Business and Economics)

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Shuttle Bus Plan

During the conference period, we will operate shuttle buses between Lotte Hotel and Yonsei University. Below is the timetable for the shuttle bus service.

 Schedule

Departure Time

From Lotte Hotel From Yonsei University To Yonsei University To Lotte Hotel 08:45 09:30 10:30 11:30 12:00 12:30 13:00 13:30 14:00 14:30 15:00 15:30 16:00 16:30 17:00 18:00 19:00

Additional bus service will be provided on the 28th and the 29th for the convenience of conference dinner and BBQ & Beer Party participants.

·On the 28th, a shuttle bus will depart from Lotte Hotel at 22:00 and head to Shinchon. ·On the 29th, a shuttle bus will run from Lotte Hotel at 18:30 to Yonsei University, and the retuning bus to the hotel will leave Yonsei at 21:00.

We expect the travel time to be approximately 20 minutes from the hotel to the conference site, and vice versa. However, it might take additional time during the rush hour.

 Bus Stops

·Yonsei: See page 53. The bus stop is located right behind the building on the first floor. ·Lotte Hotel: You will see a sign and our staff when you walk out of the lobby.

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Other Transportation

This page is prepared to help you getting to/from the conference site if you have conflicts with the shuttle bus schedule or if you wish to come from or go to places other than Lotte Hotel.

 To the Conference Site from Lotte Hotel or Other City Center Area Ask the driver to go to ‘Yonsei dae-hak-gyo, Daewoo-gwan’ or show him this message with directions.

“연세대학교 대우관으로 가주세요. 금화터널을 지나자마자 우측 도로로 빠져서 동문으로 진입 후 처음 나오는 사거리에서 우회전, 그 후에 나오는 삼거리에서 다시 우회전 해주세요. 조금 올라오시다 보면 좌회전해서 내려오실 수 있습니다. 쭉 내려와서 주차장 입구에 세워주시면 됩니다. 감사합니다.”

Fares should be around 7,000 won (Regular taxi) or around 13,000 won (Deluxe taxi).

 To Lotte Hotel or Other Destination of Your Interest from the Conference Site or Elsewhere Tell the driver ‘[Name of destination] ga-joo-se-yo.’ For example, to go to Lotte Hotel, say ‘Lotte Hotel ga-joo-se-yo.’, which means ‘please go to Lotte Hotel.’

Please do not hesitate to ask our staffs if you have a question regarding transportation. We will be happy to help you.

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Conference Site Map

 1st Basement Floor

·Information Desk - Registration - Information ·Lounge 1 -Coffee and Snacks ·Lounge 2 - Lunch Box Pick-up ·Computer Lab - Computers & Printers - Wired Internet

 1st Floor

·Shuttle Bus Stop - To/From Lotte Hotel

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 2nd Floor

 6th Floor

·Room 607 -Reserved for Business Meeting

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Restaurants & Nightlife For detailed description of our selection, please refer to our local site: https://sites.google.com/site/sedseoul2013/travel-guide/entertainment-and-restaurants.

1. Restaurants Seoul is a huge city and has numerous good restaurants. We have selected three areas that you will be likely to stay at or pass by frequently. They are 1) Myeong-dong, where hotels including Lotte are located at, 2) Samcheong-dong, a unique neighborhood near Gyeongbokgung Palace, and 3) Insa-dong, which is one of the most visited places among foreign travelers.

1) Myeong-dong (See Map 1 on page 60) Myeong-dong is one of the most dynamic and exciting areas in Seoul with the floating population estimated to be around 2 million a day. Being a mecca of shopping, finance and culture, there are many hotels, cinemas, cafes and of course, great restaurants where you can taste gourmet Korean cuisines at reasonable prices. You can also find a lot of international restaurant chains on the main street of Myeong-dong. ① Hanil Kwan (http://www.hanilkwan.co.kr) Price: 10,000 – 45,000 won per person Location: B1, Ferum Tower, 66, Suha-dong, Jung-gu, Seoul (+82-2-1577-9963) Open: 11:00-22:00 Menu: Bansang (Soup and rice special), Grilled short ribs, Galbitang, Seafood pancake ② Yongsusan (http://www.yongsusan.co.kr) Price: 50,000 – 150,000 won (for a course menu), 12000 – 55000 won (for a la carte) per person Location: B1, Seoul Finance Center building, 71-84, Taepyeongno 1(il)-ga, Jung-gu, Seoul (+82-2-771-5553) Open: 11:30-15:00, 18:00-22:00 Menu: Korean beef of tender short-rib patties, Steamed fresh abalone, Beef cooked in a Dragon firepot. ③ Dalgaebi (http://dalgaebi.co.kr) Price: 45,000 – 110,000 won (for a course menu) per person Location: 3-7, Jeong-dong, Jung-gu, Seoul (+82-2-765-2035) Open: 12:00-14:00, 18:00-22:00 Menu: Couse including Daenamu-tongbap (rice steamed in bamboo), Salad and Grilled short ribs ④ Gogoong Price: 11,000 – 20,000 won per person Location: 2F, Woori bank building, 11-1, Chungmuro 2(i)-ga, Jung-gu, Seoul ( +82-2-776-3211) Open: 11:00-22:00 Menu: Jeongju traditional bibimbap, Bibimbap in a Hot Stone Pot ⑤ Jeonjoo Jungang Restaurant (http://www.jeonjoo.co.kr) Price: 10,000 – 20,000 won per person Location: 24-11, Chungmuro 1(il)-ga Jung-gu, Seoul (+82-2-776-3525) Open: 8:30-22:30 Menu: Jeonju bibimbap in a hot stone pot, Samgyetang (Chicken soup with ginseng)

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⑥ Nampo Myeonok Price: 10,000 – 15,000 won per person Location: 125, Da-dong, Jung-gu, Seoul (+82-2-777-3131) Open: 11:30-22:00 Menu: Naengmyeon (Cold buckwheat noodles), Galbi Tang (Beef rib soup), Mandutguk (Dumpling soup) ⑦ Hadongkwan Price: 10,000 – 20,000 won per person Location: 10-4, Myeong-dong1(il)-ga, Jung-gu, Seoul (+82-2-776-5656) Open: 07:00-16:30 Menu: Gomtang(beef-broth soup), Suyuk (Boiled Beef or Pork Slices) ⑧ Baek Jae Samgyetang Price: 10,000 – 20,000 won per person Location: 50-11, Myeongdong 2(i)-ga Jung-gu, Seoul (+82-2-776-3267) Open: 09:00-22:00 Menu: Samgyetang (Chicken soup with ginseng), Jeonbokjuk (Rice porridge with abalone) ⑨ Hanmiri Price: 33,000 – 120,000 won (for a course menu) per person Location: 2F, Premier Place Building, 96, Mugyo-dong, Jung-gu, Seoul (+82-2-757-5707~8) Open: 11:00-15:00, 17:30-22:00 Menu: Course including grilled beef and steamed king prawn, Course including seasonal seafood cuisine ⑩ Da-dong Traditional Food Street Price: 5,000 – 20,000 won per person Location: -ro 9-gil, Seoul Description: Famous for various local food restaurants located on it. (Nampo Myeonok is one of the restaurants located on it.) Here are some well-known stores on the street. Selected restaurants: * Taesung Golbang-i: serving Golbang-i(gastropods), +82-2-779-0595 * O-neun Joung: serving Korean rib, +82-2-756-1658 * Yonggum Ok: serving Chu-tang(loach soup), +82-2-777-1689 ⑪ O'sulloc Price: 5,000 – 10,000 won per person Location: 47-1, Myeong-dong1(il)-ga, Jung-gu, Seoul (+82-2-774-5460) Open: 9:00-22:30 Menu: Master's Tea 'Sejac', Green Tea Latte, Freddo Green Tea, Jeju Tangerine Milk Tea ⑫ Vecchia E Nuovo (http://www.echosunhotel.com/seoul.action) Price: 30,000 – 55,000 won per person Location: B1F, Westin Chosun hotel, 87, Sogong-dong, Jung-gu, Seoul (+82-2-317-0022) Open: 11:30-22:00 Menu: Breads, Cakes, Tarts, coffees ⑬ Andrea (http://www.andrea.co.kr) Price: 30,000 – 70,000 won per person Location: 9F, Lotte Department Store Avenuel, 130, Namdaemunno2(i)-ga, Jung-gu, Seoul (+82- 2-2118-6211)

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Open: 11:30-22:00 Menu: Pasta, Risotto, Grilled beef ⑭ Luii (http://www.luii.co.kr) Price: 20,000 – 70,000 won per person Location: 61-21, Taepyeongno 1(il)-ga, Jung-gu, Seoul (+82-2-736-8889) Open: 11:30-14:30, 17:30-21:30 Menu: Chinese noodle soup, Fried oysters, crispy sweet and sour pork ⑮ Dintaifung (http://www.dintaifung.co.kr/) Price: 20,000 – 40,000 won per person Location: 104, Myeongdong 2(i)-ga, Jung-gu, Seoul Open: 11:00-21:15 Menu: Chinese Dumpling, Chinese noodle soup

2) Samcheong-dong (See Map 2 on pag 60) Samcheong-dong is one of the most unique places in Seoul. Gyeongbokgung Palace (the home of royalty during the Joseon Dynasty) lies to its left and Changdeokgung Palace (a secondary palace during the Joseon Dynasty) to its right, and it is home to distinctive cafés, shops, and galleries. Samcheong-dong radiates serenity, comfort and character not readily seen in other places crowded with giant shopping malls. ① Baedongbaji Price: 20,000 – 40,000 won per person Location: 158-24, Samcheong-dong, Jongno-gu, Seoul (+82-2-720-9644) Open: 11:00-22:00 Menu: Course Menu including boiled beef with Kimchi, Bulgogi and rice in a hot stone pot ② Hwangsaengga Kalguksu Price: 10,000 – 40,000 won per person Location: 84, Sogyeok-dong, Jongno-gu, Seoul (+82-2-739-6334) Open: 11:00-21:30 Menu: Sagol Son Kalguksu (hand-rolled noodles in beef broth), Wang mandoo (king-sized dumpling) ③ Bukmakgul (http://www.7300980.com/) Price: 10,000 – 40,000 won per person Location: 30-2, Samcheong-dong, Jongno-gu, Seoul (+82-2-730-0980) Open: 11:00-21:30 Menu: Korean rip, Dumpling soup, Grilled dudeok (vegetable similar to ginseng) ④ Danpungnamujip (http://www.mapletreehouse.co.kr/) Price: 10,000 – 40,000 won per person Location: 31-1, Samcheong-dong, Jongno-gu, Seoul (+82-2-730-7461) Open: 11:00-21:30 Menu: Korean beef sirloin, Bulgogi, Korean pork belly, Beef rib soup ⑤ Soseonjae Price: 10,000 – 30,000 won per person Location: 113-3, Samcheong-dong, Jongno-gu, Seoul (+82-2-730-7002) Open: 11:00-15:30, 17:30-21:30 Menu: Course menu including Korean herb salads and tofu (bean curd)

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⑥ Dalhangari (http://blog.naver.com/dlahangari_) Price: 10,000 – 30,000 won per person Location: 95-1, Samcheong-dong, Jongno-gu, Seoul (+82-2-733-7902) Open: 11:30-22:00 Menu: Doenjang (bean paste) soup, Bulgogi, Small octopus ⑦ Cha Mashineun Teul Price: 10,000 – 20,000 won per person Location: 35-169, Samcheong-dong, Jongno-gu, Seoul (+82-2-722-7006) Open: 11:00-22:30 Menu: Korean green tea, Korean rice cake ⑧ Jaha Sonmandoo (http://www.sonmandoo.com/htm/buam_index.htm) Price: 10,000 – 40,000 won per person Location: 245-2, Buam-dong, Jongno-gu, Seoul (+82-2-379-2648) Open: 11:00-21:30 Menu: Hand-made dumpling soup and hot pot ⑨ Tosokchon Price: 20,000 – 40,000 won per person Location: 85-1, Chebu-dong, Jongno-gu, Seoul (+82-2-737-7444) Open: 10:00-22:00 Menu: Samgyetang (Chicken soup with ginseng), Roasted chicken ⑩ Samcheonggak (http://www.samcheonggak.or.kr/) Price: 50,000 – 130,000 won per person Location: 330-115, Seongbuk-dong, Seongbuk-gu, Seoul (+82-2-765-3700) Open: 12:00-15:00, 18:00-22:00 Menu: Course menu including grilled beef and Bulgogi

3) Insa-dong (See Map 3 on page 61) Insa-dong, located in the heart of the city, is an important place where old but precious and traditional goods are on display. There is one main road in Insa-dong with alleys on each side. Within these alleys are galleries, traditional restaurants, traditional teahouses, and cafes. ① Jihwaja (http://eng.jihwajafood.co.kr/) Price: 45,000 – 180,000 won per person Location: 1F, SK Hub Plaza, 89-4, Gyeongun-dong, Jongno-gu, Seoul (+82-2-2269-5834) Open: 11:30-15:00, 17:30-21:00 Menu: Daejanggeum Special Course, Beef Ribs Course, Seasonal Course ② Gaesung Mandoo ‘Goong’ Price: 10,000 – 30,000 won per person Location: 30-11, Gwanhun-dong Jongno-gu, Seoul (+82-2-733-9240) Open: 11:30-21:30 Menu: Mandu jeongol (Dumpling casserole), Mandutguk (Dumpling soup), Dwaeji Bossam (Pork with vegetable wraps) ③ Min’s Club (http://www.minsclub.co.kr/min/index.html) Price: 30,000 – 85,000 won per person (for a course menu) Location: 66-7, Gyeongun-dong, Jongno-gu, Seoul (+82-2-733-2966) Open: 12:00-14:30, 18:00-21:30

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Menu: Courses including Nobiani (Marinated grilled sliced beef strip loin) or Bibimbab ④ Bärlin (http://baerlin.co.kr) Price: 20,000 – 90,000 won per person Location: 1F, Somerset Palace Hotel, 85, Susong-dong, Jongno-gu, Seoul (+82-2-722-5623) Open:11:30-23:30 Menu: German sausage, Smoked pork, Draft beer, Wine ⑤ The Kitchen Salvatore & Bar (http://www.kitchensalvatore.kr/restaurant/restaurant2.jsp) Price: 20,000 – 90,000 won per person Location: 1F, Somerset Palace Hotel, 85, Susong-dong, Jongno-gu, Seoul (+82-2-730-5545) Open: 11:30-01:00 Menu: Napoli style food (pizza, pasta, etc.), Draft beer, Wine

2. Pubs & Clubs (See Map 4 on page 61) We have selected a few pubs, clubs, and bars mainly in Itaewon area, which is considered to be an international borough beckoning travelers and foreign residents to its shopping, restaurants, and vibrant nightlife. It takes approximately 15 minutes to get to the area on taxi from the city center. ① J.J. Mahoney’s http://www.seoul.grand.hyattrestaurants.kr/jjmahoneys/location-ko.html) Location: GL floor, Grand Hyatt Hotel, SoWall-Rho332, Yong-San Gu, Seoul (+82-2-799-8601) Open: 18:00-02:00 Description: Bar, pleasant, live band available ② Prost Location:1F, 116-1 Itaewon-dong, Yongsan-gu, Seoul (+82-2-796-6854) Description: Irish Pub, crowded, upscale Glam Location: 2F, 116-1 Itaewon-dong, Yongsan-gu, Seoul (+82-2-796-6853)- Description: Lounge & Club, crowded, upscale ③ 3 Alley Pub (http://www.3alleypub.com/) Location:116-15, Itaewon-dong, Yongsan-gu, Seoul (+82-2-749-3336) Description: Pub, billiards & dart available, crowded, casual and lively (Please check official site for exact location information. Location information in Google Map is wrong.) ④ Gecko's Terrace Location: 2F, IBK building, 128-5 Itaewon 1(il)-dong Yongsan-gu, Seoul (+82-2-749-9425) Description: Pub, crowded, casual and lively ⑤ Pierre’s Bar (in Lotte Hotel) Location: NewWing 35F, Lotte Hotel, 1 Sogong-dong, Jung-gu, Seoul (+82-2-317-7183) Description: Crowded even in weekdays, DJ available, pleasant ⑥ NuLook +(plus) Location: 38-1, Myeongdong 1(il)-ga Jung-gu, Seoul (+82-2-772-9555) Description: Korean traditional alcohol (Makgeolli) and traditional foods

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 Map 1 Myeong-dong

 Map 2 Samcheong-dong

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 Map 3 Insa-dong

 Map 4 Itaewon

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List of Participants

Last Institution Email Page Ábrahám, Árpád European Univ. Institute [email protected] 14, 29 Acikgoz, Omer Yeshiva University [email protected] 20 Albanesi, Stefania FRB of New York [email protected] 39 Albrecht, James Georgetown University [email protected] 36 Alder, Simeon University of Notre Dame [email protected] 9, 10 Amaral, Pedro FRB of Cleveland [email protected] 20 Athreya, Kartik FRB of Richmond [email protected] 38 Babus, Ana Imperial College London [email protected] 35 Bacchetta, Philippe University of Lausanne [email protected] 19 Bachmann, Ruediger RWTH Aachen University [email protected] 45 Badel, Alejandro FRB of St. Louis [email protected] 26, 34 Bai, Yan University of Rochester [email protected] 11 Baley, Isaac New York University [email protected] 24 Barczyk, Daniel McGill University [email protected] 9, 37 Barthelemy, Jean Banque de France [email protected] 43 Bartolucci, Cristian Collegio Carlo Alberto [email protected] 20 Battisti, Michele Ifo Institute [email protected] 29 Bauer, Michael FRB of San Francisco [email protected] 44 Bayer, Christian University of Bonn [email protected] 32 Ben-Gad, Michael City University London [email protected] 17 Benjamin, David SUNY-Buffalo [email protected] 16 Berg, Kimberly University of Notre Dame [email protected] 19 Berger, David Northwestern University [email protected] 10, 23 Berriel, Tiago Fundação Getulio Vargas [email protected] 15 Bersem, Mario Copenhagen Business School [email protected] 40 Bhamra, Harjoat University of British Columbia [email protected] 28 Bhandari, Anmol New York University [email protected] 32 Bianchi, Francesco Duke university [email protected] 13, 30 Bianchi, Javier University of Wisconsin [email protected] 10 Bick, Alexander Arizona State University [email protected] 32 Bidder, Rhys FRB of San Francisco [email protected] 45 Bierbrauer, Felix University of Cologne [email protected] 26 Bigio, Saki Columbia University [email protected] 10, 35 Bils, Mark University of Rochester [email protected] 9 Blanco, Julio New York University [email protected] 11, 24 Blaum, Joaquin Brown University [email protected] 21 Bonomo, Marco Fundação Getulio Vargas [email protected] 24

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List of Participants

Last Institution Email Page Boppart, Timo Stockholm University [email protected] 16, 46 Borovicka, Jaroslav New York University [email protected] 24 Borovickova, Katarina New York University [email protected] 29 Boz, Emine International Monetary Fund [email protected] 31 Broer, Tobias IIES [email protected] 14 Brooks, Wyatt University of Notre Dame [email protected] 13 Brumm, Johannes University of Zurich [email protected] 47 Buera, Francisco UCLA [email protected] 19, 40 Burstein, Ariel UCLA [email protected] 45 Bursztyn, Leonardo UCLA [email protected] 43 Cacciatore, Matteo HEC Montréal [email protected] 29 Caggese, Andrea Pompeu Fabra University [email protected] 14 Cajner, Tomaz Federal Reserve Board [email protected] Caldara, Dario Federal Reserve Board [email protected] 34 Caliendo, Lorenzo Yale -School of Management [email protected] 21 Campante, Filipe Harvard University [email protected] 23 Campbell, Jeffrey FRB of Chicago [email protected] 29, 30 Cao, Dan Georgetown [email protected] 18 Caponi, Vincenzo IfW-Kiel and Ryerson [email protected] 39 Carapella, Francesca Federal Reserve Board [email protected] 35 Carvalho, Carlos PUC-Rio [email protected] 15, 21, 24, 29 Carvalho, Vasco CREI/ UPF/ Barcelona GSE [email protected] 35 Casanova, Maria UCLA [email protected] 12 Caunedo, Julieta Washington University in St. Louis [email protected] 14 Cavallo, Alberto MIT [email protected] 23 Chade, Hector Arizona State University [email protected] 36 Challe, Edouard Ecole Polytechnique [email protected] 28 Chang, Yongsung Univ. of Rochester / Yonsei Univ. [email protected] 9 Chatterjee, Satyajit FRB of Philadelphia [email protected] 16, 39 Chen, Daphne Florida State University [email protected] 16, 40, 42 Chen, Heng The University of Hong Kong [email protected] 42 Chen, Kaiji Emory University [email protected] 33 Chien, YiLi FRB of St. Louis [email protected] 13, 19 Chiu, Jonathan Bank of Canada [email protected] 15 Cho, Jang Ok Sogang University [email protected] Choi, Changho Bank of Korea [email protected] 15 Choi, Dong Beom FRB of New York [email protected]

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List of Participants

Last Institution Email Page Choi, Horag Monash University [email protected] 36, 45 Choi, Hyung Sun Kyung Hee University [email protected] Choi, Sekyu Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona [email protected] 20 Choi, Youjin University of Western Ontario [email protected] Chung, Kyuil Bank of Korea [email protected] 26 Clymo, Alex London School of Economics [email protected] Cociuba, Simona University of Western Ontario [email protected] 12 Coeurdacier, Nicolas Sciences Po [email protected] 10 Colacito, Riccardo UNC at Chapel Hill [email protected] 43 Cole, Harold University of Pennsylvania [email protected] 13 Collard, Fabrice University of Bern [email protected] 13 Corradin, Stefano European Central Bank [email protected] 14 Cosar, Kerem University of Chicago [email protected] 45 Cozzi, Marco Queen's University [email protected] 32 Cravino, Javier UCLA [email protected] Crinò, Rosario CEMFI [email protected] 12 Cubas, German CENTRAL BANK OF URUGUAY [email protected] 46 -FCS UNIV. OF THE REPUBLIC Cui, Wei Princeton University [email protected] 41 Cunha, Flavio University of Pennsylvania [email protected] 30 Curtis, Chadwick University of Richmond [email protected] 16 da Costa, Carlos Fundação Getulio Vargas [email protected] 35 Dalkiran, Nuh Aygun Bilkent University [email protected] 42 David, Joel University of Southern California [email protected] 28 Davis, Scott FRB of Dallas [email protected] 29 De Fiore, Fiorella European Central Bank [email protected] 44 de la Croix, David UC Louvain [email protected] 18, 37 De Magalhaes, Leandro University of Bristol [email protected] 32 Dew-Becker, Ian FRB of San Francisco [email protected] 28 Didier, Tatiana World Bank [email protected] 14 Doepke, Matthias Northwestern University [email protected] 18 Domeij, David Stockholm School of Economics [email protected] Donovan, Kevin Arizona State University [email protected] Dovis, Alessandro University of Minnesota [email protected] 10 Drautzburg, Thorsten University of Chicago [email protected] 36 Drozd, Lukasz Wharton School [email protected] 16 Duernecker, Georg University of Mannheim [email protected] 40

64 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

List of Participants

Last Institution Email Page Dumas, Bernard INSEAD [email protected] 43 Dumav, Martin Bielefeld University [email protected] 38 Durdu, Bora Federal Reserve Board [email protected] 31 Dustmann, Christian University College London [email protected] 20 Dvorkin, Maximiliano Yale University [email protected] 27 Ederer, Florian UCLA [email protected] 43 Edwards, Ronald A. Tamkang University [email protected] 16 Eeckhout, Jan Univ. College London / GSE-UPF [email protected] 42 Egorov, Georgy Northwestern University [email protected] 16 Eisfeldt, Andrea UCLA [email protected] 28 Epifani, Paolo Universita' Bocconi [email protected] 12 Eyigungor, Burcu FRB of Philadelphia [email protected] 16, 39 Fabinger, Michal Pennsylvania State University [email protected] 13 Fajgelbaum, Pablo UCLA [email protected] 21, 45 Falato, Antonio Federal Reserve Board [email protected] 31 Fan, Ying University of Michigan [email protected] 17 Farhi, Emmanuel Harvard University [email protected] 22 Fattal Jaef , Roberto World Bank [email protected] Favara, Giovanni Federal Reserve Board [email protected] 14 Fernald, John FRB of San Francisco [email protected] 42 Fernandes, Ana Bern Univ. of Applied Sciences [email protected] 17 Fernandez-Blanco, Javier University Carlos III [email protected] 42 Fillat, Jose FRB of Boston [email protected] 18 Fisher, Jonas FRB of Chicago [email protected] 33 Foerster, Andrew FRB of Kansas City [email protected] 43 Fogli, Alessandra Universita' Bocconi [email protected] 33 Forstner, Susanne Stockholm University [email protected] 29 García-Santana, Manuel Universitè Libre de Bruxelles [email protected] 36 Garetto, Stefania Boston University [email protected] 18 Garibaldi, Pietro Collegio Carlo Alberto [email protected] 42 Gavin, William FRB of St. Louis [email protected] 47 Giannoni, Marc FRB of New York [email protected] 42 Glover, Andrew University of Texas Austin [email protected] 42 Glover, Brent Carnegie Mellon University [email protected] 31 Godøy, Anna Ragnar Frisch Centre for [email protected] 36 Economic Research Gomes, Renato Toulouse School of Economics [email protected] 32

65 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

List of Participants

Last Institution Email Page Gomis Porqueras, Pedro Monash University [email protected] Gorbenko, Alexander London Business School [email protected] 33 Gorea, Denis Goethe University Frankfurt [email protected] 38 Gottardi, Piero European University Institute [email protected] 33 Gourio, Francois FRB Chicago / Boston University [email protected] 9, 13 Grochulski, Borys Federal Reserve Bank [email protected] 32 Guler, Bulent Indiana University [email protected] 22 Guner, Nezih ICREA-MOVE [email protected] 14 Guvenen, Fatih University of Minnesota [email protected] 16, 46 Hachem, Kinda University of Chicago [email protected] 21 Han, Jongsuk University of Rochester [email protected] 27 Han, Minsoo Pennsylvania State University [email protected] 36 Hansen, Gary UCLA [email protected] 37 Hassan, Tarek University of Chicago [email protected] 23 Hawkins, William Yeshiva University [email protected] 9 He, Chao Renmin University [email protected] 39 He, Hui Shanghai Univ. of Finance & [email protected] Economics He, Zhiguo University of Chicago [email protected] 26 Head, Allen Queen's University [email protected] 39 Herrera, Helios HEC Montreal/ SIPA Columbia [email protected] 17 Herrington, Christopher Arizona State University [email protected] 37 Hidalgo-Cabrillana, Ana Universidad Autonoma de Madrid [email protected] Hong, Jay University of Rochester [email protected] 14, 24, 44, 46 Hopenhayn, Hugo UCLA [email protected] 28, 41 Horner, Johannes Yale University [email protected] 11, 42 Hosseini, Roozbeh Arizona State University [email protected] 19 Hsu, Alex Georgia Institute of Technology [email protected] 13 Hsu, Minchung GRIPS [email protected] Hubrich, Kirstin European Central Bank [email protected] 14 Hur, Sewon University of Pittsburgh [email protected] 43 Ilut, Cosmin Duke University [email protected] 13 Imrohoroglu, Selahattin USC Marshall Business School [email protected] 24, 37 (Selo) Inaba, Masaru Kansai University [email protected] Iovino, Luigi Universita' Bocconi [email protected] 32 Iskrev, Nikolay Bank of Portugal [email protected] 34

66 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

List of Participants

Last Institution Email Page Itskhoki, Oleg Princeton University [email protected] 18, 23 Jaimovich, Esteban University of Surrey [email protected] 13 Jedwab, Remi George Washington University [email protected] 22 Jeong, Hyeok KDI School [email protected] 18 Jin, Hyeongsuk University of Western Ontario [email protected] Jin, Keyu London School of Economics [email protected] 10 Jinnai, Ryo Texas A&M University [email protected] Jorda, Oscar FRB of San Francisco / UC Davis [email protected] 17, 42 Ju, Jiandong Tsinghua Univ./Univ. of Oklahoma [email protected] 33 Jung, Jae Wook University of California Davis [email protected] Jung, Philip University of Bonn [email protected] 44, 46 Justiniano, Alejandro FRB of Chicago [email protected] 30 Kaas, Leo University of Konstanz [email protected] 31 Kaboski, Joseph University of Notre Dame [email protected] 40 Kahn, James Yeshiva University [email protected] 20 Kambourov, Gueorgui University of Toronto [email protected] 14, 16, 37 Kang, Hyunju Korea Capital Market Institute [email protected] Kapicka, Marek UC Santa Barbara [email protected] 11 Kaplan, Greg Princeton University [email protected] 11, 44 Karabarbounis, Marios FRB of Richmond [email protected] 44 Karahan, Fatih FRB of New York [email protected] 23, 29 Kawai, Kei New York University Stern [email protected] 15, 30 Kehoe, Timothy University of Minnesota [email protected] 18, 31 Kehrig, Matthias University of Texas Austin [email protected] 9 Keller, Elisa University of Iowa [email protected] 27 Kennan, John University of Wisconsin [email protected] 22 Kim, Chansoo Korea Institute of Science & Technology [email protected] Kim, Hyun Jeong The Bank of Korea [email protected] 20 Kim, Jiwoon University of Minnesota [email protected] 29 Kim, Kyungmin University of Iowa [email protected] Kim, Seik University of Washington [email protected] 20 Kim, Se-Jik Seoul National University [email protected] 25 Kim, Sun-Bin Yonsei University [email protected] 9 Kim, Tae Bong Korea Development Institute [email protected] 15 Kim, Yong Yonsei University [email protected] Kitao, Sagiri Hunter College [email protected] 14, 24 Kiyotaki, Nobuhiro Princeton University [email protected] 18, 26

67 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

List of Participants

Last Institution Email Page Klein, Nicolas University of Montreal [email protected] 42 Kocherlakota, Narayana FRB of Minneapolis [email protected] Koehne, Sebastian Stockholm University [email protected] 35 Kollmann, Robert Université Libre de Bruxelles [email protected] 47 Kondo, Illenin Federal Reserve Board [email protected] 21 Kopecky, Karen FRB of Atlanta [email protected] 9 Koreinek, Anton University of Maryland/ IMF [email protected] Kovacs, Agnes University College London [email protected] Kovrijnykh, Natalia Arizona State University [email protected] 16, 33 Kredler, Matthias Universidad Carlos III de Madrid [email protected] 9 Kudlyak, Marianna FRB of Richmond [email protected] 29 Kuhn, Moritz University of Bonn [email protected] 35, 44 Kung, Howard University of British Columbia [email protected] 28 Kurlat, Pablo Stanford University [email protected] 15 Kuruscu, Burhanettin University of Toronto [email protected] 16 Kwon, Hyosung Boston University [email protected] 24 Lahiri, Amartya University of British Columbia [email protected] 45 Lai, Edwin HKUST [email protected] 19 Lakdawala, Aeimit Michigan State University [email protected] 43 Landry, Anthony The Wharton School [email protected] 23 Lanteri, Andrea London School of Economics [email protected] 41 La'O, Jennifer University of Chicago [email protected] 10 Laosuthi, Thanarak Kasersart University [email protected] Lau, Sau-Him University of Hong Kong [email protected] 37 Lee, Ahrang The Bank of Korea [email protected] 43 Lee, Dongkyu Korea Institute of Science & Technology [email protected] Lee, Heon Kyunghee University [email protected] Lee, Junghoon Emory University [email protected] Lee, Junsang SKKU [email protected] Lee, Robin New York University [email protected] 17 Lee, Sanglim Korea Energy Economics Institute [email protected] Lee, Sang Yoon (Tim) University of Mannheim [email protected] 33, 34 Leibovici, Fernando NYU / York University [email protected] 13 Lewis, Logan Federal Reserve Board [email protected] 24 L'Huillier, Jean-Paul Einaudi Institute for Econ & [email protected] 27 Finance Li, Anyong Sun Yat-sen University [email protected]

68 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

List of Participants

Last Institution Email Page Li, Huiyu Stanford University [email protected] 36 Li, Nan International Monetary Fund [email protected] 46 Li, Wenli Philadelphia fed [email protected] 14 Licandro, Omar Barcelona GSE [email protected] 33, 37 Ligon, Ethan UC Berkeley [email protected] 43 Lipinska, Anna Federal Reserve Board [email protected] 26 Lise, Jeremy University College London [email protected] 31 Liu, Zheng FRB of San Francisco [email protected] 36 Livshits, Igor University of Western Ontario [email protected] 16 Lozachmeur, Jean-Marie Toulouse School of Economics [email protected] 32, 35 Lu, Dan University of Rochester [email protected] 12 Lu, Yang HKUST [email protected] 24 Lubik, Thomas FRB of Richmond [email protected] 21 Lucas, Robert University of Chicago [email protected] Luttmer, Erzo University of Minnesota [email protected] 28 Maggiori, Matteo New York University [email protected] 43 Mahoney, Neale University of Chicago [email protected] 17 Mandelman, Federico FRB of Atlanta [email protected] 12, 42 Manuelli, Rody Washington University in St. Louis [email protected] 34 Marimon Sunyol, Ramon European Univ. Institute [email protected] & UPF - Barcelona GSE Mark, Nelson University of Notre Dame [email protected] 19, 45 Martin, Alberto CREI [email protected] 39 Martin, Fernando FRB of St. Louis [email protected] 16 Matejka, Filip CERGE-EI [email protected] 40 Mateos-Planas, Xavier Queen Mary University of London [email protected] 10 Maziero, Pricila University of Pennsylvania [email protected] 19 McGrattan, Ellen FRB of Minneapolis [email protected] 24 Mejean, Isabelle Ecole Polytechnique [email protected] 18 Mele, Antonio University of Surrey [email protected] 19 Melosi, Leonardo Chicago Fed [email protected] 30, 36 Mendes Tavares, Marina ITAM [email protected] 37 Mendoza, Enrique University of Pennsylvania/ SAS [email protected] 17, 39 Mertens, Karel Cornell University [email protected] 40 Mertens, Thomas New York University [email protected] 27 Michaels, Ryan University of Rochester [email protected] 9, 29 Michaillat, Pascal London School of Economics [email protected] 28

69 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

List of Participants

Last Institution Email Page Michelacci, Claudio CEMFI [email protected] 27 Midrigan, Virgiliu New York University [email protected] 11 Mitchell, Matthew University of Toronto [email protected] 19 Mitman, Kurt University of Pennsylvania [email protected] 11, 23 Moll, Benjamin Princeton University [email protected] 18 Mondria, Jordi University of Toronto [email protected] 18 Monge-Naranjo, Alexander FRB of St. Louis [email protected] 9, 34 Moral-Benito, Enrique Bank of Spain [email protected] 30 Moscoso Boedo, Hernan University of Virginia [email protected] 18 Mueller, Andreas Columbia University [email protected] 44 Mukoyama, Toshihiko Federal Reserve Board [email protected] 16, 23 Nakajima, Makoto FRB Philadelphia [email protected] 9 Nakata, Taisuke Federal Reserve Board [email protected] 44 Nakata, Takeshi Niigata University [email protected] Naknoi, Kanda University of Connecticut [email protected] 19 Navarro, Gaston New York University [email protected] 11 Nechio, Fernanda FRB of San Francisco [email protected] 29, 42 Nenov, Plamen Norwegian Business School (BI) [email protected] 22 Neri, Claudia University of St.Gallen [email protected] 30 Nicolini, Juan Pablo FRB of Minneapolis [email protected] 35 Niepelt, Dirk Study Center Gerzensee [email protected] 45 Nimark, Kristoffer CREI/ Universitat Pompeu Fabra [email protected] 40 Nirei, Makoto Hitotsubashi University [email protected] 35 Nosal, Jaromir Columbia University [email protected] 10 Nutahara, Kengo University College London [email protected] Oberfield, Ezra FRB of Chicago [email protected] 35 Ogaki, Masao Keio University [email protected] 11 Oh, Hyunseung Columbia University [email protected] 20 Oikawa, Koki [email protected] Onishi, Ken Northwestern [email protected] 30 Opp, Christian University of Pennsylvania [email protected] 15 Orlik, Anna Federal Reserve Board [email protected] 45 Ostrowski, Christine FRB of Chicago [email protected] 29 Otrok, Christopher University of Missouri [email protected] 12, 26 Ozdagli, Ali FRB of Boston [email protected] 25 Ozkan, Serdar Federal Reserve Board [email protected] 46 Palazzo, Berardino Boston University [email protected] 11

70 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

List of Participants

Last Institution Email Page Pantano, Juan Washington University in St. Louis [email protected] 12 Park, Sung Ho The Bank of Korea [email protected] 24 Park, Woong Yong University of Hong Kong [email protected] 43 Park, Youngmin University of Western Ontario [email protected] Parlatore Siritto, Cecilia The Wharton School, Univ. [email protected] 12 of Penn Pashchenko, Svetlana Uppsala University [email protected] 32, 37 Peralta-Alva, Adrian International Monetary Fund [email protected] 33 Perri, Fabrizio Universita' Bocconi [email protected] 11, 33 Peterman, William Federal Reserve Board of [email protected] 17 Governors Peters, Michael Yale University/LSE [email protected] 18, 21 Phillips, Kerk Brigham Young University [email protected] Piazzesi, Monika Stanford [email protected] 39 Piguillem, Facundo Einaudi Institute for Econ & [email protected] 40 Finance Pijoan-Mas, Josep CEMFI [email protected] 24 Pistolesi, Nicolas Toulouse School of Economics [email protected] 20 Plesca, Miana University of Guelph [email protected] Plotnikov, Dmitry UCLA [email protected] 23 Popov, Latchezar University of Virginia [email protected] 16 Porapakkarm, Ponpoje University of Macau [email protected] 32, 37 (Poe) Portier, Franck University of Toulouse [email protected] 28 Postel-Vinay, Fabien University of Bristol [email protected] 31 Prescott, Edward Arizona State University [email protected] 24 Punyasavatsut, Arunee Kasersart University [email protected] Qi, Han HKUST [email protected] 29 Qi, Shi Florida State University [email protected] 40 Queralto, Albert Federal Reserve Board [email protected] 31 Quint, Dominic Free University Berlin [email protected] 22 Rabinovich, Stanislav Amherst College [email protected] Radde, Sören DIW Berlin [email protected] Raffo, Andrea Federal Reserve Board [email protected] 44 Ramanarayanan, Ananth University of Western Ontario [email protected] Ramey, Valerie University of California, San Diego [email protected] 37 Rampini, Adriano Duke University [email protected] 33 Rappoport, Veronica London School of Economics [email protected] 41

71 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

List of Participants

Last Institution Email Page Razin, Assaf Tel Aviv University [email protected] 45 Reiter, Michael IHS [email protected] 29 Rendahl, Pontus University of Cambridge [email protected] 28 Rendall, Andrew University of Zurich [email protected] 27 Rendall, Michelle University of Zurich [email protected] 27, 37 Restrepo-Echavarria, The Ohio State University [email protected] 44 Paulina Restuccia, Diego University of Toronto [email protected] 32 Ritter, Moritz Temple University [email protected] 36 Rodríguez Mora, José V. University of Edinburgh [email protected] 37 Rogerson, Richard Princeton University [email protected] 14, 40 Rondina, Giacomo UC San Diego [email protected] 27 Rousakis, Michael European University Institute [email protected] 15 Roys, Nicolas UW Madison [email protected] 9 Rudanko, Leena Boston University [email protected] 39 Ruhl, Kim New York University Stern [email protected] 18, 41 Samaniego, Roberto George Washington University [email protected] 22 Sampson, Thomas London School of Economics [email protected] 28 Sanchez, Juan FRB of St. Louis [email protected] 9 Sanders, Carl Washington University in St. Louis [email protected] 22 Sannikov, Yuliy Princeton University [email protected] 26 Santacreu, Ana Maria INSEAD [email protected] 19 Santaeulalia, Raul Washington University in St Louis [email protected] 9, 32, 46 Santos, Cezar University of Mannheim [email protected] 39 Schaal, Edouard New York University [email protected] 45 Scheuer, Florian Stanford University [email protected] 26 Schneider, Martin Stanford University [email protected] 13 Schoellman, Todd Arizona State University [email protected] 34 Schott, Immo European University Institute [email protected] 11 Schroth, Josef Bank of Canada [email protected] 40 Seccia, Giulio Kyoto University [email protected] Seo, Jeong Jun Korea Institute of Science & [email protected] Technology Sergeyev, Dmytriy Columbia University [email protected] 23 Setty, Ofer Tel Aviv University [email protected] 20 Sevcik, Pavel Universite du Quebec a Montreal [email protected] 46 Shao, Lin Washington Unviersity in St. Louis [email protected] 10

72 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

List of Participants

Last Institution Email Page Shi, Shouyong University of Toronto [email protected] 27 Shim, Myungkyu University of California, San Diego [email protected] 27 Shimer, Robert University of Chicago [email protected] 15 Shin, Kwanho Korea University [email protected] Shin, Yongseok Washington University in St. Louis [email protected] 18, 33, 33 Shioji, Etsuro Hitotsubashi University [email protected] Shirai, Daichi The Canon Institute for [email protected] Global Studies Shourideh, Ali Wharton School [email protected] 32 Siegel, Christian University of Exeter [email protected] 37 Silos, Pedro FRB of Atlanta [email protected] 20 Sim, Jae Federal Reserve Board [email protected] 21, 31 Sim, Seung-Gyu University of Tokyo [email protected] 30 Simonovska, Ina University of California Davis [email protected] 31 Simsek, Alp MIT [email protected] 22 Simula, Laurent Uppsala University [email protected] 17 Singh, Rajesh Iowa State University [email protected] 41 Sinha, Arunima Santa Clara University [email protected] 13 Skira, Meghan University of Georgia [email protected] 9 Slavik, Ctirad Goethe University Frankfurt [email protected] 19 Son, Jong Chil The Bank of Korea [email protected] 20 Song, Dongho University of Pennsylvania [email protected] 13 Song, In Ho Korea Development Institute [email protected] 20 Song, Minjae University of Rochester [email protected] 30 Song, Zheng (Michael) University of Chicago [email protected] 45 Stefanski, Radek Laval University [email protected] Steinberg, Joseph University of Minnesota [email protected] 31 Stepanchuk, Serhiy Magyar Nemzeti Bank [email protected] 47 Steri, Roberto Università Commerciale [email protected] 25 L. Bocconi Sterk, Vincent University College London [email protected] 27 Stevens, Luminita University of Maryland [email protected] 10 Stokey, Nancy L University of Chicago [email protected] 36 Sultanum, Bruno The Pennsylvania State University [email protected] 42 Suzuki, Shiba Meisei University [email protected] Swanson, Eric FRB of San Francisco [email protected] 32 Szemely, Bela Boston University [email protected] 9

73 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

List of Participants

Last Institution Email Page Taddei, Filippo Collegio Carlo Alberto [email protected] 32 Tamura, Robert Clemson University [email protected] 19 Tanaka, Hiroatsu Board of Governors of the [email protected] Federal Reserve System Tanaka, Satoshi University of Queensland [email protected] 12 Taschereau-Dumouchel, University of Pennsylvania [email protected] 45 Mathieu Tchistyi, Alexei UC Berkeley [email protected] 25 Terajima, Yaz Bank of Canada [email protected] 41 Terrones, Marco International Monetary Fund [email protected] 17 Thomas, Carlos Banco de España [email protected] 11 Thurk, Jeff University of Notre Dame [email protected] 15 Tintelnot, Felix Penn State [email protected] 41 Tonetti, Christopher Stanford GSB [email protected] 28 Toommongkol, Worawan Kasetsart University [email protected] Tran, Allen UCLA [email protected] 15 Tretvoll, Hakon BI Norwegian Business School [email protected] 42 Tsuruga, Takayuki Kyoto University [email protected] 12 Turner, Laura University of Toronto [email protected] 37 Uhlig, Harald University of Chicago [email protected] 30 Usui, Emiko Nagoya University [email protected] 20 Valencia, Fabian International Monetary Fund [email protected] 17 Valentinyi, Akos Cardiff Business School [email protected] 22 Vavra, Joseph University of Chicago [email protected] 23 Vazquez -Grande, Federal Reserve Board [email protected] Francisco Velde, Francois FRB of Chicago [email protected] 44 Vereshchagina, Galina Arizona State University [email protected] 15 Vestman, Roine Stockholm University [email protected] 44 Vickery, James FRB of New York [email protected] 43 Violante, Gianluca New York University [email protected] 11 Virag, Gabor University of Toronto [email protected] Visschers, Lodewijk Universidad Carlos III Madrid [email protected] 31 Voena, Alessandra University of Chicago [email protected] 12 Voigtlaender, Nico UCLA [email protected] 18, 35 Vroman, Susan Georgetown University [email protected] Waggoner, Daniel FRB of Atlanta [email protected] 30 Waki, Yuichiro University of Queensland [email protected]

74 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

List of Participants

Last Institution Email Page Wallenius, Johanna Stockholm School of Economics [email protected] 24 Waller, Christopher FRB of St. Louis [email protected] 41 Wang, Pengfei HKUST [email protected] 31, 34 Wang, Wei Washington University [email protected] 22 Wang, Xin Tsinghua University [email protected] 10 Wang, Yong HKUST [email protected] 10 Wang, Yong City University of Hong Kong [email protected] 16 Wang, Zhu FRB of Richmond [email protected] 19 Watson, Mark Princeton University [email protected] Wei, Bin Federal Reserve Board [email protected] 33 Weiss, Franziska University of Zurich [email protected] 46 Wen, Yi FRB of St. Louis [email protected] 31 Werquin, Nicolas Yale University [email protected] 35 Weyl, Eric Glen University of Chicago [email protected] 26 Whang, Yu Jung Yale University [email protected] Wiczer, David University of Minnesota [email protected] 27 Wiederholt, Mirko Goethe University Frankfurt [email protected] 40 Worrall, Tim Edinburgh University [email protected] Wright, Mark FRB of Chicago / UCLA [email protected] 10, 16 Xiao, Mo University of Arizona [email protected] 17 Xu, Daniel Yi Duke University [email protected] 45 Xu, Lifang HKUST [email protected] 34 Xu, Zhiwei HKUST [email protected] 31, 34 Yamada, Tomoaki Meiji University [email protected] 24 Yang, Hee-Seung Monash University [email protected] 27 Yared, Pierre Columbia Business School [email protected] Yedid-Levi, Yaniv University of British Columbia [email protected] Yi, Kei-Mu FRB of Minneapolis [email protected] Yogo, Motohiro FRB of Minneapolis [email protected] 26 Yoon, Kyoungsoo The Bank of Korea [email protected] 26 Young, Eric University of Virginia [email protected] 38 Yuchtman, Noam UC-Berkeley [email protected] 23, 43 Yue, Vivian Federal Reserve Board [email protected] 39 Yun, Tack Seoul National University [email protected] 24 Zhang, Jing FRB of Chicago [email protected] 41 Zhang, Lei [email protected] 28 Zhang, Shengxing New York University [email protected] 35

75 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

List of Participants

Last Institution Email Page Zhang, Yuzhe Texas A&M University [email protected] 19, 32 Zhao, Kai (Jackie) University of Western Ontario [email protected] 38 Zhao, Min Qiang (Kent) Xiamen University [email protected] 40 Zheng, Yu City University of Hong Kong [email protected] Zilberman, Eduardo PUC-Rio [email protected] 37 Zimmermann, Christian St. Louis Fed [email protected] 11 Zlate, Andrei Federal Reserve Board [email protected] 12

76 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

MEMO

77 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

MEMO

78 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

MEMO

79 SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics

MEMO

80 SED Annual Meeting 2013

is hosted by

SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics http://www.economicdynamics.org/sed2013.htm

Program Chairs Virgiliu Midrigan - NYU Josep Pijoan-Mas - CEMFI

Local Organizers Yongsung Chang - University of Rochester & Yonsei University Jang-Ok Cho - Sogang University Sun-Bin Kim - Yonsei University Hyun Song Shin - Princeton University Kwanho Shin - Korea University Tack Yun - Seoul National University

SED 2013 | Society for Economic Dynamics Society for Economic Dynamics

SED Annual Meeting

is co-hosted by Yonsei University (Global Research Team) Ministry of Strategy and Finance SED Annual Meeting The Bank of Korea June 27-29, 2013 Korea Development Institute Seoul, Korea

Society for Economic Dynamics gratefully acknowledges additional sponsorship of

© National Museum of Korea